East Dunbartonshire Area Profile
October 2016 Contents Executive Summary ……………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 3
Introduction ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 6
Population ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 7
Age Structure …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 9
Population Estimates …………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 11
Population Projections …………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 14
Life Expectancy ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 15
Ethnicity …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 16
National Identity ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 17
Country of Birth …………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 18
Marital Status ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 19
Language ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 20 English language skills …………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 20 Language used at home …………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 21
Religion ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 22
Migration ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 23
Housing ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 24 Tenure ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 24 Household composition …………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 25 Dwelling Type ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………....page27
Car and Van Availability ………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 28
Local Economy ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 29 Employment and unemployment …………………………………………………………………………………… page 29 Economically active ………………………………………………………………………………………………………… page 30 Economically inactive …………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 31 Job seekers allowance claimants ……………………………………………………………………………………. page 32 Occupation …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 33
Education ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 34 Highest level of qualification ………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 34
1 School leaver destination ……………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 36 Attainment …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 37
Crime/Community Safety ……………………………………………………………………………………………... page 38 Crime rates per 10,000 population …………………………………………………………………………………. page 38 Accidental and deliberate fires ……………………………………………………………………………………….. page 39
Health …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 40 General Health ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 40 Limiting health problem or disability ………………………………………………………………………………. page 41 Provision of unpaid care …………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 42
Travel …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 43 Travel to work or study ………………………………………………………………………………………………….. page 43 Active travel to work ………………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 44 Distance travelled to work………………………………………………………………………………………………. page 45
Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation ………………………………………………………………………….. page 46
2 Executive Summary
The East Dunbartonshire Area Profile provides an overview of the population and its detailed characteristics. The information is provided at Scotland, East Dunbartonshire and Ward level where data is available. The data used was from a variety of sources including the 2011 Census, NOMIS (official labour market statistics website) and Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics and was the most up to date at the time of writing this document. For some topic areas the 2011 Census is the only source of data and therefore remains the latest data available.
The Census in Scotland was conducted by National Records of Scotland and took place on 27 March 2011 and involved around 2 million households. The first census results were released by National Records of Scotland (NRS) in December 2012 with further results released on a rolling basis throughout 2013. Further data will continue to be released throughout 2014/15. All released data is available on the Scotland’s Census website http://www.scotlandscensus.gov.uk/
Key Findings
1. Since 2001, the population of East Dunbartonshire is estimated to have decreased by 3,217 people (-3%). Over the last ten years there has been a decrease in the number of children aged 15 and under. The highest increase was in the 60-64 age group. This follows the projected population trend of an ageing population highlighted in the most recent population projections.
2. The Registrar General for Scotland’s most recent population projections suggest that the population of East Dunbartonshire will increase by 5.9% over the next 25 years. The overall projected population change is a result of gains from migration alone. Based on these projections, by 2039, 17% of the population will be under 16 years of age, 52.5% will be aged 16-64, 30.5% aged 65 and over and 18.5% will be aged 75 and over.
3. According to National Records of Scotland, male and female life expectancy was highest in East Dunbartonshire. Males in East Dunbartonshire can expect to live for 80.7 years, nearly four years longer than the Scottish average. Females can expect to live for 83.9 years, nearly three years longer than Scotland as a whole. A high percentage of East Dunbartonshire residents (84.9%) reported in the Census that their health was very good or good, 2% higher than the Scottish average.
4. The 2011 Census shows that 4.2% of East Dunbartonshire’s population were from a minority ethnic group, an increase of around 1% since the last census in 2001. The Asian population is the largest minority ethnic group (3.3%) in East Dunbartonshire. Within this, Indian is the largest individual category, accounting for 1.5% of the total population.
5. There were variations in the tenure of households by council area. East Dunbartonshire was one of only two local authorities where more than 80% of households owned their property (81.2%), this is 20% higher than the Scottish average of 61.6%. East Dunbartonshire also had a high percentage of car ownership across the area with 43.1% of households with access to one car or van and 30.2% with two cars or vans available for use. The majority of residents across East Dunbartonshire travelled to work or study by driving a car or van (45%), nearly 5% higher than the Scottish average.
6. Across East Dunbartonshire there were 28.4% one person households. East Dunbartonshire and Dumfries & Galloway had the highest proportion (11% of all households, 5,000 and 7,000 respectively) of households with all aged 65 and over families. 3 7. Employment is high with figures from NOMIS showing that East Dunbartonshire has a high percentage of people in employment (75.1%), just over 2% higher than the Scottish average. However, there has been a slight decrease in the percentage of people in employment between 2013 and 2015 from 77.2% to 75.1%. Unemployment in East Dunbartonshire has decreased from 5.0% in 2013 to 4.0% in 2015, nearly 2% lower than the Scottish average.
8. Attainment and school leaver destinations are high across East Dunbartonshire. During 2012/13, 98.3% of pupils in East Dunbartonshire gained English and Maths at SCQF level 3 or above, 4% higher than the Scottish average (94.3%). The results of the school leaver destination return showed 93.1% of school leavers in a positive destination (higher education, further education, employment, voluntary work or training) in 2011/12 with this figure rising to 95.6% in 2012/13.
9. According to National Records of Scotland’s recent Migration Report, East Dunbartonshire experienced a population increase due to in-migration combined with a very low natural change. During 2014/15 there was an estimated total net migration into East Dunbartonshire of 4,197 people and a total net migration out of 3,648 people resulting in a positive total net migration of 549 people. The first positive total net migration since 1994/95 was seen in 2011/12 (263 people).
Emerging Trends
Overall East Dunbartonshire as a whole continues to compare favourably to Scotland and other local authority areas with a high percentage of home ownership, car ownership, low unemployment and high percentage of economically active residents.
However, throughout this analysis, Ward 8 Kirkintilloch East & Twechar stands out as the most deprived of the Multi Member Wards. The 2011 Census results show Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of owned homes and the highest percentage of council rented (16.6%) and other social rented (17.7%) accommodation compared to other Wards and East Dunbartonshire as a whole. It also had the highest percentage of those aged 16-64 claiming job seekers allowance (4.9%) compared to other Wards and double that of East Dunbartonshire as a whole (2.4%). The census highlighted that the highest percentage of residents reporting their health as bad or very bad (7%) and their day to day activities limited because of a health problem or disability (11.2%) were found in the Kirkintilloch East & Twechar Ward.
In contrast, 50% of homes in Bearsden South were owned outright, 11% higher than Kirkintilloch East & Twechar. Bearsden South also had the lowest percentage of council rented (1.4%) and other social rented (0.1%) accommodation compared to other Wards. Bearsden North had the lowest percentage of those aged 16-64 claiming job seekers allowance (1%) and the lowest percentage of residents reporting their general health as bad or very bad (2.6%). Residents in Bearsden North reporting their day to day activities were limited a lot due to a health problem or disability was also low at 5.4%.
Future
The census is currently the only national survey that systematically captures and records information about the population at small areas. It provides the official population and socio-economic statistics. In the future there are expected to be changes to the ways in which population is measured.
The Beyond 2011 Programme was established by National Records of Scotland to explore the future provision of population and socio-demographic statistics in Scotland. The aim of the programme was to investigate a range of alternative solutions to the traditional census, including the possibility of using administrative sources or 4 developing a more cost-effective and efficient census design. The decision to review the traditional census was agreed across the United Kingdom.
National Records of Scotland announced on 27 March 2014 that it intends to focus on planning for a census in 2021 which will be primarily online, while offering alternative modes of completion where necessary. It also aims to make the best use of technology and administrative data in its design, building on the online approach used successfully in the 2011 Census. The decision to focus plans on a census in 2021 in Scotland was based on a variety of evidence, including results from research, stakeholder engagement, a user consultation and international experience.
Although the census will primarily be carried out online, National Records of Scotland are aware that there will be households who cannot respond online or who do not wish to do so. They will ensure that services are in place to support these households.
A programme of consultation and engagement will continue by National Records of Scotland to understand user requirements and shape the design of the 2021 Census. The findings from Beyond 2011 to date will be incorporated into the programme of work. Further research will be carried out to enable greater use of administrative data and surveys in the future.
England and Wales (UK Statistics Authority) also plan to carry out a modernised census in 2021 building on an online approach.
5 Introduction
The census is a count of all people and households in the country, and provides an estimate of the population and a detailed analysis of its characteristics. The 2011 Census in Scotland was conducted on 27 th March 2011 and involved around 2 million households. The census covers topics such as households, health, migration, ethnic group, national identity, religion, qualifications, employment and transport.
The census counts everyone in Scotland once every ten years. It is the country’s biggest statistics gathering exercise. From the public’s responses to census questions, National Records of Scotland produce a range of anonymised statistics to provide an accurate snapshot of Scotland’s population and reveal changes in Scotland’s society since the last census in 2001. The census statistics are used by central and local government and other organisations to decide where public money will be spent, for example, on services such as education, transport, housing and health care.
The first results from the census were released by National Records of Scotland in December 2012, over a year and a half after Census day, as it takes time to collect, process and check the vast amount of data collected in the census. National Records of Scotland tried to get the balance right between publishing the results as quickly as possible and ensuring that the quality of the information, upon which key decisions are based, is correct.
Census data has been released in phases as the results are complex and time consuming to produce and there is a vast array of data to be produced. Later releases are more detailed and complex than the first release data. It would therefore take longer to publish results if all the data was to be published at once.
This summary report sets out the key results from the 2011 Census that have been released at Local Authority and Ward level, revealing some of the mains issues for East Dunbartonshire. Where appropriate, it highlights changes that have occurred since the previous census. Data has also been used from a variety of other sources including NOMIS and Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics.
Colour coding has been used throughout the tables in this document with green highlighting a positive variance and red highlighting a negative variance compared to East Dunbartonshire data. An uncoloured box indicates no variance.
For example: No cars or vans East Dunbartonshire 19% Bearsden North 10.3% Red – negative variance Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 22.6% Green – positive variance Milngavie 19% No colour – no variance
6 Population 2001 and 2011 Census
According to the 2011 Census East Dunbartonshire has an estimated population of 105,026, a decrease of 3,217 (-3%) since the 2001 census. In contrast Scotland’s population increased by 5% since the last census, this represents the fastest growth rate between two censuses in the last century. The graph below shows the population of East Dunbartonshire and the eight Wards in 2001 and 2011.
