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December 31, 2011 $4.99 Christmas!Merry THE EDITORS: AGAINST GINGRICH
MARKMARK STEYNSTEYN on His $4.99 Big Government 53 Follies
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DECEMBER 31, 2011 | VOLUME LXIII, NO. 24 | www.nationalreview.com
COVER STORY Page 26 The Gingrich Gestalt Instead of enabling Americans Matthew Spalding on Obama and TR p. 18 to take risks and push the frontiers, Newt Gingrich’s BOOKS, ARTS proposals incline mostly to & MANNERS the expansion of bureaucracy and an increase in 39 PROPHETIC STRAIN Michael Knox Beran reviews dependency. Mark Steyn George F. Kennan: An American Life, by John Lewis Gaddis. COVER: ROMAN GENN 41 VICTORIAN CREATIONS ARTICLES Elizabeth Powers reviews Charles Dickens: A Life, by Claire Tomalin. 18 THE STRING-PULLERS by Matthew Spalding Channeling TR, President Obama advocates rule-by-elites. 43 ANCIENT ECHOES Charles C. W. Cooke reviews 19 AN UNAVOIDABLE CHALLENGE by John Yoo The End of Sparta: A Novel, Now is the time to make the case for military action against Iran. by Victor Davis Hanson.
21 THE Z-WORD by Jay Nordlinger 44 STREET-CORNER When people say ‘Zionist,’ what do they mean? CONSERVATIVE John R. Coyne Jr. reviews 23 TEBOW’S RELIGION, AND OURS by Daniel Foster Speechwright: An Insider’s Earnest worship versus the worship of cynicism. Take on Political Rhetoric, by William F. Gavin. 24 BEFORE YOU SAY NO . . . by Aloïse Buckley Heath A correspondence, nonfictional, between a young boy, a housewife, 46 FILM: TINTIN TRIUMPHANT a headmaster, and the young boy’s brother. Ross Douthat reviews The Adventures of Tintin.
FEATURES 47 THE STRAGGLER: NATIONS OF THE MIND 26 THE GINGRICH GESTALT by Mark Steyn The Derbyshires discover Moscow. You take a dubious record, you take some wacky ideas, you take a narcissistic personality . . . 29 HOW SPEAKER NEWT BALANCED THE BUDGET by Kevin D. Williamson SECTIONS And why President Newt would not. 4 Letters to the Editor 31 AMNESTY, AGAIN by Kris W. Kobach 6 The Week Gingrich’s plan would reward criminals and make the law arbitrary. 36 The Bent Pin . . . . . Florence King 37 Athwart ...... James Lileks 33 SOME SHADE OF GREEN by Jonathan H. Adler 38 The Long View ...... Rob Long The former Speaker has a longstanding love-hate relationship 42 Poetry ...... Michael Petti with environmental reform. 48 Happy Warrior ...... Mark Steyn
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Send Drones, Not Soldiers DECEMBER 31 ISSUE; PRINTED DECEMBER 15 Jamie M. Fly’s “Retreat—But Whose?” (December 19) turned me from a sup- EDITOR Richard Lowry porter of the war in Afghanistan to a skeptic. If these are the best arguments for Senior Editors our Afghan campaign, perhaps we should walk away. Richard Brookhiser / Jay Nordlinger Ramesh Ponnuru / David Pryce-Jones The bulk of the article is devoted to three non sequiturs. 1. Our soldiers are Managing Editor Jason Lee Steorts heroes who work near-miracles. No one questions this. This is no reason to Literary Editor Michael Potemra Executive Editor Christopher McEvoy deploy them in Afghanistan, instead of on the Mexican border or at home as National Correspondent John J. Miller Political Reporter Robert Costa entrepreneurs and parents. 2. The Pakistanis will consider Americans fickle. How Art Director Luba Kolomytseva many decades will we have to fight in Afghanistan to convince them other wise? Deputy Managing Editors Fred Schwarz / Kevin D. Williamson If we succeed in changing their minds, how will this improve America’s posture Associate Editors Helen Rittelmeyer / Robert VerBruggen in the world? Can’t we achieve the same result with some artfully done drone Research Director Katherine Connell strikes and covert actions against America haters in the Inter-Services Intelli - Executive Secretary Frances Bronson Assistant to the Editor Christeleny Frangos gence agency, at much less cost? 3. The Afghan people can now walk their Contributing Editors streets and go to school. God bless them, but this is not why I pay taxes to Robert H. Bork / Shannen Coffin / John Derbyshire Ross Douthat / Rod Dreher / David Frum support a military. If it is, why not invade Somalia, Mexico, Haiti, Sri Lanka, Roman Genn / Jim Geraghty / Jonah Goldberg Florence King / Lawrence Kudlow / Mark R. Levin and wherever else there is human suffering? This is an argument for globalized Yuval Levin / Rob Long / Jim Manzi progressivism delivered by helicopter gunship. Andrew C. McCarthy / Kate O’Beirne David B. Rivkin Jr. I thought the 2001 invasion of Afghanistan, a high-risk proposition that NATIONALREVIEWONLINE should rank above Alexander’s and Cortés’s in history’s eyes, had two objec- Editor-at-Large Kathryn Jean Lopez Managing Editor Edward John Craig tives. One, take away a staging ground for al-Qaeda. Two, show would-be News Editor Daniel Foster Editorial Associates Mullah Omars that harboring al-Qaeda is a fatal error. It seems to me the first Brian Bolduc / Charles C. W. Cooke has been mooted by events, and the second is better achieved by untraceable Brian Stewart / Katrina Trinko Web Developer Gareth du Plooy precision delivery of firepower into certain precincts of Islamabad. What am I Technical Services Russell Jenkins missing? EDITORS- AT- LARGE Linda Bridges / John O’Sullivan Andrew V. Showen Contributors Hadley Arkes / Baloo / Tom Bethell Orlando, Fla. James Bowman / Priscilla L. Buckley Eliot A. Cohen / Brian Crozier Dinesh D’Souza / M. Stanton Evans JAMIe M. FLy RepLIeS: Mr. Showen is correct that our ultimate goal in Afghan - Chester E. Finn Jr. / Neal B. Freeman James Gardner / David Gelernter istan should be to ensure that its territory (or areas of neighboring pakistan) can George Gilder / Jeffrey Hart Kevin A. Hassett / Charles R. Kesler never again be used as a safe haven for terrorists to attack the American home- David Klinghoffer / Anthony Lejeune land. His proposed approach, consisting of “some artfully done drone strikes D. Keith Mano / Michael Novak Alan Reynolds / Tracy Lee Simmons and covert actions against America haters in the Inter-Services Intelligence Terry Teachout / Taki Theodoracopulos Vin Weber agency, at much less cost,” however, is fatally flawed. Chief Financial Officer James X. Kilbridge We’ve pursued elements of Mr. Showen’s strategy in Afghanistan several Accounting Manager Galina Veygman Accountant Zofia Baraniak times in recent decades—after helping to push the Soviets out in 1989, and even Business Services in the years after our toppling of the Taliban in 2001, as we tried to avoid com- Alex Batey / Kate Murdock Elena Reut / Lucy Zepeda mitting significant numbers of U.S. troops. The results—3,000 dead on U.S. Circulation Manager Jason Ng WORLD WIDE WEB www.nationalreview.com soil, more Americans murdered overseas, and countless deaths and sustained MAIN NUMBER 212-679-7330 turmoil in the region—are clear. SUBSCRIPTION INQUIRIES 386-246-0118 WASHINGTON OFFICE 202-543-9226 It is only in recent years that the United States and its allies have devoted the ADVERTISING SALES 212-679-7330 Executive Publisher Scott F. Budd proper resources to our efforts in Afghanistan, allowing us to pursue a coun- Advertising Director Jim Fowler Advertising Manager Kevin Longstreet terinsurgency strategy that shows the Afghan people that there is the potential ASSOCIATE PUBLISHER Paul Olivett for a better life without the Taliban. The key point about our current strategy in
PUBLISHER Afghanistan is that we are finally getting it right, which is why it is so shameful Jack Fowler that the Obama administration is focused more on winning reelection than on CHAIRMANEMERITUS Thomas L. Rhodes winning the war.
FOUNDER William F. Buckley Jr. Letters may be sub mitted by e-mail to [email protected].
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It took 200 years to create this set. 186 AVAILABLE ONLY It only takes 10 seconds to recognize why it’s a colossal deal.
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n President Obama told 60 Minutes that mending the economy “probably takes more than one president.” Hey, we’ve been saying that since January 2009.
n Obama, having tired of performing his Woodrow Wilson impersonation, has moved on to Theodore Roosevelt, the rough- riding, war-fighting, gun-toting adventurer-president, and the man on earth whom he least resembles. Giving a speech in Osawatomie, Kan., he offered his own take on TR’s famous “New Nationalism” speech; he should have called it “Stale Liberalism,” for it was nothing more than his familiar manageri- al bluster accompanied by sharpened class-warfare rhetoric. A great many of TR’s economic ideas were daft and authoritarian, but the thing about the New Nationalism was that it was new—it had not yet been discredited by the experience of similar central- planning philosophies throughout the 20th century. Obama-style progressivism is nothing if not an arrogant refusal to learn from history. Teddy Roosevelt might be forgiven his naïveté, but Barack Obama should know better by now, as should we all.
n Newt Gingrich, who has a unique talent for sounding wrong when he is right, raised a chorus of heckles when he described child-labor laws as “truly stupid.” But he was, as he so often is, on to something: His proposal is to offer teenagers jobs at their or how eminent domain can work for you? Yet when Trump schools, which would achieve two goods—marginally reducing announced that he would host a debate of Republican candidates the schools’ bloated personnel costs and, more important, pro- at the end of December, Gingrich and Rick Santorum agreed to viding students with experience to facilitate their entry into the appear. (Bachmann, Huntsman, Paul, Perry, and Romney all work force. Gingrich at his best is something of an education declined.) Trump is a successful self-promoter. His ventures into realist who realizes that the current model of education—which politics have been bizarre and disastrous. He led the GOP and the recognizes only one metric of success, receipt of a four-year (or media on a hunt for Obama’s birth certificate, the tinfoil non- more) college degree—does not in fact serve all students well. story of this presidency. He wants above all to plug his next book, Work experience, vocational education, and—most critical— or the latest season of his reality show. Trump ended up with- choice among a variety of educational options are essential if we drawing as moderator, for which action concerned citizens are to maximize the productivity and well-being of the very large should be grateful. number of American students who are not headed for careers as investment bankers and management consultants. About this, n Herman Cain went up like a rocket, and came down like a Gingrich has nothing for which to apologize. booster rocket. His life arc—the son of a janitor and a maid, he became a CEO—and his platform personality made him shine in n Gingrich also took himself for a spin through Middle East his- an array of dimmer GOP bulbs. Then he began to be smacked by tory. “I think we’ve had an invented Palestinian people who are charges of sexual misconduct: Four women claimed to have been in fact Arabs, and who were historically part of the Arab com- harassed by him when he headed the National Restaurant munity,” he told the Jewish Channel. True enough—under the Association. A fifth, Ginger White, said she and Cain had had a British mandate, “Palestinian” denoted the local Jews. But pro- 13-year affair. Cain denied all charges, though he admitted that fessorial Newt leaves political Newt with problems. Now that the he had given White money, and that his wife had never known horse has gone, why fumble with the barn door? If it was not aim- about her. But Cain’s inexperience also caught up with him. His less showing off, then it was a cynical feel-good appeal for 9-9-9 tax-reform plan was a bad idea, but at least it reflected some Jewish votes. It was nice, however, to see Palestinian negotiator earnest economic thought. Cain gave no thought to the world, Saeb Erekat sputter. “This is the lowest point of thinking anyone joking about U-beki-beki-beki-stan-stan—his trope for obscure can reach,” said Erekat. Lower than blowing up pizza parlors? places—then blowing a question about Libya, a real place that has been in the news constantly. Herman Cain was at best an n Why would anyone participate in, or listen to, a debate hosted unprepared man recklessly offering himself as a fantasy can -
ROMAN GENN by Donald Trump on any subjects other than media, bankruptcy, didate. It is good that he is out of the race.
