The Granite State Poll

February 28, 2020

SUNUNU REMAINS POPULAR; HOLDS LEADS OVER DEMOCRATIC CHALLENGERS FOR GOVERNOR By: Sean P. McKinley, M.A. [email protected] Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603-862-2226 Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center DURHAM, NH – A majority of New Hampshire residents approve of Chris Sununu's performance as Governor but disapproval is rising. Sununu holds clear leads over prospec ve Democra c challengers State Senate Majority Leader Dan Feltes and Execu ve Councilor Andru Volinsky, who are not at all well known in the state. Nearly three-quarters of residents think the state is headed in the right direc on and a plurality con nue to believe that the drug crisis is the most important problem facing the state.

These ﬁndings are based on the latest Granite State Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Six hundred eleven (611) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 19 and February 25, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.0 percent. Included in the sample were 576 likely general elec on voters (MSE +/- 4.1%).

Gubernatorial Approval

With nine months to go before the November elec on, a majority of Granite Staters con nue to approve of New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu's performance, but disapproval is at its highest point in Sununu's governorship. Fi y-seven percent of New Hampshire residents approve of Sununu's performance as Governor, 27% disapprove, and 16% neither approve nor disapprove or don't know. The percentage of those who approve of Sununu's job performance is largely unchanged since April 2019.

Gubernatorial Approval - Chris Sununu

100% Strongly Approve Approve Somewhat 90% 25% Lean Approve 28% 28% 27% Neither/DK 80% Lean Disapprove Disapprove Somewhat 70% Strongly Disapprove

60% 66% 29% 27% 62% 61% 61% 61% 28% 27% 60% 59% 60% 59% 57% 57% 57% 50%

40% 42% 16% 15% 21% 17% 30%

25% 27% 20% 23% 5% 21%22% 22% 10% 9% 17%17% 13% 17% 16% 15% 16% 8% 10% 13% 12% 13% 8% 7% 0%

Feb 2017 Aug 2017 Feb 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Aug 2019 Feb 2020 Apr Aug Oct Feb 2019 2019 2019 2020 Approve Disapprove

* We ask that this copyrighted informa on be referred to as the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Eighty-four percent of New Hampshire Republicans approve of the job Sununu is doing while 60% of Independents and 31% of Democrats approve.

Those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016, conserva ve radio listeners, self-described conserva ves, and those who a end religious services once or twice a week or more o en are most likely to approve of Sununu's performance. Self-described liberals, those who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016, those who never a end religious services, NHPR listeners, those who have completed postgraduate work, and those aged 18 to 34 are least likely to approve of Sununu's performance.

Job Approval - Governor Chris Sununu - By Party Iden ﬁca on

100%

84% 80%

60% 60% 58% 57%

42% 40% 39% 31%

28% 20%

Feb 2017 May 2017 Aug 2017 Nov 2017 Feb 2018 May 2018 Aug 2018 Nov 2018 Feb 2019 May 2019 Aug 2019 Nov 2019 Feb 2020

OVERALL Democrat Independent Republican

On a scale where "strongly approve" equals 7 and "strongly disapprove" equals 1, Sununu's average approval score (4.7) has declined over the past four quarters from a high of 5.2 in the ninth quarter of his governorship. Sununu's approval score is slightly higher than that of his predecessor Maggie Hassan (4.5) at the same point in her governorship, but lower than former Governor John Lynch's level of support at the same point in his governorship (5.5).

Gubernatorial Average Approval Score by Quarters Into Governorship (7=Strongly Approve, 1= Strongly Disapprove)

6 5.5 5.4 5 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.6 4.5 4.3 4 4.2 4.0

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34

Quarters into Governorship

Jeanne Shaheen Craig Benson John Lynch Maggie Hassan Chris Sununu Favorability Ra ngs - Governor Chris Sununu

Just over half of New Hampshire residents (55%) have a favorable opinion of Sununu, 22% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 13% are neutral, and 10% don't know or are unsure. Sununu's personal favorability is largely unchanged over the most of his governorship.

Those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016, self-described conserva ves, conserva ve radio listeners, those who a end religious services once or twice a month or more o en, those aged 65 and older, those who are re red or not working, and WMUR viewers are most likely to have a favorable opinion of Sununu. Self-described liberals, those who did not vote in 2016 or voted for Hillary Clinton, those aged 18 to 34, NHPR listeners, those who never a end religious services, and those who have never been married are least likely to have a favorable opinion of Sununu.

Favorability - Chris Sununu

100%

80%

59% 60% 56% 56% 56% 56% 52% 55% 56% 53% 52%

37% 40% 42% 28% 28% 28% 26% 25% 32% 20% 21% 27% 17% 19% 22% 20% 22% 15% 19% 19% 17% 16% 17% 14% 15% 14%

Apr 2015 Dec 2015 Aug 2016 Apr 2017 Dec 2017 Aug 2018 Apr 2019 Dec 2019 Net Favorability Ra ng - Governor Chris Sununu

Sununu's net favorability ra ng, the percentage of people who have a favorable opinion minus the percentage who have an unfavorable opinion, is +33%, largely unchanged since August 2019 (+34%). Sununu's net favorability ra ng among Republicans (+73%) has remained largely consistent over the course of his governorship while his net favorability among Independents (+50%) has increased since August 2019 (+37%). Sununu's favorability among Democrats (-13%) remains lower than earlier in his governorship.

