USAID ECONOMIC RESILIENCE ACTIVITY: QUARTERLY PROGRESS REPORT January 01, 2020 – March 31, 2020

This publication was produced by the USAID Economic Resilience Activity under Contract No. 72012118C00004 at the request of the United States Agency for International Development. This document is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development. Its contents are the sole responsibility of the author or authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the U.S. Government.

Quarterly Progress Report (Fiscal Year 2020 Quarter Two)

Program Title: USAID Economic Resilience Activity

Sponsoring USAID Office: USAID

Contract Number: 72012118C00004

Contractor: DAI Global, LLC

Submission Date: April 30, 2020

Author: DAI Global, LLC

CONTENTS

CONTENTS 2 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS 3 I. INTRODUCTION 4 BRIEF SUMMARY OF ACTIVITY 4 II. CONTEXT UPDATE 5 KEY NARRATIVE ACHIEVEMENTS 5 BIG INFRASTRUCTURE 6 INCLUSION 7 INCREASING CAPABILITIES 7 INCREASING OPPORTUNITIES 8 GROWTH 9 MARKET EXPANSION 9 INVESTMENT ACCELERATION FOR MSMES 12 TRANSFORMATION 12 DRIVING VISION 12 COMMUNICATION 14 SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT 15 III. PROGRESS AGAINST TARGETS 16 IV. PERFORMANCE MONITORING, EVALUATION AND LEARNING 17 AMELP REVISION 17 SPECIAL STUDIES 17 PAUSE AND REFLECT SESSIONS 17 V. LESSONS LEARNED 19 VI. ADMINISTRATION 21 VII. SUB-AWARD DETAILS 22

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS AMELP Activity Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning Plan ATO Anti-terrorist Operation CDM CDM Engineering Ukraine CEP Competitive Economy Program COP Chief of Party DAI DAI Global LLC DG-East Democratic Governance East DOSA Oblast State Administration DRC Danish Refugee Council EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EIB European Investment Bank ERA Economic Resilience Activity ESP Energy Security Project EU European Union FHI 360 Family Health International 360 (NGO) GCA Government Controlled Areas GoU Government of Ukraine IDP Internally Displaced Persons IOM International Organization for Migration I4M Innovations for Manufacturing IT Information Technology LGBTQI Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Transgender, Queer, Questioning and Intersex LNAU Luhansk National Agrarian University LOSA Luhansk Oblast State Administration MEL Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MoES Ministry of Education and Science MSME Micro, Small, Medium Enterprises MSRA Market Systems Resilience Assessment NGO Non-Governmental Organization OTI Office of Transition Initiatives SMEs Small and Medium Enterprises UNDP United Nations Development Program USAID United States Agency for International Development VET Vocational Education Training

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I. INTRODUCTION

DAI is pleased to submit this Quarterly Report for the USAID Economic Resilience Activity (ERA/Activity) covering the period of January 1 to March 31, 2020. The Activity aims to improve the overall economic resilience of eastern Ukraine in response to Russia’s aggression, which has left industry ransacked, communities divided physically and politically, and weakened the social, financial, and physical assets that underlie resilience. The Activity will directly contribute to USAID/Ukraine’s Development Objective 2: Impacts of Russia’s Aggression Mitigated, and Intermediate Results 2.1: Conditions Improved for Reintegration, and 2.4 Common Civic Values Increasingly Embraced.

This report details the Activity’s accomplishments during the second quarter of the second year and describes the interventions completed, benchmarks achieved, and performance standards.

BRIEF SUMMARY OF ACTIVITY

Over the life of the Activity, ERA will help eastern Ukraine reorient its economy toward sustainable, diverse, and inclusive growth by working through three interrelated objectives:

OBJECTIVE 1: PROVIDE ASSISTANCE TO STABILIZE THE ECONOMY OF EASTERN UKRAINE. This objective will build on previous work under Office of Transition Initiatives (OTI) programming and U.S. Government humanitarian assistance. ERA will continue to support quick-response, high-impact interventions that address the immediate needs of conflict- affected individuals, including internally displaced persons (IDPs), returnees, women, youth, veterans, IDP host communities, and businesses (likely micro-enterprises with up to 10 employees and small enterprises with 10 to 50 employees).

OBJECTIVE 2: SUPPORT THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED ENTERPRISES (SMES). This objective will support medium-term results by starting with end markets, improving SMEs’ ability to deliver in-demand goods and services, and building the surrounding market infrastructure—from information to finance to knowledge and skills—that enables longer-term growth. Objective 2 will focus primarily on SMEs with up to 250 employees; in select cases, it will support innovative Western-leaning companies with up to 1,200 employees that are near the line of contact and provide much-needed employment in stressed areas.

OBJECTIVE 3: BUILD CONFIDENCE IN THE FUTURE OF THE EASTERN UKRAINIAN ECONOMY. This objective will play a critical role in the integration and coordination of all ERA interventions and culminates in the most important result: a path forward to a viable economic future for the eastern region as an integrated part of the Ukrainian economy, one that is understood and supported by the population and energizes people into entrepreneurial action. By orienting interventions under Objective 3 around current and potential end markets for growth sectors that are a combination of traditional and new, ERA will simultaneously promote the diversification that will lead to a more resilient economy and create opportunities for innovations and transformative ideas.

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II. CONTEXT UPDATE

This reporting period continued to register signs of economic downturn throughout Ukraine, including in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. Ukraine’s GDP—showing growth for 14 consecutive quarters—slowed in the last quarter of 2019 to 1.5% year on year and 0.0% compared to the previous quarter. Monthly data indicates that this underperformance continued in January and February 2020.

According to the Economics Department of Donetsk Regional Administration, total industrial production in January 2020 compared to January 2019 decreased by 10.1%; in Ukraine overall, it decreased by 5.1%. There was a decline in all industries including food production and processing. So far in 2020, industrial production in Luhansk region continues to decline except for the chemical industry.

