Evaluation of the UNICEF Albania Country Programme 2017-2021
Final Report December 2020 Disclaimer: This is a publication by the independent evaluation team of IOD PARC. The analysis and recommendations of this report do not necessarily reflect the views of UNICEF. Readers are encouraged to use material from this report for their own publications. As copyright holder, UNICEF in Albania requests due acknowledgement and a copy of the publication.
For further information, please contact: UNICEF Albania Country Office Skenderbej Street, UN House Bld, 3rd floor Tirana, Albania Telephone: +355 4 45 48 400 Email: [email protected]
Suggested Citation of the Report: O’Callaghan, B. Duci, V. Kacapor-Dzihic, Z. (2020) “Evaluation of the UNICEF Albania Country Programme 2017-2021”. UNICEF / IODPARC / IMC Worldwide. Evaluation of the UNICEF Albania Country Programme 2017-2021
Final Report December 2020 Acknowledgements
Sincere thanks to Ashley Wax at UNICEF Europe and Central Asia Regional Office, Dr Roberto De Bernardi, UNICEF Albania Country Representative, Elda Hallkaj and the staff members of the UNICEF Albania Country Office, as well as the members of the Evaluation Reference Group for providing the evaluation team with feedback, information and support throughout the evaluation period.
The evaluation was undertaken by IOD PARC’s consortium consisting of IMC Worldwide, Child Frontiers, Development Analytics and M-Vector. The evaluation team members are Brian O’Callaghan (Team Leader, IMC Worldwide), Veronika Duci and Zehra Kacapor-Dzihic. Additional research was carried out by Joy McCarron. The evaluation was supported by Project Managers - Karolina Mclellan and Elisa Radaelli. The evaluation direction and quality assurance were provided by Jo Kaybryn.
Contents
Acronyms and Abbreviations vi Executive Summary viii Overview of the Country Programme viii Purpose of the Evaluation and its Audiences viii Evaluation Methodology ix Key Findings ix Relevance ix Effectiveness x Efficiency xii Sustainability xii Synergies and coherence xiii Conclusions xiv Lessons Learned xvi Recommendations xvi
1. Introduction 1 1. 1 Purpose, objectives and scope of the evaluation 1 1. 2 Country context 3 1.2.1 Geographic and demographic context 3 1.2.2 Political context and government priorities 4 1.2.3 Social development and gender profile 6 1.2.4 Children, youth and families 7 1.2.5 Governance and civil society 9 1. 3 Country Programme components and goals 9
2. Methodology 12 2.1 Evaluation framework 12 2.1.1 Departures from the Terms of Reference 12 2.2 Data collection, data analysis and sampling strategy 13 2.3 Limitations and constraints faced by the evaluation 14 2.4 Management of the evaluation 15 2.5 Ethical considerations 15
3. Findings of the Evaluation 17 3.1 Relevance 17 3.1.1 Evaluation Question 1 UNICEF’s strategic positioning 17 3.1.2 Evaluation Question 2 Implementation strategies 23 3.2 Effectiveness 26 3.2.1 Evaluation Question 3 Organizational structure 26 3.2.2 Evaluation Question 4 Achievement of results 30 3.2.3 Evaluation Question 5 Gender mainstreaming 52 3.3 Efficiency 55 3.3.1 Evaluation Question 6 Resourcing 55 3.4 Sustainability 61 3.4.1 Evaluation Question 7 Long-term alignment of programming 61 3.5 Synergies/Coherence 64 3.5.1 Evaluation Question 8 Internal coherence 64 3.5.2 Evaluation Question 9 Coordination 66
4. Conclusions 70 5. Lessons Learned 74 6.Recommendations 76
Annexes 80 1. Terms of Reference 2. Reconstructed Theory of Change/Evaluation Matrix 3. List of Interviewees 4. Documentary Evidence 5. Data Collection Instruments 6. Evolution of UNICEF Albania CPD Priority Results Areas 7. UNICEF Albania Programme Locations 8. Gender Integration and Targeting in AWPs, COARs, RAMs and SMQs 2017–2019 9. Results Reporting Analysis 10. UNICEF Albania Stakeholders 11. Evaluation Reference Group Members 12. Human Rights Analysis 13. Evaluation Team
List of Tables
Table 1: UNICEF Albania country programme outcomes and outputs 2017–2021 11 Table 2: Progress in realization of child rights reported by UNICEF stakeholders 31 Table 3: Summary of UNICEF Albania results assessment module reporting against indicators 32 Table 4: Selected UNICEF Albania results assessment module indicators 33 Table 5: UNICEF Albania expenditure by programme area (2017–2019) 56 Table 6: UNICEF Albania donor funding in 2017–2019 58 Table 7: UNICEF Albania financial breakdown by partners 60
List of Figures
Figure 1: Map of Albania 3 Figure 2: Young persons’ perspectives on rights in Albania (U-Report Survey 2020) 35 Figure 3: UNICEF Albania planned vs. utilized annual budgets 2016–2019 56 Figure 4: UNICEF Albania regular resources vs other resources vs management/admin 56 Figure 5: UNICEF Albania budgets 2017–2019 by programme outcome 57 Figure 6: UNICEF Albania financial allocations by partner type 60 Acronyms and Abbreviations
