North Ayrshire Council
Community Planning Partnership Report
December 2015
Initial School Leaver Destination 2014/15
National Training Programme Results Q2 2015/16
Unemployed Seeking Analysis
Contents
Foreword 4
Report Section 1: Initial School Leaver Destinations 2014/15 5
Background 5
School Leaver Definitions 5
Differences in reporting methodology 5
Analysis 6
Section 1: Overview – Main Findings 6
Section 1.1 - Annual Trends 7
Table 1: Year on Year destination percentage split. Local Authority & Scotland 7 Graph 2: Local Authority Comparison to Scotland 7 Table 3: Year on Year Destination Split 8 Graph 4: Year on Year Positive/Other Destination Trend 8 Graph 5: Year on Year Positive Destination Trend Analysis 9 Graph 6: Year on Year Other Destination Trend Analysis 10
Section 1.2: Leaver Characteristics 11
Table 7: Destinations Split By Gender 11 Graph 8: Gender split within each destination 11 Table 9: Percentage Destinations by SIMD 2012 12 Graph 10: Percentage Positive, HE and Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 12 Table 11: School Leavers by Stage of Leaving 13
Section 2: Positive Destinations 14
Section 2.1 Higher and Further Education 14
Table 12: HE by Institution Type 14 Table 13: HE Students by Institution 14 Table 14: HE Students by FE Colleges 15 Table 15: FE Students by FE Colleges 15
Section 2.2: Employment 16
Table 16: Top Occupational Areas 16
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Table 17: Top Occupational Areas (Male only) 16 Table 18: Top Occupational Areas (Female only) 17 Graph 19: Occupational Areas split by Gender 17
Section 3: Other Destinations 19
Table 20: Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics 19 Table 21: Unemployed Seeking Leavers by Intermediate Data zone 20 Graph 22: Individual Circumstances of those Unemployed NOT Seeking 21
Section 4: Percentage Destinations by School 22
Report Section 2: National Training Programme Results Apr-Sep 2015 23
Report Section 3: Characteristics of 16 – 19 Unemployed Seeking 23
Unemployed Table 1: Unemployed Seeking, by gender & age 23
Unemployed Table 3: Unemployed Seeking, by age & duration since last positive status 24
Unemployed Table 4: Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 Ranking 24
Unemployed Table 5: Unemployed Seeking by Intermediate Datazone 25
Background Notes 26
Initial Leaver Destination Report (Analysis note)
Please note that information regarding institutions and employment sectors have been suppressed where there are less than 5 leavers. In these instances, these leavers have been captured under the ‘other’ categories. In addition, due to rounding techniques some total percentages may not equal 100%.
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Foreword Welcome to the December 2015 Community Planning Partnership Report providing you and your other local partners, with analysis of key information specific to your Community Planning Partnership area. This includes:
- Initial School Leaver Destinations - 2014-15
- Links to the most recently published National Training Programme participation and outcomes (Q2 2015-16)
- Analysis of those with a status of Unemployed seeking (as at 1st December 2015)
We hope this analysis will be useful in helping to inform your planning in support of your youth employment strategies and wider Community Planning Partnership outcomes. As you may be aware, the first annual Participation Measure report was published by SDS in August. This report, and its accompanying data tables, covers all 16-19 year olds and may provide you with additional information of value at a local and national level.
We are committed to working in partnership and sharing information that supports our joint work to secure the best opportunities for people in your area.
We’d be delighted to receive your feedback on this report and suggestions for future reports at [email protected].
Damien Yeates Chief Executive, Skills Development Scotland
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Report Section 1: Initial School Leaver Destinations 2014/15 Background In August 2015, Skills Development Scotland (SDS) published the first participation measure for 16 – 19 year olds in Scotland, a publication identified as ‘experimental statistics - data being developed’. The measure reports on the learning, training and work activity of 16-19 year olds in Scotland.
As part of the development work for the participation measure it was agreed SDS would continue to supply school leaver destination data to the Scottish Government’s Education Analysis Unit (SGEAS) for their annual national statistics publication and to update Insighti, the online benchmarking tool for Scottish local authorities and secondary schools.
The statistical extracts for both the participation measure and the destination of school leavers are taken from the shared data set held by SDS on our customer support system (CSS). Multi-partner data sharing and direct input by SDS staff are the key components of creating and maintaining this shared dataset. The status information has been gathered through the use of shared administrative data from local authorities, colleges, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), Student Awards Agency for Scotland (SAAS) and the SDS Corporate Training System combined with direct follow up of 16-19 year old customers by SDS staff. Given the increased reliance on shared data, in 2015 SDS moved to an ongoing case management approach to following up school leavers in place of the traditional telephone survey method of establishing pupil destinations.