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THE WEEK n A federal grand jury is investigating whether ex–New Mexico off the rule change. And when Corzine went to lobby the CFTC, governor Bill Richardson’s presidential campaign arranged whom should he have met but his old Goldman Sachs colleague, for supporters to pay hush money to his former mistress, the Commissioner Gary Gensler, along with Commissioner Mark Wall Street Journal reported. According to the allegations, Wetjen, a former aide to his Democratic Senate colleague Harry Richardson’s boosters gave $250,000 to a state employee who Reid? Corzine has much to answer for—and so does the CFTC, considered suing him in 2007. (The two supposedly began their and Washington at large. affair in 2004.) It has been a tough three years for the 2008 Democratic-primary contenders. Former North Carolina senator n The Department of Education’s Office for Civil Rights is sup- John Edwards is standing trial for the very same charges. And posed to make sure that the nation’s schools don’t practice racial former Connecticut senator Chris Dodd has had to give up his discrimination. Instead, in two new “guidance” memos for long-held seat after the public learned of his sweetheart loans school administrators, the office, in conjunction with the Justice from Countrywide. We are not surprised to see such corruption. Department, promotes racial discrimination. The memos—one But we are a little taken aback that these men were brazen enough pertaining to higher education, the other pertaining to elementary to run for president. and secondary schools—tout the benefits of racial diversity, including “promoting cross-racial understanding, breaking down n Nearly a year after the Operation Fast and Furious scandal racial and other stereotypes, and eliminating bias and prejudice.” broke, the Obama administration has yet to answer a simple ques- They then advise schools that, while the Supreme Court says they tion: What did the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and have to consider race-neutral methods of promoting diversity Explosives (ATF) hope to gain by letting Mexican drug gangs (such as preferences for the poor) before resorting to outright dis- buy guns in the U.S.? The question becomes even more pertinent crimination, they have no obligation to use race-neutral methods in light of an e-mail uncovered by CBS News. In the July 2010 if these are not “workable.” The memos even provide reasons for message, Mark Chait—an ATF higher-up who was demoted, but which race-neutral admissions might not be “workable,” includ- not fired, in the wake of the scandal—asked a colleague whether ing the all-purpose excuse that discrimination is the only way to a Fast and Furious case involved any guns that were bought in get the level of diversity the institution has decided it needs. groups from a single dealer. The reason for his request: He was Message received. looking for anecdotes to justify a new “demand letter”—an ATF regulation that would require some gun dealers to report cus- n Do American students of Asian ancestry face racial discrimi- tomers who bought more than one rifle at once. A congressional nation in college admissions? There is much evidence that they report suggests that by the time he sent this e-mail, Chait was do. The Center for Equal Opportunity has found, for example, aware that if the case involved guns that were purchased in that the combined median SAT scores for Asians admitted to the groups, the ATF might very well have sanctioned the sales (in University of Michigan in 2005 were 50 points higher than those some cases over resistance from the dealers themselves). This for whites. Further, where it is forbidden by law to consider race does not prove the theory that Fast and Furious was intended in admissions policy, proportions of Asian students in colleges from the beginning to create an argument for gun control, but it are higher than elsewhere. The student body at the University of does show that at least one ATF official considered putting it to California–Berkeley, for example, is over 40 percent Asian (three that use. Chait should, as also should the Justice Department, times the proportion of Californians with Asian ancestry). It is give a full explanation of what in the world Fast and Furious was well-nigh a universal belief among Asian Americans that college meant to accomplish. admissions officers discriminate against them when the law per- mits this. What to do? For students of mixed parentage the solu- n “I simply do not know where tion is obvious: Check any box on the application form other than the money is,” said Jon Corzine, “Asian.” Since three-quarters of white-Asian marriages in the the disgraced Wall Street mogul U.S. involve a white father, surname is a giveaway only for the and Democratic politico whose other quarter. A December 3 report from Associated Press reveals collapsed firm, MF Global, seems that this practice is exactly what is happening. Apparently we are to have lost track of some $1.2 trending toward the model of apartheid South Africa, where billion in customers’ money. Asians were “honorary whites.” Corzine’s troubles combine in a single case a number of relevant n There must be something in the water in Durban: The home of political themes—the hypocrisy conferences that routinely proclaim Zionism to be the world’s of Democrats’ railing against most virulent form of racism hosted another U.N. jamboree, the Wall Street, the ineffectual nature 17th United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. of the financial reforms enacted by Sarbanes-Oxley and Dodd- Some of the more ambitious proposals, such as a carbon tax on Frank, and the incestuous relationship between Wall Street and the world’s shipping and aviation fleets and an “international cli- the political class. While it remains unclear what precisely did mate court of justice,” were, thankfully, rejected. Two major happen to the customers’ money, the Commodity Futures agreements were reached: on the creation of a fund to help devel- Trading Commission seems to think that Corzine used a complex oping countries switch to clean energy, and on a tentative step financial instrument to “borrow” customers’ money to collateral- toward a legally binding greenhouse-gas treaty that will treat rich ize his trades in European government bonds—at least, the and poor countries equally. The latter was a victory of sorts for
NEWSCOM CFTC recently voted unanimously to ban such trades. It had the U.S., which has insisted on setting limits for developing /
SIPA earlier considered doing so, but was lobbied by Corzine to put countries if any applied to the developed world, though no treaty
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THE WEEK at all would have been much better. As for the climate fund, it has their destinations overnight. While we would prefer a plan that no funding source, and there is no plan for how the treaty’s ends USPS’s government-enforced monopoly on letter delivery specifics will be set. In short, this was just another U.N. confer- and then privatizes the company, slower mail could be part of a ence, wrongly conceived but mercifully unproductive. plan to keep USPS afloat without a bailout. Other cuts should include ending Saturday delivery, closing non-essential USPS n The U.S. Postal Service—which lost $5.1 billion in fiscal year facilities, and downsizing the work force. The House’s Issa-Ross 2011, has reached its debt limit of $15 billion, and is behind on a Postal Reform Act is a worthy bill that takes up some of these $5.5 billion payment to fund retiree health-care benefits—has reforms. The Senate’s bill, awkwardly titled the “21st Century proposed a new measure to cut costs: The “independent” but Postal Service Act of 2011,” also contains much of value, but is government-owned company would like to slow down the deliv- con siderably weaker. In hammering out a compromise, House ery of first-class mail, so that short-range letters no longer reach Republicans should push hard for concessions from the
Another Socialist Plot
HE recently released Muppet movie caused one of Sunday morning. I’ve seen them all: Abbott and Costello T those five-minute fracases that pass across the Go to Mars, Abbott and Costello in the Foreign Legion, Internet/cable-TV landscape like a summer squall. Abbott and Costello Meet Frankenstein, Abbott and Essentially, the Muppet movie (official title,The Muppets) Costello Get Syphilis, Abbott and Costello Testify at laid on a slew of Hollywood clichés—hardly shocking HUAC, etc. given that the Muppets themselves are something of a Okay, I made up a couple of those. But you get the send-up of old vaudeville and movie bits. The one that point. The Marx Brothers, the Three Stooges, Shirley annoyed some conservatives was the Temple, John Wayne, et al. made lots of utterly typical casting of the villain as films in which they essentially played an evil businessman (in this case Tex the same character—i.e., themselves— Richman, dastardly oil baron). over and over again. What changed Liberals made fun of conservatives were the plots. for taking the movie so seriously. Lib - These days we get the same actors erals overlooked the fact that the rea- playing the same parts repeating the son it’s a cliché is that Hollywood same plots over and over again. Some - does, in fact, have a deep-seated, long- times this is forgivable, of course. It’s not established, easily verified animus like Nightmare on Elm Street’s Freddy towards capitalists and businessmen. Krueger would really work as a romantic Yes, yes, yes: Part of the reason businessmen are used lead. And if you’re going to make a Jaws II, it’s pretty hard as villains stems from the fact that you need villains to be to get away from the whole boy-meets-shark storyline. rich and powerful. But part of the reason also has some- But, really, why exactly did Return of the Jedi have to end thing to do with the fact that liberals run Hollywood and with the rebel alliance blowing up a Death Star? And why liberals think capitalism is evil—even though it makes couldn’t the gang from The Hangover come back in a them rich. sequel where they robbed a bank? Enough about all that. If you don’t think Hollywood Obviously, making endless variations on a theme was has liberal biases, all I can say to you is, “How on earth easier to do under the old contract system than it is today. did you end up reading this magazine?” Movie-star trailers were like cells in a Hollywood-studio But Hollywood could learn something from The Mup - gulag. Of course Spencer Tracy would do another movie pets. One of the reasons that so many movie sequels are with Hepburn—anything just to get some yard time. so awful is that the producers think they have to re-create That’s the great thing about the Muppets. Because essentially the same plot, leaving audiences to say, “I’ve they are merely technically advanced socks with sewn-on seen this movie before.” One of the best recent examples eyeballs, you can make them do one movie after another is The Hangover Part II, in which the whole gang is asked and they won’t complain. Personally, I’d love to see an all- to film essentially the same movie as the first Hangover, Muppet remake of All the President’s Men (Carl Bernstein only this time in Thailand. “I can’t believe this is happen- could play himself!). ing again!” says one of the guys at the bachelor party Alas, that’s as likely as Hollywood casting liberals as vil- gone awry. And neither can the audience! lains. I grew up watching Abbott and Costello movies every —JONAH GOLDBERG DISNEY
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THE WEEK Democratic Senate. If we’re to be stuck with a government- have disruptive consequences in the rest of Europe: Without owned mail company, at the very least it should not be run at the British support, European economic coordination—meaning, expense of taxpayers. among other things, shadow bailouts for the spendthrift south— will become more difficult. Without the palliative of German n Since 2006, the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops money, German fiscal discipline may create social disorder in (USCCB) has received federal funds through the Department of more places than Greece. But Cameron has sensibly declined to Health and Human Services (HHS) to administer a nationwide sacrifice the well-being of Britons for the well-being of Greeks, network of organizations that aid victims of human trafficking an important victory for those who think of the United King- with shelter, food, counseling, and other services. This fall, the dom as a nation rather than an administrative subdivision of the group’s application for a grant was denied in favor of three other European Union. organizations, though two of these scored significantly lower than the USCCB in an independent review commissioned by n The world is living a high-class thriller, but is still at the stage HHS. Preference was given, administration officials explained, of having to use imagination to decipher the plot. The one clear to organizations offering referrals for “the full range of legally clue is the setting: Iran. Events turn on the nuclear program that permissible gynecological and obstetric care,” i.e. contraception the Iranians are asking everyone to believe is peaceful but and abortion, which the USCCB does not provide. Rep. Darrell according to many intelligence services is developing a nuclear Issa (R., Calif.), in hearings investigating the politicization of the weapon. Stuxnet and Duqu are anonymous cyber attacks that grant process, has accused HHS of anti-Catholic bias, but any have destroyed essential equipment. About half a dozen Iranian religious or secular institution that shares the bishops’ principles nuclear scientists have been murdered or disabled, one of them is liable to face similar discrimination under an administration Dariush Rezaei, said to have been very senior. Mysterious whose commitment to promoting abortion outweighs its concern explosions have marked the past 18 months, one of them at a for the real needs of victims. missile base near Khorramabad and another 30 miles west of Tehran. This latter destroyed a sprawling complex of buildings and killed Gen. Hassan Moghaddam, the head of the country’s n Andrew Cuomo looked like he was rebranding the fami- missile program. Grief-stricken, the Iranian establishment ly name, as well as Democratic politics in New York State, turned up for his funeral. Is all this accident and coincidence, or and possibly the nation: He was a social liberal, committed might it be war, and if so, who is waging it? Suspects include to same-sex marriage, but a fiscal hawk. “You are kidding American agencies—perhaps the very one that just lost a drone yourself if you think you can be one of the highest-taxed in Iran—and Israel, whose public figures are prone to attribute states in the nation . . . and have a rosy economic future,” he what’s happening to divine intervention. The subject matter is said as recently as this fall. Turns out the only people who too dramatic even to begin sketching the ending. were kidding themselves were those who believed his pru- dent noises. A temporary surcharge on n In central Tehran the police stood by and watched while high incomes was allowed to lapse as hundreds of protesters simultaneously broke into the British scheduled. But in its place Cuomo embassy and the residency compound in Qolhak to the north of and the legislature imposed new the city. They seized seven of the 26 members of the staff, and “progressive” tax brackets. The for a while a replay of the 1979 hostage crisis seemed in the surcharge was in effect reduced but making. Dominick Chilcott, the ambassador, was to say after- made permanent. Cuomo explained ward that he “had no idea how it was going to end.” One historic the new brackets by saying that the building is 135 years old, and in it Roosevelt, Stalin, and state faced “a different economic Churchill held their conference in 1943. The protesters system- reality than anyone could have anti- atically vandalized both sites, setting fires and parading in the cipated.” Same political reality that streets the royal portraits and the embassy crest they had looted. every New Yorker anticipated, Such incidents in the region follow a well-defined course that though. serves as a political statement. At the prompting of increasingly anxious Western powers, a new round of sanctions had just been passed to discourage Iran from finalizing its nuclear program. n Confounding all expectations, British prime minister David The Iranians would no doubt have preferred to take reprisals on Cameron seems to have discovered his spine, in refusing to Americans or Israelis, but in the absence of these favorite Satans kowtow to Franco-German demands for reorganizing the euro- they had to make do with voting to expel the British ambassador zone in a way that would further erode British sovereignty and sending in the official wrecking crews. Once the ambas- and—prob ably the deciding factor—put the City of London, sador and his staff had touched down safely in London, the the financial powerhouse of Europe, at a distinct disadvantage British gave the Iranians 48 hours to close their embassy and get vis-à-vis its Continental competitors. Proposed amendments to out of the country. An embargo on oil purchases might make a the EU treaty forging greater fiscal integration would require point about the importance of more civilized behavior in Iran,
British assent. Cameron was thought likely to go along with and Britain is pressing for it. NEWSCOM / treaty changes in exchange for the giving of leeway to Britain ZUMA to protect its financial sector, but it was clear that the conces- n The Obama administration has pursued a policy of “reset” with / sions he would require would not be acceptable to the other a Russian regime that, according to the State Department’s own
members of the EU—and so he refused. Cameron’s “No” may reporting, runs a “mafia state.” Now the people of Moscow are RICK MACKLER
