The Changing Seasons
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Maine's Climate Future—2020 Update
MAINE’S CLIMATE FUTURE— 2020 UPDATE Maine’s Climate Future 2020 update 1 Table of Contents MAINE’S CLIMATE FUTURE 2020 ................................................................................................................ 3 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................... 3 Maine’s climate continues to change, and fast. .................................................................................................... 6 Precipitation is increasing in frequency and intensity. .............................................................................................. 9 What about drought? ............................................................................................................................................... 12 Winter is the fastest changing season. .................................................................................................................... 15 The Gulf of Maine is getting warmer. ...................................................................................................................... 21 The chemistry of the Gulf of Maine is changing. ..................................................................................................... 23 Rising sea levels lead to more frequent flooding. .................................................................................................... 25 Our growing weather vocabulary ........................................................................................................................... -
Hurricane and Tropical Storm
State of New Jersey 2014 Hazard Mitigation Plan Section 5. Risk Assessment 5.8 Hurricane and Tropical Storm 2014 Plan Update Changes The 2014 Plan Update includes tropical storms, hurricanes and storm surge in this hazard profile. In the 2011 HMP, storm surge was included in the flood hazard. The hazard profile has been significantly enhanced to include a detailed hazard description, location, extent, previous occurrences, probability of future occurrence, severity, warning time and secondary impacts. New and updated data and figures from ONJSC are incorporated. New and updated figures from other federal and state agencies are incorporated. Potential change in climate and its impacts on the flood hazard are discussed. The vulnerability assessment now directly follows the hazard profile. An exposure analysis of the population, general building stock, State-owned and leased buildings, critical facilities and infrastructure was conducted using best available SLOSH and storm surge data. Environmental impacts is a new subsection. 5.8.1 Profile Hazard Description A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NOAA] 2013a). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. -
JANUARY 31, 2008 Blizzard, Winds, Cold Temps Pummel Nome
Photo by Diana Haecker CABARET—Lizbeth Coler leads all of this year’s Cabaret participants Saturday night in singing “Under the Boardwalk” at the Mini Convention Center. C VOLUME CVIII NO. 5 JANUARY 31, 2008 Blizzard, winds, cold temps pummel Nome By Diana Haecker gusts of 56 mph—following the ini- A reminder of nature’s power hum- tial warm-temperature snow dump in bled area residents last week as a unique the morning and then the sudden blizzard moved through the region, temperature drop around noon. leaving the northern parts of Nome A spec of blue sky could be seen in without power for hours as tempera- the short period of time when the low tures dropped sharply from 32 dgrees F system passed and the Siberian Express to the single digits in a matter of hours. came rolling in. A very slight southeast The combination of weather wind lazily kicked around some snow, events sneaked up on the National but soon, racing clouds covered the sky, Weather Service, which didn’t fore- cast the high-velocity winds—with continued on page 4 Ice and winds wreak havoc on power lines By Sandra L. Medearis Center, Lester Bench, Martinsonville, Utility board members out in the Tripple Creek, Nome River, Snake Jan. 22 blizzard said strong winds River and the Rock Creek Mine— twanged power lines in 10- to 15-foot into darkness, scrambling utility arcs between power poles. The storm crews to restore power and heat. Photo by Diana Haecker that came up without warning The temperature dropped from 31 GOT THE MOVES— Little Jonathan Smith, a week shy of his second birthday, put on quite an accom- wreaked havoc with the utility sys- degrees F at mid-morning to 5 degrees plished performance, dancing with the King Island Dancers during last Friday’s spaghetti feed fundraiser tem and put northern areas of the and went down to 0 by suppertime. -