Population 2001 -2011 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 2001 0 2011
Table 1 shows the population for the last two censuses of East Dunbartonshire and its Wards. Bearsden North, Bishopbriggs South, Kirkintilloch East & Twechar and Milngavie have all seen a decrease in their population since the last census, with Kirkintilloch East & Twechar seeing the largest decrease (-1969) of all the Ward areas.
Bearsden South, Bishopbriggs North & Torrance, Campsie & Kirkintilloch North and Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South have all had an increase in their population over the last 10 years. The largest increase in population was in Bearsden South with an increase of 335 residents.
Table 1: Population 2001 and 2011 2001 2011 Difference Population Population between 2001 and 2011 East Dunbartonshire 108,243 105,026 -3,217 Bearsden North 14,974 13 ,909 -1,065 Bearsden South 12 ,993 13 ,328 335 Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13 ,753 13,807 54 Bishopbriggs South 12 ,635 12,309 -326 Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 11 ,825 12 ,047 222 Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 14 ,714 12 ,745 -1,969 Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13 ,503 13 ,645 142 Milngavie 13,846 13 ,236 -610 Source: 2001 and 2011 Census
7
The chart below shows the structure of the population by 5 year age band in 2001 and 2011. It highlights the decrease in those aged 14 and under, along with a marked decrease in those aged 30-39. The highest increase was in the 60-64 age group, followed by those aged 80-84 and 75-79. This follows the predicted trend of an ageing population highlighted in the most recent population projections.
East Dunbartonshire Population 2001 - 2011 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 2001 3000 2011 2000 1000 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 + to to to to to to to to to to to to to to to to to to 4 9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 74 79 84 89
Figure 1: Population structure by age 2001 and 2011
The proportion of male and females in all Wards is consistent with East Dunbartonshire as a whole with a higher percentage of females than males.
Table 2: Percentage male and female Total Percentage Percentage Population Males Females Scotland 5,295,403 48.5% 51.5% East Dunbartonshire 105,026 48.2% 51.8% Bearsden North 13,909 48.2% 51.8% Bearsden South 13,328 48.1% 51.9% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,807 48.6% 51.4% Bishopbriggs South 12 ,309 47.6% 52.4% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12,047 47.8% 52.2% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,745 48.4% 51.6% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,645 48.9% 51.1% Milngavie 13,236 47.6% 52.4% Source: 2011 Census
8 Age Structure 2011 Census
The chart shows the percentage of children, East Dunbartonshire 2011 working age and pensionable age residents in East Dunbartonshire. The percentage of children has % Children (0-15) decreased by around 2.5% since the 2001 Census, 19% 18% the working age population has also decreased by % of Working Age nearly 2%, and there has been a 4% rise in the 63% (16-64) percentage of the population aged over 65. % of Pensionable Age (65+)
Source: 2011 Census
Age Structure 65+ Years
Table 3 shows the structure of the older population of East Dunbartonshire.
• The percentage of the population aged over 65 in Bearsden North (20.4%), Bearsden South (22.1%), Milngavie (21.7%) and Bishopbriggs North & Torrance (22.0%) was slightly higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole (19.4%). • Milngavie had the highest percentage of residents over the age of 75 (11.1%), followed by Bishopbriggs North & Torrance (10.5%), Bearsden South (10.4%) and Bearsden North(9.5%) who all had a higher percentage of over 75’s compared to East Dunbartonshire as a whole (9%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of those aged 65+ (15.5%), 75+ (6.7%) and 85+ (1.4%) compared to other Wards. • Milngavie had the highest percentage of residents aged 85+ (2.9%) compared to other Wards and East Dunbartonshire as a whole (2.1%).
Table 3: Age structure 65+ years Total 65+ Percentage 75+ Percentage 85+ Percentage of of of population population population 65+ 75+ 85+
Scotland 5,295,403 890,334 16.8% 408,542 7.7% 105,903 2.0% East Dunbartonshire 105,026 20,428 19.4% 9,451 9.0% 2,251 2.1% Bearsden North 13 ,909 2,834 20.4% 1,328 9.5% 366 2.6% Bearsden South 13 ,328 2,941 22.1% 1,384 10.4% 345 2.6% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13 ,807 3,041 22.0% 1,449 10.5% 256 1.9% Bishopbriggs South 12 ,309 2,058 16.7% 884 7.2% 183 1.5% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12 ,047 2,136 17.7% 975 8.1% 277 2.3% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12 ,745 1,982 15.5% 855 6.7% 184 1.4% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13 ,645 2,568 18.8% 1,109 8.1% 254 1.8% Milngavie 13 ,236 2,868 21.7% 1,467 11.1% 386 2.9% Source: 2011 Census
9 Age Structure 0-64 years 2011 Census
Table 4 below shows the broad age structure of East Dunbartonshire. • The age structure of East Dunbartonshire is broken down as follows 4.9% of the population was aged 0-4 years, 12.9% aged 5-15 and 62.7% aged between 16-64 years. • When compared to Scotland East Dunbartonshire had a slightly lower percentage of children under the age of 4 (0-4) and those aged 16-64 and had a slightly higher percentage of 5-15 year olds. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of children aged 0-4 years (5.9%). • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of children aged 5-15 years (14.4%) compared to other wards in East Dunbartonshire and nearly 2% more than East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • Bishopbriggs South and Campsie & Kirkintilloch North also had a slightly higher percentage of residents aged 16-64 (65.5% and 65.2% respectively) when compared to East Dunbartonshire (62.7%).
Table 4: Age structure aged 0-64 years Total 0-4 % 0-4 5-15 % 5-15 16-64 % 16-64 Scotland 5,295,403 292,821 5.5% 623,510 11.8% 3,488,738 65.9% East Dunbartonshire 105,026 5152 4.9% 13562 12.9% 65,884 62.7% Bearsden North 13 ,909 674 4.8% 2,001 14.4% 8,400 60.4% Bearsden South 13 ,328 589 4.4% 1,716 12.9% 8,082 60.6% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13 ,807 598 4.3% 1,739 12.6% 8,429 61.0% Bishopbriggs South 12 ,309 600 4.9% 1,592 12.9% 8,059 65.5% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12 ,047 633 5.2% 1,418 11.8% 7,860 65.2% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12 ,745 749 5.9% 1,676 13.1% 8,338 65.4% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13 ,645 651 4.8% 1,714 12.6% 8,712 63.8% Milngavie 13 ,236 658 5.0% 1,706 12.9% 8,004 60.5% Source: 2011 Census
10 Population Estimates 2015 Mid-Year Estimates
The population estimates are based on the 2011 Census. The population is ‘aged on’ one year (that is, the 0 year olds become 1 year olds, and so on), the number of births in the year are added, the number of deaths subtracted and adjustments are made for estimated migration and other changes in special populations. It is important to remember that while the number of births and deaths are considered to be almost complete, there is no comprehensive source of migration data for moves within Scotland, or to and from the rest of the UK and the rest of the world. Estimates of migration are made using the best proxy sources available including General Medical Practitioner (GP) registrations and survey information. Therefore, any error in the population estimates is likely to be due to the migration estimates, particularly the international estimates. Further information on population estimates can be found on the National Records of Scotland website www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data .
It should be noted that the 2011 Census data was revised to correct a known methodological issue in regards to the swapping of output areas across two Bishopbriggs Wards for disclosure reasons. However, we are unable to perform the same revisions on the 2015 estimates given that they are not published at output level.
The following tables and information are from the Mid 2015 Population Estimates which were produced by National Records of Scotland.
Age Structure
The table below provides the broad age structure of East Dunbartonshire.
• According to the 2015 mid-year estimates 5.1% of the population of East Dunbartonshire were aged 0-4, 12.3% were aged 5-15 and 61.1% of the population were aged 16-64. • East Dunbartonshire had a slightly lower percentage of children aged 0-4 and those aged 16-64 when compared to Scotland and a slightly higher percentage of children aged 5-15. • Compared to other Wards Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of children aged 0-4 (6.8%), this was also higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole (5.1%). Bishopbriggs North & Torrance had the lowest percentage of children aged 0-4 (3.9%) compared to other Wards. • Compared to other Wards Bishopbriggs North & Torrance had the lowest percentage of children aged 5-15 (10.8%) and Bearsden North had the highest percentage (13.9%). • The highest percentage of residents aged 16-64 were in Bishopbriggs South (64.6%) and Bearsden South had the lowest percentage of residents in this age group (57.7%).
Table 6: Age structure aged 0-64 (2015 mid-year estimates) Total 0-4 % 0-4 5-15 % 5-15 16-64 % 16-64 Scotland 5,373,000 291,174 5.4% 621,088 11.6% 3,477,740 64.7% East Dunbartonshire 106,960 5,439 5.1% 13,105 12.3% 65,404 61.1% Bearsden North 14594 746 5.1% 2029 13.9% 8475 58.1% Bearsden South 13401 672 5.0% 1601 11.9% 7738 57.7% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13518 527 3.9% 1455 10.8% 8333 61.6% Bishopbriggs South 12709 646 5.1% 1545 12.2% 8208 64.6% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12120 590 4.9% 1372 11.3% 7714 63.6% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 13722 928 6.8% 1777 13.0% 8726 63.6% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13451 711 5.3% 1633 12.1% 8261 61.4% Milngavie 13445 619 4.6% 1693 12.6% 7949 59.1% Source: National Records of Scotland (2015 Mid-Year Population Estimates)
11 The table below shows the age structure of the older population.
• According to the 2015 mid-year population estimates for East Dunbartonshire, 21.5% of the population were aged 65 and over, 10.2% were aged 75 and over and 2.7% were aged 85 and over. • Compared to other Wards Bearsden South had the highest percentage of people aged 65 and over (25.3%), followed by Bishopbriggs North and Torrance (23.7%) and Milngavie (23.75). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of residents aged 65 and over (16.7%) followed by Bishopbriggs South 18.2% and Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (20.2%). • Bearsden South had the highest percentage of residents aged 75+ (12.5%). Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of residents in this age group (7.2%), 3% lower than East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • Bearsden South had the highest percentage of residents in the 85 and over age group (4.0%) and Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of residents in this age group (1.6%).
