Post Cards from the 6Th Mass Extinction

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Post Cards from the 6Th Mass Extinction TRANSCRIPT POST CARDS FROM THE 6TH MASS EXTINCTION The incredible shrinking world of the polar bear. PROLOGUE: There is a place, a place at the top of the world, where the sun shines all day and all night in the summer, and darkness reigns throughout the long, cold winter. The Arctic has long fascinated writers and explorers seeking the North Pole and the Northwest Passage, the fabled shipping route between Europe and Asia. The Arctic ice is also home to arguably the world’s largest land predator—the polar bear (Ursus maritumus). Although the global population is quite high, an estimate 26,000 animals according to recent estimates, the International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources lists the polar bear vulnerable on its Red List of Threatened Species. Why are we talking about this animal today? In recent years, a great deal of its habitat, Arctic sea ice, has melted during critical parts of the year, resulting in fewer hunting opportunities and increased mortality (in adult polar bears and their offspring) because they capture fewer prey. This is the incredible shrinking world of the polar bear. To get some idea of how these changes in circumstances are affecting the polar bear, imagine what would happen if several grocery stores were pulled at random from the cities we live in (and not replaced), or farmland used to grow crops was in shorter and shorter supply every year. INTRODUCTION: Hi I’m John Rafferty, I am the editor for Earth Sciences at Encyclopaedia Britannica, and today we are talking about the daunting challenge of protecting the polar bear and how it’s dying out, potentially in the imminent future. This mammal that has been talked about in the news for a long time. Its challenges with respect to its shrinking habitat and health have been documented with graphs, photos, and videos. Spend some time with us and we’ll explore the polar bear’s natural history, the threats to the Arctic ice pack—that is, its primary habitat—and the chances that the species will survive intact through the 21st century. And don’t worry, if you miss something during this talk, you can find it again our website. TRANSCRIPT CONTINUED Page 2 POST CARDS FROM THE 6TH MASS EXTINCTION NATURAL HISTORY: Polar bears are stocky mammals with relatively small heads, short, rounded ears, and a short tail. Male bears, which are much larger than females, weigh 410 to 720 kg, growing to about 1.6 meters tall at the shoulder and 2.2–2.5 meters in length. They are particularly imposing when they stand on their hind legs. Polar bears are found throughout the Arctic region—Russia and Alaska, the Canadian archipelago and Greenland, remote islands and, of course, the Arctic Ocean itself. Polar bears travel long distances over vast desolate expanses, generally on drifting oceanic ice floes, searching for ringed seals, its primary prey. It has no natural predators and knows no fear of humans, making it an extremely dangerous animal. To retain heat in the cold Arctic, sunlight can pass through the polar bear’s thick fur, energy from the sun being absorbed by the bear’s black skin. Under the skin is a layer of insulating fat. The animal’s broad feet have hairy soles to protect and insulate and allow movement across ice. Strong, sharp claws are also important for gaining traction, for digging through ice, and for killing prey. Polar bears are solitary and overwhelmingly carnivorous, feeding especially on the ringed seal but also on the bearded seal and other pinnipeds, such as the walrus. The bear stalks seals resting on the ice, ambushes them near breathing holes, and digs young seals from snow shelters where they are born. Polar bears prefer ice that gets broken up by wind and sea currents, because these breaks offer seals access to both air and water. They are even known to kill beluga whales that surface in the small breathing holes in the ice. While polar bears are excellent swimmers and capable of killing prey in open water, seals are much more agile in this environment, so polar bears must either expend a lot of energy swimming or be very lucky to capture them. The polar bear swims using only its front limbs, an aquatic adaptation found in no other four-legged mammal. Polar bears are opportunistic as well as predatory; they will consume dead fish and carcasses of stranded whales and eat garbage near human settlements. Mating occurs in spring, and gestation may last 195 to 265 days. One to four cubs, usually two, are born during the winter in a den of ice and snow. Cubs weigh less than 1 kg (2.2 pounds) at birth and are not weaned until after they are two years old. Young polar bears may die of starvation or may be killed by adult males, and for this reason female polar bears are extremely defensive of their young when adult males are present. Young remain with their mothers until they reach sexual maturity. Females first reproduce at 4 to 8 years of age and breed every two to four years thereafter. Males mature at about the same age as females but do not breed until a few years later. In the wild, polar bears can live 25 to 30 years, but in captivity several have lived to more than 35 years old. In other words, polar bears are long-lived, but they aren’t able to reproduce until several years after they are born. As a result, they can’t replace their