C4D Communication for Development CEDAW Convention on the Elimination of all Forms of Discrimination Against Women CFC Child Friendly City CFS Child Friendly Spaces CO Country Office (UNICEF) COAR Country Office Annual Report COVID-19 Coronavirus Disease 2019 CP Country Programme CPD Country Programme Document CPE Country Programme Evaluation CRC Committee on the Rights of the Child CRM Child Rights Monitoring CSO Civil Society Organization DAC Development Assistance Committee DaO Delivering as One DCM Decisions of the Council of Ministers DFID Department for International Development DHS Demographic and Health Survey DRR Disaster Risk Reduction ECARO Europe and Central Asia Regional Office (UNICEF) ECD Early Childhood Development ER Emergency Response ERG Evaluation Reference Group ESRC Economic and Social Research Council EU European Union EUROSTAT Statistical Office of the European Union EVAW End Violence Against Women FP Focal Point GAP Gender Action Plan GDP Gross Domestic Product GPR Gender Programmatic Review HACT Harmonized Approach to Cash Transfer HCT Humanitarian Cash Transfers HDI Human Development Index IFI International Financial Institution ILO International Labour Organization INSTAT Instituti Shqiptar i Statistikës (Albanian Institute of Statistics) IOM International Organization for Migration IR Inception Report JWP Joint Working Plan KAP Knowledge, Attitudes and Practices LNB Leave No One Behind M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MAPS Mainstreaming, Acceleration, and Policy Support MCH Maternal and Child Health MESY Ministry of Education, Sports and Youth MoHSP Ministry of Health and Social Protection of the Population MNCH Maternal, Newborn and Child Health Care NSDI National Strategy for Development and (European) Integration NGO Non-governmental Organization OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development OOSC Out-of-School Children OR Other Resources PF4C Public Finance for Children PoCSD Programme of Cooperation for Sustainable Development PSS Psychosocial Support RAM Results Assessment Module RO Regional Office RR Regular Resources SDGs Sustainable Development Goals SitAn Situation Analysis SMQ Strategic Monitoring Questions SMR Strategic Moment of Reflection SRH Sexual and Reproductive Health TB Tuberculosis ToC Theory of Change ToR Terms of Reference UMIC Upper Middle-Income Country UN United Nations UNDAF United Nations Development Assistance Framework UNEG United Nations Evaluation Group UNFPA United Nations Population Fund UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund WB World Bank WHO World Health Organization 10 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY FINAL REPORT 11 12 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
his report presents the findings of the contributions to realization of child rights in Albania, evaluation covering the entire UNICEF portfolio including inequities and gender; and during the first four years (2017- August 2020) 3. Identify good practices and lessons and draw T of the five-year programme as articulated in its forward-looking recommendations that can inform 2017–2021 Country Programme Document (CPD), and the development of the next country programme. successive implementation strategies derived from this. The intended primary users of this evaluation are the UNICEF Albania Country Office and the Government Overview of the Country of Albania, as well as other United Nations agencies, Programme UNICEF partners, and other UNICEF offices in the region, including the UNICEF Europe and Central Asia With the initial budget of US$ 16,345,000, and in Regional Office (ECARO). partnership with government ministries, agencies and departments at national, regional and district level, the overall goal of the Albania Country Programme by 2021 Evaluation Methodology is “the progressive realization of rights of all children in Albania, accompanied by the reduction of equity The evaluation Terms of Reference proposed nine key gaps, to be based on effective child-focused policies, evaluation questions (EQs), focusing on the OECD systematically enforced accountabilities with adequate Development Assistance Committee (DAC) criteria of public resources, and strengthened respect for and relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, sustainability and protection of children’s rights”. synergies and coherence. In the inception phase, some revisions were made to the evaluation sub-questions to With an equity focus on vulnerable and marginalized streamline data collection and analysis, with review and children (for example children with disabilities, from approval from the Evaluation Reference Group (ERG). ethnic minorities and/or out-of-school), the intended long-term impact of the country programme was that The evaluation matrix was developed around the all boys and girls in Albania have equitable access to evaluation questions and criteria to map out the data quality social services and that appropriate assistance sources, methods and analysis approach. A number is provided to their families to reduce the negative of assumptions for each question were also formed to outcomes of deprivation and vulnerability. reflect the elements of the question. An overarching programme theory of change (ToC – also referred to in The country programme (CP), as originally articulated the report as the “reconstructed” ToC) was developed within the CPD, is organized around three main that combined and summarized individual outcome- outcomes: level theories of change.
