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Vietnam Telecommunications Report INCLUDES BMI's FORECASTS Q2 2012 www.businessmonitor.com VIETNAM TELECOMMUNICATIONS REPORT INCLUDES BMI'S FORECASTS ISSN 1748-4944 Published by Business Monitor International Ltd. VIETNAM TELECOMMUNICATIONS REPORT Q2 2012 INCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2016 Part of BMI's Industry Report & Forecasts Series Published by: Business Monitor International Copy deadline: March 2012 Business Monitor International © 2012 Business Monitor International. 85 Queen Victoria Street All rights reserved. London EC4V 4AB All information contained in this publication is UK copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 International, and as such no part of this publication Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in email: [email protected] whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any web: http://www.businessmonitor.com means graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher. DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. Vietnam Telecoms Report Q2 2012 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 2 Vietnam Telecoms Report Q2 2012 CONTENTS Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................................... 7 SWOT Analysis ................................................................................................................................................. 8 Vietnam Mobile SWOT .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 8 Vietnam Wireline SWOT ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 9 Vietnam Political SWOT ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Vietnam Economic SWOT .................................................................................................................................................................................... 11 Vietnam Business Environment SWOT................................................................................................................................................................. 11 Risk Reward Ratings ...................................................................................................................................... 12 Asia Pacific .......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 12 Table: Asia Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings ......................................................................................................................................................... 16 Vietnam ................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 17 Industry Forecast Scenario ........................................................................................................................... 19 Mobile ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data And Forecasts .................................................................................................................... 19 ARPU ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 21 Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile ARPU – Historical Data And Forecasts (US$) ............................................................................................... 21 Fixed Line ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 23 Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data And Forecasts............................................................................................................... 23 Internet ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 25 Table: Telecoms Sector – Internet – Historical Data And Forecasts ................................................................................................................... 25 Market Data Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 27 Mobile ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 27 Table: Vietnam Mobile Market, December 2010 ................................................................................................................................................. 28 3G ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 31 Mobile Contract Wins ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 35 Table: Mobile Contract Wins ............................................................................................................................................................................... 35 Mobile Operator Data .............................................................................................................................................................................................. 36 Table: Vietnam Mobile Market Overview ............................................................................................................................................................ 36 Mobile Content ......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 36 Regional Outlook ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 36 Table: Selected NFC Developments, 2011 ........................................................................................................................................................... 38 Country Outlook ....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 41 Value-Added Services Timeline............................................................................................................................................................................ 43 Table: Selected VAS Services ............................................................................................................................................................................... 43 Fixed Line ................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 44 Long-Distance Services ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 45 Fixed Wireless ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 45 Internet ................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 46 Broadband ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................
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