District-by-district analysis of all congressional and legislative races

the honor, things probably won't be much more cans probably had their best chance in 1984 difficult. with an attractive candidate and drug allega- tions about Dellums. This year Lyndon La- Congpess District 4 (55% D-32% R) - Democrat: Incum- Rouche Democrat Williams and Republican bent of West Sacramento. Re- businessman Eigenberg want to try. But the vot- publicans: Jack Hite of Citrus Heights ers from Oakland will probably give Dellums an District 1 (56% D 33% R) - Democrats: In- and John Mittar Jr. of Davis. eighth trip to Washington. cumbent Doug Bosco of Occidental, In the past, Republicans have thought if would Richard laws of Laytonville and Mike be fun to try to beat Fa.&, if only because he's District 9 (59% D - 29% R) - Democrats: In- Koepf of Elk Republican: Floyd Samp- had to carry some congressionalpay raise mea- cumbent of Oakland and Ev- son of Sant 3. Rosa. Peace and Free- sures. Two Republicans, electrician Hite and elyn Lantz of Livermore. Republican: dom: Eld ?n fhcFarland of Santa Rosa. writer Millar, want to carry that theme this year, David Williams of Livermore. Stark had to beat an opponent named J. €a- Despite the presenoe of two other Democrats despite the fact that a better-known Republican 7: ger Beaver to win two years ago. Beating a on the primarj. ballot, two-term incumbent saw 60 percent of the vote go to Fazio last year. LaRouche supporter named Lank (whose hus- BOSCOshould liavo no trouble securing the District 5 (64% D - 20% R) - Democrats: In- band is running for the U. S. Senate) in the pri- nomination or holdirig on to his north coast dis- cumbent Sala Burton of San Francisco, mary and someone named Williams in the trict when he faces ,laving contractor Sampson Andrew Klein of Livermore and Michaet general should be a snap by comparison. in November. Moberg of San Francisco. Republican: Mike Garza of San Francisco. Libertar- District 10 (59% D 27% R) - Democrat: In- District 2 (48'%[) 41% R) Democrats: - - - ian: Samuel Grove of San Francisco. cumbent of San Jose. Re- Wayne Msyerof Sutter and Steve Swen- Peace and Freedom: Ted Zuur of San publicans: Dianne Fanning-Flores and diman of Redding. Republicans: Wally Francisco. Michael La Crone of Frernont. Libertar- Herger o Ri, Oso, Howard Kirkpatrick ian: Perr Cardestamof San Jose. Peace of Redding and Robert Wareham of Cal- Sala Burton has settlednicely into the San Fran- and Freedom: Bradley Mayer of San istoga. L bel tarian: Harry Pendery of cisco congressional seat once held by her late Jose. Paradise husband, Phil. Despite the presence of two other Democrats on the ballot, including La- Edwards at least gets to face some new oppo- there is little chance sition this year after having the same set of op- Republican Gene Chappie made this seat, ponents the two previous times. But it shouldn't which runs do*n toe center of the northern- make any difference who he faces in this safe most portion of , one of the few open District 6 (58% D - 27% R) - Democrats: In- Democratic district. contests in the s'ate when he decided to retire. cumbent of Greenbrae Normally, the t igh Republican registration and James Legare of San Francisco. District 11 (56% D - 31% R) - Democrat: In- would make this disrrict safe for that party, but Republicans: Franklin Ernst 111 of Vallejo cumbent Tom Lantosof Burlingame. Re- voters in this area are notorious for their inde- and Tony Sampson of Petaluma. publicans: Jack Hickey of Redwood City pendence. Democrats are most likely to nomi- Boxer has a LaRouche backer for her Demo- and Bill Quraishi of El Granada. nate Shasta Co Jnty Supervisor Swendiman, cratic primary opponent and should have no lncumbent won 70 percent of the who was recently pi esident of the state super- problem beating him, or either of the two Re- vote last year. It will be hard for engineer Qur- visor's associaticn. Ilepublican Herger gave up publicans who want to make November's sui- aishi or research scientist Hickey to reduce that his secure Assevbly seat to try for the nomi- cide run. margin. nation and althoiigh he is considered the front- District 12 (44% 0 - 42% R) - Democrats: runner, he can ~xpcct some competition from District 7 (56% D - 33% R) - Democrat: Incum- Sean McCarthy of Palo Alto and lance Redding Counc ilmsn Kirkpatrick and Napa bent George Miller of Martinez. Repub- Weil of Cupertino. Republicans: Laddie businessman bareham. Some Republicans licans: Gordon Blake of Brentwood and Hughes of Palo Alto, Ernest Konnyu of think Kirkpatrick ma,/ make the best opponent Rosemary Thakar of Atamo. Saratoga, John Mercer of Sunnyvale, for Swendiman bscause they both appeal to the Neither Dental lab manager BIake nor Alamo and Tom Skornia of Palo Alto. Libertar- same Shasta Count./ constituents, who repre- resident Thakar are likely to find a reason good ian: Bill White of Los Altos. sent the biggest chmk of this far-flung district. enough to convince Miller's Contra Costa This seat is open because Zschau decided to But Herger is giv13nfcont-runner status because County constituents that he should not have a run for the U. S. Senate. Although the registra- of his ability to ,*ais?campaign money. More sixth term In Congress. tion is solidly Republican, Democrats at one than $1 million WIT be spent here before the dust point had some thoughts of making a challenge settles in Novemlier. District 8 (63% D - 24% R) - Democrats: In- in this moderate, high-tech district. But they cumbent and Ruth Wil- failed to attract a name candidate, and now the District 3 (57% El - 33% R) - Democrat: Incum- liams of Oakland. Republican: Steven winner of the Republican primary should win in bent Robert Rlatsui. Republicans: Low- Eigenberg of Piedmont. Peace and November. Just who will win that primary, how- ell Landaws,ti, Donald Perdue and Freedom: Lawrence Manuel of ever, is in doubt. Assemblyman Konnyu jumped James Skow. 411 are from Sacramento. Berkeley. in at the end and most now believe the primary Matsui had no opporlent at all two years ago. Somebody always thinks there is a good reason is his to loose. But businessman Skornia has This year, althoiigh parklands analyst Lan- why Democrat Dellums, one of the most liberal money to campaign with and is in the mold of dowski, and attoineys Perdue and Skow, want representatives, should be defeated. Republi- other office holders from this area. Longtime

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party activist Laddie Hughes and Sunnyvale Serra are vying for the dubious distinction of looks after most of the other Southern California Councilman Mercer also have followings, mak- being the next person to lose to four-term in- Democrats as well. ing the outcome of the primary difficult to cumbent Thomas. predict, District 25 (70% D - 21% R) - Democrats: In- District 21 (39% D - 51% R) - Democrats: Ste- cumbent Ed Roybal and Dorothy An- District 13 (50% D - 36% R) - Democrat: In- phen Dart of Northridge, Bob Felburg of dromidas of Los Angeles. Republican: cumbent Norm Mineta of San Jose. Re- Westlake Village, Anthony lrek of Tar- Gregory Hardy of Glendale. Libertarian: publican: Bob Nash of Los Gatos. zana, George Margolis of Simi Valley, Ted Brown of Los Angeles. Although the Democratic registration is slipping Don Parker of Granada Hills and Gilbert The only way to get Roybal out of this East Los in this district, Mineta, a former San Jose mayor, Saldana of Oxnard, Republicans: Elton Angeles seat, after 24 years, would be to beat remains popular and should have no trouble Gallegly of Simi Valley, Tony Hope of him in a primary, and housewife and LaRouche with businessman Nash. North Hollywood and Thomas La Porte backer Andromidas is not likely to be the one. of Thousand Oaks. Libertarian: Daniel Republican Hardy has even less chance. District 14 (48% D - 41% R) - Republican: In- Wiener of Simi Valley. cumbent Norm Shumway of Stockton. This seat opened up when de- District 26 (57% D - 34% R) - Democrat: In- Democrat: Bill Steele of Nevada City. cided to run for the U. s. Senate. Republicans cumbent of Studio City. Libertarian: Bruce Daniel of Loomis. hold such an advantage here that the winner of Republicans: Kenneth Frazier of Can- Retired Marine and farmer Steele, for some un- the primary is all but certain to be elected in the oga Park and Robert Kerns of fathomable reason, wants to oppose Republi- fall, particularly since the Democrats have failed Northridge. can Shumway, whose last opponent got only 24 to produce a strong candidate, even though five This San Fernando Valley district was created percent of the vote. are on the ballot. Assemblyman Tom Mc- to give Democrat Berman a safe seat in Con- gress, and it’s been that. There‘s no reason he District 15 (57% D - 34% R) - Democrat: In- . -. should worry about either of his Republican cumbent of Merced. Re- challengers. publican: Carol Harner of Mariposa. Libertarian: Richard Harris of Mariposa. District 27 (55% D - 34% R) - Democrat: In- Coelho is one of the state’s truly powerful con- cumbent Me1 Levine of Santa