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27 Harmsetal.

Salt intrusions in Siberian river : Observations and model experimentsinObandYenisei

I.H.Harms1*,U.Hübner1,J.O.Backhaus1,M.Kulakov2,V.Stanovoy2,O.V.Stepanets3,L.A. Kodina3,R.Schlitzer4.

1InstituteforOceanography,UniversityHamburg,Germany 2ArcticandResearchInstitute(AARI),St.Petersburg, 3VernadskyInstituteofGeochemistryandAnalyticalChemistry,RussianAcademyofSciences,ul.Kosygina19, Moscow,119991,Russia 4AlfredWegenerInstituteforPolarandMarineResearch,Columbusstrasse2,27568Bremerhaven, Germany

Abstract

Observations in Siberian river estuaries show a very pronounced vertical stratification duringsummer.InparticularintheYenisei,salinityprofilesarestronglyaffected,not onlybyfreshwaterrunoff,butalsobybottomfollowingsaltintrusionsthatpenetrateactively intotheestuary. Inordertostudytheestuarinevariabilityandtoinvestigatethephysicsbehindthesesalt intrusions, two different numerical circulation models are applied to the Kara and the estuariesofObandYenisei.The3-D,baroclinicmodelsarebasedontherealistictopography, forcedwithwind,tidesandriverrunoff. Modelresultsfromsummerrevealageneralnorthwardflowofriverwateratthesurface out of the estuaries. Near the bottom, however, a south-westward transport of saline water from the Taymyr coast towards theestuariesprevails.Asaltintrusionoccursduringstrong runoffwhenthedirectionofthewind-inducedoffshoretransportisalignedwiththeaxisof theestuary.Inthiscase,theenhancedsurfaceflowhastobecompensatedbyanonshorenear bottomflowthatmaypenetrateintotheestuary. Salt intrusions occur frequently in the Yenisei Estuary in connection with north-easterly winds, a prevailing wind direction in summer in the Kara Sea. In the Ob Estuary, salt intrusionsarealmostabsentandthehalinestratificationisweakerthanintheYenisei.Thisis duetoenhancedtidalmixingintheObbutalsoduetotheorientationanddepthprofileofthe estuary.

1Introduction

TheKaraSeaisamarginalshelfsealocatedintheEurasianpartofthe.Itis influenced by oceanic water masses from the Arctic Ocean, the North Atlantic and the Barents Sea. Additionally, the Kara Sea receives large amounts of freshwater through the Siberian rivers Ob and Yenisei. The rivers drain acatchmentareainandRussiaof morethan5mill.km2.ThetotalannualamountoffreshwaterinputintotheKaraSeaequals roughly1200km3/yofwhich80%isdischargedinspring(May-June)(PavlovandPfirman, *correspondingauthor:[email protected]

Harmsetal. 28

1995). Peak freshwater discharge rates of more than 100,000 m3/s lead to a pronounced vertical stratification in the estuaries of Ob and Yenisei. Under specific meteorological conditions,highsalinemarinewatersmaypenetrateasabottomfollowingcounterflowinto theestuarywhichadditionallyenhancesthestratification. OnegoalofthebilateralGerman/RussianprojectSIRROistostudythedispersionandfate of biogeochemical tracers emerging from Ob and Yenisei rivers. In numerical transport models, most of these river tracers cannot be regarded as dissolved and conservative, dispersed only by the circulation. Horizontal and vertical gradients between freshwater and brackish water affect the transport behaviour and form a so called'marginal filter’. The mixtureofriverandseawaterleadstoasettlementofsuspendedmaterialaswellastothe formationofprecipitates.Knowingthetimeandspacevariabilityoftheverticalstratification andthetransitionzonebetweenfreshwaterandmarinewatersisthereforeapriorcondition fortheinvestigationofestuarinetransportprocesses. Severalpublicationsweredealingsofarwiththeareaandtheabovedescribedphenomena. Sinceacompletereviewofthepreviousworkandtheexistingliteratureisoutofscopeofthe presentpaperwereferonlytosomeimportantwork.Thepenetrationofhighsaline,marine watersintotheObandYeniseiestuarieshasalreadybeennotedinearlydescriptionsofthe hydrological regimes of these areas byAntonov(1962)andAntonovandMaslaeva(1965). More recent papers investigated the magnitude of salt water intrusions depending on tides, windsurgesandriverdischargeintheObGulf(Ivanova,1984;Stanovoy,1984,Ivanovand Sviyatsky, 1987) and in the Yenisei Gulf (Graevsky, 1997). During intense field studies in summer 1993-1996 in the Kara Sea, different types of data from the region of freshwater influence(ROFI)ofObandYeniseiwereobtained.Resultsfromthesecampaignsaregiven e.g.inJohnsonetal.(1997)andMcClimansetal.(2000).Agoodreviewingdescriptionof the variability in Kara Sea estuaries, based on long term observations, can be found in StanovoyandNøst(2002a,b). Hydrodynamicmodellingwaspreviouslycarriedoutbye.g.Pavlov(1996)orHarmsand Karcher(1999)whoinvestigatedmoregenerallythecirculationandhydrographyoftheKara Sea,butalsotheriverrunoffandthetransportofrivertracersfromObandYenisei(Pavlov andTimokhov,1997);(Harmsetal.,2000).ModelstudiesintheObGulfwereperformedby Ivanov and Sviyatsky (1987) and Doronin and Ivanov (1997), mainly for simulating the magnitude of salt water intrusions depending on the river discharge and its inter-annual variability.Alsoalaboratorymodelwasappliedinordertoinvestigatetransportprocessesin theeasternBarentsandKara(McClimansetal.,1997;McClimansetal.,2000).

