AEROTROPOLI:CITIES MaxMoore-Wilton,AC Chairman SydneyAirportCorporationLimited Chairman MacquarieManagementLimited CapitalsAlliance2007 ContemporaryNationalCapitals:Plan,Promote,Enhance,Maintain Canberra Monday22January2007 BrieffromtheConferenceChairman: “Contributor,competitor,misunderstoodormisused.Whatistheroleofaerotropolisesin thefutureofourcities?Howdotheyimpactonthestructureofourcities?Understanding andembeddingthechangingnatureofairportsandtheirroleinthebroaderurbanformis achallengewhichneedstobebetterunderstood.Innationalcapitals,airportsarealso majorgatewaystothecitywhichinfluenceaccessibility,perceptionsandtourism.”

-1- TheRiseofthe Aerotropolis LastmonththeNewYorkTimesnominatedthe“aerotropolis”asoneofthe“Ideasof 2006”. Itseemsthateveryoneistalkingaerotropolioraerotropolises:itisanideawhosetimehas come. Theterm“aerotropolis”,literally“airportcity”,hasbeenpopularisedbytheAmerican academic,DrJohnKasarda,toexplainthefactthatairportsaremuchmorethantheyused tobe. Heusesthetermaerotropolistorecognisethefactthatinadditiontotheirtraditional aviationservices,majorairportshavedevelopedsignificantnon-aeronauticalcommercial facilities,servicesandrevenues.Theyarenowmulti-functionalurbancentres. Becauseofthis,andotherchangesintheglobal,airportsareextendingtheir reachandimpactwellbeyondtraditionalairportboundaries. Anacademicurbanplanner,DrKasarda’spointisthatinaglobalisedeconomy,major airportsareadecisivefactorinaneconomy’ssuccess,andtheirimportanceisdrivingthe developmentofcitiesinthe21 st century. DrKasardahaspredictedthatbecauseofthecombinationofglobalisationandtimebased competition,the21 st centuryissettobecomeanaviationcentury. AerotropoliandtheCityStates Themostdevelopedexamplesofaerotropoliaretobefoundintherisingof AsiaandtheMiddleEast–andtypicallyincitystatessuchasHongKong,Singapore,and Dubai. • HongKongInternationalAirportopenedinthe1990swithatotalprojectcostof US$20billion.Theairportfeaturesa550,000squaremeterterminalwithahigh qualityfocusoninternationalbrands.Theairportfeatureshotels,extensive commercialandfreightfacilities,aswellas,expresstrainandferrylinksto Kowloon,HongKongIslandandmainlandChina.Alsoincludedareresidential housing,leisureandentertainmentfacilitiesincludingagolfcourseanda convention-exhibitioncentre. • Onceitslatestupgradeiscomplete,Singapore’sChangiAirportwillhavethe capacitytohandle64millionpassengersayear–whichis16timesSingapore’s population.Theairportfeaturessupermarkets,a350roomhotel,cinemas, swimmingpool,saunasandarooftopcactusgarden.Itislinkedtothecityof Singaporebyanewtrainline.Thereisalsoastrongfocusonindustrywiththe extensiveChangiAirfreightCentreandaFreeTradeZonecalledtheAirport LogisticsParkofSingaporelocatedalongsidetheairport. • Tenyearsago,DubaiInternationalAirporthandled8millionpassengersannually. Sincethen,ithasgrownby300%to25millionpassengers.By2025,thereare forecaststhatitwillhave100millionpassengers–makingitthebusiestairportin theworld.Itisthecentreofsignificanteconomicactivity,includingtheDubai

