MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Tight race in -Lakeshore July 10th, 2013 Liberal leads

th TORONTO, July 10 , 2013- In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the HIGHLIGHTS: Forum Poll™ among 334 voters in the provincial riding of Etobicoke- Lakeshore, where a by-election will be held August 1, just fewer than half will Just fewer than half will vote vote for the Liberal candidate, Toronto City Councillor Peter Milczyn (45%), for the Liberal candidate, compared to 4-in-10 who will vote for the PC candidate, Toronto Deputy Mayor Toronto City Councillor Peter (39%). About one tenth will vote either for the NDP candidate, P.C. Milczyn (45%), compared to 4- Choo (11%) or the Green candidate, Angela Salewsky (6%). in-10 who will vote for the PC One half agree city councillors should resign to run candidate, Toronto Deputy Mayor Doug Holyday (39%). One half of the voters of Etobicoke-Lakeshore think city councillors should have One half of the voters of to resign their seats to run for another office (50%), while just more than a third Etobicoke-Lakeshore think disagree (35%). One eighth have no opinion (16%) city councillors should have to "This is by no means a decisive lead for the Liberal candidate, but it looks like resign their seats to run for 's legacy has a chance in this riding," said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, another office (50%), while President. just more than a third disagree Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be (35%). One eighth have no reached at [email protected] or at (416) 960-9603. opinion (16%) “This is by no means a decisive lead for the Liberal candidate,

but it looks like Laurel Broten's legacy has a chance in this riding," said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President.

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6

T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 1 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Methodology The Forum Poll™ was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an TORONTO interactive voice response telephone survey of 334 randomly selected residents July 10th, 2013 of the provincial riding of Etobicoke Lakeshore aged 18 or older. The poll was conducted from July 8th to July 9th, 2013. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 6%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp. Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data. Results may not add to 100% due to rounding. This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms.This and other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive at www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp.

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 2 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected]

416.960.9603

Etobicoke Lakeshore By-Election Candidate / Party Preference

Trending TORONTO

th [Decided Leaning] July 10 , 2013

Liberal / Green Party Another PC / Doug NDP / P.C. Sample Peter / Angela Party / % Holyday Choo Milczyn Sakwesky Candidate July 8th to 9th, 312 39 45 11 6 0 2013 June 28th, 2013 420 25 50 21 2 1

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 3 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected]

416.960.9603

Current provincial by-election candidate preference –Peter Milczyn / Doug

Holyday / P.C. Choo / Angela Salewsky TORONTO th ‘Which candidate would you be most likely to vote for in the upcoming by- July 10 , 2013 election in Etobicoke Lakeshore if the following candidates were running?’ + ‘Even though you may not have made up your mind, which candidate would you be leaning towards at this time?’

[Decided / Leaning]

Age / Gender

18- 35- 45- 55- Total 65+ Male Female % 34 44 54 64 Sample 312 26 31 65 98 92 131 181 Doug Holyday, Progressive 39 33 24 49 40 42 41 37 Conservative Peter Milczyn, Liberal 45 49 47 42 43 43 44 45 P. C. Choo, New Democrat 11 7 18 9 12 10 9 12 Angela Salewsky, Green Party 6 11 11 1 4 4 6 6 Another Candidate 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

Household Income

$20- $40- $60- $80- $100- Total <$20K $250K+ % 40K 60K 80K 100K 250K Sample 312 22 32 45 44 37 69 9 Doug Holyday, Progressive 39 15 65 42 43 21 39 46 Conservative Peter Milczyn, Liberal 45 42 28 52 28 47 52 54 P. C. Choo, New 11 21 2 5 29 26 2 0 Democrat Angela Salewsky, Green 6 22 5 1 0 6 6 0 Party Another Candidate 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 4 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603

Past Provincial Party Preference TORONTO Another Didn't Vote in the last Total PC Lib NDP Green th % Party provincial election July 10 , 2013 Sample 312 92 160 33 12 8 7 Doug Holyday, Progressive 39 86 19 14 16 0 32 Conservative Peter Milczyn, Liberal 45 9 68 32 21 56 52 P. C. Choo, New 11 4 8 43 7 22 16 Democrat Angela Salewsky, 6 2 4 11 56 17 0 Green Party Another Candidate 0 0 0 1 0 5 0

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 5 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President [email protected] 416.960.9603 Agreement with Peter Milczyn and Doug Holyday resigning their city council seats to run in this provincial by-election

‘Both Peter Milczyn and Doug Holyday are Toronto City Councillors. Do you TORONTO th agree or disagree they should resign their city council seats to run in this July 10 , 2013 provincial by-election?’

[Decided / Leaning]

Age / Gender

% Total 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Male Female Sample 334 27 33 72 103 99 135 199 Agree 50 62 39 46 54 47 56 44 Disagree 35 18 43 43 37 33 31 38 Don't know 16 21 18 11 10 20 13 18

Household Income

$20- $40- $60- $80- $100- Total <$20K $250K+ % 40K 60K 80K 100K 250K Sample 334 25 34 48 47 37 71 9 Agree 50 34 52 54 55 51 48 65 Disagree 35 27 29 31 42 26 43 35 Don't 16 39 18 15 3 24 9 0 know

Current Provincial Party Preference

% Total PC Liberal NDP Green Another Party Sample 334 118 132 38 19 5 Agree 50 38 54 74 63 78 Disagree 35 51 28 17 10 0 Don't know 16 11 18 9 27 22

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 6 forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES: Lorne Bozinoff, President

[email protected]

416.960.9603 -30-

TORONTO th July 10 , 2013 For more information: Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. President Forum Research Inc. Tel: (416) 960-9603 Fax: (416) 960-9602 E-mail: [email protected]

180 Bloor Street W., #1400 Toronto, ON M5S 2V6 T 416.960.9600 F 416.960.9602 7 forumresearch.com