Commissioning Draft Update Adult locality profiles: Houghton Regis area Primary overlap with Chiltern Vale PBC which also overlaps with as well as a very minor overlap with West Mids PBC.

Total population (2001): Central Houghton Regis total male female total 0-15 6,440 3,410 3,020 50,190 16-64 17,420 8,570 8,820 151,860 65+ 3,170 1,370 1,790 31,620 85+ 280 80 200 3,480 All ages 27,020 13.350 13,630 233,660 Source: 2001 Census. Numbers are rounded and may not add up exactly.

The 2007 population estimate for this area is 26,910. It is not possible to split this by age and gender.

Age profile:

Houghton Regis 23.8% 64.5% 11.7%

Central 21.5% 65.0% 13.5% Bedfordshire

0-15 16-64 65+ Source: 2001 Census

Ethnicity

Not white

4.5%

Largest ethnic Number of groups people

White British 24,890 (92.2%) White Irish 537 (2.0%) White Other 362 (1.3%) Indian 337 (1.2%) Black Caribbean 183 (0.7%) Mixed: white and 160 (0.6%) black Caribbean All other ethnicities 513 (1.9%) White 95.5% Source: 2001 Census Percentage of population whose ethnic group is not ‘white’, by age 7

Houghton Regis 6

5

% 4

3

2

1

0 Total population 0 -15 16 - pensionable age Pensionable age +

Source: 2001 Census

Home ownership

Rate of home ownership, by age group

100 Houghton Regis 90 Central Bedfordshire

80

70

60

% 50

40

30

20

10

0 All people 50 - 59 60 - 64 65 - 74 75 - 84 85+ Source: 2001 Census. Note: These figures include shared ownership

Unemployment in this locality was 4.1% of the working age population in January 2010. This was equal to 715 people. Unemployment for Central Bedfordshire as a whole was 3.0%. (Source: Jobseeker’s Allowance Claimant Count)

Deprivation In Central Bedfordshire, no small areas are within the worst 20% in using the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD). In the Houghton Regis locality, four small areas are in the top five most deprived in Central Bedfordshire. Two of these (Houghton Regis 602 and Houghton Regis 601, both in Parkside) are in the worst 10% in the . The remaining two (Houghton Regis 618 and Houghton Regis 619, both in Tithe Farm) are in the worst 10-20% in the East of England.

In terms of older people, two small areas in the Houghton Regis locality are in the ten worst in Central Bedfordshire. In Houghton Regis 602 (Parkside) 32% of older people live in income deprived households, while in Houghton Regis 580, 30% of older people live in income deprived households.

Notes on deprivation: • The index of multiple deprivation (IMD) calculates overall deprivation at small area level for the whole of England. • Older people’s deprivation is measured using the income deprivation affecting older people index (IDAOPI), also at small area level. • The small areas used to calculate deprivation (both IMD and IDAOPI) are called lower super output areas (LSOAs). There are 154 small areas in Central Bedfordshire. Each contains around 1,500 people. • Small areas are identified using the ward name and a three digit code.

Additional Information from Social Care, Health & Housing

Houghton Regis Over Over 75 Population

10000

8000

6000

4000

Population 2000

0 2009/Baseline 2015 Forecast 2020 Forecast 2025 Forecast 2030 Forecast Timeline

Percentage of Population Over 75

20.0%

15.0% Central Bedfordshire 10.0% Houghton Regis

Population 5.0%

0.0% 2009/Baseline 2015 Forecast 2020 Forecast 2025 Forecast 2030 Forecast Timeline

The over 75 population in Houghton Regis represents 10% of the total over 75 population in Central Bedfordshire.

Within Houghton Regis the over 75 population represents a lower proportion of the total population (5.7%) than the overall Central Bedfordshire average (6.4%) with this predicted to grow to 8.9% by 2030.

2009 Baseline - Care Capacity as a % of over 75 population

30.0% 25.0% 20.0% Central Bedfordshire 15.0% Houghton Regis 10.0%

Units/Beds 5.0% 0.0% % Residential % Nursing Care % Sheltered % Extra Care % Total Care Beds Beds Housing Units Housing Units Capacity Care Type

Central Bedfordshire Care Capacity by Type

10,000 8,000 Extra Care Housing Units 6,000 Sheltered Housing Units 4,000 Nursing Care Beds

Beds/Units 2,000 Residential Care Beds - 2009/Baseline 2015 2020 2025 2030 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Timeline

At present there is supported housing capacity in Central Bedfordshire for 1 in 4 of the over 75 population with the majority being sheltered housing. If we want to maintain the same level of supported housing we would need to provide an additional 4000 beds/units/alternative services across Central Bedfordshire with just under 250 of these within Houghton Regis.

Total Care Capacity as % of Over 75 Population

30.0% 25.0% 20.0% Central Bedfordshire 15.0% Houghton Regis 10.0% Units/Beds 5.0% 0.0% 2009/Baseline 2015 Forecast 2020 Forecast 2025 Forecast 2030 Forecast Timeline

The overall capacity of supported housing in Houghton Regis is significantly lower (13.4%) than the overall Central Bedfordshire Average (23.9%) with a higher than average proportion of extra care housing units and a lower than average proportion of all other types with no nursing care.

Future Priorities Given this analysis, the proposed short term priorities for this area are the development of sheltered and nursing care beds.