In the Lands of the Romanovs: an Annotated Bibliography of First-Hand English-Language Accounts of the Russian Empire
ANTHONY CROSS In the Lands of the Romanovs An Annotated Bibliography of First-hand English-language Accounts of The Russian Empire (1613-1917) OpenBook Publishers To access digital resources including: blog posts videos online appendices and to purchase copies of this book in: hardback paperback ebook editions Go to: https://www.openbookpublishers.com/product/268 Open Book Publishers is a non-profit independent initiative. We rely on sales and donations to continue publishing high-quality academic works. In the Lands of the Romanovs An Annotated Bibliography of First-hand English-language Accounts of the Russian Empire (1613-1917) Anthony Cross http://www.openbookpublishers.com © 2014 Anthony Cross The text of this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC BY 4.0). This license allows you to share, copy, distribute and transmit the text; to adapt it and to make commercial use of it providing that attribution is made to the author (but not in any way that suggests that he endorses you or your use of the work). Attribution should include the following information: Cross, Anthony, In the Land of the Romanovs: An Annotated Bibliography of First-hand English-language Accounts of the Russian Empire (1613-1917), Cambridge, UK: Open Book Publishers, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.11647/ OBP.0042 Please see the list of illustrations for attribution relating to individual images. Every effort has been made to identify and contact copyright holders and any omissions or errors will be corrected if notification is made to the publisher. As for the rights of the images from Wikimedia Commons, please refer to the Wikimedia website (for each image, the link to the relevant page can be found in the list of illustrations). -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
Introduction to Climatology
Introduction to Climatology GEOG/ENST 2331: Lecture 1 Us Graham Saunders [email protected] Jason Freeburn (RC 2004) [email protected] Graham Saunders Australian Weather Bureau Environment Canada Ministry of Natural Resources M.Sc. in Forestry and Climatology Teaching at LU since 1995 • Climate Change Research – boreal forest • Severe Weather adaptation • Pricing carbon Decades of writing about weather, climate and related policy issues. Source: NOAA Observed global warming . Course Objectives Understand the physics that drive weather systems Examine the features that create climatic patterns at small (micro) and large (macro) scales Consider the impacts that climate and weather have on human systems – and vice versa! Course structure Lectures Slides will be posted on our course site Class lectures will have “value added” Labs Lab Manual Jason Attendance? Bulletin board, class emails, email response Tour of Weather Station Explore Your Resources Text: Ahrens, Jackson and Jackson, 2016. Meteorology Today, 2nd Canadian Edition (Toronto: Nelson Education Ltd.). Manual: Cornwell, Freeburn, and Saunders 2018. Climatology Manual (Thunder Bay: Lakehead University, Department of Geography). Schedule and Mark Allocation Lab 0 0 Lab 1 4 Lab 2 4 Lab 3 4 Lab 4 4 Midterm TBA 15 Lab 5 – Lab Quiz 7 Lab 6 – Group Project* 8 Lab 7 4 Final Examination TBA 50 Group Project ATAC 3009 Computer Lab First Half of the Course I. AIR Composition and Structure of the Atmosphere. Solar Radiation and the Seasons Energy Balance and Temperature Atmospheric Pressure and Wind II. WATER IN THE ATMOSPHERE Atmospheric Moisture Cloud Development and Precipitation Processes Second Half of the Course III. -
Radar and Rain Gauge Analysis of the Extreme Rainfall During Hurricane Danny’S (1997) Landfall
MAY 2007 M E D L I N E T A L . 1869 Radar and Rain Gauge Analysis of the Extreme Rainfall during Hurricane Danny’s (1997) Landfall JEFFREY M. MEDLIN National Weather Service Forecast Office, Mobile, Alabama SYTSKE K. KIMBALL AND KEITH G. BLACKWELL Department of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, Alabama (Manuscript received 27 October 2005, in final form 20 June 2006) ABSTRACT As a minimal hurricane, Danny moved over Mobile Bay around 0900 UTC 19 July 1997 and became stationary by midmorning, while situated within a synoptic col. Danny then evolved into an asymmetric storm with an intensely convective rainband that produced torrential rainfall through 1200 UTC 20 July 1997. Danny’s center remained Ͻ100 km from the National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) in Mobile, Alabama, for over 48 h, allowing long-term surveillance of the storm’s inner core. This event marked the first time the tropical Z–R relationship was employed on an operational WSR-88D system during tropical cyclone landfall. A radar-estimated maximum rainfall accu- mulation of 1097 mm (43.2 in.) was analyzed over southwestern Mobile Bay. A NWS cooperative rain gauge located on Dauphin Island, Alabama, measured 896 mm (35.28 in.). An adjacent standard rain gauge measured the highest rainfall amount of 932 mm (36.71 in.). This paper investigates the spatial and temporal distribution and potential magnitude of Danny’s torrential rainfall episode over coastal Alabama. It is shown that both gauges and radar seriously underestimated event rainfall. An estimate is given for what could have been the true event rainfall amount. -
