CONSERVATION OF FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEMS ON SIERRA NEVADA NATIONAL FORESTS POLICY ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE
Produced by PACIFIC RIVERS COUNCIL CONSERVATION OF FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEMS ON SIERRA NEVADA NATIONAL FORESTS: POLICY ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE
Pacific Rivers Council June 2012
Acknowledgements This report was made possible by funding from the Resources Legacy Fund. We are also grateful to all those who so generously shared their time and expertise with us over the last two years, in particular Mary Scurlock and Chris Frissell.
Preface This report is intended to inform conservation advocates in the Sierra Nevada and Forest Service regional and forest-level planning teams. Our goal is to inform dialogue that will help set the agenda for aquatic conservation during future forest plan revisions. We do not purport either to have conducted a regional ecosystem assessment or to offer specific forest plan language.
Pacific Rivers Council 317 SW Alder Street, Suite 900 Portland, OR 97204 503.228.3555 503.228.3556 fax [email protected] pacificrivers.org
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 2 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future TABLE OF CONTENTS
PART ONE: KEY FINDINGS RELEVANT TO AQUATIC AND RIPARIAN ECOSYSTEMS AND THE CONSERVATION 6 ROLE OF NATIONAL FORESTS IN THE SIERRA NEVADA
Sierra Nevada National Forest Watersheds and the Aquatic, Riparian and Meadow Ecosystems they Encompass have High Ecological and Economic Value ...... 6
The Survival of Aquatic and Riparian-dependent Species in the Sierra is Disproportionately Dependent on National Forest Lands ...... 6 Native Fish at Risk ...... 7 Amphibians at Risk ...... 10
Freshwater Ecosystems in the Sierra Nevada are Still Highly Degraded Despite Recent Changes in National Forest Management Direction and Watershed Restoration Efforts, and Face Continued Threats from Legacy Land Uses, Hydromodification, Non-native Incursions and Climate Change...... 10 Dams and Diversions on Sierran Rivers and National Forest Lands ...... 11 Reduced Timber, Grazing and Mining Pressures—but Impacts Continue ...... 12
Climate Change and Population Growth will Continue to Increase Pressure on Water Supplies and other Aquatic Ecosystem Services Derived from Sierran Watersheds ...... 12
On National Forests, Some Watersheds are more Important than Others to the Conservation of Aquatic and Riparian-dependent Species and/or Constitute Priorities for Restoration Resources ...... 13 The Key Criteria for Aquatic Reserve System Design are Known ...... 14 Reserve Management ...... 15
The Importance of Springs and Other Near-surface Groundwater Sources is Increasing with Climate Change ...... 16
Road Remediation and Reduction is the Leading Active Watershed Restoration Need Across the Sierra ...... 16
Reintroduction of Fire is Important Across the Landscape, Including in Riparian Areas and Critical Watersheds ...... 18
Post-fire Management: Conservation of Dead Wood Sources and Erosion Reduction are the Most Important Considerations for Watershed Health and Aquatic Species on the Post-fire Landscape ...... 21
The Ecological Harm Caused by the Stocking of Non-native Fish Species has Been Increasingly Recognized and has Begun to be Addressed, but Conservation Efforts must Continue and Further Actions are Needed ...... 22 Preservation of Nonhybridized Genotypes is a Priority for Managers ...... 23
Maintenance and Restoration of Meadow Habitats is Critically Important for a Suite of Aquatic and Riparian-dependent Species ...... 24 Meadow-associated Species ...... 24
The Extent and Impact of Livestock Grazing Practices on Aquatic and Riparian Systems Have Changed in Recent Times, but Legacy Damage and the Conservation Needs of Meadow-dependent Species May Require Permanent Exclusions and/or Active Restoration ...... 24 Cessation of Livestock Grazing can have Positive Effects on Meadow-dependent Species ...... 25 Variation in Grazing Management Practices is Associated with Differences in Stream Condition . . . . 25 Is Grazing Compatible with Continued Recovery? ...... 25