1. Strengthened governance for equity and social The evaluation used a theory-based, non-experimental inclusion; approach. The primary evaluation methods included 2. Protection and access to justice for children; and the wide-ranging document review and analysis of 3. Programme effectiveness. administrative data, key informant interviews with UNICEF and stakeholders, as well as a quantitative survey through U-Report, an online social media-based Purpose of the Evaluation and data collection system implemented by UNICEF. its Audiences Stakeholders for interview were selected from five The evaluation serves both accountability and learning municipalities of Albania where UNICEF is active. purposes, with primary emphasis on learning. As Selection was based on several programmatically defined by UNICEF in the terms of reference, the relevant criteria, such as: Country Programme Evaluation had three objectives: a. UNICEF activity within the current CPD time 1. Assess UNICEF’s strategic positioning and frame; programmatic choices made, given government b. Level of UNICEF engagement across the priorities and the changing socioeconomic and programme outcome areas; political context in Albania; c. Presence of marginalized/vulnerable groups; and 2. Provide an independent performance assessment d. Key health/demographic indicators (families of the Albania Country Programme 2017–2021 receiving economic aid or welfare, child mortality, seen in relation to expected results and UNICEF’s children with disabilities). FINAL REPORT 13
Consultations with the Albania Country Office led to EQ2. identification of approximately 120 internal and external Were the implementation strategies utilized stakeholders for interview during the data collection relevant for the context, and the way it has period. To incorporate the views of Albanian youth, evolved? a structured online survey was distributed through U-Report. Data collection took place between mid- Given the current context for children’s rights, June and mid-August 2020, with analysis and reporting to what extent should these implementation taking place between August and October. strategies be continued and/or refocused?
Finding 2.1 Key Findings Initially implementation strategies were derived from the CPD, but divergence over time was not RELEVANCE documented/justified in subsequent planning – there was no overarching theory of change (ToC) for the CPD, EQ1. and the Programme Strategy Note which included To what extent has UNICEF’s strategic positioning programme outcome ToCs was not fully aligned with remained fit-for-purpose to advance child rights for all children, considering the context? the CPD, leading to lack of clarity around programme plans. (Context should consider children’s needs, national priorities, country and regional (Balkan) Finding 2.2 situation, and partner landscape.) Annual review processes led to a more ‘organic’ approach to deciding on implementing strategies Finding 1.1 based on identified priorities. This approach enabled UNICEF to ensure programmatic relevance but lacked The evaluation found good evidence of the relevance systematic documentation or justification of its rationale of UNICEF Albania’s strategic positioning at the start for decisions. of the programme cycle. A substantial range of data (surveys, studies, evaluation reports, etc.) were used Finding 2.3 by the UNICEF Country Office to inform the design of the CPD and as a basis for appropriate downstream Priority programme results areas evolved year-on-year programming priorities. Justification for programme over the course of the country programme in response priorities could have been further strengthened by wider to the prevailing context in terms of perceived needs consultations with partners and children, bottleneck and available resources. and human and child rights/gender analyses, and a formal evaluation of the previous country programme. Finding 2.4
Finding 1.2 Programming choices and implementation strategies were well-aligned with both UNICEF’s mandate as UNICEF updated its programming strategies over articulated in the CPD and associated plans, and the the course of the CPD via annual reflection exercises priorities of (albeit not all) stakeholders. and the preparation of annual plans that documented consideration of the context and needs. However, more formalized UNICEF approaches, for example a EFFECTIVENESS Strategic Moment of Reflection or Mid-Term Review, EQ3. were not undertaken. The country programme would To what extent is the organizational structure vis- have benefited from such exercises by facilitating a à-vis programme design fit-for-purpose to deliver clearer rationale and justification for decision-making results for children? over the course of the programme period and providing an opportunity for more systematic inclusion of a wide Could any changes be made to increase effectiveness? range of stakeholders in consultations. 14 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Finding 3.1 Finding 4.2
Evidence indicates that the organizational structure as Quantitative evidence of the outcomes of UNICEF’s of 2017 was systematically planned to appropriately initiatives on children is lacking, notably around key align with the CP and the results areas. The office developmental indicators, which lack recent data. structure, including the introduction of specific positions Evaluation evidence from youth (via a U-Report immediately prior to development of the 2017–2021 survey commissioned for this evaluation) suggests CPD, was designed to fit and serve the new CPD both that realization of rights has stalled or is not meeting organizationally and programmatically. expectations among young people.
