Weekly Report
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INTERCITY BROKER JSC WEEKLY REPORT BROKER-DEALER COMPANY Member of Belgrade Stock Exchange th th Member of Central Securities Depository and Clearing house December 06 – 10 , 2 0 1 0 52 Maksima Gorkog St., Belgrade, Serbia +381 (11) 3083-100, 3087-862; Fax: +381 (11) 3083-150 e-mail: [email protected]; www.icbbg.rs Imlek to redeem its own shares Previous week, on BSE, huge total turnover has been recorded, Fluctuation of Stock Exchange double more than the week before. Indices in the Region (1-m Change) The most traded shares on BSE were the shares of AIK banka Nis (AIKB) and the shares of Naftna industrija Srbije, Novi Sad (NIIS). (%) Investors are expecting Q4 to be pretty good for AIK banka, Nis 6 (AIKB) . Accordingly, this was the main reason for significant turnover of the shares last week. Total turnover worth has been 5 about EUR 2.03m with weekly price increase by 4%. The current price of RSD 3,501 is the highest level in this year. Mr. Ljubisa 4 Jovanovic, Member of the Board of AIK banka stated that the Bank’s assets will increase by 10% on y-o-y basis though the plan 3 was 5%. In addition, the profit will surge in accordance with the budgeted value and will worth RSD 6.2bn (EUR 57m) in 2010. 2 On the other side, shares of Serbian oil giant, Naftna industrija Srbije (NIIS) have recorded total trading worth about EUR 2.06 1 mil. The price has made increase of 1.24% on a weekly level. The price fluctuated from RSD 483-490, and the current price is RSD 0 488. The shares of Serbian dairy giant, Imlek, Beograd (IMLK) have -19-Nov 15-Nov 21-Nov 27-Nov 3-Dec 9-Dec surged by 16.21% on weekly level, and the highest level was RSD 2,000 last week. On Friday, Imlek Company (IMLK) announced -2 the Offer for redemption of the own shares. The price is RSD 1,900, period from December 11, 2010 to January 12, 2011. -3 It is important to point out that Listing and Quotation Committee of BSE announced the Decision that the Issuer – Tigar Company -4 from, Pirot (TIGR) met the liquidity requirements for the Issuer’s shares admitted to listing „A” – Prime Market. The Decision was -5 made after trading of 40,000 shares which were recorded on BELEX 15 ZSE TOP 10 SBI TOP trading session held on December, 6th. The price of Tigar shares was down at RSD 660 level, and that was decline by 5,71% on a BIRS NEX 20 weekly level. On a weekly level, Belex15 Index, the benchmark encompassing Source: Official Websites Analysis: Intercity broker JSC the most liquid shares of the BSE, has recorded pretty good increase in its value by 1.38%, while the Belexline has made up move by 0.91%. Belex15 Belexline 680 1.290 670 1.280 660 1.270 650 1.260 640 1.250 630 1.240 620 610 1.230 5-Nov 13-Nov 21-Nov 29-Nov 7-Dec 5-Nov 13-Nov 21-Nov 29-Nov 7-Dec Most Active Stocks of the Week CONTINUOUS TRADING METHOD (without block transactions) Top Gainers/Losers of the Week Traded value Change Change Issuer Symbol Issuer Issuer (in EUR) (%) (%) JSC Čačanska JSC Komercijalna JSC NIS Novi Sad NIIS 2,057,368.32 +19.03% -16.67% banka banka JSC Globos JSC Privredna JSC AIK banka Niš AIKB 2,034,965.97 +16.79% -10.22% osiguranje banka Ratko Mitrović JSC RMBG 309,419.97 Beograd JSC Imlek, Beograd +16.21% JSC Simpo, Vranje -7.53% JSC Progres, JSC Tigar Pirot TIGR 271,563.75 JSC Vital, Vrbas +11.71% -7.44% Beograd JSC Politika, JSC DIN fabrika JSC Imlek Beograd IMLK 233,757.11 +5.38% -6.34% Beograd Duvana Business News of the Week News from the Belgrade Stock Exchange (BSE) Chinese CMEC and TE KO Kostolac to sign agreement worth 344.63 million dollars on December 8 ► Decision on the fulfillment of liquidity requirements - Tigar a.d. Chinese CMEC and TE KO Kostolac will sign tomorrow Pirot , (TIGR) in the Government of Serbia an agreement on http://www.belex.rs/data/2010/12/00066087_E.pdf implementation of the first phase of the project of Kostolac B Steam Power Plant, worth 344.63 million ► GA Meeting scheduled on 28.12.2010. - Komercijalna banka dollars. As the people at the Electric Power Company of a.d. , Beograd Serbia (EPS) announced, the agreement envisages revitalization of the blocks 1 and 2 in Kostolac B, construction of a desulfurization system for these units, Foreign Investors Participation in Total Turnover as well as construction of a river port and railway. The deadline for completion of all works is 