DOCSLIB.ORG

APEC Climate Center (APCC) Climate Prediction and Information Activities: New Developments

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
APEC Climate Center (APCC) Climate Prediction and Information Activities: New Developments ___________________________________________________________________________ 2008/SOM3/ISTWG/SYM/031 Agenda Item: 4-05 APEC Climate Center (APCC) Climate Prediction and Information Activities: New Developments Submitted by: APEC Climate Center (APCC) APEC Climate Symposium Lima, Peru 19-21 August 2008 20 August, 2008 APEC Climate Symposium, 2008 Abstract 4-05 APCC Climate Prediction and information activities: New developments Dr.Karumuri Ashok, APCC, Korea ABSTRACT The talk covers the new operational efforts and developmental projects in APCC since the beginning of 2008. The APCC has been issuing the rolling monthly 3-month forecast since 2008, with due verification. It has also been supporting KMA by providing downscaled forecasts for 60 Korean stations. The APCC has also initiated experimental 1-tier 6-month MME prediction, slated on seasonal basis, and so far developed two forecasts. The SNU, SINTEX-F (FRCGC), UH data (all three datasets provided by CliPAS), NCEP, and POAMA datasets are used in this efforts. To boost this effort, APCC has also started to develop an in-house coupled prediction model based on the CCSM3. To do this, APCC has developed a coupled SST nudging scheme. The presentation will briefly touch about other ongoing development projects such as a probabilistic downscaling system, a drought monitoring system etc. The presentation will also introduce issues such as the need for longer hindcast data, need for more 1-tier forecast datasets etc. The climate conditions of since 2007 spring will also be briefly presented, along with the performance of the APCC MME system for some of the seasons. The presentation will also seek guidelines on future activities of APCC. The APCC climate prediction activities: New Developments Australia Asia Brunei Darussalam Canada Chile People’s Republic of China Pacific Hong Kong, China Indonesia Economic Cooperation Japan Korea Malaysia Mexico Climate New Zealand APEC Climate Center (APCC) Papua New Guinea Peru for Climate Information Services to Society, Philippines enter Russia C Busan, Republic of Korea Singapore Chinese Taipei Thailand United States Viet Nam 1 APEC Climate Center 2008 projects Operations • Operationalization of monthly 3-month forecast since January, with upgraded hindcast verification. • Downscaled forecast provision at 60 Korean stations to KMA with due hindcast verification • New monitoring products Development • 6-month MME seasonal prediction • In-house development of coupled prediction system • Probabilistic downscaling 2 APEC Climate Center 1 Operational Products Enhancement of MME forecast for APCC economies Æ 12 times/yr Operation schedule 10 ~ 15 16 ~ 18 19 ~ 23 production of MME MME forecast outlook & climate Data acquisition & analysis forecast highlights services Multi-institutional cooperation and sharing of high-cost data 3 APEC Climate Center Models Start End SST Specification Ensemble Name/Economy Variables Model Designation Focal Point/E-Mail Year/Month Year/Month (Hindcast/Forecast) (H/F) BCC NCC-CGCM Peiqun Zhang 1983/Jan. 20008/Present PREC,T850,Z500 Predicted SST/ 8/8 China T63L16 [email protected] COLA T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, COLA AGCM v2.2.6 OISSTv2/ Daniel Paolino 1981/Dec. 