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 3 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future Recent Yosemite Toad and Grazing Research ...... 25 Comprehensive Meadow Restoration Prioritization Lacking...... 26 Where Cessation is Not Enough, Active Restoration May be Needed...... 26 Active Restoration Still Experimental and Requires Monitoring ...... 26 Guidance Needed on Appropriate Expectations For and Use of Restoration Techniques...... 27
A Suite of Metrics is Needed to Evaluate the Ecological Conditions of Grazed Watersheds, Particularly Wet Meadows...... 27
Biological Indicators and Multimetrics Integrate Across Many Physiochemical Processes and Conditions and can be Essential to Accurately Assessing Aquatic Ecosystem Condition or Response...... 28
Cumulative Watershed Effects and the Limitations of a Mitigative, Project-level “Best Management Practices” Approach ...... 28
PART TWO: POLICY ANALYSIS—A Critical Look at the 2004 Sierra Framework Aquatic Management Strategy 29
A. Scope and Goals of Analysis ...... 29
B. Policy Evaluation Criteria: What Does an Ideal Aquatic Conservation Policy Look Like? ...... 29
C. Identification of Sources and Summary of Key Policy Direction External and/or Subsequent to the AMS ...... 30
1. AMS Source Documents ...... 30
2. Aquatic Direction Recommended by the USFWS...... 30
3. Key Policy Direction External to the Sierra Framework...... 30 a. Requirements of the 2012 National Forest Planning Rule...... 30 b. The National Watershed Condition Classification Framework ...... 32 c. Travel Planning and the Need for Integrated and Strategic Decisions about Roads...... 34 d. Best Practices Under the Clean Water Act...... 35 e. Conservation Measures Derived from Endangered Species Act Listing and Recovery Actions for Special Status Aquatic Species...... 35
4. Forest Plan Direction Recommended by the USFWS in 2003 SNFPA Biological Opinion ...... 36
D. Overview and Summary of AMS Critique (Appendix B) ...... 37
1. Discussion of Aquatic Management Strategy Elements and Overall Findings...... 37 a. AMS Goals...... 37 b. AMS Elements...... 38 c. Findings Regarding Specific Desired Conditions for Aquatic Land Allocations— RCAs and CARs...... 40 d. RCA and CAR Delineation ...... 40 e. RCO Consistency Analysis...... 44 f. Watershed Analysis...... 44 g. Cumulative Effects Evaluation and Prognosis ...... 45
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 4 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future 2. Discussion of Analysis of Species-specific Measures...... 46 a. Adequacy of Direction for Fish ...... 46 i. Salmon—Lassen Strategy ...... 46 ii. Resident Native Fish...... 46 b. Adequacy of Special Direction for Yosemite Toad and Other Amphibians ...... 47 c. Adequacy of Standards and Guidelines for the Willow Flycatcher and Other Birds...... 47 i. Special Direction for Willow Flycatcher...... 48 ii. Special Direction for Great Gray Owl ...... 48 iii. Special Direction for Pacific Fisher ...... 48 iv. Special Direction for Marten ...... 49
PART THREE: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE FUTURE 51
A. General Aquatic Conservation Recommendations ...... 51
B. Fire and Fire Management for Aquatic Ecosystem Protection and Restoration ...... 55
C. Meadow Restoration and Livestock Management...... 56
D. Streamflow, Dams and Diversions ...... 57
E. Roads...... 58
F. Aquatic Ecosystem Monitoring...... 59
G. Species-specific Recommendations ...... 59
H. Research Priorities ...... 60
I. Near-term and Urgent Needs for Policy Development ...... 62
REFERENCES 66
APPENDIX A: Conservation Status of Sierra Nevada National Forest-dwelling Aquatic & Riparian 85 Dependent Species of Special Concern
APPENDIX B: Detailed Comments on Individual Provisions of the 2004 Sierra Framework Aquatic 91 Management Strategy (AMS): Evaluation of the Framework AMS and Ancillary Guidance
APPENDIX C: Comparison of Base AMS Direction with Lassen Salmon Strategy 128
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 5 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future PART ONE : Key Findings Relevant to Aquatic and Riparian Ecosystems and the Conservation of National Forest in the Sierra Nevada
The following key findings are based on the scientific and natural resources policy literature, expert input and our own professional opinions. These findings inform the two later sections of this report: our evalua- tion of the adequacy of existing national forest management direction to protect and restore freshwater ecosystems (Part II) and our formulation of management recommendations for the future (Part III).
