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DOBBER’S 2010-11 FANTASY GUIDE DOBBERHOCKEY.COM – HOME OF THE TOP 300 FANTASY PLAYERS I think we’re at the point in the fantasy hockey universe where DobberHockey.com is either known in a fantasy league, or the GM’s are sleeping. Besides my column in The Hockey News’ Ultimate Pool Guide, and my contributions to this year’s Score Forecaster (fifth year doing each), I put an ad in McKeen’s. That covers the big three hockey pool magazines and you should have at least one of them as part of your draft prep. The other thing you need, of course, is this Guide right here. It is not only updated throughout the summer, but I also make sure that the features/tidbits found in here are unique. I know what’s in the print mags and I have always tried to set this Guide apart from them. Once again, this is an automatic download – just pick it up in your downloads section. Look for one or two updates in August, then one or two updates between September 1st and 14th. After that, when training camp is in full swing, I will be updating every two or three days right into October. Make sure you download the latest prior to heading into your draft (and don’t ask me on one day if I’ll be updating the next day – I get so many of those that I am unable to answer them all, just download as late as you can). Any updates beyond this original release will be in bold blue. BUT, as usual, on September 17 (to save your ink, for those who print this) the bold blue will be removed. Any updates after September 17 will again be in bold blue – so if you want to know what has been updated prior to September 17, make sure you download this again by that date. I will not be highlighting my line combo changes, because potentially the entire chart will turn blue. I will list all the changes at the end of the guide, although on September 17, I will delete this list and start over. Still coming to you picture-free. I want to squeeze as much gold into this preseason fantasy primer as I can. Inserting an awesome action shot of Patrick Kane going top shelf would just take up space that could be used to give you more data. Enjoy the read. Enjoy the early lead. Then enjoy your trophy. Dobber [email protected] Dobber’s 2010/11 Fantasy Hockey Guide Published and Distributed on August 1, 2010 (Fifth Edition) Editor-in-Chief: Darryl Dobbs Senior Writers: Jeff Angus, Matthew Bugg, Russ Miller Columnists: Ryan Ma, Justin Goldman, Ian Fergusson, Brent Lemon and Ryan Van Horne Statisticians: Darryl Dobbs, Jason Arbuthnot Designer: Hemwanti Parasram DobberHockey Graphics Designer: Glen Hoos DobberBaseball Editor-in-Chief: Dan Snyder www.dobberhockey.com Rule Your Pool! Page 2 CONTENTS SLEEPER PICKS – WESTERN CONFERENCE Pg4 MINNESOTA Pg49 SLEEPER PICKS – EASTERN CONFERENCE Pg 6 MONTREAL Pg51 2010 PROSPECTS REPORT – REVISITED Pg8 NASHVILLE Pg53 ROOKIES TO WATCH Pg10 NEW JERSEY Pg55 ONE-WAY VS. TWO-WAY CONTRACTS Pg12 LONG ISLAND Pg57 PENALTY MINUTE MONSTERS Pg15 NEW YORK Pg59 ON THE DECLINE Pg17 OTTAWA Pg61 UNDER-THE-RADAR GOALIES Pg19 PHILADELPHIA Pg63 ANAHEIM Pg21 PHOENIX Pg65 ATLANTA Pg23 PITTSBURGH Pg67 BOSTON Pg25 SAN JOSE Pg69 BUFFALO Pg27 ST. LOUIS Pg71 CALGARY Pg29 TAMPA BAY Pg73 CAROLINA Pg31 TORONTO Pg75 CHICAGO Pg33 VANCOUVER Pg77 COLORADO Pg35 WASHINGTON Pg79 COLUMBUS Pg37 UNRESTRICTED FREE AGENTS Pg81 DALLAS Pg39 GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADING Pg83 DETROIT Pg41 DOBBER’S CALDER TROPHY PICKS Pg85 EDMONTON Pg43 2009 PRESEASON SCORING LEADERS Pg87 FLORIDA Pg45 PREDICTED GOALS FOR BY TEAM Pg88 LOS ANGELES Pg47 PREDICTED STANDINGS Pg90 ADDED/CHANGES LIST Pg92 www.dobberhockey.com Rule Your Pool! Page 3 THE WILD WEST By Ryan Ma Dreaming of winning a fantasy championship? Allow me to play the role of Leonardo DiCaprio and insert a few thoughts into your dreams. Following along the same lines as last year, here are a few of the “sleeper” candidates that you need to be aware of in 2010-11. 