Finding 3.2 Finding 4.3
Evidence suggests the organizational structure is fit UNICEF responses to crises have been prompt, timely and for purpose overall given the context, with some areas targeted, informed by assessments and in collaboration requiring consideration such as the ratio between with diverse stakeholders, although not directed by a pre- permanent and temporary consultants which may have established crisis emergency preparedness plan. disadvantages in terms of the workload for core staff. This in turn may limit the capacity to make changes Finding 4.4 or strengthen the programme to deliver, for example, through strategic intersectoral working or embedding There is considerable uncertainty around the future gender mainstreaming. trajectory of COVID-19 and its impact on both the rights of children and the operating environment for UNICEF. Finding 3.3 Nonetheless, some future directions of programming can be predicted with some reliability, for example There were no significant changes to the organizational increased emphasis on online activities (education, structure during the programme period. While the work, communication), socioeconomic challenges, organizational structure remained broadly relevant to social care and protection challenges. the country context, there were shifts within UNICEF globally. There is no evidence that these changes Finding 4.5 were reflected (or even considered) in country priority decision-making and therefore, these institutional While many resources are being applied to data (internal priorities appear to have had no impact on adapting the reporting, Demographic and Health Survey/DHS, programme design and the corresponding organizational child rights monitoring/CRM), internal data systems structure. incompletely track progress, both with respect to high- level outcomes/impact indicators (many of which lag by several years) and to ongoing reporting of data via results EQ4. assessment modules (RAMs) and strategic monitoring To what extent were programme results questions (SMQs). Similarly, external data sources are achieved? What were the key factors (internal and incomplete or out-of-date and cannot address the shortfall. external) influencing the achievement of results? This impedes the Country Office’s capacity to report results and justify programmatic choices adequately. EQ4a. How has the CP contributed to the observed progress in the realization of child rights? Finding 4.6 Particularly the most vulnerable boys, girls and youth at risk of being left behind? UNICEF has made significant and important contributions to the improvement of governance and policies for education, child protection and social protection. Finding 4.1 Finding 4.7 There are strong, albeit anecdotal, perceptions among informed stakeholders that UNICEF has contributed to The strong contributions on the policy/governance an improvement of the situation of children across the side are not yet matched by government performance dimensions of social and child protection, governance and in the operationalization of these achievements. The policies and in services. Many of these improvements need for greater government resources, leadership and are reported to be of specific benefit to vulnerable and accountability for delivering on policy, particularly at the marginalized children. local level, is potentially an advocacy target for UNICEF. FINAL REPORT 15
Finding 4.8 SUSTAINABILITY EQ7. In line with its planned strategies, UNICEF has also To what extent has gender been effectively supported capacity and standards among service mainstreamed in the CP design and providers and other partners in the country via the technical implementation and, if not, how should it be done? expertise, tools and policies, but this is not commensurate with the scale of ongoing needs for improved quality and quantity of service provision in Albania. Finding 7.1
UNICEF implementation strategies within the sectors EQ5. of engagement (education, social protection, health To what extent has gender been effectively and child rights monitoring) have been well-linked to mainstreamed in the CP design and implementation and, if not, how should it be longer-term national development strategies some of done? which were designed with UNICEF support. UNICEF Albania’s work is well integrated into the wider One UN programme. Finding 5.1 Finding 7.2 The Country Programme Document makes reference to the principle of gender equality, yet there is little UNICEF engaged in a number of sectors in response to evidence that gender equality was robustly integrated. government priorities. Its support brought sustainable results in strengthening the policy and normative Finding 5.2 framework, in particular for education and social protection. The foundations for future enhancement of the fulfilment While the Country Office has taken on board some of child rights were laid through strengthening the of UNICEF’s gender guidance, notably appointing a capacities of national stakeholders, and the establishment gender focal point, and conducted some work with an of institutional mechanisms and models. Overall, Albania’s explicit gender dimension (e.g. child marriage research) drive towards European Union (EU) accession has led to operationalization of the gender equality approach is a faster pace of reforms in certain sectors where UNICEF limited. The CO is more ‘gender-blind’ than ‘gender- can support the reforms and thus the achievement and focused’. sustainability of results.
Finding 7.3 EFFICIENCY Investment in strengthening legislative and policy EQ6. framework, along with investment in modelling To what extent are the resources (financial and innovative approaches, have contributed to better human resources) allocated by the Country Office appropriate to support the implementation of performance by local and central actors, particularly strategies and achievement of CP results and, through support to developing policy and legislation. if not, what could be done to ensure resources However, the lack of resources and reprioritization of match programmatic ambitions and needs? budgets, particularly at local level, has created risks for comprehensively translating policy and legislation into implementation, and even the potential for a reversal in Finding 6.1 gains made in relation to capability strengthening.