Sierra Nevada National Forest Watersheds and the Aquatic, Riparian and Meadow Ecosystems They Encompass Have High Ecological and Economic Value
The Sierra Nevada region of California encompasses an area approximately 400 miles long and 50 miles wide—about the size of Vermont and Maryland combined. This region is considered a Mediterranean- montane biome, in which flow regimes are episodic and characterized by high variability, with rain-driven instream flows in winter, snowmelt-driven from spring into summer, then hyporheic (subsurface) in late summer. The largest public landowner in California, including in the Sierra Nevada, is the Pacific Southwest Region of the USDA Forest Service. The Forest Service manages about 41% of the land base in the Sierra Nevada Ecoregion (Centers for Water and Wildland Resources 1996 (2), Ch. 23 [CWWR]).
Water is considered the most valuable commodity produced by the Sierra Nevada forest watersheds (Cal. Dept. of Forestry and Fire Protection 2003, Krieger 2001, Stewart 1996). As much as 65% of the water used in California originates in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (Timmer 2003). However, the aquatic and riparian areas of the Sierra Nevada are also very valuable as habitat, harboring much greater biodiversity than adjacent upland areas. While riparian areas, wetlands and freshwaters host many obligate species; they also provide significant food and habitat resources for many other species that predominantly inhabit upland areas. Nearly one-quarter of Sierran vertebrate species are closely associated with or dependent on riparian or wet areas, including eighty-three terrestrial vertebrate species considered dependent on riparian habitat to sustain viable populations (CWWR 1996, Vol.1 at 85). The aquatic biodiversity of the Sierra Nevada is even greater than presently recognized: the known taxonomic diversity of freshwater species in the Sierra Nevada region likely seriously under represents the true genomic diversity and the extent of highly local species and subspecific endemism, for example, in frogs (Lind et al. 2011) and espe- cially in some less-described groups such as aquatic invertebrates. For example, among 500–1000 aquatic macroinvertebrate taxa, it is estimated that at least 20% may be endemic to the Sierra Nevada region (Erman 1996, Frissell et al. 2012). Some aquatic invertebrate species are highly specialized and are found only in a few wetlands, springs or small streams. A full 79% of California fishes are state or regional endemics (Moyle et al. 2011).
Although it is difficult and possibly unwise to attempt to monetize the value of Sierra Nevada aquatic eco- systems for biodiversity, the high dollar value of the freshwater produced for consumptive uses is widely recognized, as is the value of national forest watersheds for water purification, water storage and flow attenuation/downstream flood control (Cal. Dept. of Water Resources 2009, (2): 23–25). Some studies have shown that investments in watershed protection and restoration result in significant savings to utilities in water treatment and filtration costs; for every $1 invested in forest and watershed protection, utilities save an average of $7.50 to $200 in treatment and filtration costs (Ernst 2004 and Reid 2001, Reid 1997). Conservation of water sources through forestland use policies is increasingly recognized as a logical and cost-effective strategy for maintaining urban water quality worldwide (Stolton and Dudley 2007).
The Survival of Aquatic and Riparian-dependent Species in the Sierra is Disproportionately Dependent on National Forest Lands
Freshwater ecosystems of the Sierra Nevada are highly altered. In 1996, the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Management Project (SNEP) found that “aquatic/ riparian systems are the most altered and impaired habitats of the Sierra” (CWWR 1996, at 8). Habitat degradation and fragmentation from mining, grazing, logging, road building and other land uses, the wholesale modification of flow regimes for water diver-
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 6 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future sion, storage and hydropower, and the widespread, largely intentional introduction of predatory non-native species, have all had major adverse impacts on native aquatic biodiversity. Today, all but one Sierra water- shed have major dams altering flow, (Sierra Nevada Alliance 1996) and only three rivers greater than 100 miles long are free-flowing: the Clavey, the Middle Fork Cosumnes and the South Fork Merced. (CWWR 1996, Ch.30 & 39). The vast majority of all waters bodies now support non-native species that compete with or prey on native fish or amphibians. Across Sierra Nevada taxa, fish and amphibians are more critically imperiled than known invertebrates, and far more imperiled than terrestrial plant species.