Further economic deterioration is expected as the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic continues and the imposed restrictions cause severe economic slowdown in most countries, including Ukraine.

Beginning on March 16th, Ukraine introduced the first of a series of strict quarantine measures and travel restrictions. "This is a balanced macroeconomic forecast. Of course, the optimistic forecast that was made at the beginning of the year, when we did not anticipate the coronavirus epidemic, was plus 3.7 percent and now we can expect negative 4.8 percent of GDP," Ukraine Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said, adding that these calculations were confirmed and agreed with international partners.

ERA has closely monitored the emerging situation and followed Ukraine government, USAID and DAI Global policies for sheltering in place. ERA postponed or moved online all activities requiring direct contact with partners or beneficiaries. ERA staff has worked remotely since the restrictions were implemented, maintaining close contact and coordination with oblast representatives, municipalities and consolidated communities, grantees and beneficiaries.

KEY NARRATIVE ACHIEVEMENTS ERA began 2020 with continued close coordination with its government partners at the national, regional and local levels, with other USAID implementors including DG-East, CEP and ESP, other international development organizations and financial institutions such as UNDP, UNICEF, IOM, World Bank, EBRD and EIB and our direct beneficiaries to ensure active participation in an integrated approach to supporting more inclusive economic growth. ERA has designated five sub regions across its area of operation in Luhansk, Donetsk and parts of the Azov Sea regions. The sub regions are: 1) Luhansk GCA 2) Northern Donetsk GCA 3) Central Donetsk GCA 4) 5) Azov Sea Coast. Within each sub region ERA operates as a coordinated team, bringing support and expertise from the Inclusion, Growth and Transformation pillars to the unique and specific needs and conditions of each area.

The ERA Transformation Team worked with the Inclusion and Growth pillars to develop ERA integrated support across all five sub regions for oblasts, municipalities and consolidated communities for future implementation of their new strategic economic development plans including identification of priority infrastructure projects. The Inclusion Team continued to identify and train beneficiaries from all target vulnerable groups and quickly adapted planned in-person activities to online learning platforms, with an enthusiastic response to an ERA grantee delivering a series of free online IT skills trainings. The Growth Team supported progress in all growth sectors, plus market

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expansion for two ERA SME fruit and vegetable producer beneficiaries attending international food trade fairs in Dubai and Berlin and returning with new sales agreements. The Growth Team announced new support to the Ukrainian United Credit Union through an ERA grant that will increase access to credit for MSMEs throughout Luhansk, Donetsk and the Azov Sea regions.

BIG INFRASTRUCTURE On January 14 and 15, the ERA office hosted the Investment Opportunities in Agriculture-Related Infrastructure in Rural Luhansk Oblast coordination and planning session with the World Bank, FAO and Canadian NGO SOCODEVI. Participants presented current rural infrastructure priorities, to assist the World Bank in identifying public infrastructure projects for potential financing in Luhansk Oblast along with major investments in rural roads. The World Bank estimates approximately $20 million could be available for such public infrastructure projects. The group discussed existing investment opportunities including agricultural markets, cooperatively managed produce storage and processing facilities, and centers for agricultural education. The session resulted in a preliminary list of projects that the World Bank team will discuss internally and then report back to ERA with recommendations for projects which could be studied in more detail in the next quarter.

ERA continues to support LOSA in progress toward implementation of a railway connection project in Luhansk Oblast. Thanks to the joint efforts of USAID, LOSA and ERA, Ukrainian Vice Prime Minister Mr. Oleksii Reznikov sent an order to Minister of Infrastructure Vladyslav Kryklii to establish a formal Railway Connection Working Group with representation from the Ministry of Infrastructure, Ukrzalysznitsia, Ministry of Internal Affairs, Ministry of Regional Development, LOSA Head Serhiy Haidai, Ministry of Economy, Ministry of Energy and Ministry of Reintegration, and to report back to the Cabinet of Ministers once this has been accomplished.

On January 28, 2020, ERA initiated a meeting in Kramatorsk of international development community partners and DOSA to discuss the status of the Voda Donbasu company. The meeting was attended by the vice governor of , DOSA and Voda Donbasu leadership, and representatives of USAID, UNICEF, ERA and the USAID ESP project. As a result of this meeting, the ESP project began preparations for a technical assessment of Voda Donbasu, and DOSA increased its efforts to attract funding for restructuring from the EIB.

In March, the EIB asked ERA to support LOSA and private sector partners from Luhansk in preparing quality project investment profiles for projects that can be implemented with financial support from the EIB. In March, LOSA submitted to the Ministry of Regional Development of Ukraine a list of projects prepared with ERA support. LOSA received recommendations from EIB on preparing and presenting existing projects for potential financing, and guidance on the preparation of new project investment profiles for future investment. ERA continued to work closely with LOSA and DOSA on preparation of infrastructure project investment profiles, which led to an increase in financial assistance earmarked by the EIB for eastern Ukraine from 40 million to an estimated 180- 190 million euros.

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INCLUSION

INCREASING CAPABILITIES

GENDER AND VULNERABLE POPULATIONS ASSESSMENT AND INCLUSION STRATEGY ERA discussed key findings of the completed assessment and draft Gender and Vulnerability Integration Strategy at a Pause and Reflect Session in Kramatorsk on January 16, 2020. The ERA research team collected valuable feedback and comments from session participants, and conducted an additional four focus group discussions with about-to-retire and unemployed citizens in Sievierodonetsk and Kramatorsk. The focus group findings revealed that, as well as being one of the largest sub-groups of registered unemployed within employment centers, this group is one of the most economically insecure populations in both oblasts. The group features intersectional vulnerability, since factors such as age and health are contributors.

Currently the ERA research team is developing a gender-vulnerable population guide for the ERA team and will finalize the guide after receiving final comments on the Gender and Vulnerability Integration Strategy from USAID.

