Analytic Measures
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Persistent Poverty Across Locations in the United States
PERSISTENT AND TRANSITORY POVERTY ACROSS LOCATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES DISSERTATION Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate School of The Ohio State University By John M. Ulimwengu, MA **** The Ohio State University 2006 Dissertation committee: Approved by Professor David Kraybill Adviser Professor Tim Haab Graduate program in Agricultural, Environmental and Development Professor Elena Irwin Economics. ABSTRACT Poverty is often defined as lack of access to necessities such as food, shelter, and medical care. Adverse shocks such as income losses push households below the poverty line for a relatively brief period of time. Those who recover quickly without explicit external assistance are considered as transitorily poor. While households in transitory poverty are able to rebound relatively quickly from adverse shocks, those in persistent poverty remain poor for much more extended periods. Remedial policies for persistent poverty are different from those necessary to fight transitory poverty. Using a geocoded version of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79), my findings suggest that the persistently poor receive less than 65% of their total income as wages, accumulate fewer assets, and rely heavily on government social transfers. Although their incomes fall below the poverty line occasionally, the transitorily poor stay above the poverty line most of the time. I confirm the presence of poverty clusters as well as the presence of spatial interaction across locations. This calls for cooperation among counties or states in the fight against poverty. ii I use a generalized mixed linear model that incorporates both fixed and random effects while controlling for individual characteristics and spatial attributes. -
The Lorenz Curve
Charting Income Inequality The Lorenz Curve Resources for policy making Module 000 Charting Income Inequality The Lorenz Curve Resources for policy making Charting Income Inequality The Lorenz Curve by Lorenzo Giovanni Bellù, Agricultural Policy Support Service, Policy Assistance Division, FAO, Rome, Italy Paolo Liberati, University of Urbino, "Carlo Bo", Institute of Economics, Urbino, Italy for the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, FAO About EASYPol The EASYPol home page is available at: www.fao.org/easypol EASYPol is a multilingual repository of freely downloadable resources for policy making in agriculture, rural development and food security. The resources are the results of research and field work by policy experts at FAO. The site is maintained by FAO’s Policy Assistance Support Service, Policy and Programme Development Support Division, FAO. This modules is part of the resource package Analysis and monitoring of socio-economic impacts of policies. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. © FAO November 2005: All rights reserved. Reproduction and dissemination of material contained on FAO's Web site for educational or other non-commercial purposes are authorized without any prior written permission from the copyright holders provided the source is fully acknowledged. Reproduction of material for resale or other commercial purposes is prohibited without the written permission of the copyright holders. -
Inequality Measurement Development Issues No
Development Strategy and Policy Analysis Unit w Development Policy and Analysis Division Department of Economic and Social Affairs Inequality Measurement Development Issues No. 2 21 October 2015 Comprehending the impact of policy changes on the distribu- tion of income first requires a good portrayal of that distribution. Summary There are various ways to accomplish this, including graphical and mathematical approaches that range from simplistic to more There are many measures of inequality that, when intricate methods. All of these can be used to provide a complete combined, provide nuance and depth to our understanding picture of the concentration of income, to compare and rank of how income is distributed. Choosing which measure to different income distributions, and to examine the implications use requires understanding the strengths and weaknesses of alternative policy options. of each, and how they can complement each other to An inequality measure is often a function that ascribes a value provide a complete picture. to a specific distribution of income in a way that allows direct and objective comparisons across different distributions. To do this, inequality measures should have certain properties and behave in a certain way given certain events. For example, moving $1 from the ratio of the area between the two curves (Lorenz curve and a richer person to a poorer person should lead to a lower level of 45-degree line) to the area beneath the 45-degree line. In the inequality. No single measure can satisfy all properties though, so figure above, it is equal to A/(A+B). A higher Gini coefficient the choice of one measure over others involves trade-offs. -
Assets, Savings and Wealth, and Poverty: a Review of Evidence
