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E3S Web of Conferences 40, 03011 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20184003011 River Flow 2018

Hydraulic potential of the Lower ()

Michal Szydlowski1,*, Romuald Szymkiewicz1, Dariusz Gasiorowski1, Jakub Hakiel1, and Piotr Zima1 1Gdansk University of Technology, Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering (GUT), Gabriela Narutowicza 11/12 80-233 Gdansk, Poland

Abstract. The Vistula is the largest river in Poland. Lower Vistula (part of the river discussed in this paper) is almost four hundred kilometers long river section extending from the tributary to the outflow to the . In the 17th century the Vistula was the most navigable river in . After partitioning of Poland the Vistula lost its significance. Now the Lower Vistula should provide a navigation connection to the Europe forming water routes E70 and E40. However it does not meet the criteria required for the international waterways. Moreover, the river has a quite large hydro-energy potential. There have been many plans for the development of the Lower Vistula River so far. Unfortunately none of them has been implemented. In this paper, the authors would like to present their own arguments to reactivate the Lower Vistula Cascade (LVC) project. In order to analyse the LVC idea and Lower Vistula hydraulic potential, a numerical hydraulic model of the Lower Vistula was developed at the Department of Hydraulic Engineering of Gdansk University of Technology. Various aspects of the LVC concept, such a potential inland waterways, hydropower, flood control and water retention, are discussed in the article.

1. Introduction The Vistula River is one of great European rivers. Its length is 1047 km. Its river bed is totally located inside of the Polish borders. Similarly, major part (ca 87 %) of its total catchment area equal to 194000 km2 belongs to Poland. The average discharge in its mouth to Baltic Sea is estimated as equal to 1080 m3s-1, whereas the total annual outflow of waters coming from the atmospheric precipitations and introduced by Vistula to sea is approximately equal to 34 km3. Insignificant degree of making use of the Vistula River potential makes essential difference comparing with others great European rivers. In current Polish economy the Vistula River practically does not take any part. Years ago, in XV, XVI and XVII century, the Vistula River played essential role. In the Middle centuries it was one of the most important European waterways. Unfortunately, many different (political, economical and geophysical) factors and processes acting for long times caused that currently there is a great difference between the Vistula River and other European rivers. For many reasons the most interesting for economical use of the Vistula River is its Lower part of length equal about 400 km, called the Lower Vistula. It is considered from cross section to the Gulf of

* Corresponding author: [email protected]

© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). E3S Web of Conferences 40, 03011 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20184003011 River Flow 2018

Gdansk. After the end of the 2nd World War there was undertaken many times idea of exploitation of the Lower Vistula River. This idea was dealing with construction of a cascade of dams and reservoirs. The only effect of undertaken project of a cascade is the Wloclawek barrage finished in 1970 and which is the only its element still working alone. Recently the Polish authorities made a decision on the second dam which will be located downstream the Wloclawek one. At the present time the question of economic use of the lower Vistula River became particularly important because intensively developed the Port of Gdansk, located at the mouth of Vistula River, will soon need additional connection in the form of waterway with the center of Poland. On the other hand, while discussion dealing with the Vistula River, usually only general opinions and arguments are presented. It seems to the authors that it would be better if such discussions were supported at least by the results of basic hydraulic analysis. To this order, the authors would like to present their own (hydraulic) arguments to reactivate the barrage cascade project. Various aspects of the concept, such creation of the potential inland waterway, hydropower, flood control and water retention, are discussed in the article.

2. Lower Vistula Cascade model The Lower Vistula includes the 391 km river section (Fig. 1) from the mouth of Narew (550.5 km) to the Balic Sea (941.5 km). In the analysed section the largest right hand side tributaries are: Narew (328 m3s-1), Drweca (45 m3s-1), and Osa (7 m3s-1). The largest left-hand tributaries are: (23 m3s-1), (22 m3s-1), (11 m3s-1) and (8 m3s-1). The average flow rate of the Vistula River at outflow cross section is 1080 m3s-1.