INCREASE SUPPORT TO VULNERABLE POPULATIONS AND WOMEN

WOMEN

ERA grantee NGO Ukrainian Women’s Fund continues to deliver education programs for women entrepreneurs. As a result of trainings and lectures, 126 participants learned how to develop a business idea into a comprehensive business plan ready for implementation. Newly registered businesses have been established by participants, such as a cafe in Mariupol opened by a former banking officer and a food delivery service named Mamas Küche.

In addition to activities which focus primarily on women, ERA grantees aim to ensure gender balance in their interventions and grant implementation. The Kyiv-based NGO “Svitlo” Ukrainian Center for Civic Initiatives provides technical training sessions for start-up entrepreneurs, self-employed persons and MSMEs in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, focused on effective online sales and marketing skills. During the reporting period, 56 people successfully completed the training, including 22 women.

YOUTH

During the reporting period ERA issued a grant to the NGO “SHIFT” Youth Movement that will help foster an entrepreneurial mindset among 150 secondary school students in Kramatorsk via learning and practicing craft skills. Currently, the grantee has completed preparation of all branding materials and plans for delivery of equipment procured through the ERA grant.

In March, the Inclusion Team continued co-creation of two grants focused on youth. One grant with NGO "ZOIA” Consultative Information Center for Women is aimed at improving employment opportunities for rural uneducated and self-employed youth aged 15–30; the second prospective grantee is NGO Sievierodonetsk Youth Council, focused on creating a social entrepreneurship network in Luhansk Oblast by involving all interested local NGOs and businesses in training sessions, study tours, presentations and project development.

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PEOPLE WITH DISABILITIES

On February 26, 2020, the ERA Inclusion Team conducted an open space discussion with the Association of Disabled People of Luhansk Oblast in Starobilsk. Participants enthusiastically shared their ideas and visions for several potential projects, such as professional beekeeping by the ATO veterans' group, breeding and selling rabbits and chickens, and providing cleaning services. After collecting all the ideas, ERA plans to continue dialogue with the association and potentially collaborate on future interventions to support this vulnerable group.

UNEMPLOYED

ERA conducted a series of Trainings of Trainers (ToT) for 22 Employment Center staff from Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts in January. Participants received qualifications to deliver training in business planning, team building and case management, which allowed them to serve 41 unemployed people including those from remote locations close to the contact line in February and March this quarter. The ToT approach increases ERA's efforts to reach vulnerable unemployed populations via the existing capacity of state services throughout eastern Ukraine.

LGBTQI

During the reporting period the ERA Inclusion Team consulted with local Kramatorsk and neighboring municipality LGBTQI community representatives with the help and mediation of UNHCR colleagues. The outreach initiative successfully established a relationship of trust and support that will help to engage LGBTQI people in ERA interventions. ERA met with activist Olha Chernyshova who implements a Kyiv-based NGO project on building a LGBTQI community in Kramatorsk and discussed specific future cooperation possibilities for supporting community initiatives in ERA target areas. ERA also started co-developing a grant application with Platform TU in Mariupol aimed at attracting local youth, including LGBTQI, to educational courses in creative industries such as video editing and graphic design.

INCREASING OPPORTUNITIES

During the reporting period ERA contributed to Ukraine’s implementation of dual education on two levels: national and institutional.

At the national level—ERA helped to ensure that all partner universities and their private sector partner companies were included in the Ministry of Education and Sciences’ (MoES) list of piloting institutions that support the all-Ukrainian pilot on dual education. ERA participates in regular MoES working group meetings on developing appropriate reporting documents under this initiative.

At the institutional level—ERA supported preparation of activities proposed by Dahl university and the working group of local private companies including Orgkhim, Rizikon, Khimtechnology and Zoria. ERA hosted the “DUAL-O: RISE of Opportunities” forum in Kramatorsk and Sievierodonetsk on February 5–7, 2020, which gathered 67 representatives of high and vocational education, partner companies, and national and local decision-makers to formulate a list of questions that require official review and solution. Eight pre-selected problems and proposed solutions were sent to MoES for response and further development at the national level, currently planned for April–May 2020. The forum also allowed ERA partner universities to sign cooperation agreements with local

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industrial companies. The formalization of an education-business partnership strengthened practice- based collaboration to achieve a common goal shared by available skilled labor and market demands.

RETURNING CITIZENS

In January ERA and the International Office for Migration (IOM) began to discuss plans for cooperation on supporting returning migrants in entrepreneurship start-up ventures. Both the IOM and USAID have extensive experience in supporting immigration entrepreneurship activities in Ukraine and around the world, and IOM has recently implemented a similar pilot in western Ukraine. ERA and IOM agreed to potentially coordinate on issuing 25 in-kind grants, averaging from 10,000 to 25,000 USD for start-up or existing business operated by returning migrants or funded by remittance in ERA target areas.

SUPPORT TO UNIVERSITIES

ERA supported its partner universities to successfully complete applications to the EU- funded Erasmus+ program and enhanced the network of EU universities connected to eastern Ukraine universities for potential future partnership activities. On February 20 LNAU applied, with ERA support, to the Jean Monnet Modules program (JMM), one of Erasmus+’s most competitive components. LNAU offered to adjust and orient its structure towards implementing EU practices and procedures, assuring appropriate quality and alignment with EU standards. Results of the application are expected to be announced in July 2020.

SUPPORT TO VET AND LYCEUMS

After ERA published a Request for Applications for Strengthening Technical Capacity of Vocational Educational Institutions in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, six vocational educational institutions or lyceums were selected, and grants for two of them are currently under implementation. The Velykonovosilkivskyi Vocational Lyceum grant plans to modernize its technical training capacity for “Vehicle Service Technician. Category C Driver,” which will result in 54 students receiving focused technical education and training within the grant implementation period. The Kramatorsk Center for Technical and Vocational Education grant will support equipping a workshop center with two items of energy-saving virtual welding equipment and one extractor hood, to enable 50 students to advance their welding skills through state-of-the-art equipment. Currently, both grant recipients anticipate the procurement of planned equipment and facilities. Both these training facilities are examples of VET school modernization and curriculum adaptation to better align with the needs of the private sector and equip students with competitive employment skills, making them more employable upon graduation.