Table 7: Age structure 65+ years (2015 mid-year estimates) Total 65+ Percentage 75+ Percentage 85+ Percentage of of of population population population 65+ 75+ 85+
Scotland 5,373,000 982,998 18.3% 437,717 8.1% 115,807 2.2% East Dunbartonshire 106,960 23,012 21.5% 10,868 10.2% 2,930 2.7% Bearsden North 14594 3344 22.9% 1620 11.1% 497 3.4% Bearsden South 13401 3390 25.3% 1679 12.5% 541 4.0% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13518 3203 23.7% 1675 12.4% 360 2.7% Bishopbriggs South 12709 2310 18.2% 1053 8.3% 236 1.9% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12120 2444 20.2% 1129 9.3% 353 2.9% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 13722 2291 16.7% 985 7.2% 225 1.6% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13451 2846 21.2% 1162 8.6% 281 2.1% Milngavie 13445 3184 23.7% 1565 11.6% 437 3.3% Source: National Records of Scotland (2015 Mid-Year Population Estimates)
The proportion of male and females in all Wards is consistent with East Dunbartonshire as a whole with a higher percentage of females than males, apart from Bishopbriggs North & Torrance which has slightly more males than females.
Table 8: Percentage male and female (2015 mid-year estimates) Total Percentage Percentage Population Males Females Scotland 5,373 ,000 48.6% 51.4% East Dunbartonshire 106,960 48.4% 51.6% Bearsden North 14594 48.8% 51.2% Bearsden South 13401 47.7% 52.3% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13518 50.2% 49.8% Bishopbriggs South 12709 47.5% 52.5% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12120 47.9% 52.1% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 13722 47.7% 52.3% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13451 48.9% 51.1% Milngavie 13445 48.0% 52.0% Source: National Records of Scotland (2015 Mid-Year Population Estimates)
12 Mid-Year Population Estimates Errors
National Records of Scotland (NRS) recently became aware of errors mainly affecting the age distribution of the mid-year population estimates for 2002 to 2014. This is due to an issue with an input data set used in the calculation of the mid-year estimates, as well as minor unrelated processing errors. The errors have no effect on the total population of Scotland and the 2011 mid-year population estimates are not affected.
The errors in the 2002 to 2010 population estimates are partly resolved by the retrospective revisions made to these estimates as a result of the 2011 Census. More information on the revisions made to these estimates as a result of the 2011 Census can be found on the NRS website ( www.nrscotland.gov.uk ).
The errors in the (total) council area populations are less than 0.10% in all council areas, for East Dunbartonshire there has been a very slight overestimation (-0.02%). However, the errors do affect the age distribution of the population, particularly in the age range 17-25 as shown in the table below.
Table 5: 2014 Mid-year population estimates cumulative net errors 2014 Mid -year estimates c umulative net e rrors Age All <17 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 >25 Ages Error -18 5 14 31 8 -41 1 8 -1 -25 13 -31 Note: a negative number means that the population was overestimated and a positive number means the population was underestimated.
NRS aim to correct the 2012, 2013 and 2014 mid-year population estimates for Council and NHS Boards in April 2016, when they publish the 2015 mid-year population estimates. Full details of the errors can be found on the NRS website www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data
13 Population Projections 2014 based projections
Recent population projections by the Registrar General for Scotland suggest that the population of East Dunbartonshire will increase by 5.9% over the next 25 years. This is a change when compared to previous population projections that forecast a decrease in population for East Dunbartonshire. 2012 based projections predicted a -6.8% decrease and a decrease of -9.8% was forecast in the 2010 based projections. The overall population change in the 2014 based projections is a result of gains from migration alone.
The number of children (0-15 years) is projected to increase by 4.4% between 2014 and 2039, whilst the population of pensionable age is expected to rise by 30.4%. The working age population is predicted to decrease by -3.2%. The highest population increase will be seen in those aged 75 and over with a predicted increase of 95%. The graph below shows the projected change in population for East Dunbartonshire over the next 25 years.
Population Projections 2014 - 2039 30,000
25,000
20,000 2014 15,000 2027 2039 10,000
5,000
0 0-15 16-29 30-49 50-64 65-74 75+
Source: National Records of Scotland, Population Projections for Scottish Areas (2014 based)
Based on these projections, by 2039, 17% of the population will be under 16 years of age, 52.5% will be aged 16-64, 30.5% aged 65 and over and 18.5% of the population will be 75 and over.
It should be noted that population projections have limitations. A projection is a calculation showing what happens if particular assumptions are made. The sub-national projections are trend based. They are, therefore, not policy based forecasts of what the government expects to happen. Many social and economic factors influence population change including policies adopted by both central and local government. The relationships between the various factors are complex and largely unknown.
14 Life Expectancy 2012-2014 (average)
According to National Records of Scotland male and female life expectancy was highest in East Dunbartonshire Council area. Males in East Dunbartonshire can expect to live for 80.7 years, nearly four years longer than the Scottish average. Females can expect to live for 83.9 years, nearly three years longer than Scotland as a whole.
Life Expectancy at birth 86
84
82
80 East Dunbartonshire 78 Scotland
76
74
72 Males Females
Source: National Records of Scotland – life expectancy for areas in Scotland, 2012-2014
The table below shows that life expectancy in East Dunbartonshire has been increasing for both males and females since 2006/08, male life expectancy has increased 2.6 years and 1.5 years for females.
Table 9: Life Expectancy Males Females 2006 -2008 2011 -2013 2012 -2014 2006 -2008 2011 -2013 2012 -2014 Scotland 75.1 years 76.9 years 77.1years 79.9 years 81.0 years 81.1 years East Dunbartonshire 78.1 years 80.5 years 80.7 years 82.4 years 83.9 years 83.9 years Source: National Records of Scotland – Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland 2012-2014
15 Ethnicity 2011 Census
The census question on ethnicity changed between 2001 and 2011. In 2011, tick boxes were added for ‘White: Polish’ and ‘White: Gypsy/Traveller’, ‘African’ was also included as a separate category.
Table 10 shows the broad ethnic breakdown of East Dunbartonshire. • 4.2% of people in East Dunbartonshire were from minority ethnic groups, an increase of 1% since the 2001 Census. • The Asian population was the largest minority ethnic group (3.3%) in East Dunbartonshire. Within this, Indian was the largest individual category, accounting for 1.5% of the total population. • Bearsden South had the highest proportion of residents from an Asian community at 6.7%, followed by Bearsden North (4.9%) and Bishopbriggs South (4.8%). • The majority of East Dunbartonshire residents were white Scottish (88.6%), 4% higher than the Scottish average. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents that were white Scottish (94%) compared to other Wards.
East Dunbartonshire Ethnicity
White Scottish White – Other British White – Irish White - Polish White – Other Asian Other ethnic Groups
Source: 2011 Census
Table 10: Broad ethnic group as a percentage of population White White – White – White - White – Asian, Other Scottish Other Irish Polish Other Asian ethnic British Scottish or Groups Asian British Scotland 84.0% 7.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.7% 1.4% East Dunbartonshire 88.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.1% 1.1% 3.3% 0.9% Bearsden North 84% 6.6% 1.4% 0.1% 1.9% 4.9% 0.8% Bearsden South 83% 5.6% 1.1% 0.1% 1.7% 6.7% 0.8% Bishopbriggs North & 89 % 4.3% 1.6% 0.1% 1.0% 3.0% 0.4% Torrance Bishopbriggs South 89 % 2.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.8% 4.8% 0.6% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 91% 4.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 0.3% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 94% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 91% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.7% 2.1% 0.5% Milngavie 88 % 6.6% 1.2% 0.1 % 1.2% 2.6% 0.5 % Source: 2011 Census 16 National Identity 2011 Census
The 2011 Census collected data on national identity for the first time.
• The majority of residents in East Dunbartonshire (60.2%) reported their national identity as Scottish, which was reflected across all Wards. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents who reported they had a Scottish Identity at 72.7% and Bearsden South had the lowest at 50.8%. • When compared to other Wards Bearsden South had the highest percentage of residents that reported their national identity as Scottish and British.
Table 11: National identity as a percentage of population All People Scottish British Scottish Scottish English Any other Other Other Identity Identity and and any Identity combinat Identity Identity Only Only British other Only ion of UK only and at Identities identities identities least Only (UK only) one UK Identity
Scotland 5,295,403 62.4% 8.4% 18.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 4.4% 0.3%
East Dunbartonshire 105,026 60.2% 8.7% 24.7% 1.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Bearsden North 13,909 51.7% 11.7% 27.6% 2.7% 1.1% 2.2% 2.7% 0.4%
Bearsden South 13,328 50.8% 10.8% 29.8% 2.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 0.4% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,807 60.0% 8.5% 25.5% 1.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Bishopbriggs South 12,309 65.6% 7.5% 21.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 0.2% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12,047 64.8% 7.1% 22.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 0.1% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,745 72.7% 5.3% 18.2% 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.04% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,645 61.6% 8.0% 25.3% 1.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Milngavie 13,236 56.3% 9.9% 26.3% 2.1% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 0.3% Source: 2011 Census
17 Country of Birth 2011 Census
Every Council area in Scotland experienced an increase between 2001 and 2011 in the proportion of people born outside the UK. • The majority of East Dunbartonshire residents were born in Scotland (89.2%) this was reflected across all Wards. Of those East Dunbartonshire residents that were born outside Scotland 5.7% were born in England, 3.1% in other countries, 0.6% in Northern Ireland, 0.2% in Wales, 0.4% in Republic of Ireland and 0.8% were born in EU countries. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents reporting they were born in Scotland (94%). • Bearsden North had the lowest percentage of residents born in Scotland (84.6%) with one of the highest percentages of residents born in England (7.6%) and other countries (5.0%) along with Bearsden South and Milngavie.
East Dunbartonshire - country of birth
Scotland England Northern Ireland Wales Republic of Ireland EU Countries Other Countries
Table 12: Country of birth All People Scotland England Northern Wales Republic EU Other Ireland of Ireland Countries Countries
Scotland 5,295,403 83.3% 8.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 2.6% 4.0%
East Dunbartonshire 105,026 89.2% 5.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 3.1%
Bearsden North 13,909 84.6% 7.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 5.0%
Bearsden South 13,328 85.8% 6.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 5.3% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,807 90.4% 5.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 2.5%
Bishopbriggs South 12,309 91.7% 3.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 3.2% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12,047 90.6% 5.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 2.0% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,745 94.0% 3.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0%
Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,645 90.5% 5.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 2.3%
Milngavie 13,236 87.0% 7.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 3.1% Source: 2011 Census
18 Marital Status 2011 Census
The 2011 Census question on marital status was extended from that asked in 2001 to include new categories for registered same-sex civil partnerships.