Fig. 1. Lower Vistula system with LVC barrages concept

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Gdansk. After the end of the 2nd World War there was undertaken many times idea of In the 1950s a concept was developed for the Lower Vistula of a cascade of barrages. The exploitation of the Lower Vistula River. This idea was dealing with construction of a cascade Lower Vistula Cascade (LVC) at the section from Wyszogrod to was originally of dams and reservoirs. The only effect of undertaken project of a cascade is the Wloclawek designed as a system of eight barrages, further expanded with the Grudziadz barrage and the barrage finished in 1970 and which is the only its element still working alone. Recently the Warsaw barrage (Fig. 1). The LVC concept had changed over the years, and the changes Polish authorities made a decision on the second dam which will be located downstream the focused mainly on the number of barrages and their locations, and the damming levels Wloclawek one. adopted for them. A detailed and historical account of the LVC project’s various At the present time the question of economic use of the lower Vistula River became modifications in 1957–2009 can be found in [1]. Out of the whole cascade system only one particularly important because intensively developed the Port of Gdansk, located at the mouth barrage was developed in Wloclawek, with construction completed in 1970. of Vistula River, will soon need additional connection in the form of waterway with the center An initiative to reactivate the project of another LVC barrage has been taken by Energa of Poland. On the other hand, while discussion dealing with the Vistula River, usually only SA (electric energy operator) and Gdansk University of Technology (GUT) [2]. In order to general opinions and arguments are presented. It seems to the authors that it would be better analyse the proposed LVC impact on flow conditions, a hydraulic model of the Lower Vistula if such discussions were supported at least by the results of basic hydraulic analysis. To this was developed at the Department of Hydraulic Engineering of GUT. The LVC river flow order, the authors would like to present their own (hydraulic) arguments to reactivate the simulations were determined on the basis of hydraulic calculations made using the software barrage cascade project. Various aspects of the concept, such creation of the potential inland package of HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Centre – River Analysis System) [3]. The waterway, hydropower, flood control and water retention, are discussed in the article. model of the Vistula River was developed based on details of the river bed geometry (325 river cross-sections), roughness coefficients of individual design sections, and tributaries inflows. In addition, the model has included the existing hydro engineering facilities ( 2. Lower Vistula Cascade model and Wloclawek barrage) and the proposed development of LVC barrages (Tab. 1). For the The Lower Vistula includes the 391 km river section (Fig. 1) from the mouth of Narew (550.5 purpose of this analysis it was assumed that the cascade is made up of nine barrages located km) to the Balic Sea (941.5 km). In the analysed section the largest right hand side tributaries at the section from Wyszogrod (584.0 km) to Tczew (903.5 km), including the existing are: Narew (328 m3s-1), Drweca (45 m3s-1), and Osa (7 m3s-1). The largest left-hand tributaries barrage in Wloclawek (Fig. 1), and the Warsaw barrage (539.5 km). It was also assumed that are: Bzura (23 m3s-1), Brda (22 m3s-1), Wda (11 m3s-1) and Wierzyca (8 m3s-1). The average the reservoirs will be bounded with side dams, natural high banks of the valley and the current flow rate of the Vistula River at outflow cross section is 1080 m3s-1. line of . In Table 1 basic details of LVC barrages chosen for hydraulic calculations are listed. The calculations were made for steady and unsteady flows. Table 1. Barrages parameters in the adopted LVC concept.