Monica. gressmen, and there is little chance rancher Republicans:Alvin Froehlich of Rancho Harner can change that. Palos Verdes and Rob Scribner of Pa- cific Palisades. Libertarian: Larry Leath- District 16 (52% D - 35% R) - Democrats: In- ers of Venice. Peace and Freedom: cumbent of Carmel Valley Thomas O’Connor of Venice. and Arthur Dunn of Monterey. Republi- Former Los Angeles Rams running back Scrib- can: Louis Darrigo of Aptos. Libertarian: ner spent $150,000 two years ago seeking this Bill Anderson of Capitola. Peace and seat, and he wants another crack at Levine, who Freedom: Ron Wright of Santa Cruz. Hope Oallegly received only 53 percent of the vote. But Levine Republicans might take a serious look at this Clintock took a look at this race, but bowed out didn‘t campaign much then and is unlikely to district one day, but that will be a day after Dem- to the superior name identification of Tony Hope, make the same mistake again. Republicans, at ocrat Panetta decides to give it up. He had 71 the attorney son of comedian Bob Hope, who is least at this point, aren’t giving Scribner much percent of the vote last time, and despite a pri- now thought to have the best chance because of a chance, and he firsf has to beat LaRouche mary challenge from businessman and La- of his name and his ability to raise money. But backer and construction sales executive Froeh- Rouche supporter Dunn, he should do as well Simi Valley Mayor Gallegly is also considered lich in the primary. against either of the two Republicans who want an attractive candidate and just might make to challenge him. things interesting by June 3rd. District 28 (73% D - 19% R) - Democrats: In- cumbent of lnglewood and District 17 (52% D - 40% R) - Republican: In- District 22 (36% D - 56% R) - Republican: In- Joe Alcoset of Hawthorne. Republicans: cumbent Chip Pashayan of Fresno. cumbent of Glendale. George Adams of Los Angeles, Lionel Democrat: John Hartnett of Fresno. Democrat: John Simmons of Burbank. Allen of Mar Vista and Aileen Cline of Democrats are taking a long look at this Central Libertarian: Jona Bergland of Glendale. Canoga Park. Libertarian: Howard Valley district. Although incumbent Pashayan Peace and Freedom: Joel Lorimer of Johnson of Los Angeles. will be tough to beat, they think they may have Los Angeles. Lionel Allen ran against Me1 Levine two years a good challenger in Hartnett, who has political The real question here is: Can Moorhead ac- ago, and now wants a crack at Dixon. Allen and campaign experience as an aid to Repre- tually win more than the 85 percent of the vote didn’t survive the primary the first time, and sentative Rich Lehman. This could turn into an he got last time? Perhaps Democrat Simmons even if he does this year, there’s not much hope interesting contest before October is over. likes such challenges. of unseating Dixon, who should have an even 10 years in Congress when his next term is over. District 18 (60% D - 32% R) - Democrat: In- District 23 (54% D - 37% R) - Democrats: In- cumbent Richard Lehman of Fresno. Dixon’s primary opponent is LaRouche backer cumbent of Tarzana, Alcoset of Hawthorne. Republican: David Crevelt of Fresno. Eric Jacobson and William Kurd1 of Los Lehman’s last opponent got only a third of the Angeles. Republican: George Woolver- District 29 (84% D - 11% R) - Democrats: In- votes. Insurance broker Crevelt has little hope ton of Tarzana. Libertarian: Taylor cumbent Gus Hawkins of Los Angeles of doing much better. Rhodes of Beverly Hills. Peace and and Mervin Evans of Huntington Park. District 19 (47% D - 40% R) - Republican: In- Freedom: Tom Hopke of Los Angeles. Republican: John Van de Brooke of Sun- cumbent Robert Lagomarsino of Ven- Republicans like to make noises about how they nyvale. Libertarian: Waheed Boctor of tura. Democrats: Henry Mealy and might surprise 10-year veteran Beilenson, who Los Angeles. Wayne Norris of Santa Barbara and does have two unknowns opposing him in the Mervin Evans, a nice young man who got 9 per- Buddy Perkins of Lompoc. Libertarian: primary. But two years ago on election day, it cent of the vote against Hawkins two years ago, George Hasara of Santa Paula. was the Republicans who were surprised when has begged us not say he hasn’t a prayer of Democrats are hoping that this will be Lago- Beilenson got more than 60 percent of the vote. beating the 24-year congressional veteran. If he marsino’s last term in Congress. Maybe the Businessman Woolverton will have an uphill should have a miracle handy, it would sure upset three Democrats figure they are getting an early fight to do much better. Assemblywoman Maxine Waters, who has been start for 1988, because there’s little hope they waiting for some time for Hawkins to retire. Re- District 24 (59% D - 29% R) - Democrat. In- publican businessman Van de Brooke has even can win this year. Then things should be real cumbent . Libertarian: interesting. less chance, especially since he lives in North- George Abraham. Peace and Free- ern California. District 20 (46% d - 45% R) - Republican: In- dom: James Green. All are from Los cumbent William Thomas of Bakers- Angeles. District 30 (61% D - 30% R) - Democrats: In- field. Democrats: Jules Moquin and Republicans didn’t even bother to run anyone cumbent Marty Martinez of Monterey Francis Serra of Bakersfield. against powerful Congressman Waxman, who Park, Gil Barron of Rosemead and Businessman Moquin and systems analyst not only takes care of hts own reelections but George Trivich of San Gabriel. Repub-

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licans: John Almquist of La Canada and District 36 (56% 5 - 33% R) - Democrat: In- make the futile run at four-termer Dannemeyer, Michael Rablovic of Alhambra. Libertar- cumbent George Brown Jr. of Riverside. whose embarrassing campaign for U. S. Sen- ian: Kim Goldsworthy of Rosemead. Republicans: Gary Arnold of Riverside, ate, in which he appeared with a stuffed turkey Although this district should be a sure thing for -Bob Henley of Colton, Jim Norton of called “Rosie, ’’ will probably only help him win a Democrat, ekerybody agrees that two-term Fontana and Nina Pierce of Ontario. again. incumbent Mar!iner is going to have to work Republicans think this fast-changing district, hard to hang orto tis seat. For one thing, hard which gave Ronald Reagan 71 percent of its District 40 (32% D - 57% R) - Republicans: feelings still linper .n the district from the time vote in 7 984, should belong to them, and every Incumbent and Nathan Martinez oustec‘ Jack Fenton to win a seat in the two years they spend lots of money trying to Rosenberg of Newport Beach. Demo- state Assembly. Fo, another, Republicans have beat liberal George Brown, so far without suc- crat: Art Hoffmann of Santa Ana. Peace shown they can run way ahead of registration in cess. This time, Brown will get a new opponent and Freedom: Steve Sears of Irvine. this heavily Hispanic district. Martinez is being (after beating John Paul Stark the last three Stung by criticism of his congressional junket- challenged in ‘he primary by school board times), most likely businessman Henley, who ing, Badham received only 64 percent of the member Barrorl ar7d businessman and La- two years ago lost an Assembly race to Jerry vote in 1984. If he behaves himself between now Rouche suppor ‘er 3vich. Eaves. With few other prospects in the state, and election day, he may do better this year. Republicans again figure to spend a lot trying He’s not hurt by the fact that his Democratic 14istrict 31 (72% U - 20% R) - Democrats: In- to oust Brown. opponent is a fancier of Lyndon LaRoche. Dem- cumbent Me-vyn Dymally of Los Ange- ocrats are tying to drum up a write-in candidate les and Kevin Zondervan of Hawthorne. District 37 (45% D - 45% R) - Republicans: to beat Hoffmann. Republic.3ns. Gary Boogaard of Para- Incumbent Altred McCandless of Palm mount, Jack McMurray and Mas Odoi of Desert and Bud Mathewson of Banning. District 41 (39% D - 47% R) - Republican: In- Torrance. Peace and Freedom: B. Democrats: David Kolk of Riverside, cumbent of San Diego. Dern- Kwaku D Jreii of Compton. Johnny Pearson of Perris and Dave ocrats: Dan Kripke of La Jolla and Alex Usually somebody :hallenges Dymally in both Skinner of Riverside. Maruniak of San Diego. Libertarian: the primary and general election, but so far no- The only thing McCandless fears in this solidly Dick Rider of San Diego. body has comcl close. This year’s crop, La- Republican district is that Democrat Robert Democrats thought they had a good opponent Rouche baclwr and aerospace engineer Presley will one day get tired of the State Senate against three-term incumbent Lowery in 1984, Zondervan, or any of the three Republicans, and challenge him for the job. Other than that, but he still managed to get 63 percent of the have so far shown no signs of doing any better. he has nothing to worry about from perennial vote. Hopes are not even that high this year for Republican challenger Mathewson, or any of physician Kripke and aerospace engineer and District 32 (58% B 32% R) Democrats: In- - - the Democrats. LaRouche