Net Favorability Ra ng - Chris Sununu Net Favorability = (% Favorable - % Unfavorable)

100%

73%

50% 50% 32% 33% 24% 14% 0% -8% -13%

-50%

-100%

Apr 2015 Dec 2015 Aug 2016 Apr 2017 Dec 2017 Aug 2018 Apr 2019 Dec 2019

OVERALL Democrat Independent Republican Two prospec ve Democra c challengers have declared their inten on to challenge Sununu for the Governor's oﬃce in November: State Senate Majority Leader Dan Feltes and Execu ve Councilor Andru Volinsky. However, both candidates are not at all well known in the state. Ten percent of Granite Staters have a favorable opinion of Volinsky, 11% are neutral, 7% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 72% don't know or are unsure. Eleven percent have a favorable opinion of Feltes, 11% are neutral, 6% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 71% don't know or are unsure.

Among self-described Democrats, 16% have a favorable opinion of Volinsky, 12% are neutral, 7% have an unfavorable opinion, and 65% don't know or are unsure. Among this group, 15% have a favorable opinion of Feltes, 13% are neutral, 6% have an unfavorable opinion, and 65% don't know or are unsure.

Favorability - Democra c Gubernatorial Candidates

Andru Volinsky 10% 11% 7% 72%

Dan Feltes 11% 11% 6% 71%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don't Know/Not Sure

Governor Sununu holds signiﬁcant leads over both prospec ve Democra c challengers. In a hypothe cal general elec on contest between Volinsky and Sununu, 54% of Granite State likely voters support Sununu, 29% support Volinsky, 3% would vote for another candidate, and 13% don't know or are undecided. In a contest between Sununu and Feltes, 56% support Sununu, 27% support Feltes, 4% would vote for someone else, and 14% don't know or are unsure.

In February 2018, Sununu held slightly smaller leads over prospec ve Democra c challengers Steve Marchand, Mark Connolly, and Colin van Ostern by fourteen, twelve, and ten percentage points respec vely.

Sununu vs. Poten al Democra c Opponents

56% 54%

50%

40%

30% 29% 27%

20%

13% 14%

10%

3% 4%

0% Chris Sununu Andru Volinsky Other DK/Undecided Chris Sununu Dan Feltes Other DK/Undecided NH Heading in Right Direc on or On Wrong Track

Granite Staters con nue to believe the state is headed in the right direc on. Seventy-three percent of Granite Staters say things in NH are generally going in the right direc on, while 17% say things are seriously oﬀ on the wrong track and 10% don't know or are unsure.

NH Right Track – Wrong Track

100%

80% 73%

60% 62%

40%

29%

20% 17%

0% Craig Benson John Lynch Maggie Hassan Chris Sununu

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Right Direction Wrong Track

Op mism about the state's future is bipar san: 82% of Independents, 81% of Republicans, and 61% of Democrats feel the state is headed in the right direc on. Op mism among Independents is at its highest ever point and this is the ﬁrst me that Independents are more op mis c about the state's direc on than Republicans and Democrats.

NH Right Track - By Party ID

100%

82% 81% 80%

76% 73% 62% 60% 61% 58%

48% 40%

20%

0% Craig Benson John Lynch Maggie Hassan Chris Sununu

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Democrat Independent Republican OVERALL Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

The drug crisis remains the most important problem facing the state, but is well below the level of concern reported in 2017 and 2018. Thirty-ﬁve percent of Granite Staters believe the drug crisis is the most important problem facing New Hampshire, 10% say that jobs or the economy is the most important problem, 8% cite health care, 7% men on educa on, 4% men on taxes, and less than 1% say the state budget is the most important problem. Thirty percent of respondents men on another problem while 6% don't know or are unsure.

Central/Lakes Region residents, and those who a end religious services once a week or more o en are more likely than others to say the drug crisis is the most important problem facing the state, while North Country residents, those who have completed postgraduate work, Union Leader readers, and those aged 65 and older are less likely to say so.

February 2020 35% 10% 8% 7% 4% 30% 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Drugs Healthcare Taxes Other Jobs/Economy Education State Budget Don't Know/Not Sure

50% 49%

40%

35%

30%

20%

15%

10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7%

0% 0% 0%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Drugs Healthcare State Budget Jobs/Economy Education Taxes Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Six hundred eleven (611) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 19 and February 25, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.0 percent. Included in the sample were 576 likely general elec on voters (MSE +/- 4.1%). These MSE’s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.2%.

The random sample used in the Granite State Poll was purchased from Scien ﬁc Telephone Samples (STS), Rancho Santo Margarita, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the eﬃciency of the sample, reducing the amount of me interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. When a landline number is reached, the interviewer randomly selects a member of the household by asking to speak with the adult currently living in the household who has had the most recent birthday. This selec on process ensures that every adult (18 years of age or older) in the household has an equal chance of being included in the survey.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Addi onally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as to party registra on targets es mated by the New Hampshire Secretary of State. In addi on to poten al sampling error, all surveys have other poten al sources of non-sampling error including ques on order eﬀects, ques on wording eﬀects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabula on tables as some respondents choose not to answer some ques ons.

For more informa on about the methodology used in the Granite State Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at [email protected].