2002/Dec. 10/10 U.S.A. V850, U200, V200, Z500, OLR T63L18 IRI SST Forecast [email protected] CWB T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, OISSTv2/ Jyh-Wen Hwu 1979/Jan. 2003/Dec. CWB T42L18 5/10 Chinese Taipei V850, U200, V200, Z500 IRI SST Forecast [email protected] GCPS T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, KMA/SNU SST Forecast/ Jeong-Seok Lee 1979/Jan. 2008/Present GCPS T63L21 4/4 Republic of Korea V850, U200, V200, Z500 KMA/SNU SST Forecast [email protected] GDAPS T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, Won-Tae Yun 1979/Jan. 2008/Present GDAPS T106L21 OISSTv2/OISSTv2 1/20 Republic of Korea V850, U200, V200, Z500 [email protected] HMC SL-AV Persistent SST/ Dmitry Kiktev 1979/Mar. 2003/Dec. T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, Z500 10/10 Russia 1.125 x 1.406, L28 Persistent SST [email protected] T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, IAP9L-AGCM Observed SST/ Huijun Wang IAP 1979/Jan. 2004/Jan. 7/7 V850, U200, V200, Z500, OLR 5.0 x 4.0, L9 IAP-TOGA SST Forecast [email protected] T2M, SST, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, Observed SST/ David G. Dewitt IRI 1979/Jan. 2005/Dec. ECHAM4.5 T42L19 24/24 V850, U200, V200, Z500, OLR Forecasted SST [email protected] Kiyotoshi Takahashi T2M,SST,PREC,MSLP,OLR,T850, GSM Persistent SST/ JMA 1979/Jan. 2006/Dec. 51/51 Kiyotoshi.takahashi- Z500,U850,V850,U200,V200 TL95, L40 Persistent SST [email protected] PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, V850, METRI AGCM Persistent OISST/ Won-Tae Kwon METRI 1979/Jan. 2008/Present 10/10 U200, V200, Z500 5.0 x 4.0, L17 Persistent OISST [email protected] MGO T2M, SST, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, Observed SST/ Vadim Matyugin 1979/Jan. 2004/Dec. MGOAM2 T42L14 6/10 Russia(((( V850, Z500, OLR Persistent SST [email protected] MSC T2M, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, RPN GEM Persistent ERA40-SST/ Normand Gagnon 1969/Jan. 2003/Dec. 10/10 Canada V850, U200, V200, Z500 1.875 x 1.875, L50 Persistent CMC SST [email protected] NASA T2M, SST, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, NASA-GSFC Predicted SST/ Myong-In Lee 1993/Feb. 2007/Sep. 6/18 U.S.A.. V850, U200, V200, Z500, OLR 2.5x2.0, L34 Predicted SST [email protected] NCEP T2M, SST, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, Predicted SST/ Jae-Kyung E. Schemm 1981/Dec. 2003/Feb. NCEP CFS T62L64 15/15 U.S.A.. V850, U200, V200, Z500, OLR Predicted SST [email protected] POAMA T2M, SST, PREC, MSLP, T850, U850, Predicted SST/ Oscar Alves 1981/Dec. 2003/Feb. POAMA 1.5 T47L17 15/15 Australia V850, U200, V200, Z500, OLR Predicted SST [email protected] 4 APEC Climate Center 2 High Performance Computing System Korea Meteorological Administration Korea Institution of Science & (Cray X1E) Technology Information (IBM) - IBM System p5 595 server - Storage System : IBM 366 TB DS4700 - Shared storage : 460 TB - Speed : 37 TF - Memory : 1024 GB memory per 1 node 5 APEC Climate Center APCC Dynamical Climate Forecast System (Tier2) Training Phase Forecast Phase t=0 N MME Real-time S = O + ∑ai (Fi − Fi ) i=1 Prediction train 2 The weights are computed at each grid point by minimizing the function: G = ∑()St − Ot t=0 6 APEC Climate Center 3 Procedure of MME Seasonal Prediction System Collection : 17 Models Quality Check Composite: Deterministic Forecast (4 kinds of schemes) Probabilistic Forecast Verification: Application: Graphic •Previous prediction • Index forecast •Hindcast • Statistical downscaling Outlook: Interpretation and Description of Global/Regional Prediction Dissemination: Web information & Backup of the Data and Doc. 7 APEC Climate Center Deterministic MME Schemes Simple Composite Method : 1 ′ P = F SCM Simple composite of individual forecast ∑ i with equal weighting M i Stepwise Pattern Projection Method : 1 ′ Simple composite of individual forecasts, after ˆ SPPM P = ∑ Fi correction by SPPM (improved version of CPPM) M i Multiple Regression Method: ′ MRG Optimally weighted composite of individual forecasts. P = a F The weighting coefficient is obtained by SVD based ∑ i i i regression Synthetic Multi-Model Super Ensemble Method: 1 ′ Weighted combination of statistically corrected ˆ SSE P = ∑αi Fi multi model output M i 8 APEC Climate Center 4 Couple Pattern Projection Method Forecast procedure – Pointwise regression method Y(t) = αXP(t) + β Predictor field X(i, j, t) XP(t) ( model forecast) Predictand Y(t) Y(t) ( observation) Coupled pattern projection coefficient 1 Σ (Y(t) – Ym)•(X(i,j,t)-Xm(i,j)) XP(t) = Σ COR(i,j)•X(i,j,t) COR(i,j)= N i,j σX(i,j) • σY Calculate regression coefficient α, β in training period, forecast a regional climate from projection coefficient of the coupled pattern onto forecast field. 9 APEC Climate Center Implemented MME-S in APCC ¾ SPPM and MME-S was tested on ¾ SPPM and MME-S was tested on prediction of 850 hPa temperature Advantage to using SPPM2 prediction of 850 hPa temperature precipitation using APCC hindcast precipitation using APCC hindcast data for the period 1983-2003 and (1) Computational Estimates data for the period 1983-2003 and operational forecast data for 2006 (per 1 model, 1 variable, 22 years) operational forecast data for 2006 and 2007. and 2007. ¾ SPPM code was transferred to CPPM- OLD version : 72 ¾ SPPM code was transferred to APCC and is now part of the hours APCC and is now part of the CPPM – New version : 12-15 Automated Forecast System. Automated Forecast System. hours MME-S Procedure SPPM v2 : 5 hours (suggestion: If you use 8 cpu simultaneously, it takes 10 STEPSTEP 1: 1: Applying Applying statistical statistical correction correction hours for all models’ usingusing SPPM SPPM to to individual individual models models hindcast and forecast and (1) Prior prediction selection two variables) (2) Second Step: Pattern Projection (3) Optimal choice of prediction (2) Improved skill, especially for STEPSTEP 2: 2: Simple Simple multi-model multi-model precipitation compositecomposite using using available available predictions predictions 10 APEC Climate Center 5 Probabilistic MME Scheme Defining Normal fitting method terciles - For the middle/upper tercile boundary : mean plus 0.43 times the standard deviation Æ μ + 0.43σ - For the lower/middle tercile boundary : mean minus 0.43 times the standard deviation Æ μ -0.43σ Forecast probability A Probability of Above-normal N Probability of Near-normal B Probability of Below-normal 11 APEC Climate Center Monthly 3-Month Forecasts Operationalized The APEC CLIMATE CENTER 4-deterministic and one probabilistic Climate Outlook for August-October, 2008 BUSAN, 23 July 2008 - Synthesis of the latest computer model MME forecasts carried out each month. forecasts for August to October, 2008 at the APEC Climate Center (APCC), located in Busan, Korea, predicts warmer than Best deterministic forecast for that month normal temperatures in Western Europe, Mediterranean, parts of selected on hindcast verification.