2010-11 Sleeper Picks – Western Conference Joffrey Lupul – RW, Anaheim – Lupul disappointed many fantasy owners with an injury plagued season last campaign, but there were definitely some positives. In the 23 contests that he did suit up for, he spent 36.25 percent of his shifts with Ryan Getzlaf and 29.78 percent with Corey Perry. If you pro-rated his stats to a full 82-games, he would have had 50 points, 64 PIMs and 235 SOG, which wouldn’t have been a bad investment as a bench third winger. Look for a bounce back season from Loops if he can overcome his back issue. Mark Giordano – D, Calgary – Giordano really took a big step forward in his offensive development as he cracked the 30-point plateau for the first time in his NHL career. Jay Bouwmeester and Robyn Regehr are more stay-at-home blue-liners than offensive threats, which should open the door for Giordano to be more offensively focused in 2010-11. I’d look for a 35-point, 100 PIM campaign from 26-year-old. Viktor Stalberg – LW, Chicago – The Hawks had their “fire sale” this off-season and out the door went a lot of their offensive depth, but the return that came back could certainly surprise. The 6-3, 210 Swede certainly opened plenty of eyes in his debut with the Leafs and certainly has the opportunity to gain a valued top-six role with the reigning Stanley Cup champions. Chicago lost Buffy the goalie slayer, but Stalberg could be a more talented replacement. Kris Russell – D, Columbus – It usually takes a few years for junior defensemen to get used to the NHL level, and it appears that Russell is taking the typical development path as planned. In his junior career with the Medicine Hat Tigers, he registered 235 points in 307 career contests, which is almost unheard of from a young developing blue liner. Russell will certainly have the opportunity to become a 30-point defenseman in 2010-11. Peter Mueller – RW, Colorado – With 17 points in 54 contests, many poolies left Mueller for dead last year. Then boom, 20 points in 15 contests in Colorado turns his career from disappointment to elation. Many pool/league providers base their pre-season draft rankings on the previous year’s production. With only 37 points next to his name, Mueller’s draft value is going to be lower than expected. Definitely don’t forget his name come draft day. Andrew Raycroft – G, Dallas – Heading into the 2010-11 season with Kari Lehtonen as the number one could be a dangerous situation for the Stars. Prior to last season, Lehtonen averaged just 48 starts in the last four seasons, so the Band-Aid Boy moniker still remains and is certainly well deserved. Raycroft had a solid bounce back season by backing up Roberto Luongo with respectable numbers of a 2.42 GAA along with a .911 SP. If Lehtonen is injured once again, Raycroft could see his fantasy value skyrocket. Jiri Hudler – RW, Detroit – As mentioned above, most pool/league providers base their pre-season rankings on the previous year’s production. So what value do you think a player with a goose egg next to his name will receive on draft day? Hudler spent a year in the KHL after tallying 57 points with the Red Wings in 2008-09. Hudler should have a guaranteed top-six role for this upcoming season, which should equate to a very productive season. His name will be largely forgotten by unsuspecting poolies. Sam Gagner – C, Edmonton – Last season was a wash for the Oilers, but it did give them an opportunity to re-tool the shed. One positive note was the development of Gagner in the latter half of the campaign. The former sixth overall pick started the season with 22 points in the first 40 contests, but tallied 19 points in the next 28 contests before being shut down with a hip injury. Another positive note is that Ales Hemsky spent 31.92 percent of his overall ice-time alongside Gagner and the two did show some solid chemistry at the beginning of the season. If the duo gets paired up with Taylor Hall, it could be fantasy jackpot for Gagner. Oscar Moller – RW, Los Angeles – I wish I was an Oscar Moller owner, that is what I truly want to be, cause if I were an Oscar Moller owner, everyone would be in love, oh everyone would be in love, everyone would be in love with me! Ok, maybe not at the present moment, but perhaps by the end of the season owners could certainly be singing that song. The Kings have a gaping hole to fill in their top-six and if Moller can managed to secure that spot, he will be in for a great season that we can all sing about. Andrew Brunette – LW, Minnesota – It never ceases to amaze me how Brunette always seems to fly under-the-radar. In the past five seasons, he has posted numbers of 81.6 appearances, 16:25 TOI/game average, 63.2 points and 134.8 SOG per campaign. The great thing about the 37-year old is his consistency. If you don’t expect anything more than the above numbers, you will be happy with the yield that you’ll receive from Brunette in a top-six role in Minny.
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