Convergence of Technologies Joe Witkowski Director, Technology Innovation 6/5/2020 2 What is the new possible?
6/5/2020 3 Top Trends
• Reach is Increasing • Human 2.0 • Edge computing • Bio-informatics • Internet global • Robotics penetration • 3d printing
• Data Appetite • Establishing new trust • AI • Blockchain Quantum computing • • Quantum computing • Ethical concerns
6/5/2020 4 Reach
6/5/2020 5 Connected Devices
6/5/2020 6 Big Data
6/5/2020 7 REACH Edge Computing
6/5/2020 8 REACH 5G
6/5/2020 9 REACH 3d Printing Here • Wuhan hospital 3d printed in 10 days • Manufacturing as a service • Scoliosis braces & prosthetics • 3d printed bridge + AI Near • Mass manufacturing adoption • AI convergence (3d printed and designed AI bridge) • Just in time manufacturing for 2nd and 3rd world countries Far • Molecular 3d printing, hydrogels • Nano 3d printing • Disrupted by microgravity no contact, no touch methods (Acoustic levitation)
6/5/2020 10 REACH 3d Printing Disrupted?
6/5/2020 11 REACH Reach: 3d Printing disrupted already?
6/5/2020 12 Human 2.0
6/5/2020 13 Augmented Reality
6/5/2020 14 Augmented Reality Here • Pokemon Go • ARUtility • BP Smart safety glasses Near • Field repair + IOT • Augmented surgery • Retail (try before you buy) • Education
6/5/2020 15 HUMAN 2.0 Augmented Reality Far • Mirror World
6/5/2020 16 HUMAN 2.0 Brain Interface Devices
6/5/2020 17 HUMAN 2.0 6/5/2020 18 Human 2.0 - Robotics
6/5/2020 19 Data Appetite +
6/5/2020 20 6/5/2020 21 6/5/2020 22 Quantum Computers : 2015
6/5/2020 23 Quantum Computing 2019
6/5/2020 24 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Quantum Fears?
6/5/2020 25 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Quantum Timeline
1982 1994 1999 2003 2016 2019
• Physicist • Mathematician • D-Wave • DARPA brings • IBM Launches • Google claims Richard Peter Shaw Systems is online worlds Q, a 20 Qubit quantum Feynman demonstrates founded, first commercially supremacy proposes a quantum which became operational available, possibility of computer the worlds first quantum cloud hosted constructing could break company to network quantum quantum any known sell quantum computer computer encryption computers. Customers: Google, NASA, Lockheed Martin
6/5/2020 26 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Quantum Competition Increasing
6/5/2020 27 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Quantum Computing Now • Quantum Battleships • IBM Q Experience • Race to Supremacy • Hybrid Chips • Open Development • Scientific Research Near • “Quantum Apocalypse”
6/5/2020 28 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Quantum Computing Far (4+yrs) • Top Use Cases • Quantum Battery • Drug Development • Cybersecurity • Financial Modeling • Better Batteries • Cleaner Fertilizers • Traffic Optimizers • Simulations • Artificial Intelligence
6/5/2020 29 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence Non-Visual Definition:
“Artificial intelligence (AI) is the ability of a computer program or a machine to think and learn. It is also a field of study which tries to make computers "smart." They work on their own without being encoded with commands. John McCarthy coined the term "artificial intelligence" in 1955.
6/5/2020 30 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence Timeline
6/5/2020 31 Data Appetite Appetite + Data 6/5/2020 32 6/5/2020 33 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence: Fact vs Fiction
Narrow Artificial Intelligence (AI) Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI)
Think “like” a human Completely replace a human Completely replace all humans
6/5/2020 34 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence Now • Computer vision • Generative network AIs • Anomaly detection (generator failure) • Process optimization (mining) • Corrosion detection
6/5/2020 35 Data Appetite Appetite + Data 6/5/2020 36 6/5/2020 37 6/5/2020 38 Data Appetite Appetite + Data 6/5/2020 39 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence
Near
• Stronger Predictive Models • More “Creative” Networks Generated • Augmented Trading • Safety Coaches • Healthcare Companions • Human-Like Customer Service Avatars • Human-Like Teaching Coaches • Artificial General Intelligence Emerges
6/5/2020 40 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence and Moore's Law • Upper limit is in sight for transistor density • Current AI and supercomputers will be limited by space and power consumption in a way that quantum technology is not • The big push to break through the “slowing” results in innovation • 3d chips and GPU processing
6/5/2020 41 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence + Quantum Computing
6/5/2020 42 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Artificial Intelligence: Far
6/5/2020 43 Data Appetite Appetite + Data Establishing Trust
6/5/2020 44 6/5/2020 45 Establishing Trust Establishing Establishing Trust: IP and China
6/5/2020 46 Establishing Trust Establishing Connections and Blockchain
6/5/2020 47 Establishing Trust Establishing Blockchain: Crypto Slump?
6/5/2020 48 Establishing Trust Establishing Blockchain
Now Near Far
• Non-crypto “tokenized” • Energy use cases • Technology “grafted” applications are limited • REC Trading into the foundation of to POCs and small • P2P Trading communication consortiums • Settlement • New internet, all things • No major player has use blockchain swallowed up all others technology as a basis for • Significant differences establishing secure and between auditable transactions implementations • Slumping of investor interest
6/5/2020 49 Establishing Trust Establishing 6/5/2020 50 Convergences: Near Drones + AI (CV) + Edge computing (2 years) • Drones will be able to survey/inspect and process data with remediation actions on site • Safety increases as humans partner with autonomous devices • Drone inspection and prediction AI + Brain scanning (2 years) • Detection of learning rate slowing • Detection of fatigue and safety issues (1 year) AI + RPA + Process Mining + Humans (1 year)
3D printing + IOT • Printable skin circuits
6/5/2020 51 Convergences Convergences: Near AR + 3d printing (3 years) • We will be able to design and redesign and produce products and buildings at an unprecedented rate of speed • 3D printed organs AI + Robotics + Brain interfaces devices (3 years) • Robots become more human-like • Augmented humans increase and medical boundaries broken Blockchain + Everything (4-5 years) • Less time spent reconciling transactions • Blockchains become quantum resistant
6/5/2020 52 Convergences Convergences: Far Quantum computing + AGI (5+ years) • We will be able to solve problems never thought possible • Previous material constraints defeated ASI + Quantum computing + 3d printing (5+ years) • New products, buildings and materials being designed, constructed and mass manufactured by AI • Human Machine Convergence Big issues solved (disease, global hunger, climate) or humans eradicated
6/5/2020 53 Convergences What do we do now?
6/5/2020 54 Convergences Thank You!
Joe Witkowski
Want to talk more about disruption? Contact me at [email protected]
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