fancier Maruniak. cumbent Slein Anderson of San Pedro and Margaret Thrasher of Long Beach, District 38 (49% D - 40% R) - Republican: In- District 42 (39% D - 51% R) - Republican: In- Republicans: Philip Dean of Long Beach o--q( cumbent Robert Dornan of Garden cumbent of Long Beach. and Joyc:e Robertson of Manhattan Grove. Democrats: Dave Carter and Democrats: Michael Blackburn of Long Beach. P3acs and Freedom: John Do- Richard Robinson, both of Garden Beach, Thomas McGreal of Newport nohue of -ong Beach. Grove. Libertarian: Lee Connelly of Beach and Kevin Olsen of Torrance. Republicans had their best opportunity to re- Buena Park. Peace and Freedom: Kate McClatchy of move Anderson ’out year ago when Congress- “8-1 Bob” Dornan is always good material for Long Beach. man Dan Lungien’s brother, Brian, had the a campaign, and the Democrats have two po- Lungren was the first of the state’s Republican Republican nominalion. Since then, Anderson tentially good challengers in Judge Carter and congressmen to realize he wasn’t going to be has only increas,ed his share of the vote and Robinson, an assemblyman who decided to run the nominee for U. S. Senate. Since then, he’s may do so agai~idespite a primary challenge for Congress rather than face a likely defeat in settled back into running for the House. Despite from interior decorator and La Rouche backer his own Assembly seat. The two Democrats, the efforts of one of the three Democrats - at- Thrasher. who both had war records that will appeal to torneys Blackburn and McGreal and customer conservative Orange County voters, will likely service representative Olsen -his constituents DiStFict 33 (44% D - 47% R) - Republican: In- cut each other up some in the primary, but Dor- will probably forgive him and return him for a cumbent lave Dreier of Covina. Dem- nan will still have to work hard to hold this seat. fifth term. ocrats: Monty Hempel of Claremont and Paul Jeff ’ey of Glendora. Peace and District 43 (32% D - 55% R) - Republican: In- Freedom: Mib.e Noonan of Claremont. cumbent of Carisbad. There was only cne lime that Dreier might have Democrat: Joseph Chirra of Vista. Lib- been removed from this solidly Republican dis- ertarian: Phyllis Avery of Oceanside. trict. That was wf,en.+e and then congressman, Packard had to win this district as a write-in now assemblyman, lVayne Grisham went head- candidate in 1982. That’s the last interesting to-head in 7982. Sin2e then, things have been campaign this district is likely to see for a long easy for him. Hcmp31, a college teacher, and time. In 1984 the Democrat got 23 percent of Jeffrey, a masonr.i ccntractor who’s a LaRouche the vote. backer, are comiIetiiTg to see who will be next to lose. District 44 (56% D - 31% R) - Democrat: In- cumbent of San Diego. Re- District 34 (63% 5 - 29% R) - Democrat: In- publicans: Michael London of San cumbent Estcban Torres of La Puente. Carter Robinson Diego, Bill Mitchell of San Diego and Republicai: Charles Houseof Hacienda He proved to be an excellent money raiser in the Gene Pierson of Chuia Vista. Libertar- Heights. $7 million campaign against incumbent Jerry ian: Dennis Thompson of San Diego. Torres twice beal Pa 11 Jackson to hold this sol- Patterson two years ago, and he should do just Peace and Freedom: Shirley lsaacson idly Democratic se: t in eastern Los Angeles as well defending himself this year. Although of Los Angeles. County. This year, be’s being challenged by Dornan has to be the favorite to hold this seat, Republicans believe their party should hold all Deputy Sheriff HWS 3, and chances are excel- it should be a wonderful campaign to watch. the congressional seats south of Los Angeles, lent he will repea’. and it bothers them that Jim Bates holds this District 39 (35% D - 55% R) - Republican: In- San Diego-based district where Ronald Rea- Ristyict 35 (40% D - 49% R) - Republican: In- cumbent Bill Dannemeyer of Fullerton. gan got 52 percent of the vote. They think they cumbent Jerr)’ Lewis of Redlands. Dem- Democrats: Maureen Pike of Los An- may have a good challengerin Mitchell, a former ocrat: R. “Sarge” Hall of Adelanto. geles and David Vest of Placentia. San Diego deputy mayor, who must still beat out Lewis once thought he’d like to be the state’s Peace and Freedom: Frank Boeheim of attorney London and auditor Pierson for the lieutenant goverrior. Now, with eight years in Tustin. nomination. Bates had 70 percent of the vote in Congress behino him and a nice spot on the Sometimes it’s hard to remember there are 1984, though, and beating him is a long shot. Appropriations Committee, he’s not going any- Democrats in the heart of Orange County. But where and retire.? non-com Hall isn’t likely to in this case two, housewife and LaRouche District 45 (39% 5 - 48% R) - Republican: In- change that. backer Pike, and administrator Vest, want to cumbent Duncan Hunter of Coronado.

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Democrats: George Hollis, Hewitt Ryan Gray of San Bruno, Mike Gomez and man of Bakersfield threatened to and Michael Seeto. All of San Diego. Robert Silvestri of San Francisco. run a candidate against him. But Rogers and Libertarian: Lee Schwartz of San Diego. Bay Area Democratic politics has never been Thomas avoided a bitter primary after a “unity Hunter got even more votes than Reagan in this tidy and the battle to succeed Democrat John poll” showed Rogers the clear favorite. Demo- solidly Republican district. He is in no danger Foran is just one more part of the mess. On the crats, on the other hand, have two attractive from any of his three Democratic challengers, Democratic side, Assemblyman Lou Papan, a candidates: Ablin, a neurosurgeon and friend to one of whom, Hollis, is a LaRouche backeL ClOSe ally of Speaker Willie Brown, should brush aside Jim Gonzales, an aide to San Fran Mayor . There has never been much love lost between the Brown and Feinstein camps, so this part of the primary could be con- Senate tentious. Normally, Republicans hardly count, but this year the GOP nominee could be feisty San Francisco County Supervisor Quentin District 2 (57% D 31% R) Democrat: Incum- - - Kopp, an independent who plans to run as a bent Barry Keene of Beni cia. Republi- can: Dick Brann of Rio Vista. Peace and write-in in both the Democratic and Republican Freedom: Pamela Elizondo of Willits. primaries. Kopp’s supervisorial district lies within this district and his name ID exceeds Pa- Republicans trumpet that they can topple the pan’s. Private polls taken for Kopp show that he Senate’s malority leader, but most observers beats Papan. Whatever the outcome, the cam- Ablin Jim Young see this as smoke meant to keep Keene - a paign should be interesting, Nervous Nellie at election time - tied up at Stiern, and Young, a community college chan- home and out of GOP hair elsewhere. This dis- District 10 (56% D - 31% R) - Democrat: In- cellor. Senate Democratic leaders say they’ll trict, which includes the coast from Marin cumbent Bill Lockyer of Hayward. Re- stay out of the primary unless it becomes nasty County to the Oregon border, is split between publican: Bruce Bergondy of Hayward. and threatens their chances in the fall. If that environmentalists and the timber industry, and What’s wrong with fast Bay Republicans? If happens, watch them come in on the side of Keene has been able to mollify both sides. ever a candidate has“vulnerab1e” stamped on Young. Brann, although a long-time member of the Bay his forehead, it’s Bill Lockyer. Registration and District 18 (48% D - 39% R) - Democrat: In- Conservation and Development Commission,is growth trends in communities like Fremont and bcumbent Gary Hart of Santa Barbara. not known as an environmentalist. Republican Livermoremake this district marginal, and Lock- Republican: DeWayne Holmdahl of optimism comes from the fact that much of the yer‘s unpredictable behavior has generated un- Lompoc. Libertarian: Jay Wood of Port rapid growth in this district has occurred in So- flattering publicity in recent years. But barring Hueneme. lano County where Brann is a popular some bizarre incident, Lockyer will go back to This affluent, coastal district is fast slipping supervisor. the Senate because Republicans failed to come away from Democrats, despite their best efforts up with anything more than a retread who lost to isolate most of Ventura County‘s Republicans District 4 (51% D - 39% R) - Republican. In- an Assembly race by 44,000 votes in 1984. cumbent James Nielsen of Rohnert in the neighboring 19th District. The biggest vot- Park Democrat: Franklin Cibula of District 12 (54% D - 34% R) - Democrat: In- ing block is in Santa Barbara County where Redding. & cumbent Dan McCorquodale of San Democrats maintain a slim 45-39 percent reg- istration edge, but where 13 percent of vaters This district is rural, rugged and independent. It Jose. Republicans: Bob Herriott of Mil- pitas and Thomas Legan of San Jose. are registered as “declined to state.” The pop- takes in the lush wine-growing areas around the ular Hart first won this seat after a bruising and Napa Valley and extends north to