Into the Future a Vision for Moving San Francisco

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Introduction 4

Creating a New Vision for San Francisco 6

How the Vision Was Developed 15

Next Steps 20

Appendices A. The History of Transportation in San Francisco B. Outreach Summary Report C. Scenario Planning Process D. ConnectSF Goals and Objectives

2 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Aspiration

San Francisco is at an inflection point.People are ConnectSF is an innovative program that has drawn to the livability, lifestyle, and opportunities brought our agencies together with San Francisco in San Francisco. The City is experiencing rapid residents to develop a unified, far-reaching change and tremendous growth. Our population vision for an effective, equitable, and sustainable is larger than ever before. Much of this growth is transportation system. Together, our four agencies spurred by shifting demographics, preferences for and the public will use this vision to create a new city living, and an evolving technology sector that generation of transportation plans for the City – touches nearly every aspect of our lives. starting later this year with the citywide Transit Corridors Study and Streets and Freeways Study. It is an incredibly turbulent time to be in San Francisco, with opportunities and challenges for the Visions are inherently aspirational but can be future. Issues related to equity, affordability, mobility, realized when they are based on values that reflect housing, and other critical areas have perhaps community sentiment and provide guideposts for never felt so urgent. future work. A multifaceted community engagement process that reached over 5,000 people created Transportation touches all of these facets of this bold vision. In turn, the vision will guide actions, daily life. While we are making progress towards decisions, and investments for San Francisco’s eliminating traffic deaths, installing modern bicycle transportation system and influence the City’s infrastructure, and managing streets to improve development. the speed and reliability of public transportation, there remains much more to do. To be socially, This vision asks each of us what it means to be economically, and ecologically resilient over the a San Franciscan: what we value for ourselves next 50 years we must tackle these challenges. and our fellow residents; what we want for San San Francisco must find a way to allow future Francisco’s future; which priorities and perspectives generations to live in and travel across the City with we may need to re-examine; and the trade-offs we greater ease. may need to make to achieve this vision. What must we start, stop, and continue doing as a community, As we plan, build, and operate our transportation a City, and a region to reach the future we want? system to meet an ever-changing landscape, we are guided by durable policies and mandates, We invite you – our fellow San Franciscans and such as our 45-year old Transit First policy and residents of the Bay Area – to join us in realizing citywide climate and Vision Zero goals. However, this vision. Working together we are confident maintaining the system we have while expanding that we can achieve a safer, more equitable, and to meet tomorrow’s transportation needs – and vibrant future for all. funding both activities – presents difficult choices that will shape the City for generations to come.

John Rahaim Tilly Chang Ed Reiskin Todd Rufo Director, San Francisco Executive Director, San Francisco Director of Transportation, San Francisco Director, San Francisco Office of Planning Department County Transportation Authority Municipal Transportation Agency Economic and Workforce Development

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Aspiration 3 Introduction

Almost every aspect of San Francisco’s built environment is the product of many years of planning. What we see before us is the outcome of plans and decisions made by the community and elected officials who have preceded us.

This is especially true of our transportation infrastructure. Building and managing complex transportation systems requires carefully coordinated planning many years in advance.

Over 100 years ago, the San Francisco Municipal Railway (Muni) opened an electric streetcar line on Geary Street and became the first publicly owned and operated transit agency in the United come will live, work, and play. The time is now States. From 1912 to 1928, Muni constructed the to shape San Francisco for ourselves and future transit tunnels on Stockton Street, Twin Peaks, generations. and the Sunset. Nearly 60 years ago, civic San Francisco’s street grid is well-established, but leaders envisioned a high-speed, regional rail its use has and will continue to evolve. From horse- network in the Bay Area and a subway tunnel for drawn carriages and streetcar neighborhoods light-rail vehicles through the heart of the City. through the ascendance of the automobile to the These visions have been fulfilled. BART and Muni technological changes we see in our streets today, metro service started over 40 years ago. These the only constant has been change. investments influenced the settlement and travel patterns that we see today in San Francisco and The speed of change is only likely to increase. the Bay Area. Planning for the services and amenities we want our public rights-of-way to provide, not just Similarly, the planning we do today can and protecting and enshrining the current allocations of will determine how and where generations to space, will be a critical task.