River Normal Max Min Flow Weir cross- water water water rate crest Dam section stage stage stage

(km) (m3s-1) (m a.s.l.) Tczew 903.5 1046 11.0 12.5 10.5 3.2 876.3 1037 18.5 20.0 18.0 10.7 Grudziadz 829.5 1027 25.5 27.0 25.0 17.7 Chelmno 801.5 1013 32.5 34.0 32.0 24.7 Solec Kuj. 758.0 986 41.0 42.5 40.5 33.2 Siarzewo 707.9 914 46.0 46.5 45.3 38.2 Wloclawek 674.8 911 57.3 58.5 56.5 50.5 Plock 618.0 942 64.0 65.5 63.5 56.2 Wyszogrod 584.0 886 70.5 72.0 70.0 62.7 Warsaw 539.5 549 81.0 82.5 80.5 73.2

In addition to barrage cascade, the bridges crossings the river were taken into account in the Lower Vistula model. There are 19 structures like road, railway and road-rail bridges from km 540 to km 941 of this river segment. Characteristic flow rates, necessary to calculate flow parameters in steady flow Fig. 1. Lower Vistula system with LVC barrages concept conditions, were estimated at gauge cross-sections, as well as at cross-sections corresponding

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to te ocatio o esie cascae as e vaues o rooic o rates are presete i ae

Table 2. aracteristic ea aua o rates ao oer istua ross ea o o o sectio ocatio rate s rate s arsa oi soro epa osa oc ocae iareo oru oec uj eo ruia ie ce io

e sape o te potetica oo ave use i te ustea o aasis as eterie usi te arsa iversit o ecoo eto e otaie potetica oo aves it pea vaues eua to s or proaiities o eceeace respective a uratio aout to ots ere use i te roaic ustea oe as te upper ouar coitio

3. Hydraulic calculations rauic cacuatios ere perore irst to eterie o coitios or to variats o te eveopet o te oer istua e cacuatios or te curret state ere ae to eterie te sape o te ater tae proies or ea o rates te cacuatios te ocae a as tae ito accout ere te ora ater stae as ipose e i orer to eterie te ipact o te aopte eveopet o te o coitios siuatios o ater o it te eisti rie structures a ocae arrae as e as te assue ro eieeri structures ave ee perore e cacuate ater stae proies or ea aua o rate are so i iure or aost ears ocae as ee operati as a sie a uc a state o or icosistet it te assuptios aopte i te oriia project as cause a uavorae processes suc as itesive erosio o te otto ic eraes te river e ostrea te arrae a cocrete eeets o te a eative eects o te ac o te a cascae are e visie o te oituia proie o te river so i iure uc a situatio a previous etioe processes ave reuce te saet o te etire aciit a te o a to peraet esure structure saet as to cosier te costructio o a ostrea a raisi ater tae to aove sea eve uc a soutio iareo arrae as esie a accepte ois overet ast ear s i te case o ocae a te saet o te etire epes o te rauic support o eac o te a s so rauic cacuatios i te paraeters assue or aasis a uaratee rauic support o as ic i esure sae operati coitios or iiviua structures

4 E3S Web of Conferences 40, 03011 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20184003011 River Flow 2018 to te ocatio o esie cascae as e vaues o rooic o rates are presete i ae

Table 2. aracteristic ea aua o rates ao oer istua ross ea o o o sectio ocatio rate s rate s arsa oi soro epa osa oc