GROWTH

MARKET EXPANSION

BIOFUELS GROWTH SECTOR In March, ERA grantee ASC Ovochi Stanychykiv successfully completed their grant G-Kra-001 “Adapting Heating Systems in Three Greenhouses to Operate with Biofuel.” With this new technology in place, farmers have greater control over the environment within the greenhouses leading to better quality and quantity of seedlings and, consequently, yields. As ERA continues to

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monitor the impact of the grant more information and analysis will follow, particularly in relation to the economics of using biofuels vs. alternative heating fuels.

ERA, with support from an experienced biofuel engineer with extensive agriculture experience assessed and selected nine grants and provided recommendations regarding required equipment and relevant production processes. In the next quarter, ERA plans to organize a study tour for all applicants to visit several successful businesses utilizing similar equipment in biofuel production, to provide a better understanding of the model.

HONEY GROWTH SECTOR Thirty-seven beekeepers have completed the intensive training course “Professional Beekeeper”, enabling them to scale up production, introduce new products with higher added value and reach new markets. The focused training provides a path for smallholder apiaries to build a more resilient business that is better able to sustain turbulence within local and international honey markets. After market research for niche products and negotiations with one company, several trainees decided to start production of drone bee homogenate, which is used in the production of food supplements.

ERA is planning two follow-up interventions. Firstly, ERA will increase the number of trained beekeepers through building a network of local partners who will carry on training, including local beekeeping organizations, agricultural education facilities and relevant governmental services. Secondly, ERA is preparing an RFA to provide discounted inputs that are expected to stimulate beekeepers to grow their apiaries and therefore increase production and reach economies of scale.

ERA grantee NGO Grand Expert (grant G-Kra-010) continues to administer and expand the online platform Grand Expert, which aims to improve coordination between beekeepers and farmers and consequently reduce bee mortality due to pesticide poisoning. During this reporting period, the grantee conducted 16 training activities covering 96 participants. Promotion of official apiary registration is one of the strategic objectives of the ERA Honey Sector Growth strategy.

INNOVATIONS FOR MANUFACTURING (I4M) ERA began cooperation with Roland Berger, the international strategic consulting company selected to assess, train and mentor 15 ERA partner companies in January. Together with senior consultants from Roland Berger the ERA I4M Team prepared a comprehensive immersive Business Strategy Development workshop for top management of the 15 selected manufacturing companies from Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. All participants were given a pre-workshop package of technical management materials to prepare for the workshop. One of the ERA I4M companies, AG&K, a pharmaceutical packaging producer, initiated changes to its development strategy and updated its strategic investment plans based on the advance consultation materials.

Originally scheduled for the week of March 16–20, ERA postponed the workshop due to restrictions imposed as a result of the quarantine. ERA has put on hold all activities under the subcontract with Roland Berger until the situation improves. Specifically, the delivery deadlines under this subcontract have been postponed by 2.5 months, at which point we will meet and assess whether the originally envisioned training can proceed as planned in the near term, or whether a more fundamental change in approach and scope is needed.

IT GROWTH SECTOR ERA grantee Social Boost 1991 accomplished several important successes during the reporting period. Twenty people graduated from the IT certification program where participants learned how to establish a start-up company, resulting in four new start-ups. The Start-up Incubation Program began in mid-March with 15 organization teams and 70 participants, with all planned public activities

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quickly adapted and shifted to an online format. The change in format created new opportunities for the grantee to accelerate innovations in distance learning and remote training, with the goal of increasing the number of 1991 Hub visitors.

On January 21, ERA organized a meeting of the Kramatorsk IT community to support creation of a local IT cluster. Unfortunately, the follow-on strategic session to be facilitated by Head of the Ukrainian NGO Cluster-UA Mykhailo Krykunov has been postponed due to quarantine restrictions.

In addition, ERA is finalizing procurement of analytical services to conduct an economic and management feasibility study for an IT education and incubation platform in Luhansk Oblast, in partnership with Volodymyr Dahl East Ukrainian National University. This feasibility study is related to LOSA's request for assistance in creating conditions for development of the IT sector in Luhansk Oblast, tailored to the needs of its existing private sector industrial base.

SEA OF AZOV TOURISM GROWTH SECTOR ERA held two tourism product development training sessions, one on February 26–28 in Mariupol for 15 participants and one on March 3–5 in Berdiansk for 36 people, both led by Mr. Alexander Liiev, head of the Ukrainian Hospitality Industry Association. Tourism sector professionals from premier area hotels and sanatoria, tour operators, tourist destination representatives and local tourism authorities developed several ideas for new tourism products, building on the cultural diversity of the region. Regardless of the quarantine, ERA specialists continue as planned to support the first two groups with telephone and on-line consultations.

ERA’s signature tourism growth sector activity for this reporting period, the Ukrainian International Tourism Trade Fair in Kyiv scheduled for March 25–27, has unfortunately been postponed due to COVID-19 pandemic restrictions and rescheduled for September 1–3, conditions permitting.

ERA identified a specialist to conduct an inventory of tourist sites within 50 kilometers of the coastline as well as to revamp the websites of Meotyda and Pryazovskyi National Nature Parks and produce new tourist brochures. Concept Notes for both parks were approved for full grant application development. To support the process the ERA Infrastructure Team conducted site visits to the parks to assess the current state of assets and infrastructure, and to consider recommendations for improvement. Additionally, ERA is investigating ways to remotely offer hospitality training as well as interpretive planning training for managers of cultural, historic and ethnic heritage sites.

In February, ERA conducted focus group sessions on tourist service excellence issues with 20 tourism sector representatives. Some of the critical issues discussed related to youth migration out of the region and the need for sector-wide training to develop better tourism sector skills. In addition, the ERA team has developed a web-based survey aimed at identifying tourism sector skills required to improve services in the region. The survey will be conducted in spring 2020 in cooperation with DCCI.

