Institute for Security Studies Situation Report Date issued: 14 April 2011 Author: Berouk Mesfin Distribution: General Contact:
[email protected] Elections, politics and external involvement in Djibouti Introduction This situation report continues the research project on regional politics and security in the Horn of Africa conducted by the Institute for Security Studies.1 While it follows in the footsteps of a 2008 situation report that was concerned primarily with the border dispute between Djibouti and Eritrea,2 the current report is more concerned with the prevailing internal political situation in Djibouti and the conduct of the country’s April 2011 presidential elections.3 The first part provides a brief overview of the political and electoral history of Djibouti. The second gives the legal framework for the conduct of elections and then examines the preparations for the April 2011 presidential elections and the results. It also surveys the most salient features of Djibouti’s party system, focusing principally on the alignment of existing political parties. Part three considers the build-up to the April 2011 presidential elections, including constitutional amendments, the mysterious deaths of some senior officials, the exaggeration of the role played by Abdurahman Boreh, and the sudden outbreak of public protests. The fourth part describes the mainly military involvement of Eritrea, the United States (US) and France in Djibouti. The principal sources of data used in the report are books, journal articles, unpublished reports and media publications. In order to strengthen aspects of the limited data that was available the author has used data collected during his many visits to Djibouti between 2008 and 2010.4 During these visits, he interacted with and interviewed many individuals who provided background and specific information in a credible manner.