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denouncing that government. Our excuse for engaging a corrupt International want us to arrest Mr. Bush? Tell them to hang, and regime has been that Vladimir Putin enjoyed the support of the also please ask them to create their own country and wait for Russian people, but when the oil-and-gas boom came to an end Mr. Bush to visit their country so that they can arrest him to suit in 2008, the population’s commitment to Putin collapsed with it. their wish and not here in Zambia.” All it took was the latest manifestation of electoral fraud, follow- ing recent parliamentary elections, to bring them out into the n Whatever you may think is the purpose of higher education, streets. (Sensing an opportunity, the oligarch Mikhail Prokhorov, there is a case to be made that public funding of college-level stud- owner of the New Jersey Nets, has announced his candidacy for ies should bear some relation to the requirements of the national president of Russia in next year’s contest.) The United States can economy. In mainland China, where most higher education is paid continue trying to engage the Russian leaders, or it can do what for by the state, the government has found this case persuasive. it should have done in the first place: base U.S. responses on U.S. They have recently announced that funding of college majors will principles, and react to Russian behavior realistically. The in the future be determined by graduate employment rates. Fields authors of “reset” will be inclined to defend their brainchild, but in which the employment rate for graduates falls below 60 percent the Obama administration should bear in mind that Russia is no for two consecutive years will have their state subsidies cut back longer just the Putin-Medvedev tandem. The people of Russia or eliminated. It pains us to find ourselves in agreement with the have stepped out onto the stage as well. Chinese Communist party on anything at all, but this new policy is surely a sound one. If applied in the U.S., it would have two n Last year, the Norwegian Nobel Committee gave its peace highly desirable side effects: one, there would be fewer unem- prize to a Chinese dissident and prisoner of conscience, Liu ployable graduates available to populate the “Occupy” move- Xiaobo. This piqued the Chinese government, which created its ments, and two, the liberal professoriate would be furious. own peace prize in response. In this, the Chinese were following the Nazi government and the Soviet government, both of which n The California State University system has study-abroad pro- created peace prizes when piqued at Oslo. The Chinese award grams in which CSU students can spend a year at universities in is called the Confucius Peace Prize. And this year it was given such places as chilly Sweden, tropical Ghana, and exotic Canada. to Vladimir Putin, boss of Russia. Why? In the words of an In 2002, Israel was suspended from participation due to safety Associated Press report, “for enhancing Russia’s status and concerns, but officials have announced plans to reinstate it. Cue crushing anti-government forces in Chechnya.” Say this for the expressions of outrage from 80-odd CSU faculty, staff members, Chinese Communists: They know what they like. and administrators, representing “a wide range of views and political perspectives” (from Marxist to anarchist, presumably), n Last year the South Korean government allowed a Christian who have signed an open letter asserting that “CSU participation group to set up a Christmas tree near the Demilitarized Zone with the government of Israel in the proposed study abroad pro- separating their territory from North Korea. This year, they have gram could be interpreted as an endorsement of the international announced, three trees will be erected, with a lighting ceremony crime of apartheid.” CSU also has a study-abroad program in scheduled for December 23. The Norks are not happy. A state-run China. Does this mean the system and its faculty endorse censor- website hissed that the tree-lighting plan is “a mean attempt at ship, torture, slave labor, and arbitrary arrest and detention? psychological warfare.” The website further threatened that light- ing the trees would lead to an “unexpected consequence.” What n Britain’s Queen Victoria, who will that be, we wonder—a carol-singing concert from the North reigned from 1837 to 1901, gave her Korean side? Why not? Kim Il Sung, father of the current North name to an age popularly associ - Korean dictator, was raised a Presbyterian, and liked to relax by ated with bourgeois rectitude playing a church organ. and sexual repression. It has long been plain from her own n Who would have known it: One in ten people is a war crimi- recorded remarks and letters, nal. Or at least they might be if the International Red Cross gets however, that Victoria’s blood its way. The organization has suggested that video gamers who ran hotter than is suggested by play violent games could be violating the Hague Convention. the stiffly formal portraits we Never mind that the Hague Convention applies only to states; not are familiar with. Further evi- to mention to the real world. One can only stand and wonder dence for this has been getting where this all ends: Should the police storm the stage at perfor- some attention in the British press mances of Julius Caesar after Brutus’s betrayal? Speaking in recently: a remarkably sensual pic- defense of the Red Cross’s position, Australian professor of inter- ture of the bare-shouldered Victoria, national law Anthony Billingsley warned that “there are concerns then 24 years old, painted by Franz Winter- about the blurring of fantasy and reality.” On that much we agree. halter and treasured by Victoria’s husband, Prince Albert. Victoria was not quite 21 when she married Albert: His death 22 n Amnesty International has decided that former president years and nine children later devastated her, and she wore George W. Bush should be arrested as a war criminal. In October, widow’s weeds for the rest of her reign. Some silly gossip Amnesty asked Canada to do the job. (Bush was visiting British (made into an even sillier 1997 movie) notwithstanding, there Columbia.) More recently, it asked Ethiopia, Tanzania, or Zam - is no evidence that Victoria’s feelings found any physical bia to do the job. The Zambian foreign minister, Chishimba expression outside her marriage. In that respect at least she was
FRANZ XAVER WINTERHALTER Kambwili, had a tart response. “On what basis does Amnesty truly, and commendably, Victorian.
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THE WEEK n Illegal immigrant Joaquin Luna, aged 18, shot himself dead on n Michigan and Wisconsin are embroiled in a dispute over which November 25 at his family home in Mission, Tex. The family told state looks more like a mitten. The controversy began when a local media that Joaquin had been driven to the sad deed by dis- Michigan resident noticed that Wisconsin was using a mitten to tress over the failure of Congress to pass the dREAM Act, which symbolize itself in a marketing campaign. Blasphemy, he would have given federal college aid to illegals. National news declared: Everybody knows Michigan is the Mitten State, while media picked up the story and ran with it: CNN devoted a lengthy Wisconsin looks like one only if you stretch the thumb part segment to it on November 30. Local congressman Rubén over your pinky. Wisconsin partisans retorted that at least Hinojosa, a co-sponsor of the dREAM Act, aired the case in a their state doesn’t have to leave out an entire peninsula— maudlin speech to the House of Representatives. given that and besides, Wisconsin beat Michigan State for this year’s Texas actually does offer tuition relief to illegals attending state Big Ten football championship, so there. An online survey at colleges, and that Mexico itself has many fine colleges Luna TravelMichigan.com predictably showed Michigan winning in a could have attended in perfect legality, it is hard to see why he 5–1 landslide; international monitors have yet to weigh in on the should have been so upset over dREAM. Well, apparently he survey’s fairness. Mitt Romney was unavailable for comment wasn’t: When the county sheriff’s office at last released Luna’s until he could check the two states’ polling data. Meanwhile, eleven-page suicide note, there was no mention in it of the we’re told that Wyoming and Colorado will soon slug it out over dREAM Act. The sheriff himself scolded those who had tried to which state more closely resembles a Pop-Tart. politicize the tragedy. Representative Hi no josa was unrepentant, blustering through a spokeswoman that “there was no reason to n What would the Christmas season be without a War on doubt” the family. Christmas story? Here’s one from Stockton, Calif. Teachers at a local K-through-8 school have been told that Santas, Christmas n There has been a flurry of trees, and poinsettia plants are not to be displayed, though snow- striking news stories from outer men and snowflakes are acceptable. Why the ban? There are a space. Closest to home, though “myriad of religious affiliations,” quoth the superintendent, and still impressively far away, “we don’t want a pervasive theme of a class to represent one reli- NASA’s Voyager 1 spacecraft, gious affiliation.” If you can make sense of that, you’re smart launched in 1977, seems to enough to be an ed bureaucrat in California. After many protests have reached the “helio - the superintendent seems to have backed off, though his English sheath”—the boundary zone usage is so idiosyncratic that it’s hard to tell: “Well-intentioned between the influence of the people may take a step that’s incongruous with district expec - Sun, as defined by the “solar tations. That’s been corrected.” Meanwhile, in Florida, there is a wind” of particles the Sun dire shortage of multicultural Santas, with speakers of Spanish emits, and interstellar space. and Haitian Creole especially in demand for community centers The plucky little spacecraft is and churches. Black Santas, too: “When Santa bears the face Kepler-22b two and a half times farther that kids can connect to, it can raise their self-esteem,” caroled a away from the Sun than Pluto ever gets, and still operating. Five local community activist. What could be more important than hundred times farther away than that, astronomers have found raising kiddies’ self-esteem? Assimilation into a common cul- the most earthlike planet yet, orbiting a sunlike star. The mean ture? Ho ho ho! surface temperature on Kepler-22b is a pleasant 72 degrees. And half a million times farther away than that, two black holes of record size have been discovered, one 10 billion times more mas- POLITICS sive than the Sun, one 20 billion times. The black holes sound Winnowing the Field terrifying; Kepler-22b sounds intriguing; but we will save our enthusiasm for Voyager 1, which we Americans made and sent on HARd-FougHT presidential primary campaign is ob- its way, and which bears an audio-visual selection of information scuring the uncharacteristic degree of unity within the about our planet and our species, including a Chuck Berry song, A Republican party. It has reached a conservative consensus a picture of Boston, a sketch of the human sex organs, and a on most of the pressing issues of the day. All of the leading candi- greeting from Jimmy Carter. dates, and almost all of the lagging ones, support the right to life. All of them favor the repeal of obamacare. Most of them support n New York university is set to become the first college in the reforms to restrain the growth of entitlement spending. All of them united States to offer classes in occupy Wall Street, when two favor reducing the corporate tax rate to levels that will make the new for-credit classes join the timetables next semester. In keep- u.S. a competitive location for investment. Almost all of them ing with the inchoate nature of the movement, both classes—one seem to understand the dangers of a precipitate withdrawal from for undergraduates, one for graduates—have a “rotating focus.” Iraq and Afghanistan, and of a defense policy driven by the need Expect the subject to rotate to the evils of government if a to protect social spending rather than the national interest. Con - Republican wins the White House in 2012. NYu’s move appears servatives may disagree among themselves about which candi- to have been quite brilliantly designed to ensure the maintenance date most deserves support, but all of us should take heart in this
CALTECH of a vicious cycle and ensure that the course’s content never development—and none of us should exaggerate the program- - JPL / becomes stale: In this vein, expect more debt-laden graduates to matic differences within the field. AMES / stand around complaining about the uselessness of their costly Just as heartening, the White House seems winnable next
NASA education about four years from now. year, and with it a majority in both houses of Congress, so that
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THE WEEK much of this conservative consensus could actually become law. A conservative majority on the Supreme Court, a halt to the march of regulation, free-market health-care policies: All of them seem within our grasp. But none of them is assured, and the costs of failure—either a failure to win the election, or a failure to govern competently and purposefully afterward—are as large as the opportunity. We fear that to nominate former Speaker Newt Gingrich, the frontrunner in the polls, would be to blow this opportunity. We say that mindful of his opponents’ imperfections—and of his own virtues, which have been on display during his amazing comeback. Very few people with a personal history like his—two divorces, two marriages to former mistresses—have ever tried running for president. Gingrich himself has never run for a statewide office, let alone a national one, and has not run for any- thing since 1998. That year he was kicked out by his colleagues, the most conservative ones especially, who had lost confidence in him. During his time as Speaker, he was one of the most unpop- the national stage. Republican presidential candidates have not ular figures in public life. Just a few months ago his campaign been known for their off-the-cuff eloquence in recent decades, but seemed dead after a series of gaffes and resignations. That conservatism should not choose a standard-bearer who would Gingrich now tops the polls is a tribute to his perseverance, and have to spend much of his time untying his own tongue. Rep - to Republicans’ admiration for his intellectual fecundity. resentative Bachmann’s rise early in the primary season reflected Both qualities served conservatives well in the late 1980s and the public’s hunger for sincere conviction; her later descent, early 1990s, when Gingrich, nearly alone, saw the potential for a following among other things her casual repetition of false anti- Republican takeover of Congress and worked tirelessly to bring it vaccine rumors, its desire that conviction be married to judgment. about. Even before the takeover, Gingrich helped to solidify the Representative Paul’s recent re-dabbling in vile conspiracy party’s opposition to tax increases and helped to defeat the Clinton theories about September 11 are a reminder that the excesses of health-care plan. The victory of 1994 enabled the passage of wel- the movement he leads are actually its essence. fare reform, the most successful social policy of recent decades. Three other candidates deserve serious consideration. Gov - Gingrich’s colleagues were, however, right to bring his tenure ernor Huntsman has a solid record, notwithstanding his some- to an end. His character flaws—his impulsiveness, his grandi osity, times glib foreign-policy pronouncements; his main weakness is his weakness for half-baked (and not especially conservative) his apparent inability, so far, to forge a connection with con- ideas—made him a poor Speaker of the House. Again and again servative voters outside Utah. Governor Romney won our he combined incendiary rhetoric with irresolute action, bringing endorsement last time, in part because some of the other leading Republicans all the political costs of a hardline position without can didates were openly hostile to important elements of conser- actually taking one. Again and again he put his own interests vatism. He is highly intelligent and disciplined, and he takes con- above those of the causes he championed in public. servative positions on all the key issues. We still think he would He says, and his defenders say, that time, reflection, and reli- make a fine president, but time and ceaseless effort have not yet gious conversion have conquered his dark side. If he is the nom- overcome conservative voters’ skepticism about the liberal inee, a campaign that should be about whether the country will aspects of his record and his managerial disposition. Senator continue on the path to social democracy would inevitably Santorum was an effective legislator. He deserves credit for high- become to a large extent a referendum on Gingrich instead. And lighting, more than any other candidate, the need for public poli- there is reason to doubt that he has changed. Each week we see cies that topple barriers to middle-class aspirations. Weighing the same traits that weakened Republicans from 1995 through against him is a lack of executive experience. 1998: I’d vote for Paul Ryan’s Medicare reform; Paul Ryan’s As Republican primary voters consider their choices, they Medicare reform is radical right-wing social engineering; I apol- should ask themselves several questions: Which candidate is ogize for saying that, and no one should quote what I said be - most likely to make the race turn on the large questions before the cause I was wrong; actually, what I said was right all along but country, and not his personal idiosyncrasies? Which candidate nobody understood me. I helped defeat Communism; anyone is most likely to defeat Obama? Who could, if elected, form an NEWSCOM / who made money in the ’80s and ’90s owes me; I’m like Reagan effective partnership with Republican leaders and governors to and Thatcher. Local community boards should decide what to do achieve the conservative agenda? We will render further judg- with illegal immigrants. Freddie Mac paid me all that money to ments in the weeks to come as the candidates continue to make CHRIS FITZGERALD
: tell them how stupid they were. Enough. Gingrich has always said their cases and are, just perhaps, joined by new candidates. At he wants to transform the country. He appears unable to trans- the moment we think it important to urge Republicans to have the form, or even govern, himself. He should be an adviser to the good sense to reject a hasty marriage to Gingrich, which would AND ROMNEY , Republican party, but not again its head. risk dissolving in acrimony. Gingrich is not the only candidate whom we believe conserva- HUNTSMAN
, tives should, regretfully, exclude from consideration for the pres- EDITOR’S NOTE: The next issue of NATIONAL REVIEW idency. Governor Perry has done an exemplary job in Texas but will appear in three weeks.