2Observations

RegularmeasurementsofwatertemperatureandsalinityintheYeniseiEstuarystartedin the1930’s.Datawerecollectedduringsummerandwinterexpeditions,mainlybytheArctic and Antarctic Research Institute (AARI, St. Petersburg) and by the Dikson Hydrometeorological Observatory. Summer observations were carried out from the second half of July until the beginning of October. In wintertime, observations under the ice were carriedoutfromMarchuntilthebeginningofJune.

29 Harmsetal.

Ingeneral,thehistoricaldatashowedapermanentlyexistingpycnoclineintheestuarybut only recent CTD1-profiles (from 1993 on) revealed that vertical salinity and temperature gradientsmaybeextremelystrongandreachvaluesofupto5-10per10cmand1.5-2.0°C per10cm.TheaveragemultiyearsalinityatthesurfaceandbottominAugustandthevertical distribution of temperature and salinity in summer 2001 in the Ob and Yenisei Estuary is showninFigures1and2.Thesepicturesexhibitaclearlypronouncedtwo-layerstructureof the water masses which is the typical situation during summer. It is also apparent that the difference between surface and bottom water salinity is more pronounced in the Yenisei Estuary,wheresalinebottomwaterseemstopenetrateintotheestuary. 73.0

73.5

72.5

73.0

72.0 e d u t i t a

L 72.5 71.5

72.0 71.0

70.5 71.5 72 73 74 75 78 79 80 81 82 83

73.0

73.5

72.5

73.0

72.0 e d u t i t

a 72.5 L 71.5

72.0 71.0

70.5 71.5 72 73 74 75 78 79 80 81 82 83 Longitude Longitude Fig.1:Averagemultiyearsalinityatthesurface(upperpanels)andatthebottom(lowerpanels)in AugustintheestuariesofOb(left)andYenisei(right). 1CTD=Conductivity,temperatureanddepth

Harmsetal. 30

Fig.2:Selectedprofilesoftemperature(solidlines)andsalinity(dashedlines)insummer2001inthe estuariesofOb(left)andYenisei(right).

31 Harmsetal.

0

-5

-10 m , h

t -15 p e D -20 73

72 -25

71 78 80 82 84 -30 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 Distance,km 0

-5

-10 m , -15 h t 73 p e

D -20 72

-25 71

-30 70 78 80 82 84 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Distance,km 0

-10 m , h t 73 p

e -20 D 72

71 -30

70 78 80 82 84 50 100 150 200 250 300 Distance,km Fig.3:SalinitysectionsintheYeniseiEstuary,observedin:(a)summer2001,(b)summer2000and (c)summer1995.Distancelabelsstartat73o50'N;80o00'E