Storm-Resistant Trees for Mississippi Landscapes
Storm-Resistant Trees for Mississippi Landscapes Mississippi has a humid, subtropical climate. Summers Ice Resistance are long and hot, but winters are relatively mild. Prevailing Occasional ice storms in Mississippi can be devastating southerly winds much of the year bring warm, humid to trees. Such storms occur when the polar jet stream dips air from the Gulf of Mexico across the state. Precipitation south in the winter. This phenomenon is known as the is distributed through the year with north Mississippi “Siberian Express,” and it brings arctic air and prolonged receiving about 55 inches and southern Mississippi freezing temperatures to the state. If a wet warm front about 65 inches. Southern Mississippi experiences more follows, then freezing rain and ice damage may result. In thunderstorms and hurricanes than the rest of the state. February 1994, a slow-moving front caused a severe ice The length of the state north to south spans several storm in the Deep South—across Arkansas, Tennessee, cold-hardiness zones, from 7b (5–10ºF average coldest Mississippi, and Alabama. Estimated damage was over $3 temperatures) in north Mississippi to 9a (20–25ºF average billion, and a million people were without power, some coldest temperatures) on the coast. Mississippi also has over a month. its share of stormy weather. These include occasional Tree species vary in their tolerance to ice accumulation. ice storms in winter; high winds from thunderstorms, Those species most resistant to breakage from ice generally hurricanes, and tornadoes; flooding from torrential rains; have strong branch attachment, flexible branches, low and storm surges from hurricanes. -
2010 Half-Year Natural Catastrophe Review
2010 HALF-YEAR NATURAL CATASTROPHE REVIEW July 7, 2010 Agenda Welcome/Introduction Terese Rosenthal U.S. Natural Catastrophe Update Carl Hedde Global Natural Catastrophe Update Dr. Peter Hoppe Economic Imppplications of Natural Catastrophe Losses Dr. Robert Hartwig Questions and Answers 2 U.S. NATURAL CATASTROPHE UPDATE Carl Hedde, SVP, Head of Risk Accumulation Munich Reinsurance America, Inc. MR NatCatSERVICE One of the world‘s largest databases on natural catastrophes The Database Today From 1980 until to day a ll loss events; for USA and selected countries in Europe all loss events since 1970. Retrospectively, all great disasters since 1950. In addition, all major historical events starting from 79 AD – erupp(,tion of Mt. Vesuvio (3,000 historical data sets). Currently more than 28,000 events © 2010 Munich Re 4 U.S. Natural Catastrophe Update 2010 Headlines Series of winter storms in the Mid-Atlantic and New England states create highest peril losses since 2003. Late start to thunderstorm season; one of the lowest YTD insured losses over the past 10 years. Major floods in Tennessee and Rhode Island. Two powerful earthquakes affect California, but limited damage due to remote locations. Seasonal forecasts indicate “active to very active” hurricane season; Potential development of La Niña conditions may be a factor. © 2010 Munich Re 5 U.S. Natural Catastrophe Update Insured Natural Disasters Losses in the United States First Six Months of 2010 Estimated Overall Estimated Insured As of June 30, 2010 Fatalities Losses (US $m) Losses (US $m) Severe 28 5,230 3,006 Thunderstorms Winter Storm 25 3,500 2,385 Flood 50 2, 367 609 Earthquake 0 200 125 Tropical Cyclone 0 Minor Minor Wildfire 0 9 0 Source: MR NatCatSERVICE © 2010 Munich Re 6 U.S. -
Atlantic Hurricane Season of 1997
