Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Thursday, 27 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs

ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Thursday, 27 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Weather Watch :- Extremely heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over Chhattisgarh. Very Heavy rainfall occurred at few places over Chhattisgarh. Heavy rainfall occurred at few places over Chhattisgarh & at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh. Thunderstorm observed at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, & Chhattisgarh. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at most places over Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha. Monsoon Watch :- Monsoon been active over Chhattisgarh.. Inference:- The depression over southeast Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood now seen as a well marked low pressure area over northeast Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood with associated upper air cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 km above mean sea level. The upper air cyclonic circulation over East Rajasthan & neighbourhood now lies over central parts of Rajasthan & neighbourhood and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level. The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Jaisalmer, Sheopur, centre of well marked low pressure area over northeast Madhya Pradesh, Purulia, Digha and thence southeastwards to northeast Bay of Bengal and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level. The western disturbance as a trough in mid¬tropospheric westerlies roughly along Longitude 77.0°E and north of Latitude 32.0°N above mean sea level has moved away east¬northeastwards. A fresh Western Disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation lies over western parts of Afghanistan & neighbourhood and extends upto mid¬tropospheric levels.An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Gujarat region & neighbourhood between 4.5 km and 5.8 km above mean sea level.over Gujarat region & neighbourhood between 4.5 km and 5.8 km above mean sea level.

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Gwalior recorded the highest maximum temparature of 33.5 degree celsius. Damoh recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 18.8 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- KHANDWA-AWS -- 9; SINGRAULI-AWS -- 8; HARSUD-ARG MHOW SIDHI-AWS -- 5each; MAHESHWAR MANAWAR THIKRI KHARGONE-AWS NALCHHA ALIRAJPUR-AWS CHICHOLI DHAR-AWS GANDHWANI KATNI-AWS KOTMA -- 4each; SHEGAON HANUMANA JAITHARI REWA-AWS NAGODE -- 3each; PANNA-AWS DAMOH-AWS AJAIGARH KHAJURAHO ANUPPUR-AWS UMARIA-AWS SOHAGPUR-AWS MAIHAR -- 2each; NUSRULGUNJ-ARG SENDHWA(MED) DEWAS-AWS GANJBASODA BETUL-AWS TONKHURD PACHMARHI KHATEGAON AMBAH SARDARPUR DEPALPUR BUDHNI PANDHANA HOSHANGBAD-AWS AMARKANTAK DINDORI-AWS PUSHPAJGARH GUDH BICHHIA MALANJKHAND JABALPUR-NEW--AWS SATNA- AWS -- 1each;

Chhattisgarh :-Rajpur 25; Kusumi 24; Pratappur 19; Kunkuri 17; Mainpat 16; BAGICHA LUNDRA SHANKARGARH 15each; DULDULA 14; Premnagar Wadrafnagar Ambikapur 13each; SITAPUR -- 12; SONHAT Pathalgaon Udaipur -- 11each; BATOLI RAMANUJNAGAR MANORA Jashpurnagar Surajpur -- 9each; Odgi -- 8; KASABEL LAKHANPUR LAILUNGA TAPKARA BALRAMPUR -- 7each; Baikunthpur Bhaiyathan -- 6each; Bhanupratappur Bharatpur Ramanujganj -- 5each; Manendragarh Gharghoda -- 4each; Antagarh Charama -- 3each; Champa Akaltara Janjgir Marwahi Nagari Gariaband -- 2each; Narayanpur Kanker Keshkal Kondagaon Raigarh Sakti Pendra Road Bilaspur Dongargarh Saraypali Deobhog - - 1each;

Vidarbha :-Hinganghat Rajura Ballarpur Deulgaonraja Chikhaldara -- 3each; Umrer Zari Zamni Wardha Arvi Arjunimorgaon Etapalli Kurkheda Mulchera Chamorshi Gondpipri Chandrapur Lakhani Sakoli Karanjalad Dharni Dhamangaon rly Chandur rly Batkuli Amraoti Murtizapur Barshitakli -- 2each; Bhiwapur Mahagaon Wani Ralegaon Samudrapur Deoli Sadakarjuni Deori Korchi Armori Desaiganj Joiti Korpana Sindewahi chimur Bhadrawati Saoli Mul Pombhurna Lakhandur Pawni Akola(ct) Nandura Malkapur Buldhana Anjangaon Surji Daryapur Chandurbazar Achalpur(Paratwara) Morshi Tiwsa Nandgaonkhandeshwar Patur Balapur Telhara Akot -- 1each;

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 01 August 2017

Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1. No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 01 August 2017 to 03 August 2017

RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh and at few places over Vidarbha.

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Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 01 August 2017

Heavy to very heavy rainfall with Extremely heavy fall very likely at isolated 27-Jul-2017 places over Madhya Pradesh. Heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely at isolated (Day 1) places over Chhattisgarh. Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Vidarbha.

Heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over West Madhya 28-Jul-2017 Pradesh. Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over East Madhya (Day 2) Pradesh.

29-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 3)

30-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 4) 31-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 5)

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

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Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next two days valid 27-Jul 28-Jul 29-Jul 30-Jul 31-Jul Met Sub- from 0830 hrs division IST of 01-Aug to Today Fri Sat Sun Mon 0830 hrs IST of 03-Aug

West Madhya WS WS FWS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

East Madhya WS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha WS FWS SCT SCT SCT SCT

Chattisgarh WS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157