The Country Office has applied an efficient and effective resource mobilization strategy, with most of its year-to- SYNERGIES AND COHERENCE year needs met from a variety of sources. EQ8. To what extent do the individual CP components Finding 6.2 and implementation strategies demonstrate internal coherence and synergies i.e. Several key factors support UNICEF’s overall efficiency interlinkages and reinforce each other to fully in delivering results, such as maintaining a small leverage the contribution that UNICEF makes number of core consistent partnerships which can towards expected results? be considered a strength by reflecting investments in longer-term relationships for realizing rights. 16 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Finding 8.1 Conclusions
Intersectoral coherence and synergies within UNICEF UNICEF’s strategic positioning. UNICEF Albania has programming were limited, reflecting the prevailing placed itself strategically as a trusted partner of the dynamic of government mechanisms. UNICEF Government but also of international, national and local faces limitations to its effectiveness by mirroring partners. It is recognized as a convenor and on the this rather than encouraging intersectoral linkages whole this is highly appreciated by all stakeholders. across government. Better horizontal integration is While UNICEF’s strategic positioning has, overall, been necessary to ensure a holistic approach to tackling the well aligned with needs, especially in response to the multidimensional needs of children, particularly those Albanian Government, it would be better placed to justify of most excluded groups (e.g. interlinkages between its programmatic decisions and priorities if it introduces social welfare, health and education). UNICEF has more systematic processes. This would provide the demonstrated the effectiveness of intersectoral working necessary check that all emerging data and evidence through discrete initiatives but there are opportunities inform decisions and that an appropriately wide range of to build on the limited mechanisms that are in place stakeholders are consulted. for aligning multi-sector policymaking to leverage more comprehensive and coherent approaches to realizing Implementation strategies. The choice of child rights. implementation strategies to deliver on the programme components was logically derived from the CPD. In examining the ways in which the Country Office EQ9. worked within its sectors, staff applied a wide range of To what extent is UNICEF coordinating with approaches. There was no evidence that the Country development partners and other UN agencies Office had wrongly identified strategies, and indeed to avoid overlaps, leverage contributions and stakeholders appreciated the high level of consistency catalyse joint work? and welcomed the way in which UNICEF approached issues and worked towards achieving its aims. However, the Country Office’s own rationales for strategies were Finding 9.1 less well documented. A missing component was an overarching theory of change for the programme UNICEF has a strong mediation (convener) role which which would support decision-making on programmatic helps to establish and maintain partnerships with choices and guide the most appropriate implementation national (government and public sector institutions, civil strategies. Introducing more systematic processes of society) and international actors (donors, development reflection would also allow the CO to appropriately adapt partners). Partnerships with national and international its programme priorities and implementation strategies stakeholders are generally positive and productive according to the changing context and new evidence. although UNICEF could have done more to nurture This would facilitate the implementation of policy, for relations with the EU. example in the context of decentralization.
Finding 9.2 Organizational structure. The organizational structure of the CO followed the CPD strategic outcome areas and Despite a well-embedded “Delivering as One” was designed to be fit for purpose to deliver results. The philosophy and good participation in the United Nations structure works well ‘on paper’ but the small number of Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF), there is permanent staff undertake significant responsibilities some evidence of competition within UN agencies. Joint including delivering results and managing temporary projects steered through the Sustainable Development consultants (these reached a peak during the programme Goals (SDG) Fund offer the possibility to overcome period of outnumbering the core staff by four to one). The partnership challenges. imperatives for strengthening UNICEF’s effectiveness in areas such as increasing intersectoral working, Finding 9.3 mainstreaming gender, and incorporating new priorities issued by UNICEF HQ, are inevitably hindered by the Private sector collaboration is nascent, emerging, but existing pressures and workload on the core staff. needs to be more structured and systematic to reflect the ambitions articulated within the CPD. Achievement of results in child rights, especially for the most vulnerable. There is good qualitative evidence to suggest that the work of UNICEF over the past three years has led to changes in the realization of children’s FINAL REPORT 17
rights. In terms of the most vulnerable, UNICEF has Efficiency. In terms of achievements, to date the Country focused its efforts on particularly at-risk children such Office has relatively successfully secured and utilized as those in institutions and children of Roma families. resources according to budgetary plans, even in the UNICEF has also responded rapidly to crises such as face of a challenging fundraising environment. The ratio the earthquake in 2019, and more recently COVID-19. of regular resources to other resources has not matched Feedback from stakeholders strongly supports the that planned in the CPD, but this has been a response to perception that the situation for children is improving in the dynamic nature of funding within the country rather Albania. However, robust quantitative data to evidence than any financial management issue. Funding sources this is severely lacking and in general disaggregated data are reported as secure in the short term (through to the (sex, age, vulnerabilities) is missing. In order to identify end of this country programme cycle), but the Country appropriate priorities, UNICEF requires data to guide its Office’s conservative approach to resource planning response to the most pressing needs, including those of is important to ensure that medium-term uncertainty the most vulnerable. Key indicators to measure where is mitigated. UNICEF’s human resources seem well progress is taking place or stalling are also needed. allocated and efficiently utilized. However, the ratio of core This is particularly important as the country implements to temporary consultants remains a problem. Partners its decentralization process and UNICEF works with expressed strong satisfaction with the openness of staff municipalities as well as national Government to ensure in responding to their programmatic needs with technical the downstream implementation of policy gains. expertise. Although