losses quickly even in the best of times. TRANSCRIPT CONTINUED Page 3 POST CARDS FROM THE 6TH MASS EXTINCTION So, what causes polar bear mortality? Adult polar bears have no natural predators, though walruses and wolves can kill them. Humans probably cause the most polar bear deaths by hunting and by the destruction of problem animals near settlements: many humans fear polar bears, because polar bears have been known to kill people. In addition, these animals are hunted, especially by Inuit people for their hides, tendons, fat, and flesh. Although polar bear meat can be eaten, the liver is inedible and often poisonous because of its high vitamin A content. Polar bears are also victims of pollution brought on by the oil and gas industry—their fur can lose much of its insulating ability when the animal comes in contact with an oil slick. Those bears that ingest oil can also become poisoned, and spills can foul denning sites and hunting grounds. The largest threat to polar bears over the long term is climate change due to global warming. Arctic sea ice coverage has declined dramatically since the year 2000. Since sea ice is the polar bear’s primary habitat, its continued reduction is expected to cause trouble for the species. Models developed by some scientists predict an increase in polar bear starvation as a result of longer ice-free seasons and a decline in mating success, since sea-ice fragmentation could keep males and females from meeting one another. Model forecasts by the U.S. Geological Survey suggest that habitat loss may cause polar bear populations to decline by two-thirds by the year 2050, dropping the worldwide population from roughly 26,000 to only 8,600 animals. So worrisome is this prospect that the U.S. government listed the polar bear as a threatened species in 2008. So, what’s up with the Sea Ice and how is Climate Change affecting it? As I said earlier, polar bears rely on Arctic sea ice. Walking on the Arctic Ocean’s solid skin, they exploit breaks in the ice for food. The openings are concentrate seals and other sea mammals that come up for air as they swim under the ice. Now, sea ice forms and melts every year with the change of the seasons. Beginning in October, sea ice coverage grows—peaking about April before the spring and summer melt begins. The median computed for the years 1981 to 2010 is about 15 million square kilometers in April (a little less than twice the area of the lower 48 United States) in April. It falls to about 6.83 million square kilometers (an area a little less than that of Australia) by September. But in 2012, sea ice coverage fell to an astonishing 3.4 million square kilometers (an area slightly larger than India), or about half of the 1981 to 2010 benchmark. Similar deep reductions have happened in the years that followed, with measurements of sea ice coverage in 2019 closely paralleling that of 2012. Now consider multi-year ice – the oldest, thickest ice in the Arctic which lasts throughout the summer. It has declined by 95% since 1985, according to NOAA's Arctic program in a 2018 report. These measurements demonstrate that Arctic sea ice is declining rapidly, and the polar bear habitat is shrinking with it. Photos depicting a single polar bear standing on a tiny ice floe are becoming more and more the norm rather than the exception. TRANSCRIPT CONTINUED Page 4 POST CARDS FROM THE 6TH MASS EXTINCTION What happens to the species when much of its habitat has gone? Polar bears are adaptable animals. They can switch between several food sources, with ringed seals being their most preferred along with whales and other sea mammals. So they can withstand changes in their prey to some extent. However, all of these food sources depend on a unique type of Arctic ecosystem working. Recent studies suggest that 70% of the polar bear diet is derived from algae that grows on the sea ice.
Recommended publications
  • Climate Change: a Global Reality - Part 1 1
    TRANSCRIPT: Climate Change: A Global Reality - Part 1 1 Major funding for "Climate Change: A Global Reality" was provided by... No challenge poses a greater threat to future generations than climate change. 2014 was the planet's warmest year on record. Fourteen of the fifteen warmest years on record have all fallen in the first fifteen years of this century. And the best scientists in the world are all telling us that our activities are changing the climate. The Pentagon says that climate change poses immediate risks to our national security. We should act like it. Welcome to "Climate Change: A Global Reality." I'm John King. We've got a great group on hand to discuss this critical issue, but let's begin with a definition... That's a definition to get us started. Holly Bamford, from the government perspective, the research perspective, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration perspective, what does that mean? Make it real for people watching, that definition. Does that mean sea level is going up, the temperature is going up? That's a good definition to start with. People confuse, sometimes, weather with climate, and they say, "Well, the weather today doesn't mean that the climate is changing." You have to look at it from a long-term, decadal, century perspective, and that's what we do at NOAA. And the reason we have to care is one word, and that's impacts: impacts that we see as a community, impacts we see to the environment, and impacts to the economy that we depend on.