4 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 The integration of transportation and land use is another important consideration that can ABOUT dramatically shape a city’s form and trajectory for many decades. History has shown us the ways that transportation projects mentioned before, as Initiated in 2016, ConnectSF was created as a well as the Golden Gate Bridge, the Bay Bridge, citywide effort to create a comprehensive long- and the demolition of the Embarcadero Freeway, range vision to guide our transportation planning have opened up new opportunities and spaces for and investments. The program was designed to: homes, offices, shops, and recreation throughout • Integrate land use into transportation plans and San Francisco and the Bay Area. These were studies; transportation projects conceived and built to spur • Provide common goals and objectives for the transformative change and position San Francisco City’s transportation policies and plans; to be a world-renowned, forward-thinking City. What will San Francisco’s iconic projects of • Consolidate and coordinate long-range transportation-related planning and funding tomorrow be? efforts in San Francisco; and

Considering the transformative power of planning • Account for various “drivers of change” that are for both transportation and land use, San shaping transportation and land use today and in Franciscans have an opportunity to make a great the future City even better. But what does this City look like? Who lives here and how do they get around? How can the City use transportation improvements to close access gaps and public health gaps? What is areas where significant development has occurred the future San Francisco that we want to see? but do not have robust transportation options.

WHY DO WE NEED TO PLAN DIFFERENTLY We need to continue to plan for diverse and TODAY? equitable growth, allowing the City to expand its cultural diversity, and provide high-quality There are many long-range transportation and transportation to serve current and future residents land-use plans – both within San Francisco and alike. the region. Until now, the Planning Department, Transportation Authority, Municipal Transportation To respond to these pressing challenges, a new Agency, and Office of Economic and Workforce approach is needed. Diverging from past processes, Development primarily coordinated by reviewing our agencies created ConnectSF. It is a multi- each other’s documents in coordination with the agency partnership with our community to build a Mayor’s Office – each planning for the future, comprehensive long-range vision and program that creating goals and objectives for the greater good will guide and coordinate transportation investments of San Francisco. However, the outcomes we see and influence future land use decisions. In 2016- today show that this approach needs to change. 2017, ConnectSF, as one team, collaborated with San Franciscans and regional stakeholders to The need for homes affordable to the growing develop a vision of our City. workforce in a vibrant place like San Francisco has been greater than what the City has been Linking the efforts of City departments with able to deliver over recent decades, making residents to envision our future ensures the living expenses for low- and moderate-income greatest effectiveness of today’s planning and households soar and driving some people out of the better positions San Francisco to respond to City. In some cases, there is a mismatch between external challenges today and in the future.

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Introduction 5 Creating a New Vision for San Francisco

To establish a vision for San Francisco’s transportation system, our team began by asking, as a City: where have we been, where are we now, and where do we want to go? Through discussions with the ConnectSF Futures Task Force, community members, and stakeholders in focus groups, online forums, pop- up events, and other targeted outreach efforts, we collectively shaped a vision for the City that can be used as a common starting point to guide future transportation plans and decisions.

Top photo by Sandra Caballero. Bottom photo by Sergio Ruiz.

6 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 CONNECTSF GOALS Creating a vision for the future of San Francisco’s At the program’s start, the ConnectSF team asked transportation system needs to begin with asking San Franciscans what was important to them. From people about what they value and why. Visions these efforts and in other engagements with the are inherently aspirational but can only be realized community, the team developed the following when they are based on a set of values that reflect goals for ConnectSF and a vision of San Francisco: community sentiment.

Equity Economic Vitality San Francisco is an inclusive, To support a thriving economy, diverse, and equitable city people and businesses easily that offers high-quality, access key destinations affordable access to desired for jobs and commerce in goods, services, activities, and established and growing destinations. neighborhoods both within San Francisco and the region.

Environmental Safety and Livability Sustainability People have attractive and safe The transportation and land travel options that improve use system support a healthy, public health, support livable resilient environment and neighborhoods, and address sustainable choices for future the needs of all users. generations.