VEGETABLES GROWTH SECTOR In February, ERA supported three eastern Ukrainian fruit and vegetable production and processing companies to attend the two largest food trade fairs in the world: FRUIT LOGISTICA in Berlin, Germany and Gulfood in Dubai, UAE. To maximize the effect of attending these international trade fairs, ERA assisted the companies to prepare with product development, certification, preparation of promotional materials, marketing and sales, and training and coaching sessions. Company representatives met potential clients at the fairs, presented their products and researched market requirements and competitors’ products. As an example of immediate results, LLC Sady Donbasu

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entered into preliminary export agreements of up to 550,000 USD for the 2020 apple harvest. To strengthen progress, the companies will make necessary upgrades including introducing new fruit varieties and marketing and packaging, and better quality and quantity of products on offer.

In addition, ERA assessed fruit and vegetable companies in the Azov Sea region. Fourteen companies were identified and interviewed to understand their current conditions and production capacity. Based on assessment results ERA decided to focus on consultancy support in areas such as: improvements in growing practices, harvesting techniques, storage, packaging practices, certification according to GLOBAL G.A.P. and HACCP standards, local and international markets. Depending on the companies’ positive performance, ERA will issue a targeted RFA in this area.

INVESTMENT ACCELERATION FOR MSMES

INVESTMENTS During the reporting period ERA received five bids responding to two RFPs published in mid-January for Transaction Advisory Services for Eastern Ukraine Small and Medium Enterprises, one for transactions worth less than $1 million and one for transactions worth more than $1 million. ERA expects to bring in over 4.5 million USD in investments to at least four eastern Ukrainian SMEs within the next two years. ERA anticipates launching the advisory service in the next reporting period.

ACCESS TO FINANCE As a result of ERA’s coordination with the Ministry of Economy’s Office for the Development of SMEs, the new Micro and Small Business Support National State Program “Available Credits 5–7– 9%” was presented to an assembly of representatives of the Kramatorsk business community on March 11. The program offers two options: 1) interest rate compensation on loans for micro and small enterprises, and 2) an opportunity to receive a loan guarantee of up to 50%. Almost 60 current and potential entrepreneurs who attended the event enthusiastically welcomed the new program while declaring plans to apply for business loans.

ERA actively cooperated with the USAID Competitive Economy Project (CEP) to develop a Concept Note for an investment fund that will provide financing to Ukrainian companies, including entities located in the higher-level risk area of eastern Ukraine. The investment fund's blended finance structure is designed to mitigate associated risks and encourage investment in the region. The possibilities to involve qualified fund managers and an anchor investor are also being investigated. As soon as conditions permit, ERA and CEP will organize an event to present the investment fund concept and involve all relevant local and international stakeholders.

TRANSFORMATION

DRIVING VISION

ERA held the 2nd Conference for Partner Cities and Consolidated Communities in Kramatorsk on January 31, inviting 35 municipal and community representatives where each participating community presented a summary of their vision, strategic plan and potential economic development projects. The ERA Transformation Team plans to continue supporting partner cities and communities in the creation of management systems for strategy implementation.

Through the highly participatory process of strategic economic development planning and implementation, the highest priority projects for all ERA partner cities and communities were

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identified. All these projects are in process of evaluation by the Transformation and Infrastructure teams. The Transformation Team is in close contact with all partner cities and communities, researching the current situation and the local response to the COVID-19 pandemic. ERA continued to work with local officials to review the strategies for potential changes in priorities in the rapidly changing situation.

LUHANSK GCA During January and February, ERA’s Transformation Team worked with oblast officials and working group members to finalize the Luhansk Oblast Economic Development Strategy 2021–2027 and its plan for implementation. In February, public discussions of the strategy were conducted in Starobilsk and Sievierodonetsk with the participation of many neighboring communities. On February 28 the Development Strategy 2020–2027 and Action Plan 2021–2023 for implementation were officially adopted. According to the new vision formed by the highly participatory, broad-based coalition, Luhansk Oblast promotes itself as a post-industrial development territory with a modern, high-tech chemical and agrarian industrial cluster, a developed engineering sector, and a socially united community with European values and historical traditions. The ERA Transformation Team will continue to support LOSA to create a management plan for the strategy's implementation, develop priority recommendations and select projects with the broadest economic impact for future near- term realization.

NORTHERN DONETSK GCA On January 15, the ERA Transformation and Construction teams, led by ERA’s chief engineer, conducted a technical inspection of the proposed site of the potential Donetsk Expo Center in Kramatorsk.

In January, February and March, ERA and DOSA, represented by the director of the Department for International Technical Assistance, Innovative Development and External Relations, held regularly scheduled coordination meetings to exchange updates, review progress and plan priorities for the next month.

During this period ERA's Transformation Team continued to support regional priorities identified by DOSA including development of a web-based Donetsk Investment Portal and assistance in developing the concept and plans for the Donetsk Investment Forum to be held in September 2020, conditions permitting. The investment portal will serve as a platform for SMEs, investors and local officials to promote and match their needs and accelerate the investment inflow to the region. ERA worked with DOSA technical staff to complete technical website documentation and prepare the RFP.

DONETSK GCA On March 12, the ERA Transformation Team, together with EU4Business and GermanWatch projects, organized the “Economic Diversification, Potential, Strategies, and Instruments for Coal Cities in Donetsk Oblast” workshop. The goal of the workshop was to facilitate close coordination between seven municipalities which have formed a partnership with the oblast administration, the national government through the Ministry of Regional Development, and the international development community in eastern Ukraine to support the coal mining cities of the region in their economic transformation. The Coal Cities Platform has united seven municipalities in Donetsk Oblast: , , , Pokrovsk, , , and .

ERA together with GermanWatch and EU4Business will prepare a roadmap for creating an economic transformation strategy for the coal cities in Donetsk Oblast.

