Solar and Heliospheric Physics with the Square Kilometre Array
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A Deep Learning Framework for Solar Phenomena Prediction
FlareNet: A Deep Learning Framework for Solar Phenomena Prediction FDL 2017 Solar Storm Team: Sean McGregor1, Dattaraj Dhuri1,2, Anamaria Berea1,3, and Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo1,4 1NASA’s 2017 Frontier Development Laboratory 2Tata Institute of Fundamental Research (TIFR), Mumbai, India 3Center for Complexity in Business, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA 4SouthWest Research Institute, Boulder, CO, USA Abstract Solar activity can interfere with the normal operation of GPS satellites, the power grid, and space operations, but inadequate predictive models mean we have little warning for the arrival of newly disruptive solar activity. Petabytes of data col- lected from satellite instruments aboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) provide a high-cadence, high-resolution, and many-channeled dataset of solar phenomena. Several challenging deep learning problems may be derived from the data, including space weather forecasting (i.e., solar flares, solar energetic particles, and coronal mass ejections). This work introduces a software framework, FlareNet, for experimentation within these problems. FlareNet includes compo- nents for the downloading and management of SDO data, visualization, and rapid experimentation. The system architecture is built to enable collaboration between heliophysicists and machine learning researchers on the topics of image regres- sion, image classification, and image segmentation. We specifically highlight the problem of solar flare prediction and offer insights from preliminary experiments. 1 Introduction The violent release of solar magnetic energy – collectively referred to as “space weather" – is responsible for a variety of phenomena that can disrupt technological assets. In particular, solar flares (sudden brightenings of the solar corona) and coronal mass ejections (CMEs; the violent release of solar plasma) can disrupt long-distance communications, reduce Global Positioning System (GPS) accuracy, degrade satellites, and disrupt the power grid [5]. -
Solar and Space Physics: a Science for a Technological Society
Solar and Space Physics: A Science for a Technological Society The 2013-2022 Decadal Survey in Solar and Space Physics Space Studies Board ∙ Division on Engineering & Physical Sciences ∙ August 2012 From the interior of the Sun, to the upper atmosphere and near-space environment of Earth, and outwards to a region far beyond Pluto where the Sun’s influence wanes, advances during the past decade in space physics and solar physics have yielded spectacular insights into the phenomena that affect our home in space. This report, the final product of a study requested by NASA and the National Science Foundation, presents a prioritized program of basic and applied research for 2013-2022 that will advance scientific understanding of the Sun, Sun- Earth connections and the origins of “space weather,” and the Sun’s interactions with other bodies in the solar system. The report includes recommendations directed for action by the study sponsors and by other federal agencies—especially NOAA, which is responsible for the day-to-day (“operational”) forecast of space weather. Recent Progress: Significant Advances significant progress in understanding the origin from the Past Decade and evolution of the solar wind; striking advances The disciplines of solar and space physics have made in understanding of both explosive solar flares remarkable advances over the last decade—many and the coronal mass ejections that drive space of which have come from the implementation weather; new imaging methods that permit direct of the program recommended in 2003 Solar observations of the space weather-driven changes and Space Physics Decadal Survey. For example, in the particles and magnetic fields surrounding enabled by advances in scientific understanding Earth; new understanding of the ways that space as well as fruitful interagency partnerships, the storms are fueled by oxygen originating from capabilities of models that predict space weather Earth’s own atmosphere; and the surprising impacts on Earth have made rapid gains over discovery that conditions in near-Earth space the past decade. -