Within the context of Opportunities for All, the follow up of 16-19 year olds, including school leavers, is an integral part of our approach to managing customers from school through their initial and subsequent transitions. Given the greater focus on all 16-19 year olds, the practice of following up leavers at two specific points within the year has been replaced by ongoing follow up throughout the year. Although this is a change in the follow- up process, the results remain comparable with previous years.
School Leaver Definitions
The 2014/15 cohort includes leavers from publicly funded secondary schools who left school between 1st August 2014 and 15th September 2015. These dates will be used on a one–off basis only.
In the future the school leaver cohort will be based on leavers who left school between the third Wednesday of September and the third Tuesday in September the following year.
This report is based on status information held on the shared dataset. Statuses are updated on the shared dataset on an ongoing basis and the status used within the destination snapshot is from the first Monday in October (5th October 2015).
Differences in reporting methodology In 2014, SGEAS introduced a new definition to report on school leavers within Insight and their national statistics publication. Following consultation with the users of our publications, it was agreed we would continue to use the same reporting methodology as used in our previous publications. It is this methodology, based on the follow up leaver extract, which is used by Scotland Performs to report on the national indicator - “Increase
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the proportion of young people in learning, training or work”. The current national indicator reports on leavers from publicly funded secondary schools. Further information can be found in the Background Notes.
Analysis The analysis that follows is based on data recorded about leavers from the shared data set held on the SDS customer support system (CSS). Leavers that were identified as having moved out with Scotland are excluded. This report relates to the 1,529 leavers from publicly funded secondary schools in North Ayrshire Council.
Section 1: Overview – Main Findings Overall the percentage of leavers entering a positive destinationii is 96.1%, a rise of 2.0 percentage points (pp)iii in comparison to 2013/14. This is 3.2pp above the national average of 92.9%. North Ayrshire Council is 3rd out of 32 local authorities for the percentage of leavers entering a positive destination. The percentage of leavers entering higher education (HE) is 36.4% which is 1.9pp lower than the national average of 38.3%. In comparison to 2013/14 this is a rise within the authority of 0.9pp. The percentage of leavers entering further education (FE) has risen by 1.0pp to 36.4% which is 8.6pp higher than the national average of 27.8%. The percentage of leavers entering employment has risen by 1.6pp since 2013/14 to 20.2%. This percentage is 1.5pp below the national average of 21.7%. The percentage of leavers entering training has fallen since 2013/14 by 0.9pp to 2.6% and is 1.2pp below the national average (3.8%). The percentage of leavers who are unemployed seekingiv is 3.0%, 1.6pp lower than in 2013/14. This is 2.4pp lower than the national average (5.4%) and is 5th lowest percentage of leavers reported as unemployed seeking in Scotland this year. School leavers whose destination is unconfirmedv is 0.1% this year. This is 0.1pp higher than last year and is 0.4pp lower the national average of 0.5%.
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Section 1.1 - Annual Trends The tables and graphs that follow provide information about school leaver destinations over time. Table 1 makes a direct comparison with last year and complements the main findings above whilst the remainder of the section is based on data available over the last ten years.
Table 1: Year on Year destination percentage split. Local Authority & Scotland
North Ayrshire Council Scotland Destinations 2013/14 2014/15 % point 2013/14 2014/15 % point % % change % % change Higher Education 35.5 36.4 0.9 38.6 38.3 -0.3 Further Education 35.4 36.4 1.0 26.3 27.8 1.5 Training 3.5 2.6 -0.9 4.1 3.8 -0.3 Employment 18.6 20.2 1.6 21.7 21.7 0.0 Voluntary Work 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 Activity Agreement 0.7 0.2 -0.5 1.1 0.9 -0.2 Unemployed Seeking 4.6 3.0 -1.6 6.3 5.4 -0.9 Unemployed Not Seeking 1.4 0.8 -0.6 1.1 1.1 0.0 Unconfirmed 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 Positive Destinations 94.1 96.1 2.0 92.3 92.9 0.6 Total Leavers 1,481 1,529 51,876 53,836