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MARIUPOL On January 27, during the first workshop on Mariupol strategy development 2021–2030, ERA and Mariupol City Council agreed that ERA will provide overall coordination of the strategic planning process, the general applied methodology, international expertise and facilitation of the strategic planning working groups “Transformation” and “City Design” via trainings as direct interventions or through ERA grantee the Ukrainian Leadership Academy, as well as a youth forum and an open-air festival. Following the workshop, the Community Coalition Forum for 146 people organized by Mariupol municipality took place on January 28. ERA COP Michael Pillsbury and DG-East COP Michael Stievater presented the guiding principles of USAID support collaboration, transparency, and inclusion.

The ERA-supported Mariupol Center of Support and Development of SMEs (SME Center) started its work, initiating a number of public events including a presentation of the new national credit program "5–7–9%" on March 12, informing local MSMEs about consultation opportunities, grant and credit programs in eastern Ukraine. The center plans to help the city council operate the Mariupol MSME grant fund of 1.5 million UAH in 2020. The SME Center is ready to adapt in response to the pandemic and quarantine restrictions and is supporting distribution of a series of information materials with tips on how to work in a crisis, explanation of changes in the legislation and taxation, and providing direct case-by-case consultations.

AZOV SEA COAST In the Sea of Azov coast region the Transformation Team identified several high-priority, community based tourism growth sector-related design and infrastructure projects for potential further research and development including: Mariupol Municipal Trading SAF (small architecture form); Design of Pischanka Beach in Mariupol; Reconstruction of Berdiansk Seawall Promenade; Berdiansk Tourist Scenic Viewpoint, and Melitopol Industrial and Park Expo Center.

COMMUNICATION

The ERA Communications Team managed planning and implementation of ERA’s public outreach strategy and all media activities on local, regional and national levels. The goal of the communication team is to draw the general public’s attention to the eastern region, disseminate information about ERA activities and opportunities that ERA offers to support professional and business development, and attract investments that create new opportunities for all people in the region and revitalize the eastern Ukraine economy.

During the reporting period, the Communications Team supported 53 public events that were highlighted in regional and national media with a total audience of 1,104,679 people, in addition to the Facebook pages of ERA, USAID, implementing partners and stakeholders. Overall, during the reporting period ERA produced 86 news posts on the ERA Facebook page, reaching over 126,100 users with 27,706 engagements. To increase ERA’s exposure to the international community, ERA launched a monthly newsletter featuring success stories and examples of interventions to improve eastern Ukraine’s economy. The newsletter is distributed to USAID and its implementing partners, OTI, UNDP, the Friedrich Ebert Fund and other international stakeholders.

During the reporting period the Communications Team worked closely with 16 ERA grantees to support brand development and marketing plans, outreach materials design, publications and video materials production. Overall, the ERA Communications Team provided approximately 200 consultations to ERA beneficiaries covering public relations, publications review and design of outreach materials.

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ERA focused its communication and outreach efforts through close coordination with the GoU (Cabinet of Ministers, Ministry of Education and Science), regional government officials (DOSA and LOSA) and USAID partner DG-East. All public outreach and communications were facilitated under a joint approach with DG-East through the communications campaign “DAWN of Opportunities / СХІД Можливостей ”.

SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT

INITIATIVES AND PROJECT DEVELOPMENT

During this quarter, the Transformation Team identified 37 community identified, high- priority infrastructure projects as viable for potential development into full Concept Notes and candidates for submission to USAID and approval for design and construction.

In February, the ERA Infrastructure Team conducted several site visits to assess potential projects for feasibility and strategic fit: Melitopol Industrial Park and Expo Center, Design of Pischanka Beach in Mariupol, Reconstruction of Berdiansk Seawall Promenade, Berdiansk Scenic Viewpoint, and the proposed DOSA Expo Center. The Transformation Team is evaluating these potential projects for compatibility with the overall objectives of ERA. An initial evaluation tool used by the Transformation Team is the ERA Infrastructure Questionnaire that focuses on relevant infrastructure requirements and social data, completed by proposed beneficiaries.

WORKPLAN REVISIONS

In February, ERA submitted Infrastructure Concept Notes for the Pedestrian Bridge and Lyman Waste Sorting Line projects, formally requesting their removal from the Year 2 Workplan as they do not align well with ERA’s processes and primary objectives.

Two projects from the Year 2 Workplan were approved for contracting. The design of the Phytosanitary Laboratory project in Rubizhne is 90% complete, however an independent design expert review is required by Ukrainian law and ERA is in the process of tendering the expert review.

In addition, ERA received USAID approval for a complete design for the Spalah IT Club Thermal Envelope Upgrade.

ERA separated the Luhansk National Agrarian University (LNAU) Renovation project into the following three phases for better manageability and increased risk control: 1) replacement of doors and windows; 2) upgrade of the thermal envelope; 3) upgrade and partial replacement of roof systems and campus-wide heating systems. Design work is 90% complete and the expert review procurement underway.

Finally, the ERA Infrastructure Team conducted a site visit in February to the Vuhledar Market project which is in the process of completing a scope of self-financed construction activity planned before the proposed potential ERA intervention. The current construction work is scheduled for completion during the next quarter, at which point ERA and Vuhledar ci ty officials will meet again at the market site for further preparation of a full Infrastructure Concept Note.

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III. PROGRESS AGAINST TARGETS

The following table presents Year Two, Quarter 2 achievements towards ERA performance indicators. For details, including disaggregation of each performance indicator, see Annexes 1.1 through 1.3

FY2 TO FY2 PERFORMANCE INDICATOR FY2 Q1 FY2 Q2 DATE TARGET

1.2 Number of individual beneficiaries from vulnerable 1,412 849 2,261 2,500 and hard-to-reach populations in the target regions

GNDR-2 Percentage of female participants in USG- 62% 61% 1 61% 2 30% assisted programs designed to increase access to productive economic resources (assets, credit, income or employment).