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Asia-Pacific News Brief
    ASIA-PACIFIC NEWS BRIEF THIRD ISSUE November 2015 Produced by the National Coordination Center for Developing Economic Cooperation with the Countries of Asia-Pacific Region INTELLECTUAL PARTNER AND TECHNICAL COORDINATOR OF THE NCC APR KPMG International is a global network of professional firms providing Audit, Tax and Advisory services. We operate in 155 countries and have more than 162,000 people working in member firms around the world. KPMG has been working in Russia since 1990, and our goal has always been to use the firm's global intellectual potential, combined with the practical experience of our Russian professionals, to help leading companies to achieve their goals. In the CIS, KPMG now has 18 off ices, employing together over 4,000 people. KPMG came first in the annual ranking of audit firms in Russia based on the results for the 2014 calendar year released by Expert RA rating agency. CONTACTS 17, Kotel’nicheskaya naberezhnaya, Moscow, 109240, Russia Тel.: +7 (495) 663-04-04 ext. 1233 Email: [email protected] Web: htt p://aprcenter.ru/en/ © NCC APR, 2015 CONTENTS Philippines — a Rising Economy Hosts the APEC: Interview by His Excellency Carlos D. Sorreta, Ambassador of the Republic of the Philippines to the Russian Federation...................................................................................................................2 JSC“KPMG” Doing business in the Republic of the Philippines.....................................................6 Tatiana FLEGONTOVA, Anna KUZNETSOVA APEC's Agenda Priorities Under Philippine
    [Show full text]
  • Statistical Downscaling Forecasts for Winter Monsoon Precipitation in Malaysia Using Multimodel Output Variables
    1JANUARY 2010 J U N E N G E T A L . 17 Statistical Downscaling Forecasts for Winter Monsoon Precipitation in Malaysia Using Multimodel Output Variables LIEW JUNENG AND FREDOLIN T. TANGANG Research Centre for Tropical Climate Change System (IKLIM), Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Malaysia HONGWEN KANG APEC Climate Center, Busan, South Korea, and State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China WOO-JIN LEE APEC Climate Center, Busan, South Korea YAP KOK SENG Malaysian Meteorological Department, Petaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia (Manuscript received 3 October 2008, in final form 10 June 2009) ABSTRACT This paper compares the skills of four different forecasting approaches in predicting the 1-month lead time of the Malaysian winter season precipitation. Two of the approaches are based on statistical downscaling techniques of multimodel ensembles (MME). The third one is the ensemble of raw GCM forecast without any downscaling, whereas the fourth approach, which provides a baseline comparison, is a purely statistical forecast based solely on the preceding sea surface temperature anomaly. The first multimodel statistical downscaling method was developed by the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Climate Center (APCC) team, whereas the second is based on the canonical correlation analysis (CCA) technique using the same predictor variables. For the multimodel downscaling ensemble, eight variables from seven operational GCMs are used as predictors with the hindcast forecast data spanning a period of 21 yr from 1983/84 to 2003/04. The raw GCM forecast ensemble tends to have higher skills than the baseline skills of the purely statistical forecast that relates the dominant modes of observed sea surface temperature variability to precipitation.
    [Show full text]
  • APEC Climate Center and Emergency Preparedness
    APEC Climate Center and Emergency Preparedness Mara Baviera, International Project Manager APEC Climate Center APEC Emergency Preparedness Working Group 13 –14 May 2015 Boracay, Philippines What We Do APEC Climate Center Climate Prediction and Applications Research Operational Forecasting Products and Services Capacity Building Projects Personnel: 67 Years in operation: 10 Partnerships : 28 formal agreements Location: Busan, South Korea APEC Climate Center in APEC APEC Climate Network APEC Climate Center endorsed by ISTWG and endorsed by ISTWG SOM 1999 2005 2004 2015 APEC Climate Center APEC Climate Center noted by STMM 10th anniversary APEC Climate Center Active participation in ISTWG and PPSTI Meetings, cooperation with EPWG Supported APEC Economies through the APCC Working Group representing 20 economies Invested Contributed 11 APEC funded and self‐funded projects Supporting Climate Services in the APEC Region and Beyond Supporting Climate Services in the APEC Region and Beyond Management and Policy: WATER and AGRICULTURE 2012 Australian Bureau of Meteorology and K‐water International Conference on Water, Climate, and Policy 2013 – 2014 Cambodian Government Assessing Rice Productivity and Adaptation Strategies for Southeast Asia under Climate Change through Multi‐Scale Crop Modeling 2014 – 2016 Tongan Government Improving Agricultural Productivity through Ensuring Data Availability and Enhancing Climate Services Management and Policy: DISASTER MANAGEMENT 2015 – 2017 ASEAN (PIPELINE) Science‐Based Disaster Management Platform
