water Article Modelling the 2012 Lahar in a Sector of Jamapa Gorge (Pico de Orizaba Volcano, Mexico) Using RAMMS and Tree-Ring Evidence Osvaldo Franco-Ramos 1,* , Juan Antonio Ballesteros-Cánovas 2,3, José Ernesto Figueroa-García 4, Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem 1, Markus Stoffel 2,3,5 and Lizeth Caballero 6 1 Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria Coyoacán, México 04510, Mexico;
[email protected] 2 Dendrolab.ch, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, 13 rue des Maraîchers, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland;
[email protected] (J.A.B.-C.);
[email protected] (M.S.) 3 Climate Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, 66 Boulevard Carl-Vogt, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland 4 Posgrado en Geografía Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria Coyoacán, México 04510, Mexico; ernestfi
[email protected] 5 Department F.-A. Forel for Environmental and Aquatic Sciences, University of Geneva, 66 Boulevard Carl-Vogt, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland 6 Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria Coyoacán, México 04510, Mexico;
[email protected] * Correspondence:
[email protected] Received: 18 December 2019; Accepted: 21 January 2020; Published: 23 January 2020 Abstract: A good understanding of the frequency and magnitude of lahars is essential for the assessment of torrential hazards in volcanic terrains. In many instances, however, data on past events is scarce or incomplete, such that the evaluation of possible future risks and/or the planning of adequate countermeasures can only be done with rather limited certainty.