Accountability and Engagement These goals will form the basis for the City’s San Francisco agencies, the transportation planning, serving as guideposts for broader community, and planners and policymakers to evaluate policies elected officials work together and projects for transportation in San Francisco. to understand the City’s This includes the development of studies related transportation needs and deliver projects, programs, and to all travel modes and infrastructure, including services in a clear, concise, active transportation, transit, streets, and and timely fashion. freeways.

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Creating a New Vision for San Francisco 7 spaces ranging from parklets and community gardens to the vast acres of Golden Gate Park and Lands’ End. Policymakers and residents do not take these natural assets for granted and consciously integrate environmental priorities, such as sustainability and resiliency, into the City’s economy and development.

This stewardship of our physical land also extends to responsible management and oversight of the City’s built environment. The value of our urban land and public rights-of-way is reflected in how they are developed and used.

In this vision, the City and region respond to THE VISION FOR SAN FRANCISCO challenges with effective leadership and systems In this vision, San Francisco is a progressive, of governance. We envision new possibilities, forward-thinking city, thriving with diverse adapt, innovate, take risks, and make the and stable communities and active, engaged appropriate decisions at the right scale and time. residents that shape future opportunities. The Public cohesiveness and strong, transparent City realizes that the well-being of our residents government processes prevent manipulation or and workers is inextricably linked to the economic misappropriation by special interests and allow the and social health of the people around us, our City to harness change to support strong outcomes neighborhoods, the City, and the region. And just for all residents. as importantly, the community is willing to adapt itself and the City to strengthen these links. Government has many partners in building this vision. Communities and groups previously In this future, San Francisco is vibrant, with lively, underrepresented in the past are regularly and attractive, and affordable neighborhoods offering meaningfully engaged in providing input in new a variety of housing types, schools, and other ways. Residents and City agencies work together urban amenities. It supports a dynamic economy, in a flexible, organic manner. which attracts and retains talented people and businesses who work in a wide array of sectors. Approaches to project financing and delivery expand, including private sector involvement and People are drawn to San Francisco for its ability to partnerships where appropriate, to deliver the best retain and expand its diversity and inclusiveness, a value for San Francisco. Residents and employers defining and valued part of San Francisco. The City are willing to initiate and support meaningful has made room – physical, social, and economic -- change, as there are transparent mechanisms for for people from all different kinds of backgrounds, civic engagement and discourse. The City relies experiences, and abilities. This includes historically on engaged residents from all walks of life to help disenfranchised individuals, including seniors, shape transportation and land use decisions. people with disabilities, youth, low-income people, people of color, immigrants, and non-English Regional considerations matter in this future. speakers. Families, residents, workers, and visitors Policy goals in San Francisco, like those related feel safe and welcomed here. to climate change, are aligned with those of the region and state, which result in strong economic People also come to San Francisco for its and social connections between the City and other natural beauty, with its many parks and open municipalities.

8 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 A UNIQUELY (1930s to today), people involved in City’s economic and social diversity is SAN FRANCISCO VISION the peace and civil rights movements increasingly under pressure and threat. (1960s, 1970s), and the City’s strong To lose this diversity is to lose the base of universities and community- vibrancy and idiosyncrasies that draw ConnectSF’s vision is aligned with the based organizations that advocate people here and makes San Francisco values and attitudes found throughout for different issues or causes, such unique. While some residents may San Francisco’s history to its present day. as multiculturalism, human rights, gravitate towards the existing conditions What was once a fairly inhospitable affordable housing, and others. of their neighborhoods, it is individuals crag of untamed coastal hills, sand that create the character and community It is the diversity, hardships, successes, of our neighborhoods and the City. dunes, and marshes has played host to and abilities of these individuals and a suite of newcomers from its earliest other groups that create the rich fabric To be sure, economic cycles – and the days. Native Americans are the area’s of the City and the caliber and quirks it is evolution of San Francisco and every original inhabitants, and new arrivals known for. city – include both high and low points. came throughout the years drawn to San Francisco is known for its ability opportunities to make a living or even These individuals and groups were to bounce back from troubled periods, strike it rich. These include Mexican drawn to San Francisco for many usually stronger and more determined ranchers and farmers (early 1800s), reasons, not the least for its economic than before. Nowhere is this more Gold Rush miners (mid-1800s), Chinese opportunities, entrepreneurial spirit, evident than the City’s resurgence after laborers and merchants (late 1800s), and tolerance. The City’s land, location, the devastation of the 1906 earthquake African-American shipyard workers (mid- and lifestyle are a few of the attributes and fires; the social and political 1900s), LGBT community (1940s), and that have attracted explorers, pioneers, turbulence of the 1960s and 1970s; and even tech workers in the last decade. activists, magnates, beatniks, hippies, the Great Recession of 2008. It is fitting The newcomers were sometimes met and many others. San Francisco is that San Francisco’s flag features the with reactions of unease, hostility, and where television, denim jeans, martinis, ascendant phoenix, which symbolizes occasionally outright legal or physical and popsicles were invented and where rebirth and immortality. violence. fortunes were made during the Gold Rush, Comstock silver lode, and tech The fortunes and indeed the future of Another important related thread in booms. San Francisco will likely be contingent San Francisco’s history is the efforts of on the nurturing of the same values and individuals to create a better city and This entrepreneurial, intellectual, and qualities that have made the City the world. These include labor activists artistic vigor continues, though the desirable and dynamic place it is today.