include This district IS sliding toward the GOP, and Re- publicans have given it a top priority. However, expensive battle four years ago against Charles Shasta County. If Republicans harbor notions of Imbrecht. He’s also beaten Holmdahl, a Santa knocking off Keene in District 2, Democrats their chances for unseating McCorquodale may evaporate in a nasty and expensive primary. Barbara County supervisor, when the two think they can return the favor by retiring the squared off in an Assembly race In 1978. Still, Senate’s GOP kingpin - or at least pinning him Some Republicans think Legan, a Santa Clara County supervisor backed by the Bay Area Republicans thinkthey have a chance, and Hart down. Dems think Nielsen is vulnerable over himself seems to be running scared. Why else past support for the governor’s attempts to di- GOP establishment and Senator Becky Morgan from near-by Los Altos Hills, will mount a more would a liberal, death-penalty opponent come vert Northern California water to the south and out against Chief Justice Rose Bird? over recent charges he used campaign money formidable challenge to McCorquodale. But to hire members of his family. Some of this dis- Herriott, an airline pilot supported by conserv- District 20 (57% D - 34% R) - Democrat: In- trict also represents new territory for Nielsen, ative Senators H. L. Richardson and John Dool- cumbent Alan Robbins of Van Nuys. Re- who had to move from his lifelong home in Me, has already sniped that Legan is too liberal publicans: Lynn Davis of Granada Hills Woodland in order to stay in the district. and too independent to be a loyal Republican. and Arra Haigazian of Sherman Oaks. Herriott ran for Congress in 1984 against Dem- Senate Republicans are staying out of the pri- District 6 (58% D - 32% R) - Democrat. Incum- ocrat Don Edwards, losing by 45,000 votes. mary battle between Davis, a businessman, bent Leroy Greene of Carmichael. Re- District 14 (52% D - 38% A) Republican: In- and Haigazian, a retired business executive. publican: Sandy Smoley of Sacramento. - Chances are they‘ll stay out of the general elec- For the third consecutive election, the Sacra- cumbent Ken Maddy of Fresno. Demo- crat: Michael LeSage of Paso Robles. tion, too. With so many Democratic fish to fry mento area will see a bruising and expensive elsewhere across the state, Robbins is safe. Senate fight that features two candidates with LeSage, an attorney, can’t stop tilting at wind- “incumbent advantage.” In 1982 it was then- mills. Two years ago he tried to unseat Bakers- District 22 (5870 D - 32% R) - Democrat: In- Assemblyman Greene against incumbent Sen- field Congressman Bill Thomas. Thomas won by cumbent Herschel Rosenthal of Los An- ator John Doolittle. In 1984 it was Doolittle 40 percentage points. Maddy has an easy ride. geles. Republican. Daniel Sias of against former Senator Ray Johnson. This year District 16 (55% D - 36% R) - Democrats: Westwood. Libertarian: Joseph Russell it’s Greene against Smoley, a popular county +George Ablin of Bakersfield and James of Los Angeles. Peace and Freedom: supervisor who may be better known in the dis- Young of Arvin. Republicans: Donald Abby Kirk of Santa Monica. trict than Greene. Both sides see this race as a Rogers of Bakersfield and Paul Young Sias is an engineer but won’t be able to con- top priority, and both plan heavy voter-registra- of Wasco. struct any kind of scenario for defeating the tion drives and a huge influx of money. Since ever-popular Rosenthal. both candidates have good images with voters, The battle to succeed Senate dean Walter Sbern look for auxiliary issues to play important roles is everyone’s top priority, and Republicans think District 24 (69% D - 22% R) - Democrat: In- in the campaign -Smoley’s outspoken support they have the best shot to gain one on the Dem- cumbent Art Torres of South Pasadena. for a sports stadium in Sacramento, Greene’s ocrats. The district, which runs from Kings Republican: Lee Prentiss of South Pas- reputation as a hard worker for the district. County to Pasadena, has been the scene of bit- adena. Libertarian: Laura Brown of Los ter Republican feuds in recent years. When con- Angeles. District 8 (64% D - 23% R) - Democrats: Jim servative Don Rogers, giving up a safe In 1982 when Torres decided to move on from +Gonzalez of San Francisco and Louis Assembly seat to carry the GOP standard, an- the Assembly to the Senate, he was half of a Papan of Millbrae. Republicans: Russell nounced his candidacy, moderate Congress- primary fight that sank the Hispanic communi-

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bes around fa.rt Los Angeles in a political mud- November election is concerned, the GOP pri- or high name recognition: Chandler, an attorney bath (former S mabr Alex Garcia was the other mary may be academic, but at least it's and son of a Sutter County supervisor; Evans, half). This yea; h,iving decided not to run for entertaining. Herger 3 administrative assistant; Narbaitz, a state controller Toires can take it easy. Prentiss former television sportscaster and aide to As- is a police dettctive with the LAPD. District 38 (35% D - 50% R) - Republican: In- semblyman Stan Statham; Stoos, a pro-life ac- cumbent Bill Craven of Oceanside. Lib- tivist; and Wheeler, a Butte County supervisor District 26 (63% D - 29% R)- Democrat: In- ertarian: Betsy Mill of San Diego. cumbert Jcseph Montoya of El Monte. Democrats didn't even try. Oh, joy. Joe Mcntoya is coming back to Sacramento. District 40 (54% D - 33% R) - Democrat: In- cumbent Wadte Deddeh of Bonita. Re- District 28 (73% D - 19% R) - Democrat, tn- publicans: William Hoover of Imperial cumbert Diane Watson of Los Angeles. Beach and Muriel Watson of Bonita. Republicin: Armand Vaquer of Peace and Freedom: William Beard Of Hawtho me San Dtego. The most Democrc tic state Senate district up for This is the only Democratic Senate district in election this yciar. Vaquer, a businessman, has San Diego County, but Republicans think that a great name 5 nd no chance. demographic trends indicate they'll soon own this territory, too. Deddeh hangs on because District 30 (6!)% 22% R) Democrat: In- D - - he's a tough campaigner and because Demo- cumbert Ralph Dills of Gardena. Re- crats registered 8600 new voters between ChsnQler Evans publicaris: 13ooker Cole Jr. of Torrance March 1985 and January 1986. Republicans and Anthcny Gray of Long Beach. registered just over 7000. Hoover is a cop; Wat- Peace and Freedom: Lee Chauser of son a teacher. Neither has much of a chance, Long B~acti. which means Senate Republicans probably Following his r ?el€ction, Dills will loin Senators won't help much. Alquist, Petris 2nd Richardson as co-deans of the Senate. District 32 (4: % 19 - 47% R) - Repubkcan: In- cumbent Ed Royce of Anaheim. Demo- I crats: Fiancrs Hoffman of Anahetm and Sal Sap en Df Stanton. District 1 (51%D - 39% R) - Republican: In- Democrats talk abwt an upset here. Although cumbent Stan Statham of Oak Run. the district is he avily Republican, itis also about Democrat: Arlie Caudle of Hayfork. stoos Wheeler 37 percent M;panic. Democrat Sapien, the Therural district that covers most of the northern with a reputation for successfully taking on Tom mayor pro tent of Stanton, is also Hispanic. quarter of the state and where Statham ran un- Hayden and the CED in Chico. The early line Thus, he stand:; a chance, Democrats say. And opposed in '84. Conservative in nature, it has favors Chandler, Evans or Stoos. if you buy thaf. w've got some oil wells you been a haven for Statham. Teacher Caudle might like to buy. Actually, Democrats would like won't disrupt the harmony. District 4 (57% D - 30% R) - Democrat: Incum- to force Royce Po spend some of his campaign bent Thomas Hannigan of Fairfield. Re- cash at home nither than in other races against District 2 (57% D -31% R) - Democrat: Incum- publican: Steven Hague of Davis. other Democrats. 