-2- AirportFreeZoneandtheDubaiCargoVillage.Thereismajorinvestment underwaywithanewpassengerterminalfeaturingahotel,casino,healthcluband retailfacilities,a“MegaCargoTerminal”,andarailconnectiontothecitybeyondall underconstruction. Theseaerotropolihavesomecommonfeaturesunderpinningtheirgrowthandsuccess. Firstly,theyarehubairportsthatareusedbyairlinestotransferpassengersfromoneflight toanothertogettotheirdestination.HongKong’sambitionistobeAsia’s‘superhub’, whileDubai’sgoalistobethe‘mostadvancedaviationhub,notjustintheregion,butin theworld.’ Second,eachisalsohomebasetotheirnationalcarrier:HongKonghasCathayPacific, DubaihasEmiratesandChangihasSingaporeAirlines. Third,theairportsarealsoofgreateconomicvaluetotheircitystates.ChangiAirportis estimatedtogeneratearound9%ofSingapore’sGDP. Fourth,eachairportisessentiallycontrolledanddevelopedbytherelevantgovernment. Thesefourfactorsarenotacoincidence.Theyhighlightthefactthatthesemajorairports arecentraltoexplicitstrategiesofnationaleconomicdevelopment.Theaimistocapture thebenefitsoftrade,ofthemovementoflargenumbersofpeopleandcargo,tothebenefit oftheirrelativelysmalllocalpopulations. Theairportsare“nationalchampions”andarebeingdevelopedbythosegovernmentsas partofstrategiesfornationaleconomicdevelopment. Singapore’sLeeKuanYewhassaidthatChangi’s “airhubstatusdidnotcomeaboutbychance.Wewerehandicappedbyoursmall domesticbaseandnotespeciallyfavouredbygeographicalposition.Tosucceed, weofferedbetterservicesthanourcompetitorsandbetterconnectivity.” Theseairportcitystatesareobviouslycreaturesoftheaviationage,butinanotherrespect theyarefollowingthefamiliarhistoricalpatternsofcitiesarisingalongtraderoutes,at harboursand,andalongrail-lines. DifferentReasonsinEurope TheriseoftheaerotropolisbeganinEuropeinthe1980sandairportsacrossEuropehave continuedtodevelopandgrowsincethen. Europeishometothebusiestinternationalairportintheworld,BAA’sLondonHeathrow. BAAwasprivatisedinthemid-1980sandnowownsandoperates7airportsintheUKand hasairportmanagementcontractsatairportsaroundtheworld. Heathrowisamajoreconomicentity–indeeditsnewTerminal5isthelargest constructionprojectinEurope.Itsintenseconnectivitywithdestinationsacrosstheworld hasmadeitahighlyattractivelocationforlogisticsandtimecritical.Itisfor thisreasonthatthemostexpensiveindustrialrealestateintheworldislocatedalongside Heathrow.HoweverthereareproblemsemergingwithcongestionatHeathrow.

-3- ElsewhereinEurope,theaerotropolisisbeingdevelopedinwayswhichreflectnational circumstances: • Amsterdam’sSchipholairporthasdevelopedofficecomplexes,hotels,anda logisticspark.ItalsohasamuseumandaDutchMastersGallery.58,000people areemployedonthegroundsoftheairport.Itisoneofthe10busiestairportsin theworld.NationalandregionalgovernmentsmaintainownershipofSchiphol, whichhasalsotakenownershipstakesinotherairports,includinginAustralia. • FrankfurtAirportisamajorEuropeanhubandisalsooneofthe10busiestairports intheworld.Italreadyhasextensiveoffice,cargoandcommercialdevelopment andlastyearitacquiredfacilitiesthatwerepreviouslyhometotheUnitedStates military.Massivenewinvestmentsareplannedforthislandbank. InAsiaandtheMiddleEast,theroleofgovernmentinowningandbuildingtheairportsas “globalchampions”ofnationaleconomicdevelopmenthasbeencritical. InEurope,thetrendisdifferent.Insteadofbeingdependentongovernment,ithasbeen largelygovernment’sdecisiontowithdrawfromtheirlegacyofdirect100%ownershipthat isdrivingthedevelopmentoflargeairports.AcrossEurope,governmentshaveeither partiallyorfullyprivatisedahostofairportsincluding:Vienna,Frankfurt,Rome,Brussels, Hamburg,Dusseldorf,Copenhagen,Budapest,HeathrowandtheotherBAAairports. Ofcourse,MacquarieAirportshasbeensignificantlyinvolvedintheseEuropean developments.InadditiontoitsmajorityownershipofSydneyAirport,MAphaspurchased stakesinairportsatBrussels,CopenhagenandRome;andBirminghamandBristolinthe UK. Theairports’newprivateowners,havingpurchasedtheassetsfromtheGovernmentata commerciallycompetitiveprice,haveanunambiguousincentivetofurtherdevelopthe airportstorecovertheirinvestmentandearnagoodreturn. Privateownershavethemotivationtolookfornewopportunitiestoprovidetheservices thatpeoplewant.Iftheycandothissuccessfullytheywillgenerateincreasingreturns. Thisinvolveslookinganewatassetsandfacilitiesthathavebeenunder-developed,and actingtorealisetheirinherentpotential. Allofthisinnovationinvolvesrisk–someoftheinvestmentswillbeacommercialsuccess, andsomeotherswon’t.Thesearecommercialrisksthatthegovernmentsectordoesnot needtofullycarry,andhencethedecisiontoprivatise. InAmerica,mostairportsareownedorcontrolledbylocalorregionalauthorities. TheUnitedStates,likeAustralia,isaFederalsystem.TheU.S.Governmentregulates andbasicallyunderwritesthefundingofU.S.airports.WhileAmericahassomeofthe largestairportsintheworldtheyaregenerallynotseenasbeingatthecuttingedgein termsoftheireconomicdevelopment. Theyneitherenjoythestatusandbenefitsthataccruefrombeingthenationalchampion, butnordotheygetthebenefitsthatarisefromhavingactiveandwillingprivatesector ownerswhooperatewithaclearsetofincentives.