Native Fish at Risk
Native fishes have been declining for over a century and a half. Moyle et al. (2001) finds that fully 83% of California’s 129 described native fish are already extinct or likely to become so in the next decade. This includes the widespread extinction of ocean-going salmon and steelhead from most Sierra streams (Yoshiyama et al. 1998, Moyle 2002). Eighty-seven percent of native fish still extant are imperiled in some way (Moyle et al. 2011).
Only remnant, highly vulnerable salmon and steelhead populations remain in the Sierra. Although anadromous salmon and steelhead historically occupied major portions of the region, large hydropower generation and storage dams severely restrict the range of these iconic fish today (Yoshiyama et al. 2001; Figure 1: Map of Historic vs. Current Suitable Anadromous Fish Habitat). On Forest Service lands, salmon and steelhead populations exist in only three basins. Effective restora- tion of salmon to unoccupied habitats on even a limited basis could require a significant sacrifice of power production, and even then may not restore enough population resiliency to prevent further salmon extinctions given climate change (Thompson et al. 2011). Prospects for recovery of native salmon even within their Butte Creek is the limited remaining range within the Sierra Nevada are grave, and are likely to be largest Sierra Nevada further compromised by projected climate change. basin with extant Central Valley spring- Today, most historical spawning and rearing habitat in the Sacramento and run chinook salmon San Joaquin river basins is blocked by major dams, limiting usable habitat to 2 (over 2000km ). the mainstem Sacramento and a few lower river tributaries (Moyle et al. 2011, Once numbered NMFS 2005, Yoshiyama 2001, Yoshiyama et al. 1998). Salmon using this habitat at one million, only about 16,000 fish face not only degraded conditions, but also a forced overlap of their habitat survive to return to between spring- and fall-run salmonids. The best remaining habitat accessible spawning grounds to anadromous fish in the Sierra Nevada region is located in the undammed each year. Butte Creek’s headwater tributaries of Mill, Deer, and Antelope Creeks on the Lassen National headwaters originate Forest which support spring- and fall-run Chinook salmon as well as steelhead on the Lassen trout. Stream miles available to salmon are estimated as follows: Mill Creek, National Forest. 43 miles; Deer Creek, 25 miles, Antelope Creek, 7 miles (Armentrout et al. 1998 and U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service [USDA FS] 2001).
Even this habitat still is subject to a legacy of past and current management impacts. Ongoing impacts on Forest Service lands derive from timber harvest, wildfire, fire suppression, range management, roads, herbicide use, recreation, off-highway vehicle use, (legal and illegal), and collecting and looting (Armentrout et al. 1998).
The National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) and Forest Service Region 5 are actively collaborating on plans to reintroduce salmon to rivers identified in the draft Central Valley Salmon and Steelhead Recovery Pan (NMFS 2009). NOAA has identified Recovery Area Watersheds (Core Watersheds) and Reintroduction Area Watersheds (Primary), recommending that recovery actions in core watersheds be given near-term priority as essential to securing extant populations (NMFS 2009) (Table 2). Stabilizing a minimum neces- sary open road system and putting the rest of the roads into hydrologically safe storage is identified as a recovery need responding to the well recognized role of forest roads in causing erosion and sediment pollution of streams (NMFS 2009).
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 7 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future Interagency collaboration has also focused on improvements to and mitigation for facilities that are in the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) relicensing process. Providing listed fish species with passage above existing dams as part of a recovery strategy also creates new resource conflicts with recre- ational fishing, agency fish stocking programs, grazing management, fuel management, and timber harvest in some watersheds. In anticipation of the proposed salmon reintroductions, NMFS and the Forest Service Region 5 have drafted an MOU that addresses a streamlined ESA consultation process (Kellett 2012).
