The Upstairs Market for Large-Block Transactions: Analysis and Measurement of Price Effects
The Upstairs Market for Large-Block Transactions: Analysis and Measurement of Price Effects Donald B. Keim University of Pennsylvania Ananth Madhavan University of Southern California, Los Angeles This article develops a model of the upstairs market where order size, beliefs, and prices are determined endogenously. We test the model’s predictions using unique data for 5,625 equity trades during the period 1985 to 1992 that are known to be upstairs transactions and are iden- tified as either buyer or seller initiated. We find that price movements prior to the trade date are significantly positively related to trade size, con- sistent with information leakage as the block is “shopped” upstairs. Further, the temporary price impact or liquidity effect is a concave func- tion of order size, which may result from up- stairs intermediation. We thank Margaret Forster, Thomas George, Larry Glosten, Gary Gorton, Larry Harris, David Mauer, Oded Sarig, Byron Snider, Chester Spatt (the edi- tor), and an anonymous referee for their helpful comments. Seminar partic- ipants at Boston College, Columbia University, INSEAD, London Business School, Ohio State University, Temple University, University of Maryland, University of Southern California, University of Wisconsin, Washington Uni- versity, the 1991 Johnson Symposium, the American Finance Association Meetings, and the European Finance Association Meetings provided many useful suggestions. We also thank Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc., for pro- viding us with the data used here, and the Q-Group and the Geewax-Terker Research Program at Wharton for their financial assistance. Edward Nelling and Pasi Hamalainen provided expert research assistance. Any errors are entirely our own.
[Show full text]