Granite State Poll, Winter 2020 Demographics

N % Sex of Respondent Female 311 51% Male 300 49% Age of Respondent 18 to 34 160 27% 35 to 49 128 22% 50 to 64 189 32% 65 and older 117 20% Level of Education High school or less 159 26% Technical school/Some college 249 41% College graduate 122 20% Postgraduate work 75 12% Region of State Central / Lakes 110 18% Connecticut Valley 76 12% Manchester Area 104 17% Mass Border 158 26% North Country 64 10% Seacoast 100 16% Registered to Vote Reg. Democrat 151 25% Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 297 49% Reg. Republican 159 26% Party ID Democrat 247 42% Independent 114 19% Republican 230 39% Congressional First Congressional District 316 52% District Second Congressional District 295 48% Gubernatorial Approval

Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Sununu is handling his job as Governor?

Approve Disapprove Neither/DK N February 2017 42% 13% 45% 476 May 2017 57% 17% 26% 502 August 2017 62% 16% 22% 484 October 2017 61% 15% 24% 540 February 2018 61% 17% 21% 500 April 2018 60% 17% 24% 329 August 2018 61% 21% 17% 486 October 2018 59% 22% 20% 622 February 2019 66% 16% 18% 592 April 2019 57% 22% 21% 529 August 2019 60% 23% 17% 483 October 2019 59% 25% 15% 507 February 2020 57% 27% 16% 582

Favorability Ra ng - Governor Chris Sununu

Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people who have been in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don’t know enough about him or her to say. Governor (Execu ve Councilor) Chris Sununu?

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don't Know/Not Sure N February 2016 25% 13% 19% 43% 684 May 2016 28% 12% 19% 40% 618 August 2016 28% 10% 27% 36% 467 October 2016 32% 7% 37% 24% 767 February 2017 42% 19% 17% 22% 502 May 2017 52% 17% 17% 14% 514 October 2017 56% 17% 15% 13% 570 February 2018 56% 14% 15% 14% 519 April 2018 53% 17% 14% 16% 340 August 2018 52% 16% 16% 16% 500 October 2018 56% 12% 20% 12% 640 February 2019 59% 11% 17% 13% 603 April 2019 56% 15% 19% 10% 548 August 2019 56% 13% 21% 10% 496 February 2020 55% 14% 22% 9% 610 Favorability Ra ng - State Senate Majority Leader Dan Feltes

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK Enough To Say N February 2020 11% 11% 6% 71% 609

Favorability Ra ng - Execu ve Councilor Andru Volinsky

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK Enough To Say N February 2020 10% 11% 7% 72% 608

2020 Gubernatorial Matchup - Sununu & Feltes

If the elec on for Governor was being held today and the candidates were Chris Sununu, the Republican, and Dan Feltes, the Democrat, would you vote for Chris Sununu, Dan Feltes, some other candidate, or would you skip this elec on?

Chris Sununu Dan Feltes Other DK/Undecided N February 2020 56% 27% 4% 14% 545

2020 Gubernatorial Matchup - Sununu & Volinsky

If the elec on for Governor was being held today and the candidates were Chris Sununu, the Republican, and Andru Volinsky, the Democrat, would you vote for Chris Sununu, Andru Volinsky, some other candidate, or would you skip this elec on?

Chris Sununu Andru Volinsky Other DK/Undecided N February 2020 54% 29% 3% 13% 552 NH - Right Direc on or Wrong Track

Do you think things in New Hampshire are generally going in the right direc on or are they seriously oﬀ on the wrong track?

Don't Don't Right Right Wrong Track Know/Not N Wrong Track Know/Not N Direction Direction Sure Sure June 2003 62% 29% 9% 510 February 2012 59% 30% 11% 517 October 2003 67% 26% 7% 485 April 2012 62% 32% 6% 532 February 2004 61% 28% 11% 500 July 2012 56% 35% 9% 577 April 2004 65% 26% 9% 530 October 2012 58% 33% 10% 1,198 July 2004 59% 32% 9% 503 February 2013 64% 26% 10% 573 February 2005 74% 13% 13% 535 April 2013 63% 26% 11% 497 April 2005 71% 15% 13% 488 July 2013 64% 24% 12% 509 July 2005 75% 17% 8% 494 October 2013 71% 20% 10% 645 October 2005 75% 17% 9% 502 February 2014 64% 28% 8% 570 February 2006 76% 14% 10% 495 April 2014 62% 30% 8% 505 April 2006 76% 13% 11% 501 July 2014 69% 25% 6% 656 July 2006 80% 13% 8% 497 October 2014 63% 28% 9% 666 September 2006 79% 14% 7% 509 February 2015 65% 27% 7% 501 February 2007 78% 13% 8% 524 May 2015 59% 31% 10% 562 April 2007 76% 14% 9% 506 July 2015 57% 33% 11% 522 July 2007 76% 18% 6% 500 October 2015 61% 28% 11% 581 September 2007 73% 17% 10% 507 February 2016 59% 29% 11% 669 February 2008 69% 20% 11% 547 May 2016 65% 25% 10% 593 April 2008 65% 27% 8% 491 August 2016 62% 29% 9% 517 July 2008 70% 21% 9% 514 October 2016 64% 28% 8% 890 September 2008 72% 17% 10% 535 February 2017 70% 18% 12% 496 February 2009 60% 28% 12% 605 May 2017 69% 23% 8% 510 April 2009 64% 27% 9% 497 August 2017 75% 15% 10% 500 July 2009 55% 38% 7% 557 October 2017 70% 21% 9% 559 October 2009 58% 30% 12% 496 February 2018 67% 19% 14% 516 February 2010 61% 31% 8% 490 April 2018 72% 16% 11% 336 April 2010 57% 34% 9% 503 August 2018 72% 18% 11% 493 July 2010 60% 32% 9% 496 October 2018 67% 19% 14% 640 September 2010 61% 29% 10% 511 February 2019 73% 19% 9% 594 February 2011 65% 25% 11% 517 April 2019 71% 20% 10% 547 April 2011 54% 39% 7% 491 August 2019 73% 15% 13% 490 July 2011 61% 32% 7% 503 October 2019 72% 19% 9% 1,250 October 2011 62% 26% 12% 544 February 2020 73% 17% 10% 604 Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