Figure 1. Historic versus current stream habitat available to anadromous fish in California’s Central Valley. Anadromous fishes are excluded or lost from more than 90% of their historic range by dams, diversions and other ecosystem alterations. (Source: R5 Fisheries, NOAA-NMFS)
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 8 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future Table 1. Central Valley Spring-run Chinook and Steelhead Core Recovery Populations in the Sierra Nevada (Source: NMFS 2009)
Core 1 Core 2 Core 3
Antelope Creek Antelope Creek Bear River Steelhead Spring-run Chinook Spring-run Chinook Steelhead
Mill Creek Big Chico Creek Big Chico Creek Spring-run Chinook Steelhead Spring-run Chinook Steelhead
Butte Creek Butte Creek Cosumnes River Spring-run Chinook Steelhead Steelhead
Lower Yuba River Lower Feather River Lower Mokelumne Spring-run Chinook Spring-run Chinook Steelhead Steelhead Steelhead
Calaveras River Lower American River Steelhead Steelhead
Lower Stanislaus River Steelhead
Lower Tuolumne Steelhead
Lower Merced Steelhead
Table 2. Priority Basins for Reintroduction of Spring Chinook (Ch) and Steelhead (St) in the Sierra Nevada (Source: NMFS 2009)
Primary Focus Secondary Focus
Upper Yuba River (Ch/St) North Fork Feather River (Ch/St)
Upper American River (St) Upper American River (Ch)
San Joaquin River [Friant-Merced] (Ch) Cosumnes River (St)
Upper Mokelumne (St)
Upper Stanislaus (St)
Upper Tuolomne (St)
Upper Merced (St)
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 9 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future Amphibians at Risk
Sierra Nevada amphibian species, many of which evolved in higher elevation (over 5000 feet) fishless streams and wet meadows, have experienced long-term population declines. A major factor is fish stocking: about 65% of lakes on Forest Service lands in the Sierra Nevada contain trout today due to stocking, but historically only 1% contained fish (CWWR 1996, (3): pp. 363–407). At least 50% of native amphibian taxa in the region are now at risk of extinction (CWWR 1996, Vol. 2). Foothill Yellow Legged Frog (Rana boylii) and the California red-legged frog (R. aurora draytonii) are once-common low-elevation dwellers that have been extirpated from 66% and 99% of their historic ranges, respectively (Jennings and Hayes 1994). Today, only one native amphibian—the Pacific chorus frog—is considered to have stable populations (Viers and Rheinheimer 2011). Climate change that causes shorter periods of snow cover, higher summer temperatures and larger annual temperature fluctuations will adversely affect amphibians directly and indirectly by increasing overlap and interaction with fishes and bullfrogs that prey on aquatic life stages.
National forest lands across the United States are in a position to serve as corner stones of many species’ conservation and recovery by providing refuge habitats, and this is especially true in the Sierra Nevada where native fish are endemic and ranges often are restricted to a single basin or stream. A number of fishes are found almost exclusively within national forest boundaries, including California’s state fish, the California golden trout. In addition, the current range of several endemic amphibians is sub- stantially associated with national forest lands. Eleven fish and three amphibians (California red- legged frog, mountain yellow-legged frog and A California red-legged frog. California tiger salamander) within the national forest planning area are formally listed under the ESA (Table, Key Aquatic, Riparian and Meadow- dependent species and conservation status, Appendix A). Forest Service lands are especially important to the nine fish and seven amphibians that occur largely or entirely on National Forest System lands. In all, national forests of the Sierra Nevada are home to fifty nine aquatic or riparian-dependent species with some kind of special conservation status according to a state or federal agency (Table, Appendix A). Six additional fish are considered at risk by the American Fisheries Society and/or by a recent University of California at Davis assessment of native fishes (Moyle et al. 2011).
Freshwater Ecosystems in the Sierra Nevada are Still Highly Degraded Despite Recent Changes in National Forest Management Direction and Watershed Restoration Efforts, and Face Continued Threats from Legacy Land Uses, Hydromodification, Non-native Incursions and Climate Change
Anadromous fishes, including salmon, steelhead, and Pacific lamprey, have been excluded or lost from more than 70% of their historic range in the Sierra Nevada by dams, diversions, and other ecosystem altera- tions (Katz et al. 2012). Among other associated ecological losses, this represents a large area with greatly reduced import of marine-derived nutrients.