    [Show full text]
  • ANNOUNCEMENT APEC Climate Center YOUNG SCIENTIST SUPPORT PROGRAM 2016
    APEC Climate Center 12, Centum 7-ro, Haeundae-gu, Busan, 612-020, KOREA Tel: +82 51 745 3929 Fax: +82 51 745 3949 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.apcc21.org ANNOUNCEMENT APEC Climate Center YOUNG SCIENTIST SUPPORT PROGRAM 2016 The APEC Climate Center (APCC), located in Busan, South Korea, strives to bring prosperity to the APEC region by providing climate information services and technical support. APCC produces real-time operational climate prediction information based on a well-validated multi-model ensemble system thanks to contributions from over 17 organizations in the APEC region and beyond. APCC also aims to help build capacity in the field of climate science and help increase the application of climate science by utilizing the most advanced scientific knowledge to enhance the socio-economic well-being of member economies and partners around the world. Please visit the APCC website for further information about APCC: http://www.apcc21.org. APCC is seeking qualified early-career scientists from National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and national research centers related to climate issues in developing countries to apply for positions as short-term visiting scientists. Scientists from the following countries are eligible to apply: Cambodia, Chile, Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Indonesia, Kiribati, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Mexico, Mongolia, Myanmar, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Philippines, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The selected scientists will be given the opportunity to conduct research at APCC with full access to all available data and equipment. They will also have full support from APCC scientists and staff, and will be provided a mentor during their visit.
    [Show full text]
  • Regional Cooperation on Drought Prediction Science for Disaster Preparedness and Management
    REGIONAL COOPERATION ON DROUGHT PREDICTION SCIENCE FOR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS AND MANAGEMENT BY JINYOUNG RHEE, WENJU CAI, NEIL PLUMMER, MANNAVA SIVAKUMAR, NINA HORSTMANN, BIN WANG, AND DEWI KIRONO hile there have been numerous international symposia and conferences regarding the issue APEC CLIMATE SYMPOSIUM 2013: REGIONAL W of drought, few have dealt with both drought COOPERATION ON DROUGHT PREDICTION SCIENCE prediction and monitoring simultaneously. To connect FOR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS AND MANAGEMENT the dots between drought prediction, monitoring, and decision making, the Asia-Pacific Economic Coopera- WHAT: Approximately 100 participants from academia, tion (APEC) Climate Symposium 2013 was held with government, and the private sector presented the theme of regional cooperation on drought predic- research regarding innovative techniques tion science for disaster preparedness and management in drought monitoring and seasonal climate (www.apcc21.org/eng/acts/pastsym/japcc0202_viw prediction along with drought risk reduction and policy making at various administrative scales. .jsp?symp_yy=2013). The event was organized by the WHEN: 11–13 November 2013 APEC Climate Center and the Indonesian Agency WHERE: Jakarta, Indonesia for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics, with financial support from the APEC Secretariat. Gusti Muhammad Hatta, the Indonesian minister APEC mission of sustainable economic growth and for research and technology, opened the symposium, prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region. The ambassador noting the importance of the event in strengthening of South Korea to the Republic of Indonesia, Young-sun drought preparedness in order to contribute to the Kim, added his sincere hope that the event could serve as a platform for building a solid regional network for further cooperation on drought prediction and moni- AFFILIATIONS: RHEE AND HORSTMANN—APEC Climate Center, toring among APEC member economies.