Let's turn to the State of New Hampshire. There are many problems facing the state of New Hampshire today. In general, what do you think is the most important problem facing the state of New Hampshire today?

Jobs/ Drugs Education Healthcare State Budget Taxes Other DK/Not Sure N Economy April 2002 49% 10% 15% 16% 11% 681 June 2002 24% 8% 6% 57% 5% 677 February 2003 0% 42% 16% 15% 18% 9% 644 April 2003 0% 35% 16% 12% 26% 12% 499 June 2003 0% 33% 16% 9% 13% 22% 8% 513 October 2003 0% 31% 19% 6% 13% 22% 9% 490 February 2004 27% 22% 5% 14% 23% 10% 502 April 2004 1% 27% 20% 4% 13% 24% 12% 536 July 2004 1% 36% 13% 2% 13% 26% 11% 505 February 2005 0% 33% 15% 2% 14% 21% 15% 541 April 2005 36% 8% 13% 5% 14% 15% 9% 487 July 2005 0% 32% 6% 13% 2% 11% 24% 12% 496 October 2005 23% 12% 2% 15% 35% 13% 503 February 2006 1% 27% 14% 1% 11% 34% 13% 498 July 2006 25% 12% 1% 10% 38% 13% 490 September 2006 36% 11% 2% 14% 29% 8% 499 April 2007 39% 7% 15% 9% 23% 7% 501 July 2007 0% 32% 11% 13% 9% 29% 7% 488 February 2008 0% 17% 10% 26% 7% 33% 7% 542 April 2008 1% 19% 24% 4% 12% 29% 5% 496 February 2009 9% 43% 17% 8% 18% 607 July 2009 5% 32% 22% 11% 25% 5% 551 October 2009 7% 36% 17% 9% 26% 6% 494 February 2010 9% 48% 14% 9% 17% 2% 486 April 2010 6% 39% 23% 8% 20% 3% 504 July 2010 3% 4% 45% 21% 5% 17% 4% 498 September 2010 8% 46% 16% 7% 19% 5% 504 February 2011 11% 43% 18% 6% 17% 4% 508 April 2011 8% 31% 23% 5% 21% 4% 494 October 2011 7% 48% 7% 5% 22% 6% 548 February 2012 8% 37% 9% 4% 26% 6% 509 April 2012 9% 36% 6% 5% 29% 8% 518 July 2012 0% 11% 42% 7% 6% 22% 5% 541 October 2012 5% 4% 38% 8% 7% 28% 5% 575 April 2013 0% 6% 5% 30% 6% 7% 37% 6% 485 July 2013 1% 13% 5% 35% 4% 8% 24% 7% 458 October 2013 2% 11% 7% 28% 4% 7% 24% 15% 602 February 2014 1% 10% 9% 30% 4% 4% 29% 11% 545 April 2014 4% 10% 7% 23% 3% 9% 35% 10% 464 July 2014 2% 10% 12% 30% 4% 4% 29% 9% 614 October 2014 3% 9% 8% 32% 4% 6% 28% 11% 644 February 2015 4% 10% 8% 29% 9% 5% 26% 8% 467 May 2015 9% 13% 7% 23% 9% 7% 24% 8% 540 July 2015 14% 8% 7% 25% 9% 6% 27% 4% 509 October 2015 25% 9% 6% 21% 3% 4% 26% 7% 563 Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

Jobs/ Drugs Education Healthcare State Budget Taxes Other DK/Not Sure N Economy February 2016 40% 8% 5% 14% 1% 4% 21% 7% 659 May 2016 44% 5% 4% 18% 2% 3% 19% 5% 591 August 2016 43% 5% 7% 21% 1% 5% 15% 3% 509 October 2016 44% 7% 4% 18% 2% 3% 16% 6% 868 February 2017 44% 8% 5% 11% 1% 4% 17% 9% 493 May 2017 53% 7% 6% 11% 2% 3% 14% 5% 508 August 2017 55% 5% 6% 14% 1% 2% 13% 5% 493 October 2017 52% 6% 5% 9% 1% 4% 17% 6% 563 February 2018 51% 6% 4% 10% 2% 4% 18% 6% 509 April 2018 51% 7% 5% 9% 1% 1% 20% 6% 324 August 2018 48% 7% 4% 10% 1% 3% 22% 6% 491 October 2018 46% 6% 6% 6% 2% 3% 24% 7% 632 February 2019 37% 10% 5% 12% 0% 3% 28% 6% 594 April 2019 35% 8% 9% 10% 2% 3% 28% 5% 531 August 2019 38% 7% 8% 7% 1% 5% 29% 5% 484 October 2019 43% 7% 7% 9% 1% 6% 19% 9% 1,228 February 2020 35% 7% 8% 10% 0% 4% 30% 6% 587 Gubernatorial Approval