-4- RecentlytherearesomesignsthatairportmanagementsincertainU.S.citiesareseeking toprovidemorecommerciallyrelatedancillaryservices.Moreover,afewsmallercity airportsarebeingconsideredforprivatisation.InthecaseoftheU.S.Ithinkwehaveto “watchthisspace”. SydneyasaGlobalCity So,howdoesthisconceptoftheaerotropolisfitSydneyandAustralia? Firstly,rememberthatinaglobalpopulationof6.7billion,Sydney’spopulationof4.3 millionisrelativelysmall. Sydneyisalsolocatedmanythousandsofkilometresawayfromthemajoreconomiesof EuropeandNorthAmerica,althoughclosertodevelopingAsianeconomies. Inthemodernglobalisedeconomy,Sydney’seconomicimportanceandsuccessis thereforenot determinedbyitsdemographicsignificancenoritscentrallocation. WhileSydneyAirportactsasamini-hubfortheAustralasian,itisnotatruehub likeChangiorHeathrow.TheroutestoAustraliaaretoolongandthinforittobesuitable asaglobalhub.Instead,themarketinAustraliaischaracterisedbyoriginanddestination flights. Increasinglyhowever,Sydney’seconomicsuccessdoesdependonthequalityofits connectionstootherpopulationsandeconomies. Thisgoessomewaytoexplainthefactthat,despitethelimitsofarelativelymodestsized populationbaseandthefactthatitisnotagenuinehub,SydneyAirportusuallyranks amongthe30busiestairportsintheworld. SydneyisthecapitalofNewSouthWales.ItisalsothelargestcityinAustraliawithabout 20%ofallAustralianscallingithome. WhileCanberraisformallythenationalcapital,Sydneyisthefinanceandcapital andAustralia’sleadingcity.ItistheeconomicpowerhouseofthenationandAustralia’s onlyglobalcity.Somekeystatisticsunderlinethispoint:

• Sydneyistheregionalheadquarterstomorethan500globalcorporations operatingintheAsiaPacificregion.

• Sydney'seconomyisestimatedtoaccountforalmostonequarterofAustralia’s GDP.

• SydneyisAustralia’spremiertouristdestinationwith2.93millioninternational visitorseachyearandgloballyrecognisedattractionssuchastheSydneyOpera HouseandtheSydneyHarbourBridge

-5- • TheGrossStateProductofNewSouthWalesis$310billion,meaningthatthe regionaleconomyislargerthanthoseofHongKong,Thailand,Singapore, Malaysia,NewZealandorthePhilippines.

• Sydney'smulticulturalworkforceisideallysuitedtotheglobaleconomywith180 differentethnicgroupsandover140languagesspoken.

SydneyAirporthandles46%ofallAustralianinternationaltraffic-some9.8million passengersinthelastfinancialyear.