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Creating a New Vision for San Francisco 9 C OUTBOUND GROCERY LOS ANGELES AIRPORT

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NEXT TRAIN NEXT TRAIN LOS ANGELES 10 MIN 10 MIN SACRAMENTO WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR TRANSPORTATION AND LAND USE? In this vision, San Francisco is a regionally minded City that maintains its unique identity. Effective governmental institutions and active residents consider community-wide and regional effects when making policy choices. This new socio- political engagement results in the development and implementation of key plans related to transportation, housing, and other important institutions.

In this future, San Franciscans are aware that proactively planning for change can better shape Photo by Jeremy Menzies outcomes than reacting to changes beyond their control. San Franciscans consciously plan for diversity and inclusiveness, creating opportunities for growth while also preserving the City’s unique This may mean increased taxes to provide features and socioeconomic diversity. high-quality services and to subsidize access to these services. It may also mean regulations Land use and development proposals are and partnerships with businesses to ensure that effectively managed to meet the need for homes transportation innovations further the public affordable to all, offices, shops, and middle-income interest. jobs. The greater number of homes available to families and people of all income levels attracts In this vision, San Francisco is a major employment newcomers and protects existing residents from hub and center for innovation. The City’s and displacement. region’s cosmopolitan diversity, high quality of life, strong infrastructure, and excellent schools New compact development is placed along key and universities appeal to both employers and transportation corridors and hubs throughout the workers. While the cost of business can be high, City to make it easier for people to get around and employers find the return on their investment to be support more distributed activity centers. Other worthwhile, as the policy environment welcomes neighborhoods also steadily add homes, offices, big and small companies from a wide variety of and shops within existing neighborhoods. The sectors. population steadily grows and is more diverse than today. San Francisco’s growth and vigor also shape transportation infrastructure. With the rise in San Francisco’s diversity draws newcomers and population, there is an increase in the demand for visitors. But there is an out-migration of people transportation. Congestion and automobile travel who desire a more suburban environment or times may increase but are manageable due to who prefer more localized or more laissez-faire robust investments in public transit and carpooling, governance over a strong central government. which may include multiple new subway lines, a citywide network of bus-only lanes, and regional The City still faces issues related to equity transit connections, like new transbay rail links and and income disparities, but policymakers and high-speed rail. community members are diligent on finding ways to build consensus to address such challenges and Safety and public health are integral. Vision Zero developing effective ways to reduce inequities. goals are achieved, as world-class walking and