responsiveness to the needs of key partners can be an important and positive driver, it can Contribution to improving the performance of also rapidly absorb the capacity of a small office and thus government institutions and service providers. compromise UNICEF’s core mandate to focus on the UNICEF has contributed to a range of robust and well- practical realization of children’s rights. designed policies and laws that move the child rights agenda forward in Albania. This represents a culmination Sustainability. When measured in terms of the CO’s of efforts by UNICEF over the past decade in line with alignment with national development strategies and Albania’s preparations for EU accession over a similar Agenda 2030, UNICEF has demonstrated approaches time frame. As such, UNICEF has successfully placed which promote sustainability in the sectors of itself in a key position at a key time in the history of child protection, social protection and education. A the country to leverage its position to advance the major factor in this, is UNICEF’s investment in the agenda of children’s rights. Similarly, UNICEF has enabling environment through its direct contribution been a fundamental partner in building the capacity to development of such policies and legislation. The of many sectoral actors in a range of areas that will subsequent step, after developing laws and policies, is potentially contribute to the downstream realization to support their implementation at subnational levels. of children’s rights. However, there are substantial UNICEF has already positioned itself to engage with challenges in ensuring and, importantly, demonstrating, municipalities and has had positive results in convening implementation of these policy and legislative changes multisectoral actors, for example through the child- via appropriate advocacy for resource allocation, capacity- friendly city initiative. But its experience and feedback building at subnational levels, and effective and timely from multiple stakeholders show that the decentralization monitoring of the realization of children’s rights. process poses further challenges as there is increased competition for scarce budget allocations. The extent Gender mainstreaming. This is clearly a gap within to which UNICEF is planning for this new context was the country programme. There were some important not strongly evident throughout the evaluation and the initiatives such as the qualitative knowledge, attitudes CO should not underestimate the challenges of seeing and practices (KAP) survey on child marriage, but overall through the implementation of policies. there was no systematic approach to gender equality principles. Staff themselves cited a lack of capacity and Further sustainability strategies include UNICEF’s linkages expertise. It is essential that gender equality and gender with other actors. In many areas this is highly visible, mainstreaming components become embedded into the and yet there are continuing demands from partners for thinking, planning and implementation of the country the CO to engage more cooperatively with national civil programme across all the staff. Gender mainstreaming society organizations (CSOs). As part of strengthening is everyone’s responsibility and not the sole domain of the national capability these stakeholders represent an the Gender Focal Point. UNICEF as an organization has important group in fostering further collaboration. Finally, expertise, and multiple analysis and planning tools that there has been some small but important engagement the CO can and should draw on. with the private sector and there are opportunities to capitalize on this. 18 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Internal programme coherence. There were two good practices: Where an initiative has been successful, examples of intersectoral work being integrated into the further scale-up to expand UNICEF’s reach is a worthy Albania Country Office structure (Child Rights Monitoring investment, albeit with due consideration to UNICEF’s Specialist and Communications Officer) but otherwise own capacities and those of the different stakeholders, the CO generally works in silos. The sector-specific focus particularly of central and local government. aligns well with the way the Government works but it is not necessarily desirable, and UNICEF may be missing opportunities to increase its effectiveness through complementary, synergistic and joint ways of working. Recommendations Two key areas, early childhood development (ECD) and gender, offer opportunities to create synergies and Strategic recommendations 1 to 5 are of high to complementarities across programming. The CO can medium priority and they are intended to inform the achieve this internally within the programme, although overall country programme direction for the next the external limitations in terms of working intersectorally cycle. Recommendations 6 & 7 are of lower priority, with the Government are recognized. Multi-sector but still remain important to be implemented. coordination of policy development and implementation are limited in terms of the Government’s mechanisms, but UNICEF has the potential to add significant value if it RECOMMENDATION 1 can increase its own and the Government’s intersectoral approaches to promote more holistic responses to child Introduce a systematic approach to country rights and development. programme priority setting that is in line with an equity-based theory of change of the new Country Coordination with development partners. Coordination Programme Document and informed by evidence. with development partners is an area of strength for the Ensure regular periods of reflection. Country Office with multiple lines of inquiry evidencing and confirming UNICEF’s effective partnership and Programme priority setting should be rooted in the convening role. There are areas that UNICEF needs to governing theory of change and informed throughout make decisions on regarding where its role is to lead, and the programme cycle by robust evidence that supports what it contributes to. The expectation of development adaptive management. partners that UNICEF would take a stronger role in certain areas (e.g. on responses to Roma children and Programme planning should incorporate outcomes children with disabilities) is evidence of both UNICEF’s of needs assessments, existing or emerging UNICEF leadership role and also the lack of national coherence global or regional strategies or guidance, identification and response by development partners. Certain overlaps of synergies within the Country Office, clear and logical and competing mandates are noted, such as in trafficking outcomes, outputs and activities to equitably realize (UNHCR/International Organization for Migration-IOM), rights for children in Albania and ‘leave no-one behind’. and gender (UNFPA/UN Women), and UNICEF again Regular moments of reflection should be conducted needs to determine where and how its skills can best to ensure that programme direction and intervention be used. There are also opportunities in other areas (for strategies remain relevant or are adjusted according to example with other UN agencies, and funding from the new evidence, guidance and learning. EU) which should not be neglected.