Harmsetal. 32

ThemostrapidfresheningofestuarinesurfacewatersinObandYeniseioccursinspring when the spring flood wave passes through. At Dikson Island (outer Yenisei Estuary), for example, a sea surface salinity between 0-2 is observed for 20-30 days in June-July. Horizontalsalinitygradientsmayreachvaluesofupto0.5per1km.Thehorizontaltransition zonebetweenfreshwaterandbrackishwaterinsummerislocatedusuallyinthemiddlepart oftheYeniseiEstuary,between71o30'and72o00'N(StanovoyandNøst,2002b).Atypical exampleofsuchadistributionwasobservedduringthelastcruiseofRV"AkademikBoris Petrov"insummer2001(Fig.3a).Thissectionshowsclearlythehorizontalsalinitygradient just above the sill and the strong vertical stratification further seaward. Specific meteorological conditions might enhance the observed stratification shown in Figure 3a considerably. Driven by an on-shore counter flow at the bottom, saline bottom water may penetrate into the estuary, leading to so called'salt intrusions’. Figures 3b and c show this phenomenonontwoYeniseisectionstakeninsummer1995and2000.Inbothfigures,high saline bottom water has moved upstream of the sill, into the river delta, however, with differentintensity. TheapparentinterannualvariabilityofsaltintrusionsisdepictedmoreclearlyinFigure4, which shows the bottom water salinity for August,Septemberandthewinterseasoninthe Yeniseiriverdelta,northofthelargesandbank. 30 25 August 73.5 y 20 t i n

i 15 l a

S 10 73.0 5 0 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 72.5 25

September e 20 d 72.0 u t i y t t

i 15 a n i L l

a 10 71.5 S 5 0 71.0 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 DELTA 20 Winter 70.5 y

t 15 i n i

l 70.0

a 78 79 80 81 82 83 84

S 10 Longitude 5 1975 1980 1985 1990 Years Fig.4:ObservedinterannualvariabilityofbottomwatersalinityforAugust,Septemberandwinter season(left)at71o24'N,YeniseiEstuary(rightpanel,dot). All available observations carried out during the last 50 years were used. An extremely highvalueoccurredinAugust1985butthenumberofsaltintrusionsseemstobehigherin September, even if the absolute values are lower compared to August. Also in winter, the bottomwatersalinityvariesconsiderablefromyeartoyear.Thefactthatthewintervaluesare partly higher than the summer values can be attributed to a much weaker stratification in

33 Harmsetal. winterandageneralsouthwardshiftofthetransitionzonebetweenfreshwaterandbrackish water(StanovoyandNøst,2002b). These observations suggest that salt intrusions vary significantly on inter-annual time scales depending on the meteorological situation. We therefore expect also variations on shorter time scales. However, due to sparse data, it is difficult to assess the seasonal or monthly variability of salt intrusions from observations. In this situation,numericalmodels canbeavaluabletooltogiveamorecompleteviewofthevariabilityinthatregionandthe physicsbehind.

3ModelExperiments

Two well established hydrodynamic models are used to investigate circulation and stratification in the estuaries of Ob and Yenisei. Although the area of investigation is the same, the model types and the scope of the model applications are different: the HAMSOM/VOMapplicationisfocusedonmulti-yearrunsbasedonclimatological,monthly meanforcingwhereastheSCRUMapplicationinvestigatesonlytheicefreeperiodinsummer basedonsynoptic12-hourlyforcing.Theaimofthispaperisnottoevaluatethemodeltypes orapproachesbuttointerpretthemodelresultsincomparisonwithobservations. The following two sections describe the model type and configuration of the HAMSOM/VOMandtheSCRUMapproach.

3.1HAMSOM/VOMapplication At the Institute for Oceanography, University Hamburg, the shelf sea modelling group appliesahighresolutionbaroclinic3-DcirculationandseaicemodeltotheKaraSea(Fig.5). Thehorizontalgridresolutionis9.4km.ThemodelisbasedonthecodingoftheHamburg ShelfOceanModelHAMSOM,introducedbyBackhaus(1985),andpreviouslyappliedtothe Barents and Kara Sea by Harms (1997a, b); Harms and Karcher (1999) and Harms et al. (2000). HAMSOM is based on non-linear primitive equations of motion, invoking the hydrostatic approximation and the equation of continuity, which serves to predict the elevationofthefreesurfacefromthedivergenceofthedepthmeantransport.Thenumerical schemeissemi-implicitandtheequationsarediscretisedasfinitedifferencesonanArakawa C-grid(Stronachetal.,1993). Thecirculationmodeliscoupledtoathermodynamicanddynamicseaicemodel,which calculatesspaceandtimedependentvariationsoficethicknessandiceconcentration(Hibler, 1979). Sea surface heat fluxes, calculated with bulk formulae (Maykut, 1986), are used to determineprognosticallytheoceantemperatureandthermodynamiciceformation(Parkinson and Washington, 1979). The circulation model includes an Eulerian transport algorithm for temperature,salinityandpassivetracers,basedontheadvection-diffusionequation. Inordertohandlecomplexbathymetriesandtoreproducemorerealisticallytopographic effectsoncirculationandhydrography,thecodingwasvectorisedandsuppliedwithavertical adaptive gridding technique (Backhaus, pers. com.). The Vector Ocean Model (VOM) is a level type model but the vertical adaptive grid implies that the number of levels and the thicknessdependsonthetopography.TheKaraSeagridprovidesahighresolutionincritical areas such as shallow estuaries, slopes and topographic obstacles. Surface and bottom followingboundarylayersareresolveduniformlyin4mintervals(Fig.5).Thisallowsfora