Historical degradation of aquatic ecosystems in the Sierra has been caused by flow alteration to store and supply water for consumptive use and to generate power, watershed altering land uses such as logging, grazing, road building and mining and the widespread introduction of non-native species into water bodies (CWWR 1996, Vol. 2 at 1493).
A 1996 rating of 66 major aquatic habitat types found that almost two-thirds were declining in quality and abundance, and many are at risk of disappearing altogether (CWWR 1996, Vol. 2 at 47). Likewise, scoring of 100 Sierra Nevada streams were scored according to an Index of Biotic Integrity (systematic composite score of ratings for six variables that indicate the resemblance of present conditions in a watershed to
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 10 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future presumed pristine conditions) resulted in only seven watersheds with an “excellent” score, with 36 “good,” 48 “fair” and nine “poor” (CWWR 1996 Vol. 2 at 979, Moyle and Randall 1998, Moyle and Marchetti 1999).
Scaling down to the near-stream environment, riparian areas have been widely depleted of vegetation, most severely due to inundation from damming of over 600 miles of river (Kattelmann 1996). Riparian condi- tions are significantly worse on lower elevation private lands than on higher elevation public lands, where riparian forests have been extensively inundated or converted to agricultural or urban uses. For example, in the Central Valley, riparian forests historically covering 900,000 acres have been reduced to less than 100,000 acres (CDWR 2009 citing Barbour et al. 1993).
Dams and Diversions on Sierran Rivers and National Forest Lands
The majority of major waterways in the Sierra are transformed by impoundments, diversion and flow regu- lation. The few relatively high-integrity refugia that remain are within smaller tributary watersheds.
Dams have blocked access to approximately 90% of historic salmon habitat, extinguishing abundant spring Chinook salmon from the Sierras except in Deer and Mill Creeks, and undammed tributaries of the Sacramento River (CWWR 1996, Vol. 1 at 125). Over 120 hydroelectric operations exist in the Sierra Nevada, with literally thousands of smaller diversions. Although the largest dams are below national forest boundaries, 175 dams and reservoirs exist on Forest Service lands, including at least 68 involved in recent or upcoming FERC relicensing (SNFPA SIES 2004)1. These projects have numerous significant impacts on aquatic and riparian ecosystems, including disruption of stream flow, alteration of sediment transport, and detrimental changes in channel condition. The creation of gaps and blockages in riparian areas also disrupts travel by terrestrial and aquatic species along stream corridors creating fragmentation and loss of connec- tivity between habitats and populations, reducing life history and genetic diversity. Although national forest management plan standards cannot directly affect the operation of dams and diversions, early national forest manager involvement in federal licensing processes and the conscientious administration of special use permits for small hydroelectric projects can result in significant improvements for aquatic and riparian ecosystems on national forests.
Given the high societal investment in the extensive development of Sierra Nevada rivers and streams through dams and diversions, ecological restoration aspirations will likely need to be spatially targeted to specific reaches and systems where development of water storage and power generation is foregone to protect and foster biological diversity (Viers and Rheinheimer 2011, Null and Lund 2011).
1 Does not include projects on the Humboldt-Toiyabe National Forest.
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 11 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future Reduced timber, grazing and mining pressures—but impacts continue
In recent years, there has been reduced pressure and threat from mining, dredging, overgrazing, and clear-cut timber harvesting, likely leading to less erosion and sediment delivery, recovery of some riparian vegetation, and fewer direct pollution sources. However, management impacts continue and an urgent need to proactively address threats to aquatic ecosystems remains throughout the Sierra Nevada (Derlet et al. 2010, Moyle et al. 2008). While some recent reductions in harm have been caused by regulation and legal enforcement, most appear to be the indirect result of changing economic and social circum- stances. Such passive gains are easily reversed if protective measures are not formally institutionalized. The ongoing national forest management activities most closely linked to the welfare of native aquatic and riparian-dependent species are: grazing, mining, fish stocking, water diversion projects, roads, and forest fire suppression practices including mechanical fuels reduction. Fuels treatment is the primary active forest management activity increasingly practiced over large areas of the Sierra Nevada.