RECOMMENDATION 2
Lessons Learned Increase focus on intersectoral work to maximize UNICEF has sought to strike an appropriate balance the coherence of Country Office programming with between its organizational mandate and priorities for the overall theory of change of the new Country realization of children’s rights and those of the Albanian Programme Document. Government, for which the rights of children are only a component. This is a dynamic and evolving process Building on a robust, logical and coherent theory of that requires regular revisiting. change and linked programme strategies, an increased focus on intersectoral working between the different People are the foundation of UNICEF Albania’s country programme components of UNICEF Albania should programme outcomes. Overall programme effectiveness form part of the new CPD process. This could include an is predicated on ensuring the right people in the right explicit focus on internal collaboration and leadership; place with the right motivation to perform. Promising delegating responsibility for intersectoral work FINAL REPORT 19
appropriately across all positions with well-defined RECOMMENDATION 6 responsibilities and balanced staffing/workloads; and address the challenge of promoting synergies and Focus on support to the ongoing evolution of the intersectoral work with government partners. normative framework and decentralization process in Albania, including advocacy for appropriate resource allocation at subnational levels and guided RECOMMENDATION 3 by data and evidence from monitoring of service provision, particularly to the most vulnerable and Plan for future and ongoing emergency responses. marginalized.
The experience of successive crises should be A solid base of accurate and up-to-date data and evidence utilized for more systematic planning for future crises. is crucial to ensuring operationalization of policies related Consideration should be given to the development of to realization of children’s rights through all levels of risk analysis as part of the CPD planning process as government (e.g. at municipality and local level). UNICEF well as minimum preparedness activities; designation should address the challenges in policy implementation via of an emergencies focal point; evaluation of the 2019 advocacy for resource allocation (technical and financial) earthquake response as a learning tool; and assessing for children in Albania at central and subnational levels. This various potential outcomes of the COVID-19 pandemic. could capitalize on the guidance already available from UNICEF in the area of Public Finance for Children (PF4C). UNICEF should also redouble efforts to build capacity of RECOMMENDATION 4 key child rights stakeholders at subnational levels and ensure that monitoring, evaluation and research activities Determine a clearer partnership strategy across are relevant to effective implementation of policies and different stakeholder groups and set partnership services for children at municipality level in line with the objectives for each for which progress can be decentralization process. tracked.
Programme strategies should incorporate commitments RECOMMENDATION 7 to, and practical approaches (including objectives, engagement modality, selection criteria, outcomes, Introduce a country programme-wide effort to performance metrics) around partnership with different embed gender equality principles and gender groups, and tailor approaches to each. This should mainstreaming. include groups such as private sector and academia, civil society, development partners and Government. The Country Office should embed its approach to gender responsive programming. This can be done by analysing the existing data and evidence, which could inform the RECOMMENDATION 5 basis of the new CPD. The CO should also consider a Gender Programmatic Review; programmatic alignment Invest in a clear and systematic approach to data with Gender Action Plan 2018–2021; implementation of and evidence generation. a capability strengthening plan for the CO; and use of external and regional expertise to gain technical skills on To support results-based management and strategic gender-responsive programming. decision-making there is a need for a clearer and more systematic approach to data and evidence generation for the equitable realization of child rights. The focus should be placed on timely monitoring of results and ensuring that programmatic priorities and implementation strategies are adopted on the basis of this and reviewed regularly. Additional considerations should be made to support external administrative data collection systems. Findings would then be linked to UNICEF’s advocacy work and monitoring data would then be utilized for ad- hoc evaluations and formative research. 20 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021 1. INTRODUCTION FINAL REPORT 21
his report presents the findings of the evaluation of the UNICEF Albania Country Programme (CP) 2017–2021. The evaluation was commissioned by the Country Office (CO) of UNICEF Albania and was managed by UNICEF Europe and Central Asia Regional Office (ECARO) in close collaboration with the T Country Office. It was carried out between May and October 2020 and covers the entire UNICEF portfolio during the first four years of the five-year programme. This is a strategic evaluation that complements the sectoral evaluations and studies that have been carried out by UNICEF and external experts during this period.
The CP had an initial budget of US$ 16,345,000. Its overall goal is to achieve, by 2021, “the progressive realization of rights of all children in Albania, accompanied by the reduction of equity gaps, to be based on effective child- focused policies, systematically enforced accountabilities with adequate public resources, and strengthened respect for and protection of children’s rights”. UNICEF’s main partners were government ministries, agencies and departments at national, regional and district level.
The evaluation assesses the CP’s collaboration with government structures, UN agencies, international bodies and donors, civil society organizations (CSOs) and implementing partners, and a small number of private sector representatives.