Assets, savings and wealth, and poverty: A review of evidence Final report to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation Beverley A Searle and Stephan Köppe July 2014 Related summary findings can be downloaded from the JRF website at http://www.jrf.org.uk/publications/reducing-poverty-in-the-uk-evidence-reviews suggested citation: Searle B A, Köppe S (2014) Assets, savings and wealth, and poverty: A review of evidence. Final report to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation. Bristol: Personal Finance Research Centre. Contents 1 Introduction 2 2 Methods 2 3 What do we mean by savings, assets, wealth, and poverty? 2 4 The assumed importance of assets 4 4.1 Limitations of asset accumulation theories for poverty alleviation 5 5 Savings, assets and wealth: A review of international evidence 6 5.1 Wealth distribution in Great Britain 6 5.2 Savings 10 5.2.1 International evidence 10 5.2.2 Individual savings schemes 11 5.2.3 Credit Unions: Linking savings accounts to loan repayments 15 5.2.4 Conclusion 16 5.3 Pensions 18 5.3.1 Pension scheme and aims 18 5.3.2 Simulating future pension income from private sources 19 5.3.3 Coverage and contribution rates 20 5.3.4 Retirement income 21 5.3.5 Conclusion 23 5.4 Housing wealth 24 5.4.1 Housing and social capital 24 5.4.2 The sale of social housing 25 5.4.3 Using housing wealth 27 5.4.4 Home ownership and poverty 28 5.4.5 Conclusion 28 5.5 Intergenerational transfers 30 6 Risks of savings, asset and wealth as an anti-poverty strategy 32 7 Conclusions 34 Endnotes 38 References 39 1 Introduction Research shows people who experience poverty often lack financial resources such as assets, savings and wealth. -
Creating Asset-Building Opportunities for TANF Participants
Creating Asset-Building Opportunities for TANF Participants Sierra Solomon Region IX Consultant Asset Initiative ASSET Building • Idea came from Michael Sherraden: Assets and the Poor: A New American Welfare Policy in 1991 • Welfare reform was in national spotlight • Private foundations provided funds to test idea • Assets for Independent Act passed in 1998 with broad bipartisan support • Sherraden argued that welfare policy failed to recognize a tenet of middle class life by focusing only on income. 2 Shift focus from income to asset ownership • Income (TANF, SSI, SSDI) an important part of safety net, but asset ownership increases economic stability and provides hope for the future. • People with assets have more options in life and can pass on status and opportunities for future generations. • Income helps families get by. Assets help families get ahead. 3 What are Assets? • Savings (3-6 month nest egg) to protect against loss of income/emergencies • Matched Savings (Individual Development Accounts) – First home – Higher education and training – Develop or expand small business • Good credit report and score, access to credit • Human capital • Property, equipment, land 4 Financial Assets Matter • Move past paycheck to paycheck – Toward long-term financial stability • Stronger, Healthier Families • Enhanced Self-Esteem • Long-term Thinking and Planning • More Community Involvement • Hope for the Future 5 Asset Distribution & Trends: Asset Poverty • Asset Poverty: Having insufficient financial resources to subsist at the poverty line -
ASSETS MATTER to POOR PEOPLE but What Do We Know About Financing Assets?
ASSETS MATTER TO POOR PEOPLE But What Do We Know about Financing Assets? February 2020 Sai Krishna Kumaraswamy, Max Mattern, and Emilio Hernandez Consultative Group to Assist the Poor 1818 H Street, NW, MSN F3K-306 Washington, DC 20433 USA Internet: www.cgap.org Email: [email protected] Telephone: +1 202 473 9594 Cover photo by Mohamed Elshokhepy, 2018 CGAP Photo Contest. © CGAP/World Bank, 2020. RIGHTS AND PERMISSIONS This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the terms of this license. Attribution—Cite the work as follows: Kumaraswamy, Sai Krishna, Max Mattern, and Emilio Hernandez. 2020. “Assets Matter to Poor People: But What Do We Know about Financing Assets?” Working Paper. Washington, D.C.: CGAP. All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to CGAP Publications, 1818 H Street, NW, MSN F3K-306, Washington, DC 20433 USA; e-mail: [email protected]. CONTENTS Executive Summary 1 Section 1: Introduction 3 Section 2: A Theory of Change for Asset Ownership 6 Section 3: Access vs. Ownership 10 Section 4: Mapping the Impact Evidence for Asset Ownership onto the Theory of Change 11 Section 5: Evidence Gaps and Direction for Future Research 23 References 27 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY N THE WAKE OF ADVANCES IN TECHNOLOGY AND BUSINESS MODELS, an increasing number of poor households are gaining access to financing for physical I assets ranging from smartphones to solar panels. -
User Manual for Stata Package DASP
