Unusually devastating tornadoes in the United States: 1995–2016 Tyler Fricker ∗, James B. Elsner 1 Florida State University ∗ 2 Corresponding author address: Tyler Fricker, Florida State University, Department of Geography, 3 Florida State University, 113 Collegiate Loop, Tallahassee, FL 32306. 4 E-mail:
[email protected] Generated using v4.3.2 of the AMS LATEX template 1 ABSTRACT 5 Previous research has identified a number of physical, socioeconomic, and 6 demographic factors related to tornado casualty rates. However, there remains 7 gaps in our understanding of community-level vulnerabilities to tornadoes. 8 Here a framework for systematically identifying the most unusually devastat- 9 ing tornadoes, defined as those where the observed number of casualties far 10 exceeds the predicted number, is provided. Results show that unusually dev- 11 astating tornadoes occur anywhere tornadoes occur in the United States, but 12 rural areas across the Southeast appear to be most frequented. Five examples 13 of unusually devastating tornadoes impacting four communities are examined 14 in more detail. In addition, results highlight that cities and towns impacted 15 by unusually devastating tornadoes have their own socioeconomic and de- 16 mographic profiles. Identifying geographic clusters of unusually devastating 17 tornadoes builds a foundation to address community-level causes of destruc- 18 tion that supports ethnographic and qualitative—in addition to quantitative— 19 studies of place-based vulnerability. 2 1. Introduction Tornadoes are one of the deadliest weather-related hazards in the United States. Wind energy and population density explain a large portion of tornado casualty rates (Ashley et al. 2014; Ashley and Strader 2016; Fricker et al.