Graph 2: Local Authority Comparison to Scotland
45% North Ayrshire Scotland 40% 38.3% 36.4% 36.4% 35%
30% 27.8%
25% 21.7% 20.2% 20%
15%
10%
5.4% 5% 3.8% 2.6% 3.0% 0.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.5% 0% Higher Further Training Employed Voluntary Activity Unemployed Unemployed Unconfirmed Education Education Work Agreements Seeking Not Seeking
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Table 3: Year on Year Destination Split
Activity U/E U/E NOT Unconfir HE Training Employed Voluntary Year Total FE (%) Agreement Seeking Seeking med (%) (%) (%) Work (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) 2005/06 1,689 27.9 29.4 7.1 20.0 12.2 1.8 1.5 2006/07 1,731 27.0 29.6 6.7 21.4 0.1 11.7 1.4 2.1 2007/08 1,730 29.0 32.0 5.9 18.8 0.2 12.0 1.0 1.0 2008/09 1,520 34.2 31.9 5.1 13.0 0.2 13.5 1.2 0.9 2009/10 1,438 32.2 35.2 4.6 13.3 0.2 11.5 1.6 1.5 2010/11 1,513 36.0 32.7 6.1 15.4 0.3 0.3 8.1 1.1 0.1 2011/12 1,431 32.1 34.2 5.0 17.7 0.4 0.3 8.7 0.6 0.9 2012/13 1,380 35.7 36.0 5.1 16.1 0.7 0.4 5.1 1.0 0.0 2013/14 1,481 35.5 35.4 3.5 18.6 0.3 0.7 4.6 1.4 0.0 2014/15 1,529 36.4 36.4 2.6 20.2 0.4 0.2 3.0 0.8 0.1
Graph 4: Year on Year Positive/Other Destination Trend
100% 15.5% 15.3% 14.1% 15.5% 14.5% 9.3% 10.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.9% 90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10% 84.5% 84.7% 85.9% 84.5% 85.5% 90.7% 89.7% 93.8% 94.1% 96.1% 0% 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Positive Destinations Other
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Graph 5: Year on Year Positive Destination Trend Analysis
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0% 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Higher Education Further Education Training Employment Voluntary Work Activity Agreement
This year 36.4% of leavers entered higher education which is 0.9pp higher than last year and the highest percentage within the last 10 years. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers enter this destination was 2006/07 when 27.0% of leavers entered HE. This year is the highest percentage within 10 years and is 9.4pp higher than the 2006/07 low.
The percentage of leavers entering FE this year is 36.4%. This is 1.0pp higher than last year and the highest percentage within the last 10 years. 2005/06 saw the lowest level enter FE when 29.4% of leavers entered this destination. This year is the highest percentage within 10 years and is 7pp higher than the 2005/06 low.
The percentage of leavers entering employment this year is 20.2%. This is 1.6pp higher than last year. In the past 10 years, the year that saw the highest percentage of leavers enter employment was 2006/07 when 21.4% of leavers entered this destination. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers enter this destination was 2008/09 when 13.0% of leavers entered employment. This year is 1.2pp lower than the high seen in 2006/07 and is 7.2pp higher than the low seen in 2008/09.
The highest level of leavers entering training was reported in 2005/06 when 7.1% entered this destination. This year 2.6% of leavers entered training. This is 0.9pp lower than last year.
Activity Agreements account for 0.2% of leavers within the authority. This is a decrease of 0.5pp on 2013/14 and 0.7pp lower than the national average (0.9%).
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Graph 6: Year on Year Other Destination Trend Analysis
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0% 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Unemployed Seeking Unemployed Not Seeking Unconfirmed
This year 3.0% of leavers are unemployed seeking which is 1.6pp lower than last year. Within the last 10 years 2014/15 saw the lowest percentage of leavers being reported as unemployed seeking. The year that saw the highest level of unemployed seeking leavers was 2008/09 when 13.5% of leavers were reported in this destination.. This year is 10.5pp lower than the 2008/09 high
In the past decade, the proportion of unemployed not seeking leavers was at its highest in 2005/06 when 1.8% of leavers were unemployed not seeking. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers being reported in this destination was 2011/12 when 0.6% were reported as unemployed seeking. This year 0.8% of leavers are unemployed not seeking which is a decrease of 0.6pp compared to last year.
The percentage of leavers reported as unconfirmed is 0.1% however, this is slighly higher than the past two years when there has been no unconfirmed leavers.
