10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
10/28 NHC began monitoring 11/1 Tropical Storm Eta 11/3 Cat 4 off Nicaragua stalled/dissipated/RAIN! 11/5 Honduras as TD re-strengthened into TS tropical 11/7 CubaType: “hybrid”?
pre-tropical cyclone
“vigorous tropical wave”
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
11/8 south FL/Keys under hurricane warning
forecast: weird excursion into GoM
11/9 hurricane 11/13 landfall as TS in NW FL
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
second-most intense Nov hurricane (after 1932 Cuba hurricane)
tropical Type: “hybrid”?
pre-tropical cyclone
“vigorous tropical wave”
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta hurricanes need warm waters allowed Eta to • warm ocean water strengthen explosively • calm upper-level atmosphere
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
11/3 prior to landfall in Nicaragua
well-developed eye
rainbands over massive area
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
central America torrential rain -> mudslides, landslides, flash floods
235 fatalities ! 150 Guatemala ! 41 Honduras ! 22 Mexico ! 17 Panama ! 2 Costa Rica ! 2 Nicaragua ! 1 El Salvador landslide in Queja buried 150 homes
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
Deutsche Welle, Guatemala
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
BBC, Honduras
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 10/31/20 - current Hurricane Eta
12th hurricane of season
record-tying 28th named storm in exceptionally busy season
most powerful in 2020 Atlantic season
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season
in terms of # of named storms record-tying with 2005
TS Cristobal (6/1-12)
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season hurricane season: June-October
stronger ones/more typically after late Aug after ocean warmed
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events annotated after lecture: this is actually the remnants of Tropical Storm Odalys off Baja California SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events dry air on ground upper-level clouds -> sunset ‘afterglow’ when sun below horizon illuminates high clouds SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events Q: if this was from a TS, why was air on ground so low? A: I do not have a clear answer, but air on the ground experienced quick blast of hot air. Air may not have been able to adjust and take up more moisture fast enough to raise relative humidity. The consequence then is that rain may fall in the upper atmosphere but never reaches the ground (virga).
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events cold front/ winter storm heating by distant from NW TS Odalys from S
SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events Mt Merapi acting up Mt Merapi most active in Indonesia one of 16 decade volcanoes
evacuations ongoing currently 300
GVP website has no info (lists June activity) last significant eruption 2010 19,000 told to evacuate unclear how many did 2018 353 fatalities phreatic eruption closed Yogyakarta Int. airport SIO15 – 11/09/20 Recent Events