Intotal,lastfinancialyearSydneyAirportmanaged282,649aircraftmovementsand29.1 millionpassengers.Itserves43airlinesandconnectsto:

• 50internationaldestinations

• 21domesticdestinationsand

• 27regionaldestinations

TheairportisamajoreconomiccontributortoSydney.Itprovidesdirectemploymentfor morethan60,000peopleandmakesacontributionof$6.6billiontotheGrossState ProductofNSW.

Asanairportservingwhatisanessentiallyorigin/destinationmarket,itiswellplacedto benefitfromthegrowthofthelowcostcarriersthatareemergingaroundtheworldand particularlyinAsia.Sofar,lowcostcarriershavenothadtheequipmenttolong hauldestinationssuchasSydney.Howeverthisequipmentisstartingtobecome available.

Byincreasingtheaffordabilityandaccessibilityofinternationalflyingtheadventofthelow costcarrierisdemocratisingtheentireindustryandopeningtheworlduptomanymore peoplethancouldpreviouslyaffordtoregularly.

IsSydneyAirportanAerotropolis?

WhileSydneyAirporthasanundoubtedeconomicimportance,canitbeunderstoodas oneofDrKasarda’saerotropoli?

OneofthecriteriaDrKasardalaysoutforanaerotropolisisthatithassignificantnon- aeronauticalcommercialfacilities,servicesandrevenues.

ThisiscertainlythecaseatSydney.Forthefinancialyear2005-06revenuesfromnon- aeronauticalsources,suchasretail,property,carparkingandcommercialtrading accountedfor52%ofSydneyAirport’sbusiness.

-6- Thisisexpectedtogrowinthefutureasnewdevelopments,likethe$20million redevelopmentofourT2terminalcomesonstream.Thisworkisnearlycomplete,and involvesincreasingthenumberofretailoutletsfrom23to53,includingapub.Themodern flyerisnotacamel.

Thisdiversificationisimportantforairportsasarelianceononerevenuestreamleavesan airportextremelyvulnerabletotheexternalshocksthathave,unfortunately,beena characteristicoftheaviationindustryoverrecentyears.Thediversificationofactivitiesand revenuesmeansthatanairporthasthecommercialresiliencetowithstandtheshocks causedbyterrorism,theAnsettcollapse,SARS,andbirdflu.

OneoftheothercriteriaforanaerotropolisthatDrKasardahassetoutisthatitextendsits reachandimpactwellbeyondairportboundaries.

ThisisalsocertainlythecaseforSydneyAirport. Injustthelast8yearsbillionsofdollarshavebeenspentonnewtransport thathascloselyintegratedSydneyAirporttobothSydney’sCBDanditsgreater metropolitanregion. • 1999:TheAirportMotorwayCompanyopenedtheEasternDistributortogivethe CBDandofthenorthshoreexpressaccesstotheairport. • 2000:TheAirportRailLinkwasopenedproviding,forthefirsttime,railaccessto theairportfromtheCBDthroughtheEastHillsline. • 2001:TheNSWGovernmentopenedtheM5Eastprovidingmotorwayaccessto theairportfromtherapidlyexpandingsouthwesternsuburbs,theM5andHume Highway. • 2005:TheCrossCityTunnelopened,providingimprovedaccesstotheairportfrom theincreasinglyaffluentsuburbsoftheinnerwest. • 2005:TheWestlinkM7openedprovidinguninterruptedmotorwayaccesstothe airportforhundredsofthousandsofpeopleinthewesternsuburbsofSydney, includingthelogisticshubsaroundEasternCreek,ErskineParkandWetherillPark. • 2007:NextmonththeLaneCoveTunnelwillopenprovidinganuninterruptedtripto theairportfromthefastgrowingbusinessparksaroundRyde,MacquarieUniversity andNorwest.

ThecompletionoftheLaneCoveTunnelalsomarksthecompletionoftheSydneyOrbital motorwaynetwork.Theairportisakeydestinationservedbytheorbital–whichinfact passesrightunderthemainrunway.

Injusteightyears,theairporthasbecomemoreconnected,moreinterlinked,withthe workingsofSydneythanmanywouldhaveconsideredachievableinthemid-1990s.

-7- Thescaleofthechangeisdramatic.In1995,theM5SouthWestMotorwaycarriedan averageof45,000vehicleseachday.By2005,thisfigurehadmorethandoubledto 105,000.