Harmsetal. 34 better reproduction of estuary and shelf processes such as vertical stratification, stratified flowsorcurrentshearduetosurfaceandbottomfriction. 80 Severnaya Semlya

60 Vilkitsky KaraSea Strait Kara Belyy Strait Isl. 40 Ob . B a

y Yenisei Pyasina a k s t

20 a r

a SIBERIA d y a B

0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

depth[m]50100200300 ) ) m m ( ( h h t t p p e e d d

sectionatgridpoint18 sectionatgridpoint84 Fig.5:DomainandtopographyoftheHAMSOM/VOMKaraSeaModel(upperpanel)andvertical gridresolution(lowerpanels)ontwoselectedsections(dashedlines). Our present studiesareforcedwithrealisticatmosphericwinds,heatfluxes,riverrunoff and tides. The wind forcing is based on a climatological year prepared by Trenberth et al. (1989) from ECMWF data (ECMWF, 1988) for the period 1980-1989. Monthly mean climatologicalairtemperature,humidityandcloudcoverdatawerecompiledbyAukrustand Oberhuber (1995) from ECMWF-data for the period 1985-1990. River runoff rates for Ob (incl. and ), Yenisei and Pyasina are prescribed as daily mean volume fluxesinm3/s,interpolatedfrom10-daymeanvalues.InformationonrunofftotheKaraSea wastakenfromadatareviewonthehydrologyofArcticrivers,describedinmoredetailin Harms and Karcher (1999). The Kara Sea Model accounts for the dominant M2-tidal constituent.AmplitudesandphasesweretakenfromtidalmodelsoftheArcticOcean(Gjevik

35 Harmsetal. and Straume, 1989; Kowalik and Proshutinsky, 1993; 1994) and applied to the open boundaries.AdetaileddescriptionofthetidalsolutionisgiveninHarmsandKarcher(1999). The simulation of the climatological year was started at 1st of January using initial temperature and salinity distributions from validated previous model runs (Harms and Karcher, 1999). The model was run in a prognostic mode allowing for three-dimensional temperatureandsalinityadvectionincludingseasurfaceheatfluxesandiceformation.

3.2SCRUMapplication The modelling group at AARI, St. Petersburg applies a Kara Sea model based on the codingoftheS-CoordinateRutgersUniversityModelSCRUM,developedattheInstituteof Marine and Coastal Sciences at Rutgers University. Hedstrom (1997) gives a detailed descriptionofSCRUMwithsomeapplications.ThemaingoaloftheSCRUMapplicationto theKaraSeaistostudyestuarineprocessesonsynoptictimescalesduringtheice-freeperiod. Thereforethismodelapplicationdoesnotincludeanicemodel. The principal attributes of SCRUM are very similar to HAMSOM: SCRUM applies primitiveequationswithhydrostaticandBoussinesqapproximationtocalculatethe3-Dflow field and the free surface. The discretisation is based on the Arakawa C grid. Advection schemesallowforaprognostictransportoftracers(potentialtemperature,salinity,etc).Also thehorizontalresolution(10km)andthemodeldomainoftheSCRUMKaraSeaModelis very similar to the HAMSOM/VOM Kara Sea model (c.f. Fig.5).Themainandimportant differencetoHAMSOMhowever,istheverticalgridapproximation:SCRUMisalayertype model that uses terrain-following, stretched coordinates. The vertical scale is resolved uniformly with 10 layers which means that in shallow areas each layer thickness is much smallerthanindeeperareas. The initial temperature and salinity data for winter and the river runoff to the Kara Sea were taken from the Joint Russian-US Atlas of the Arctic Ocean. The river runoff is prescribedasmonthlymeandischargeratesoftheObandYeniseirivers.Thesurfacewind stress at 10 m height above the sea surface is prescribed twice a day (12 hourly forcing), basedonNCEP/NCARreanalysisdata.