    [Show full text]
  • IPCC-XLI/Doc. 2, Rev. 1 (16.II.2015) Agenda Item: 2 ENGLISH ONLY
    FORTY-FIRST SESSION OF THE IPCC Nairobi, Kenya, 24-27 February 2015 IPCC-XLI/Doc. 2, Rev. 1 (16.II.2015) Agenda Item: 2 ENGLISH ONLY DRAFT REPORT OF THE FORTIETH SESSION Copenhagen, Denmark, 27-31 October 2014 (Submitted by the IPCC Secretariat) IPCC Secretariat c/o WMO • 7bis, Avenue de la Paix • C.P. 2300 • 1211 Geneva 2 • Switzerland telephone : +41 (0) 22 730 8208 / 54 / 84 • fax : +41 (0) 22 730 8025 / 13 • email : [email protected] • www.ipcc.ch DRAFT REPORT OF THE 40TH SESSION OF THE IPCC Copenhagen, Denmark, 27-31 October 2014 1. OPENING OF THE SESSION Document: IPCC-XL/Doc.1, Rev.1 and IPCC-XL/Doc.1, Add.1, Rev.1 Mr Rajendra Pachauri, Chair of the IPCC, called the session to order, welcomed the dignitaries and delegates and thanked the Government of Denmark for the warm welcome and support. In his opening remarks H.E. Mr Rasmus Helveg Petersen, Minister for Climate, Energy and Building of Denmark, stressed that the Fifth Assessment Report makes clear the need to deal with climate change at a global level. He said that governments cannot solve the problems alone and profiled Denmark as an example to follow as it has cut its greenhouse gas emissions by 28% since the 1990’s while achieving economic growth and assisting developing countries in their own efforts. H.E. Ms Kirsten Brosbøl, Minister for the Environment of Denmark, stressed that governments cannot fix the world’s problems alone and that it is critical that the challenges are also met by public local authorities, industry, NGO’s and citizens.
    [Show full text]
  • India and APEC: an Appraisal
    India and APEC An Appraisal RIS ASEAN-India Research and Information System for Developing Countries Centre at RIS India and APEC: An Appraisal India and APEC: An Appraisal by V. S. Seshadri ASEAN-India Centre at RIS ASEAN-India Centre at RIS ISBN: 81-71299-108-4 Copyright © AIC, 2015 Published in 2015 by: ASEAN-India Centre at RIS ASEAN-India Centre at RIS Core IV-B, Fourth Floor, India Habitat Centre Lodhi Road, New Delhi-110 003, India Ph.: +91-11-24682177-80, Fax: +91-11-24682173-74 : E-mail: [email protected] Website www.ris.org.in, http://aic.ris.org.in Contents Foreword by Ambassador Shyam Saran ............................................................................................................ vii Acknowledgments ..........................................................................................................................................................ix List of Abbreviations .....................................................................................................................................................xi Exe .................................................................................................................................................1 cutive Summary .............................................................................................................................9 .............................................................................................................................................9 India and APEC: An Appraisal .............................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Training Course on Regional Downscaling for Asia-Pacific Region Using APEC Climate Centre Global Seasonal Climate Prediction
    - Making a Difference – Scientific Capacity Building & Enhancement for Sustainable Development in Developing Countries SScciieennttiiffiicc CCaappaacciittyy BBuuiillddiinngg && EEnnhhaanncceemmeenntt ffoorr S Suussttaaiinnaabbllee DDeevveellooppmmeenntt iinn DDeevveellooppiinngg CCoouunnttrriieess TTrraaiinniinngg CCoouurrssee oonn RReeggiioonnaall DDoowwnnssccaalliinngg ffoorr AAssiiaa--PPaacciiffiicc RReeggiioonn UUssiinngg AAPPEECC CClliimmaattee CCeennttrree GGlloobbaall SSeeaassoonnaall CClliimmaattee PPrreeddiiccttiioonn Final Report for APN CAPaBLE Project: CBA2008-03NSY-Ashok 0 Training Course on Regional Downscaling for Asia-Pacific Region Using APEC Climate Centre Global Seasonal Climate Prediction CBA2008-03NSY-Ashok Final Report submitted to APN ©Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research www.apn-gcr.org 1 Overview of project work and outcomes Non-technical summary Developing economies in Asia-Pacific, like many other such nations around the globe, are dependent on agriculture. In an overwhelming majority of these countries, the farming activities are rain-dependent, and consequently suffer from the recent extreme droughts/floods due to climate change. Lack of reliable local climate prediction is a serious constraint for efficeint adaptation to such challenge. For example, Vietnam lost ~US$110000000 due to the big drought in 2005, which affected ~8 million farmers. In Philippines, 13 million hectares is typically affected by drought/floods. Nowadays, the Global Circulation Models (GCM) have become the main tool of climate