    [Show full text]
  • Climate Capitalism
    Climate Capitalism Capitalism in the Age of Climate Change L. Hunter Lovins and Boyd Cohen Hill and Wang A division of Farrar, Straus and Giroux New York 96325_00_a-b_i-viii_r3mv.indd iii 2/25/11 8:07:00 AM Hill and Wang A division of Farrar, Straus and Giroux 18 West 18th Street, New York 10011 Copyright © 2011 by L. Hunter Lovins and Boyd Cohen All rights reserved Distributed in Canada by D&M Publishers, Inc. Printed in the United States of America First edition, 2011 Interior spot photographs copyright © iStockphoto.com The graph on page 254 is from From Risk to Opportunity: Insurer Responses to Climate Change by Evan Mills, Ph.D., report for Ceres, April 2009. Reprinted with permission. Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data Lovins, L. Hunter, 1950– Climate capitalism : capitalism in the age of climate change / L. Hunter Lovins and Boyd Cohen. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-8090-3473-4 (hbk. : alk. paper) 1. Sustainable development—Environmental aspects. 2. Entrepreneurship— Environmental aspects. 3. Capitalism—Environmental aspects. 4. Climatic changes— Economic aspects. 5. Environmental policy—Economic aspects. I. Cohen, Boyd. II. Title. HC79.E5.L67 2011 338.9'27—dc22 2011003809 Designed by Abby Kagan www.fsgbooks.com 1 3 5 7 9 10 8 6 4 2 96325_00_a-b_i-viii_r3mv.indd iv 2/25/11 8:07:00 AM 10 A Future That Works The 2008 financial collapse that evaporated $50 trillion in assets world­ wide caught almost everyone by surprise, but not Nessim Taleb. Th e au­ thor of the bestselling The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Taleb accurately predicted the timing and causes of the economic melt­ down.
    [Show full text]
  • Written Testimony of Dr. Joseph Romm Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress Action Fund Before the Ways and Means Committee of the U.S
    Written Testimony of Dr. Joseph Romm Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress Action Fund Before the Ways and Means Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives Hearing on Energy Tax Incentives Driving the Green Job Economy April 14, 2010 Good Morning Chairman Levin, Ranking Member Camp, and members of the committee. My name is Dr. Joseph Romm, and I am delighted to address you today about the energy tax code and the clean energy economy. I am a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress Action Fund here in Washington, D.C., where I edit the blog ClimateProgress.org. I served as acting assistant secretary at the U.S. Department of Energy's Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy during 1997 and principal deputy assistant secretary from 1995 though 1998. In that capacity, I helped manage the largest program in the world for working with businesses to develop and use clean energy technologies. I hold a Ph.D. in physics from M.I.T. I am honored to be given the opportunity to share my findings with you about how many existing provisions of the U.S. tax code directly inhibit the cost-effective commercialization and deployment of clean, homegrown energy, what can be done to remedy this, and how these actions will help jumpstart the U.S. economy and restore our leadership in what will certainly be the biggest job-creating sector of the century. My new book Straight Up delves into the full nature of our current energy crisis problems and its solutions. It explains many of the unintended and uninternalized side effects that our nation's addiction to fossil fuels has on our economy, our national security, and on our environment.
