A Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan for the Western Cape FINAL MARCH 2008
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Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning, Western Cape A climate change strategy and action plan for the Western Cape This report is the final document. Information contained herein has been reviewed by the Client: the Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning, and by the Government of the Western Cape. FINAL MARCH 2008 Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning Western Cape March 2008 This report was prepared for the Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning by OneWorld Sustainable Investments OneWorld Sustainable Investments Tel: +27 (0)21 421 6996 Cell: +27 (0)83 2591904 website: www.oneworldgroup.co.za This document is available on the Western Cape Department of Environmental Affairs and Development planning website: www.capegateway.gov.za/eadp This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act, no part may be reproduced by any process without prior written permission from: The Head of Department Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning Leeusig Building 1 Leeuwen Street Cape Town While reasonable efforts have been made to ensure that the contents of this publication are factually correct, the Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning does not take responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of its contents and shall not be liable for loss or damage that may be occasioned directly or indirectly through the use of, or reliance on, the contents of this publication. Disclaimer: While OneWorld Sustainable Investments endeavours to supply reliable analysis and believes that the material it presents is accurate, it will not be liable for any claim by any party acting on such information. ii A climate change response strategy and action plan for the Western Cape Responding to the challenge of climate change and sustainable development in the Western Cape Prepared for the Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning, Western Cape, by OneWorld Sustainable Investments Note: This document and the information herein is supported and informed by seven supplementary reports, published in a separate volume as: The Western Cape Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan Supplementary Report, by OneWorld Sustainable Investments, for the Western Cape Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning. iii Acknowledgements The OneWorld project team, lead by Belynda Petrie, gratefully acknowledges the significant input of the following people: Martin de Wit for his economic analysis, with research support of that process from James Cumming; Bruce Hewitson, Peter Johnston and Gina Ziervogel from CSAG, UCT, for their climate impacts analysis and strategy inputs; Stephanie Midgley as the team’s agriculture specialist with key strategy inputs; Guy Midgley, Biodiversity, climate impacts and strategy expert; Dave Japp, Fisheries expert; Arthur Chapman, Water specialist and key strategy inputs; Andre Theron, Coastal and Marine analysis; Greg Forsyth for spatial planning and maps; Catherine Fedorsky, Air Quality expert analysis; Sven Kreher and Glynn Morris, energy and transport analysis and inputs; Alex Hetherington, Communications strategy expert with inputs from Mike Cadman; Nicholas Smith and his associates for the legal and regulatory analysis; Matthew Ocran, Karen Drummond and Pippa Tsilik for research, literature review and report inputs and Annika Kramer for water overview, report and research inputs. A number of focus group meetings were also held with experts in Fisheries, Energy, Air Quality, Disasters and Livelihoods, Communications, Biodiversity, Agriculture and Water. The OneWorld team and consortium members wish to acknowledge the valuable inputs gained from all participants in focus group sessions. Please refer to the Western Cape Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan Supplementary Report Number 3 (Stakeholder Report) for a list of people who participated in these sessions. OneWorld wishes to acknowledge the Department of Environmental Affairs and Development Planning with particular reference to Dipelelo Elford – Chief Director: Environmental Affairs (DEA&DP); Mark Gordon - Director: Strategic Environmental Affairs (DEA&DP); Gottlieb Arendse – Director Pollution & Waste Management (DEA&DP) and Denis Laidler – Deputy Director, Biodiversity Management (DEA&DP). Acknowledgements are also made to other key members of the Project Steering Committee:Adele Arendse – SouthSouthNorth Africa; Ernst Baard - Senior Manager Scientific Services Cape Nature; Rosa Blaauw – SouthSouthNorth Africa; Anthony Brutus - Deputy Director: Information and Planning (DWAF); Martin de Wit – OneWorld Sustainable Investments Consortium (De Wit Sustainable Options); Karen Drummond – OneWorld Sustainable Investments; Lozelle du Plessis – Department of Agriculture; Guy Midgley – OneWorld Sustainable Investments Consortium (SANBI); Johan Minnie – Disaster Management; Stanford Mwakasondo – Senior Researcher Energy Research Centre UCT; John Notoane – OneWorld Sustainable Investments; Ashia Petersen – Assistant Director Research and Policy Development DEA&DP; Belynda Petrie – OneWorld Sustainable Investments; Shirene Rosenberg – Manager: Resource Conservation Environmental Planning Department City of Cape Town; Andre Roux – Chief Engineer Sustainable Resource Management Department of Agriculture; Marcia Sheraton – Economist Provincial Treasury; Arne Singels – Head: Water Branch (City of Cape Town); Ilse Trautmann – Director of Technology, Research and Development Department of Agriculture; Paul Whelan - PGWC Treasury Regional Director. iv Foreword It is clear that climate change will affect the Western Cape Province. Climate Change is happening now and is one of the biggest challenges facing the international community. Even with the achievement of significant global greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, there will still be changes to the global climate and to our climate here in the Western Cape. These changes will affect everyone in our community - government, industry, community groups and individuals - and all sections of the community have a part to play in responding to climate change. To achieve this vision, we need to act now using our existing knowledge. We then need to set out longer-term strategies to continue to improve our understanding of the impacts of climate change. We need to plan and adapt to the expected changes. The Western Cape has relatively low levels of greenhouse gas emissions when compared to other parts of South Africa, but it is incumbent on us to look for local opportunities to maintain low greenhouse gas emission levels. We will also continue to participate in national policy development and strategies on greenhouse gas mitigation. For the immediate future, the focus must be on planning to adapt to climate change and its impacts using the best available knowledge. This Strategy builds on the work already done in the province and sets out our direction now and for the longer term. It sets out the Government’s commitment to: Leading the response to climate change in partnership with other spheres of government, research institutions, industry and the community Planning and adapting now and into the future to minimise possible adverse impacts of climate change and to position the province to take advantage of emerging opportunities Focusing on water as our already scarce resource that is extremely vulnerable to climate change impacts Developing renewable energy and energy efficiency options and minimising our greenhouse gas emission levels Continuing to improve our knowledge of the impacts of climate change Informing and involving our industry sectors and the community to ensure they are better able to adapt and respond to the challenges associated with a changing climate. The Strategy promotes a strategic outlook as well as practical actions, land use and development planning based on a risk management approach and a culture of innovation to capture opportunities. It aligns with the goals established through the Sustainable Development Strategy for the Western Cape and will provide a sound foundation for future climate change responses in the province. v Table of contents Abbreviations and acronyms 13 Executive Summary 16 Part 1: The Western Cape Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan The strategy The strategy................................................................................................................................ 2 Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 2 Strategic setting ......................................................................................................................... 3 Our climate is changing............................................................................................................ 3 Key issues in decision-making in response to climate change: Adaptation and mitigation...... 3 Responses to climate change: International and national trends............................................. 4 The Western Cape’s Climate Change Vulnerability and Risk .................................................. 6 The socio-economics of the Western Cape and the impacts of climate change...................... 8 Risk and Vulnerability Assessments of vulnerable sectors and resources of the Western Cape ..............................................................................................................................................