Decision Modeling and Applications to Major League Baseball Pitcher Substitution
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by D-Scholarship@Pitt ©American Society For Engineering Management Conference Proceedings, 12-15 November 2008. DECISION MODELING AND APPLICATIONS TO MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL PITCHER SUBSTITUTION Natalie M. Scala, M.S., University of Pittsburgh _____________________________________________________________________________________________ Abstract team change pitchers, and allowing another batter to Relief pitcher substitution is an integral part of a make a plate appearance. Because the DH rule Major League Baseball game as once a pitcher is applies, the pitcher does not bat, and their model does changed, he cannot reenter the game. The decision to not need to consider the situation of PH for a pitcher. change a pitcher involves many factors and Hirotsu and Wright’s (2004) second paper extends influences, including, but not limited to, the batter’s their first model to incorporate the potential for handedness, the state of the game, the pitcher’s pitcher substitution—that is, the pitcher has to bat in tiredness, and the pitchers available in the bullpen. the offensive lineup unless substituted for a PH. This This research examines the influences that affect a model considers defensive and offensive aspects of manager’s decision to substitute a pitcher and the game and considers a pitcher’s defensive ability. presents an Analytic Hierarchy Process model to both Their third paper incorporates handedness into their incorporate these influences and analytically previous model but does not consider substitutions determine the best pitcher substitution, i.e., the best made by the opposing team (Hirotsu and Wright, choice of pitcher to face a given batting line-up.
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