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Section 1.2: Leaver Characteristics
The tables and graphs that follow provide information about the characteristics of leavers and include analysis by gender, SIMD and stage of leaving. Table 7: Destinations Split By Gender Male Female No. of No. of % % Destinations Leavers Leavers Higher Education 212 27.9 344 44.7
Further Education 290 38.2 266 34.6 Training 22 2.9 18 2.3 Employment 195 25.7 114 14.8 Voluntary Work 6 0.8 0 0.0 Activity Agreement 1 0.1 2 0.3 Unemployed Seeking 30 3.9 16 2.1
Unemployed Not Seeking 3 0.4 9 1.2 Unconfirmed 1 0.1 0 0.0 Positive Destinations 726 95.5 744 96.7
Total Leavers 760 769
96.7% of females enter positive destinations in comparison to 95.5% of males, a 1.2pp difference. This position mirrors that of the national picture where a greater percentage of females enter positive destinations compared to males. 79.3% of females continue with their studies post school in comparison to 66.1% of males, a difference of 13.2pp. 28.6% of males enter employment or training in comparison to 17.1% of females, a difference of 11.5pp. Males are more likely than females to be unemployed seeking with the split of unemployed leavers being 65/35%. Graph 8: Gender split within each destination 100% 61.9% 47.8% 45.0% 36.9% 0.0% 66.7% 34.8% 75.0% 0.0% 90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10% 38.1% 52.2% 55.0% 63.1% 100.0% 33.3% 65.2% 25.0% 100.0% 0% Higher Further Training Employment Voluntary Activity Unemployed Unemployed Unconfirmed Education Education Work Agreement Seeking Not Seeking Male Female
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Table 9: Percentage Destinations by SIMD 2012 Most Deprived Least Deprived SIMD Decilevi Not 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Known Higher Education 21 25 27 35 34 45 59 46 58 69 20 Further Education 51 48 40 39 30 30 18 23 27 13 47 Training 4 3 6 1 0 1 2 0 0 3 0 Employment 20 17 20 18 31 20 19 29 12 16 27 Voluntary Work 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 Activity Agreement 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Unemployed Seeking 3 5 4 5 3 1 2 2 2 0 7 U/E Not Seeking 0 1 2 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 Unconfirmed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Positive Destinations 97 94 94 94 97 98 98 98 97 100 93 Total 253 259 248 82 116 122 170 119 113 32 15 % of Total Leavers 16.5 16.9 16.2 5.4 7.6 8.0 11.1 7.8 7.4 2.1 1.0
Graph 10: Percentage Positive, HE and Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012
100% 100% 90% 97%
80%
70%
60% 69%
50%
40%
30% 21% 20%
10% 3% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Most Deprived Least Deprived Positive Destinations Higher Education Unemployed Seeking The table and graph above attempt to show that where leavers live could have an effect on their destination on leaving school. For example, In general, leavers who live in the more deprived areas are less likely to enter positive destinations on leaving school than those from the less deprived areas. This is displayed in the graph which shows there is a 3pp difference in the positive destination percentages in SIMD 1 and SIMD 10. Leavers who live in the less deprived areas are more likely to enter higher education in comparison to leavers who live in the more deprived areas. The proportion of leavers entering HE from SIMD 10 is 69% and in comparison the proportion of leavers entering HE from SIMD 1 is 21%. Leavers from the more deprived areas are more likely to be unemployed seeking than leavers from the less deprived areas. Using SIMD 1, 3% of leavers become unemployed seeking compared to 0% from SIMD 10.
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Table 11: School Leavers by Stage of Leaving
Stage of Leavingvii Statutory Statutory Post Summer Winter Leaver Statutory Destination Leaver % % Leaver % Higher Education 0.0 0.0 43.7 Further Education 62.6 51.4 32.1 Training 8.8 7.3 1.5 Employment 19.0 27.5 19.7 Voluntary Work 0.7 0.0 0.4 Activity Agreement 0.0 2.8 0.0 Unemployed Seeking 6.8 6.4 2.3 Unemployed Not Seeking 2.0 3.7 0.4 Unconfirmed 0.0 0.9 0.0 Positive Destinations 91.2 89.0 97.3 Total Leavers 147 109 1,273 % of Total Leavers 9.6 7.1 83.3
It can be noted that the majority of leavers had remained at school past their statutory leave date and this has had a positive impact on their progression from school. Leavers who stay on past their statutory leave date are more likely to progress to positive outcomes on leaving school with the highest proportion entering higher education (43.7%). Overall 97.3% of those who stay on at school past their statutory leave date enter a positive destination. Statutory winter leavers are the least likely to enter positive destinations with only 89.0% of leavers reported entering a positive outcome. The highest proportion is reported in further education (51.4%). Statutory winter leavers are almost 3 times as likely to be reported as unemployed seeking than a post statutory leaver. The highest proportion of statutory summer leavers entered further education (62.6%), however they were also almost 3 times as likely as post statutory leavers to be unemployed seeking.
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Section 2: Positive Destinations
Section 2.1 Higher and Further Education Higher Education (HE): This category includes leavers following HND (Higher National Diploma) or HNC (Higher National Certificate) courses, degree courses, courses for the education and training of teachers and higher level courses for professional qualifications. Leavers with a deferred, unconditional place in higher education have also been included in this year’s figures.
Further Education (FE): This category includes leavers undertaking non advanced further education which is not higher education.
From those reported in the leaver cohort, 556 leavers entered higher education and 556 entered further education. Detailed analysis on the institution entered can be provided on 99.9% (1,111). The analysis below is based on 555 HE and 556 FE students.
Due to the increased use of administrative data we are no longer able to provide an analysis on the course areas entered by leavers as the data on courses is not mapped to a field that can be used for analysis.
Table 12: HE by Institution Type Table 13: HE Students by Institutionviii Institution Total % Institution Total % University/HEI 285 51 FE College 261 47 University of Strathclyde 57 10.3 Other1 9 2 University of Glasgow 48 8.6 Glasgow Caledonian University 42 7.6 1 Other category includes Institutions Outwith Scotland and University of the West of Scotland 33 5.9 Other Learning Providers. University of Edinburgh 18 3.2 University of Stirling 15 2.7 University of Dundee 11 2.0 Abertay University Dundee 10 1.8 Robert Gordon University 9 1.6 University of Aberdeen 8 1.4 Other Learning Providers 38 6.8
Outwith Scotland 5 0.9 FE Colleges 261 47.0
Only the top institutions with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other institutions are captured under “Other Learning Providers”.