2012 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 127 Atlantic Hurricane Season of 1997 EDWARD N. RAPPAPORT Tropical Prediction Center, National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 12 June 1998, in ®nal form 5 October 1998) ABSTRACT The 1997 Atlantic hurricane season is summarized and the year's tropical storms, hurricanes, and one sub- tropical storm are described. The tropical cyclones were relatively few in number, short lived, and weak compared to long-term climatology. Most systems originated outside the deep Tropics. Hurricane Danny was the only system to make landfall. It produced rainfall totals to near 1 m in southern Alabama and is blamed for ®ve deaths. Hurricane Erika was responsible for the season's two other fatalities, in the coastal waters of Puerto Rico. 1. Introduction This is one of the smallest contributions (by percentage) on record by tropical waves. On average, about 60% of A sharp drop in tropical cyclone activity occurred in tropical cyclones originate from tropical waves (Pasch the Atlantic hurricane basin from 1995±96 to 1997 (Ta- et al. 1998). ble 1). Only seven tropical storms formed in 1997, and Historically, many of the strongest Atlantic tropical just three of those reached hurricane strength (Table 2). cyclones develop from tropical waves between the coast This also represents a considerable reduction from the of Africa and the Lesser Antilles in the August±Sep- long-term averages of ten tropical storms and six hur- tember period. Such tropical cyclone formation appears ricanes. The months of August and September were par- to be related to 1) the wave's ``intrinsic'' potential for ticularly quiet. -
Carbon County 2010 Hazard Mitigation Plan
Carbon County 2010 Hazard Mitigation Plan Prepared for: Prepared by: Carbon County Office of Planning and Zoning Michael Baker Jr., Inc. 76 Susquehanna Street 1818 Market Street, Suite 3110 Jim Thorpe, Pennsylvania 18229-0210 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19130 Approved on: <Month Day, Year> DRAFT – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION Carbon County 2010 Hazard Mitigation Plan Table of Contents Table of Figures………………………………………………………………...v Table of Tables………………………………………………………………….vi 1. Introduction .............................................................. 1 1.1. Background ................................................................................. 1 1.2. Purpose ....................................................................................... 1 1.3. Scope ........................................................................................... 2 1.4. Authority and Reference ............................................................ 2 2. Community Profile ................................................... 4 2.1. Geography and Environment ..................................................... 4 2.2. Community Facts ........................................................................ 7 2.3. Population and Demographics .................................................. 7 2.4. Land Use and Development ....................................................... 9 2.5. Data Sources and Limitations .................................................. 12 3. Planning Process ................................................... 16 3.1. Process and -
Doppler-Observed Eyewall Replacement, Vortex Contraction/Intensi®Cation, and Low-Level Wind Maxima
4002 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 128 The Evolution of Hurricane Danny (1997) at Landfall: Doppler-Observed Eyewall Replacement, Vortex Contraction/Intensi®cation, and Low-Level Wind Maxima KEITH G. BLACKWELL Department of Geology, Geography, and Meteorology, University of South Alabama, Mobile, Alabama (Manuscript received 26 April 1999, in ®nal form 9 March 2000) ABSTRACT Danny made landfall as a minimal hurricane on the Alabama coast on 19 July 1997 after drifting over Mobile Bay for over 10 h. Danny's unusually close proximity to the Doppler radar (WSR-88D) in Mobile provided an unprecedented view of the storm's complex and dramatic evolution during a prolonged landfall event over a 1-day period. Base re¯ectivity and velocity products were combined with aircraft reconnaissance information to detail the formation of concentric eyewalls and complete evolution of an eyewall replacement cycle. This highly symmetric hurricane then underwent a rapid asymmetric transition in Mobile Bay during which a small eyewall mesovortex developed adjacent to intense convection in the western eyewall. Radar-estimated rainfall increased dramatically during the asymmetric phase. Rates exceeded 100 mm h21 for nine consecutive hours west of the center while precipitation nearly vanished to the east. Changes in the distribution of precipitation corresponded with changes in the low-level wind velocity structure. A 25-h temporal composite of WSR-88D base velocities displayed axisymmetric intensi®cation and contraction of Danny's core during the eyewall replacement cycle. Later, the asymmetric phase was dominated by further contraction and intensi®cation on the west side only. In the western eyewall, a persistent boundary layer wind maximum evolved and contracted to a radius of only 10±13 km from the center.