12 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Photo by Austin Cross Photo by SF Bicycle Coalition

bicycling networks elevate active transportation to These new programs direct revenues to provide be viable modes of choice for people of all ages. In better options than driving, close equity gaps, fact, walking and bicycling are safe, enjoyable, and and improve the affordability of the transportation normal options for getting around. system for vulnerable users by building upon existing programs that subsidize transit for low- Micro-transit or other emerging mobility services income people, seniors, people with disabilities, fill in gaps or otherwise complement public transit, and youths. These can include but are not limited for example in overnight and early morning hours. to programs for low-income groups that provide More affordable transportation options exist for discounted fares. residents, workers, and visitors. Street space is repurposed from private auto use and storage to Automated, electric, and connected vehicles are more space-efficient shared transportation options, appropriately regulated and managed. These bicycling, and walking. vehicles, which will be of various shapes and sizes, will be part of the transportation landscape Governance of the transportation system becomes allowing for flexible travel options, consistent more centralized and focused on mobility roadway speeds, and fewer collisions. These management. Mobility goals, including access, vehicles will carry multiple passengers, reducing equity, and affordability, provide a framework for the number of total vehicles on the streets and the innovation and experimentation in the interest of need for on- and off-street parking. This opens up the public good. space for infrastructure that supports transit and The City is tasked with actively managing the active transportation, including bus-only lanes, movement of people and goods, not merely amenity-rich transit stations, wider sidewalks, providing the means for that movement but also well-connected bicycle networks, and recreational spurring new financing and management programs. spaces. New developments are built more Pricing access and use of infrastructure helps the flexibly to so that the built environment is versatile City optimize the efficiency of the transportation enough to accommodate changing transportation system. These pricing programs may include taxes technologies. Many of these amenities contribute to on the number of miles traveled by car or on auto improved safety and better physical health for San ownership; and user charges, such as tolling and Franciscans and visitors alike. congestion pricing.

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Creating a New Vision for San Francisco 13 Given the rapid pace of change and steadily growing population, stakeholders recognize the importance of leveraging resources to get housing, transportation, and other infrastructure work done in a manner that is cost-effective and makes efficient use of public money. Infrastructure projects will be completed more quickly due to project streamlining through modernized systems to manage and deliver projects.

REALIZING THE VISION The City will use this vision, through its goals and objectives, as a framework for all transportation Photo by Noah Berger plans and programs in San Francisco. That is, the City will develop subsequent transportation planning efforts to support and advance the vision. the system is more accessible and transparent, and more capable of leveraging public resources, However, if San Francisco is to achieve this vision, facilitating efficient project development and we must change the status quo. As the graphic implementation, and building partnerships with a on the following page reminds us, the City must diverse set of community groups and with private, anticipate the path towards this vision will be full of non-profit, and civic institutions. unknown challenges and opportunities. As we work towards this vision, the political As San Franciscans, we must be willing to shift and technological landscape will be shifting. our thinking and behavior to be more expansive Innovations in automated vehicles, information – to think about how our actions and non-actions technology, and goods movement will broaden can have an impact beyond our front doors, our both the challenges and opportunities for our parking spaces, and our neighborhoods. transportation system. We must proactively shape and deploy innovations to meet needs of current The City must change the way we plan and and future residents as we collectively decide the deliver transportation improvements. Individuals role that they will play in moving people and goods and community groups must be engaged more throughout the City. meaningfully in plans and projects that affect them. It is not sufficient to hold public meetings where This vision will require widespread acceptance just a few people attend and disproportionately of change and the willingness to make trade- influence important decisions or delay planning offs, pay more taxes, and give up or share power and implementation. City agencies must work and resources. As community members, elected better to engage San Franciscans in a more officials, and public agencies, we will need to meaningful way that builds trust with the temper turf battles, whether they be jurisdictional, community. We must also place greater emphasis political, or social. Agencies that serve San on a plan or project’s potential benefits or impacts Francisco will have to break down barriers, be to disadvantaged communities not only adjacent to nimble, and set clear policy objectives. Many will the project but to the City as a whole. ultimately need to re-organize to meet the new demands and high expectations of the public. Also key to realizing our vision is sustained, unified visionary leadership in San Francisco. We must be Making any of these changes is no small feat. But able to shift our decision-making structures so that the payoff will be highly rewarding.

14 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 How the Vision was Developed

Whether it is our daily commute to work, a trip to A better approach to cope with road blocks is to the grocery store, or a policy that affects an entire be prepared, flexible, and resourceful. For San city, the most mundane journey or the most well- Francisco, realizing our vision for the future would thought-out plan can encounter bumps or pitfalls. mean having plans, policies, and mindsets that It would be nearly impossible to plan for every embody these characteristics – as well as strong obstacle that may come our way. partnerships and engagement with a diverse set of community groups and private, non-profit, and civic institutions.

