FSNAU Food Security and Nutrition Climate Data Update Analysis Unit - November, 2009 Issued December, 2009 Monthly Rainfall and NDVI

November ‘09: Monthly Rain Gauge Data (mm) November ‘09: Monthly Rainfall Estimates (mm)

Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden This report is a compilation of climate DJIBOUTI data on Somalia that FSAU and AWDAL BARI FEWS NET regularly review for analysis. SANAG Primary data sources are NOAA/USGC, W. GALBEED MARS-JRC and SWALIM. TOGDHEER SOOL

Maps and graphs in this bulletin are NUGAL produced from three sources: ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA • Current Rainfall Estimates and NDVI

data are derived from NOAA/CPC, Indian Ocean while the rain gauge data is collected GALGADUD by FAO-SWALIM • The seasonal profiles on page 2 Indian Ocean are produced in collaboration with BAKOOL HIRAN MARS-JRC. For more information

visit http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ M.SHABELLE mars/About-us/FOODSEC BAY • The Rainfall and NDVI long term trends are derived from NOAA L.SHABELLE AVHRR and SPOT VEGETATION. M. JUBA

For more information visit http:// L.JUBA earlywarning.usgs.gov/adds/ and http://www.fsausomali.org/fileadmin/ uploads/1308.pdf Source: Swalim Source: NOAA

Climate in Somalia is characterized by a bi-modal rainfall pattern with the Somalia Seasonal Time Line major “Gu” rains (April-June) and the “Deyr” rains (October-December). These rainy seasons are separated by two dry spells, “Jilaal” (January-March) and Deyr Rains Jilaal Dry Season Gu Rains Hagaa Dry Season “Hagaa” (July - September) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct

November ‘09: Dekadal Rainfall Estimates (RFE) November ‘09: Dekadal Rain Gauge Data (mm) 1st Dekad (1-10) 2nd Dekad (11-20) 3rd Dekad (21-31) Dekad Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden Station Name DJIBOUTI DJIBOUTI 1 2 3 Bari Awdal Bari Awdal Sanag Awdal Sanag Awdal Sanag Bari W. Galbeed W. Galbeed W. Galbeed Borama 0.0 0.0 7.0 Nugal Togdheer Togdheer Togdheer Bakool Sool Sool Sool Huduur n/a n/a n/a Nugal Nugal Mudug Bari ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA Bossasso 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mudug Mudug Qardo 0.0 0.0 0.0 Galgadud Galgadud Indian Galgadud Bay Ocean n/a n/a n/a Indian Hiran Indian Bakool Hiran Bakool Hiran Bakool Ocean Bardaale 48.0 0.0 0.0 Ocean Gedo Diinsor 88.0 0.0 0.0 M. Shabelle Gedo M. Shabelle M. Shabelle Bay Bay Gedo Gedo Bay Bardheere 32.5 61.5 0.0 L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle M. Juba L. Shabelle Luuq 43.5 0.0 2.5 M. Juba L. Juba Hiraan L. Juba L. Juba Belet weyne 19.5 0.0 6.0 Bulo burti 8.5 0.0 17.0 Jamame 43.0 0.0 0.0 November ‘09: Dekadal Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Afgooye 26.8 0.0 46.6 1st Dekad (1-10) 2nd Dekad (11-20) 3rd Dekad (21-31) Genale 17.0 0.0 20.5 DJIBOUTI DJIBOUTI Bari DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden Gulf of Aden Awdal Awdal Bari Awdal Marere 0.0 75.0 214.0 Sanag Sanag Sanag Sakow W. Galbeed Bari W. Galbeed W. Galbeed Nugal n/a n/a n/a Togdheer Sool Togdheer Sool Togdheer Sool Jowhar 8.0 0.0 16.0 Nugal Nugal Mudug ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA ETHIOPIA Mudug Mudug Galkayo 0.0 0.0 0.0 Mudug Nugaal Indian Ocean Galgadud Galgadud Garowe 0.0 0.0 49.0 Galgadud Sanaag Bakool Hiran Indian Ocean Bakool Hiran Indian Ocean Bakool Hiran Eeerigavo 0.0 0.0 4.0

Sool Gedo Bay M. Shabelle Gedo Gedo M. Shabelle Caynabo 0.0 0.0 0.0 Bay M. Shabelle Bay L. Shabelle Las Aanod 0.0 0.0 0.0 M. Juba M. Juba M. Juba L. Shabelle L. Shabelle Togdheer L. Juba L. Juba Burao 0.0 0.0 0.0 L. Juba W.Galbeed Hargeisa 0.0 0.0 2.0 *n/a: Data not available FSNAU Climate Data Update, November, 2009

Monthly Rainfall and NDVI Differences

November ‘09: Rainfall as % of Long Term Mean November ‘09: NDVI Absolute Difference from Long Term Mean Gulf of Aden DJIBOUTI DJIBOUTI Gulf of Aden

Awdal Bari Awdal Sanag Sanag W. albeed Bari Togdheer W. Galbeed Sool Togdheer Sool Nugal Nugal

Mudug ETHIOPIA Mudug ETHIOPIA Galgadud Galgadud Indian Ocean Bakool Bakool Hiran Hiran Indian Ocean Gedo Gedo M. Shabelle Bay Bay M. Shabelle L. Shabelle M. Juba M. Juba KENYA L. Shabelle L. Juba