    [Show full text]
  • Climate Change Mitigation Negotiations, with an Emphasis on OPTIONS for Developing Countries
    CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION NEGOTIATIONS, WITH AN EMPHASIS ON OPTIONS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES AN ENVIRONMENT & ENERGY GROUP PUBLICATION HARALD WINKLER ENERGY RESEARCH CENTRE UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN ! JULY 2008 2 CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION NEGOTIATIONS, WITH AN EMPHASIS ON OPTIONS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Capacity development for policy makers: addressing climate change in key sectors The UNDP “Capacity development for policy makers” project seeks to strengthen the national capacity of developing countries to develop policy options for addressing climate change across different sectors and economic activities, which could serve as inputs to negotiating positions under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The project will run in parallel with the “Bali Action Plan” process – the UNFCCC negotiations on long-term cooperative action on climate change set to conclude in December 2009 in Copenhagen at the fifteenth Conference of the Parties. This paper is one of a series produced for the project that provides in-depth information on the four thematic building blocks of the Bali Action Plan – mitigation, adaptation, technology and finance – as well as on land-use, land-use change and forestry.T he project materials also include executive summaries for policymakers, background briefing documents and workshop presentations.T hese materials will be used for national awareness-raising workshops in the participating countries. Disclaimer The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations, including UNDP, or their Member States. Acknowledgements UNDP and the author gratefully acknowledge the constructive suggestions made for this paper by the UNFCCC secretariat and UNDP staff members, as well as Hernan Carlino, Erik Haites, Dennis Tirpak, Chad Carpenter, Susanne Olbrisch and Naira Aslanyan.
    [Show full text]
  • A Rational Discussion of Climate Change: the Science, the Evidence, the Response
    A RATIONAL DISCUSSION OF CLIMATE CHANGE: THE SCIENCE, THE EVIDENCE, THE RESPONSE HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION NOVEMBER 17, 2010 Serial No. 111–114 Printed for the use of the Committee on Science and Technology ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.science.house.gov U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 62–618PDF WASHINGTON : 2010 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY HON. BART GORDON, Tennessee, Chair JERRY F. COSTELLO, Illinois RALPH M. HALL, Texas EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas F. JAMES SENSENBRENNER JR., LYNN C. WOOLSEY, California Wisconsin DAVID WU, Oregon LAMAR S. SMITH, Texas BRIAN BAIRD, Washington DANA ROHRABACHER, California BRAD MILLER, North Carolina ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland DANIEL LIPINSKI, Illinois VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan GABRIELLE GIFFORDS, Arizona FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma DONNA F. EDWARDS, Maryland JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois MARCIA L. FUDGE, Ohio W. TODD AKIN, Missouri BEN R. LUJA´ N, New Mexico RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas PAUL D. TONKO, New York BOB INGLIS, South Carolina STEVEN R. ROTHMAN, New Jersey MICHAEL T. MCCAUL, Texas JIM MATHESON, Utah MARIO DIAZ-BALART, Florida LINCOLN DAVIS, Tennessee BRIAN P. BILBRAY, California BEN CHANDLER, Kentucky ADRIAN SMITH, Nebraska RUSS CARNAHAN, Missouri PAUL C. BROUN, Georgia BARON P. HILL, Indiana PETE OLSON, Texas HARRY E. MITCHELL, Arizona CHARLES A. WILSON, Ohio KATHLEEN DAHLKEMPER, Pennsylvania ALAN GRAYSON, Florida SUZANNE M.
    [Show full text]
  • Tax Credits for Carbon Capture by Keith Martin, in Washington
    February 2021 Tax Credits for Carbon Capture by Keith Martin, in Washington The market is showing early signs of a stampede to install carbon capture equipment at power plants and industrial facilities with significant carbon footprints to qualify for federal tax credits. Some tax equity investors are circling possible carbon sequestration transactions with the aim of closing their first such transactions this year. The US government offers a tax credit for capturing carbon emissions at industrial facili- ties and then doing one of three things with them. The tax credit is found in section 45Q of the US tax code. There are deadlines to do certain things. The tax credit amount and how long the tax credits run depend on when and how these items fall into place. The US has 13 commercial-scale carbon capture facilities currently in operation with the capacity to capture 25 million metric tons of CO2 a year. More than 30 new projects have been announced since Congress revamped the tax credit in early 2018. The IRS has disallowed more than half the tax credits claimed to date. The main reason is taxpayers have not been complying with the US Environmental Protection Agency require- ments for monitoring, reporting and verification of the carbon emissions captured. IN THIS ISSUE Qualified Emissions Source 1 Tax Credits for Carbon Capture The emissions must be from a factory, refinery, power plant or other fuel / continued page 2 7 Cost of Capital: 2021 Outlook 18 Proxy Generation PPAs 20 Negotiating Hydrogen Contracts CLEAN ENERGY AND INFRASTRUCTURE will take center stage after the 25 Expected Changes in US Congress clears a $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill.