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Table 14: HE Students by FE Colleges Table 15: FE Students by FE Colleges
Institution Total % Institution Total % Ayrshire College 146 55.9 Ayrshire College 454 81.7 City of Glasgow College 55 21.1 West College Scotland 44 7.9 West College Scotland 29 11.1 City of Glasgow College 33 5.9 Glasgow Clyde College 23 8.8 Glasgow Clyde College 11 2.0 Other Institutions / Learning Glasgow Kelvin College 5 0.9 8 3.1 Providers Outwith Scotland 2 0.4 Other Institutions / Learning 7 1.3 Providers
Only institutions with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other institutions are captured under “Other Institutions / Learning Providers”.
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Section 2.2: Employment
Employment: This category includes those who are employed and who are in receipt of payment from their employers. It includes young people undertaking training in employment through Modern Apprenticeships. 309 young people entered employment and analysis can be provided on 85.1% (263) of those entering employment for whom we hold information about the occupational area entered.
There has been a decrease in the level of data held about occupational areas due to the refreshed methodology to gathering destination data and the analysis below provides an overview based on the available data. Table 16: Top Occupational Areas
Occupational Area Total % Retail & Sales Occupations 42 16.0 Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 38 14.4 Construction 34 12.9 Admin & Management 32 12.2 Engineering 24 9.1 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 20 7.6 Garage Services 19 7.2 Animals, Land & Environment 11 4.2 Armed Services & Security 9 3.4 Transport & Distribution 9 3.4 Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 7 2.7 Hairdressing & Beauty 6 2.3 Other Occupation Areas 12 4.6
Table 17: Top Occupational Areas (Male only)
Occupational Area Total % Construction 34 21.1 Engineering 24 14.9 Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 20 12.4 Garage Services 19 11.8 Retail & Sales Occupations 19 11.8 Animals, Land & Environment 8 5.0 Transport & Distribution 7 4.3 Admin & Management 7 4.3 Armed Services & Security 7 4.3 Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 7 4.3 Other Occupational Areas 9 5.6
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Table 18: Top Occupational Areas (Female only)
Occupational Area Total % Admin & Management 25 24.5 Retail & Sales Occupations 23 22.5 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 19 18.6 Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 18 17.6 Hairdressing & Beauty 5 4.9 Other Occupational Areas 12 11.8
Only the top occupational areas with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other areas are captured under “Other Occupational Areas”. Graph 19: Occupational Areas split by Gender
Retail & Sales Occupations 45% 55%
Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 53% 47%
Construction 100% 0%
Admin & Management 22% 78%
Engineering 100% 0%
Social, Caring & Advisory Services 5% 95%
Garage Services 100% 0%
Animals, Land & Environment 73% 27%
Armed Services & Security 78% 22%
Transport & Distribution 78% 22%
Male Female 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
The most popular area of employment entered by all school leavers is Retail & Sales Occupations with 16.0% of school leavers who enter employment taking up a position in this industry. The gender split of this area shows that mainly female leavers are working in this area with a 55/45% split. The next two most popular employment areas for school leavers this year are Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism (14.4%) followed by Construction (12.9%).
When examining occupational areas by gender we see that the top three areas for females are Admin & Management, Retail & Sales Occupations and Social, Caring & Advisory Services. With males, the top three areas are Construction, Engineering, and Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism.
21.1% of male leavers who enter employment enter Construction occupations, which equates to 34 leavers and 24.5% of female leavers enter Admin & Management occupations, which is the equivalent of 25 leavers.
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There is a gender imbalance in the occupational areas of Construction, Engineering and Garage Services with all leavers being male. For Social, Caring & Advisory Services the majority of leavers are female (95%).
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Section 3: Other Destinations
School leavers who do not achieve a positive destination on leaving school are key customers for Skills Development Scotland and our partner organisations. The school leaver extract is a snapshot in time and should only be used as an indicator.
Unemployed and seeking employment or training: This category includes those who are in contact with SDS and are known by them to be seeking employment or training. This is based on regular contact between SDS and the customer. This does not refer to the definition of ‘unemployed’ used by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) to calculate published unemployment rates This group also included some of those individuals undertaking personal skills developmentix.