• In East Dunbartonshire 55% of the population aged 16 and over were married, 10% higher than the Scottish average and 28.2% were single. • Bearsden North, Bearsden South, Bishopbriggs & Torrance and Milngavie all had a slightly higher proportion of people aged 16 and over who are married (62.2%, 61.5%, 58.7% and 55.5% respectively) compared to East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest proportion of people aged over 16 who were single at 35.1%, this ward also had the highest percentage of people who were separated (but still legally married or still legally in a same –sex civil partnership) 4.2% and divorced 8.2%. • Milngavie and Bishopbriggs North & Torrance had the highest percentage of people aged over 16 who were widowed or were the surviving partner from a same-sex civil partnership (8.9%), followed by Kirkintilloch East & Twechar (8.3%).
Table 13: Marital status of population aged 16 and over All people Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage Percentage % widowed aged 16 and Single (never Married in a Separated divorced or or surviving over married or registered (but still formerly in partner never same-sex legally same sex from a registered a civil married or civil same-sex same-sex civil partnership still legally partnership civil partnership) in a same- which is partnership sex civil now legally partnership dissolved
Scotland 4,379,072 35.4% 45.2% 0.2% 3.2% 8.2% 7.8% East Dunbartonshire 86,312 28.2% 55.0% 0.1% 2.7% 5.9% 8.0%
Bearsden North 9,632 23.1% 62.2% 0.1% 1.8% 5.1% 7.6%
Bearsden South 11,955 24.0% 61.5% 0.2% 2.1% 4.4% 7.9% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 11,470 26.1% 58.7% 0.1% 2.1% 4.2% 8.9%
Bishopbriggs South 10,117 31.7% 51.3% 0.1% 3.2% 6.1% 7.6% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 11,280 31.0% 50.2% 0.2% 3.4% 7.7% 7.5% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 10,320 35.1% 44.1% 0.1% 4.2% 8.2% 8.3% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 9,996 29.0% 54.8% 0.1% 2.7% 6.3% 7.1%
Milngavie 10,872 26.9% 55.5% 0.1% 2.7% 6.0% 8.9% Source: 2011 Census
19 Language 2011 Census
The 2011 Census asked questions on proficiency in spoken English and on languages other than English used at home (for the first time).
English Language Skills
• Levels of English proficiency in East Dunbartonshire were high and above the average for Scotland. Overall, 94.9% of people aged 3 and over can speak, read and write English with only 0.2% with no skills in English. This was reflected across all of the eight wards as shown in the table below. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of people aged 3 and over who speak but do not read or write English (3%), closely followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (2.8%) when compared to other Wards and East Dunbartonshire as a whole (2.6%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar also had the highest percentage of people who understand English but do not speak, read or write English (2.2%). • Bearsden North, Bearsden South, Bishopbriggs North & Torrance, Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South and Milngavie all had a slightly higher percentage of residents that speak, read and write English compared to East Dunbartonshire.
Table 14: Proficiency in English, all people aged 3 and over All Underst Speaks, Speaks Speaks Reads Other No skills people ands reads but and but combin in aged 3 but and does reads does ation of English and over does writes not but not skills in not English read or does speak English speak, write not or write read or English write English write English English
Scotland 5,118,223 1.9% 93.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.04% 0.4% 0.2%
East Dunbartonshire 101,999 1.5% 94.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.03% 0.3% 0.1%
Bearsden North 13,519 1.0% 95.5% 2.6% 0.6% 0.01% 0.27% 0.06%
Bearsden South 12,997 1.1% 95.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.02% 0.31% 0.18% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,473 1.5% 95.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.04% 0.33% 0.08%
Bishopbriggs South 11,962 1.7% 94.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.02% 0.36% 0.20% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 11,647 1.7% 94.6% 2.8% 0.5% 0.04% 0.29% 0.06% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,277 2.2% 93.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.02% 0.46% 0.04% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,262 1.5% 95.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.04% 0.35% 0.03%
Milngavie 12,862 1.4% 95.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.03% 0.30% 0.04% Source: 2011 Census
20 Language Used at Home 2011 Census
• East Dunbartonshire had a high percentage of people who reported that they used only English at home (94.8%). • Bearsden North, Bearsden South and Bishopbriggs South had a slightly lower percentage of people reporting the language used at home as English. This corresponds with the slightly higher than average use of another language at home other than English. • All wards across East Dunbartonshire had over 90% of people aged 3 and over who reported English as the only language used at home.
East Dunbartonshire - language used at home
English Only Gaelic Scots British Sign Language Polish Other
Table 15: Language used at home, all people aged 3 and over All people English Gaelic Scots British Polish Other aged 3 and Only Sign over Language
Scotland 5,118,223 92.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.2% 1.1% 4.5%
East Dunbartonshire 101,999 94.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 4.2%
Bearsden North 13,519 92.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 6.6%
Bearsden South 12,997 91.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 7.6% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,473 95.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.03% 4.1%
Bishopbriggs South 11,962 93.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 5.6% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 11,647 96.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 1.9% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,277 97.7% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 1.2% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,262 96.7% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 2.5%
Milngavie 12,862 95.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 3.8% Source: 2011 Census 21 Religion 2011 Census
The question on religion was introduced in the 2001 Census and is voluntary.
• In East Dunbartonshire 62.5% of the population stated they belonged to a Christian denomination. • In terms of the Christian denominations 35.6% of the population in East Dunbartonshire belonged to the Church of Scotland and 22.3% stated they were Roman Catholic. The ‘Other Christian’ group accounted for 4.6% of the population. • A large percentage of residents reported they had no religion (28.2%) lower than the Scottish average of 36.7%. This can be seen across all Wards with Milngavie showing the highest percentage of residents stating they had no religion (31.5%). • 2.43% of the population in Bearsden South reported that they were Muslim, 2.18% reported they were Sikh and 1% reported that they were Hindu.
Table 16: Religion of population All Church Roman Other Buddhist Hindu Jewis h Muslim Sikh Other No Religion People of Catholic Christian Religion Religion not Scotland stated
Scotland 5,295,40 3 32.4% 15.9% 5.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 36.7% 7.0%
East
Dunbartonshire 105,026 35.6% 22.3% 4.6% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.2% 28.2% 6.4%
Bearsden North 13,909 38.2% 16.3% 5.7% 0.16% 1.22% 0.12% 1.61% 1.32% 0.17% 28.5% 6.6%
Bearsden South 13,328 38.5% 15.5% 5.1% 0.25% 1.01% 0.12% 2.43% 2.18% 0.15% 28.7% 5.9% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,807 34.1% 27.6% 4.1% 0.12% 0.48% 0.06% 0.72% 0.96% 0.14% 25.2% 6.5%
Bishopbriggs South 12,309 30.6% 31.4% 3.3% 0.16% 0.63% 0.01% 1.66% 1.67% 0.18% 24.4% 6.0% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12,047 32.7% 26.2% 4.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.01% 0.28% 0.18% 0.19% 29.1% 6.9%
Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,745 32.0% 28.0% 3.4% 0.11% 0.03% 0.03% 0.20% 0.06% 0.19% 29.4% 6.5% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,645 38.2% 18.9% 6.1% 0.10% 0.38% 0.07% 0.49% 0.34% 0.15% 29.1% 6.1%
Milngavie 13,236 39.7% 15.6% 4.6% 0.16% 0.63% 0.08% 0.51% 0.42% 0.23% 31.5% 6.6% Source: 2011 Census
22 Migration 2015 Net Migration
Migration is the movement of people from one place to another. Internal migration is when people migrate within the same country or region and international migration is when people migrate from one country to another.
Migration is the most difficult component of population change to estimate as, unlike births and deaths, there is no comprehensive system for the registration of moves to or from the rest of the world, nor for moves within the UK. Official estimates of migration are therefore based on survey data and the best proxy data available.
There are three key sources of migration data: • The National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) is used to calculate moves between NHS Board areas within the UK. It is also used to distribute estimates of international migration to NHS Board areas in Scotland. • Community Health Index (CHI) is used to estimate migration at Council area and below. • International Passenger Survey (IPS) provides information on moves into and out of Scotland with an origin or destination of outside UK.
Total migration includes all migration to or from an area. For Scotland this would include moves to and from the rest of the UK and moves to and from overseas whilst for a Council or NHS Board area it would also include moves to and from other such areas in Scotland.
The graph below shows the migration for East Dunbartonshire from 1997/98 to 2014/15. There has been a negative net migration for East Dunbartonshire from 1995/96 to 2010/11. The first positive total net migration since 1994/95 was seen in 2011/12. During 2014/15 there was an estimated total net migration into East Dunbartonshire of 4,197 people and a total net migration out of 3,648 people resulting in a positive total net migration of 549 people.
Net Migation 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 -200 -400 -600 -800 -1,000 1999 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 /200 /98 /99 /01 /02 /03 /04 /05 /06 /07 /08 /09 /10 /11 /12 /13 /14 /15 0 Net Migation -424 -482 -19 -385 -783 -331 -457 -482 -449 -289 -180 -79 -71 -105 260 92 909 549
Source: National Records of Scotland – Local Area Migration 2015
23 Housing 2011 Census
The type of tenure refers to whether the household is owned or rented. The type of tenure refers to whether the household is owned or rented.
Tenure
• 39.8% of homes in East Dunbartonshire were owned outright this is 12% higher than the Scottish average. East Dunbartonshire also had a high percentage of homes owned with a mortgage or loan (41.4%) this figure was also higher than the Scottish average of 33.7%. • Bearsden South had the highest percentage of homes owned outright (50.3%) compared to other Wards and East Dunbartonshire as a whole (39.8%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of homes owned with a mortgage or loan (35.7%) and Bishopbriggs South had the highest (45.0%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of council rented homes (16.6%) and other social rented homes (17.7%) compared to East Dunbartonshire as a whole where 8.5% of homes were council rented and 3.5% were other social rented.