SANTORUM has seemed curiously and persistently unable to bring gravity to
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The Conservative Tr a d i t i o n TIM Taught by Professor Patrick N. Allitt ED E O IT FF E IM R L 1. What Is Conservatism? 2. The Glorious Revolution and Its Heritage 70% 3. Burke, Tradition, and the French Revolution O 9 4. Pitt and the Wars of the French Revolution 2 R off D Y 5. The American Revolution ER R 6. The Federalists B UA Y FEBR 7. Conservatives in the American South 8. Northern Antebellum Conservatism 9. Opposing the Great Reform Act 10. Robert Peel and the Conservative Revival 11. Smith, Ricardo, Malthus, Mill 12. Conservatism and the American Civil War 13. Industrialists, Mugwumps, Traditionalists 14. Disraeli and Tory Imperialism 15. The Rise of Labour and the House of Lords 16. The Idea of Anglo-Saxon Supremacy 17. No Vote for Women 18. American Conservatives after World War I 19. Opposing the New Deal 20. The Tory Party from Bonar Law to Churchill 21. The Reaction to Labour and Nationalization 22. American Anticommunism and McCarthyism 23. American Traditionalists 24. Libertarianism 25. National Review and Barry Goldwater 26. Upheavals of the 1960s 27. The Neoconservatives 28. The Neoconservatives and Foreign Policy 29. Christian Conservatives and the New Right 30. Margaret Thatcher’s Counterrevolution 31. Monarchs and Prime Ministers 32. Reagan Triumphant 33. The End of the Cold War 34. Paleoconservatives and Theoconservatives 35. Culture Wars Gain Insights into the 36. Unresolved Paradoxes
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and public assistance at the appropriate level of government can then protect those who are unable to care for themselves. What is truly revolutionary about the United States is that the ladder of opportu- nity became available to everyone. As a result, poverty has been vastly diminished. Even more important, it is no longer a per- manent condition from which there is no real possibility of escape. But about a hundred years ago, there arose a different dream: that government could engineer a better society, rather than simply leaving the people free to create one. Progressive reformers were convinced not only that the American founders were wrong in their assumptions about man and about the necessity of limited government, but also that advances in science would allow government to reshape society and eradicate the inequalities of property and wealth that had been unleashed by indi- The String-Pullers vidual rights, democratic capitalism, and the resulting growth of commerce and Channeling TR, President Obama advocates rule-by-elites business. A more activist government, built on evolving rights and a “living” Constitution, would redistribute wealth BY MATTHEW SPALDING and level out differences in society through progressive taxation, economic regula- ARACk OBAmA initially ran for Throughout history and today in many tions, and extensive social-welfare pro- president invoking Abraham parts of the world, political rule is the grams, all centrally administered by expert Lincoln, then looked to Franklin privilege of the strongest and the most bureaucrats. B D. Roosevelt and even appealed powerful. America is exceptional because The clearest formulation of this nation- to Ronald Reagan. He began campaigning it is dedicated to the principle of universal alizing and socializing aspect of progres- for reelection as Harry Truman running human liberty: that all are fundamentally sive thought is found in an influential book against a “do nothing” Congress. But now, equal by nature and equally endowed with by Herbert Croly called The Promise of at long last, he has revealed that his heart unalienable rights to life, liberty, and the American Life (1909). Croly allows that truly lies with the old Bull moose progres- pursuit of happiness. This principle and Americans are entitled to an “almost reli- sive, Theodore Roosevelt. the constitutional framework of law that gious faith” in their country, but quickly In a pilgrimage to the small town of enlivens it are the foundation of the Amer - cuts to the problem: “The traditional Osawatomie, kan., President Obama has ican Dream. Amer ican confidence in individual free- given the defining address of his admin- The related principle that each has a dom has resulted in a morally and socially istration. Osawatomie is where Teddy right to the rewards of his own labor undesirable distribution of wealth.” The Roosevelt in 1910 delivered his famous makes possible a dynamic social order in time has come to reject the ghosts of the speech calling for a “New Nationalism” which every member of society can work Founding and devote ourselves to “a dom- and launching his campaign for a third hard and advance based on individual inant and constructive national purpose” presidential term, which ultimately led talent and ability. The primary obligation centered on a new theory of the state, in him to bolt from the Republicans and run of government is to secure property rights, which experts administer government and as the Progressive-party candidate. break down artificial barriers to opportu - regulate the economy to achieve progres- Osawatomie was Roosevelt at his most nity, and uphold the rule of law. sive outcomes. By becoming “responsible progressive, and so it was for mr. Obama. This is sound economic theory. When for the subordination of the individual If there was any doubt before, it is now property is protected, there is an incentive to that purpose,” Croly writes, “the Amer - clear that the president has given up on the to earn, save, and invest in opportunities ican state will in effect be making itself center of American politics and doubled for the future. When guaranteed to reap responsible for a morally and socially down on his governing model. And this what they sow, more people will sow and desirable distribution of wealth.” tells us everything about where he is reap. When economic reward is available Despite his image as a “trust buster,” coming from and where he wants to go. to all, and the protection of property ex- Theodore Roosevelt preferred not to dis- tends to all, the amount of wealth through- mantle large corporations, but rather to Mr. Spalding is vice president for American studies at out society increases exponentially. A control and regulate them in the public
the Heritage Foundation. basic safety net formed by civil society interest. “Great corporations exist only ROMAN GENN
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because they are created and safeguarded fair—and that means ever more govern- by our institutions,” he proclaimed in ment authority, programs, and regulation. 1901, “and it is therefore our right and our “As a nation,” Obama said, “we’ve always An duty to see that they work in harmony with come together, through our government.” these institutions.” That meant centraliz- And so Obama returned to his mantra of Unavoidable ing control of the economy and expanding more federal education programs, more the power of the national government. infrastructure spending, and more eco- Increasingly progressive after his election nomic regulations. And, of course, raising Challenge to a full term in 1904, roosevelt declared taxes on the wealthy to pay for these war against “predatory wealth,” argued “investments” would only be fair. Now is the time to make the case for that administrative commissions should Obama denies the charge of class war- military action against Iran recommend regulatory measures to Con- fare, and, as class warfare is convention- gress, and—by the end of his second ally understood, he is correct. What he is BY JOHN YOO term—was calling for a graduated income actually doing is abandoning the average, and inheritance tax. middle-class voter and his middle-class Ur political calendar and In 1910, roosevelt set out to define a values and cobbling together an alliance one of our nation’s greatest more comprehensive progressive philoso- of state dependents, government hangers- threats have synchronized. phy, and found it in Herbert Croly’s book. on, and political elites who claim the O In the upcoming year, the “The material progress and prosperity of a capacity to run things. Obama’s program American people will render their judg- nation are desirable chiefly so far as they is fundamentally about the rise of a new ment on Barack Obama’s presidency. lead to the moral and material welfare of governing class that insists on enforcing Meanwhile, if the International Atomic all good citizens,” roosevelt observed in political and economic “fairness” rather Energy Agency’s November report is his Osawatomie speech, the initial draft of than letting us govern ourselves. The accurate, Iran will soon join the ranks of which was written by Croly. Progress and managed quest for fairness inevitably the world’s nuclear powers. Because of welfare require not only the centralization leads to bureaucratic favoritism, inequal- the Obama administration’s reluctance of government but also the nationalization ities based on special interests, and undue to confront this looming threat, others— of politics—a break from the American political influence. such as the republican presidential can- tradition of localism. The federal govern- At some point in every presidential cam- didates—must begin preparing the case ment should now play an interventionist paign, there is a speech that defines the for a military strike to destroy Iran’s role to advance progressive democracy, candidate and provides the rationale for nuclear program. for “if we do not have the right kind of law his policies in light of the larger meaning republican frontrunners have seized and the right kind of administration of the of the country. By turning to Tr’s New upon the threat. In last month’s South law, we cannot go forward as a nation.” Nationalism model, Obama has revealed Carolina debate, Mitt romney promised In his own Osawatomie speech, Presi- once and for all that the intellectual ante - that Iran “will not have a nuclear wea - dent Obama donned Tr’s progressive cedent of his administration is the progres- pon” under his presidency. Economic mantle. He alluded to “an America where sive theory of governance. He is calling his sanctions and aid to internal opposition hard work paid off, and responsibility was party back to its most radical roots. His come first, said the former Massachusetts rewarded, and anyone could make it if objective as president is to complete the governor, but “if all else fails . . . [and] they tried—no matter who you were, no progressive transformation of America, there’s nothing else we can do besides matter where you came from, no matter and define its next phase as assuring not take military action, then of course you how you started out.” But this “basic bar- equal opportunity, but “fair” outcomes, by take military action.” gain” has become so eroded by the mar- redistributing wealth and benefits through Newt Gingrich, the frontrunner in sev - ketplace that the “defining issue of our an ever more complicated and extensive eral early states, heartily agrees. In the time” is “to restore growth and prosperity, government that regulates more and more South Carolina debate, Gingrich pro- restore balance, restore fairness.” of the economy and society. posed covert operations, including “tak- The choice we face, as Obama frames it, As the national government becomes ing out their scientists” and “breaking is the same offered by progressives 100 ever more centralized and bureaucratic, up their systems,” and a Cold War–style years ago: between the harshness of mar- acting without constitutional limits, it also strategy “of breaking the regime and ket capitalism (defined in true straw-man becomes more undemocratic, and more bringing it down.” But the former fashion as “you’re-on-your-own econom- potentially despotic, than ever. The result House speaker “agree[s] entirely” with ics” with “a free license to take whatever is that a government designed to secure the romney that, should pressure fail, “you you can from whomever you can”) and right to the pursuit of happiness and to have to take whatever steps are neces- the fairness of progressive nationalism break down unjust barriers to opportunity sary” to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear (the view that “we are greater together— now penalizes success, restricts opportuni- weapons. when everyone engages in fair play, and ty, and has become the chief barrier to the everybody gets a fair shot, and everybody achievement of the American Dream. Mr. Yoo is a law professor at the University of does their fair share”). The 2012 election will be a referen - California, Berkeley, and a visiting scholar at the The word “fair” recurs in various forms dum on the governing philosophy of this American Enterprise Institute. He served in the Bush throughout the speech, with reminders nation. Let us hope that voters understand Justice Department from 2001 to 2003 and is the along the way that things have to be made the stakes. co-editor of Confronting Terror.
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In this game of diplomatic poker, the The U.N. Charter guarantees the no matter how justified or beneficial, Republicans would go all in where the “territorial integrity” and “political in - to the approval of authoritarian na - last administration and the present one dependence” of each member nation, tions. have checked. Though he declares that and prohibits the use of force except in Thankfully, the U.S. has not often “we don’t take any options off the self-defense, which many scholars and waited for the Security Council’s per- table,” President Obama avoids explicit international officials interpret to mean mission to protect its interests. But if the military threats. Instead he seeks to that force is prohibited except when an president seeks U.N. authorization for a “isolate and increase the pressure upon invader has attacked across a border or military action against Iran, his adminis- the Iranian regime.” He naïvely hoped is about to do so. It does provide an tration will have to make a case much to negotiate a settlement with Tehran exception for war to prevent threats to like the one that the Bush ad ministration (and Venezuela, Cuba, and North Korea!), international peace and security, but made regarding Iraq. It can argue that but he has ended up in the same place only if approved by the Security Coun - destroying Iran’s nu clear weapons is a as his predecessor. George W. Bush cil (where the United States, Great combination of self-defense and pro - declined to attack Iran’s nuclear infra- Britain, France, Russia, and China all tecting international security. Nuclear structure. He also passed on striking a have a veto). Not surprisingly, U.N. au - weapons in the hands of an obvious suspected Syrian nuclear facility (the thorizations to use force are rare. China enemy would constitute a grave threat to Israelis destroyed it in 2007). Like and Russia, both Security Council American interests. Even without them, Obama, he pursued economic sanctions members, generally oppose interven- Iran has fomented conflict in the re - and applied political pressure to foster tion in what they consider “internal” gion, supported groups hostile to Israel Iranian regime change. affairs, including policies that repress through its client state Syria, supported President Obama has done more than political and economic freedoms. They terrorists who target American allies merely delay the inevitable day of reck- can usually be counted on to protect such as Saudi Arabia, and attacked oning with Iran. He has left the public other oppressive regimes by blocking American troops in Iraq. It has also sup- uninformed about the nature and possible U.N. approval for war, as they did in ported attacks on our embassies and consequences of military action, which Iraq in 2003. military bases in places such as Saudi President Obama has done more than merely delay the inevitable day of reckoning with Iran. He has left the public uninformed about the nature and possible consequences of military action.
must be serious and sustained enough to Just as national governments claim Arabia and Lebanon, planned to kill destroy complex, protected, and dispersed a monopoly on the use of force within ambassadors on Amer ican soil, and of facilities—pinpoint bomb ing of a single their borders and in exchange offer course taken our diplomatic officials facility will not end Iran’s nuclear pro- police protection, the U.N. asks na tions hostage. Nuclear weapons would allow gram. Iran might respond by attacking to give up their right to go to war and in Iran to escalate hostilities with little fear Israel, Arab allies such as Saudi Arabia, exchange offers to police the world. of any large-scale American military and oil shipments in the Persian Gulf. But the U.N. has no armed forces of its response. If Saddam Hussein had suc- President Obama has also failed to ex - own, has a crippled decision-making ceeded in his drive to build nuclear plain the heavy costs of containment, system, and lacks political legitimacy. weapons, would the United States have which would involve a constant, signifi- It is contrary to both American na - gone to war in 1991 to protect a small, cant conventional and nuclear military tional interests and global welfare oil-rich sheikdom? presence on Iran’s peri meter. because it subjects any intervention, A president need not wait until an Obama has compounded this poli tical attack is imminent before taking action. negligence by failing to build the legal Iranian nuclear capabilities would case for attacking Iran. Instead, the cause a radical reversal of the balance administration has tethered Amer ican of power, and that fact justifies action in national security to the dictates of the itself. During the Cuban Missile Crisis, United Nations. In Libya, Obama delayed Pres. John F. Kennedy imposed a block- launching the air war until the Security ade, which is an act of war, though his Council approved the intervention, allow- legal advisers claimed it was a “quaran- ing a popular revolution to metastasize tine” instead. Soviet nuclear missiles into a prolonged, de structive civil war. were not fueling on the launch pads, The same craving for international ap - but President Kennedy used force be - proval may lead the administration to put cause the Russian deployment upset the off mili tary action against Iran until it is “Alsace-Lorraine—what did you superpower equilibrium in the Western too late. get for Christmas?” Hemisphere.