USER MANUAL DASP version 2.1 DASP: Distributive Analysis Stata Package By Abdelkrim Araar, JeanYves Duclos Université Laval PEP, CIRPÉE and World Bank November 2009 Table of contents Table of contents............................................................................................................................. 2 List of Figures .................................................................................................................................. 5 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 7 2 DASP and Stata versions ......................................................................................................... 7 3 Installing and updating the DASP package ........................................................................... 8 3.1 installing DASP modules. ............................................................................................... 8 3.2 Adding the DASP submenu to Stata’s main menu. ....................................................... 9 4 DASP and data files ................................................................................................................. 9 5 Main variables for distributive analysis ............................................................................. 10 6 How can DASP commands be invoked? .............................................................................. 10 7 How can help be accessed for a given DASP module? ...................................................... -
Measuring Inequality LECTURE 13
Measuring inequality LECTURE 13 Training 1 1 Outline for final lectures § Once datasets have been finalized, it is time to produce results, with the aim of representing the patterns emerging from the data. § In practice? § Inequality this lecture § Poverty next lecture § Basic summary statistics on household demographics, education, access to services, etc. § Average expenditures and incomes final lecture Training 2 2 Inequality and poverty measurement 1) a measure of living standards persons 2) high-quality data on households’ living standards 3) a distribution of living standards (inequality) 4) a critical level (a poverty line) below which individuals are classified as “poor” living standard 5) one or more poverty measures Training 3 3 1 Cowell (2011) 99.9% of this lecture is explained with better words in Cowell’s work: this book and other (countless) journal articles Training 4 Warning § During the course we stressed the distinction between the concepts of living standard, income, expenditure, consumption, etc. § In this lecture we make an exception, and use these terms interchangeably § Similarly, I will not make a distinction between income per household, per capita, or per adult equivalent § For once, and for today only, we will be (occasionally) inconsistent Training 5 5 Focus on the term 'inequality' § “When we say income inequality, we mean simply differences in income, without regard to their desirability as a system of reward or undesirability as a scheme running counter to some ideal of equality” (Kuznets 1953: xxvii) § In practice, how can we appraise the inequality of a given income distribution? Three main options: ① Tables ② Graphs ③ Summary statistics Training 8 2 Tables: an assessment § In general, tables are not recommended when the focus is inequality § Difficult to get a clue of the extent of inequality in the distribution by looking at a table. -
UNIVERSITY of CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO Essays on Non-Parametric
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN DIEGO Essays on Non-parametric and High-dimensional Econometrics A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Economics by Zhenting Sun Committee in charge: Professor Brendan K. Beare, Co-Chair Professor Yixiao Sun, Co-Chair Professor Jelena Bradic Professor Dimitris Politis Professor Andres Santos 2018 Copyright Zhenting Sun, 2018 All rights reserved. The Dissertation of Zhenting Sun is approved and is acceptable in quality and form for publication on microfilm and electronically: Co-Chair Co-Chair University of California San Diego 2018 iii TABLE OF CONTENTS Signature Page . iii Table of Contents . iv List of Figures . vi List of Tables . vii Acknowledgements . viii Vita........................................................................ ix Abstract of the Dissertation . x Chapter 1 Instrument Validity for Local Average Treatment Effects . 1 1.1 Introduction . 2 1.2 Setup and Testable Implication . 5 1.3 Binary Treatment and Instrument . 10 1.3.1 Hypothesis Formulation . 10 1.3.2 Test Statistic and Asymptotic Distribution . 12 1.3.3 Bootstrap-Based Inference . 15 1.4 Multivalued Treatment and Instrument . 18 1.4.1 Bootstrap-Based Inference . 21 1.4.2 Continuous Instrument. 23 1.5 Conditional on Discrete Covariates . 26 1.6 Tuning Parameter Selection . 28 1.7 Simulation Evidence . 29 1.7.1 Data-Generating Processes . 30 1.7.2 Simulation Results . 30 1.8 Empirical Applications . 33 1.9 Conclusion . 34 Chapter 2 Improved Nonparametric Bootstrap Tests of Lorenz Dominance . 36 2.1 Introduction . 36 2.2 Hypothesis Tests of Lorenz Dominance . 39 2.2.1 Hypothesis Formulation . -
Inequality Matters LIS Newsletter, Issue No