AmajorexpansionofBotanyhasrecentlybeenapprovedandthereareother transportprojectsstillonthedrawingboard:

• M4EasttoimproveaccessfromParramattaandthewesternsuburbstotheairport andPortBotany.

• F6NorthtoimproveaccesstotheairportandCBDfromtheIllawarraandSydney’s southernsuburbs.

• TheproposedSouthernSydneyFreightLinefromMacarthurtoSeftontofacilitate theincreaseduseofrailforthemovementoffreightfromPortBotany–andrelieve congestionaroundtheairport.

FutureDevelopments

Thisaccessibilityandconnectednessisdeterminingthepatternsofdevelopmentaround theairportandaroundSydney.Thereareothermajorprojectseitheralreadyunderway,or welladvancedintheirplanningstage:

• NorthArncliffeRedevelopment:Alreadywellunderway,thisisamajorurban renewalprojectlocatedwithineasyjoggingdistanceoftheairport.Itisplannedto createacommunityofapproximately8,000residents.

• CooksCove:ThisredevelopmentisacrosstheCooksRiverfromtheInternational Terminalandinvolvesdevelopinga22hectare“andtechnology gateway”thatisprojectedtoprovideemploymentfor11,500people

• GreenSquareUrbanRenewalArea:ThisprojectaimstoredevelopGreenSquare, locatedbetweentheAirportandtheCBD,sothatby2021itwillbehometomore than33,000people,withmorethan28,000peopleexpectedtobeworkinginthe area.Thetotalcommercialandretailfloorspaceisestimatedat900,000square metres.

Inaddition,thefuturedevelopmentofSydneyAirportitselfwillfurtherboosttheeconomic contributionthattheairportmakestoSydney.SydneyAirportwillinvest$1.256billionof capitalexpenditureintheyears2007-11.

TherewillbeasignificantexpansionoftheInternationalTerminal,aswellas$300million fornon-aerocommercialandpropertyinvestments.

-8- SydneyAirporthasarangeofkeydevelopmentopportunities.Thereare70hectares suitedto,andmasterplannedfor,non-operationallanduses,including:

• InternationalPrecinct:120,000squaremetresoffloorspaceforoffice/hotelsites

• DomesticPrecinct:120,000squaremetresoffloorspaceacross12sites

• SouthernPrecinct:BusinessParkopportunities

• NorthernPrecinct:Freightdevelopment

• AMajorDevelopmentProposalforaretaildevelopmentinthesouthernsectoris currentlybeingconsideredbytheFederalGovernment.

Giventheairport’sstrategiclocation,just8kilometresfromSydney’sCBDandservedby multiplemodesoftransport,thisisanimpressivelystrategicandhighlyattractivelandbank fordevelopmentthatwillfurthersupportthemulti-functionalcharacteroftheairport.

ThisisallinaccordwithDrKasarda’sprescriptionsofanaerotropolis.Withtheairportat thecoreandbusinessandresidentialdevelopmentsradiatingoutwards,allsupportedby theimprovedsuiteoftransportfacilities,thekeydriverisnot“location,location,location”– but“accessibility,accessibility,accessibility”.

RegulationoftheAerotropolisoftheFuture

Aspartofafederalsystemofgovernment,alldevelopments,bothaeronauticalandnon- aeronautical,atAustralianairportsareregulatedandcontrolledthroughnational legislation.TheAirportsAct1996hasasoneofitsobjects:

“Topromoteefficientandeconomicdevelopmentandoperationofairports”

ThelegislationmadebythenationalParliamentexplicitlysupportstheeconomic developmentofairports.

ToachievethistheActprovidesforextensivepublicconsultationthroughtheMasterPlan, MajorDevelopmentPlanandEnvironmentStrategyprocesses,withthesedocuments beingavailableforpublicandstakeholdercommentforperiodsof90days.TheFederal MinisterforTransporthastheapprovalpowerfortheseplansandtheAustralian Government’sDepartmentofTransportandRegionalServiceshastheresponsibilityfor enforcementoftheActandRegulations.

Giventheeconomicresourcesthatareatstake–andthewayairportslinkcitiesaround thenation,andaroundtheworld,-thisisasitshouldbe.