Unemployed and not seeking employment or training: This category includes all those individuals who are not seeking employment or training for a range of reasons. These individual circumstances may involve sickness, prison, pregnancy, caring for children or other dependents or taking time out. Unemployed Seeking Leavers The table provides a comparison of the percentage of unemployed seeking customers with specific characteristics as opposed to the rate of the full leaver cohort. Table 20: Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics
% of Full % of Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics Leaver Unemployed Cohort Seeking
Gender Male 49.7 65.2 Female 50.3 34.8
Stage of Leaving Statutory Summer Leaver 9.6 21.7 Statutory Winter Leaver 7.1 15.2 Post Statutory Leaver 83.3 63.0
SIMD Decile (SIMD 2012) 1 (most deprived) 16.5 15.2 2 16.9 26.1 3 16.2 21.7 4 5.4 8.7 5 7.6 8.7 6 8.0 2.2 7 11.1 6.5 8 7.8 4.3 9 7.4 4.3 10 (least deprived) 2.1 0.0 Unknown 1.0 2.2 Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.
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Statutory winter leavers represent only 7.1% of the whole leaver cohort but are disproportionately represented within the leavers reported as unemployed seeking at 15.2%. A similar situation is evident for statutory summer leavers with 9.6% and 21.7% respectively. Although male leavers account for 49.7% of the leaving cohort, they account for 65.2% of leavers reported as unemployed seeking. Female leavers account for 50.3% of the leaving cohort with 34.8% of them being reported as unemployed seeking.
Table 21: Unemployed Seeking Leavers by Intermediate Data zone There were 46 leavers from North Ayrshire Council secondary schools who were reported as unemployed seeking in the leaver snapshot. By using postcode and SDS centre, we were able to identify that, at the snapshot 4 of these leavers were living outside the local authority area, however, a further 2 unemployed seeking school leavers from other local authority schools were residing within North Ayrshire Council boundaries. By using postcodes we were able to identify areas within the authority where unemployed school leavers were living. The analysis below is based on 43 leavers residing in the authority who could be mapped to an intermediate data zone based on their postcode. The table below shows the top intermediate data zones with the highest percentage of unemployed leavers.
Intermediate Data zonex Total % Ardrossan North East 5 12
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Unemployed Not Seeking Leavers There were 12 school leavers within this category. The highest proportion of leavers reported as unemployed not seeking are those who are pregnant. Those who have caring responsibilities for their own children or who were either pregnant represent 33.3% of the cohort.
Graph 22: Individual Circumstances of those Unemployed NOT Seeking
Carer Child; 0.0%
Carer Other; 16.7%
Choosing Not to Enter EET; 8.3%
Gap Year; 0.0%
In custody; 0.0%
Not Yet Ready to enter EET; 25.0%
Pregnant; 33.3%
Unavailable - Ill Health; 16.7%
Unconfirmed Leavers There was 1 school leaver whose destination was unconfirmed at the point the snapshot was extracted.
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Section 4: Percentage Destinations by School
The table that follows provides a percentage breakdown of destinations by Local Authority.
School
Positive (%) Positive
Total Total Leavers Higher Education (%) Further Education (%) (%) Training Employment (%) Voluntary (%) Work Activity Agreements (%) Unemployed (%) Seeking Unemployed Seeking Not (%) Unconfirmed (%)
Ardrossan Academy 164 27.4 43.3 1.8 20.1 0.6 0 6.1 0.6 0 93.3 Arran High School 58 36.2 13.8 1.7 46.6 0 0 1.7 0 0 98.3 Auchenharvie Academy 128 26.6 46.9 9.4 16.4 0 0 0 0.8 0 99.2 Garnock Academy 183 41 27.9 2.2 23.5 0 0 4.4 1.1 0 94.5 Greenwood Academy 272 36 45.2 1.5 13.2 0.4 0.4 2.6 0.7 0 96.7 Irvine Royal Academy 132 23.5 39.4 3 28 0 1.5 3 1.5 0 95.5 Kilwinning Academy 168 34.5 35.1 4.2 22 0 0 3 0.6 0.6 95.8 Largs Academy 203 53.7 23.2 0 18.2 2 0 2 1 0 97 St Matthew's Academy 221 38.5 38.5 2.3 17.2 0 0 3.2 0.5 0 96.4 North Ayrshire Total 1,529 36.4 36.4 2.6 20.2 0.4 0.2 3 0.8 0.1 96.1
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Report Section 2: National Training Programme Results Apr-Sep 2015
As part of SDS's move to becoming a provider of Official Statistics, all National Training Programmme statistics are now published separately on our website. In this way the reader will always be able to access the most recently published information.
The links below will take you to the most recently published information and our publication schedule shows when the next data will be released.
For the latest Modern Apprenticeship and Employability Fund statistics please click here.
Report Section 3: Characteristics of 16 – 19 Unemployed Seeking The information that follows relates to 16 – 19 year olds within the shared data set recorded as being unemployed seeking on 1st December 2015. The cohort comprises of individuals who have either been in contact with SDS during the last eight weeks or those who partners have informed us are unemployed seeking. It also contains 18/19 year olds who could be matched to data shared by the Department for Work and Pensions.
