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PPP’S First New Hampshire Poll Since the 2012 Election

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PPP’S First New Hampshire Poll Since the 2012 Election FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 23, 2013 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE Hassan riding high in New Hampshire, safe for 2014 re-election Raleigh, N.C. – Maggie Hassan’s high job approval rating and significant double-digit leads over five possible Republican challengers indicate that the incumbent Democratic governor will start out ahead for re-election in 2014 if she decides to run, according to PPP’s first New Hampshire poll since the 2012 election. Hassan has a +19 job approval rating with 50% of voters approving and 31% disapproving of her performance. Democrats (80/8) and independents (47/29) approve of Hassan, who also nabs 18% support from Republicans. She has 14 to 20 point leads over five possible GOP opponents. She leads Jeb Bradley 52/38, Chris Sununu 53/37, Ted Gastas 51/35, Frank Guinta 54/36 and Kevin Smith 52/32. None of these potential candidates have a positive favorability rating with New Hampshire voters. Kelly Ayotte’s job approval rating is slightly underwater with 44% approving and 46% disapproving of her performance, a big drop since before the 2012 election. In a hypothetical 2016 Senate match-up, Hassan would lead Ayotte by 2 points, 46% to 44%. 75% of New Hampshire voters support requiring background checks for gun purchases at gun shows, while just 21% are opposed. 50% of voters said Ayotte’s vote against background checks legislation would make them less likely to support her for re-election, including 79% of Democrats, 50% of independents and 17% of Republicans. 25% said it doesn’t make a difference and just 23% said it made them more likely to support her. “New Hampshire is a good bellwether for fallout from the gun vote,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “There’s serious backlash from voters toward Kelly Ayotte for how she handled this issue.” 67% of voters said the state’s legalization of gay marriage has had no impact at all on their lives, while 17% said the impact was positive and 16% said it was negative. 35% of Democrats said the law has positively impacted them, while 32% of Republicans said it has negatively impacted them. 56% support and 34% oppose allowing gay marriage. PPP surveyed 933 New Hampshire voters from April 19th to 21st. The margin of error for the sample is +/-3.2%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. Phone: 888 621-6988 Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] New Hampshire Survey Results Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Barack Obama’s job performance? of Chris Sununu? Approve .......................................................... 52% Favorable........................................................ 34% Disapprove...................................................... 46% Unfavorable .................................................... 43% Not sure .......................................................... 2% Not sure .......................................................... 23% Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Q8 If the candidates for Governor next year were Maggie Hassan's job performance? Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Jeb Bradley, who would you vote for? Approve .................. 50% Not sure .................. 19% Maggie Hassan............................................... 52% Disapprove.............. 31% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Jeb Bradley..................................................... 38% of Jeb Bradley? Not sure .......................................................... 10% Favorable........................................................ 25% Q9 If the candidates for Governor next year were 39% Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Ted Unfavorable .................................................... Gatsas, who would you vote for? Not sure .......................................................... 36% Maggie Hassan............................................... 51% Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ted Gatsas? Ted Gatsas ..................................................... 35% 13% Favorable........................................................ 16% Not sure .......................................................... 29% Q10 If the candidates for Governor next year were Unfavorable .................................................... Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Not sure .......................................................... 55% Frank Guinta, who would you vote for? Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Maggie Hassan............................................... 54% of Frank Guinta? Frank Guinta................................................... 36% Favorable........................................................ 31% Not sure .......................................................... 9% 47% Unfavorable .................................................... Q11 If the candidates for Governor next year were Not sure .......................................................... 22% Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Kevin Smith, who would you vote for? of Kevin Smith? Maggie Hassan............................................... 52% Favorable........................................................ 12% Kevin Smith..................................................... 32% Unfavorable .................................................... 23% Not sure .......................................................... 16% Not sure .......................................................... 65% April 19-21, 2013 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 933 New Hampshire voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q12 If the candidates for Governor next year were Q19 In the last presidential election, did you vote for Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Chris Sununu, who would you vote for? Barack Obama................................................ 51% Maggie Hassan............................................... 53% Mitt Romney.................................................... 45% Chris Sununu .................................................. 37% Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 4% Not sure .......................................................... 10% Q20 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, Q13 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kelly somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat Ayotte’s job performance? conservative, or very conservative? Approve .................. 44% Not sure .................. 10% Very liberal...................................................... 13% Disapprove.............. 46% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 18% Q14 If the candidates for Senate in 2016 were Moderate......................................................... 31% Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Maggie Hassan, who would you vote for? Somewhat conservative.................................. 23% Kelly Ayotte............. 44% Not sure .................. 10% Very conservative ........................................... 15% Q21 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Maggie Hassan....... 46% Q15 Would you support or oppose requiring Woman ........................................................... 52% background checks on individuals who Man................................................................. 48% purchase guns at gun shows? Q22 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, Support ................... 75% Not sure .................. 4% press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Oppose ................... 21% Q16 Does Kelly Ayotte’s vote against requiring Democrat ........................................................ 32% background checks make you more likely to Republican...................................................... 29% support her for re-election? Independent/Other.......................................... 39% More likely............... 23% Doesn't make a difference................ 25% Q23 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2. Less likely ............... 50% Not sure .................. 1% White .............................................................. 91% Q17 Do you think same-sex marriage should be Other............................................................... 9% allowed, or not? Q24 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to It should be allowed 56% Not sure .................. 10% 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. It should not ............ 34% Q18 Has the legalization of gay marriage in New 18 to 29........................................................... 12% Hampshire had a positive or negative impact 30 to 45........................................................... 24% on your life, or has it not had any impact at all? 46 to 65........................................................... 44% Positive impact........ 17% No impact at all ....... 67% Older than 65 .................................................. 20% Negative impact ...... 16% April 19-21, 2013 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 933 New Hampshire voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888
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