2.1 Total amount of new investments secured by $2,696,624 $1,933,427 $4,630,051 $5,000,000 MSMEs supported by USAID

2.2 Number of individuals with new or better 190 159 349 2,000 employment as a result of USAID assistance

CC.1 Number of people trained during the Activity 1,390 818 2,208 1,800

CC.2 Number of beneficiaries utilizing new practices, 565 373 938 1,150 techniques, or business management skills as a result of USAID assistance

CC.3 Achievements made toward leveraging 9 1 29 3 25 Government of Ukraine (GoU), private sector and other donors funds

1 Numerator = 515, denominator = 849 2 Numerator = 1,386, denominator = 2,261 3 Cumulative number of achievements starting from the beginning of the Activity

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IV. PERFORMANCE MONITORING, EVALUATION AND LEARNING

AMELP REVISION During the reporting period, the MEL team revised and resubmitted the AMELP based on feedback from USAID on February 3 and March 11. After discussion with USAID, ERA has dropped the performance indicator 3.1 Number of contacts made through information and communication events and will no longer report on it along with other performance indicators, but will still keep track of media outreach and attendance of information and communication events organized both directly by ERA and by ERA grantees and partners. In addition, ERA has updated the Public Outreach Strategy where the main ERA outreach measurement approaches are described. ERA will also include questions on information campaign visibility and perception in the Activity’s mid- and end-life surveys for the performance indicator 3.2 Percent of population in target communities who think that in five years there will be more or better economic opportunities in the region which allow residents to stay/live in the region and will conduct focus group discussions if needed to capture more qualitative results of information campaign implementation. USAID approved the revised AMELP on March 26, 2020.

Currently, at the request of USAID, the MEL team is developing the additional standard performance indicator CBLD-9 Percentage of U.S. Government–assisted organizations with improved performance , which will be introduced to AMELP and submitted for USAID review during the next quarter.

SPECIAL STUDIES MARKET SYSTEMS RESILIENCE ASSESSMENT (MSRA) Due to the technical team lead of the Market Systems Resilience Assessment (MSRA) leaving the project in mid-January, ERA put its MSRA work on hold. In the middle of March ERA identified a replacement team lead with 25 years of market systems development experience, including development of resilience frameworks for USAID projects in Africa and Asia, and work will be recommenced in April.

ECONOMIC SHARE OF VALUE CHAINS AND CROSS-CUTTING SECTORS IN EASTERN OBLASTS ASSISTED BY USAID During the reporting quarter a hired economist consultant completed a baseline assessment of the economic share of value chains and cross-cutting sectors in eastern oblasts assisted by USAID, required for the similarly-named ERA performance indicator. The consultant made the assessment based on available preliminary official and expert data from 2018 and will update estimations based on final official data, which became available at the end of March 2020. ERA will finalize the assessment report and submit it to USAID by the first part of May.

PAUSE AND REFLECT SESSIONS

PAUSE AND REFLECT ON GENDER AND VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT AND INCLUSION On January 16 in Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast, ERA conducted the ERA Vulnerable Populations Integration Pause and Reflect Session which engaged staff and colleagues from USAID DG-East and the USAID mission. During this event, the ERA Inclusion Te am presented the following key findings of the Vulnerability and Gender Integration Strategy:

1. Many vulnerable groups are exposed to similar economic stressors, such as unemployment and loss of business.

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2. Some groups, such as LGBTQI and the Roma minority, face unique discrimination such as homophobia and social exclusion.

3. There are cases of intersectionality among the researched groups, meaning that there are mutually reinforcing forms of marginalization. For example, hosting communities often intersect with IDPs, or women of 55+ with unemployed.

4. Problems identified among the observed groups often lay outside ERA’s scope of influence, such as legal documentation issues within the Roma population and access to medicine for LGBTQI community representatives.

As previously mentioned in this report and based on feedback and results of subsequent focus group discussions, the ERA research team is developing a gender-vulnerable population guide for the ERA team and will finalize the guide after receiving final comments on the Gender and Vulnerability Integration Strategy from USAID.

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V. LESSONS LEARNED

Several examples of responsive adaptive management have been demonstrated throughout the reporting quarter:

Due to quarantine measures in Ukraine, the ERA/DRC team cannot perform physical site visits to potential grantee locations and assess their capacity and premises. Since March 18, to maintain progress, all necessary site visits have been conducted via phone interviews with potential grantees who supplied live and e-mailed photos of premises where proposed business activities to be supported by grant implementation is anticipated.

The ERA Transformation Team responsible for preparing the path of the Mariupol 2021–2030 strategy—a comprehensive and sophisticated process requiring delicate coordination with the Mayor’s office and senior city council and department representatives, ERA consultants and staff, DG-East colleagues and external experts—decided to organize a biweekly coordination web-call with DG-East and Mariupol city council for the next 2–3 months. The decision was based on the working example of and consultation with the ERA/DRC Grants Team.

The responsive grant implementation analysis has been continuously utilized for better grant planning and capacity-building support for less experienced grantees:

The Renewable Energy. Switching Heating Systems in Greenhouses to Alternative Fuel (G-Kra-001) grant evaluation revealed a number of bottlenecks due to the supplier’s poor performance, causing the installation and commissioning of new greenhouse heating equipment to be postponed until October, when the 2019 season was almost over. This fact did not allow the grantee and ERA to collect all the necessary data and evidence of the grant’s economic impact. The criteria for choosing an equipment supplier should be adjusted to give priority to the supplier’s quality and technical capabilities, and not just the price. It is important to note seasonality in agriculture-related grants and the significant constraints placed by the growing season on project implementation, as equipment should be installed and put into operation between two heating seasons: late winter–early spring/late autumn–early winter, allowing some time for trial and adjustment as mistakes could cause significant losses to projected yields.

