Werther Effect’ Fact Or Fantasy?
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The ‘Werther Effect’ Fact or Fantasy? Media Contagion and Suicide in the Internet Age: Critical evaluation, theoretical re-conceptualisation and empirical investigation DPhil Research Thesis by Paul Marsden - July 2000 Graduate Research Centre in the Social Sciences University of Sussex 2 I hereby declare that this thesis has not been submitted, either in the same or different form, to this or any other University for a degree. …………………………………………………………………………. 3 University of Sussex Paul Marsden DPhil Submission The Werther Effect: Fact or Fantasy? Media Contagion and Suicide in Internet Age: Critical evaluation, theoretical reconceptualization and empirical investigation Summary This project explores a controversial idea known as the Werther Effect. The Werther Effect suggests that media representations of suicide may have some influence on the suicide of those exposed to them such that suicide becomes more likely. The report begins with a conceptual clarification of this idea of media suicide contagion and then explores the empirical plausibility of the putative phenomenon through a critical review of relevant research evidence. It is argued that in addition to methodological problems, the absence of any theory to guide research and interpret data has rendered findings less than compelling. A theoretical model of the Werther Effect is therefore developed through a conceptual integration of aspects of social cognition theory, framing theory and meme theory. The socio-cognitive model presented here is based on the possible action of priming and modelling mechanisms in the bounding of meaning and decisions. Two empirical studies illustrate indirectly how these mechanisms might allow media representations to inform suicide choice. A third study seeks to operationalise investigation more directly and does so by developing a new online grounded research tool that generates structured insight into the meaning of suicide for particular groups in the form of memetic networks. A popular suicide representation available over the Internet, the suicide note of Kurt Cobain of the rock group Nirvana, is then negatively framed by using the ‘social mindscapes’ of suicide that are outputted by these memetic networks. A novel use of Internet ‘frames technology’ allows for a web-based study to investigate any influence of the framed and non-framed versions of the suicide note to proceed without incurring any increased risk of contagion for participants. In conclusion, it is argued that this study provides both theoretical and empirical reasons to suggest that media representations of suicide could have some influence on a person’s suicidality. Key words: contagion, framing, grounded research, Kurt Cobain, Nirvana, meme, memetics, modelling, priming, social cognition, social contagion, socio-cognitive, social mindscapes, suicide, suicide contagion, web-research, Werther Effect. 4 Table of Contents Table of Figures ..................................................................................................................................7 Preface ................................................................................................................................................8 1.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 10 1.1 Social Research, Sociology or Social Psychology? .................................................................... 13 1.2 Structure, Summary and Proposed Contributions of the Report .............................................. 15 1.3 Clarification of the Research Problem ..................................................................................... 21 1.3.1 The Concept of Media Contagion ...................................................................................... 21 1.3.2 The Concept of Suicide ...................................................................................................... 26 1.3.3 The Concept of Media Suicide Contagion .......................................................................... 32 1.3.4 The Historical Context of Media Suicide Contagion ........................................................... 34 1.4 Media Suicide Contagion: The Problem of Evidence ............................................................... 36 2.0 The Operationalisation of Media Suicide Contagion Research..................................................... 41 2.1 Archival Research ................................................................................................................... 41 2.1.1 Some Problems with Archive-based Quasi-Experimental Evidence in Media Suicide Contagion research ...................................................................................................................................... 43 2.1.2 Triangulating Archive-based Quasi-Experiments: The Research Corpus of Sociologist D. P. Phillips ........................................................................................................................................ 45 2.1.3 Covert Suicides and Contagion ........................................................................................... 50 2.1.4 Problems with Phillips’ Archive-based Quasi-Experiments .................................................. 54 2.2 Time-Series Analysis of Archival Data ..................................................................................... 57 2.2.1 Additional Problems with Time-series Analysis of Archival Data: Contradictions and Bogus Contagion ................................................................................................................................... 59 2.3 Survey Research ..................................................................................................................... 60 2.4 Experimental Research ........................................................................................................... 64 3.0 The Empirical Case for Media Suicide Contagion: an Interim Verdict and some Recommendations72 4.0 A Proposed Contribution to a Theory of Media Suicide Contagion .............................................. 81 4.1 Of Imitation, Hypodermic Needles, Mind Viruses and Selfish Suicide Memes ......................... 81 4.2 Social Cognition – a Humanistic Interpretation ....................................................................... 95 4.2.1 Disinhibition and Modelling ............................................................................................... 96 4.2.2 Disinhibition as Modelling .................................................................................................. 99 4.3 Media Contagion by Modelling: An Empirical Investigation .................................................. 101 4.3.1 Background ...................................................................................................................... 101 4.3.2 Media Contagion by Modelling: A Dilemma..................................................................... 103 4.3.3 Research Objectives ......................................................................................................... 106 4.3.4 Materials and Method ...................................................................................................... 107 4.3.5 Participants and Recruitment ........................................................................................... 107 4.3.6 Results ............................................................................................................................. 108 5 4.3.7 Discussion ........................................................................................................................ 109 4.4 Priming and Media Priming .................................................................................................. 116 4.5 Media Suicide Contagion by Priming: An initial empirical investigation ................................ 126 4.5.1 Background ...................................................................................................................... 126 4.5.2 Research Objectives ......................................................................................................... 127 4.5.3 Materials and Method ...................................................................................................... 127 4.5.4 Participants and Recruitment ........................................................................................... 128 4.5.5 Results ............................................................................................................................. 128 4.5.6 Discussion ........................................................................................................................ 129 4.6 Developing the Conceptual Model of Priming ....................................................................... 130 4.7 A Proposed Conceptual Integration: Priming, Meaning and Framing .................................... 132 5.0 Presentation of a Grounded Research Tool – Generating Memetic Networks ............................. 138 5.1 Associative Techniques in Research ...................................................................................... 138 5.2 The Internet as an Associative Network ................................................................................. 142 5.4 Generating a Social Mindscape of Suicide ............................................................................. 157 5.4.1 Results