73 force him to do that, Sapien bent Dan Hauser of Arcata. Repubti- Hague is a student at UC Davis, and Hannigan must first win the orimary against Hoffman, a cans' George Kennedy of Sebastopol is going to give him a sound lesson in electoral member of tke Orange County Board of and Lowell Mengel of Eureka. politics. Education. Republicans thought they had Hauser two years ago when Supervisor Danny Walsh ran District 5 (51% D - 38% R) - Democrats: John District 34 (55% If 35% R) - Democrat: In- against him in an expensive and grueling cam- Byouk of Rosevilie and Jack Dugan of cumbent Ruben Ayala of San Bernar- paign. But Hauser won a convincing victory, Citrus Heights. Republicans: Joseph dino. Republicans: Daniel Norton of even capturing Walsh's home county of Hum- Brouillette of Loomis and Tim Leslie of Fontana and Steve Turner of Rialto. boldt. They might try again, but it's difficult to Carmichael. Libertarian:Charles Carr of Republicans ale teating Democrats in newly see how the GOP will fare better this time Loomis. registered vote,s by a two-to-one margin here, around, for neither primary candidate is as Two years ago Republican Leslie came within and the district is becoming more and more strong as Walsh. In that primary, Mengel would 1400 votes of unseating incumbent Democrat conservative. But Aiyala is a hard-working con- appear to have the edge due to the large block Jean Moorhead Duffy. With Duffy retiring from servative Democra, who ran 10 points ahead of of voters from Eureka, where he is a city coun- the Assembly, the GOP thinks it has a clearshot registration in 1382 In the GOP primary, Turner cilman. Kennedy is a businessman from Son- with Leslie and has given this district one of their is supported by state Senator H. L. Richardson, oma County. highest priorities. But this won't be a cake walk and if H.L. decides lo pump in some money, despite Leslie's almost victory in '84. Democrats Turner could wdlk ,iway with the primary. That District 3 (46% D - 42% R) - Democrats: Len think Dugan has the kind of career that appeals will qualify him o Icse to Ayala in November. Fulton of Paradise and Floyd Marsh of to district voters, who tend to be more conserv- Williams. Republicans: Chris Chandler ative than Democratic. A retired Army officer District 36 (49% tb - 41% R) - Democrat: In- and David Evans of Yuba City, Wayne who served with distinction in Vietnam, Dugan cumbent Rcoert Presley of Riverside. Harrison of Marysville, Ray Narbaitz, heads up the attorney general's crime preven- Republicans. Gilbert0 Olivarria of Rtv- John Stoos and Hilda Wheeler of Chico. tion bureau. With strong help from the Demo- erside and Anne Richardson of Mira The huge primary field materialized because in- cratic leadership, he should brush aside Byouk, Loma. cumbent Republican is running for a member of the Roseville City Council. On the Republican squabbles in this district make Congress. Normally whoever emerges from the GOP side, Leslie, with the backing of Assembly OPEC meetings lock like love fests. Olivarria is Republican primary has an easy time in Novem- Republicans, should have no trouble with a Riverside pobce lieutenant who lost a close ber, but Assembly Democrats think the district Brouillette, a political science teacher. A Leslie- race to Democratic Assemblyman Steve Clute is ripe for an upset if rancher and Colusa County Dugan race could cost each side $500,000 in 1984. Richardso,i is a businesswoman sup- Supervisor Marsh can win their primary. Marsh, or more. ported by another Flichardson, namely H.L. (no former president of the National Wool Growers relation). Olivarva got into the GOPprimary be- Association, has strong ties to agriculture. Win- District 6 (57% D - 33% R) - Democrat: Incum- cause conserc'ati\ie Republicans talked of ning the primary is going to be an uphill battle, bent Lloyd Connelly of Sacramento. Re- mounting a ser'ous challenge to Presley. Oli- however, because Fulton is a well-known su- publicans: David Bain of Rancho varria likes Presle): as does about everyone pervisor from Butte County, by far the largest Cordova and David Green of else in this conswvi five district. In fact, Olivarria voting block in the district. The Republican pri- Sacramento. has said thatshculd he win the primary, he plans mary is going to be a slugfest because five of Bain, it turns out, has the backing of Lyndon fo withdraw ana endorse Presley. As far as the the six candidates have substantial constituents LaRouche's political organization, which has

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caused the GOP to deny him their support. It Udinsky of Oakland. Libertarian: William Terence Faulkner of San Francisco and doesn’t matter. Connelly is unbeatable. McCord of Piedmont. Peace and Free- Michael Rocco of Berkeley. dom: Emma Mar of Oakland. This is a primary donnybrook for Democrats, District 7 (51%D- 38%R) - Democrat: Incum- Tom Bates has no problems, either in the pri- and one they’djust as soon avoid. Nevin, a Daly bent Norm Waters of Plymouth. Repub- mary or in the general election. His Democratic City councilman and San Francisco police in- lican: Terry Holm of Placerville. opponent is supported by Lyndon LaRouche. spector, has the support of Speaker Brown and Libertarian: Robert Page of Colfax. just about every other Bay Area Democrat, in- Over half the district’s voters live in El Dorado District 13 (73% D - 15% R) - Democrat: In- cluding the man who is giving up this district - and the rural southern part of Sacramento cumbent Elihu Harris of Oakland. Re- Assembly Rules Committee chair Lou Papan. County. El Dorado registration is dead even be- publicans: Paulette Matthews of Normally that would be more than enough to put tween Republicans and Democrats; Sacra- Oakland and David Norman of Alameda. Nevin into office. But Speieris the early favorite. mento is a 2-to-l edge for the Dems. Waters, Republicans are actually vying for the privi- Not only is she a formidable campaigner, over who ran 1 7 points ahead of registrationin 1984, ledge of facing Harris in November. two-thirds of the district’s Democrats live in San is too popular in both places for Holm, a District 14 (64% D 25% R)- Democrat: In- Mateo County where Speier is a well-known criminologist. - county supervisor. The stakes are high because cumbent Johan Klehs of San Leandro. the Democratic primary winner will win in District 8 (54%D - 37% R) - Democrat: Mary Republicans: Curtis Jones of Oakland November. h Jadiker of Cobb. Republicans: Jim Ford and Richard Wong of Castro Valley. of Napa, Bev Hansen of Santa Rosa, Last fall Klehs thought about trekking in the Hi- District 20 (45% D - 43% R) - Democrats: Ed Martin McClure of Santa Rosa, Harold malayas. He could probably do it this year and Bacciocco of San Mateo and Kevin Kelly Moskowite of Napa and Tim Riley of still win reelection. of Redwood City. Republicans: William Sonoma. Duplissea of San Carlos and John Ward Some observers say that incumbent Republi- District 15 (38% D - 50% R ) - Republican: of Burlingame. can Don Sebastiani took a hardlook at the facts Incumbent William Baker of Walnut Another of those musical-district seats on the and decided to run for state controller rather Creek. Democrat: Wayne Bennett of Peninsula that opened up when the rncumbent than face a losing campaign for reelection. The San Ramon. - in this case, Republican Bob Naylor - de- facts are these: Two years ago Sebastiani Nearly every Republican in the East Bay is cided to seek higher office. The Republican pri- barely beat Jadiker even though she had little stuffed into this district. Bennett, a city council- mary should decide things here. Among money and little help from Assembly Demo- man, has about as much chance of beating Republicans, Ward is a moderate San Mateo crats. This year they’re backing Jadiker to the Baker as the Golden State Warriors have of win- County supervisor with substantial local sup- hilt and a heavy registration drive last year ning the 1985-86 NBA championship. port who is not well liked by conservative mem- added over 3000 new Democratic voters. Re- bers of the Assembly’s Republican caucus. District D R) Democrat: In- publicans admit this will be the hardest district 16 (68% - 15% - They support the more conservative Duplissea. cumbent Art Agnos. Republican: Max to hold in the GOP column. Among the GOP ocratic side, Bacciocco has the Woods. Peace and Freedom: Joyce challengers, Moskowite, a rancher and Napa e Assembly leadership. County supervisor, would seem to have the best Schon and Meg Weber. All are from San chance, although some conservative members Francisco. District 21 (53% D - 32% R) - Democrat: In- of the Republican caucus are backing rancher Woods, who opposed Agnos in 7 984, ran 4 per- cumbent Byron Sher of Palo Alto. Re- McClure. Hansen’s campaign is managed by a cent ahead of GOP registration. publicans: Kelly Downing of Palo Alto and Robert Philips of Sunnyvale. Liber- former aide to Assembly Republican leader Pat District 17 (63%D 20% R) Democrat: In- - - tarian: Thomas Grey of Sunnyvale. Nolan, although Nolan himself is staying cumbent Willie Brown Jr. Republicans: Peace and Freedom: Frank DeSio of the fray. Riley once worked for two asse Jeff Corino and Timothy Wikle. Liber- men, Sebastiani and Tom McClintock. tarian: Bonnie Hoy. All are from San Y. tion is creeping up in this Francisco. District 9 (52%D 34% R) - Republican: ln- re is nothing to indicate that - Willie Brown’s endorsement of Rose Bird prob- cumbent Willram Filante of Greenbrae. Sher won’t return for another two-year term. h ably won’t hurt him. Democrat: Johanna Willmann of San District 22 (41% D 46% R) Republicans: Rafael. - - District 18 (55% D - 31% R) - Democrats: Ben Henry Olsen of San Jose, Charles This is another district where the Democrats Barrientos of San Jose, Delaine Eastin Quackenbush of Los Altos and Reed have had active registration drives, adding of Union City and Elwood Johnson of Sparks of San Jose. Democrat: Brent nearly 2700 to their margin last year. In 1984 Milpitas. Republicans: Carl Bocchini Ventura of Los Gatos. Libertarian: Dus- they thought they could unseat Filante but the and Leo Mehan of Fremont and Reynold tin Baker of Saratoga. incumbent had an easy time of it. This time, how- Schweickhardt