ocae iareo Fig. 2. acuate oer istua ater staes i preset state a it cocept oru iportat issue reate to te rauics o te oer istua is te eveopet o ia oec uj ater trasport propose te uropea io oa it is pae to ui tree eo ruia iteratioa ateras coecti te atic ea it te aue i ratisava ie coecti te atic ea it te ac ea a costituti te astest uropea ce couicatio route coecti aipea it terp e istua iver iti te tass io o te uropea io is uaiie to te atera s part o te eveopet o te ois sectio o tis atera it is reuire to aitai te aviae route o iteratioa e sape o te potetica oo ave use i te ustea o aasis as eterie cass t sou aso e ote tat te a ateras ave a coo sectio o te usi te arsa iversit o ecoo eto e otaie potetica oo istua ro as to osc atera it te status o a iteratioa ater aves it pea vaues eua to s or proaiities o eceeace route ust eet soe tecica reuireets irst te iiu trasit ept or te respective a uratio aout to ots ere use i te roaic atera o iteratioa cass is o test te uiet o tis coitio o te ustea oe as te upper ouar coitio aase sectio o te river te resuts o cacuatios o te averae ept i te oer istua iver e or te preset state it te iiu trasit ept ere copare as so i iure 3. Hydraulic calculations rauic cacuatios ere perore irst to eterie o coitios or to variats o te eveopet o te oer istua e cacuatios or te curret state ere ae to eterie te sape o te ater tae proies or ea o rates te cacuatios te ocae a as tae ito accout ere te ora ater stae as ipose e i orer to eterie te ipact o te aopte eveopet o te o coitios siuatios o ater o it te eisti rie structures a ocae arrae as e as te assue ro eieeri structures ave ee perore e cacuate ater stae proies or ea aua o rate are so i iure or aost ears ocae as ee operati as a sie a uc a state o or icosistet it te assuptios aopte i te oriia project as cause a uavorae processes suc as itesive erosio o te otto ic eraes te river e ostrea te arrae a cocrete eeets o te a eative eects o te ac o te a cascae are e visie o te oituia proie o te river so i iure uc Fig. 3. acuate ater ept i preset river state or o a ea aua o rates a it aapte a situatio a previous etioe processes ave reuce te saet o te etire aciit cocept a te o a to peraet esure structure saet as to cosier te costructio o a ostrea a raisi ater tae to aove sea eve uc a soutio iareo ept cacuatios ere ae or to caracteristic o rates te ea a o aua os s it ca e see or ea o rates te ept i te cae is reater ta te arrae as esie a accepte ois overet ast ear s i te case o iiu trasit ept o te sectios ostrea a ao te ocae reservoir ocae a te saet o te etire epes o te rauic support o eac o te sectio upstrea ocae reservoir te epts are too sa to provie te esire te a s so rauic cacuatios i te paraeters assue or iteratioa atera cass t sou aso e etioe tat te uratio o te ea aua aasis a uaratee rauic support o as ic i esure sae operati os o te istua iver is o sit over as a ear te case o o os coitios or iiviua structures

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occurri i te river te epts ecee te vaue ecessar or te iteratioa atera o o te sectio o te ocae reservoir a i te reio o te estuar to te sea e outate ata so tat te iiu trasit ept or a atera it a iteratioa cass it ea a o ater eves caot e esure oterise ta cascai te river coectio it te aove ept cacuatios or te cocept ere ae a aai corote it te ecessar trasit ept i e cacuatios coire tat cascai o te river uaratees te creatio o a atera it paraeters reuire or te iteratioa cass te oca cacuate ept o te sectio ear arsa is ess ta ic eas tat i te case o cascae costructio oca rei ors i e eee reate to te appropriate sapi o te otto e atera cassiicatio aso icues istace etee rie structure a ater tae e iiu istace or te iteratioa cass is asis o cacuate ater tae proies or aopte sos tat tis coitio i ot e et tree structures a e otora rie i ruia it a istace o rie i osc it a istace o a a rie isusieo i oru it a istace o eeti te iteratioa cass reuireets i reatio to te istace uer tese ries i reuire recostructio o tese aciities ries i oru a osc or cai te ocatio o te a ear ruia orer to eterie te ro poer potetia or eac arrae te aiu a iiu output poers ere eterie as e as averae aua eer output at output poer or eac poer pat ere eterie ater te ooi orua