4ModelResults

In order to study the variability of the vertical stratification and to detect possible salt intrusions, we analysed the HAMSOM/VOM daily mean fields of salinity of the climatologicalyear.AnexampleforatypicalsummersituationisdepictedinFigure6forthe 5thofAugust.Atthesurface,thelowsalineriverplumeshowsitslargestextent,spreadingin theentirecentralKaraSeafromtheestuariesalmostuptotheNovayaSemlyacoast.Atthe bottom, however, the extent of the freshwater plume is much smaller and shows several brancheswithhighersalinewaterreachingfromthenorth-eastintotheestuaries.Inparticular intheYenisei,asaltintrusionpenetratesdeepintotheestuaryandtheriverdelta. The intensity of vertical stratification is different for Ob and Yenisei. Looking at the salinity differences between surface and bottom (Fig. 7), it becomes clear that the stratification is most pronounced in the Yenisei where the difference between surface and bottomsalinityexceeds20.ThestratificationintheObisweakerandthesaltintrusiondoes notpenetrateveryfarintotheestuary.

Harmsetal. 36

surface bottom 4 8 13 17 21 25 29 33 35 Fig.6:Simulatedsalinitydistribution(HAMSOM/VOM)atthesurfaceandatthebottomforthe5thof August,climatologicalyear. (surface-bottom)

-16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 Fig.7:Simulatedsalinitydifference(surface-bottom,c.f.Fig.5)atthe5thofAugust,climatological year.

37 Harmsetal.

The reason for estuarine salt intrusions can be found in the vertical distribution of the circulationfielddepictedinFigures8aandbforthe5thofAugust.Thesurfaceflow(a)is dominated by the runoff from the Ob and Yenisei. Intheestuaries,intensenorth-westward flowsdrivethesurfacefreshwaterintothecentralKaraSeawherethefrontoftheplumeis visibleasaslightdiscontinuityintheflowfield.Astrikingfeatureatthebottom(b),however, isthesouth-westwardflowalongtheTaymyrcoastwhichisstrongerthanthecorresponding surface flow and partly in the oppositedirection.Thismodelresultreflectstherealityvery well:verticalcurrentshearwithnorth-westerlyflowsatthesurfaceandsouth-westerlyflows atthebottomwerealsoreportedbyJohnsonetal.(1997)andMcClimansetal.(2000)from observations in that area. McClimans et al. (1997) found very similar flow patterns in laboratorymodelresults,althoughthismodelhadnowindforcing.Sincethesimulatedsouth- westward bottom current at theTaymyrcoastisverypersistentduringsummer,weassume thatthisflowbringssalinewaterfromthenorth-easternKaraSeatowardstheestuariesthus enhancingtheverticalstratificationandformingapoolofsalinebottomwaterinfrontofthe rivermouths.Thepoolofsalinewatermayfeedabottomcurrentintheestuaryitself,leading toasaltintrusionintheriverdelta.SuchasituationisclearlyvisibleinFigure8bforthe Yenisei.

Dikson

surface,dailymean 20cm/sec Fig.8a:Simulated,de-tidedanddailyaveragedsurfaceflow(HAMSOM/VOM)atthe12thofJuly, climatologicalyear. Inparticularintheeasternpartoftheestuary,thebottomflowopposesthesurfaceflow, formingacountercurrentthatpenetratespartlyintotheestuary.Atimeseriesofsurfaceand bottom flows on a section in the eastern Yenisei Estuary (Fig. 9) suggests that the bottom countercurrent(shadedareas)compensatesstrongoff-shoreflowatthesurface.Bothflows reveal a significant inverse correlation: a southward bottom flow usually appears together withanorthwardsurfaceflowandviceversa.