Iaskanyonetoseriouslycontemplateanalternativeregulatorymodelthatinvolvedlocal andstategovernmentparticipationinthesupervisionofairports.Theregulatoryconfusion -9- wouldparalysetheprocessandcreateuncertainty.Itwouldundermineinvestment confidenceandstifletheeconomicdevelopmentthatthenationalParliamentwantstosee.

Unfortunatelyoneofthecorollariesofafederalsystemisthatstateandlocalgovernments generallydonotseethevalueofeconomicactivitygeneratedbymajorairports.Theyare muchmoreconcernedbylocalinterestswhoseeairportsasprincipallyprovidingservices tolocalandregionaltravellers.

InawayitismorethehonouringofauniquelyAustraliantradition:non-cooperative federalism.Itsmostfamousproductwas,ofcourse,theAustralianrailwaysystemwithits multiplicityofgauges.

MarkTwaincertainlyenjoyedthejoke.In1897,hevisitedAustraliaandtravelledbetween SydneyandMelbourneandgottoexperiencethejoysofanationaltransportsystemthat wasnotnationallyregulated:

Nowcomesasingularthing:theoddestthing,thestrangestthing,the mostbafflingandunaccountablemarvelthatAustralasiacanshow.Atthe frontierbetweenNewSouthWalesandVictoriaourmultitudeofpassengers wereroutedoutoftheirsnugbedsbylantern-lightinthemorninginthe biting-coldofahighaltitudetochangecarsonaroadthathasnobreak initfromSydneytoMelbourne!

Thinkoftheparalysisofintellectthatgavethatideabirth;imaginetheboulderit emergedfromonsomepetrifiedlegislator'sshoulders. Itisanarrow-gaugeroadtothefrontier,andabroadergaugethenceto Melbourne.Thetwogovernmentswerethebuildersoftheroadandarethe ownersofit.Oneortworeasonsaregivenforthiscuriousstateof things.Oneis,thatitrepresentsthejealousyexistingbetweenthe colonies-thetwomostimportantcoloniesofAustralasia.Whattheother oneis,Ihaveforgotten.Butitisofnoconsequence.Itcouldbebut anotherefforttoexplaintheinexplicable.

Inaglobalisedworld,thereisnocasetobemadeforaretreattoparochial19 th century regulationofmajortransportandeconomicinfrastructure.

WorkingTogether

Thetermaerotropolisisausefulonetocaptureattentionandtodescribetheeconomic benefitsthatamajorairportproducesforthecommunity.

-10- Asuccessfulairportisclearlyadriverofacity’sandregion’seconomicperformance.This isthethinkingthathasunderpinnedthedevelopmentofairportsinSingapore,HongKong andDubai.

Butequally,asuccessfulandproductivecitywilldeterminetoasignificantdegree,an airport’sperformance.Theneedforamutuallysupportiverelationshipbetweentheairport andSydneyhasbeenrecognisedintheNSWMetropolitanStrategy’s‘CityofCities’which hasidentifiedSydneyAirportasa‘specialisedcentre’thatperformsvitaleconomicand employmentroles.

Butmorethanthat,theStrategyalsoidentifies‘Sydney’sglobalarc’,-acorridorthatruns fromMacquariePark,toNorthSydney,totheCBDthatislinkedtotheAirport-asa criticalfeatureofSydney’sandAustralia’seconomy.TheStrategydescribesSydney’s globalarcasbeing:

“builtonthebenefitsthatinvolvedinsuchareasasfinance,legal services,informationtechnology,engineeringandmarketinghavederivedfrom beingneartoeachandto transportinfrastructuresuchastheairport .”

Co-operationandconsultationbetweenairportoperators,aviationregulatorsand governmentplanningagenciesisanincreasinglyimportantrequirementiftheaerotropolis ofthefutureistomeetitsfullpotentialtodrivehightechnologyservicesoriented development.PrivatecapitalisanessentialelementoftheAustralianmodel.Giventhe demandsonGovernmentinmostdevelopednationsforincreasinglevelsofservice,Ido notseeareversiontostateownershipofmajorprivatisedairports.

Thechallengeistoensurethatanappropriatebalanceisfoundtoenable owners/shareholderstoachievecommercialreturnswhileprovidinganappropriaterange ofeconomicservicestoairportusersandrelatedindustries.

Thankyou.

-11-