Exploring the Sun with ALMA
Astronomical Science DOI: 10.18727/0722-6691/5065 Exploring the Sun with ALMA Timothy S. Bastian1 18 Space Vehicles Directorate, Air Force and to gain an understanding of how Miroslav Bárta2 Research Laboratory, Albuquerque, mechanical and radiative energy are Roman Brajša3 USA transferred through that atmospheric Bin Chen4 19 National Astronomical Observatories, layer. Bart De Pontieu5, 6 Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Dale E. Gary4 China Much of what is currently known about Gregory D. Fleishman4 the chromosphere has relied on spectro- Antonio S. Hales1, 7 scopic observations at optical and ultra- Kazumasa Iwai8 The Atacama Large Millimeter/submilli- violet wavelengths using both ground- Hugh Hudson9, 10 meter Array (ALMA) Observatory opens and space-based instrumentation. While Sujin Kim11, 12 a new window onto the Universe. The a lot of progress has been made, the Adam Kobelski13 ability to perform continuum imaging interpretation of such observations is Maria Loukitcheva4, 14, 15 and spectroscopy of astrophysical phe- complex because optical and ultraviolet Masumi Shimojo16, 17 nomena at millimetre and submillimetre lines in the chromosphere form under Ivica Skokić2, 3 wavelengths with unprecedented sen- conditions of non-local thermodynamic Sven Wedemeyer6 sitivity opens up new avenues for the equilibrium. In contrast, emission from Stephen M. White18 study of cosmology and the evolution the Sun’s chromosphere at millimetre Yihua Yan19 of galaxies, the formation of stars and and submillimetre wavelengths is more planets, and astrochemistry. ALMA also straightforward to interpret as the emis- allows fundamentally new observations sion forms under conditions of local 1 National Radio Astronomy Observatory, to be made of objects much closer to thermodynamic equilibrium and the Charlottesville, USA home, including the Sun. -
Chapter 11 RADIO OBSERVATIONS of CORONAL MASS
Chapter 11 RADIO OBSERVATIONS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS Angelos Vourlidas Solar Physics Branch, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC [email protected] Abstract In this chapter we review the status of CME observations in radio wavelengths with an emphasis on imaging. It is an area of renewed interest since 1996 due to the upgrade of the Nancay radioheliograph in conjunction with the continu- ous coverage of the solar corona from the EIT and LASCO instruments aboard SOHO. Also covered are analyses of Nobeyama Radioheliograph data and spec- tral data from a plethora of spectrographs around the world. We will point out the shortcomings of the current instrumentation and the ways that FASR could contribute. A summary of the current understanding of the physical processes that are involved in the radio emission from CMEs will be given. Keywords: Sun: Corona, Sun: Coronal Mass Ejections, Sun:Radio 1. Coronal Mass Ejections 1.1 A Brief CME Primer A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is, by definition, the expulsion of coronal plasma and magnetic field entrained therein into the heliosphere. The event is detected in white light by Thompson scattering of the photospheric light by the coronal electrons in the ejected mass. The first CME was discovered on December 14, 1971 by the OSO-7 orbiting coronagraph (Tousey 1973) which recorded only a small number of events (Howard et al. 1975). Skylab ob- servations quickly followed and allowed the first study of CME properties ( Gosling et al. 1974). Observations from many thousands of events have been collected since, from a series of space-borne coronagraphs: Solwind (Michels et al. -
Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Driver Dependence E
Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Driver Dependence E. K. J. Kilpua, D. Fontaine, C. Moissard, M. Ala-lahti, E. Palmerio, E. Yordanova, S. Good, M. M. H. Kalliokoski, E. Lumme, A. Osmane, et al. To cite this version: E. K. J. Kilpua, D. Fontaine, C. Moissard, M. Ala-lahti, E. Palmerio, et al.. Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Driver Dependence. Space Weather: The International Journal of Research and Applications, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2019, 17 (8), pp.1257-1280. 10.1029/2019SW002217. hal-03087107 HAL Id: hal-03087107 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03087107 Submitted on 23 Dec 2020 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. RESEARCH ARTICLE Solar Wind Properties and Geospace Impact of Coronal 10.1029/2019SW002217 Mass Ejection-Driven Sheath Regions: Variation and Key Points: Driver Dependence • Variation of interplanetary properties and geoeffectiveness of CME-driven sheaths and their dependence on the E. K. J. Kilpua1 , D. Fontaine2 , C. Moissard2 , M. Ala-Lahti1 , E. Palmerio1 , ejecta properties are determined E. -
Radio Spectroscopy of Stellar Flares: Magnetic Reconnection & CME
Solar and Stellar Flares and their Effects on Planets Proceedings IAU Symposium No. 320, 2015 c International Astronomical Union 2016 A.G. Kosovichev, S.L. Hawley & P. Heinzel, eds. doi:10.1017/S1743921316008644 Radio spectroscopy of stellar flares: magnetic reconnection & CME shocks in stellar coronae Jackie Villadsen1, Gregg Hallinan1 and Stephen Bourke1 1 Department of Astronomy, California Institute of Technology MC 249-17, 1200 E California Blvd, Pasadena, CA 91125, USA email: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] Abstract. High-cadence spectroscopy of solar and stellar coherent radio bursts is a powerful diagnostic tool to study coronal conditions during magnetic reconnection in flares and to detect coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We present results from wide-bandwidth VLA observations of nearby active M dwarfs, including some observations with simultaneous VLBA imaging. We also discuss the Starburst program, which will make wide-bandwidth radio spectroscopic observations of nearby active flare stars for 20+ hours a day for multiple years, coming online in spring 2016 at the Owens Valley Radio Observatory. This program should vastly increase the diversity of observed stellar radio bursts and our understanding of their origins, and offers the potential to detect a population of CME-associated radio bursts. Keywords. stars: coronae, stars: flare, stars: individual (UV Ceti), stars: mass loss, Sun: coronal mass ejections (CMEs), Sun: radio radiation, radio continuum: stars 1. Introduction Many of the nearest habitable-zone Earths and super-Earths will be found around M dwarfs (Dressing & Charbonneau 2013). The magnetically active “youth” of M dwarfs lasts hundreds of millions to billions of years (West et al. -
Solar Modeling and Opacities
Solar Modeling and Opacities Joyce Ann Guzik Los Alamos National Laboratory Tri-Lab Opacity Workshop August 27, 2020 LA-UR-20-26484 8/28/20 1 The solar abundance problem ® Until 2004, we thought we knew very well the interior structure of the Sun, and how it reached its present state. ® However, new analyses of the Sun’s spectral lines (Asplund et al. 2005) revise downward the mass fraction of elements heavier than H and He, particularly the abundances of O, C, and N. ® Models evolved with the new abundances give worse agreement with helioseismic constraints How can this discrepancy be resolved? Should we adopt the new abundances? 8/28/20 2 Which is the actual problem? ®The solar abundance problem ®The solar opacity problem ®The solar modelling problem 8/28/20 3 Outline for talk ® Standard solar model ® Constraints from helioseismology ® Some attempts to reconcile models and observations ® LLNL OPAL vs. LANL OPLIB opacities 8/28/20 4 Surface composition of the Sun by mass Breakdown for elements 1.8% Other Elements heavier than H and He 25% Helium All other OxygenOxygen elements 73.2% Hydrogen Carbon S Fe Ne Si Mg N 8/28/20 5 Asplund et al. (2005) abundances decreased from previous Grevesse & Sauval (1998) determination Oxygen 48% decrease 8.66±0.05 (cf GS98 8.83±0.06) Carbon 35% decrease 8.39 ± 0.05 (cf GS98 8.52±0.06) Nitrogen 27.5% decrease 7.78±0.06 (cf GS98 7.92±0.06) Neon 74% decrease 7.84 ± 0.06 (cf GS98 8.08 ± 0.06) Argon 66% decrease 6.18 ± 0.08 (cf GS98 6.40 ± 0.06) Na to Ca: lower by 0.05 to 0.1 dex (12 to 25%) Fe: 7.45 ± 0.05 -