Land uses, including but not limited to grazing, can impact habitat heterogeneity across the landscape. For example, simple exclusion of cattle over short time frames or small areas likely may not allow restoration of the larger, whole-meadow-scale patterns of habitat heterogeneity and life history completion is neces- sary for amphibian recovery (Herbst et al. 2012).
As another example, while ponds (mostly on lower elevation, private lands) are critical for persistence of Sierra pond turtles, connectivity between ponds through flowing waters (some occurring on national forest lands) may be important for dispersal and recolonization; little is known with certainty about these factors (Frissell et al. 2012).
Climate Change and Population Growth Continue to Increase Pressure on Water Supplies and other Aquatic Ecosystem Services Derived from Sierran Watersheds
National forests have always been challenged to produce the various, often competing, outputs expected by society, with water being a leading output recognized in multiple governing statutes. However, climate change and population growth are increasing pressure on water resources.
Climate change is beginning to manifest itself as tangible alterations in even our most protected areas (Hobbs et al. 2010). Beyond 2050, it has been projected that climate change will eclipse land use change as the major driver of global biodiversity loss (Fischlin et al. 2007, Parry et al. 2007). For “Mediterranean climate systems” like those of the Sierra, many believe that climate change is already the leading culprit of native species declines.
Projected climate change is likely to have complex effects across the Sierra Nevada, given the region’s variability of elevation, topography, hydrology, soils, and vegetation, and the strong influence of large- scale circulation systems (Viers and Rheinheimer 2011). It is not possible to predict with great specificity the changes in water yield and aquatic ecosystems that will occur with climate change in the Sierra, but it is generally believed that more precipitation will fall as rain instead of snow—especially at middle eleva- tions—that spring snow melt will be earlier, and summer base flows will be lower. 2 Among the few consistent hydrological effects projected by current models (across montane regions of the western United States) is earlier snow melt leading to earlier runoff peaks and a longer season of baseflow recession, with a larger percentage of snowpack running off during rain-driven peak flow events. This creates increased risk of flooding, and more frequent and larger winter floods. In fact, snow melt is already demonstrated to be earlier in the Sierra (Peterson et al. 2008, Young et al. 2009, Null et al. 2010, Aplet et al. 2010, Kapnick and Hall 2009, and Medellin-Azuara et al. 2009). Storm events are expected to continue becoming more extreme and unpredictable. Increased sediment transport, erosion and deposition are other likely consequences of change in the peak flow regime of Sierra Nevada streams.
2 http://water/ca.gov/climatechange
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 12 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future A second likely effect of climate change is a longer season and increased intensity of evaporative and evapotranspirational demand for water, with the expectation of more rapid baseflow recession and pro- tracted low flow or dry-channel periods, and a greater incidence of critically dry water years. Adding to climate change pressures, the population of California is expected to reach almost 60 million by 2050, adding over 25 million since 2000 (CA Dept. of Fish & Game 2007). The management of water quantity for consumptive use will become even more challenging as the need to store water in wet months exceeds the capacity of current reservoir infrastructure (Viers and Rheinheimer 2011, Viers 2011).
Population pressures will lead to additional direct water quantity demand as well as indirect demands created by land development and increased fire suppression. Not only does conversion of forestland to non- forest uses reduce watershed storage capacity leading to more extreme highs and lows in water quantity, but growth in the wildland urban interface zone will increase societal pressure to control wildland fire. This pressure adds to the call for fire suppression already created by the larger and more severe fires accompanied by climate change.
High-integrity, natural watersheds likely have greater resilience and less vulnerability to climate change than highly altered watersheds with reduced alluvial groundwater storage and hyporheic buffering, and less intact native biota, particularly in the face of increasingly intense drought and flood extremes that heavily tax engineered systems. Some natural landscape features appear to confer natural resistance to streams against climate change and watersheds with these features could serve as refugia for native cold water species. These features include extensive north aspect watershed area, extensive groundwater con- tributing areas, extensive riparian forest cover and extensive meadow area (Frissell et al. 2012).