Inequality Matters LIS Newsletter, Issue No. 8 ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Inequality Matters LIS Newsletter, Issue No. 8 (December 2018) Dear readers, For 2019, LIS has several exciting new advancements in preparation. This time we announce that we will further raise the quality and ease-of-use of our LIS and LWS Databases. By applying a simplified variable structure, LIS will increase the pace at which we add more countries and more years. A specific highlight in this issue summarises the main changes. This issue is also equipped with two strong inequality matters articles. Paul Hufe (ifo Munich and LMU Munich) and Andreas Peichl (ifo Munich, LMU Munich, IZA, and CESifo) utilise the normative concept of fairness for comparing income distributions across European countries. Their measure of unfair inequality illustrates well that debates about fairness can be very well informed by empirical data analysis. In the second article, Miles Corak (Stone Center, GC, CUNY) is elaborating, what it takes to build a ‘more inclusive society’. Social inclusion does not only mean eradicating child poverty, it also means creating a society where family background matters less, and where public policy guarantees a good linkage between the family, the market and the state in order to keep inequality balanced. Besides the note on the restructuring of the LIS and LWS Databases, our highlights section includes an overview about the main challenges faced by LIS, when harmonising income data from middle- income countries (Teresa Munzi and Andrej Cupak, LIS). Heba Omar (LIS) and Jörg Neugschwender (LIS) are showing income and poverty trends for the new Russian data (the years 2011-2016 are now based on PIS carried out by Rosstat) in LIS. -
Ecological Modelling 230 (2012) 50-62
Ecological Modelling 230 (2012) 50-62 Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect Ecological Modelling ELSEVlER jou rna I homepa g e: www .elsevier .co m/locate/eco I model Metrics for evaluating performance and uncertainty of Bayesian network models Bruce G. Marcot* U.S. Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, 620 S. W. Main Street. Portland, OR 9720~. United States ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT Article history: This paper presents a selected set of existing and new metrics for gauging Bayesian network model Received 12 September 2011 performance and uncertainty. Selected existing and new metrics are discussed for conducting model Received in revised form 10 january 2012 sensitivity analysis (variance reduction, entropy reduction, case file simulation); evaluating scenarios Accepted 11 january 2012 (influence analysis); depicting model complexity (numbers of model variables, links, node states, con ditional probabilities, and node cliques); assessing prediction performance (confusion tables, covariate Keywords: and conditional probability-weighted confusion error rates, area under receiver operating characteristic Bayesian network model Uncertainty curves, k-fold cross-validation, spherical payoff. Schwarz' Bayesian information criterion, true skill statis Model performance tic, Cohen's kappa); and evaluating uncertainty of model posterior probability distributions (Bayesian Model validation credible interval, posterior probability certainty index, certainty envelope, Gini coefficient). Examples are Sensitivity analysis presented of applying the metrics to 3 real-world models of wildlife population analysis and manage Error rates ment. Using such metrics can vitally bolster model credibility, acceptance, and appropriate application, Probability analysis particularly when informing management decisions. Published by Elsevier B.V. 1. Introduction different outcome states, that is, the spread of alternative predic tions. -
IRP Discussion Paper
HH IRP Discussion Paper No. 1419-14 Post-1970 Trends in Within-Country Inequality and Poverty: Rich and Middle Income Countries Salvatore Morelli CSEF, University of Naples and INET Oxford, University of Oxford Timothy Smeeding University of Wisconsin Jeffrey Thompson Federal Reserve Board of Governors March 18, 2014 The authors wish to thank their organizations for support of this work. In particular we thank especially David Chancellor and also Dawn Duren of IRP for their assistance with graphs and manuscript preparation, and Peter Frase for research assistance. We would also like to thank Tony Atkinson, Francois Bourguignon, Michael Forster, Andrew Leigh, Max Roser, Stephen Jenkins, and the editors for helpful comments on an earlier draft, and Andrea Brandolini for providing helpful inequality trend data. The authors and not their organizations are responsible for all opinions in this chapter, as well as all errors of omission and commission. IRP Publications (discussion papers, special reports, Fast Focus, and the newsletter Focus) are available on the Internet. The IRP Web site can be accessed at the following address: http://www.irp.wisc.edu. Abstract This paper is prepared as a chapter for the Handbook of Income Distribution, Volume 2 (edited by A. B. Atkinson and F. Bourguignon, Elsevier-North Holland, forthcoming). Like the other chapters in the volume (and its predecessor), the aim is to provide a comprehensive review of a particular area of research. We examine the literature on post-1970 trends in poverty and income inequality, up to 2010 or 2011 in most countries. We provide measures of the levels and trends in each of these areas, as well as an integrated discussion of empirical choices made in the measurement of poverty, overall income inequality, and inequality amongst those with top incomes.