Coupling Environmental, Social and Economic Models to Understand Land-Use Change Dynamics in the Mekong Delta
ORIGINAL RESEARCH published: 30 March 2016 doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2016.00019 Coupling Environmental, Social and Economic Models to Understand Land-Use Change Dynamics in the Mekong Delta Alexis Drogoul 1, 2*, Nghi Q. Huynh 3, 4 and Quang C. Truong 3, 5 1 UMI 209 UMMISCO, IRD/UPMC/Sorbonne Universités, Paris, France, 2 ICT Lab, University of Science and Technology of Hanoi, Hanoi, Vietnam, 3 PDI-MSC, IRD/UPMC/Sorbonne Universités, Paris, France, 4 CTU/IRD JEAI DREAM, CICT, Can Tho University, Can Tho, Vietnam, 5 CTU/IRD JEAI DREAM, CENRES, Can Tho University, Can Tho, Vietnam The Vietnamese Mekong Delta has undergone in recent years a considerable transformation in agricultural land-use, fueled by a boom of the exportation, an increase of population, a focus on intensive crops, but also environmental factors like sea level rise or the progression of soil salinity. These transformations have been, however, largely misestimated by the 10-year agricultural plans designed at the provincial levels, on the predictions of which, though, most of the large-scale investments (irrigation infrastructures, protection against flooding or salinity intrusion, and so on) are normally Edited by: planned. This situation raises the question of how to explain the divergence between Christian E. Vincenot, Kyoto University, Japan the predictions used as a basis for these plans and the actual situation. Answering it Reviewed by: could, as a matter of fact, offer some insights on the dynamics at play and hopefully Costica Nitu, allow designing them more accurately. The dynamics of land-use change at a scale University Politehnica of Bucharest, Romania of a region results from the interactions between heterogeneous actors and factors at Qing Tian, different scales, among them institutional policies, individual farming choices, land-cover George Mason University, USA and environmental changes, economic conditions, social dynamics, just to name a few.
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