Approve Disapprove Neither/DK N

STATEWIDE 57% 27% 16% 582

Registered to Reg. Democrat 31% 57% 12% 147 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 59% 21% 20% 276 Reg. Republican 80% 7% 13% 156 Party ID Democrat 31% 53% 16% 241 Independent 60% 14% 26% 104 Republican 84% 5% 11% 222 Ideology Liberal 23% 62% 14% 133 Moderate 62% 22% 15% 221 Conservative 77% 7% 16% 188 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 81% 7% 12% 62 Listen to NHPR 45% 44% 11% 145 Read Local Newspapers 54% 35% 11% 196 Read Union Leader 59% 32% 9% 114 Watch WMUR 67% 22% 11% 305 Age of 18 to 34 47% 33% 21% 146 Respondent 35 to 49 57% 26% 16% 121 50 to 64 63% 23% 14% 181 65 and older 62% 25% 13% 117 Sex of Female 49% 34% 17% 295 Respondent Male 66% 19% 15% 287 Level of High school or less 64% 21% 15% 151 Education Technical school/Some college 54% 25% 21% 236 College graduate 65% 28% 8% 116 Postgraduate work 46% 41% 13% 72 Frequency Once a week or more 69% 13% 18% 70 Attending Once or twice a month 71% 21% 8% 55 Relig. Services Few times a year 63% 24% 13% 191 Never 47% 35% 18% 242 2016 Donald Trump 82% 4% 14% 221 Presidential Hillary Clinton 38% 48% 15% 194 Vote Voted for Other 43% 29% 28% 54 Did Not Vote 50% 36% 13% 86 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 67% 21% 12% 266 Household Not Gun Owner 49% 33% 18% 290 Region of Central / Lakes 57% 24% 19% 108 State Connecticut Valley 54% 31% 16% 74 Manchester Area 64% 25% 11% 96 Mass Border 61% 21% 18% 151 North Country 54% 26% 19% 61 Seacoast 48% 37% 15% 92 Congressional First Congressional District 58% 27% 14% 297 District Second Congressional District 56% 26% 18% 285 Favorability Ra ng - Chris Sununu

Don't Know/Not Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N Sure STATEWIDE 55% 14% 22% 9% 610

Registered to Reg. Democrat 33% 13% 49% 5% 151 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 54% 15% 18% 13% 296 Reg. Republican 77% 12% 7% 5% 159 Party ID Democrat 33% 15% 45% 7% 247 Independent 61% 13% 11% 16% 114 Republican 77% 13% 4% 7% 230 Ideology Liberal 26% 18% 53% 3% 138 Moderate 57% 16% 17% 10% 235 Conservative 77% 9% 6% 9% 195 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 74% 11% 3% 11% 69 Listen to NHPR 41% 15% 37% 7% 151 Read Local Newspapers 54% 13% 28% 5% 200 Read Union Leader 59% 13% 25% 3% 117 Watch WMUR 65% 12% 17% 5% 311 Age of 18 to 34 40% 19% 27% 14% 160 Respondent 35 to 49 52% 15% 24% 8% 127 50 to 64 62% 10% 20% 8% 189 65 and older 67% 9% 20% 4% 117 Sex of Female 50% 13% 28% 9% 310 Respondent Male 61% 15% 16% 8% 300 Level of High school or less 59% 11% 20% 10% 159 Education Technical school/Some college 54% 16% 19% 11% 249 College graduate 58% 9% 26% 7% 121 Postgraduate work 46% 17% 35% 2% 75 Frequency Once a week or more 68% 13% 11% 8% 73 Attending Once or twice a month 68% 9% 19% 4% 55 Relig. Services Few times a year 62% 10% 20% 9% 194 Never 44% 17% 29% 10% 261 2016 Donald Trump 79% 11% 3% 7% 233 Presidential Hillary Clinton 39% 15% 41% 4% 197 Vote Voted for Other 43% 13% 26% 18% 59 Did Not Vote 37% 18% 32% 13% 96 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 57% 16% 17% 10% 284 Household Not Gun Owner 53% 10% 29% 8% 300 Region of Central / Lakes 54% 22% 19% 5% 110 State Connecticut Valley 46% 18% 29% 8% 75 Manchester Area 62% 8% 20% 9% 104 Mass Border 61% 10% 18% 12% 158 North Country 56% 16% 21% 7% 64 Seacoast 46% 12% 33% 9% 100 Congressional First Congressional District 55% 14% 21% 9% 316 District Second Congressional District 55% 13% 24% 8% 294 Favorability Ra ng - State Senate Majority Leader Dan Feltes

Don't Know/Not Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N Sure STATEWIDE 11% 11% 6% 71% 609