Given the high ecological value of naturally functioning watershed refugia in the face of climate change, new headwater storage projects should not be considered a viable alternative to conservation of these refugia if sustaining native species and natural production fisheries remains a goal and mandate of environmental management. Dams and reservoirs are anathema to the health of native fishes and amphibians globally; while changing operations of existing projects can help moderate some environmental and climate effects, new developments force the loss of natural mechanisms of resilience and the native biota dependent on them, not just in the immediate vicinity of the impoundment, but for many miles downstream (Null and Lund 2011, Viers and Rheinheimer 2011, Frissell et al. 2012).
Arguments that reserve-based strategies are destined to fail or are unnecessary do not prevail among aquatic scientists...
On National Forests, Some Watersheds are More Important than Others to the Conservation of Aquatic and Riparian-dependent Species and/or Constitute Priorities for Restoration Resources
As part of the Sierra Nevada Ecosystem Management Project, aquatic expert Dr. Peter Moyle proposed that in order to ensure the survival of the diverse communities of aquatic organisms found in the Sierra, ecosystems and habitats should be protected on a systematic basis, and proposed a system of watersheds and other areas in which aquatic diversity conservation would be the leading management goal (CWWR, Vol. 2, Ch. 57, at 1493, [recommending conservation areas should include representatives of the 160 habitat types described in Moyle and Ellison, 1991]). Moyle’s 1996 finding regarding the need for aquatic reserves still is valid, and new ecological information is consistent with the original tenets of this perspective (Frissell et al. 2012, Null and Lund 2011, Williams et al. 2011, Carroll et al. 2009, Moyle 2002 [some system of protected watersheds is “essential to provide minimum protection for California’s aquatic biodiversity for the next 50–100 years”]). In sum, arguments that reserve-based strategies are destined to fail, or are unnecessary do not prevail among aquatic scientists most familiar with Sierra Nevada ecosystems (Frissell et al. 2012).
Conservation of Freshwater Ecosystems on Sierra Nevada National Forests: 13 Policy Analysis and Recommendations for the Future Cumulative effects of human management propagate both across time with multiple actions and events within ecosystems and across space as more and more watersheds are subject to similar management and stressors (Warren 1979, Sedell et al. 1990). Sedell et al. (1990) were among the first to point out that certain watersheds with relatively limited human disturbance and certain other geohydrological features often provide regional refuge to sensitive species that are otherwise in regional decline. While watersheds per se were not the spatial units of analysis in this research, it strongly supports the importance of relatively intact areas within landscapes serving as refugia and anchors of potential future restoration (Noss ed., et al. 2006). These and other empirical examples abound reporting the close association of numerous imperiled species with particular endangered ecosystem types, most examples of which are today widely degraded from their historical condition. 3 Frisell and Carnefix, to use one example, reported significant association of higher densities of threatened bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) in Rock Creek (Montana) subwatersheds with high proportions of Wilderness and/or Inventoried Roadless Area (Frissell and Carnefix 2007).
We conclude there is strong empirical support for the protection of remaining relatively intact and unal- tered watersheds as refugia to protect high-quality habitat for imperiled species and allow them to serve as anchor points, or sources of sensitive species to recolonize surrounding areas as they are restored or recover from past disturbances (Yount and Niemi 1990, Li et al. 1995, Schlosser and Angermeier 1995, Frissell 1997, Frissell and Bayles 1996).
Very few of these high-value, high-priority watersheds are pristine; they have been subject to past distur- bance, often including some roads. The watersheds should be protected and restored to maintain their high value (Forest Ecosystem Management and Assessment Team [FEMAT] 1993, Moyle and Yoshiyama 1994, Frissell and Bayles 1996, Menning et al. 1996).
The key criteria for aquatic reserve system design are known
There is substantial literature describing the key criteria for design of an effective system of aquatic reserves at the landscape level (See general references cited above). Summarizing from Moyle (1996), with regard to identification of a system of Aquatic Diversity Management Areas: