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R&D Technology Roadmap

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R&D Technology Roadmap FUTURE ROAD VEHICLE RESEARCH R&D Technology Roadmap A contribution to the identification of key technologies for a sustainable development of European road transport Network initiated by CONTENT 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Strategic Part A: 2 INTRODUCTION 2.1 Background of FURORE 2.2 Objectives and scope of FURORE technology R&D roadmap 2.3 Methodology and limitations 3 FUTURE SCENARIOS 3.1 Summary of current EU, member state and global policy 3.1.1 EU policy 3.1.2 EU member states policy 3.1.3 Other global policy 3.2 FURORE view on future road transport scenarios 3.2.1 Methodology 3.2.2 Targets, policy & scenarios for 2015-2020 3.2.2.1 Fuels and energy supply 3.2.2.2 CO2 and greenhouse gases 3.2.2.3 Emissions 3.2.2.4 Road safety 3.2.2.5 Traffic and congestion 3.2.2.6 Noise from road transport 3.2.2.7 Recycling 3.2.3 Influence of political climate 3.3 FURORE Targets up to 2020 and beyond 4 FUTURE BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGIES 4.1 Introduction: The impact of future technologies on environmental, energy sources and socio-economic conditions 4.2 Energy and Fuels 4.3 Powertrain 4.3.1. Technology status for 2007 I CONTENT 4.3.2. Technology trends up to 2020 4.3.3. Technology visions beyond 2020 4.3.4. Research demand powertrain 4.4 Vehicle structure 4.4.1 Breakthrough technologies 4.4.2 Research demand 4.5 Safety 4.5.1 Passive Safety 4.5.2 Research Demand passive safety 4.5.3 Active Safety 4.5.4 Research Demand active safety 4.6 Noise, Vibration and Harshness 4.6.1 Exterior Noise 4.6.2 Research Demands Exterior Noise 4.6.3 Interior Noise 4.6.4 Research Demands Interior Noise 5 IMPACT OF THE FURORE NETWORK FOR FUTURE EUROPEAN R&D Technical Part B 6 TECHNOLOGY EVALUATION POWERTRAIN 6.1 Energy and Fuels 6.1.1 General Scope / Introduction 6.1.2 State of the art 6.1.3 Targets for future conventional fuels 6.1.3.1 Fuel requirements regarding minimal change scenario 6.1.3.2 Fuel requirements regarding maximal change scenario 6.1.4 Fuel Technology Options 6.1.5 Alternative Fuels 6.1.6 Hurdles and barriers 6.1.7 Research demand 6.1.8 Summary II CONTENT 6.2 Powertrain 6.2.1 State of the Art Powertrain 6.2.1.1 Emissions Standards 6.2.1.1.1 Regulations 6.2.1.1.2 Future planned Emission Limits 6.2.1.2 Spark Ignition Engines 6.2.1.2.1 Design Trends and Combustion Technologies 6.2.1.2.2 Emission Reduction Technology Options 6.2.1.3 Light-Duty Diesel Engines 6.2.1.3.1 Design Trends and Combustion Technologies 6.2.1.3.2 Emission Reduction Technology Options 6.2.1.4 Heavy-Duty Diesel Engines 6.2.1.4.1 Design Trends and Combustion Technologies 6.2.1.4.2 Emission Reduction Technology Options 6.2.1.5 Transmission and Driveline 6.2.1.6 General Trends 6.2.2 Advanced Powertrain up to 2020 6.2.2.1 Emissions Standards 6.2.2.2 Spark Ignition Engines 6.2.2.3 Diesel Engines 6.2.2.4 Hybrids and Auxiliary Power Units 6.2.2.5 Engine Concepts close to state of the art Combustion Engines 6.2.3 Alternative Powertrain beyond 2020 6.2.4 Hurdles/Barriers and Research Demand 6.2.4.1 Advanced Powertrain 6.2.4.2 Aftertreatment 6.2.4.3 Alternative Powertrain 7 VEHICLE STRUCTURE 7. 1Technology objectives for 2020 7. 2Technologies 7. 3 Hurdles and Barriers 7. 4 Research demand 7. 5Vehicle structure truck & bus III CONTENT 8SAFETY 8.1 Passive Safety Aspects 8.1.1 Objectives 8.1.2 Technologies 8.1.3 Hurdles and barriers 8.1.4 Research demands 8.2 Active Safety and Driver Support 8.2.1 Objectives 8.2.2 Technologies 8.2.3 Hurdles and Barriers 8.2.4 Research demands 9 NOISE, VIBRATION AND COMFORT 9.1 Exterior Noise Aspects 9.1.1 Exterior Noise Aspects Passenger Car 9.1.1.1 State of the Art 9.1.1.2 Objectives 9.1.1.3 Technologies 9.1.1.4 Hurdles and Barriers 9.1.1.5 Research Demands 9.1.2 Exterior Noise Aspects Heavy Duty Vehicles 9.1.2.1 State of the Art 9.1.2.2 Objectives 9.1.2.3 Technologies 9.1.2.4 Hurdles and Barriers 9.1.2.5 Research Demands 9.2 Interior Noise Aspects 9.2.1State of the Art 9.2.2Objectives 9.2.3Technologies 9.2.4Hurdles and Barriers 9.2.5Research Demands APPENDIX: EU AND NATIONAL POLICY INFORMATION FURORE CONSORTIUM IV 1EXECUTIVE SUMMARY FURORE - Background and Objectives The Thematic Network FURORE establishes a platform of stakeholders to discuss breakthrough technologies and the corresponding research demand for vehicles of the year 2020 and beyond. The network focuses predominantly on road vehicles powered by internal combustion engines, but is also analysing potential breakthrough technologies in alternative fuels and systems such as hybrids and fuel cells. FURORE serves as an umbrella to co-ordinate dissemination efforts and to initiate basic research activities for the development of these technologies by universities and R&D organisations, enabling product development by the automotive industry and providing input for future research programmes through more transparency in automotive research and development. The scope of the present FURORE document was to consolidate the opinions of the participating organisations, the results of dedicated workshops and literature analysis to a comprehensive Automotive R&D Technology Roadmap. The technology expectations outlined by organisations, which are not linked to any vehicle or engine producer, shall serve as an independent decision support for the EU Commission for future research policy regarding land transport in the ongoing and future Framework Programmes for RTD. Furthermore the roadmap is intended to aid the co-operation between industry, research institutions and universities. The output will be disseminated via international symposiums, a public web-site and a CD-ROM plus database of information and material generated within all activities. For the execution of this project several organisations, among them usually competing companies, have formed a task force, each one contributing in it's special field of competence. All FURORE partner companies are organised in EARPA, the European Automotive Research Partners Association. Additional input came from EUCAR/SG Powertrain, CONCAWE and other leading European organisations in automotive research. The description of technologies, the findings and conclusions are predominately based upon specialist knowledge and opinion, the workshops performed to specialised topics and literature search. Key Findings and Messages It is anticipated that a smooth transition from the conventional to the new technologies will happen, no radical change is foreseen in the time period envisaged. The consortium believes in evolution rather than in revolution. Furthermore it can be foreseen that driven by various fuel scenarios, the diversification in powertrain technologies is increasing, many technologies may run in parallel in the future. Political & economical boundaries and technical feasibility will determine the speed gradient of the smooth transition to new technologies. Big improvement potential is still seen in the further development of state of the art technologies. The immediate impact of these improvements on environment and economics is considered to be much bigger than the effect achievable by the introduction of completely new technologies which suffer from shortcomings in production, infrastructure and public acceptance. 1 1EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Nevertheless the introduction of completely new technologies must be encouraged too in a sensitive manner also taking into account the international situation. Any solo activity in the European community might have negative impact for European automotive industry on competitiveness on the world markets. A comprehensive, system-oriented view on potential new technologies is required, not only tank-to-wheel considerations but also well-to-wheel or fuel-production-to-wheel analysis. For a complete understanding an approach which covers the whole life-cycle of a technology is essential. By this "Revolution by Evolution" approach, research demand is found in many areas - "state of the art" and alternative powertrain systems. The present study assessed various fuel and energy scenarios, analysed the most important powertrain technologies and judged them in terms of emission, CO2 and efficiency gains and potential risks, and was looking into future complete vehicle technologies such as new vehicle structures, safety and NVH aspects. For all these topics the future research demand has been listed and reasoned. In the following the most important findings are mentioned and research topics are highlighted and emphasised. Vision for 2020 and beyond The breakthrough technologies and the derived research demand are based on a comprehensive analysis of future road transport scenarios, voting exercises, workshops and individual discussions. In general, technological targets can be split up into research targets, engineering targets and commercial targets. It is essential to mention that FURORE focuses primarily on research targets. This means that the potential of a technology to realise intended technological objectives is examined but the aspects of feasibility and large-scale production are not investigated in detail. View on future European traffic scenarios: Due to its enlargement to include Central and Eastern European Countries, the European Union is expected to be the world's strongest economic area in 2020 with an estimated population of 450 million (in 27 member states). More than 70% will live in urban and suburban agglomerations and more than 25% of the population will be older than 60 years. These are selected criteria which have to be considered when discussing future technologies.
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