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Even realists who criticize a pro- immigrants, and on the other, his grand- democracy agenda should support the parents. Speaking of respectability, Gould prevention of Iranian hegemony in the The is a graduate of St. Paul’s School and Middle East. Iran seeks to export its fun- Peter house, Cambridge. Not bad for a damentalist revolution, with its brutal Z-Word Semitic upstart. suppression of individual rights and free In his widely publicized remarks, markets, throughout the region. It stokes When people say ‘Zionist,’ Flynn worried about “neocons and war- the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. Its presi- what do they mean? mongers,” now itching to invade Iran. dent hopes to wipe Israel from the map. “Warmongers” is a word we can easily It undermines reconstruction and recon- BY JAY NORDLINGER understand. But what about two other ciliation in Iraq. It supports terrorists words Flynn used, “neocons” and “Zion - throughout the world. It threatens to FEW weeks ago, a Labour ist”? These are very slippery terms. If you close off the Straits of Hormuz, through MP in Britain, Paul Flynn, want to paralyze someone who denounces which travels 17 percent of the oil traded expressed displeasure with his neocons, say, “What’s a neocon?” If you worldwide. It has attacked shipping in A country’s ambassador to Israel. want to paralyze someone who denounces the Persian Gulf. A nuclear Iran could “I do not normally fall for conspiracy the- Zionists, or even refers to them, say, expand its asymmetric warfare against ories,” he said, “but the ambassador has “What’s a Zionist?” People use these its neighbors, or even escalate into con- proclaimed himself to be a Zionist.” words cavalierly and ignorantly. And ventional warfare, with little fear of What Britain needs in Israel, according none too nicely, either. direct retaliation. to Flynn, is “someone with roots in the We will concentrate on the older of the Military action need not go so far as U.K.” who “can’t be accused of having words, “Zionist.” Though it may be older an invasion or even a no-fly zone. Our Jewish loyalty.” than “neocon,” it is much, much newer forces would have to destroy Iranian air- Britain’s ambassador to Israel, as you than “Zion.” We first encounter “Zion” in defense sites, but otherwise, thanks to may have surmised, is a Jew, the first II Samuel, Chapter 5: “David took the precision-guided missiles and drones, to serve in that capacity. He previously strong hold of Zion: the same is the city they could concentrate on a few links in served in Pakistan and Iran (not Jewish of David.” I am quoting King James’s the Iranian nuclear chain: the centrifuge states). As for Matthew Gould’s “roots in translators. In Psalm 48, we have one of facilities where uranium is enriched, the the U.K.,” they may not be as deep as the loveliest lines in the entire Bible: assembly points for weapons, and per- Flynn’s, but they are semi-respectable: “Beautiful for situation, the joy of the haps missile and air-delivery systems. On one side, his great-grandparents were whole earth, is mount Zion.” Centuries The surgical nature of such strikes would make them proportional to the military objective, which would be not the overthrow of the Iranian regime but e United States once again can establish the destruction of its nuclear capability. Nuclear-weapons infrastructure is a a stable dollar worth its weight in gold. legit imate military target, even if some strikes may kill civilians. If casualties “The True Gold Standard --
result because facilities are located A Must Read for Policy Makers” beneath cities, the fault rests with the “Lew Lehrman’s most recent book on why we need to Iranians for deliberately using civilians adopt a new gold standard comes at just the right time. to shield its military—a move long for- The book makes the constitutional and policy arguments bidden by the laws of war. Unlike for the gold standard as a means of allowing economic Iranian-supported terrorist groups, the growth that will generate the revenue we need to eliminate United States will assuredly do every- GHÀFLWVDQGDYRLGDIXWXUHGHEWFULVLVRIRXURZQµ thing possible to keep civilian loss of — Former Congressman David McIntosh, life to a minimum. Indiana’s 2nd District (1995-2001) The United States has assumed the role, once held by Great Britain, of “Lehrman is the most profound monetary thinker of guaranteeing free trade and economic our time. The world monetary system is in a terrible development, spreading liberal values, crisis and we live in a world of booms, busts, and and maintaining international security. debilitating panics. The dollar has lost 82% of its 1971 value and 96% versus gold. Social disorder, wars, and Find it on Amazon.com An attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, revolution almost always follow such chaos. Lehrman in Paperback & on Kindle. though it would impose costs in human in this book analyzes the disorder and lays out an lives and political turmoil, would serve orderly, practical plan to restore economic growth and FREE Lewis E. Lehrman’s these interests and forestall the spread create a stable monetary system, exchange rates, and 5 Step Plan to Restore of conflict and terror. The Republican HQGLQÁDWLRQµ Economic Growth presidential candidates should begin — Barton M. Biggs, rough a Stable Dollar @ preparing the case now for this difficult author of Wealth, War & Wisdom eTrueGoldStandard.org but unavoidable challenge.
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later came a hymn that begins, “Glorious Earlier this year, Farrakhan said that things of thee are spoken, Zion, city of our “Zion ists dominate the government of the God!” Those words were written by the United States of America and her banking author of “Amazing Grace,” John Newton. system.” He added, “Some of you think “Zion” may refer to a hill in Jerusalem, that I’m just somebody who’s got some- or a section of Jerusalem, or Jerusalem thing out for the Jewish people. You’re itself, or all Israel. Or to the kingdom stupid. Do you think I would waste my of God, period. It also may refer to the time if I did not think it was important for Jewish people or to all mankind. People in you to know Satan? My job is to pull the Illinois may know Zion as a city on the cover off of Satan so that he will never Wisconsin border. deceive you and the people of the world “Zionism” arose in the late 19th cen- again.” tury, and its believers and supporters were In Israel itself, the word “Zionist” is in “Zionists.” This was the movement to bad odor, certainly on the left. Few acad- establish a Jewish state in ancient Israel— emics, artists, and cool teens would want to “reestablish” that state, if you like. Zionist of Zionists, Theodor Herzl to be known as Zionists. This started “just European Jews such as Theodor Herzl after the 1967 war,” says Zev Chafets, the thought, or feared, that assimilation was administration, and in particular to the veteran American-Israeli writer. “Zionist” a lost cause. The host countries would work of one State Department official: came to mean superpatriot, flag-waver, never allow it. The best answer was a John Bolton. jingo. The worldwide Left associates return to Zion, to Israel. Other Jews held Over the years, people have denounced Zion ism with colonialism, imperialism, this return to be desirable in itself, re - Zionism while proclaiming their great and, of course, racism, and the Israeli gardless of whether assimilation in the love of Jews. They’re not anti-Jewish, you Left does the same. broader world was possible. see, but merely anti-Zionist. They could More than a few Israelis refer to them- Herzl wrote his pamphlet The Jewish just as well say “anti-Israel,” but “Zionist” selves as “post-Zionists,” which may mean State in 1896. The next year, he organ- is somehow the word of choice. any number of things. For instance, it may ized the first Zionist Congress, in Basel. Accepting an Academy Award in 1978, mean that they reject the old Zionist vision Many Jews were Zionists, many were not. Redgrave congratulated her colleagues on and instead welcome a “binational state,” Those who were not, were free to stay standing up to “Zionist hoodlums,” such including the West Bank and Gaza and where they were (as were those Jews who as those picketing outside. Later in her everyone in them. Jewish particularism is supported Zionism but did not wish to remarks, she said, “I pledge to you that anathema to them. When they think “Zion - emigrate themselves). The ancient lan- I will continue to fight against anti- ist,” they are apt to think “settler,” and guage, Hebrew, was revived. The move- Semitism and fascism.” In 1980, Jesse a settler, in their minds, is no good. Of ment gathered pace. After the Holocaust, Jackson called Zionism “a kind of poiso- course, not so long ago, just about every and a war of independence, the Jews had nous weed that is choking Judaism.” He Israeli was a settler, and a Zionist, to boot. their state. Zionism, i.e., Jewish national- was following the pattern of “Judaism There are still people who embrace the ism, was fulfilled. good, Zionism bad.” In 1992, he seemed Z-word, no matter the opprobrium that But the term hung on, particularly in to have a change of heart, hailing Zionism comes with it. Paul Flynn, the British MP, the mouths of Israel’s enemies. Indeed, as a “liberation movement.” said that Ambassador Gould “has pro- many Arabs would not, and will not, say But old habits die hard, and Jackson claimed himself to be a Zionist.” That is “Israel.” They say “Zionist entity” or is still liable to use “Zionism” or “Zionist” true. Gould has also said, “I thought long “Zion ist presence.” To say “Israel,” ap- as a term of abuse. In October 2008, Amir and hard about applying for the position” parently, would acknowledge statehood, Taheri, an exile journalist from Iran, re - of ambassador to Israel. “I thought it might which is unacknowledgeable, to some. corded what Jackson said at a conference just be all too difficult. But then I thought The late Yasser Arafat was a frequent in France. An Obama administration was to myself, ‘Why should Jews rule them- user of “Zionist aggressor,” “Zionist con- coming, he said, and this administration selves out of important positions?’” Gould quest,” and similar phrases. would diminish the “Zionists who have has emphasized he is “the British ambas- One goal of Israel’s enemies was to stig- controlled American policy for decades.” sador to Israel, not the Jewish one.” matize “Zionism,” and they had their Whom did he mean, exactly? What do peo- Ten years ago, Gil Troy, a history pro- greatest success in November 1975, when ple ever mean when they say “Zionists”? fessor at McGill University, wrote a book the United Nations passed its infamous Louis Farrakhan talks about Zionists with a totally unabashed title: “Why I Am Resolution 3379: Zionism equals racism. almost as much as Arafat did. An Asso ci - a Zionist: Israel, Jewish Identity and the “Racism” was the severest term of the age, ated Press report in 1984 said, “Farrakhan, Challenges of Today.” There are also many and it may well be that today, too. Vanessa who has been quoted as calling Judaism millions of Americans who support Israel Redgrave, a great supporter of Arafat and a ‘gutter religion,’ denied that he was and are known as “Christian Zionists.” his PLO, said, “Zionism is a brutal, racist against Jews. He has said that remark Their critics utter this term with disdain or ideology.” Other peoples could have their referred to Zionism, not Judaism.” Here is fear or both. I suspect that these Christians national expression, but not the Jews. an AP report from 1998: “Farrakhan sug- themselves have no problem with it.