L. Juba

Source: NOAA Source: SPOT

November ‘09: Rainfall station data as % of Long Term November ‘09: Rainfall station data Longterm Trend Data Mean (LTM) Station Name Monthly Total Monthly LTM % of LTM Gulf of Aden Awdal Borama 7 9 78 Bari Bossasso 0 3 0 Qardo 0 5 0 Bay Bardaale 48 80 60 Diinsor 88 98 90 Gedo Bardheere 94 116 81 Luuq 46 48 96 Hiraan Belet weyne 25.5 41 62 Bulo burti 25.5 61 42 Lower Juba Jamame 43 19 226 Lower Shabelle Afgooye 73.4 121 61 Genale 37.5 60 63 Indian Ocean Middle Juba Marere 289 87 332 Middle Shabelle Jowhar 24 75 32 Mudug Galkayo 0 15 0 Nugaal Garowe 49 5 980 Saanag Eeerigavo 4 5 80 Sool Caynabo 0 3 0 Las Aanod 0 10 0 Togdheer Burao 0 8 0 Wooqoi Galbeed Source: Swalim Hargeisa 2 8 25 *n/a: Data not available

Monthly Difference Maps The Mapped NDVI and RFE above represent the differences from Long term mean. SPOT-NDVI is presented as absolute difference from Long Term Mean for the same period (Current - Previous), while NOAA-RFE is presented as the relative dif- ference from Long Term Mean (Current*100/LTM).

Seasonal Trend Graphs The maps and graphs on the following pages (3-7) are produced in collaboration with the FOODSEC Action of the Joint Research Centre of the European Commision. The graphs present seasonal trends of crop specific NDVI (Normalised Dif- ference Vegetation Index) as lines and rainfall values (RFE) as bars for each of the delineated land cover and administrative units (Regions and Districts).

For more information or request on available data, please send an email to [email protected]. For information on FOODSEC Action of JRC, please refer to http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/mars/About-us/FOODSEC

2 FSNAU Climate Data Update, November, 2009

Seasonal Rainfall and NDVI Trends by Region

Agricultural Areas Pastoral Areas Togdheer Pastoral (Savannah)

Map 1 Map 2 DJIBOUTI

AWDAL AWDAL SANAG SANAG BARI BARI W. GALBEED W. GALBEED

TOGDHEER TOGDHEER SOOL SOOL

NUGAL NUGAL

MUDUG MUDUG

GALGADUD GALGADUD Saanag Pastoral (Savannah)

BAKOOL HIIRAN HIIRAN BAKOOL

M. SHABELLE GEDO M. SHABELLE GEDO BAY BAY

"/ BANADIR BANADIR L. SHABELLE M. JUBA L. SHABELLE M. JUBA Hagar

L. JUBA L. JUBA

Source: SWALIM Source: FAO-Africover

Gedo Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Galgadud Pastoral (Herbaceous) Nugal Pastoral (Herbaceous)

Hiran Agropastoral (Rainfed) Middle Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed) Lower Shabelle Riverine (Irrigated)

Lower Shabelle Agropastoral (Rainfed) Bay Agropastoral (Rainfed) Bakool Agropastoral (Rainfed)

3 FSNAU Climate Data Update, November, 2009

Seasonal Rainfall and NDVI Trends for Agricultural Areas by District Agricultural Areas Livelihood Zones

Source: SWALIM

Tieglow (Bakool) and Dolow (Gedo) Districts - Agropastoral

Tieglow Agropastoral (Rainfed) Dolow Riverine (Irrigated)

Dinsor and Baidoa Districts (Bay) - Agropastoral

Dinsor Agropastoral (Rainfed) Baidoa Agropastoral (Rainfed)

4 FSNAU Climate Data Update, November, 2009

Seasonal Rainfall and NDVI Trends for Agricultural Areas by District

Sakow and Jamame Districts (Juba) - Agropastoral

Sakow Agropastoral (Rainfed) Jamame Riverine (Irrigated)

Merka and Barawe Districts (L.Shabelle) - Agropastoral

Merka Riverine (Irrigated) Barawe Agropastoral (Rainfed)

Jowhar and Adale Districts (M.Shabelle) - Agropastoral

Jowhar Agropastoral (Rainfed) Adale Agropastoral (Rainfed)

Gebiley and Hargeisa (W.Galbeed) - Agropastoral

Hargeisa Agropastoral (Rainfed) Gebilley Agropastoral (Rainfed)

5 FSNAU Climate Data Update, November, 2009

Seasonal Rainfall and NDVI Trends for Pastoral Areas by District

Pastoral Areas Livelihood Zones

Source: FAO-Africover

Afmadow (Juba) and Elwak (Gedo) Districts - Pastoral

Afmadow Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Elwak Pastoral (Herbaceous)

Elberde (Bakool) and BuloBurti (Hiran) Districts - Pastoral

Elberde Pastoral (Open Shrubs) Bulo burti Pastoral (Herbaceous)

6 FSNAU Climate Data Update, November, 2009

Seasonal Rainfall and NDVI Trends for Pastoral Areas by District

Taleh and Lasanod (Sool) Districts - Pastoral

Taleh Pastoral (Savannah) Lasanod Pastoral (Herbaceous)

Cardo (Bari) and Eyl (Nugal) Districts - Pastoral

Cardo Pastoral (Savannah) Eyl Pastoral (Savannah)

Elafweyn (Sanaag) and Burao (Togdheer) Districts - Pastoral

Elafweyn Pastoral (Savannah) Burao Pastoral (Herbaceous)

Abudwak (Galgadud) and Jariban (Mudug) Districts - Pastoral

Abudwak Pastoral (Herbaceous) Jariban Pastoral (Herbaceous)

Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit - Somalia (FSNAU), P.O. Box 1230, Nairobi, Kenya. Tel: +254 722 - 202 146/ 733 - 616 881/ 20 4000500, Email: [email protected], Website: www.fsnau.org Technical and Funding Agencies Managerial Support 7