Sector Report 1/2020/SR (50) May 5, 2020 This is a selected fragment of DM BOŚ SA’s research report. Analyst: Tomasz Rodak, CFA,
[email protected], +48 (22) 504 33 23 Video Games; Recommendations Company Last Market LT fundamental ST market- 12M EFV Upside price Cap rating relative bias (PLN) (downside) (PLN) (US$ m) to 12M EFV Gaming is crisis-proof* 11 bit studios 415.00 949 Hold (↓) Neutral (↓) 538.0 (↑) 30% CD Projekt 357.50 34,363 Hold (→) Overweight (→) 352.0 (↑) -2% CI Games 0.70 113 Hold (→) Neutral (→) 0.64 (↑) -9% PlayWay 426.50 2,815 Hold (→) Neutral (→) 376.0 (↑) -12% Ten Square Games 453.00 3,280 Buy (→) Overweight (→) 503.0 (↑) 11% *at least in the short term Source: WSE, DM BOŚ SA estimates Video games developers; Multiples Since the bottom of the market collapse in mid-March, Market Cap P/E EV/EBIT WIG.GAMES has grown 86%, already exceeding the (US$ m) 2020E 2021E 2022E 2020E 2021E 2022E WSE listed companies pre-crisis level by 12%. At the same time the WIG index 11 bit studios 227 33.0 40.6 9.0 26.6 31.8 6.6 increased 21% and still stays 23% off of February’s CD Projekt 8,215 17.5 24.3 17.2 15.1 20.9 14.4 highs. The relative strength of game developers (vs wide CI Games 27 neg. 5.3 neg. neg. 2.9 neg. PlayWay 673 28.2 23.3 19.4 24.3 19.7 16.5 market) seems fully warranted as we observe a positive Ten Square Games 784 16.9 14.5 12.5 14.3 12.0 10.1 impact of the stay-home regulations imposed in the global Median 22.9 23.3 14.8 19.7 19.7 12.3 combat against the COVID-19 epidemic.