Resolution 3379 was revoked in 1991, gested a Zionist plot was behind President To me, a Zionist has always been a per- NEWSCOM /
thanks chiefly to the work of the Bush 41 Clinton’s affair with Monica Lewinsky.” son who supports the idea of a Jewish AKG
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homeland, or state, in the Middle East. In mediocre middle linebacker who was a ancient Israel. Therefore, being a Zionist is fourth-round pick out of North Carolina essentially the same as supporting the right Tebow’s State, would want to take Tebow down a of Israel to exist. When Farrakhan says that peg. For good and for ill, head games and the U.S. government, the banks, and the Religion, intimidation are as much a part of football media are “dominated by Zionists,” I’m as tackling is (not to mention that Tebow apt to say, “Sure: Most Americans support has four inches on Tulloch and is a talent- Israel, both as idea and as reality.” But I am And Ours ed enough athlete that he might even make being too clever, no doubt—because when Earnest worship versus a better backer). people say “Zionist,” they really mean ... the worship of cynicism But there is also something a bit nastier Well, what do they mean? One clue in Tulloch’s mockery, in the phenomenon comes from John J. Mearsheimer, the BY DANIEL FOSTER of “Tebowing” as a whole, and in the cri - University of Chicago professor who, ticisms by players such as former Broncos with Stephen M. Walt, wrote The Israel HEN the Detroit Lions’ Ste - quarterback Jake Plummer, who said of Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy, a notori- phen Tulloch sacked the Tebow, “When he accepts the fact that we ous book published in 2007. Mearsheimer Denver Broncos’ Tim Tebow know that he loves Jesus Christ, then I has just written a blurb for a book by Gilad W in the first quarter of their think I’ll like him a little better.” Atzmon, an ex-Israeli who hates Israel Week Eight match-up, the linebacker So what is it that so many around foot- and hates himself, for that matter. He has immediately kneeled next to the prone ball—players, pundits, fans—are so peeved described himself as a “proud self-hating Denver quarterback in a mockery of about? Why has Tebow’s faith generated Jew.” In his blurb, Mearsheimer writes, Tebow’s habit of praying on the field, so much controversy and criticism in a “Panicked Jewish leaders, [Atz mon] most recently seen after the Broncos’ mir - sports-entertainment complex that is so ar gues, have turned to Zion ism (blind loy- a culous fourth-quarter comeback against filled with clichéd Jesus praise that, to alty to Israel) and scaremongering (the the Dolphins the week before. quote Homer Simpson, you’d think God threat of another Holo caust) to keep the The insult coincided with and reinforced helped only professional athletes and tribe united and distinct from the sur- the explosion of “Tebowing” as an Internet Grammy winners? rounding goyim.” meme, complete with a Twitter feed and So, there we have a definition of Zion- website where you can see an act of com- ism, from a professor of political science at munion with the Creator rendered as a one of our most distinguished universities: bit of pop-cultural ephemera and scroll “blind loyalty to Israel.” There is an old through pictures of folks striking the pose joke, told by Jews, that goes, “What’s the everywhere from Oxford to Istanbul, with definition of an anti-Semite? One who that muddle of irony and enthusiasm that hates Jews more than is absolutely neces- has become my generation’s trademark. sary.” Is that what a Zionist is—someone But there isn’t an ironic bone in Tim who supports Israel more than is absolute- Tebow’s body. That’s what makes him ly necessary? Someone who is too enthu- con spicuous. That’s what makes the fact siastic or unyielding in his support? that he’s managed to stay squeaky clean, In my observation, people say “Zion - in a sport that notoriously is not, con - Tim Tebow, praying prior to kickoff ist” when they don’t want to say “Jew” or spicuous. And that’s why the power of “Israeli.” As Gil Troy wrote last year, Tebow’s evangelical Christian faith, and I have a theory. Part of the resentment is “intellectuals have camouflaged modern the earnestness with which he professes it, redirected anger at Tebow’s success, after anti-Semitism as anti-Zionism.” There are annoys so many people. the whole of the football smart set had certainly people who are anti-Zionist or Even other religious quarterbacks have, come to the bizarre conclusion that, al- anti-Israel—is there a difference?—with- in a friendly way, advised Tebow to tone though he was clearly one of the ten or so out being anti-Jewish. Some of them are down his religiosity to avoid turning fans best quarterbacks ever to play in the Jews. But, as Paul Johnson, the historian, off. Said former Super Bowl champion NCAA, Tebow had no shot in the NFL. once said to me in an interview, “Scratch Kurt Warner, himself known to have led on- Football doesn’t like to be wrong; they’re the fellow who is anti-Israel, and you field prayers: “I’d tell him, ‘Put down the mad enough when surefire prospects turn won’t have to dig very far before you find boldness in regards to the words, and keep into busts, but when surefire busts succeed, the anti-Semite within.” Another histori- living the way you’re living. Let your they’re livid. They don’t like to see a guy an, Bernard Lewis, says that talk of Zion - teammates do the talking for you. Let them who winds up to throw passes like he’s ism “sometimes provides a useful cover”: cheer on your testimony.’” Likewise, when pitching for the Yankees—and only occa- a cover to those who harbor the old, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers was asked sionally sees them land anywhere near their enduring hatred. about Tebow in the context of his own more intended target—marching down the field As you go about life, you may encounter subdued avowals of faith, he offered the in the fourth quarter, week after week. NEWSCOM someone who says “Zionism” or “Zionist,” elliptical advice of Saint Francis of Assisi: But the greater part of it has to do with / RTR with an edge in his voice. Ask him what “Preach the gospel at all times. If neces- our culture’s curious double standard when / he means. The answer, or non-answer, you sary, use words.” it comes to public religion. All but the most
get is likely to be revealing. It’s easy to understand why Tulloch, a committed atheistic crusaders in this coun- RICK WILKING
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try have come to tolerate what the legal a chance to explane, because John got community has dubbed “ceremonial de - their first and he fed you a lot of garbage. ism,” an unwittingly damning term for Before You But I still like John, he is a fine young those acceptable celebrations of the Divine boy, he has been well brought up by his stripped of their divinity, the kind that take Say No . . . Mother. their place in rote recitations of pledges and But even if sometimes you don’t get patriotic songs: God as a feel-good place- A correspondence, nonfictional, along with me too well, I always think of holder, an empty signifier, a carrier of any- between a young boy, a housewife, you as my “Oldest Friend” so I hope you thing or nothing, the unremarkable and a headmaster, and the young will do me this great favor of writing me a earthly god whose name graces the al - letter of recommandation. mighty sawbuck. This is the god we rou- boy’s brother Thanking you for your trouble, tinely hear invoked by the professional BY ALOÏSE BUCKLEY HEATH Respectfully yours, athletes. With very few exceptions—Mari- PeTeR BAIleY-GATeS a no Rivera comes to mind, as well as Curt March 7 Schilling, and post–Prime Time Deion San - Dear Mrs. Heath: P.S.: Thank you for the pennies of which I ders—athletes’ professions of faith strike I wish to ask you a great favor. My already had the 1926 San Francisco mint most believers, nonbelievers, and agnostics brother David goes to Cranwell and he but I did not have the 1921 Denver. Do alike as empty ritual, an extended solipsism says they go easier on brothers, so I you have a 1905 Indian Head, I will pay in which big men with bigger egos congrat- might have a chance to get in even one nickel, clear profit of four (4)¢? ulate themselves for having God on their though my grades aren’t so terribly Respectfully yours, side. How could it be otherwise? We see good. But I need three letters of recom- PeTeR BAIleY-GATeS that in fact so many of them are supremely mendation and I have one from a priest arrogant—materialists, abusers, and lech- and one from a nun and my father says March 7 ers. We accept their professions of faith pre- he thinks the third one better be from Dear Peter: cisely because they are empty. And we’ve someone who is not a priest or a nun. I would be glad to write you a letter of become cynical and secular enough that the You are not a priest or a nun but yet you recommendation to Cranwell, and I am dissonance between their actions and their know me intamitely from me having very flattered that you asked me. Of stated beliefs doesn’t bother most people. delivered your paper even that bad day course, I will have to tell the Truth, the The hypocrisy is actually sort of comfort- right after Christmas when their was no Whole Truth, and Nothing but the Truth, ing, a confirmation that that old hokum in school and the Times boy didn’t deliver so I hope nobody will be careless enough the Bible has no bearing on the world as it his customers, and from those Catholic to allow my letter to fall into the hands of actually is. It’s the same sort of glee you Christmas cards you always buy, and the police. I can’t tell you how much I see from some when Christian politicians from the jack lantern pumpkins I helped would miss you if you had to spend the and ministers are felled by all-too-human you carve three years in a row, and the next ten years in a reformatory. moral—especially sexual—foibles. easter eggs, and a lot of other things. Respectably yours, By contrast, Tebow is the last Boy Scout: (like the time I picked up John when he MRS. H. a leader on the field and off who spent his broke his arm and taught Priscilla how college years not indulging in any of the to ride a two-wheeler.) P.S.: No, I haven’t got a 1905 Indian worldly pleasures afforded to Heisman Before you say no, I did break the tram- Head, which saddens me very much, but Trophy winners but doing missionary work poline but I didn’t honestly know how what saddens me more is the fact that in Thailand, helping overworked doctors heavy I was, because I grew very sud- even after three years’ acquaintanceship perform circumcisions in the Philippines denly and the only reason I was always you don’t know me well enough to realize (you read that right), and preaching at on the roof was because of my gliders that I also know that this particular penny schools, churches, and even prisons. This is which you said I could get if they were on is worth $6! You and your 4¢ profit—hah! a young man with such a strong work ethic the roof, and the time you wouldn’t let I’ve told you and told you about my high that, according to teammates, he can’t even me come in your backyard for three IQ. Don’t you believe me? However, just be coaxed into hitting the town on a night weeks that time, Catholic Word of Honor, to show you I bear no grudge, I will give after a Broncos win, because he is too busy John started it and it was not my fault you my duplicate of the 1911 no mint preparing for the next week’s game. This is because Scout’s Honor, I only gave John mark—for free yet! a young man who even turned the other the most compleatly gentle kind of tap so Respectably yours, cheek at Stephen Tulloch’s Tebowing, say- he would go home so Georgie Cun ning- MRS. H. ing, “He was probably just having fun and ham wouldn’t beat him up, because you was excited he made a good play and had know how Georgie is when he gets mad. P.P.S.: Don’t worry about my letter. I will a sack. And good for him.” Because John threw a mud ball at him on bet you one dollar (from me) to one That’s way too much earnestness for the his bicycle. Not that you were wrong, but doughnut (from you) that you will get into ironic. It’s way too much idealism for the that I’m explaning now, because you Cranwell—not because you’re such a hot- cynical. And it’s way too much selflessness were so mad then you wouldn’t give me shot, you understand, but because if I’m for the self-absorbed. In short, people aren’t crazy enough to like you, your priest and upset at Tebow’s God talk. They’re upset A Christmas story by the late Aloïse Buckley Heath is your nun are probably suffering from the that he might actually believe it. an NR tradition. same form of insanity. On the other hand,
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they may know you even better than I do, Lest my young friend sound barely Mrs. Benjamin Wild Heath God help them! lower than the angels, I must add that his 29 colony road respectably yours, fertile imagination combined with his West Hartford, connecticut Mrs. H. 13-year-old’s sense of humor has led, on occasion, to my addressing him with Dear Mrs. Heath: March 9 words harsh and unkind (“You know I am very grateful to you for your de - To Whom It May concern: perfectly well that when I told you last tailed and colorful description of Peter Peter Bailey-Gates has been in and out Tuesday you could climb up on the roof to Bailey-Gates. of my house almost daily for the past three get your glider, I didn’t mean you could Many of Peter’s accomplishments can years—by “almost” I mean those short buy ten more gliders and aim them at be put to good use at school. Leaf-raking sentences of exile which I have been un - the—and by the way, I hope you didn’t and snow-shoveling are part of the puni- kind enough to impose upon Peter—and buy them with the lottery money for the tive curriculum. endowed with all the in that time I have come to know him very bicycle horn—when are you going to energy which you describe, I am sure that well indeed: as friend, paper boy, fellow have that lottery, anyway? I bought those Peter will be an early candidate for de - penny-collector, and combined decorator, tickets six weeks ago!” And much more). merits. waiter, and entertainer at my younger These irrational, if predictable, crises of We will try to keep pace with Peter. children’s birthday parties. the adult world leave Peter possibly re - What substitute we will have when the I have found Peter to be unfailingly pentant, probably remorseful, but certain- occasion arises for Peter to “retire to his good-humored, well-mannered, and con- ly unruffled. He is more sophisticated own backyard” we will try to figure out siderate—all of which qualities stand him today than three years ago, when, at the during the year. in good stead in his relations with the age of ten, he frequently urged me not to sincerely yours, public, which are many and varied. I am get my liver in a quiver. Today, when cHArLes e. Burke, sJ sure that no boy in New england, much Peter and I have what he refers to as “a (rev.) charles e. Burke, sJ less in West Hartford, has been engaged Principal in so many intricate business enterprises as Peter Bailey-Gates. I have bought, March 15 hired, subscribed to, invested in, paid and Dear Mimi and Dad: been paid interest on fully a dozen of Please excuse the paper, for I’m in study his ventures in the last three years—not hall, and since something happened to - even counting his snow-shoveling, leaf- night, which made me feel pretty proud of raking, apple-picking, and garbage-can- my little (little? Ha Ha) brother Peter, I toting, for which my own young sons are thought I’d tell you about it, unless you recruited. Peter’s financial sense is, how- already know. This has also changed prac- ever, no deterrent to his feeling for what tically my entire attitude toward Father is fitting and proper: When he washed the Burke who has practically never been car of the 70-year-old spinster who lives known to crack a smile in the memory of nearby, for instance, he was careful to the oldest graduate. explain (lest I should find out, I suppose!) Not more than five minutes ago, dur - that he had refused payment only because ing the break between study-hall hours, she had “no man to make money for her”; Father Burke called me and showed me again, when he asked me to take an ad in difference of opinion,” he retires with a letter which Mrs. Heath had written his projected Colony Road News and I complete equanimity to his own backyard to him about Peter. It described Peter to was so irreverent as to reserve two inches until such time as my ill-humor subsides. a tee. All of the letter was praiseworthy of space for the slogan “HoorAY For Mrs. My change of mood is apparently picked about him, and had been written just HeATH,” Peter offered to refund my dollar up by Peter’s extrasensory perception about Peter and nothing else. Father because he had caused my ad to appear as within the hour, for whenever I decide Burke was astonished and asked me if it “coMPLIMeNTs oF A FrIeND.” I must, how- that the time has come for forgiving and was all true, and I told him it was, and he ever, state categorically that Peter has forgetting, he appears at my front door said in that case PeTer GeTs IN!! . . . faithfully and conscientiously fulfilled within 15 minutes, to assure me he has say hello to the little kids for me please, his share of every and any contract be - forgiven and forgotten. By way of proof and tell them “Big Dave” will be home tween us, what ever it may have been. (or pen ance?) he then resumes without soon. (And the fact that one or two of these con- rancor his status as our daily visitor. Love and prayers, tracts have been rather clearer to Peter Needless to say, our friendship is stead- Your soN DAvID than to me has been indignantly attrib- fast. uted by my own children to my habit of ALoïse BuckLeY HeATH March 15 CORBIS
/ doing jigsaw puzzles, reading, watching (Mrs. Benjamin Wild Heath) Dear Pete—Boy, does Mrs. Heath sure tele vision programs, and saying “uh- have your number. Father Burke said he hunh” simultaneously, when I should March 15 can hardly wait to get you up here to have been listening. My husband affirms crANWeLL PrePArATorY scHooL knock it out of you. Love and kisses.
STEFANO BLANCHETTI this judgment.) office of the Principal DAve
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The Gingrich Gestalt You take a dubious record, you take some wacky ideas, you take a narcissistic personality . . .
