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The 2020 Guide To Trends And Technology For Smart Cities And Transportation THE ROAD TO MOBILITY First Edition: The Road to Mobility The 2020 Guide to Trends and Technology for Smart Cities and Transportation Published by BlackBerry Limited, 2200 University Ave, E Waterloo, ON Canada N2K 047 ©2020 BlackBerry Limited. Trademarks, including but not limited to BLACKBERRY, EMBLEM Design, CYLANCE and QNX are the trademarks or registered trademarks of BlackBerry Limited, its subsidiaries and/or affiliates, used under license, and the exclusive rights to such trademarks are expressly reserved. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. To download PDF or e-book copies of the First Edition: The Road to Mobility visit: http://blackberry.com/roadtomobility2020 Thanks to: Edited By: Jeffrey Davis, Anthony Freed Copy Editor: Carla Johnson Project Manager: Swetha Sirupa Executive Sponsor: Mark Wilson Designer: Douglas Kraus Read Blogs.BlackBerry.com, and follow us on Twitter (@BlackBerry) and LinkedIn (https://www.linkedin.com/company/blackberry/) 2 | THE ROAD TO MOBILITY THE ROAD TO MOBILITY | 3 Table of Contents SECTION 3 Bottlenecks to Change .................................................................................72 The Elephant in the Room: Shifting Culture from Competition to Collaboration ...............................................................................74 Mobility Explodes Opportunities for Automotive. Let’s Seize the Moment. ......6 Faye Francy, Automotive ISAC John Chen, BlackBerry Challenges to Smart Mobility and Smart Cities .................................................80 The World of Smart Mobility ..................................................................................8 Roger C. Lanctot, Strategy Analytics Charles Eagan, BlackBerry. Keeping Safety at the Forefront of Automotive Advancements .......................88 Yi Zheng, BlackBerry SECTION 1 Using Artificial Intelligence to Boost Connected Vehicle Security ...................94 Creating a World of Safe, Secure and Smart Mobility ...................................10 Ashkan Amiri and Andrew Walenstein, BlackBerry Shifting from Conventional Transportation to Mobility on Demand .................12 Underthinking Cybersecurity: Performance Pitfalls for Shailen Bhatt, Intelligent Transportation Society of America Autonomous Vehicles ..........................................................................................98 Pete Herzog, ISECOM Safety as Standard: The Future of Smart Mobility .............................................20 Karen Lightman, Metro21: Smart Cities Institute Connected and Autonomous Vehicles: Policy, Performance and Peace of Mind .......................................................................108 The Now and the Near: How Futuristic Work Parham Eftekhari and Drew Spaniel, ICIT Improves Transportation Today ...........................................................................26 Tina Quigley, Virgin Trains USA Forging the Path for Automotive Safety Standardization ................................118 Chris Hobbs, BlackBerry SECTION 2 The Impact of Culture on Connected and Autonomous Vehicles ...................128 Kai Roer, CLTRe Emerging Technologies Shaping Mobility ....................................................34 Safety and Security Culture for Automotive Innovation ..................................136 Security Confidence Through Artificial Intelligence and Machine Adam Boulton, BlackBerry Learning for Smart Mobility .................................................................................36 Jeffrey Davis, with the BlackBerry Cylance Data Science Team SECTION 4 Intelligent Transportation Systems: Hurdles, Hopes and Highpoints .............44 Widening the Road Less Traveled ..............................................................138 Jim Alfred, BlackBerry Connecting the Dots: Transportation Management Systems, The Signal and the Noise: The Car of the Future as a Software Platform .......50 Connected and Autonomous Vehicles ..............................................................140 John Wall, BlackBerry Marsia C.Marisa Ramon and Victor Murray, Southwest Research Institute Next Generation Vehicle Architectures ..............................................................58 Swimming Upstream: Securing Automotive Supply Chains Grant Courville, BlackBerry Against Cybersecurity Threats .........................................................................150 Roadblocks and Pathways to the Adoption of Vehicle Electrification .............64 Ken Obuszewski, BlackBerry Dr. Austin Brown, University of California, Davis Technology Choices for OEMs ..........................................................................156 Kaivan Karimi, BlackBerry Digital