of Milpitas. Libertarian: is moving on to run for Congress, ever, Dems think they have a strongercandidate Charles Hanes of San Jose. hence another Bay Area seat is open. Repub- in Willmann, the mayor of Fairfax, and say Incumbent Alister McAlister, who is running for licans should retain it, although there are two they’re going all out to win the district, which state controller,has kept this a safe Democratic things to keep in mind. The Democratic candi- takes in Marin and southern Sonoma counties. seat despite its growing GOP registration and District 10 (58%D - 32% R) - Democrats: ln- conservative leanings. Now, however, with cumbent Phillip lsenberg of Sacra- Democrats anxious to keep it in their column mento, Republican: Daryl Sullivan of Elk and Republicans smelling an upset, the general Second, voters here have an independent Grove. election could turn heated and exp On streak. In 1984 a write-in candidate polled an The non-Sacramento parts of this district are the Democratic side, the Assembly hip impressive 35 percent of the vote against Kon- growing, and the growth IS predominantly Re- is behind Eastin, a councilwoman from Union nyu. Republicans may also help the Dems if publican in areas like Contra Costa County. That City, but she’ll get a tough race from John ary turns nasty. Olsen has strong sup- could pose a future problem for Isenberg, but the mayorpro tem of Milpitas. Her base in U the Assembly Republican leadership, for now the former mayor of Sacramento can fish City provides more punch than his in Milpitas, while Quackenbush is an -ish kind of in these waters. however, and that, plus support from the lead- self-made man who appeals to district voters. ership, should put her into the finals. Among the Sparks is the vice-mayor of San Jose. If Assem- District 11 (65% D - 24% R) - Democrat: In- Republicans, both Mehan and Bocchini have bly Republicans want Olsen bad enough, they cumbent Robert Campbell of Richmond. lost to McAlister in the past, Mehan in 1984 and can probably spend enough money to force him Republican: Timothy DeWitt of Bocchini in 1978. Mehan appears the favorite down the district’s throat. But that could cause Richmond. after garnering a host of endorsements from enough of a November backlash to send Ven- Campbell ran unopposed in 1984. He has local elected officials, Schweickhardt, a busi- tura to Sacramento. about the same concern this year. nessman, lost the GOP primary in the 21st As- sembly District in 1984. District 23 (62% D - 26% R) - Democrat: In- District 12 (62%D - 24% R)- Democrats: In- cumbent John Vasconcellos of San cumbent Tom Bates of Berkeley and District 19 (6lY0 D - 26% R) - Democrats: Mi- Jose. Republicans: Lynn Knapp of San Mary Lintner of Oakland. Republicans: 0-n chael Nevin of Daly City and Jackie Jose and Brian Sloan of Santa Clara. Brad Sparks of Berkeley and Jerald Sperer of Redwood City. Republicans: Libertarian: Kennita Watson of San

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Jose Poacc? and Freedom: Kerry WiI- publicans. Anna Allen and Trice Harvey. ridge. Democrat. Mark Lit of Northridge. hams of Sar Jose. Libertarian: Craig Gifford. All are from ht is an economist used to deaOng with Rum- Therelust aren" en >ugh Republicans around to Bakersfield. bers. He should take a good, hard look at the mount an effecirve challenge to Vasconceflos. Don Rogers' bid for the state Senate opened registration figures. this seat up, and a Republican should be fa- District 24 (55% 13 - 33% R) - Democrat: In- vored come November. But Assembly Demo- District 39 (57% D - 34% R) - Democrat In- cumben: Dlminic Cortese. Republi- crats say that Fallgatter, an attorney, couldpinch hcumbent Richard Katz of Panorama cans: C Wayne Lorentz and Jack this seat away should he survive the primary. City Republican: Robert Thoreson of Sandoval. Libertarian:John Webster.AH His opponent, Corcoran, is a retired lawyer. On Northridge are from Salt Jose. the Republican side, the Assembly caucus has This is a conservative San Fernando Valley dis- Teacher Sandc Val is back again after losing trict where Katz and Thoreson have squared off twice to Cortese, and he should defeat La- before (1984). In winning, Kat2 ran behind reg- Rouchee Loren 'z ic the GOP primary. Although istration, but Democrats feel that their party's the registration gap is narrowing in south San voters are loyal enough to send him back again. Jose, it isn't yet encvgh to help Republicans. Republicans aren't so sure and have put this race into their Top 5 category Thoreson, a po- %strict 25 (54% 1) - 34% R) - Democrat: In- /ice officer, is a hard campaigner who has ap- cumbent RLsty Areias of Salinas. Re- peal with conservatives and family ties inside publican Ben Gilmore of Morgan Hit[. the district's Hispanic community. Badly out- Libertarim: \/lark Hinkle of San Jose spent in 1984, he can expect a lot of help from Even Republictns ldmit that Areias is just too Assembly Republicans thrs time around popular for them to take advantage of growing GOP registratio?, District 40 (55% D - 35% R)- Democrat: In- cumbent Tom Bane of Van Nuys. Re- district 26 (57% fi - 34% R) - Democrat: In- Fallgatter Harvey publicans Bruce Dah1 of Sherman Oaks cumbent Pa rick Johnston of Stockton. and Brian Dennis of North Hollywood. Republican. Douglas Biggs of Stockton thrown its weight behind Harvey, a Kern County supervisor, who should defeat Allen, a rancher Another one of those districts where Democrats Assembly Republ cans took a major shot at suffer from creeping Republicanism. Although Johnston two yc'ars ago and came up so short and local party activist. Harvey has the best chance in the fall. this isn't the year, the registration figures are they're not going to bother very much in '86. improving enough for the GOP to take a hard District 34 (46% D 45% Republican: In- look at Bane in rhe future. Dlsti'ict 27 (55% 35% R) Democrat: In- - Rf - E1 - - p Wyman of Tehachapi. cumbent Ga y Condit of Ceres. Repub- District 41 (40% D - 51% R) - Repubitcan. In- licans: Gerald DeYoung of Oakdale. Wyman was one of the 35,000 or so elected of- cumbent Pat Nolan of Glendale. Dem- Libertarian. Stephen Gerringer of ficials who toyed with the idea of running for ocrat. John Vollbrecht of Los Angeles. Modesto controller but opted for a safe reelection. Can't Peace and Freedom. Patricia Bennett of According to the Dens, Conditpolls higherhere get much safer than being unopposed. Glendale. than either Reega4i or Deukmejian, and that District (50% 36%) - Democrat: tncum- Nolan bounced Vollbrechttwo years ago. Since kind of populari'y cvercomes the fact that this 35 D - bent Jack O'Conneil of Carpinteria. Re- then Democratic registration has declined. is really a margi la1 3entral Valley district. publican: Mark Urdahl of Oxnard. District 42 (40% D - 51% R) - Republican. In- District 28 (54% E: - 32% R) - Democrat: In- Libertartan: Robert Bakhaus of Santa cumbent Richard Mountjoy of Arcadia cumbent Sarn Farr of Carrnel. Republi- Barbara. Just what every incumbent needs - a nice, can: Jeff 3o:shard of Santa Cruz. Assembly Republicans look at the registration quiet election season. Watch out, Sam Fair. A political Magnum .357 numbers and can't figure out why a Democrat has emerged in this district. Okay, for now he's still holds this district. Not only a Democrat, but District 43 (55% D - 36% R)- Democrats Terry nothing more thi n t/ le mayor of Carmel, but one a liberal Democrat loyal to Willie Brown. What Friedman of Los Angeles, Bruce Mar- never knows. Tho rcad to the White House has Republicans don't figure on is O'Connell him- golin of West Hollywood and Rosemary started with s nailer steps ("Bedtime for self, a hard-working representative who has Woodlock of Woodland Hills Republi- Bonzo," for example) Meanwhile, back to real- earned the respect of independent-minded vot- cans: Marc Schuyler of Tarzana and Lou ity. The Democrm ained registration last year, ers. In 1984 the GOP ran the popular sheriff of Steeg of Sherman Oaks Peace and and it probably will hike someone like Clint East- Santa Barbara County, and O'Connell Freedom: John Honigsfeld of Los wood to pry fan ou of this seat. whomped him. This time, Assembly Republi- Angeles cans think that Urdahl, a 26-year-old graduate Some people say this is part of a chain-reaction District 29 (419, D - 47% R) - Republican. In- of UC Santa Barbara, will turn the trick. sponsored by the Berman- Waxman political cumbent Eric Seastrand of Salinas. machine that dominates West Los Angeles pol- Democrat: R3bert Weber of Paso Ro- District 36 (40% D - 48% R) - Republicans: itics. First, state Controller Ken Cory announced bles. Lib2rtiirian: Jerry Steddum of Incumbent Thomas McClintock of New- he wouldn't seek reelection. But he did it so late Santa Ma*ta. bury Park and Paul Hamel of Ventura. in the process that it caught everyone off guard On a map, this coastal district looks like an al- Democrats: Paul Golis of Thousand - everyone but his political allies, Berman- ligator with its moutt open. Guess what it's de- Oaks and Frank Nekimken of Newbury