Table 17: Tenure All Owned Owned Shared Council Other Private Rented: Living Households outright with a owner - rented social rented other rent free mortgage ship rented or loan (part owned & part rented)
Scotland 2,372,777 27.8% 33.7% 0.4% 13.2% 11.1% 11.1% 1.3% 1.3% East Dunbartonshire 43,473 39.8% 41.4% 0.2% 8.5% 3.5% 5.1% 0.6% 0.9%
Bearsden North 5,464 45.9% 44.6% 0.1% 4.3% 0.6% 3.2% 0.5% 0.8%
Bearsden South 5,355 50.3% 43.1% 0.1% 1.4% 0.1% 4.0% 0.4% 0.6% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 5,554 49.2% 41.6% 0.1% 2.4% 0.9% 4.1% 0.6% 1.0%
Bishopbriggs South 5,031 35.2% 45.0% 0.2% 9.2% 2.0% 7.0% 0.7% 0.8% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 5,135 31.6% 42.6% 0.2% 13.5% 3.2% 7.4% 0.6% 0.8% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 5,492 23.6% 35.7% 0.1% 16.6% 17.7% 4.5% 0.9% 0.8% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 5,753 39.0% 41.0% 0.4% 10.2% 1.1% 6.8% 0.7% 0.7%
Milngavie 5,689 42.5% 38.2% 0.1% 10.5% 2.2% 4.3% 0.7% 1.4% Source: 2011 Census
24 Household Composition 2011 Census
A household is defined as one person living alone or a group of people (not necessarily related) living at the same address who share cooking facilities and share a living room or sitting room or dining area.
A family is defined as a married, civil partnered or cohabiting couple (with or without children), or a lone parent with at least one child. Children may be classed as dependent or non-dependent. Dependent children are those aged under 16, or aged 16-18 and in full-time education living with at least one parent, excluding those who have a spouse, partner or child living in the household.
Table 18 outlines the following: • East Dunbartonshire had 28.4% one person households. • East Dunbartonshire had one of the highest proportions (11%) of households with all aged 65 and over families. • Across East Dunbartonshire there were 46% of households with no children (excluding one person households) and 25.6% of households with children. This was slightly higher than the Scottish average of 41.8% of households with no children (excluding one person households) and 23.5% of households with children. This trend was also seen across all Wards in East Dunbartonshire. • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of households with children (28%), Bearsden South had 50.6% of households with no children (excluding one person households). • When comparing Wards Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of one person households (32.5%), followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (31.6%), Milngavie (30.8%) and Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South (29.2%). • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of households with two adults and one or two children (17.1%), 3.5% higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole.
25 Table 18: Household composition - Households All One No adults One adult Two Two Two Three or Three or Households person or one aged 16 adults adults adults more more Household adult and to 64 and and one aged 16 and adults adults one or one aged or two to 64 and three or and one and no more 65 and children no more or more children children over and children children children no children or two adults aged 65 and over and no children
Scotland 2,372,777 34.7% 5.3% 11.7% 12.0% 19.2% 2.0% 4.1% 10.9% East Dunbartonshire 43,473 28.4% 4.1% 15.5% 13.6% 15.2% 2.4% 5.5% 15.3%
Bearsden North 5,464 24.3% 2.2% 17.5% 17.1% 14.7% 3.0% 5.9% 15.2%
Bearsden South 5,355 24.1% 2.6% 19.3% 14.5% 15.7% 2.4% 5.8% 15.6% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 5,554 25.6% 2.8% 18.1% 13.0% 13.5% 2.8% 6.1% 18.1%
Bishopbriggs South 5,031 28.8% 5.2% 12.9% 13.3% 14.5% 2.0% 6.4% 16.8% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 5,135 31.6% 4.4% 12.3% 13.6% 17.8% 2.0% 4.4% 13.9% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 5,492 32.5% 7.8% 11.3% 11.7% 14.6% 2.1% 5.0% 15.0% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 5,753 29.2% 3.6% 15.8% 13.0% 16.3% 2.4% 5.5% 14.3%
Milngavie 5,689 30.8% 4.1% 16.2% 12.9% 14.7% 2.4% 4.9% 14.0% Source: 2011 Census
26 Dwelling Type 2013 Household Estimates
A dwelling refers to the accommodation itself, for example a house or a flat and includes second homes that are not let our commercially. Caravans count as dwellings if they are someones main home.
• Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of dwellings which are flats (28.02%) closely followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (27.12) compared to other Wards and East Dunbartonshire as a whole. Bishopbriggs North & Torrance had the lowest percentage of dwellings which are flats (9.8%). • Bearsden North and Bearsden South had the highest percentage of detached dwellings (45.25% and 43.62% respectively). Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the lowest percentage of detached dwellings (11.32%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of terraced dwellings (34.07%) when compared to other Wards.
Table 19: Dwelling type
% dwellings % dwellings % dwellings % dwellings % dwellings which are which are which are which are attachment flats terraced semi detached unknown
detached
Scotland 37.96 20.61 19.81 21.1 0.52
East Dunbartonshire 20.35 15.48 33.3 30.59 0.28
Bearsden North 14.77 7.93 32.05 45.25 0
Bearsden South 14.42 12.62 29.3 43.62 0.04
Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 9.8 7.86 49.09 33.02 0.24
Bishopbriggs South 21.96 15.07 39.13 21.98 1.86 Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 27.12 17.54 24.99 30.33 0.02 Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 28.02 34.07 26.58 11.32 0.02 Lenzie & Kirkintilloch
South 22.57 9.67 37.14 30.57 0.06
Milngavie 22.91 16.14 29.58 31.27 0.1
Source: Statistics.Gov.Scot 2013
27 Car and Van Availability 2011 Census
The 2011 Census asked respondents how many cars or vans were owned, or available for use by members of the household.
• East Dunbartonshire had 43.1% of households with one car or van available for use and 30.2% of households with two or more cars or vans available for use. • 19% of households in East Dunbartonshire did not have access to a car or van, well below the Scottish average of 30.5%. • All wards had between 41% and 44% of households with one car or van available for use which is in line with East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • Bishopbriggs South, Campsie & Kirkintilloch North and Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had a higher percentage of households with no car or van available for use (23.3%, 22.6%, and 32.4% respectively) compared with East Dunbartonshire as a whole (19.0%). • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of households with two or more cars or vans available for use (38.9%), nearly 9% higher than East Dunbartonshire and 17% higher than the Scottish average.
Table 20: Car ownership No cars or One car or Two cars or Three cars or Four cars or vans van vans vans vans
Scotland 30.5% 42.2% 21.6% 4.3% 1.3%
East Dunbartonshire 19.0% 43.1% 30.2% 6.1% 1.6%
Bearsden North 10.3% 41.7% 38.9% 7.0% 2.0%
Bearsden South 9.9% 44.0% 37.1% 7.2% 1.9% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 15.4% 43.8% 31.6% 7.1% 2.0%
Bishopbriggs South 23.3% 44.9% 25.7% 5.0% 1.1% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 22.6% 41.6% 27.6% 6.3% 1.9% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 32.4% 42.6% 19.8% 4.1% 1.1% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 19.2% 43.3% 30.1% 6.2% 1.3%
Milngavie 19.1% 43.3% 30.4% 5.6% 1.5% Source: 2011 Census
28 Local Economy 2015 NOMIS
Employment and Unemployment
• Table 21 below shows the percentage of economically active residents in East Dunbartonshire has decreased since 2013 from 80.3% to 78.6%% in 2015, but has seen an increase between 2014 and 2015. • The percentage of people in employment in East Dunbartonshire has seen a decrease between 2013 and 2015. However, there has been an increase between 2014 and 2015 from 73.9% to 75.1% and remains above the Scottish average of 72.9%. • Unemployment in East Dunbartonshire has decreased from 5.0% in 2014 to 4.0% in 2015 and is nearly 2% lower than the Scottish average of 5.7%. • There has been a decrease 0f 0.9% in those who are self-employed in East Dunbartonshire between 2014 and 2015. The percentage of those self-employed across Scotland as a whole has also decreased between 2014 and 2015 from 7.1% to 5.7% respectively.
Table 21: Employment and unemployment East Dunbartonshire Scotland 2013 ** 2014** 2015*** 2013 ** 2014** 2015*** Economically Active* 80.3% 77.5% 78.6% 76.8% 77.5% 77.4% In employment* 77.2% 73.9% 75.1% 70.7% 72.0% 72.9% Employees* 67.4% 63.8% 66.0% 62.4% 63.5% 64.5% Self Employed* 9.3% 9.8% 8.9% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% Unemployed (model based)# 4.9% 5.0% 4.0% 7.8% 7.1% 5.7% Source: NOMIS *numbers are for those aged 16 and over, % is for those aged 16-64 ** Annual figures relate to July – June *** Annual figures relate to April 2015-March 2016 #numbers and % are for those aged 16 and over, % is a proportion of economically active
Employed and Unemployed 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% Economically Active 50.00% In employment 40.00% Employees 30.00% Self Employed 20.00% Unemployed (model based) 10.00% 0.00% 2013 2014 2015 2013 2014 2015 East Dunbartonshire Scotland
Source: NOMIS
29 Economically Active 2011 Census
Table 22 and 23 below show the results from the census question that asked respondents about their economic activity the week before the census. A person was considered economically active if they were employed, self- employed or unemployed but looking for work and able to start within two weeks. Full time students who were employed or looking for work and able to start within two weeks were also classed as economically active.
Each person is only included in one category; for example, a full time student who also works part time will only be included in the ‘Economically active: full time student’ category. Those classified as economically inactive include people not working/not looking for work as they may be retired, students, looking after their home or family, or long-term sick or disabled.
• Table 16 below shows that 39.7% of the working age population in East Dunbartonshire were full time employees, 13.5% were part-time employees and 8.6% were self-employed. • Campsie & Kirkintilloch North had the highest percentage of working age population who were full time employees (42.5%) followed by Bishopbriggs South (41.7%) and Bishopbriggs North & Torrance (39.9%) all above the East Dunbartonshire average of 39.7%. • Milngavie had the highest percentage of working age population who were part-time employees (14.5%) followed by Bishopbriggs South (14.2%) and Kirkintilloch East & Twechar (14.0%) all higher than the East Dunbartonshire average of 13.5%. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar and Campsie & Kirkintilloch North had a higher percentage of residents reporting they were unemployed but looking for work (6.0% and 4.3% respectively) compared to East Dunbartonshire as a whole (3.5%).