Unemployed Table 1: Unemployed Seeking, by gender & age Age Group No. Male % No. % Total % Age Female 15/16 9 56 7 44 16 10 17 34 71 14 29 48 31 18 25 69 11 31 36 24 19 36 68 17 32 53 35 Total 104 68 49 32 153 Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100%.
Individuals will enter and leave the unemployed group as their circumstances change. By looking at the customer journey recorded on our database we have identified that 80% (122) of those within the current unemployed seeking cohort had secured at least one positive destination since leaving school.
The unemployed group is fluid and table 2 provides an overview of the period of time customers have been recorded as unemployed seeking based on the start date of the newest unemployed seeking status.
Please note, we may have supported a customer for a period of time as unemployed seeking but after 8 weeks of non contact we would update their destination to unconfirmed. If we subsequently make contact with a customer, a new unemployed seeking status would be created. The duration in table 2 is measured from the newest point of contact or data being shared.
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Unemployed Table 2: Unemployed Seeking, by age & duration of current unemployed status
Age Group 0-3 months 3-6 months 6-12 months > 12 months Total 15/16 15 1 0 0 16 17 36 10 0 2 48 18 21 8 5 2 36 19 28 9 13 3 53 Total 100 (65%) 28 (18%) 18 (12%) 7 (5%) 153 Due to rounding totals may not equal 100%.
By comparison, table 3 is based upon the last participation recorded on our client management system. Participation includes school, further education, higher education, national training programmes, employment, activity agreement or voluntary work. The duration has been calculated from the end date of the last known positive destination to the date of the extract. If no positive destination has been recorded on our client management system then the duration has been calculated from the statutory school leaving date of the customer.
Unemployed Table 3: Unemployed Seeking, by age & duration since last positive status Age Group 0-3 months 3-6 months 6-12 months > 12 months Total 15/16 13 3 0 0 16 17 23 12 5 8 48 18 13 9 8 6 36 19 14 9 7 23 53 Total 63 (41%) 33 (22%) 20 (13%) 37 (24%) 153 Due to rounding totals may not equal 100%.
Using customer postcodes we can map information about the unemployed seeking cohort by SIMD decile and intermediate data zones as in Table 4 and 5 below:
Unemployed Table 4: Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 Ranking SIMD Most Deprived Least Deprived Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Not (2012) Known 41 41 38 7 9 6 4 2 3 0 2 33% 25% 21% 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3% 0% 2%
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Unemployed Table 5: Unemployed Seeking by Intermediate Datazone
Intermediate Data zone Total % Irvine Fullarton 11 7 Kilwinning Pennyburn 10 7 Kilwinning West and Blacklan 10 7 Ardrossan North East 9 6 Saltcoats North East 7 5 Kilwinning Central and North 7 5 Irvine Girdle Toll and Staneca 7 5 Kilbirnie North 6 4 Irvine Castlepark South 6 4 Irvine Castlepark North 6 4
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Background Notes
i Insight is an online benchmarking tool that can be accessed by schools and local authorities. Data supplied by SDS has been used to update the leaver destination content on Insight. The methodology used by Insight is slightly different to that used by SDS to report. These changes are minor at a national level. Further information about the differences can be found here: https://www.skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/media/38977/information_on_insight_in_relation_to_sldr.pdf Further information on Insight can be found here: http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Education/Schools/curriculum/seniorphasebenchmarking ii Positive Destinations: Positive Destinations have been defined by Scotland Performs in relation to the National Indicator - “Increase the proportion of young people in learning, training or work”. As from 2010/11, activity agreements became a separate position destination category.
Higher Education: This category includes all leavers who have entered University to study at degree level, or an FE/HE college to study at HNC/HND level. Leavers with a deferred, unconditional place in higher education have also been included in this category.
Further Education: This category includes all leavers who are studying at a non-advanced level and are not on a school roll e.g. National Qualifications, Access courses, portfolio preparation, pre-vocational courses or Highers or A Levels.
Training: This category includes leavers who are on a training course and in receipt of an allowance. This includes those participating in the SDS funded Employability programmes. It also includes those participating in placements through the community jobs fund. In addition, leavers who are in receipt of an allowance and the programme they are participating in, is not funded by SDS e.g. vocational programmes funded by local authorities or third sector organisations.
Employment: This category includes leavers who are employed and are in receipt of payment from their employers. It includes those undertaking formal training whilst in employment funded through modern apprenticeships. It also includes those who are Self Employed and those working on a part-time basis (less than 16 hours) who regard this employment as their main destination, irrespective of the hours worked.
Voluntary Work: Undertaking voluntary work/volunteering, this will involve a young person giving of his/her time and energy through a third party. It will benefit both the young person and others, including individuals, groups and organisations, communities, the environment and society at large. Some volunteering may include a financial allowance. Work experience that is not organised via a formal training programme and un-paid work would also be recorded here.
