Consociationalism in Lebanon After the Independence Intifada
CONSOCIATIONALISM IN LEBANON AFTER THE INDEPENDENCE INTIFADA EXTERNAL THREATS AND POLITICAL STABILITY: A REVERSED RELATIONSHIP? By Elisabeta-Cristina Dinu Submitted to Central European University School of Public Policy In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MA in Public Policy Supervisor: Prof. Nikolai Sitter Budapest, Hungary CEU eTD Collection 2018 I, the undersigned Elisabeta-Cristina Dinu, hereby declare that I am the sole author of this thesis. To the best of my knowledge this thesis contains no material previously published by any other person except where due acknowledgement has been made. This thesis contains no material which has been accepted as part of the requirements of any other academic degree or non-degree program, in English or in any other language. This is a true copy of the thesis, including final revisions. June 14, 2018 Elisabeta-Cristina Dinu CEU eTD Collection i ABSTRACT Although consociationalism literature argues the existence of foreign threats to the political system should increase elite cooperation and political stability, after 2005 Lebanon did not follow this pattern. By implying ‘foreign threats’ are objective and shared among political elites, consociationalism literature entails a traditional approach to security. Since in Lebanon the principal focus of insecurity is society, political parties are securitizing actors and disagree fundamentally on how to build security for Lebanon. The study explains why political instability increased in Lebanon after the pull-out of Syrian troops, by exploring the relation between elite perceptions of security threats and political stability. Based on the critical realist paradigm, the study locates the external threat at the empirical level, political stability at the actual level and the relation between the two at the causal level.
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