Registered to Reg. Democrat 18% 14% 6% 63% 151 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 10% 11% 6% 73% 296 Reg. Republican 7% 11% 7% 76% 158 Party ID Democrat 15% 13% 6% 65% 247 Independent 8% 12% 3% 77% 114 Republican 10% 10% 8% 73% 229 Ideology Liberal 19% 11% 7% 63% 138 Moderate 9% 13% 6% 71% 235 Conservative 10% 9% 5% 76% 194 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 9% 8% 9% 74% 69 Listen to NHPR 18% 10% 10% 62% 151 Read Local Newspapers 17% 14% 6% 63% 200 Read Union Leader 20% 8% 10% 62% 117 Watch WMUR 11% 12% 7% 71% 311 Age of 18 to 34 12% 15% 4% 69% 160 Respondent 35 to 49 12% 8% 9% 71% 127 50 to 64 11% 13% 7% 69% 187 65 and older 10% 8% 6% 76% 117 Sex of Female 13% 12% 5% 71% 309 Respondent Male 10% 11% 7% 71% 300 Level of High school or less 7% 11% 5% 77% 159 Education Technical school/Some college 10% 12% 6% 72% 248 College graduate 16% 11% 7% 66% 121 Postgraduate work 19% 11% 7% 63% 75 Frequency Once a week or more 14% 10% 8% 69% 73 Attending Once or twice a month 21% 8% 12% 58% 55 Relig. Services Few times a year 8% 12% 4% 75% 192 Never 11% 12% 6% 71% 261 2016 Donald Trump 9% 9% 8% 74% 232 Presidential Hillary Clinton 16% 11% 5% 68% 197 Vote Voted for Other 4% 22% 9% 65% 59 Did Not Vote 14% 9% 6% 71% 96 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 12% 12% 6% 71% 282 Household Not Gun Owner 12% 11% 5% 72% 300 Region of Central / Lakes 17% 11% 5% 67% 110 State Connecticut Valley 10% 14% 9% 67% 75 Manchester Area 12% 11% 6% 71% 104 Mass Border 9% 12% 7% 72% 158 North Country 7% 20% 4% 68% 64 Seacoast 12% 4% 5% 79% 98 Congressional First Congressional District 9% 8% 5% 78% 315 District Second Congressional District 14% 15% 7% 64% 294 Favorability Ra ng - Execu ve Councilor Andru Volinsky

Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK Enough To Say N

STATEWIDE 10% 11% 7% 72% 608

Registered to Reg. Democrat 17% 11% 5% 68% 151 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 9% 13% 8% 70% 294 Reg. Republican 7% 7% 7% 79% 159 Party ID Democrat 16% 12% 7% 65% 247 Independent 8% 12% 5% 75% 114 Republican 6% 9% 9% 76% 228 Ideology Liberal 18% 9% 7% 66% 138 Moderate 10% 14% 6% 71% 235 Conservative 6% 7% 9% 77% 193 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 5% 7% 11% 77% 69 Listen to NHPR 12% 15% 11% 62% 151 Read Local Newspapers 14% 11% 8% 67% 198 Read Union Leader 10% 7% 16% 67% 117 Watch WMUR 11% 10% 9% 70% 309 Age of 18 to 34 9% 15% 6% 70% 158 Respondent 35 to 49 12% 11% 6% 71% 127 50 to 64 8% 12% 8% 72% 189 65 and older 13% 6% 8% 74% 117 Sex of Female 11% 11% 6% 73% 310 Respondent Male 10% 11% 9% 70% 298 Level of High school or less 7% 13% 9% 70% 159 Education Technical school/Some college 9% 8% 5% 78% 247 College graduate 14% 11% 9% 66% 121 Postgraduate work 15% 13% 8% 64% 75 Frequency Once a week or more 8% 6% 11% 75% 73 Attending Once or twice a month 15% 13% 10% 62% 55 Relig. Services Few times a year 9% 13% 6% 72% 194 Never 12% 11% 6% 72% 259 2016 Donald Trump 7% 9% 8% 76% 233 Presidential Hillary Clinton 20% 10% 6% 64% 195 Vote Voted for Other 3% 15% 10% 73% 59 Did Not Vote 5% 13% 6% 76% 96 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 7% 11% 7% 74% 282 Household Not Gun Owner 13% 11% 7% 69% 300 Region of Central / Lakes 14% 13% 6% 66% 110 State Connecticut Valley 15% 20% 8% 57% 75 Manchester Area 7% 8% 6% 79% 104 Mass Border 6% 10% 8% 75% 156 North Country 7% 11% 8% 74% 64 Seacoast 14% 6% 6% 74% 100 Congressional First Congressional District 10% 7% 6% 77% 316 District Second Congressional District 10% 15% 8% 66% 292 2020 Gubernatorial Matchup - Sununu & Feltes