Transformation Lessons for the Automotive Industry .........................162 Val Mukherjee, Cyber Future Foundation Endnotes ..............................................................................................................168 4 | THE ROAD TO MOBILITY THE ROAD TO MOBILITY | 5 Mobility Explodes Opportunities for Automotive. Let’s Seize the Moment. John Chen, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer BlackBerry he future of transportation has captured people’s imagination with its possibilities. Technology is enabling its transformation through expanded T mobility options, smarter energy sources, and an underlying physical and technical infrastructure. Instead of thinking of cars as products to own, we’re shifting mindsets toward transportation as a service with advancements like autonomous vehicles. The global autonomous vehicle market accounted for US $27.9 billion in 2017. Forecasters expect a compounded annual growth rate of 41.5 percent through 2026, which would boost the market to US $615 billion. Add to that, autonomous vehicle adoption could reach 15 percent of global light vehicle sales by 2030. While this progress toward modern mobility sounds positive, it comes with a multitude of complexities. A survey from the Ponemon Institute shows that 62 percent of auto manufacturers surveyed believe that they’ll experience a malicious attack on their software or components within the next 12 months. Another consideration that the Ponemon research brought to light is that 84 percent of automakers and their suppliers aren’t sure that cybersecurity practices are keeping pace with evolving technologies. Thirty percent of survey respondents Institute at Carnegie Mellon University, Virgin Trains USA, the University of California, said they do not have an established product cybersecurity program or team. Davis, ISAC, Strategy Analytics, ISECOM, ICIT, CLTRea, Southwest Research Institute, Further, 63 percent test less than half of their hardware, software and other and Cyber Future Foundation and Davos Cyber Future Dialogue. technologies for vulnerabilities. After reading this guide, I invite you to visit the Automotive section of the There’s plenty that the automotive industry can control. But, do you know what Inside BlackBerry Blog at https://blogs.blackberry.com/en/category/industries/ steps you can take to avoid the potential damage cyberthreats can cause to your automotive for other helpful resources, follow us on Twitter @BlackBerry and organization? To get started, I suggest you read this guide book, The Road to Mobility: LinkedIn to learn more about automotive security, and continue the conversation The 2020 Guide to Trends and Technology for Smart Cities and Transportation. with one of the BlackBerry QNX or security experts on our team. The pages that follow provide a look into the future plus technical expertise from BlackBerry experts in automotive technology and security. We’ve also included insights from industry authorities and partners from ITSA, Metro21: Smart Cities 6 | THE ROAD TO MOBILITY THE ROAD TO MOBILITY | 7 The World of Smart Mobility world requires specific laws and regulations to govern the interactions between conventional cars, pedestrians and autonomous vehicles, as well as the data that can be derived from all of it. BlackBerry Smart Mobility Team The focus on laws and regulations should not be taken lightly. Cars are shifting from hardware machines to software platforms. As they become hyper- ur world is getting smarter and more connected day by day. Your connected, they collect and analyze a great deal of information – not only about smartphone controls your smart home. Your smart refrigerator orders how you drive and where, but about the content that travels over a complex, Ogroceries. Your smart doorbell lets you know when your guests arrive. interconnected network. Smart lighting helps you relax. And your smart thermostat makes sure you’re This information is key to increasing the safety of drivers, passengers and others comfortable while you move from room to room. on the road. It improves response time, helps avoid dangerous conditions and To a city, smart means better serving citizens, getting them to work in a safer, heightens the performance of the car. But, as more data is collected, consumers more reliable fashion, burning less fossil fuel, and building technology that fits rightfully become concerned about privacy. What if my new software-defined their unique culture. For a technology company, it means an opportunity to refine car gets hacked? data and use it for additional productivity. For an automaker, it means finding a It is this attention to safety and privacy that has amplified interest in security new business model that fits with everchanging
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