YOUR PLAN

REALITY

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 How the Vision was developed 15 Figure 1: Outreach Process for ConnectSF Vision Inclusivity Outreach

Presentation to SFCTA Plans & Pop-Up Programs Committee Events (7) MAY 2017 NOVEMBER 2015

Presentations to Presentation to Open Online Strategic SFCTA Board, SFMTA Board and House Survey #2 Webinars (3) Implications JULY 2017 SFMTA Board, Planning Commission MARCH 2017 MAY 2017 Workshop (Joint Meeting) OCTOBER 2017 and SF Planning JULY 2016 Commission WINTER/SPRING 2018

Introduction Developing the Goals Scenario Planning Arming the Vision

Co-Learning Presentation to Online Events (3) Inclusivity Focus Inclusivity SFCTA Board Survey #1 JUNE 2017 Outreach Groups (13) Outreach JANUARY 2016 DECEMBER 2016 SUMMER 2017 SEPTEMBER 2017 WINTER 2018 ConnectSF Vision Scenario-Building Online Webinars (3) Workshop Survey #3 JUNE 2017 WINTER 2018 SUMMER 2017 AUDIENCE KEY General Public Futures Task Force

The ConnectSF vision was developed through a a vision that would be based on these goals. robust community engagement process. We talked Scenario planning encourages creative, iterative with the public at every step leading to the creation thinking about the future and factoring in external of the vision, as mapped out in Figure 1, and forces to encourage participants to consider how summarized below. potential future scenarios may unfold. By examining FOCUS ONLINE TARGETED these potential scenarios and their implications GROUPS SURVEYS OUTREACH Outreach kicked off with an online survey and pop- and trade-offs, participants examined various up events across San Francisco to shape the goals approaches that can shape the future, including ORGANIZATIONS for ConnectSF. The initial goals included equity; pathways that could lead to a preferred future. PARTICIPANTS RESPONDENTS economic vitality; environmental sustainability; and 125 5,300 60+ ENGAGED safety and livability. Subsequent outreach activities A Futures Task Force (FTF), comprised of Languages oered: Youth Languages oered: Pop-Up Pop-Up to gauge relative priorities amongst these goals individuals representing different perspectives 3 Chinese, English, Spanish 1 Group 4 Chinese, English, Spanish, Filipino 470 Visitors 700 Responses were conducted through an online survey and an of San Francisco, was convened to engage in open house at a Bayview Hunters Point Shipyard’s the development of scenarios and discussions Citizens Advisory Committee meeting. of trade-offs for possible futures for the City. Key to developing scenarios was the consideration Upon validating the four goals, the ConnectSF of drivers of change that could shape the future, initiated a scenario-planning process to develop

16 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Inclusivity Outreach

Presentation to SFCTA Plans & Pop-Up Programs Committee Events (7) MAY 2017 NOVEMBER 2015

Introduction Developing the Goals Scenario Planning Arming the Vision

FOCUS ONLINE TARGETED GROUPS SURVEYS OUTREACH

FOCUS ONLINE TARGETED PARTICIPANTSGROUPS SURVEYSRESPONDENTS ORGANIZATIONSOUTREACH 125 5,300 60+ ENGAGED

Languages oered:PARTICIPANTS Youth Languages oered:RESPONDENTS Pop-UpORGANIZATIONSPop-Up 3125Chinese, English, Spanish 1 Group 45,300Chinese, English, Spanish, Filipino 47060+VisitorsENGAGED700 Responses

Languages oered: Youth Languages oered: Pop-Up Pop-Up 3 Chinese, English, Spanish 1 Group 4 Chinese, English, Spanish, Filipino 470 Visitors 700 Responses

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 How the Vision was developed 17 such as climate change; earthquakes and natural making may prevent a large infrastructure project disasters; demographics and regional growth; from occurring. aging infrastructure; technological change; public attitudes toward government; and availability of More information about ConnectSF’s scenario funding. (See Figure 2.) planning process can be found in Appendix C.