Waxman. When Cory bowed out, Assemblyman vouring. Democr2tic candidates. Park. Libertarian: Bruce Driscolt of Gray Davis (another Berman- Waxman ally) bowed in for controller, thus opening up this District 30 (63% D - 30% R) - Democrat: In- Thousand Oaks. McClfntock briefly pondered running for Con- seat, also at the last minute. And whaddya know, cumbent .lim Costa of Fresno. Republi- the Berman- Waxman folks lust happened to can: Blaine Aiderson of Fresno. gress, and that caused Hamel to file for the As- sembly Since McClintock decided not to run for have a candidate ready to fill Davis' shoes - The GOP isn't even ralking about a minor chal- Terry Friedman. Friedman, an attorney, is close lenge to Costa thrs y?ar. Congress, Hamel decided not to campaign. The Democratic primary is between a writer (Golis) friends with Assemblyman Burt Margolin. Now, District 31 (58% D - 35% R) - Democrat: In- and and housing counselor (Nekimken).Neither Assemblyman Margolin is no relation to Bruce cumbent Elruc e Bronzan of Fresno. Re- is a threat to McClintock. Margolin who is also running for the Democratic publican: Don Farrington of Fresno. nomination Confused? Berman-Waxman is not Republican reg striition gains of late aren't District 37 (39%0 D - 51% R) - Republicans: contused but firmly behind Friedman. Speaker enough to offset 3ro.izan's popularity. Incumbent Cathie Wright of Sirni Valley. Brown is keeping hands off In the GOPprimary, Democrat: William Hesse of Chats- Steeg is a LaRouchee and Schuyler was Dist:ict 32 (46% D . 45% R) - Republican: In- worth, Libertarian. Gregory Dull of Oak recruited as cannon fodder for Davis It's cumbent E ill "ones of Fresno. View. Friedman all the way Democrats had e,iou7h of Jones two years ago. In this district, smile when you say "Democrat." District 44 (59% D - 30% R) - Democrats. In- District 33 (54% D - 38% R) - Democrats: John District 38 (43% D - 49% R) - Republican: In- cumbent Tom Hayden of Santa Monica & Corcoran r. aid Thomas Fallgatter. Re- cumbent Marian La Follette of North- and Alex Cota of Los Angeles. Repub-

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licans Bill Mundell of Santa Monica and District 53 (60% D - 29% R) - Democrat: In- Los Angeles City Council last December. Since Gloria Stout of Pacific Palisades Lib- cumbent Dick Floyd of Hawthorne. Re- then the 55th has been without a representative ertarian Neal Donner of Los Angeles publican: Roger Fiola of Hawthorne. in Sacramento. So, they held a special election Peace and Freedom Carol Berman of Peace and Freedom: Antoinette Kramer April 8th to elect a successor to Alatorre. The Venice of Carson. roster of candidates in that election was the Cota ran against Hayden in the ‘84 primary and Floyd will return as the Assembly’s resident same as those for the June 3rd primary. But to managed less than 20 percent of the vote. On smoker of cheap cigars. win that special election, a candidate had to get the GOP side, activists are waiting to see who emerges from a toss-up primary before pouring District 54 (6S0/0 D - 26% R) - Democrats: Dan in the inevitable anti-bfayden money. Branstine of Lakewood, Tom Cochee of Bellflower, Doris Davis of Compton, District 45 (59% D - 30% R) - Democrat In- Marty Israel of Paramount, Willard Mur- cumbent Burt Margolin of Los Angeles. ray of Compton, Ray O’Neal and Kent Republicans Gerald Broderson of Hol- Spieller of Bellflower, Larry Ward of lywood and Jana Olson of North Holly- Lakewood and Edward Waters of Comp- wood Libertarian Donald Meyer of ton. Republican: Paul Zeltner of Lake- lnglewood Peace and Freedom: Sylvia wood Peace and Freedom: Vikki Kushner of Los Angeles. Mutdock of Lakewood. Margolin can spend most of his time helping The battle to replace Assembly Speaker pro friend Terry Friedman win election in the 43rd Tempore Frank Vicencia should take place in Assembly District the Democratic primary, but there are some in- Hernandez Polanco teresting things to note. First, Waters is the son District 46 (59% D 28% R) Democrats In- - - of Assemblywoman Maxine Waters and has the 50 percent plus one vote. No one did. Polanco, cumbent Mike Roos and William Jones speaker’s main agent, Richie Ross, running his Alaforre’s chief deputy, led the pack with 38.9 of Los Angeles Republican Jeffrey campaign. But Waters is not his mother’s clone. percent thanks to a significant write-in vote. He Wright of San Marino Libertarian Marel In fact, he’s fairly conservative, which could help was followed by Hernandez with 37.3 percent. Bates of Los Angeles Peace and Free- him in this jumbled, conservative, blue-collar Republican Lutz was third with close to 10 per- dom John O’Brren of Hollywood district where only 30 percent of the population cent. Because no one received the required Some day, the axe may fall on Roos because of is black. Waters, however, doesn’t have the amount, there will be two - count ’em, two - the Monarty investigations If anything ever sur- backing of the entire Assembly Democratic elections on June 3rd: a run-off between Po- faces against him, he might run into difficulty in caucus. Some members support Speiller, an at- lanco, Lutz and two minorparty candidates and a Democratic primary For now, however, engi- the regular primary. /t is conceivable that Po- neering analyst Jones isn’t going to give Roos, Ianco could win the general election and lose the Assembly majority leader, much trouble the Democratic primary since Hernandez de- District 47 (83% D - 10% R) - Democrat In- cided to contest the primary. So it’s going to be cumbent Teresa Hughes Republicans: a confusing and expensive spring in East Los Victor Brown and James Delurgio. All Angeles as Polanco has the support of Alatorre, from Los Angeles state Senator Art Torres, Mayor Tom Bradley and most Assembly Democrats while Hernan- It’s always somewhat amazing that two Repub- dez is backed by Assemblywoman Gloria licans would actually want this nomination. Molina and Congressman Ed ffoybal. District 48 (85% D - 9% R) - Democrat. Incum- District 56 (78% D - 13% R) - Democrats: In- bent Maxine Waters of Los Angeles Re- cumbent Gloria Molina and Virginia Bel- publican of South Gate Ward Murray montez. Republicans: Kelley Clark and Libertarian Jose Castaneda of South Henry Gamboa. All are from Los Gate Angeles. Two years ago, the Republtcan candidate ran Belmontez is the regional director for MAPA, the five points ahead of registration If that trend Mexican-American Political Association that is continues, Waters ought to be in trouble some- now headed by Richard Chavez, son of Cesar. where around the turn of the 22nd Century. Republican Gamboa is backed by LaRouche, Molina should win handily and return to District 49 (73% D - 19% R) - Democrat In- cumbent Gwen Moore of Los Angeles Sacramento. Republicans Ailan Feldman of Marina District 57 (62% D - 27% R ) - Democrat: In- del Rey and Eric Givens of Los Angeles cumbent Dave Elder of San Pedro, Re- Peace and Freedom Susan Gong of publican: Clair Barnes of Long Beach. Culver City Peace and Freedom: Max Gundershei- Gwen Moore thought about running for the Spieller Zeltner mer of Long Beach. Board of Equalization Had she decided to do torney. Others support Ward, a member of the A scoot for Elder. it, the Democrats would strll have won. Lakewood School Board. And then there is District 58 (41% D - 48% R) - Republican: in- District 50 (77% D - 16% R) - Democrat tn- Murray, also blackand an aide to Congressman cumbent Dennis Brown of Long Beach. cumbent Curtis Tucker of lnglewood . What everyone is reluctant to Democrats: Michael Ferrall and Andrew Republicans Michael Dam of Ingfe- admit is that should Waters or Murray win, it may wood and Stephen Wiley of El Segundo give Republicans an opening, and they’ve ex- Another Republican suicide run pressed a willingness to pour money behind Zeltner, a retired deputy sheriff and two-time Brown is no relation to Assembly Speaker Willie District 51 (39% D - 51% R) - Republican. In- mayor of Lakewood. Brown. Ferrallis Los Angeies Port administrator. cumbent Gerald Felando of San Pedro Democrat Jon Mercant of Redondo District 55 (68% D - 22% R) - Democrats: Er- District 59 (64% D - 27% R) - Democrat: In- Beach Libertarian. Rodney Dobson of nie Akui, Mike Hernandez, Gonzalo Mol- cumbent Charles Calderon of Monte- Redondo Beach ina and Richard Polanco, all from Los bello. Republican: Ronald Martinez of A Democratic suicide run. Angeles, and Thomas Williams of Pas- South El Monte. adena. Republican: Loren Lutz of Los A solid Democratic district. District 52 (45% D - 46% R) - Republican In- Angeles. Libertarian: Sarah Foster of cumbent Frank Hill of Whittier Demo- Los Angeles. Peace and Freedom: Mi- District 60 (61% D - 30% R) - Democrat: In- crat Judith Prather of Whittier chael Zinzun of Pasadena. cumbent Sally Tanner of El Monte. Re- Hill got 70 percent of the vote in 1984, and Are you ready for this? Richard Alatorre repre- publican: Henry Velasco of El Monte. there’s no indication he’s losing popularity sented this district before being elected to the Libertarian: David Argall of La Puente.