Table 22: Economically active (all people aged 16-74) Employee Employee Self - Unemployed Full -time part-time full-time employed Student
Scotland 13.3% 39.6% 7.5% 4.8% 3.7%
East Dunbartonshire 13.5% 39.7% 8.6% 3.5% 3.9%
Bearsden North 13.6% 39.3% 10.4% 2.1% 4.2%
Bearsden South 12.7% 38.5% 10.9% 2.3% 3.7% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13.0% 39.9% 9.0% 2.7% 4.6%
Bishopbriggs South 14.2% 41.7% 7.2% 4.0% 4.2% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12.4% 42.5% 7.9% 4.3% 3.4% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 14.0% 39.4% 5.3% 6.0% 3.6% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13.6% 39.6% 8.0% 3.8% 3.8%
Milngavie 14.5% 37.0% 10.1% 2.8% 3.8% Source: 2011 Census
30 Economically Inactive 2011 Census
• East Dunbartonshire had a higher percentage of people aged 16-74 who reported they were retired (17.8%) compared to the Scottish average of 14.9%. • Bearsden South had the highest percentage of residents who reported they were retired (20.3%), closely followed by Bishopbriggs North & Torrance (19.6%), Bearsden North (18.5%), Milngavie (18.4%) and Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South (18.2%), all higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole (17.8%). • Milngavie and Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents who reported they looked after home or family (3.7% and 3.6% respectively). Bishopbriggs North & Torrance had the lowest percentage of residents reporting they looked after home or family (2.2%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of working age residents who reported they were long term sick or disabled (6.9%), 3.5% higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • When compared to other Wards Bearsden South had the lowest percentage of working age residents who reported they were long term sick or disabled (1.6%).
Table 23: Economically inactive (all people aged 16-74) Retired Student Looking after Long term Other home or sick or family disabled
Scotland 14.9% 5.5% 3.6% 5.1% 1.9%
East Dunbartonshire 17.8% 5.2% 3.1% 3.4% 1.2%
Bearsden North 18.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Bearsden South 20.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.6% 1.1% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 19.6% 5.8% 2.2% 2.2% 1.1%
Bishopbriggs South 15.8% 4.5% 2.6% 4.4% 1.3% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 16.5% 4.3% 3.1% 4.3% 1.2% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 15.1% 4.5% 3.6% 6.9% 1.7% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 18.2% 5.3% 2.9% 3.5% 1.3%
Milngavie 18.4% 5.3% 3.7% 3.1% 1.2% Source: 2011 Census
31
Job Seekers Allowance Claimants 2012 Statistics.Gov.Scot
Table 24 shows the percentage of the population claiming job seekers allowance.
• East Dunbartonshire had a low percentage of the population aged 16-64 that claim Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) (2.4%) when compared to the Scottish average (3.8%). • When comparing Wards, Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of the population aged 16-64 claiming JSA (4.9%) followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (3.3%) and Bishopbriggs South (2.9%). • The table below shows that the age group with the highest percentage of JSA claimants are those aged 16-24 this is reflected across all Wards and East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of those aged 16-24 claiming JSA (7.7%). • Bearsden North had the lowest percentage of the population aged 16-64 claiming JSA (1%).
Table 24: Job seekers allowance claimants % of 16 -64 % of population % of population % of population population aged 16-24 aged 25-49 aged 50-64 claiming Job claiming Job claiming Job claiming Job Seekers Allowance Seekers Allowance Seekers Allowance Seekers Allowance Scotland 3.8 5.7 4.2 2.1 East Dunbartonshire 2.4 4.0 2.6 1.1 Bearsden North 1.0 2.0 1.2 0.2 Bearsden South 1.2 2.3 1.4 0.5 Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 1.7 3.2 1.4 1.2 Bishopbriggs South 2.9 4.5 3.2 1.6 Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 3.3 5.0 3.6 1.9 Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 4.9 7.7 5.7 1.9 Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 2.4 4.6 2.3 1.4 Milngavie 1.7 3.8 1.9 0.6 Source: Statistics.Gov.Scot - Q4 2012 figures
32 Occupation 2011 Census
In the 2011 Census, the occupations for employed people were derived from their job titles and brief descriptions of what they did in their main jobs.
• The largest category of occupation in East Dunbartonshire was a professional occupation (24.6%) which was 7.8% higher than the national average of 16.8%. • The largest category of occupation across most Wards was professional occupations. Bearsden North had the highest percentage of residents employed in the professional occupations category (34.5%), followed by Bearsden South (31.9%). • The largest category of occupation in Kirkintilloch East & Twechar was skilled trades occupations (13.5%) followed by professional occupations (13.0%).
Table 25: Occupation All Managers, Profess- Associate Administr Skilled Caring, Sales & Process, Elemen- people directors & ional Profess- ative & trades leisure& Cust- plant & tary aged 16- senior occu- ional & secretarial occu- service omer machine occu- 74 in officials pations technical occu- pations Service operatives pations employ- occu- pations ment pations
2,516,895 Scotland 8.4% 16.8% 12.6% 11.4% 12.5% 9.7% 9.3% 7.7% 11.6% East Dunbartonshire 50,022 9.9% 24.6% 14.3% 12.4% 9.8% 8.3% 8.8% 5.0% 6.9%
Bearsden North 6,617 12.5% 34.5% 15.0% 11.1% 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 2.9% 4.6%
6,287 Bearsden South 12.0% 31.9% 15.0% 11.8% 7.9% 6.0% 7.4% 3.0% 4.3% Bishopbriggs North & 6,574 Torrance 10.0% 24.2% 15.4% 13.6% 10.0% 6.9% 9.2% 5.0% 5.7%
Bishopbriggs 6,138 South 8.2% 18.0% 13.2% 14.1% 12.2% 9.4% 10.8% 5.9% 8.2% Campsie & Kirkintilloch South 5,922 9.2% 20.9% 13.5% 11.2% 12.0% 10.9% 8.4% 5.7% 8.3%
Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 5,810 5.9% 13.0% 11.4% 12.5% 13.5% 12.4% 10.7% 8.9% 11.8% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 6,570 9.6% 25.2% 15.1% 13.5% 9.1% 8.2% 8.4% 4.8% 6.3%
Milngavie 6,104 10.4% 27.7% 15.5% 11.6% 8.7% 7.2% 8.3% 4.1% 6.6% Source: 2011 Census
33 Education
Highest Level of Qualification 2011 Census
The 2011 Census question on qualifications asked respondents to indicate all the types of qualifications they held, including foreign qualifications, and was used to determine the highest level of qualification obtained by each respondent aged 16 and over.
• East Dunbartonshire had a higher percentage of residents aged 16 and over with a level 4 qualification (34.8%) compared to the Scottish average of 26.1%. • 19.9% of East Dunbartonshire residents reported having no qualifications this was considerably lower when compared to Scotland (26.8%). • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of residents with Level 4 qualifications (48.8%) followed by Bearsden South (46.1%), Milngavie (40.1%) and Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South (35.6%) all higher than the East Dunbartonshire average of 34.8%. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of people aged 16 and over with no qualifications (31%) and the lowest percentage with a level 4 qualification (17.3%). This Ward had the highest percentage of people aged 16 and over with a Level 1 qualification (26.3%).
Table 26: Highest level of qualification No Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 qualifications
Scotland 26.8% 23.1% 14.3% 9.7% 26.1%
East Dunbartonshire 19.9% 19.3% 16.3% 9.8% 34.8%
Bearsden North 12.1% 14.2% 15.8% 9.2% 48.8%
Bearsden South 14.2% 14.6% 16.0% 9.0% 46.1% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 19.8% 19.6% 17.3% 10.0% 33.3%
Bishopbriggs South 25.1% 22.3% 16.8% 10.6% 25.1% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 22.1% 21.6% 15.8% 10.8% 29.6%
Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 31.0% 26.3% 15.9% 9.5% 17.3%
Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 18.1% 19.7% 16.8% 9.7% 35.6%
Milngavie 18.3% 16.9% 15.5% 9.3% 40.1% Source: 2011 Census
Level 1: 0 Grade, Standard Grade, Access 3 Cluster, Intermediate 1 or 2, GCSE, CSE, Senior Certification or equivalent; GSVQ Foundation or Intermediate, SVQ level1 or 2, SCOTVEC Module, City and Guilds Craft or equivalent; Other school qualifications not already mentioned (including foreign qualifications)
34 Level 2: SCE Higher Grade, Higher, Advanced Higher, CSYS, A Level, AS Level, Advanced Senior Certificate or equivalent; GSVQ Advanced, SVQ level 3, ONC, OND, SCOTVEC National Diploma, City and Guilds Advanced Craft or equivalent. Level 3: HNC, HND, SVQ level 4 or equivalent; Other post-school but pre-Higher Education qualifications not already mentioned (including foreign qualifications) Level 4 and above: Degree, Postgraduate qualifications, Masters, PhD, SVQ level 5 or equivalent; Professional qualifications (for example, teaching, nursing, accountancy); Other Higher Education qualifications not already mentioned (including foreign qualifications)
35 School Leaver Destination 2012/13 Statistics.Gov.Scot
• East Dunbartonshire had a high level of positive destinations for school leavers with 57.6% going on to higher education, 18% to further education, 16.8% into employment and 3.2% going into training. • East Dunbartonshire had 20% more school leavers entering higher education (57.6%) compared to the Scottish average (36.5%). • 3.6% of school leavers reported that they were unemployed and seeking employment or training, nearly 4% less than the Scottish average of 7.1%. • Bearsden South and Bishopbriggs South had the highest percentage of school leavers who were unemployed and seeking employment or training (6.2% and 5.2% respectively) slightly higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole (3.6%) but lower than the Scottish average (7.1%).
Table 27: School leaver destinations 2012/13 % % % % % % % Higher Further Training Employment Unemployed Unemployed Unknown Education Education & seeking & not seeking employment employment or training or training
Scotland 36.5% 27.8% 6.3% 20.9% 7.1% 1.2% 0.3%
East Dunbartonshire 57.6% 18% 3.2% 16.8% 3.6% 0.8% 0%
Bearsden North 68% 15.7% 0% 11.8% 3.3% 1.3% 0%
Bearsden South 66.2% 13.8% 0% 13.8% 6.2% 0% 0% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 59.1% 11.7% 1.3% 25.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0%
Bishopbriggs South 52.3% 21.9% 4.5% 16.1% 5.2% 0% 0% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 45.2% 20.5% 6.8% 22.6% 4.1% 0.7% 0% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 39.4% 24.8% 8.8% 24.1% 1.5% 1.5% 0% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 61.3% 17.9% 2.9% 12.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0%
Milngavie 68.8% 18.1% 1.4% 8.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0% Source: Statistics.Gov.Scot - 2012/13
36 Attainment 2012/13 Statistics.Gov.Scot
• The table below shows that East Dunbartonshire attainment is higher across all categories than the Scottish average. • 2012/13 shows that 98.3% of pupils in East Dunbartonshire gained English and Maths at SCQF level 3 or above, 5% higher than the Scottish average (94.3%). • The highest percentage of pupils gaining English and Maths at SCQF level 3 or above during 2012/13 was Campsie & Kirkintilloch North with 100%, followed by Bearsden North (99.4%) and Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South (99.3%). All Wards were above the Scottish average. • Campsie & Kirkintilloch North and Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South both had 100% attainment for S4 pupils achieving 5 awards at SCQF level 3 and above.