BY MARK STEYN
wAS wrong about Newt. Or, as Newt would say, I was if you live in the I-95 corridor, you might want to buy black- fundamentally wrong. Fundamentally and profoundly out curtains. wrong. I was as adverbially wrong about Newt as it’s But, when you draw them, Newt’s still there, shimmering I possible to be. Back in the spring, during an analysis of beguilingly, which is the one adverb I fundamentally never the presidential field, I was asked by Sean Hannity what I thought I’d be using for this most fundamentally adverbial of thought of Gingrich. If memory serves, I guffawed. I sug- candidates. A year ago, we were still talking about Palin and gested he was this season’s Alan Keyes—a guy running for Daniels and Christie and Jindal and Ryan, an embarrassment president to boost his speaking fees but whose candidacy was of riches. Barely a month ago, Cain and 9-9-9 were riding otherwise irrelevant. I said I liked the cut of this Tim Paw- high, an embarrassment of a different kind, and Gingrich lenty fellow, who promptly self-destructed. There would be a was still a single-digit asterisk. But, like Gussie Fink-Nottle, lot of that in the months ahead: Michele Bachmann ODing on we are all Newt-fanciers now. On the eve of Iowa it seems the Gardasil, Rick Perry floating the trial balloon of his candida- Republican base’s dream candidate is a Clinton-era retread who cy all year long, only to puncture it with the jaunty swing of proclaims himself a third Roosevelt, with Taft’s waistline and his spur ten minutes into the first debate. And when all the twice as many ex-wives as the first 44 presidents combined; a other Un-Romney of the week candidates were gone, there lead zeppelin with more baggage than the Hindenburg; a self- was Newt, the last man standing, smirking, waddling to the help guru crossed with a K Street lobbyist, which means he’s debate podium. Unlike the niche candidates, he offers all the helped himself on a scale few of us could dream of. For this the faults of his predecessors rolled into one: Like Michele Tea Party spent three years organizing and agitating? Bachmann, his staffers quit; like Herman Cain, he spent the Gingrich’s timing is brilliant—if it was planned. And, if it’s latter decades of the last century making anonymous women accidental, it’s kind of freaky. You’ll recall that two decades uncomfortable, mainly through being married to them; like ago, in one of his many Post-it notes to himself, Newt wrote: Mitt Romney, he was a flip-flopper, being in favor of gov- “Gingrich—primary mission. Advocate of civilization. De - ernment mandates on health care before he was against them, finer of civilization. Teacher of the rules of civilization.” I’m NEWSCOM and in favor of big-government climate-change “solutions” not sure I’m quite ready to acknowledge Newt as the “definer / RTR before he was against them, and in favor of putting giant mir- of civilization,” but he is certainly the teacher of the new rules / rors in space to light American highways by night before he of primary season. Consultants, money, endorsements are for
was agai . . . oh, wait, that one he may still be in favor of. So, schlubs. The daring candidate is out there running on porten- BRIAN SNYDER
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tous adverbs: In the land of Cain and Perry, the polysyllabic repeal of Obamacare, you take a 12.5 percent corporate-tax man is king. Iowa is now all that stands between Newt and rate, you take community illegal-immigrant-legalization boards, the nomination. If he wins there, you might expect New you take airborne lasers and fire them at North Korea, you take hampshire to protect its brand by voting for the non-Newt. the oceans and pump nitrogen into them to end global warm- Instead, what’s left of Romney’s softening lead in the Granite ing, you take Men Are from Mars, Women Are from Venus and State will vanish as legions of nominal “independents” flood apply it as a business model to the Congressional Budget the Republican primary to vote for the candidate they figure Office, you take Deepak Chopra on deep-pan pizza, and sud- will be easiest to beat in the general—as happened in 1996, denly you have a candidate who knows the difference between when more than a few of my liberal neighbors figured why Gestalt and Gstaad in a way that is kind of conservative but waste your vote renominating Clinton when you can cross also very . . . over, boost Pat Buchanan, and sabotage Bob Dole. From New hampshire, the race moves to South Carolina and Florida, where Gingrich is already ahead, and thence to a slew of south- hOa, hold up there. What exactly is so conservative ern primaries, to the vast majority of whose electorate Mitt is about the Newt Gestalt? When Romney dared him a Massachusetts squish and to the rest a demonic cultist. So the W to return his Freddie Mac windfall, Gingrich fate of the Romney campaign now rests on some other candi- responded by demanding that Mitt “give back all of the money date—Ron Paul—figuring out a way to stop Newt in Iowa. he’s earned from bankrupting companies and laying off Warned against his tendency to self-glorification, Gingrich employees over his years at Bain.” That’s a cute line if you’re reacted to his amazing revival by modestly comparing him - a 32-year-old Transgender and Colonialism major trying to self to Reagan, Thatcher, and the founders of Walmart and warm up the drum circle at Occupy Wall Street, but it’s very McDonald’s. he left it to Joe McQuaid, publisher of the New odd coming from the supposedly more-conservative candidate Hampshire Union Leader, to produce a comparison more on the final stretch of a Republican primary. When Romney appropriate to a statesman-historian of his stature: Winston attacked Perry’s views on Social Security by accusing him of Churchill. Like Churchill resigning as first lord of the admir - wanting to shove Granny off a cliff, he was recycling the most alty after the debacle of Gallipoli, Gingrich resigned as Speaker shopworn Democratic talking point. Newt effortlessly trumps after the humiliation of the 1998 midterms. Like Churchill that by recycling the laziest anti-globalist anarchist talking spending years in the political wilderness, Gingrich spent years point. at Freddie Mac, Newt was peddling influence to a in the wilderness of K Street. Like Gingrich demanding that quasi-governmental entity. at Bain Capital, Mitt Romney was Barney Frank and Chris Dodd be sent to jail for political profi- risking private equity in private business enterprise. What sort teering, Churchill favored summary execution for the axis of “conservative” would conflate the two? leaders. Like Gingrich getting $1.8 million for services as a With his numbers sinking, Mitt was driven to go negative. “historian” to Freddie Mac, Churchill was on a seven-figure asked where his policies differed from Gingrich’s, Romney retainer from Goebbels. No, hang on . . . Like Newt on air cut to the chase: “We could start with his idea to have a lunar Force One, Winston was made to exit King George VI’s Gold colony that would mine minerals from the moon.” You can’t State Coach from the rear door. No, that’s not it . . . tell the players without a scorecard, folks. Both leading con- Newt, says former New hampshire governor John h. servative candidates have supported government mandates on Sununu, is “inconsistent, erratic, untrustworthy, and unprinci- health care. Both leading conservative candidates have sup- pled.” But, up against an untrustworthy, unprincipled opponent ported massive expansion of entitlements. But they differ on of consistently non-erratic soporific caution, that’s more than the critical issue of whether we should use large numbers of enough. Mitt Romney flutters no hearts. If you believe, as welfare claimants to mine unpasteurized green cheese from the many Republican voters do, that a second Obama term is an dark side of the moon. To be fair to Gingrich, he’s generally existential threat to the republic, the house-trained torpor of the sounder on economic issues than Romney: Mitt’s reforms Romney campaign is an affront. Whether Newt is the antidote would leave us with a corporate-tax rate twice as high as to it is a thornier question. The 44th president doesn’t loom Newt’s, and, in contrast to the Gingrich abolition of taxes on especially large on the Gingrich canvas: If Newt were a disas- capital gains, Romney is proposing to end them only for those ter movie, Obama would be one of those bit players who get making under $200,000 because it would be wrong to “spend swept away in the general avalanche of devastation. as our precious tax dollars for a tax cut.” When “conservatives” Gingrich laid it out to Newsweek, “You take brain science, you think tax cuts are government “spending,” who needs Nancy take personal and Social Security savings, you take offering Pelosi and Barney Frank? the poor the opportunity to work and have a paycheck instead I have little fear that a Gingrich administration will be of food stamps, you take Lean Six Sigma”—a management- spending money on lunar mining or giant space mirrors or efficiency doctrine, his latest fascination—“and suddenly genetically modifying plant life around the planet to suck all you have a Gestalt that is in many ways conservative, but in the carbon out. But I rather doubt we’ll get the 12.5 percent many ways very moderate.” corporate-tax rate and the abolition of the tax on capital gains, “You have a Gestalt”? Would Rick Perry have a Gestalt? Or either. Newt is said to be “unpredictable.” This is true in the herman Cain? Romney might, but the consultants would have narrow sense that one would not have predicted that a social advised against mentioning it after it tested badly with the faux pas in placement on state transportation to the Yitzhak focus group. Bush was never in danger of having a Gestalt, nor Rabin funeral would lead him to shut down the federal gov- Dole. and, with Newt’s Gestalt, brain science and Social ernment. But, aside from such offenses to his amour-propre, Security savings accounts are only the beginning! You take the Newt is actually extremely predictable. The surest way to bet
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is that the big-government stuff will happen and the rest won’t. us as “Canute”—the fellow who, at what is now Westminster, It was Newt who gave us S-CHIP, the biggest expansion of took his throne to the shore and commanded the incoming tide Medicaid since the program was created. On the other hand, not to wet his feet. It declined to obey, as Canute knew it when it came to holding the line on “tax credits” for people would: He staged the performance in order to teach his who don’t pay any taxes, Gingrich looked into Clinton’s eyes courtiers a lesson in the limits of kingly power. No such inti- and melted. Newt defends his big-government inclinations by mations of human limitation afflict the new Knut. Few poli - placing them in an historical context of a muscular activist ticians are more incisive at identifying the absurdities of Washington, citing, for example, the Homestead Act of 1862. America’s bloated, sclerotic leviathan—as he pointed out As it happens, I would be in favor of a new Homestead Act. recently, the headquarters of the U.S. military’s Africa Com - Government owns far too much land, greater than the sover- mand is in Stuttgart, which even Herman Cain might recognize eign territory of many other major nations, and that fact alone as barely qualifying as the general ballpark. But no other can- supports the self-indulgent delusion that America can chug didate on the right shares the boundless confidence that along as the Sierra Club writ large, a giant wildlife preserve Leviathan will work just swell if only Knut the Great is there that no longer needs to be in any business so vulgar as energy to command it. For Republicans, this is not someone who is extraction, all of which can be outsourced (if you’re Obama) to both “very conservative” and “very moderate,” but someone Latin America or (if you’re Gingrich) to the moon. A small- who is potentially the worst of all worlds: a man who embraces government conservative might conclude that America would big-government solutions to health care, climate change, and benefit from the equivalent of Mrs. Thatcher’s decision in 1979 all the rest, but who gets damned as a mean-spirited vindictive to sell off public housing to its tenants: It’s not an especially big right-wing hater—the Gingrich who stole Christmas, to revive thing, but it’s a way of communicating your understanding of the Newsweek’s 1994 cover story. relationship between the citizen and the state. In that sense, few And, as predictably unpredictable as Gingrich is, there of Gingrich’s proposals bear comparison with the Homestead remains the drearier routine of his post-Speaker career. When Act: Instead of enabling Americans to take risks and push the Churchill was forced from the Admiralty in 1915, he went on frontiers, they incline mostly to the expansion of bureaucracy to serve with the Sixth Battalion, the Royal Scots Fusiliers on and an increase in dependency. As a result of Gingrich’s “re- the Western Front. By contrast, when he was forced from the forms,” four out of ten American children are on Medicaid. speakership, Newt stayed in Washington working his Rolodex. Presumably this is what he meant when he told Newsweek These are different s, but even so the Freddie Mac business is that his Gestalt is “in many ways conservative, in many ways not a small thing. Perhaps the single most repellent feature of very moderate.” I’d prefer to formulate it this way: Gingrich is the political class that has served America so disastrously in a pushover for progressivism who’s succeeded in passing him- recent decades is its shameless venality in parlaying “public self off as a hard-line right-wing bastard. Which is why service” into a guarantee of an eternal snout at the trough. Democrats who make the mistake of believing their own talk- Newt writes bestselling books about government, produces ing points on Newt invariably have to improvise hastily. DVDs about government, sets up websites about government, In 2007 John Kerry found himself booked for a debate with but he is as foreign to genuine private-sector wealth creation as Gingrich on climate change and had his speechwriters prepare any life politician. Indeed, his endurance in Washington repre- some boilerplate about Newt’s “marching in lockstep with the sents one of the worst aspects of contemporary “public ser- climate-change deniers.” Unfortunately for him, the former vice”—that a life in politics no longer depends on anything so Speaker spoke first and announced that man-made global whimsical as the votes of the people. warming was a real threat that we needed to address “very So what does that leave? Tonally, his confident swagger is actively.” He praised as “a very interesting read” Kerry’s more appealing to the Republican base than Romney’s unctu- unreadable book on the subject, and for good measure added ous aw-shucks wholesomeness—just as John McCain’s mav- that he was “very worried about polar bears” because “my erickiness was more appealing than Romney last time around. name ‘Newt’ actually comes from the Danish ‘Knut,’ and And we know how that worked out for the GOP. The Dems are there’s been a major crisis in Germany over a polar bear named confident that this is a gift from the heavens: The Stupid Party ‘Knut.’” Kerry abandoned his prescripted attack on Gingrich, is stupid enough to put up a scowly, jowly fat guy whose name hailed his candor, and put his arm around him. Lest the paying is a byword for everything from the Nineties Mr. and Mrs. customers feel cheated by the bipartisan love-in, the senator Moderate don’t want to revive. attempted to put a bit of clear blue water between him and the But Newt wouldn’t be where he is right now if the conven- ruthless right-wing bastard by raising the possibility that per- tional wisdom were all that wise. It’s easy to dismiss the futuro - haps Gingrich did not share his enthusiasm for cap-and-trade. logical mumbo-jumbo of his accumulated brainstorms—“the Newt said he was willing to be persuaded. “I am going to sell Triangle of American Progress,” “the Four Great Truths,” “the a few more books for you, John,” he declared. Five Pillars of American Civilization,” “the Five Pillars of the 21st Century,” “the Nine Zones of Creativity,” “the Fourteen Steps to Renewing American Civilization”—except that right ’M not saying that the presidential debates will end with now he’s heading for the nomination and Paul Ryan and Mitch Gingrich offering to pen a new foreword to Dreams from Daniels aren’t. The Nine Zones and Fourteen Steps have been I My Father, only that anyone banking on Newt to clobber distilled to the One Singular Sensation: Newt lui-même. The Obama is flying on blind faith. SAS, the British special forces, have a motto: “Who dares By the way, “Knut” is not the name just of a German polar wins.” Unlike Mitt, Newt dares—and he may yet win. As the bear, but also of the Danish and English king better known to old Dem bumper stickers used to say, “Newt Happens.”