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Republicans think that, despite the numbers, District 68 (54% D - 35% R) - Democrat: ln- ian who bills himself as an "investor." they have a chamhere because their candi- cumbent Steve Clute of Riverside. Re- date is Hispanic- and much of the district is also publican: Matt Webb of Moreno Valley. District 75 (35% D - 50% R) - Republican: In- Hispanic. In adtfiticn Velasco can draw on welf- Peace and Freedom: Violet Schmidt of cumbent Sunny Mojonnier of Encinitas. known show biisinsss contacts as he is engi- Beaumont. Libertarian: John Murphy of San Diego. neer for the popu'ar drive-time Lohman and Peace and Freedom: Arnie Schoenberg Republicans thought they had Clute on the of San Diego. Barkley radic st ow. Tanner should win, ropes in 1984 but came up short. This year, however. After attracting 72 percent of the vote in 7984, th their Number 3 priority Mojonnier didn't attract a Democratic opponent. District 61 (41 YO El - 47% R) - Republican: In- another expensive blood- cumbent B II Leonard of Redlands. bath in Riverside. The district lies in one of the District 76 (35% D - 53% R) - Republican: In- Democrat: Richard Valdez of Crestline. fastest growing areas of the state, and the GOP cumbent Bill Bradley of San Marcos. American Independent: Margie Hart of claims thar the growth favors their side. Regis- Democrats: Alice Keyser of El Cajon Barstow. tration numbers for the past year indicate Dem- and Robert White of Bonita. Peace and No contest for Leorlard. ocrats have gained a percentage PO Freedom: Jill Thornsberry of Lakeside. Clute, for all his supposed vulnera Bradley's impressive string of victories will con- District 62 (4326 0 - 48% R) - Republican: In- popular, especially among veterans groups, tinue again this year despite the best efforts of cumbent Bill Lancaster of Covina. Dem- and it will be an uphill struggle for businessman Keyser, a businesswoman, and White, a labor ocrat: W(iyn.3Wendt of West Covina. Webb to unseat him. Webb's family is both a management administrator. Lancaster's viglrth Assembly victory is boon and a bane this year. First, his late father assured. was a highly respected engineer, and the family District 77 (38% D - 49% R) - Republican: In- is well-known and well liked. But his cousin, cumbent Larry Stirling of La Mesa. Dem- District 63 (60% C - 33% R) - Republican: In- Steve Webb - who once considered running ocrat: William Smelko of La Mesa. cumbent Wiiyne Grisham of Norwalk. himself - was forced out as a city councilman Stirling has an opponent for the first time since Democrc ts: Ruth Stephenson of Dow- recently after having lost a recall election in 1980 - but not a challenge. ney and 3ot White of Norwalk. Moreno Valley. Democrats thinx W'lite has little chance of un- District 78 (44% D - 41% R) - Democrat: In- seating Grishani this fall. What they're aiming for District 69 (35% D - 53% R) - Republican: In- k cumbent Lucy Killea. Republican: Earl is 1987. That'sriqht- 1987. DemsfeelthatGris- cumbent Nolan Frizzelle of Huntington Cantos Jr. Libertarian: Joseph Shea. ham will run for the state Senate seat being va- Beach. Democrat: Jack Baldwin of American Independent: Charles cated by Dem'icnit Paul Carpenter, should Irvme. Ulmschneider. All are from San Diego. Republicans grump that this should be their dis- Carpenter win tis mce for the Board of Equali- A yawner for Frizzelle. zation this fall. rheh, they say, White will be in trict and have put it into their top 5. Democratic line for the special olection to replace Grisham. District 70 (28% D - 61% R) - Republican: GiI registration has slipped three points and the Of course, the Democrats may not have to wait Ferguson of Balboa Island. Democrat: GOP has gained four since Killea first won in until 1987 if Grishain gets too complacent and Geoffrey Gray of Newport Beach. 1982. Last year alone, Republicans registered fails to aggressively campaign. Two years ago The most Republican Assembly district in 6000 more voters than did Democrats and by this district was represented by a Democrat - California. election day, registration between the two par- Bruce Young. St2phenson IS backed by ties could be dead even. Republicans thus plan La Rouche. District 71 (44% D - 46% R) - Republican: In- to spend and spend and spend to unseat Killea. cumbent Doris Allen of Cypress. Dem- But the numbers seem irrelevant. Two years ago District 64 (37% D - 53% R) - Republican: In- oerat: Mark Rosen of Garden Grove. the GOP took a major shot a Killea with a pop- cumbent Rcss Johnson of Fullerton. Peace and Freedom: C.T. Weber of Gar- ular San Diego County supervisor who ran an Democrats: Peter Dimopoulos of Fuller- den Grove. aggressive campaign backed with lots of ton and Jo Narte Lisa of Los Angeles. Allen expected a big challenge in 1984 with lots money. They got bombed when Killea, a former Johnson can concentrate on his death-penalty of cash and help from Democrats statewide. But vice mayor of San Diego, ran 20 points ahead initiative. the challenge never materialized, and she of registration. This year Republicans are back waltzed back to Sacramento. This year attorney with 30-year-old Earl Cantos Jr., son of a retired District 65 (4496 D - 46% R) - Republican: In- Rosen seems to be on his own as Democrats judge. cumbent Ct-arles Bader of Pomona. aren't even talking about a challenge. Democrats: tlill Christopher of Hesperia District 79 (59% D - 29% R) - Democrat: In- and Hal Jackson of Pomona. District 72 (51% D - 38% R) - Democrat: Dan- cumbent Pete Chacon. Republican: Three years agc Democrats outnumbered Re- *iel Griset of Santa Ana. Republicans: Robert Ard. Libertarian: Pat Wright. publicans in this di.jtriCt. Christopher, a main- George Heaney and Dick Longshore of Peace and Freedom: Bernice Werthei- tenance supervisor, and Jackson, a youth Santa Ana. mer. All are from San Diego. authority chaplain, won't restore the numbers. The Republicans Numtaro Uno. The incumbent, This district is the black and Hispanic sections Jackson ran agLlins Bader in 7 984 - and lost Democrat Richard Robinson, thought so little of of San Diego. Thus Republicans think they have big. his reelection chances that he decided to run a chance with Ard, a black minister and former for Congress against . That's in part president of the Black Council of Churches. Al- District 66 (60% D - 29% R) - Democrats: In- because he beat Republican Longshore by only though an active Republican since 1964, Ard cumbent Gerald Eaves of Rialto and 256 votes in 1984. Longshore is up once again led the state's Jesse Jackson delegation to the John Hobbs of San Bernardino. Repub- and is backed by Assembly Republicans, Democratic National Convention in San Fran- lican: Carol lurner of Rialto. which should give him a big leg up on Heaney, cisco. Not great credentials for a Republican. Eaves got to the Assembly in 1984 by perform- a workers' compensation rep. As for November, District 80 (53% D 35% R) - Democrat: In- ing a near-impossible task - knocking off an Republicans think this time Longshore will be - incumbent (Te6.ry Goggin) in the primary. cumbent Steve Peace of Chula Vista. rewarded for his patience. Democrats believe Republicans: Tom DuBose and Jay Mar- Hobbs, an educato,; finished a dismal third in Griset, the 30-ish mayor of Santa Ana, will keep that same primal y ai id won't do much better this tin of ChulaVista. Libertarian: Randolph the district in their column. Lots of money and Myrseth of National City. time around. Nor bill the Republican despite effort will be expended here. GOP claims that th.s area is sliding into their Peace skated by in 1984 without an opponent camp. District 73 (43% D - 47% R) - Republican: In- and since has moved up in the Assembly lead- cumbent David Kelley of Hemet. Dem- ership. But the man who made "Attack of the District 67 (32% D - 58% R) - Republican: In- ocrat: Byron Powell of Corona. Killer Tomatoes" an enduring part of the Amer- cumbent John Lewis of Yorba Linda. Teacher Powell has no chance against the vet- ican cultural landscape will have to do battle in Democrats: Ray Anderson of Orange eran Kelley. 1986, probably with DuBose who has the sup- and Marion tlundley of Yorba Linda. port of the Republican Assembly caucus. A 23- Anderson polleo 23 percent of the vote against District 74 (33% D - 53% R) - Republican: In- year resident of the district, DuBose is president Lewis in 1984, and there is nothing to indicate cumbent Robert Frazee of Carlsbad. Libertar- of a cash register company and fluent in Span- he'll improve on thaf total. Hundley is identified ian: Don Ellis of Oceanside. ish, an important asset in this heavily Hispanic with the LaRoucbe clan. The sacrificial lamb in this district is a Libertar- district.

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ts official title and summary on the June 3rd ballot are complicated and dull enough to put most voters to sleep, but Proposition 51 is likely to spark one of the most emotion-laden and expensive cam- paignsI ever waged in California. The “Multiple Defendants Liability for Tort Damages” initiative - better LAWYERS, INSURANCE CC known simply as “deep pockets” - pits against each other two segments of so- ciety the public loves to hate - lawyers and insurance companies. Each side has in its corner some powerful allies with more virtuous reputations - cities and Which wocket counties are siding with the insurance wi companies, doctors and businesses that favor Proposition 51; consumer groups By ANI and victims’ rights advocates are back- ing the attorneys opposed to the measure sponsored by Howard Jarvis. payers and forcing cities and counties initiative. Woodward & McDowell of Burlingame, to go broke. In the 30-second TV spot wars, expect who managed the successful lottery in- The opposition, expected to dig victims of asbestosis and DES-caused itiative in 1984, is representing the deeply into the pockets of the 5400- cancer to compete for voters’ sympa- campaign for Proposition 51. Berman member Trial Lawyers Association, thies with hapless cities forced to pay and D’Agostino, the Los Angeles cam- had reported only $216,199 in contri- millions to accident victims when a paign firm behind the defeat of Gover- butions as of March 22nd, all from 23 drunk driver was really at fault or with nor Deukmejian’s reapportionment individual attorneys, including $5000 youngsters gazing forlornly at a play- initiative in 1984, has been hired by the from Melvin Belli. A coalition of con- ground closed because liability insur- California Trial Lawyers Association to sumer groups calling itself the Com- ance was canceled. represent it and consumer groups op- mittee Against Proposition 51 hadn’t Mervin Field’s California Poll shows posed to the measure. The trial lawyers even filed notice of its existence with that through April few voters were have also paid $12,000 to Bobbie Metz- the secretary of state until March Zlst, even aware of the measure, but those ger, former press secretary to Assem- so its first campaign finance statement who were, were leaning strongly to- bly Speaker Willie Brown, for work her won’t be due until May 22nd -less than ward approval. Still, those in the initi- public relations firm has done on the two weeks before the election. ative-passage business generally campaign. The only initiative measure on an believe that it’s easier to defeat an otherwise lackluster list of ballot pro- initiative than to pass it. A full warchest posals, Proposition 51 seeks to change Both sides have hired big guns to run By late March backers of the initia- the complex legal doctrine of joint-and- their campaigns, and predictions are tive had reported $1.4 million in contri- several liability. Backers of the initia- that the cost of the race will approach butions - most of it from medical tive are attempting to portray the the record $10.4 million spent two years groups and insurance companies - and “deep pockets” doctrine as a windfall ago on an unsuccessful property tax had begun running three 30-second tel- for greedy attorneys and a root cause evision ads statewide, designed to con- of the insurance crisis that has strapped Ann Bancroft is a freelance writer vince Californians that the state’s “deep businesses with exorbitant premiums living in Sacramento. pocket” liability law is robbing the tax- and caused 43 California cities to go

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