30 months from the day the agreement is signed and the loan is 100% provided. Implementation of the project is of crucial 90% importance for revitalization of the two blocks of 350 MW, which should extend the life of the power plant for 80% a further ten years. Upon the signing of the agreement, 70% the Government of Serbia should negotiate with Chinese Exim Bank on the loan for implementation of 60% the first phase of this project. (SEEBIZ) 50% Serbia asked for linear increase of IPA funds 40% Deputy Prime Minister for European Integrations Bozidar Djelic suggested yesterday in Brussels that the 30% funding from the European funds for countries aspiring 20% to membership in the Union should begin to increase 10% linearly and that the EU should provide guarantees for the budgets of these countries, it is announced on the 0% website of the Government of Serbia.The Deputy Prime 6-Dec 7-Dec 8-Dec 9-Dec 10-Dec Minister, who is attending the IPA regional conference themed “Sustainable outcomes and impacts”, said that Total FIS b-FIS s-FIS FIB Europe was beginning to think about the ways of financing the Western Balkans and Turkey in the coming Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange Analysis: Intercity broker eight years.- Therefore, it is essentially important that the two presented ideas were well-received - he Foreign investor’s participation in turnover of shares (FIS) on the said.The Deputy Prime Minister explained that financial buy-side (b-FIS) hit the highest point on December 8th (73.64%). support should be provided for the countries seeking EU membership linearly throughout the upcoming years. - On weekly level, foreign investors participated in total b-FIS That would mean that instead of the official €200 million, 59.95% and in total s-FIS 32.92%. Serbia could receive from the IPA funds 300, 500, 600, 800 million euros in the years to come in order to get better prepared for admission to the EU - he explained. - Another idea is to give guarantees to the EU for Serbia’s budget so that we could borrow money in the capital Republic of Serbia Bonds (Weekly Change & Yield) market under the same conditions that apply to the EU, including an interest rate of around 1% per year - Djelic said. (Ekapija) EBRD invests over 500 million euros in Serbia in December December Change Series Yield 2011 03 10 % Support to the projects in the sectors of energy and infrastructure will be again in the focus of activities of the A2011 97.79 97.88 0.09% 4.65% European Bank for Reconstruction and Development in Serbia next year, while small and mid-sized enterprises A2012 93.51 93.42 -0.10% 4.73% will be helped with the loans that will be granted to A2013 88.82 89.20 0.43% 4.73% commercial banks for on-lending. The EBRD, which registers a growth of investment in our country, hopes A2014 85.56 85.69 0.15% 4.55% that the level of investment in 2011 will again exceed 500 million euros, people at the EBRD told eKapija. The A2015 81.63 81.89 0.32% 4.57% European Bank for Reconstruction and Development A2016 78.52 79.40 1.12% 4.30% has, so far, invested over 2.3 billion euros in our Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange country. When asked for the opinion about the privatization of Telekom, people at the EBRD said that they welcomed the decision on sale. (Ekapija) Republic of Serbia T-Bills Middle Exchange Rate E U R / R S D 107,5 (RSD) At the auction of 18-month T-Bills held on December 07, 2010 – worth RSD 250 m (EUR 2.33 m) was sold at 107,3 the interest rate of 14.39% p.a. The government securities will mature on June 07, 2012. 107,0 106,8 At the auction of 6-month T-Bills held on December 09, 2010 – worth RSD 2.24 bln (EUR 20.94 bln) was sold at the interest rate of 13.69% p.a. The government 106,5 securities will mature on June 09, 2011. 05.11.2010. 12.11.2010 19.11.2010 26.11.2010 03.12.2010 10.12.2010 Source: National Bank of Serbia DISCLAIMER: The information and any opinions, estimates and forecasts have been obtained from sources believed by Intercity broker to be reliable but without representation or warranty express or implied is made by us as to their accuracy or completeness. This report is provided only for information purposes. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. The information, opinions, estimates and forecasts may well be affected by subsequent changes in market conditions.