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accounting practices. While Speaker Gingrich does deserve some credit for the millennial budget surpluses, President Gin - How Speaker Newt grich would be crucified for attempting to revisit the policies that Balanced the Budget produced them—and conservatives would drive in the nails. He foremost contributor to the Gingrich surpluses was And why President Newt would not taxes, and the main contributor on that front was the pay- T roll tax, receipts from which far exceeded payouts to BY KEVIN D. WILLIAMSON Social Security and Medicare. Because such excess payroll-tax receipts are by law automatically spent on federal securities, they n the United States, our political discourse is extraordinarily camouflage the true extent of federal indebtedness. Thus the fis- democratic, and therefore extraordinarily stupid, and the cal paradox of the Gingrich surpluses: even though the federal immortality of certain myths—the Social Security “trust government reported hundreds of billions of dollars in budget I fund,” the impact of foreign-aid spending on the federal bud- surpluses, the total national debt continued to climb, by $113 bil- get—makes it nearly impossible to discuss the fundamental facts lion in the surplus year of 1998, by $130 billion in 1999, by $18 of American government. Here are two phrases that should be billion in 2000, and by $133 billion in 2001. What happened was struck from our political lexicon, their use designated an occasion in fact a redistribution of federal liabilities from publicly held for corporal punishment: “Reagan deficits” and “Clinton sur- debt to intragovernmental debt in the form of securities held by pluses.” Presidents do not write the national budget, balanced or the so-called trust funds that support the major entitlements otherwise, nor do they create deficits or surpluses. Congress does according to the epic fiction that is the federal ledger. The debt that, by passing tax bills and appropriations bills. There were no held by the public in the form of Treasury bonds and notes went Reagan deficits, nor were there Clinton surpluses: There were Tip down, but intragovernmental debt went up by an amount that O’neill deficits and newt Gingrich surpluses. exceeded that reduction. This of course makes those Gingrich The governors in the Republican presidential field all can boast surpluses look less attractive in retrospect. More important, it of having worked with legislatures to achieve balanced budgets. points to the major fiscal challenge in the coming years, when the Rick Perry and Jon Huntsman can boast of having done so in sit- entitlement programs will be the major driver of federal deficits. uations that replicate in miniature the national fiscal picture— Social Security already is in a permanent deficit, and, with some locked-in spending outpacing tax revenues reduced by recession $100 trillion in unfunded liabilities, Social Security and Medi - and subsequent slow growth—but with an important difference: care will prove impossible to sustain, especially with an aging Unlike the federal government, states and cities do not really population. If deficit hawks can take heart from anything, it is have much choice but to balance their budgets. It is a lucky thing that the major Republican presidential contenders have credible that this is so, and one that bears further consideration: Most of plans for reforming Social Security and that most of them—the our states and cities operate under legal prohibitions against oper- notable exception is Gingrich—have credible plans for reform- ating deficits, but the federal example suggests that restraints on ing Medicare. borrowing are easily set aside, and many of our states and cities But the Gingrich surpluses were not accounting gimmickry have excellent credit ratings that would enable them to borrow at only. There were real reforms, too—reforms that were enacted by attractive rates. The real constraint here seems to be an informal and large over Republican objections, Gingrich’s in particular. norm against states’ and cities’ borrowing to finance regular oper- Again, a very large role was played by taxes, specifically by the ating deficits, even though they do borrow large sums for capital tax increases in the 1990 budget deal between Pres. George H. W. projects. Bush and congressional Democrats, and the tax increase in the no such norm prevails at the federal level, where balanced 1993 budget. The former so enraged Gingrich, who was at the budgets or surpluses require a combination of sober fiscal realism time the minority whip, that he hung up on chief of staff John and delicate bipartisan diplomacy. newt Gingrich has many fine Sununu when Sununu called with the news. The latter helped to qualities, but he is not the most obvious man for the job when the bring Republicans to the majority—every Republican had voted job calls for realism and delicate bipartisan diplomacy, virtues against it—and Gingrich to the speakership. with which the former Speaker is associated by no sentient polit- It also increased federal revenue substantially by steeply in - ical being. But the facts are not to be denied: Under a fiscal course creasing the top tax rate (from 31 percent to 39.6 percent), inflict- set by newt Gingrich and his Republican congressional allies, ing new taxes on the middle class (raising the gasoline tax, for the United States reported a budget surplus of $69.3 billion in instance), raising the corporate-income tax, lifting the income 1998 and of $125.6 billion in 1999. Gingrich resigned from the cap on Medicare taxes, and increasing taxes on Social Security House that year, but it was the continuation of Gingrich’s policies benefits, among other things. Conservatives, in thrall to some- that produced the subsequent surpluses of $236.2 billion in 2000 thing called Hauser’s Law—which is a law of economics in the and $128.2 billion in 2001. But this is not a conservative success same sense that Lady Gaga is a lady—argue that federal revenues story, conventionally understood: Gingrich balanced the budget always stay roughly the same regardless of tax rates, but this is in no small part by knuckling under to Democratic demands, demonstrably untrue. Federal tax receipts neared 21 percent of including relatively high taxes, and by helping to entrench the GDP in 2000, about one-sixth higher than their post-war average myth that our entitlement liabilities are only a kind of fiscal of 17.7 percent. The difference between 18 percent and 20 per- hypothesis, something that can be made to vanish into the fidu- cent may not seem like very much, but when you are talking ciary ether with a flourish of the magical wand of government about a share of an economy equal to a quarter of the world’s eco-
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nomic output, the numbers are very large indeed. In fact, with the insolvency of the United States. But no entitlement-reform deal exception of World War II, there was not a year in American his- that neglects the rest of the deficit will prevent that outcome, tory in which federal spending broke 21 percent until 1975, when either. The trick is to do both, and Newt Gingrich’s experience there began a long run of very high spending that ended with the suggests that higher taxes—and let’s not use the euphemism Gingrich ascendancy in 1994. When Republicans won their land- “revenues”—probably will need to be a part of that picture. slide in 1994, federal spending was 21 percent of GDP; by 2000, Like higher taxes, bipartisanship is not a good on its own; it was down to 18.2 percent—a real reduction in federal spend- given the perverse character of the contemporary Democratic ing relative to the size of the economy, if not in absolute terms. party, it would be better to describe bipartisanship as a necessary You may not remember 1994–2000 as a time of savage austerity evil. Faced with the master politician Bill Clinton, Gingrich had measures: We had welfare reform, a reduction in military spend- little choice but to cut relatively liberal deals, and contemporary ing, and generally sensible restraint that endured until the Republicans will have little choice about doing so, either, regard- peculiar economic ideas of Pres. George W. Bush and Rep. Tom less of what happens in 2012: A long-term solution, one that will DeLay went into effect, with the goal of reducing the putative stick, will require buy-in from both parties, and to proceed as budget surplus—to “return the surplus to the American people,” though this were not the case is deeply unconservative, to the as DeLay put it—as though such surpluses were a permanent extent that wishful thinking is unconservative. The essential victory, and as though the real debt were not mounting in spite thing for Republicans to do is to identify and encourage the best of them. If tax receipts today were comparable to the millennial deficit-reduction impulses that the Democrats harbor. (This may levels, then the 2013 deficit would run about $418 billion; if require the use of an advanced microscope.) The PAYGO rules, we are collecting taxes at the current level, that deficit will be for example, were hated by congressional Republicans, because $1.4 trillion. Democrats used them against unfunded, irresponsible tax cuts of Conservatives are justified in balking at the idea that one in the sort in which congressional Republicans specialize, and five dollars should be consumed by the parasitic class in Wash - PAYGO finally was abandoned in 2002. Subsequently, the deficit ington. But the lowest level of federal spending that Republicans more than doubled, from 1.5 percent of GDP in 2002 to 3.2 per- have brought us in recent decades was 18.2 percent in 2001. Until cent in 2008, then leaping to 10 percent of GDP in 2009. PAYGO such a time as there is evidence to the contrary, it probably is safe was not perfect, but it is preferable to trillion-dollar deficits. to think of 18.2 percent as a practical floor on federal spending, Bipartisan compromise is not perfect, either, but it beats default regardless of which party is in power. Perhaps some future and national impoverishment. Republican majority will do a better job of containing costs, but there is scant reason to think that likely: The most effective statu- tory constraint on federal spending, the so-called Pay-As-You- e are well past the point at which it is sufficient to Go (PAYGO) rules, were undermined by Republicans, who achieve moral victories, ideological victories, or mere chafed under the rules’ constraints when they desired to cut taxes W political victories. Political victories are a necessary without cutting spending. but not a sufficient condition for achieving the business at hand, which is, to put it baldly, a matter of national survival. That fact already is beginning to sink in among Republican budget hawks: HIS is a case, then, of picking our poison. Tax increases are “Broad-based tax reform” is a Republican euphemism for tax undesirable for any number of reasons, some of them increases, though it is not only a euphemism: It is important that T moral—if you go to bed with the devil, expect to wake up our tax code be reformed along the most growth-oriented lines, with a burning sensation—and some economic: Higher taxes those that minimize the distortion of economic decision-making, may retard growth and certainly will cause massive amounts of rather than along the class-warfare lines preferred by Pres. capital to be reallocated from productive purposes to unproduc- Barack Obama and his congressional allies. Phasing out the tive ones. Tax increases are a drag on growth, but so are endless deductions for mortgage interest, state and local taxes, charitable substantial deficits. The best method of balancing the budget giving, and the like would go a long way toward closing future would be spending cuts, but there is no constituency in Congress, deficits while removing destructive distortions from the tax or in the country, for cuts of the requisite depth—and, in any case, code. It is even more critical that we enact similar reforms in the those cuts would have real economic effects, too, though effects handout-ridden corporate tax code. A general policy of flatten- that probably would be less undesirable in the long run than ing and simplifying the tax regime—a model that has partisans entrenching the federal state at its current bloated level. The 2013 in both parties—is greatly preferable to further politicizing the deficit will probably run right around $1 trillion; if Republicans code with more brackets and more exemptions that encourage are not prepared to cut $1 trillion in spending, then they should rent-seeking on a massive scale. make their peace with tax increases—or make their peace with If Republicans find themselves in control of both chambers of endless deficits, until such a time as the weight of them produces Congress and the White House after 2012—which seems to me an avalanche that will destroy the economy of this country the most likely outcome at this point—they will need to act and seriously disrupt that of the rest of the world. Those are the quickly and decisively to pass a legislative program that reforms choices. the major entitlements and brings spending and taxing into some Incidentally, except where noted, none of the deficit numbers kind of sensible alignment. But in order to balance the budget, above includes the mounting liabilities for Social Security and a President Gingrich would almost certainly be obliged to accept Medicare, which are the most significant fiscal threats as we policies that Speaker Gingrich opposed, and that most Repub - move forward. Put simply, no balanced-budget program that fails licans will continue to oppose—until, once again, they have no to incorporate robust entitlement reform will prevent the even tual choice.
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recipients will be allowed legal presence in the United States, but not citizenship; and 3) amnesty will be awarded by local neigh- AMNESTY, borhood boards of citizens, based on the model of World War II Se lec tive Service boards. Often when newt offers the “big ideas,” as he calls them, that are the mainstay of his campaign, they appear at first blush to be AGAIN sensible and well considered. The former professor presumably does his research before delivering a lecture, right? Unfortunately, Gingrich’s plan would reward criminals and not this time. His amnesty proposal betrays a misunderstanding make the law arbitrary of why past amnesties have failed and an ignorance of how im - migration enforcement actually works. BY KRIS W. KOBACH Before continuing, let’s define the operative term. Since most members of the American public—and Re publi can voters in par- ticular—oppose amnesty, politicians go to great lengths to avoid n a debate at the end of november, newt Gingrich announced using the word, preferring euphemisms such as “legalization pro- his plan for dealing with the 11 to 12 million illegal aliens in gram” or “pathway to citizenship.” So it is important to state what the United States. It was classic newt. First he offered a brief an amnesty is. It is any policy that awards lawful presence in the I history lesson on the 1986 am nesty disaster, then he laid out United States to large numbers of illegal aliens, whether it offers his solution, with his signature air of self-confidence and bold- a path to citizenship or not. The opportunity to apply for citizen- ness. What he proposed is a standard mass amnesty, like those ship may or may not be included, but it’s an amnesty (legally, a long supported by liberal Democrats, but with three twists: 1) pardoning of illegal acts) either way. newt cannot accurately Only illegal aliens who have been here for an unspecified but claim that his proposal is not an amnesty merely because it does significant number of years will get the amnesty; 2) amnesty not of fer citizenship. now let’s look at newt’s big idea, which suffers from three fun- Mr. Kobach is the Kansas secretary of state. He is the co-author of Arizona’s and damental flaws. First, when revealing his plan, newt declared that Alabama’s laws against illegal immigration, and he served as counsel to U.S. it would not be “humane” to deport an illegal-alien household that attorney general John Ashcroft during the George W. Bush administration. had been in the United States for 25 years. After all, the illegal O JAY, CAN YOU SEE? And does he ever see in his acclaimed collection — you will, too!
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