Chris Sununu Dan Feltes Other DK/Undecided N

STATEWIDE 56% 27% 4% 14% 545

Registered to Reg. Democrat 21% 65% 2% 12% 142 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 56% 19% 6% 19% 246 Reg. Republican 86% 6% 2% 6% 153 Party ID Democrat 21% 57% 4% 18% 224 Independent 65% 7% 3% 24% 90 Republican 87% 5% 3% 5% 218 Ideology Liberal 16% 64% 1% 18% 131 Moderate 57% 24% 4% 15% 199 Conservative 82% 5% 4% 9% 178 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 84% 7% 9% 67 Listen to NHPR 42% 43% 3% 12% 144 Read Local Newspapers 53% 32% 3% 13% 187 Read Union Leader 62% 26% 2% 10% 108 Watch WMUR 62% 21% 2% 14% 286 Age of 18 to 34 54% 29% 5% 12% 122 Respondent 35 to 49 52% 28% 7% 13% 124 50 to 64 59% 25% 2% 14% 172 65 and older 55% 30% 1% 14% 111 Sex of Female 49% 33% 4% 14% 274 Respondent Male 62% 21% 3% 14% 270 Level of High school or less 61% 19% 3% 17% 131 Education Technical school/Some college 59% 25% 5% 11% 220 College graduate 51% 32% 3% 13% 114 Postgraduate work 41% 41% 3% 15% 73 Frequency Once a week or more 72% 19% 4% 4% 73 Attending Once or twice a month 57% 30% 3% 10% 50 Relig. Services Few times a year 67% 19% 3% 11% 169 Never 39% 37% 4% 20% 231 2016 Donald Trump 89% 3% 8% 223 Presidential Hillary Clinton 22% 56% 4% 18% 188 Vote Voted for Other 52% 23% 10% 15% 50 Did Not Vote 40% 34% 10% 17% 66 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 67% 20% 3% 10% 255 Household Not Gun Owner 43% 35% 4% 18% 264 Region of Central / Lakes 63% 27% 2% 8% 99 State Connecticut Valley 50% 29% 4% 18% 66 Manchester Area 59% 27% 3% 11% 96 Mass Border 61% 24% 4% 11% 145 North Country 47% 29% 5% 19% 57 Seacoast 44% 31% 5% 20% 82 Congressional First Congressional District 58% 25% 3% 14% 284 District Second Congressional District 53% 29% 4% 13% 261 2020 Gubernatorial Matchup - Sununu & Volinsky

Chris Sununu Andru Volinsky Other DK/Undecided N

STATEWIDE 54% 29% 3% 13% 552

Registered to Reg. Democrat 19% 66% 1% 14% 141 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 56% 22% 4% 18% 252 Reg. Republican 84% 7% 4% 5% 157 Party ID Democrat 20% 59% 3% 18% 228 Independent 62% 13% 3% 22% 90 Republican 86% 5% 5% 5% 221 Ideology Liberal 10% 70% 20% 132 Moderate 57% 25% 2% 16% 198 Conservative 82% 6% 6% 6% 185 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 82% 3% 8% 7% 68 Listen to NHPR 40% 44% 2% 14% 145 Read Local Newspapers 53% 34% 2% 11% 188 Read Union Leader 59% 28% 1% 11% 109 Watch WMUR 63% 23% 2% 12% 290 Age of 18 to 34 51% 33% 3% 12% 127 Respondent 35 to 49 53% 34% 5% 8% 123 50 to 64 56% 22% 4% 18% 175 65 and older 55% 30% 2% 13% 112 Sex of Female 48% 33% 5% 15% 280 Respondent Male 61% 25% 2% 12% 273 Level of High school or less 60% 25% 2% 13% 137 Education Technical school/Some college 56% 25% 6% 14% 223 College graduate 52% 33% 3% 11% 114 Postgraduate work 42% 40% 1% 17% 73 Frequency Once a week or more 74% 18% 4% 4% 72 Attending Once or twice a month 64% 29% 1% 7% 50 Relig. Services Few times a year 59% 20% 6% 14% 177 Never 40% 41% 2% 17% 232 2016 Donald Trump 88% 4% 2% 6% 225 Presidential Hillary Clinton 23% 58% 3% 16% 187 Vote Voted for Other 46% 24% 10% 20% 55 Did Not Vote 34% 39% 7% 20% 67 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 68% 20% 3% 9% 256 Household Not Gun Owner 40% 38% 5% 17% 271 Region of Central / Lakes 60% 29% 2% 9% 100 State Connecticut Valley 49% 32% 2% 17% 66 Manchester Area 58% 23% 6% 13% 96 Mass Border 59% 24% 3% 14% 150 North Country 49% 33% 4% 15% 57 Seacoast 42% 39% 5% 14% 84 Congressional First Congressional District 56% 28% 4% 12% 285 District Second Congressional District 52% 30% 3% 15% 268 NH - Right Direc on or Wrong Track

Right Direction Wrong Track Don't Know/Not Sure N

STATEWIDE 73% 17% 10% 604

Registered to Reg. Democrat 62% 28% 10% 149 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 75% 16% 9% 296 Reg. Republican 80% 10% 10% 156 Party ID Democrat 61% 28% 11% 244 Independent 82% 12% 6% 114 Republican 81% 10% 9% 227 Ideology Liberal 54% 31% 15% 135 Moderate 81% 12% 7% 234 Conservative 76% 15% 9% 192 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 80% 13% 8% 69 Listen to NHPR 68% 22% 10% 148 Read Local Newspapers 70% 21% 10% 198 Read Union Leader 74% 20% 6% 111 Watch WMUR 79% 15% 6% 308 Age of 18 to 34 67% 21% 11% 157 Respondent 35 to 49 80% 15% 4% 125 50 to 64 74% 17% 9% 187 65 and older 71% 14% 15% 117 Sex of Female 72% 19% 9% 306 Respondent Male 75% 15% 10% 299 Level of High school or less 74% 15% 11% 157 Education Technical school/Some college 73% 17% 10% 247 College graduate 75% 17% 8% 121 Postgraduate work 68% 24% 9% 73 Frequency Once a week or more 75% 15% 10% 73 Attending Once or twice a month 74% 18% 8% 55 Relig. Services Few times a year 80% 13% 8% 190 Never 67% 22% 11% 259 2016 Donald Trump 84% 8% 8% 230 Presidential Hillary Clinton 65% 24% 11% 197 Vote Voted for Other 74% 24% 2% 56 Did Not Vote 63% 22% 15% 96 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 75% 17% 8% 281 Household Not Gun Owner 72% 17% 12% 297 Region of Central / Lakes 77% 17% 6% 108 State Connecticut Valley 62% 25% 13% 76 Manchester Area 85% 10% 6% 103 Mass Border 71% 18% 11% 157 North Country 69% 15% 16% 63 Seacoast 71% 21% 8% 98 Congressional First Congressional District 76% 14% 10% 311 District Second Congressional District 70% 21% 10% 294 Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