Understanding the drivers of change helped FTF Informed by findings from citywide focus groups, a members build scenarios that contemplated what second online survey, and in-person meetings with could be in store for San Francisco in the coming community-based organizations (CBOs), a day-long decades, explore the strategic insights from workshop with the FTF in October resulted in the different futures for San Francisco, and identify a development and selection of the future vision for preferred future for our City and its transportation San Francisco. system. Additionally, a fifth goal about accountability and The benefit of utilizing this approach is that we engagement was added to ConnectSF’s goals as retain the knowledge of other futures as we attempt a result of consistent feedback about the need to make decisions to push us in the direction of to more meaningfully engage the community in one particular future. The matrix (shown in Figure plans, projects, and policies and to speed up the 3) and trade-offs explicit to the identified future implementation process. Staff subsequently met scenarios will be utilized in our transportation and with CBOs and other groups who were unable land use work. For example, we might look at how to participate in this workshop to discuss and a particular major infrastructure project will increase confirm the new goal and preferred vision for San equity across the City or how localized decision- Francisco.

18 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 At all levels of engagement, trade-off themes protecting the public good; and decentralizes for each scenario were consistently identified. decision-making to those who shout the loudest Selecting a preferred scenario was not just about or represent parochial interests. There was wide affirming aspiration but also moving away from agreement to move away from this. less desirable outcomes – specifically, a San Francisco that resists growing to meet demand At the end of this outreach phase, the vision was and becomes a lifestyle city; allows private presented to the public and policymakers. More industry and innovation to reshape mobility without information about ConnectSF’s outreach process can be found in Appendix B.

DRIVERS OF CHANGE

Of the many drivers of change the Futures Task Force Huge change is coming in the decades ahead that we considered (see Figure 2), social and political will and must prepare for today. As part of our scenario-planning equity and economic polarization emerged as the most process, our Futures Task Force identified external forces important to consider. These two uncertainties were used that will likely influence how our future unfolds. These to build four different scenarios, characterized by the drivers of change can be social, technological, economic, matrix depicted in Figure 3. This framework helped the environmental, and/or political and can represent both Futures Task Force and people engaged during outreach opportunities and challenges. In all cases, the exact nature to identify a preferred scenario, which is the basis of the of those impacts and changes are not known. ConnectSF vision.

Figure 2: Drivers of Change Figure 3: Potential Future Scenarios

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DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 How the Vision was developed 19 Next Steps

The vision is the first phase of the ConnectSF program. Its content, goals, and objectives (described in Appendix D) will provide the foundation of the program’s remaining efforts, which seek to provide a path to our preferred future and the transportation system that will serve it.

Phase 2 of ConnectSF will dive into the details Transit Corridors Study will identify, develop, assess, of what needs to and prioritize the next generation of major local happen to achieve the and regional transit corridor investments that San Francisco should pursue to achieve the vision. vision and examine its implications for land use and travel patterns in 2050. This second phase includes the following efforts: Streets and Freeways Study will identify a preferred long-range scenario for the network of freeways and streets in San Francisco, including policies and strategies for repurposing public rights-of-way for active transportation and non-motorized uses, managing curb space, and addressing the overall efficiency of streets and freeways.

Building on the work completed in the San Francisco Transportation Plan 2050 will Transit Corridors Study integrate the findings of the Transit Corridors Study and the Streets and and Streets and Freeways Study to develop an investment plan and prioritize projects that will be Freeways study, Phase funded and built. 3 of ConnectSF will include the following:

Update of the Transportation Element, which is an integral component of the City’s General Plan, will codify the policies that would frame these and other transportation projects and plans in San Francisco.

20 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Acknowledgments

The ConnectSF team expresses their gratitude to the individuals who took time to talk to us at outreach events, respond to surveys, participate in focus groups, and review materials. Their contributions helped shape our work and the vision for San Francisco.

Acknowledgments are also extended to staff from the Planning Department, Transportation Authority, Municipal Transportation Authority, Office of Economic and Workforce Development, and the Mayor’s Office as well as to Adaptive Edge, Arup, Davis & Associates, Fall Line Analytics, Interethnica, and MIG.