Table 28: Attainment S4: Percentage of S4: Percentage of S4: Percentage of S4: Percentage of pupils with English pupils with 5 pupils with 5 pupils with 5 and Maths at awards at SCQF awards at SCQF awards at SCQF SCQF level 3 or level 3 and above : level 4 and above : level 5 and above : above : 2012/13 2012/13 2012/13 2012/13
Scotland 94.3% 94.4% 82% 39.4%
East Dunbartonshire 98.3% 99% 93.8% 61%
Bearsden North 99.4% 99.4% 98.1% 74.8%
Bearsden South 97.5% 99.2% 97.5% 70% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 98.1% 98.8% 95.7% 70.8%
Bishopbriggs South 98.3% 98.8% 95.3% 61% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 100% 100% 94.5% 45.3% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 97.0% 98.2% 84.9% 34.9% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 99.3% 100% 94.6% 65.8%
Milngavie 97.0% 97.8% 90.3% 66.4% Source: Statistics.Gov.Scot - 2012/13
37 Crime/Community Safety 2015/16 Scottish Government
2015/16 Crime Rates per 10,000 Population
East Dunbartonshire is regarded as a safe place to live with the level of crime being significantly lower than the Scottish average with 493 crimes and offences per 10,000 of the population in 2015/16 compared to the Scottish average of 1,090.
The rate of crime per 10,000 population in East Dunbartonshire was lower than the Scottish average in all categories shown in the table below.
Table29: Number of crimes and offences recorded by the police per 10,000 population 2015/16 Non sexual Sexual Crimes of Fire - Other Motor Misc crimes of crimes dishonesty raising, crimes vehicle offences violence vandalism, offences etc
Scotland 13 19 216 101 110 317 314
East Dunbartonshire 6 7 126 52 53 112 135 Source: Scottish Government – recorded crime in Scotland per 10,000 population 2015/16
The graph below shows that East Dunbartonshire had the lowest rate of crime per 10,000 population compared to the surrounding local authority areas.
Total crimes & offences per 10,000 population 2000 1821 1800
1600
1400 1311 1215 1200 1090 1000
800 660 600 493 400
200
0 East Stirling West North Glasgow Scotland Dunbartonshire Dunbartonshire Lanarkshire
Source: Scottish Government – recorded crime in Scotland 2015/16
38 Accidental and Deliberate Fires 2015/16 Scottish Fire and Rescue Service
Table 30 shows the number of deliberate and accidental fires in East Dunbartonshire and the Ward areas. Deliberate fires include those involving a building or property and refuse fires or fires involving grass, trees or heathland.
• In East Dunbartonshire during 2015/16 there were 205 deliberate fires, 71 accidental dwelling fires and 17 accidental other building fires. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest number of deliberate fires (43) during 2015/16 followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (38) when comparing Wards. • Bearsden South had the lowest number of deliberate fires (7) compared to other Wards. • Kirkintilloch East had the highest number of accidental dwelling fires (14) closely followed by Bishopbriggs South (13) compared to other Wards. • Bearsden South had the lowest number of accidental dwelling fires (5) followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (7) and Milngavie (7). • The number of accidental other building fires was highest in Bearsden North (3) and Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (3) and lowest was in Lenzie & Kirkintilloch North (1).
Table 30: Number of fires Number of all Number of all Number of all deliberate fires accidental dwelling accidental other 2015/16 fires 2015/16 building fires
East Dunbartonshire 205 71 17
Bearsden North 14 8 3
Bearsden South 7 5 2
Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 35 8 2
Bishopbriggs South 24 13 2
Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 38 7 3
Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 43 14 2
Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 23 9 1
Milngavie 21 7 2 Source: Local Fire and Rescue Plan 2014/17: Progress Report 2015/16
39 Health 2011 Census
General Health
Respondents to the 2011 Census were asked to assess their own general health in order to respond to the health questions in the census questionnnaire. The table below shows the general health reported by residents during the census.
• 84.9% of residents in East Dunbartonshire reported their health as being very good or good, 2% higher than the national average. • The percentage of East Dunbartonshire residents reporting their health was bad or very bad (4.3%) was lower than the national average (5.6%). • All Wards had 80% or over of residents reporting they had very good or good health. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents reporting they had bad or very bad health (7%) followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (5.2%) and Bishopbriggs South (4.8%) all higher when compared to East Dunbartonshire as a whole (4.3%). • Bearsden North had the lowest percentage of residents who reported their health was bad or very bad (2.6%).
Table 31: General health All People Very good or Fair health Bad health or good health very bad health
Scotland 5,295,403 82.2% 12.2% 5.6%
East Dunbartonshire 105,026 84.9% 10.8% 4.3%
Bearsden North 13,909 89.0% 8.4% 2.6%
Bearsden South 13,328 87.5% 9.6% 2.9% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,807 85.6% 10.8% 3.7%
Bishopbriggs South 12,309 83.3% 11.8% 4.8% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12,047 83.2% 11.5% 5.2% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,745 80.0% 13.2% 7.0% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,645 85.0% 10.6% 4.4%
Milngavie 13,236 85.2% 11.1% 3.7% Source: 2011 Census
40 Limiting Health Problem or Disability 2011 Census
The 2011 Census asked people if their day to day activities were limited because of a health problem or disability which lasted, or was expected to last, at least 12 months, including those related to age.
• East Dunbartonshire had a high percentage of residents whose day to day activities were not limited by a health problem or disability (82.6%), 2% above the Scottish average. • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of residents reporting their day to day activities were not limited by a health problem or disability (86.1%) and the lowest percentage of residents reporting their day to day activities were limited a lot (5.4%). • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents who reported their day to day activities were limited a lot by a health problem or disability (11.2%) followed by Campsie & Kirkintilloch North (9.5%) and Bishopbriggs South (8.5%).
Table 32: Limiting health problem or disability Total Population Day to day Day to day Day to day activities limited activities limited activities not a lot a little limited
Scotland 5,295,403 9.6% 10.1% 80.4%
East Dunbartonshire 105,026 7.8% 9.5% 82.6%
Bearsden North 13,909 5.4% 8.5% 86.1%
Bearsden South 13,328 6.2% 9.6% 84.2% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 13,807 7.5% 9.6% 82.9%
Bishopbriggs South 12,309 8.5% 9.7% 81.8% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 12,047 9.5% 9.4% 81.1% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 12,745 11.2% 10.2% 78.6% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 13,645 7.6% 9.5% 82.9%
Milngavie 13,236 7.2% 9.9% 82.9% Source: 2011 Census
41 Provision of Unpaid Care 2011 Census
In the census, a person was described as a provider of unpaid care if he or she looked after or gave help or support to a family member, friend, neighbour or other person because of long term physical or mental ill health or disability, or problems related to old age.
• 10.8% of residents across East Dunbartonshire provided unpaid care to relatives, friends or neighbours compared with 9.3% in Scotland. This equates to 7,223 people providing 1 to 19 hours unpaid care per week, while 2,501 provided care for over 50 hours per week. • Bearsden South had the highest percentage of residents that provided 1 to 19 hours of unpaid care per week (8.0%) followed by Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South (7.8%) compared to other Wards in East Dunbartonshire. This is above the average for East Dunbartonshire (6.9%) and the national average for Scotland of 5.2%. • Between 5.0% and 8.0% of residents in all Wards provided 1 to 19 hours of unpaid care per week all higher than the Scottish average of 5.2%. • Kirkintilloch East & Twechar had the highest percentage of residents who provided 50 or more hours of unpaid care a week (2.8%).
Table 33: Provision of unpaid care Provides no Provides Provides Provides Provides unpaid care 1 to 19 20 to 34 35 to 49 50 or more hours hours hours hours unpaid care unpaid care unpaid care unpaid care a week a week a week a week
Scotland 90.7% 5.2% 0.9% 0.8% 2.5%
East Dunbartonshire 89.2% 6.9% 0.9% 0.7% 2.4%
Bearsden North 89.6% 7.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.9%
Bearsden South 88.4% 8.0% 0.9% 0.6% 2.0%
Bishopbriggs North
& Torrance 88.8% 7.2% 1.0% 0.7% 2.4%
Bishopbriggs South 89.6% 6.0% 1.0% 0.8% 2.6% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 89.3% 6.6% 0.7% 0.7% 2.6% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 89.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.8% 2.8% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch
South 89.2% 7.8% 1.0% 0.6% 2.3%
Milngavie 88.9% 7.2% 0.9% 0.6% 2.3%
Source: 2011 Census
42 Travel 2011 Census
Travel to Work or Study
The Census asked respondents to define the mode of transport used to cover the longest part, by distance, of their usual journey to work or study. Increases were seen in almost every council area in the proportion of people driving to work between 2001 and 2011. • The majority of residents in East Dunbartonshire travelled to work or study by car or van (45%), nearly 5% higher than the Scottish average (40.9%). • Across all Wards the majority of residents travelled to work or study by car or van. • Campsie & Kirkintilloch North had the highest percentage of residents travelling to work or study by car or van (49.1%), this Ward also had the highest percentage of residents travelling to work by bus, minibus or coach (17.4%). Both higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole (45% and 10.5% respectively). • Bearsden South had the highest percentage of residents travelling to work or study by train (12.8%), followed by Milngavie (11.0%), Bearsden North (10.4%) and Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South (9.9%), all higher than the East Dunbartonshire as a whole (8.2%). • The percentage of residents working or studying mainly from home in East Dunbartonshire (9.5%) was lower than the Scottish average (11.3%). 10.3% of residents in Bearsden South, Kirkintilloch East & Twechar and Milngavie reported working or studying from home, nearly 1% higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole.