    [Show full text]
  • Summary of Public Engagement on the Implementation of Pan-Canadian Carbon Pricing in the Northwest Territories
    Summary of Public Engagement on the Implementation of Pan-Canadian Carbon Pricing in the Northwest Territories Government of the Northwest Territories Department of Finance January 2017 Summary of Public Engagement on Carbon Pricing in the Northwest Territories CONFIDENTIAL GNWT Department of Finance Summary of Public Engagement on the Implementation of Pan-Canadian Carbon Pricing in the Northwest Territories Table of Contents Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................... 3 Methodology .............................................................................................................................................................. 3 Discussion Paper .................................................................................................................................................... 3 Carbon Pricing Survey ............................................................................................................................................ 3 Written Submissions .............................................................................................................................................. 4 Survey Results ............................................................................................................................................................ 5 Q1: Overall Comments on Implementation of a Carbon Tax in the NWT ............................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Environmentally Themed Books for Adults*
    Environmentally Themed Books for Adults* *The City of Roanoke does not endorse any books on this list; they are provided merely as a starting point for your own investigation. Collected from various sources, 2015. NON-FICTION Desert Solitaire: A Season in the Wilderness by Edward Abbey Biohazard: The Chilling True Story of the Largest Covert Biological Weapons Program in the World - Told from Inside by the Man Who Ran It by Ken Alibek The Bleeding of the Stone by Ibrahim al-Koni Enviro-Capitalists: Doing Good While Doing Well by Terry Lee Anderson and Donald R. Leal Free Market Environmentalism by Terry L. Anderson and Donald R. Leal Babylon's Ark: The Incredible Wartime Rescue of the Baghdad Zoo by Lawrence Anthony and Graham Spence Earth from the Air by Yann Arthus-Bertrand Our Angry Earth: A Ticking Ecological Bomb by Isaac Asimov and Frederik Pohl State of the World 2010: Transforming Cultures: From Consumerism to Sustainability by Erik Assadourian et al Wild Solutions: How Biodiversity is Money in the Bank by Andrew Beattie and Paul R. Ehrlich Environmental Principles and Policies: An Interdisciplinary Introduction by Sharon Beder Global Spin: The Corporate Assault on Environmentalism by Sharon Beder Ecology: From Individuals to Ecosystems by Michael Begon et al The Coming Global Superstorm by Art Bell and Whitley Strieber Fundamentals of Stack Gas Dispersion (4th edition) by Milton R. Beychok Aqueous Wastes from Petroleum and Petrochemical Plants by Milton R. Beychok Putting Biodiversity on the Map: Priority Areas for Global Conservation
    [Show full text]
  • Electromagnetic Radiation and the Doppler Effect
    Astronomers’ Observing Guides For further volumes: http://www.springer.com/series/5338 wwwwwwwwwwwww Richard Schmude, Jr. Arti fi cial Satellites and How to Observe Them Richard Schmude, Jr. 109 Tyus Street Barnesville, GA, USA ISSN 1611-7360 ISBN 978-1-4614-3914-1 ISBN 978-1-4614-3915-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4614-3915-8 Springer NewYork Heidelberg Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2012939432 © Springer Science+Business Media New York 2012 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, speci fi cally the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on micro fi lms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied speci fi cally for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a speci fi c statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
    [Show full text]
  • EU Funding Must Leapfrog Fossil Fuel Use to Renewable Energy and Energy Savings
    Brussels, 25.3.2019 EU funding must leapfrog fossil fuel use to renewable energy and energy savings Dear Members of the European Parliament, On 27 March you will vote on the future of the EU's Cohesion Policy. We are writing to you in order to bring your attention to the importance of aligning future Cohesion Policy funding with the EU’s climate objectives. The European Commission has proposed to exclude fossil fuel funding from the next generation of Cohesion Policy funding. Your vote on the European Regional Development Fund will decide if the European Parliament turns back the clock, promoting investments in fossil fuel infrastructure which then will stay for decades, or if it will choose a path of sustainable development for Europe’s regions, bringing them new jobs, competitiveness and modernisation. To make decarbonisation a reality, voting down the eligibility of fossil fuels, including gas, is key. Fossil gas is a fuel with substantial CO2 and methane emissions contributing to climate change and its catastrophic impacts. Moreover, fossil gas infrastructure is not compatible with most renewable gases, and almost certainly not for all gases at scale. Funding gas and prolonging the lifetime of existing coal capacity would lock European economies into fossil fuel dependency for decades, while at the same time hampering technically and economically feasible, climate-friendly solutions. Spending EU funds on gas and high-carbon infrastructure would also mean holding back European citizens, investors and businesses from leapfrogging straight up the chain from fossil fuel energies to renewables and energy savings. This would be at a huge cost to the climate, Europe’s competitiveness and European societies.