Harmsetal. 38

Dikson

bottom,dailymean 15cm/sec Fig.8b:Simulated,de-tidedanddailyaveragedbottomflow(HAMSOM/VOM)atthe12thofJuly, climatologicalyear. 4 surface off-shore bottom 3 2 ) s

/ m

c (

y 1 t

i c o l e v 0

-1 on-shore -2 MAMJJASON Fig.9:Timeseriesofde-tidedbottomandsurfaceflowintheouterYeniseiEstuary,nearDikson(see Fig.7),from1stofMarchto30thofNovember,climatologicalyear(HAMSOM/VOM).Shadedareas denoteperiodsandstrengthofon-shorebottomflow. Themaindrivingforceforthisanti-correlatedflowregimeisthesurfacewindstressinthe Kara Sea. The applied climatological ECMWF wind patterns show strong, monsoon-like variability due to the seasonal air pressure distribution over the Arctic. In winter, cyclonic vorticityprevailsovertheBarentsandKaraSeasareawithmainlocalwinddirectionsfrom southtosouthwest.Insummer,however,thewindfieldsshowanti-cyclonicvorticitywith dominating north to north-easterly winds in the southern Kara Sea (Harms and Karcher, 1999).Sincethewindinducedmasstransportonthenorthernhemisphereisbetween45°and

39 Harmsetal.

90°to the right of the wind direction, north-easterly winds cause a north-westerly off-shore surfacetransportawayfromtheTaymyrcoastandoutoftheYeniseidelta.Asaresult,the coastalsealeveldropsandacompensatorybottomflowmaypenetrateintotheestuary. Very similar results were obtained by the modelling group at AARI St. Petersburg. A characteristic example for the onshore, near bottom flow in the Yenisei Estuary simulated with SCRUM is presented in Figure 10 for the 29th of August 1978. Like with the climatological ECMWF data, the NCEP/NCAR wind patterns at that time (Fig. 10a) are characterised by an anticyclonic rotation over the Kara Sea, with strong north-easterly componentsovertheYeniseiEstuary.Thisdrivesasurfaceflowofmorethan40cm/soutof theestuarywhereasanearbottomcountercurrentflowsat20cm/sintheoppositedirection (Figs.10bandc).Theonshorecurrentatthebottomismostpronouncedinthedeepeastern partoftheYeniseiEstuary,whichisalsoseenintheHAMSOM/VOMsimulations.

b

025cm/s

0

-5

-10

-15 c a -20 20 40 60 80 100 120

010m/s Fig.10:Appliedwindpatterns(a),bottomflows(b)andalongsectioncomponentsofcurrentspeed (c)atthe29thofAugust1978,simulatedwiththeSCRUMKaraSeaModel.

Harmsetal. 40

a 20 s /

m 10 c 0

10 b s /

m 0 c -10

150 c

74

m 140 c

d , l

e 73.5 i.Dikson v e l a

e 130 73 s

72.5 79 80 81 82 120 30 40 50 60 time,hours Fig.11:Currentvectortimeseriesfrom8thto9thofAugust1975for9m(a)and22m(b)depth,and sealevelelevationatDikson(c).Inlay(d)showsthepositionofthemooring(triangle)andthecoastal stationDikson. The simulated circulation from both models can be compared qualitatively with direct current measurements in the outer Yenisei Estuary, close to Dikson, from 8th and 9th of August1975(Fig.11).Thecurrentmetermooringrevealsawindinducedshiftofthesurface flowfromnorth-easttonorth-westwithintwodays.Thenorth-westerlyflowdrivessurface watersoutoftheYeniseiwhichcausesadropofthecoastalsealevelatDikson.Atthesame time, the bottom flow shifts from off-shore to on-shore directions, finally forming a compensatorycountercurrentthatflowsat5cm/sintotheestuary.Althoughthetimeseries covers only a short period, it illustrates the physics behind the salt intrusions and supports clearlythemodelfindings.

5Discussion

Theappliedhorizontalmodelgridsizeof9-10kmisstilltoocoarsetotracesaltintrusions further upstream of the sill and in the inner parts oftheriverdelta.However,bothmodels provide a high vertical resolution which is the main reason for their principal capability in reproducing observed Arctic coastal and estuarine dynamics and hydrography. SCRUM simulations for example show that calculated daily sea level elevations at coastal stations compare reasonably well with observations during the ice-free period (Fig. 12). A salinity section,simulatedwithHAMSOM/VOM(Fig.13),isinqualitativeagreementwithsalinity measurementspresentedinpartI(c.f.Figs.3a,bandc).Sincedirectcurrentmeasurements are scarce and mostly not available for model comparison, the reproduction of single hydrographicobservations,likesealevels,profilesorsections,constitutesavaluablemodel validation.Thesekindsofcomparisonsgiveconfidenceinusingothermodelscenariosand parameters,notcoveredbymeasurements.Althoughthenumberofcomparisonsisveryfew, the reasonable agreement with hydrographic observations justifies the use of our model