Table 34: Travel to work or study 2011 Census Work Under- Train Bus, Taxi or Driving Pass- Motor- Bicycle On foot Other or ground mini- mini- a car or enger cycle, study metro, bus or cab van in a car scooter mainly light coach or van or from rail or moped home tram
Scotland 11.3% 0.3% 3.5% 13.4% 0.7% 40.9% 9.0% 0.2% 1.3% 18.5% 0.9% East Dunbartonshire 9.5% 0.1% 8.2% 10.5% 0.9% 45.0% 9.3% 0.2% 0.7% 14.9% 0.6%
Bearsden North 9.6% 0.2% 10.4% 6.3% 0.5% 45.3% 7.8% 0.1% 1.1% 18.1% 0.8%
Bearsden South 10.3% 0.2% 12.8% 7.5% 0.6% 44.8% 11.0% 0.1% 1.0% 11.0% 0.7% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 9.2% 0.2% 7.7% 12.3% 1.0% 45.6% 9.5% 0.2% 0.7% 12.8% 0.7% Bishopbriggs South 8.2% 0.2% 6.4% 14.2% 1.4% 43.5% 10.3% 0.2% 0.6% 14.5% 0.5% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 9.3% 0.1% 3.2% 17.4% 0.9% 49.1% 8.4% 0.3% 0.4% 10.4% 0.5% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 10.3% 0.03% 3.6% 13.7% 1.4% 42.4% 10.2% 0.2% 0.5% 17.3% 0.3% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 8.7% 0.1% 9.9% 7.4% 0.6% 45.7% 8.2% 0.1% 0.6% 18.2% 0.4%
Milngavie 10.3% 0.1% 11.0% 6.4% 0.7% 43.4% 9.5% 0.2% 1.0% 16.7% 0.8% 43 Active Travel to Work 2011 Census
The graph below shows the percentage of people who cycled or walked to their place of work or study.
• East Dunbartonshire as a whole had a lower percentage of people who travelled to work on foot (14.9%) compared to the Scottish average (18.5%). • Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South had the highest percentage of people who travelled to work on foot (18.2%), followed by Bearsden North (18.1%), Kirkintilloch East & Twechar (17.3%) and Milngavie (16.7%), all above the East Dunbartonshire average of 14.9%. • Campsie & Kirkintilloch North had the lowest percentage of people who travelled to work on foot (10.4%). • 0.7% of residents in East Dunbartonshire travelled to work or study by bicycle this was lower than the Scottish average of 1.3%. • Bearsden North had the highest percentage of residents that travelled to work by bicycle (1.1%) followed by Bearsden South (1%) and Milngavie (1%).
20.0% 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% Bicycle 2.0% 0.0% On foot
Source: 2011 Census
44 Distance Travelled to Work 2011 Census
The table below shows the distance travelled to work by people aged 16-74 in employment.
• The majority of people in East Dunbartonshire travelled between 5km and 10km to their place of work (30.1%), this was 13% higher than the Scottish average of 17.1%. • In Bearsden South 41.7% of people travelled between 5km and 10km to their place of work this was the highest percentage when compared to all Wards. • Milngavie had the highest percentage of people who worked or studied mainly from home (11.2%) this was closely followed by Bishopbriggs North & Torrance and Bearsden South both 10.8%. • Campsie and Kirkintilloch North had the highest percentage of people who travelled between 10km and 20km to their place of work (37.3%), 15% higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole. • 13.1% of people in Bishopbriggs and Torrance travelled less than 2km to their place of work this was the highest of all the Wards with the lowest percentage in Bearsden South (4.3%). • A small percentage of people in East Dunbartonshire travel 60km and over to their place of work (1.9%). Bearsden North had the highest percentage of people who travelled 60km and over to their place of work (3.0%) just over 1% higher than East Dunbartonshire as a whole.
Table 35: Distance travelled to work Work or Less 2km to 5km to 10km 20km 30km 40km 60km Other study than less less to less to less to less to less and mainly 2km than than than than than than over from 5km 10kn 20km 30km 40km 60km home
Scotland 10.8% 13.1% 19.2% 17.1% 15.1% 6.5% 2.9% 2.2% 2.0% 10.9% East Dunbartonshire 9.7% 7.6% 12.8% 30.1% 21.5% 3.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 10.3%
Bearsden North 10.7% 4.6% 11.3% 39.5% 15.8% 3.7% 1.9% 1.1% 3.0% 8.3%
Bearsden South 10.8% 4.3% 15.9% 41.7% 9.4% 3.5% 1.6% 1.0% 2.4% 9.4% Bishopbriggs North & Torrance 10.8% 13.1% 19.2% 17.1% 15.1% 6.5% 2.9% 2. 2% 2.0% 10.9% Bishopbriggs South 8.1% 8.6% 19.1% 36.8% 11.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 11.4% Campsie & Kirkintilloch North 9.4% 7.3% 10.2% 15.3% 37.3% 5.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 11.5% Kirkintilloch East & Twechar 9.2% 11.0% 14.4% 17.9% 28.0% 4.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 12.1% Lenzie & Kirkintilloch South 8.3% 10.3% 10.4% 21.9% 31.0% 3.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 9.1%
Milngavie 11.2% 7.8% 7.9% 27.3% 27.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.7% 2.5% 10.1% Source: 2011 Census
45 Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2016
Background
The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) is regarded as the official measure of deprivation in Scotland and identifies small area concentrations of multiple deprivation. The Index provides a relative measure of deprivation, and is used to compare small areas known as datazones across Scotland by providing each zone with a unique ranking from most deprived (rank 1) to least deprived (rank 6,976).
Datazones are a commonly used geography across Scotland and are determined by population rather than size, therefore urban Datazones have a smaller geographical area than rural Datazones. The average Datazone had a population of 760 people. There are currently 130 datazones within East Dunbartonshire.
The datazones were revised to reflect changing populations in 2011 and Datazones were split and merged to better reflect the area. As such not all datazone boundaries are comparable with previous years.
The overall SIMD rankings are determined using a variety of indicators across the following 7 domains: • Income • Employment • Health • Education • Housing • Geographic Access • Crime
The above domains have been given different weightings in line with priorities to provide the overall SIMD ranking but are also ranked individually for purpose of analysis. The income and employment domains are seen as the highest priority areas and are given the largest weighting towards the overall rank, followed by health and education. Proportionally lower weightings are given to the access, housing and crime domains.
Due to the relative ranking of all datazones in Scotland. The SIMD cannot be used to quantify how much more deprived one area is than another. For example, it is not possible to say that datazone X, ranked 50, is twice as deprived as datazone Y, ranked 100.
While the SIMD measures concentrations of deprivation it is not a measure of relative affluence and should not be used as such. For example it is not possible to say the Datazone ranked 6,976 is the most affluent in Scotland but it is possible to say it is the least deprived. Although the SIMD identifies areas with deprivation it does not mean that everyone living in the area is deprived, likewise there may be deprived people living in areas that are not deprived according to SIMD.
46
East Dunbartonshire Datazones
Key Findings
East Dunbartonshire remains relatively less deprived in contrast to other Scottish local authorities with the majority of East Dunbartonshire Datazones falling into the least deprived of the SIMD and has the second highest proportion of areas in Scotland that are not deprived according to SIMD.
Although East Dunbartonshire as a whole is relatively less SIMD deprived than other local authorities in Scotland, there are specific areas within East Dunbartonshire that fall below the Scottish average. Improvements at a national level have led to East Dunbartonshire having a greater number of Datazones in the 20% most deprived in Scotland thank 2012.
East Dunbartonshire has 7 datazones in the most deprived 25% in Scotland, these are located in Hillhead, Auchinairn, Lennoxtown and Kirkintilloch West. Hillhead remains the most deprived area in East Dunbartonshire, however SIMD ranks in the area have improved with 2 datazones moving out of the 5% most deprived in Scotland and the majority of Datazones showing less deprivation than in SIMD 2012. One datazone in Kirkintilloch West has entered the 25% most deprived.
Of individual domains East Dunbartonshire has the most deprived Datazones in the access domain which would be expected given the rural nature of certain parts of the authority.
47 East Dunbartonshire Datazones in bottom SIMD 25% Datazone Intermediate Ward 2016 Decile Rank Decile Improvement Area Rank 2016 2012* 2012 S01008137 Hillhead Kirkintilloch 458 1 152 1
East & Twechar S01008138 Hillhead Kirkintilloch 740 2 183 1
East & Twechar S01008131 Kirkintilloch Lenzie & 1,149 2 1,755 3
West Kirkintilloch South S01008106 Auchinairn* Bishopbriggs 1,157 2 3,014 5
South
S01008159 Lennoxtown Campsie & 1,202 2 722 2
Kirkintilloch North S01008139 Hillhead* Kirkintiloch 1,373 2 1,444 3
East & Twechar S01008105 Auchinairn Bishopbriggs 1,667 3 1,252 2
South
*Comparisons with 2012 for these areas are not necessarily like for like given changes made to Datazone boundaries and a change to the overall number of datazones.
Overview of most Deprived Datazones in East Dunbartonshire
Hillhead and Kirkintilloch West Datazones
48 Hillhead
Datazone Ward SIMD 2016 Decile SIMD 2012 2012 Improvement Rank Rank Decile S01008137 Kirkintilloch East & 458 1 152 1 Twechar S01008138 Kirkintilloch East * 740 2 183 1 Twechar S01008139* Kirkintilloch East & 1,373 2 1,444 3 Twechar S01008140* Kirkintilloch East & 1,891 3 1,344 3 Twechar S01008136 Lenzie & Kirkintilloch 2,436 4 2,212 4 South
* The boundaries for these Datazones have changed and are now not directly comparable with 2012 equivalent
Kirkintilloch West
Datazone Ward SIMD 2016 Decile SIMD 2012 Rank 2012 Improvement Rank Decile S01008131 Lenzie & Kirkintilloch 1,149 2 1,755 3
South
49
Auchinairn
Datazone Ward SIMD Decile SIMD 2012 Improvement 2016 2012 Decile Rank Rank S01008106* Bishopbriggs 1,157 2 3,014 5 South S01008105 Bishopbriggs 1,667 3 1,252 2 South
* S01008106 is a new datazone and is not directly comparable with 2012 equivalent
50 Lennoxtown
Datazone Ward SIMD Decile SIMD 2012 Improvement 2016 2012 Rank Decile Rank S01008159 Campsie & Kirkintilloch 1,202 2 722 2 North
51
Information is available at smaller geography levels and further analysis of the statistics found in this document can be provided on request by contacting the Corporate Performance and Research Team.
Corporate Performance & Research Team East Dunbartonshire Council 12 Strathkelvin Place Kirkintilloch G66 1TJ
Tel: 0300 123 4510
Email: [email protected]
All released census data can be found on the Scotland’s Census website http://www.scotlandscensus.gov.uk/
52