    [Show full text]
  • The Bali Road Map: Key Issues Under Negotiation
    THE BALI ROAD MAP: Key Issues Under Negotiation UNDP ENVIRONMENT & ENERGY GROUP THE BALI ROAD MAP: Key Issues Under Negotiation Disclaimer The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the United Nations, including UNDP, or their Member States. Acknowledgements UNDP acknowledges the generous support from the United Nations Foundation and the governments of Norway and Finland towards the project, “Capacity development for policy makers to address climate change”, which allowed the preparation of this document. This document was designed by Rebecca Buttrose. Production and review by Amy Schofield. THE BALI ROAD MAP: KEY ISSUES UNDER NEGOTIATION 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword 3 The Bali Action Plan: Key Issues in the Climate Negotiations – Summary for Policy Makers 5 Climate Change Mitigation Negotiations, with an Emphasis on Options for Developing Countries 23 National Policies and their Linkages to Negotiations over a Future International Climate Change Agreement 69 Adaptation to Climate Change: The New Challenge for Development in the Developing World 119 Negotiations on Additional Investment and Financial Flows to Address Climate Change in Developing Countries 161 The Technology Challenge: Considerations for National Government Policy Makers to Address Climate Change 209 Key Issues in Negotiations on Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry, with an Emphasis on Developing Country Perspectives 249 2 THE BALI ROAD MAP: KEY ISSUES UNDER NEGOTIATION THE BALI ROAD MAP: KEY ISSUES UNDER NEGOTIATION 3 FOREWORD Nearly all sectors of society contribute to greenhouses gas emissions and are affected by climate change. The magnitude and the impact of the problem require a co-ordinated, effective response – both nationally and internationally – to both move societies towards less carbon-intensive pathways and make inroads towards achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and reducing poverty.
    [Show full text]
  • An Emissions Assurance Mechanism: Adding Environmental Certainty to a Carbon Tax
    An Emissions Assurance Mechanism: Adding Environmental Certainty to a Carbon Tax Gilbert E. Metcalf JUNE 2018 An Emissions Assurance Mechanism: Adding Environmental Certainty to a Carbon Tax Gilbert E. Metcalf ∗ Abstract Interest in a hybrid carbon tax that provides some assurance that emissions reduction targets will be met has emerged recently. To better understand how such a hybrid tax could work, I describe a prototype emissions assurance mechanism (EAM) to provide policy certainty that is practical, simple to implement, and easily understood. I outline an EAM that would lead to a 45 percent reduction in energy- related carbon dioxide emissions by 2035 relative to emissions in 2005. In 2035, an assessment would be made about a target reduction in emissions for the next 15 years. Emissions are compared with an emissions pathway in each year. So long as cumulative emissions since the first year of the carbon tax do not exceed cumulative emissions along the emissions pathway, the carbon tax rate would increase at a standard escalator of 5 percent per year (plus inflation). If cumulative emissions exceed cumulative emissions along the pathway, an accelerated escalator of 10 percent would be used to increase the tax rate each year. Similarly, if cumulative emissions fall well below the pathway, the tax rate would be held constant (in real terms). The emissions pathway and EAM would be built into the carbon tax legislation. ∗ Professor of economics, Tufts University; research associate, National Bureau of Economic Research; university fellow, Resources for the Future. Metcalf received research support from the Climate Leadership Council (CLC) for this project.
    [Show full text]