41 Harmsetal. resultsfortheinvestigationofflowvariabilityandphysicsthatdetermineestuarineprocesses inArcticShelfSeas. 40 60 i.Dikson 40 i.Pravdy 20 20 0 m c 0 -20 -20

-40 -40

60 80

40 p.Sterligova 40 p.Tadibeyaha 20 m

c 0 0 -40 -20 observed calculated -40 -80 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 days days +Pravdy +Sterligova +Dikson +Tadibeyaha Fig.12:Comparisonofcalculated(SCRUM)andobservedseasurfaceelevationsatcoastalstations fromJulytoSeptember1994. TheHAMSOM/VOMresultsdepictedinFigure9suggest,thatthesummerflowregimeis quite sensitive to the local wind directions over the Yenisei Estuary. In spite of the wind- inducedinputofanti-cyclonicvorticityatthesurfacefromApriltoAugust,thesummerflow regime is suppressed and almost reversed during a two weeks period in late May to early June.ThereasonisthatthewinddirectionsinJunedeviateslightlyfromthenorth-easterly direction and show more northerly components. Although the wind stress is very weak, northerlydirectionsareabletoslowdownthesurfaceoff-shoreflowwhichalsoaffectsthe countercurrent. Animportantpointinthisrespectisthefactthattheappliedwindforcingisbasedona climatological year which is purely artificial. Monthly mean values are very smoothdueto averaginginthetimedomainandtheydonotreflectsynopticatmosphericvariabilityatall. Althoughbasedonclimatologicalforcing,themodelresultsshowthattheestuarinesummer

Harmsetal. 42 circulation is quite sensitiveand responds directly to local wind effects. It can be assumed therefore that deviations from the typical summer circulation caused by small scale atmosphericvariabilityoccurmoreoftenandatshortertimescalesthansimulated. 20 ] 40 m [ h t

p e d 60

80 6 12 17 22 27 32 35 Fig.13:SimulatedsalinitysectionintheYeniseiEstuary(seedashedline)forJuly,climatological year(HAMSOM/VOM). ApartfromthesimulatedblockingsituationinMay/June,theoutlinedsummercirculation regimeintheYeniseiprevailsfromApriltoAugustwithpeakintensitiesinAprilandJuly. However, the most interesting period with respect to variability of vertical stratification is probably late summer when the circulation regime changes from summer to winter. In the climatologicalHAMSOM/VOMsimulation,thefirsthalfofAugustisstilldominatedbythe summersituationwithprevailingoff-shoretransportatthesurfaceandon-shoreflowatthe bottom.Thehydrographyischaracterisedbyhighsalinewinterwateratthebottomwhichis overlaidbylargeamountsoffreshwateratthesurface(c.f.Fig.6).Theverticalstratification isextremeduetosaltintrusionatthebottomoftheYeniseidelta.AtmidAugust,however, the summer circulation breaks down and changes to the opposite, winter type flow. Salt intrusions vanish rapidly and the vertical stratification is eroded. If this dramatic change occurs during measurements in the estuary, the interpretation of the data might become difficult.Infact,mostexpeditionsarecarriedoutduringtheicefreeseasoninJuly,August and/or September. It is therefore important not only to measure classical hydrographic parameters, but also to observe meteorological conditions and the resulting circulation by meansofe.g.currentmetersorADCPs2. Asoutlinedabove,simulatedsaltintrusionsaremorepronouncedintheYeniseithaninthe ObEstuary.Themodelresultssuggestthatthisisfirstofallduetothetidalmixingwhichis weakerintheYeniseithanintheOb.Anotherimportantfeatureaffectingsaltintrusionsisthe shape of the sea bed of the estuary, which should be narrow and deep as with the Yenisei ratherthanshallowandbroadaswiththeOb.Alsothegeographicalorientationoftheestuary playsarole.TherunoffdirectionintheYeniseiismoreorless90°totherightofprevailing north-easterly wind directions in summer that results in a maximum off-shore volume