    [Show full text]
  • The Seasonal Outlook for East Asian Winter 2018-2019 from Dynamical Models, APCC MME, WMO LC LRFMME APEC Climate Center Yoojin Kim
    APCCAPEC CLIMATE CENTERAPEC CLIMATE CENTER The seasonal outlook for East Asian winter 2018-2019 from dynamical models, APCC MME, WMO LC LRFMME APEC Climate Center Yoojin Kim APEC CLIMATE CENTER APEC CLIMATE CENTER APEC Climate Center Multi Model Ensemble (APCC MME) ⚫ 3M-lead seasonal-rolling forecast since 2005 ⚫ 3M-lead monthly-rolling forecast since 2008 ⚫ 6M-lead monthly-rolling forecast since September, 2013 ⚫ At present, 17 leading climate forecasting centers and institutes in 11 countries are participating. APCC MME Participation Agencies ⚫ Data collection from the 17 centers and institutes in the world ⚫ Producing seasonal forecast & verification data by MME APEC CLIMATE CENTER APEC CLIMATE CENTER APCC MME ⚫ APCC webpage : http://apcc21.org ✓ CLIK: Climate Information Tool Kit ✓ ADSS: APEC Climate Center Data Service System Download APCC MME, individual models, etc. APEC CLIMATE CENTER WMO LC-LRFMME Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ⚫ Data collection from the GPC’s in the world ⚫ Producing seasonal forecast & verification data by MME 4 WMO Global Producing Centres (13 GPCs) New GPC! Offenbach (Aug. 2017~) • Beijing: China Meteorological Administration (CMA)/ • Moscow: Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia Beijing Climate Center (BCC) • Pretoria: South African Weather Services (SAWS) • CPTEC: Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate • Seoul: Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Research/ • Tokyo: Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)/ National Institute for Space Research (INPE) Tokyo Climate Center (TCC)
    [Show full text]
  • FROM APEC 2011 to APEC 2012: American and Russian Perspectives on Asia-Pacific Security and Cooperation
    Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies Far Eastern Federal University FROM APEC 2011 TO APEC 2012: American and Russian Perspectives on Asia-Pacific Security and Cooperation Editors Rouben Azizian and Artyom Lukin Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies Honolulu Far Eastern Federal University Vladivostok 2012 Authors: Lori Forman, J. Scott Hauger, Sergey Sevastianov, William Wieninger, Jessica Ear, James Campbell, Sergey Smirnov, Justin Nankivell, Kerry Lynn S. Nankivell, Miemie Byrd, Rouben Azizian, Viacheslav Amirov, Jeffrey W. Hornung, Alexander Vorontsov, Mohan Malik, Victor Larin, Artyom Lukin, Tamara Troyakova, Vyacheslav Gavrilov, Alexander L. Vuving Cover photographs by Kseniya Novikova and William Goodwin From APEC 2011 to APEC 2012: American and Russian Perspectives on Asia-Pacific Security and Cooperation / editors Rouben Azizian and Artyom Lukin. – Honolulu : Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies; Vladivostok : Far Eastern Federal University Press, 2012. – 248 р. ISBN 978-0-9719416-5-6 (Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies) ISBN 978-5-7444-2798-6 (Far Eastern Federal University Press) This volume examines three broad and intertwined themes of significant importance for the Asia-Pacific region. Firstly, the book discusses the complex mosaic of current and emerging regional security issues and relates them to the activities of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum and other regional organizations. Secondly, the volume contributors offer their diverse perspectives on the evolving roles of influential regional actors, such as China, Japan, Russia, and the United States. Thirdly, the book examines the gaps and opportunities in US-Russia relations in the context of their increased appreciation of the Asia-Pacific region. The team of book authors represents prominent regional security scholarship affiliated with the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies (APCSS), the Far Eastern Federal University, and the Russian Academy of Sciences.