The ERA M&E department, with assistance from the DRC team, conducted phone monitoring of ERA grantee Grand Expert beneficiaries who participated in a field training session on the Grand Expert system and its usage in rural areas. Overall, the interviews revealed a noticeable (in contrast to other ERA activities monitored in the same period) amount of negative feedback from interviewees stating that the training did not meet expectations while providing very general information about the Grand Expert system. A detailed feedback report has been provided to the grant technical team with recommendations to communicate results to the grantee and organize a joint discussion on correction of grant implementation, aimed at improving the quality of training sessions. As a constructive response, ERA technical specialists initiated a series of steps agreed with the grantee, e.g. to substitute the trainer in Donetsk Oblast, to let ERA professionals review the training format and presentation materials used for a rather conservative audience, as well as to consider producing video clips with guidelines on registration in the Grand Expert system to be widely disseminated via online channels.

In March, ERA conducted a re-evaluation of the status of grant package development and the viability of grant packages being successfully processed in the near-term. Consideration for the grant pipeline included:

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a) The majority of grants to businesses and local government organizations have a construction component and/or require in-kind donation of goods and services.

b) In-kind grants can take longer to develop and implement than other grant types. These grants require a significant amount of market research for the items to be considered for an in-kind grant. Once an in-kind grant is approved, the procurement process can be lengthy especially for highly specialized goods that are not readily available in Ukraine.

c) In accordance with DAI internal policies In-kind grants with donation of IT equipment require ICT Assessment (long or short form) that must be reviewed and approved by DAI OIMT Technical Approval Group. It takes around two weeks to develop and approve an ICT Assessment which influence the time for grant preparation.

d) Grants that require an ERC make the grant development and approval process longer.

ERA prioritized Fixed Amount Award grants (FAA grants) to NGOs that are strategically important and can be processed quickly and efficiently.

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VI. ADMINISTRATION

Recruitment efforts to strengthen Technical and Operations teams continued for three field offices.

As of March 31, 2020, the Activity had a total of 82 full-time staff members, including 66 employees hired directly by ERA, twelve staff hired by DRC, three by FHI360, and one by CDM Engineering. All new hires were given customized orientation and systems training upon arrival.

Through the next quarter of implementation, as Activity interventions continue to scale up, recruitment will be focused on further expanding the teams in Kramatorsk (IT Sector Lead, Inclusion Network Coordinator, Grants Officer, Finance Manager to replace one who recently resigned, Finance Assistant, HR Officer and ICT Assistant), Sievierodonetsk (SME Development Officer, Procurement Officer), and Mariupol (Tourism Development Sector Lead, MEL Officer).

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VII. SUB-AWARD DETAILS

ERA has identified a potential 17 FAA grants for further development. These grants will put ERA on the path to reach technical objectives, help obligate the largest amount of funding possible to grantees, and significantly increase the burn rate under our grants component.

ERA has also identified a list of eight grants that involve in-kind donations or equipment that are in the final stages of development. In addition, the ERA team will work on the ERA RFA–002 for beekeeping input suppliers “Increasing access to inputs for beekeeping SMEs in Luhansk, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts.”

The following eight grants of USD 841,534 were approved by USAID during this quarter:

Grant Approv Component Amount Organization and Grant Description al Date and Sector USD

Global Compact Network Ukraine grant to assist in creating an Inclusion/ Increasing 3-Jan $236,033 online IT educational program for vulnerable populations and capabilities students

State Vocational Educational Institution “Kramatorsk Center for Technical and Vocational Education” grant to create additional Inclusion/ Increasing opportunities for graduates of the Kramatorsk Center for 09-Jan $149,992 capabilities Technical and Vocational Education to develop practical skills by reinforcing technical skills of the workshop center for selected specialties

Velykonovosilkivskyi Vocational Lyceum grant to create additional Inclusion/ Increasing opportunities to develop practical skills of lyceum graduates by 13-Jan $76,030 capabilities modernizing the technical approach for the “Vehicle Service Technician. Category C driver” specialization

Private Entrepreneur Seheda Olha Volodymyrivna grant to assist Inclusion/ Increasing 23-Jan $12,695 the private medical practice to expand its range of services and opportunities improve their quality

NGO Youth Movement "SHIFT" grant to create additional Inclusion/ Increasing 5-Mar $55,587 possibilities for non-educated youth to learn and practice craft capabilities skills through access to an art-coworking space in Kramatorsk

NGO East Donbas Regional Development Agency grant to Inclusion/ Increasing 26-Mar $102,905 reduce gender inequality among rural women by enhancing capabilities business and law competencies

Ukrainian United Credit Union grant to increase the capacity of Growth/Investment local credit unions operating in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts by 27-Mar $145,854 acceleration providing credit support to their members through an injection of liquidity.

State Higher Education Institution Pryazovskyi State Technical Inclusion/ Increasing University grant to assist in establishing the ‘Univer’ vocational 31-Mar $62,438 opportunities education coworking center—a new form of vocational educational space for common use

By the end of the reporting period, several other grant applications were under development or pending USAID approval, including:

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 LLC Online Ukraine grant to expand its market reach by providing Internet services to residents of localities in and Raions (Donetsk Oblast) that have suffered the most from the armed conflict (approx. $48,469)

 Terre des Hommes grant to increase participation of non-educated youth in the Ukrainian economy by strengthening Vocational Education Training (VET) and raising youth employability and entrepreneurial skills with a focus on digital and IT competences (approx. $450,000)

Vocational Lyceum grant to establish a welding training center (approx. $148,404)

 Mariupol Vocational Motor Transport Lyceum grant to improve practical knowledge and skills of students obtaining the specialties of "Maintenance fitter" and "Wheeled vehicles fitter” through technical modernization of training facilities and upgrading the curricula to enhance their employment opportunities (approx. $147,269)

 LLC INTECO grant to open an innovative manufacturing line of healthy eco products (approx. $68,332)

 Private Entrepreneur Matkovska Snizhana Vasylivna grant to expand the range of “Relax” café (Popasna) services by providing catering and food delivery services (approx. $14,347)

 Private Entrepreneur Kostenko Serhii Viktorovych grant to open a hairdresser's salon (approx. $7,000).

 Private Enterpreneur Pliushch Oleksandr Yevhenovych grant to modernize a gym in Avdiivka (approx. 31,086)

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