Activity Agreement: includes those leavers where there is an agreement between the young person and a trusted professional that the leaver will take part in a programme of learning and activity which helps them become ready for formal learning or employment. This is based on SDS’s knowledge of participation rates and may not match similar data held by local authorities who have the lead delivery role activity agreements. iii Percentage point(s) has been abbreviated to pp throughout this document. iv Unemployed Seeking: This category includes those who are in contact with SDS and are known by them to be seeking employment or training. This is based on regular contact between SDS and the customer. This does not refer to the definition of ‘unemployed’ used by the Department for Work and Pensions to calculate published unemployment rates. This group also included some of those individuals undertaking personal skills development. v Unconfirmed: An unconfirmed status applies to individuals for whom SDS holds a record but it has not been possible to identify an up-to-date status despite multi partner data sharing and tracking of individuals as part of service delivery. Partnership working aims to minimise the number of young people in this category, with professionals working together to identify and provide support to young people who need help to move into learning or work.
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vi The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD): SIMD identifies small area concentrations of multiple deprivation across all of Scotland in a consistent way. SDS uses a file created by Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics to identify SIMD based on an individual leaver’s postcode. The leaver’s postcode is based on the last known address of the leaver as recorded on our client management system. As the last known postcode is used it may be that a leaver from one local authority was living in another local authority at the time of the return. Therefore, the SIMD relates to where a leaver was living at the point of the return and not the concentration of SIMD within a local authority. The Scottish Government has a useful tool that helps identify SIMD areas: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/SIMD/SIMDInteractive. vii Stage of Leaving: A statutory summer leaver is a school leaver who chose to leave school at the earliest opportunity when they became eligible to leave school i.e. their 16th birthday fell on or between 1st March and 30th September in their year of leaving. A statutory winter leaver is a school leaver who chose to leave school at the earliest opportunity when they became eligible to leave school i.e. their 16th birthday fell between 1st October and the last day in February. A post statutory leaver is a school leaver who chose to remain at school passed their statutory leave date e.g. a winter leaver who would have been eligible to leave at the winter leave date but choose to remain at school until the summer leave date. Included in this group are leavers who have passed their statutory leave date and have left school at any stage throughout the year. viii Institutions: Through our follow up of leavers, SDS confirm Further and Higher Education destinations and as part of the leaver follow up process we request further information about the institution a leaver is attending. This is not a mandatory requirement and the information displayed is based on the recorded detail on the SDS customer records system and is provided as a guide only. As part of our data sharing processes with Further Education colleges and SAAS we will receive information about the institutions attended. Due to the timing of the follow up not all enrolments may be received from colleges. Therefore, the detail provided in this report may not fully match that held on institutions own MIS systems. Those leavers recorded in a Higher Education destination and their recorded institution was one of the colleges and research institutions that make up The University of the Highland and Islands their institution was updated to the UHI. However, Further Education destinations have been reported using the college description, where available. In addition, our reporting takes account of the sector’s regionalisation process and where possible the newly formed college name has been used within our reporting. ix Personal Skills Development: This status is split into two different categories – PSD (Employability) and PSD (Social & Health). Although the introduction of the participation measure deemed this status to be participating for leaver destinations we have been requested to continue to map this status to a traditional destination category. In2010/11, SDS provided the individual level detail of all recorded PSD statuses to the Scottish Government’s Education, Information and Analytical Services: Schools Unit and they returned the official leaver destination mapping. This has been used within these statistics. PSD (Employability): Those who participate in activities with the aim of improving their employability. These formal programmes will often be delivered by community learning and development or third sector organisation. Also included is the Work Programme via DWP. The courses will have a structured attendance pattern. PSD (Social & Health): Some young people may not be ready to enter the labour market and will require access to support from support services to make transitions into learning/ work or adulthood. This status relates to individuals who are undertaking structured opportunities appropriate to their long term needs or to address their barriers to participation. It includes those whose entry to opportunities will have been planned through the transition planning process and take account of the strengths, abilities, wishes and needs of the young person as well as identification of relevant support strategies which may be required. In addition, it includes individuals who are facing barriers to participation and are participating in “structured” support for the removal of barriers prior to concentrating on employability. Note: Within the context of Opportunities for All, all participation is positive; therefore the Personal Skills Development (Social & Health) status is regarded as participating, however, within leaver destination statistics this has been mapped to the unemployed not seeking destination category which maintains the time series within reporting..
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x Intermediate Data zone Geography: The data zone is the key small area statistical geography in Scotland. The intermediate geography is built up from data zones and can be used to disseminate statistics that are not suitable for release at the data zone level. Due to the small number of individuals it has been decided to use the intermediate level geography. There are 1,235 intermediate zones in Scotland, containing on average 4,000 household residents and these have been designed to respect local authority boundaries as at 2001 Census.
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