    [Show full text]
  • Green Synergy Solutions in APEC Region
    Green Synergy Solutions in APEC Region APEC Policy Partnership on Science, Technology and Innovation March 2021 APEC Project: PPSTI 06 2019A Produced by APEC Research Center for Advanced Biohydrogen Technology (ACABT) [email protected] For Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Secretariat 35 Heng Mui Keng Terrace Singapore 119616 Tel: (65) 68919 600 Fax: (65) 68919 690 Email: [email protected] Website: www.apec.org © 2021 APEC Secretariat APEC#221-PP-01.1 TABLE OF CONTENT 1. OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................ 5 2. METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................... 6 3. DELEGATES ............................................................................................................. 9 4. PROJECT OUTPUTS............................................................................................... 10 4.1 POLICY FRAMEWORK REVIEW ............................................................... 11 4.2 GREEN SYNERGY SOLUTIONS EVENT .................................................. 12 4.2-1 POLICY DIALOGUE .......................................................................... 12 4.2-2 WORKSHOP ..................................................................................... 21 4.2-3 OFFLINE PROJECT-BASED TRAINING PROGRAM ....................... 25 4.2-4 TECHNICAL ON-SITE PRACTICE (SELF-FUND) ............................ 36 5. OVERALL PROJECT IMPACTS AND CONCLUSIONS .........................................
    [Show full text]
  • APEC Climate Center (APCC) Climate Information Service APEC Climate
    APECAPEC ClimateClimate CenterCenter (APCC)(APCC) ClimateClimate InformationInformation ServiceService Australia AAsiasia Brunei Darussalam Canada Chile People’s Republic of China Hong Kong, China PPacificacific Indonesia Japan EconomicEconomic CooperationCooperation Korea Malaysia Mexico New Zealand CClimatelimate Papua New Guinea Peru Philippines Russia Singapore CCenterenter Chinese Taipei First AMY/MAHASRI Workshop Thailand 8-10th, January, 2007, Tokyo, Japan United States 8-10th, January, 2007, Tokyo, Japan Viet Nam APEC Climate Center VisionVision ofof APCCAPCC RealizingRealizing thethe APECAPEC visionvision ofof regionalregional prosperityprosperity ¾¾ thethe enhancementenhancement ofof economiceconomic opportunitiesopportunities ¾¾ thethe reductionreduction ofof economiceconomic lossloss ¾¾ thethe protectionprotection ofof lifelife andand propertyproperty APEC Climate Center (APCC) ECMWF/EU APCC/APEC Iceland Norway Finland Sweden Denmark Ireland The Netherlands Germany United Czech Republic Belgium Kingdom Austria Luxembourg Hungary France Slovenia Switzerland Croatia Italy Portugal Spain Greece Turkey 1973 2005 GoalsGoals ofof APCCAPCC Facilitating the share of high-cost climate data and information Capacity building in prediction and sustainable social and economic applications of climate information Accelerating and extending socio-economic innovation FunctionsFunctions ofof APCCAPCC Developing a value-added reliable climate prediction system Acting as a center for climate data and related information Coordinating research
    [Show full text]