2ADCP=AcousticDopplerCurrentProfiler

43 Harmsetal. transport.TheorientationoftheObEstuaryisdifferentandthesameeffectfortheObwould requiresouth-easterlywindsthatareprobablylessfrequent. Temperature,oC Salinity,psu 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 0 5 10 15 20 A 0 0

2 2 m , 4 4 h t p e D 6 6

8 8

B 9

22

8 C o u

, 20 s e p r , u t y t a

7 i r n i e l p a m

S 18 e T 6

16

5 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 Time,sec Time,sec Fig.14:Verticalprofileoftemperatureandsalinity(A)andoscillationsoftemperatureandsalinityat the7.5mdepthhorizon(B)atstation11(72o06'N;81o42'E)insummer2001. The tidal influence on estuarine processes is mainly through horizontal and vertical mixing, internal wave activity and tidal residual flow due to non-linear bottom stress. Simulatedresidualcurrents(HarmsandKarcher,1999)wereonlyfoundintheObEstuary, north of the YamalpeninsulaandintheBaydaratskayaBay.Around BelyyIsland,residual currentsformaweakanticycloniccirculation,however,thevelocitiesherearegenerallysmall andremainbelow2cm/s.IntheYeniseiEstuary,residualadvectionduetotidalactivityplays an insignificant role. Also the upstream Stokes drift in the bottom layer, induced by the incoming tidal wave, is very weak in the Yenisei and remains in the range of 1 cm/s. Althoughthetidallyinducedadvectivetransportisveryweak,bothprocesses,residualflow and Stokes drift, have to be regarded as permanent features in the whole system that contributetoestuarinedynamicsbutdonotcontrole.g.saltintrusions. The most importanteffectoftidesonestuarinetransportprocessesisthroughhorizontal andverticalmixing.StrongtidalcurrentsneartheObEstuaryprovideaconstantsourcefor mixing in this area.SimulatedM2-tidalelevations usuallyremainbelow20cmintheKara

Harmsetal. 44

Sea except two regions: the southern Baydaratskaya Bay, where tidal resonance causes amplitudesofmorethan70cm,andtheareanorthofYamalpeninsulaaroundBelyyIsland (30-35 cm). North-east of the Yamal peninsula and in the small strait between Yamal peninsulaandBelyyIsland,simulatedtidalcurrentsmayexceed50cm/sduetoconsiderable horizontal gradients in tidal elevation. Stanovoy and Nøst (2002b) note that in the north- western Ob Estuary tidal elevations reach up to 1.8 m with tidal currents between 70–80 cm/s.Tracersimulationsshowedthattheseareasaresignificantlyinfluencedbytidalmixing (Harmsetal.,2000).Inallotherregions,inparticularintheeasternKaraSeaandalongthe Taymyrcoast,tidalmixingismuchweaker. Tides are also an important source for mixing and entrainment through the process of verticalinstabilityandbreakingofinternalwaves.Measurementscarriedoutinsummer2001, showedverypronouncedandclassicalexamplesofinternalwaveswithperiodsof8-12min and2-5minintheYeniseiEstuary(StanovoyandShmelkov,2002)(Fig.14).Theprobability of dynamic instability and internal wave breaking is high for wave periods of 2-5minutes. Thiscouldresultinturbulentmixingandpycnoclineerosion.Asopposedtometeorologically inducedfeatures,allthesetidalprocessesoccurpermanentlytoinfluenceestuarinedynamics andhydrography. Although the wind stress may vary slightly between Ob and Yenisei, the overall meteorologicalsituationisverysimilarforbothestuariesandcannotberesponsibleforlarge spatialvariability.TheobservedandsimulateddifferencebetweenObandYeniseiintermsof vertical stratification and intensity of salt intrusions must be attributed to the different topography and the tidal influence, in particular tidal mixing. Future model studies should takethesepointsintoconsideration.

Acknowledgements

TheworkwasfundedthroughthebilateralRussian-Germanproject'SiberianRiverrunoff’, SIRRO (BMBF and Russian authorities) and the EU-project ESTABLISH (contract No. ICA2-CT-2000-10008).ThankstoallcolleaguesfromSIRROandESTABLISHforfruitful discussions.WeappreciatedthecommentsandsuggestionsfromMcClimans(SINTEF- Norway) and one anonymous reviewer. Financial support by the German Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Technology (BMBF) (grant no. 03G0547A) and the RussianFoundationofBasicResearchisgratefullyackowledged. References

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