Drugs Education Healthcare Jobs/Economy

STATEWIDE 35% 7% 8% 10%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 26% 10% 16% 14% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 37% 7% 7% 9% Reg. Republican 39% 4% 3% 10% Party ID Democrat 27% 10% 13% 12% Independent 34% 6% 5% 7% Republican 42% 5% 4% 11% Ideology Liberal 32% 7% 16% 11% Moderate 34% 9% 7% 14% Conservative 41% 4% 5% 6% Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 45% 6% 3% 4% Listen to NHPR 26% 8% 12% 11% Read Local Newspapers 31% 8% 11% 11% Read Union Leader 25% 4% 8% 12% Watch WMUR 34% 9% 8% 11% Age of 18 to 34 37% 4% 10% 6% Respondent 35 to 49 39% 7% 4% 14% 50 to 64 37% 6% 10% 9% 65 and older 25% 13% 8% 14% Sex of Female 38% 8% 9% 10% Respondent Male 32% 7% 7% 11% Level of High school or less 40% 5% 10% 9% Education Technical school/Some college 34% 4% 3% 9% College graduate 39% 10% 7% 15% Postgraduate work 22% 14% 22% 10% Frequency Once a week or more 46% 5% 3% 4% Attending Once or twice a month 34% 13% 5% 12% Relig. Services Few times a year 35% 9% 6% 13% Never 31% 5% 11% 10% 2016 Donald Trump 40% 4% 3% 9% Presidential Hillary Clinton 27% 13% 12% 14% Vote Voted for Other 39% 6% 14% 6% Did Not Vote 37% 3% 6% 8% Gun Owner in Gun Owner 30% 8% 6% 11% Household Not Gun Owner 40% 7% 9% 10% Region of Central / Lakes 51% 6% 5% 8% State Connecticut Valley 33% 11% 9% 14% Manchester Area 27% 5% 10% 9% Mass Border 38% 8% 7% 8% North Country 21% 8% 12% 13% Seacoast 31% 6% 8% 14% Congressional First Congressional District 35% 6% 6% 12% District Second Congressional District 35% 8% 10% 8% Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire

State Budget Taxes Other DK/Not Sure N

STATEWIDE 0% 4% 30% 6% 587

Registered to Reg. Democrat 0% 2% 30% 3% 148 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 0% 5% 28% 7% 282 Reg. Republican 1% 3% 34% 7% 155 Party ID Democrat 0% 3% 30% 5% 241 Independent 1% 7% 34% 5% 108 Republican 0% 3% 28% 7% 223 Ideology Liberal 0% 2% 29% 4% 135 Moderate 0% 3% 28% 5% 225 Conservative 1% 5% 30% 8% 189 Media Usage Listen to Conserv. Radio 2% 37% 4% 66 Listen to NHPR 0% 3% 35% 4% 148 Read Local Newspapers 1% 4% 32% 2% 198 Read Union Leader 1% 3% 47% 1% 116 Watch WMUR 0% 3% 29% 5% 300 Age of 18 to 34 2% 32% 10% 152 Respondent 35 to 49 5% 25% 6% 124 50 to 64 1% 5% 29% 4% 183 65 and older 1% 3% 32% 4% 113 Sex of Female 0% 2% 28% 6% 301 Respondent Male 0% 5% 32% 6% 287 Level of High school or less 3% 26% 6% 143 Education Technical school/Some college 0% 4% 37% 8% 245 College graduate 4% 23% 3% 120 Postgraduate work 2% 3% 24% 3% 75 Frequency Once a week or more 1% 2% 37% 1% 73 Attending Once or twice a month 4% 32% 1% 55 Relig. Services Few times a year 1% 4% 24% 7% 187 Never 0% 4% 31% 8% 250 2016 Donald Trump 0% 4% 32% 7% 226 Presidential Hillary Clinton 1% 3% 26% 4% 194 Vote Voted for Other 4% 30% 1% 59 Did Not Vote 5% 30% 10% 89 Gun Owner in Gun Owner 1% 5% 32% 7% 269 Household Not Gun Owner 0% 3% 27% 5% 293 Region of Central / Lakes 1% 4% 22% 2% 105 State Connecticut Valley 0% 5% 20% 8% 73 Manchester Area 3% 38% 8% 101 Mass Border 0% 3% 32% 5% 154 North Country 1% 35% 10% 59 Seacoast 6% 31% 4% 95 Congressional First Congressional District 0% 4% 31% 5% 305 District Second Congressional District 1% 3% 28% 7% 282