P  9.81 Qe  H n

ere P – output poer η – overa pat eiciec Qe – iscare trou pat s H – et ater ea

Table 3. poer a aua eer outputs or various aiu os trou pat Qea o trou i poer a poer er output poer pat Pi Pa E Qea s

e etais o ropoer potetia cacuatio ere presete i e areate poer a eer outputs o sste icui a te arraes o or te aase os trou te poer pats are presete i ae e arest tota aiu poer o ca e acieve it te pats iscare capacit o s e respective averae aua eer output o a arraes is e costructio o i te variat presete i tis paper eas te creatio o ie e retetio reservoirs ic coie it te proper cotro o ater staes uri te passae o oo aves i ive a siiicat eect o reuci te cuiatio o te ave a tus reuce te oo ris i te istua vae is cocusio as coire te resuts o oei stea os a te trasoratio o oo aves t sou e epasie tat te costructio o a u uer te assuptios aopte at or i resut i a oo retetio it a vaue o te orer o iio e tota oo retetio i aic coitios o oo ave trasitios as estiate at aout iio reatio to te tota voues o te arest oo aves coute i iio tis is ot a vaue uarateei te tota retetio o eac ave oever cacuate reuctio o te

6 E3S Web of Conferences 40, 03011 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/20184003011 River Flow 2018 occurri i te river te epts ecee te vaue ecessar or te iteratioa atera o o te sectio o te ocae reservoir a i te reio o te estuar to te sea e outate ata so tat te iiu trasit ept or a atera it a iteratioa cass it ea a o ater eves caot e esure oterise ta cascai te river coectio it te aove ept cacuatios or te cocept 4. Hydraulic effects of LVC construction ere ae a aai corote it te ecessar trasit ept i e cacuatios coire tat cascai o te river uaratees te creatio o a atera it paraeters 4.1. Safety of Wloclawek dam reuire or te iteratioa cass te oca cacuate ept o te sectio ear arsa is ess ta ic eas tat i te case o cascae costructio oca rei ors i e eee reate to te appropriate sapi o te otto e atera cassiicatio aso icues istace etee rie structure a ater tae e iiu istace or te iteratioa cass is asis o cacuate ater tae proies or aopte sos tat tis coitio i ot e et tree structures a e otora rie i ruia it a istace o rie i osc it a istace o a a rie isusieo i oru it a istace o eeti te iteratioa cass reuireets i reatio to te istace uer tese ries i reuire recostructio o tese aciities ries i oru a osc or cai te ocatio o te a ear ruia 4.2. Protection against flooding of the Lower Vistula valley orer to eterie te ro poer potetia or eac arrae te aiu a iiu output poers ere eterie as e as averae aua eer output at output poer or eac poer pat ere eterie ater te ooi orua P  9.81 Qe  H n ere P – output poer η – overa pat eiciec Qe – iscare trou pat s H – et ater ea Table 3. poer a aua eer outputs or various aiu os trou pat Qea o trou 4.3. Lower Vistula as an inland waterway i poer a poer er output poer pat Pi Pa E Qea s e etais o ropoer potetia cacuatio ere presete i e areate poer a eer outputs o sste icui a te arraes o or te aase os trou te poer pats are presete i ae e arest tota aiu poer o ca e acieve it te pats iscare capacit o s e respective averae aua eer output o a arraes is e costructio o i te variat presete i tis paper eas te creatio o ie e retetio reservoirs ic coie it te proper cotro o ater staes uri 4.4. Lower Vistula as a source of electricity te passae o oo aves i ive a siiicat eect o reuci te cuiatio o te ave a tus reuce te oo ris i te istua vae is cocusio as coire te resuts o oei stea os a te trasoratio o oo aves t sou e epasie tat te costructio o a u uer te assuptios aopte at or i resut i a oo retetio it a vaue o te orer o iio e tota oo retetio i aic coitios o oo ave trasitios as estiate at aout iio reatio to te tota voues o te arest oo aves coute i iio tis is ot a vaue uarateei te tota retetio o eac ave oever cacuate reuctio o te

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4.5. Reservoir retention and water supply

5. Conclusions

6. Impact of the research on the policy decisions

References 3/16 5 HEC-RAS 5.0 River Analysis System, Hydraulic Reference Manual A methodology for calculating flows and maximum flows with specified maximum exceedance probability for controlled and uncontrolled catchments, and for identifying rainfall to runoff transition models 1/22

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