SFCTA Board of Commissioners Planning Commissioners Aaron Peskin, Chair Rich Hillis, President Katy Tang, Vice Chair Myrna Melgar, Vice President London Breed Rodney Fong Malia Cohen Christine D. Johnson Mark Farrell Joel Koppel Sandra Lee Fewer Kathrin Moore Jane Kim Dennis Richards Hillary Ronen Ahsha Safaí Jeff Sheehy Norman Yee SFMTA Board of Commissioners Cheryl Brinkman, Chair Malcolm Heinicke, Vice Chair Gwyneth Borden Lee Hsu Joél Ramos Christina Rubke Art Torres

DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 Acknowledgments 21 Futures Task Force Gillian Adams Daniel English Alex Long Kristen Schumacher Bruce Agid Ariana Flores Suzanne Loosen Wendy Silvani Amy Aguilera Marcello Fonseca Jean Lopez Krute Singa Patricia Aleman Jenn Fox Roberto Lopez Alex Steffen Alysabeth Alexander Gil Friend Josh Low Ronald Stovitz Bob Allen Katherine Fulton Jessica Lum Howard Strassner Ratna Amin Jim Gilespie Linda Ly Brian Strong Jill Anthes Dr. Wendy Goodfriend Jonah Martin Peter Straus David Beaupre Neal Gorenflo Kimberly Martinson Laura Tam Safiya Bird-Whitten Claudia Gorham Frank Martinez Tracy Taper Wendy Bloom Alexander Grant Sophie Maxwell Barbara Thompson James Bourgart Heather Green Will Michels Zack Thompson Stacy Bradley James Haas Sarah Minick Kath Tsakalakis Darcy Brown Ramsey Hanafi Raayan Mohtashemi David Troup Todd Brown Glen Hatakeyama Charley Obermeyer D’Artagnan Twomey Jose Campos Tim Hickey Ted Olsson Ana Validzic Tim Chan Becky Hogue Tim O’Reilly Dave Vautin Mary Kay Chin Dr. Veronica Hunnicutt Diane Oshima Dennis Uyat Peter Cohen Claude Imbault Jesse Osorio Andy Wang Hana Creger James Joannides Michael Pacheco Michael Warr Jim Cunradi Melissa Jones David Pilpel Daniel Weaver Joseph Curtin Arfaraz Khambatta Charles Rathbone Megan Wier Ben Davis Susanna Kwan Jewelea Rivas Howard Wong John deCastro Leah LaCroix Justina Rivas Corinne Woods Cathy DeLuca Rick Laubscher Patrick Rivera Lori Yamauchi Marilyn Duran Jim Lazarus Alice Rogers Yosef Yip Eric Eidlin Brigette LeBlanc Beth Rubenstein Taylor Emerson Robin Levitt Valentina Sedeno Joel Engardio Janice Li Thea Selby

Other Individuals Who Provided Their Time, Expertise, and Resources to ConnectSF Alysabeth Alexander Jack Gallagher Gabriel Medina Susan Shaheen Cristelle Blackford Luis Granados Mark Miretsky Jo Slota Therese Brekke Saul Griffith Vanessa Moses Kate Sofis Judi Brown Joi Jackson-Morgan Tim Nichols Alex Steffen Stacey Carter Nathan John Richard Nunez Roberto Vargas Rudy Corpuz Ada Ko Barbara Ockel Ilse Villacorta Rani Croager-Langer Lyslynn Lacoste Tim O’Reilly Micah Weinberg Winnie Cunningham Brigette LeBlanc Dawn Philips Tony Wessling Sheryl Davis Jessica Lehman John Pittman Scott Wiener Ted Egan Allegra Madsen Jonathan Plowman Janice Wong-Perez Joel Espino Rebecca Mark Pi Ra Mike Yoshioka Florence Fang Fran Martin Kate Roberts Teddy Fang Patricia McFadden Mark Rosekind Karoleen Feng Marti McKee Debs Schrimmer

22 CONNECTSF VISION DRAFT FEBRUARY 2018 TO LEARN MORE OR TO GET INVOLVED:

connectsf.org