Section 1 of this report describes the purpose, objectives and scope of the evaluation, the context within which UNICEF has been operating, and outlines the main components and goals of the CP itself. Section 2 explains the methodology of the evaluation including the evaluation framework, data collection and sampling strategies, and limitations and challenges faced by the evaluation. This section also highlights considerations of child rights, equity and gender in the analysis, as well as ethical considerations. Findings resulting from the evaluation are presented in Section 3, organized according to the main evaluation criteria (relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, sustainability, synergies/coherence) and the evaluation questions refined in the inception phase. Based on the findings, conclusions are presented in section 4, lessons learnt in section 5 and recommendations in section 6.
1.1 Purpose, objectives and scope of the evaluation
The object of this evaluation is the UNICEF Albania Country Programme (CP), specifically the CP of cooperation 2017–2021 developed in partnership with the Government of Albania. The evaluation rationale is described as follows: “Aligned with corporate policy requirements, this formative evaluation of the CP in Albania serves both accountability and learning purposes. The CPE sets out to document and account for UNICEF’s performance and contribution towards national development goals. The CPE will look back and assess the relevance, effectiveness, sustainability, efficiency, and synergies/coherence associated with UNICEF’s portfolio, and programmatic and strategic choices made in the design and implementation of the CP, in order to identify good practices, and to draw lessons and forward-looking recommendations that can inform the 2022–26 CP planning process.”
1.1.1 Objectives
As defined by UNICEF, the Country Programme Evaluation (CPE) had three objectives which were to: 1. Assess UNICEF’s strategic positioning and programmatic choices made, given government priorities and the changing socioeconomic and political context in Albania; 2. Provide an independent performance assessment of the country programme 2017–21 seen in relation to expected results and UNICEF’s contributions to realization of child rights in Albania, including inequities and gender; and 3. Identify good practices and lessons and draw forward-looking recommendations that can inform the development of the next country programme.
1.1.2 Scope
The scope of the evaluation covered the following dimensions: • Temporal scope: The evaluation covers the first four years of the current country programme (2017–October 2020), 2021 is excluded from the scope; • Geographical scope: All areas in Albania where UNICEF has worked over the period from 2018 to 2020; • Portfolio scope: The entire CP portfolio, including cross-cutting issues, intersectoral support involving communication, data generation/child rights monitoring and evaluation, and gender; and 22 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
• Organizational scope: The organizational scope of the evaluation goes beyond the Country Office and includes provision of technical support and oversight from UNICEF’s Regional Office and, when relevant, UNICEF’s Headquarters in New York. • Excluded from the scope: The evaluation presents an assessment of the situation of children in Albania at large and does not provide a detailed assessment of any one CP component.
1.1.3 Audiences
The intended primary users of this evaluation are the UNICEF Albania Country Office and the Government of Albania, as well as other UN agencies, UNICEF partners, and other UNICEF offices in the region that may benefit from learning about the Albania experience and approaches. The evaluation report aims to assist the intended users in implementation of the current CP during its last year, as well as in the 2022–26 country programme planning process, which is now in its preliminary stages, and specifically in the development of the new Country Programme Document.
1.1.4 Evaluation Management
The evaluation was supervised by an Evaluation Specialist located within the UNICEF Regional Office and the ERG consisting of key UNICEF and national stakeholders which was convened to provide inputs on all main evaluation deliverables that are expected to strengthen the quality and credibility of the evaluation. The ERG also sought to facilitate access to key informants during the evaluation process, participated in interviews with evaluators as relevant, and supported the dissemination of results. A full list of the ERG Members is provided in Annex 11.
1.2 Country context Figure 1: Map of Albania
1.2.1 Geographic and demographic context Montenegro Kosovo* Located in south-eastern Europe, Albania borders with Montenegro, Kosovo, North Macedonia and Greece, with the Adriatic Sea forming a SHKODËR 420 kilometre western border (Fig.1). KUKËS
LEZHË
1 As of January 2020, Albania’s population amounted to 2,845,955 DIBËR inhabitants. Over the past two decades, the population has been DURRËS experiencing a general trend of decrease due to a low birth rate2 and Macedonia net excess of emigration outwards over immigration inwards. The TIRANË youth population of Albania is higher (median age 37.2 years) than the ELBASAN European (28-member EU) average of 43.1.3 Overall, 22 per cent of the population are 14 years old or under, with 31 per cent 19 years old or FIER under. BERAT KORÇË
The majority (82.6 per cent)4 of the population are ethnic Albanians, with a significant diaspora5 population in other parts of Europe (Austria, VLORË Germany, Greece, Italy, Switzerland), and beyond. Other ethnic GJIROKASTËR groups within Albania are Balkan Egyptians (Jevgits/Jevgs), Greeks, Macedonians, Roma, and Serbian-Montenegrins. Greece
*(UN SC resolution 1244)
1. Population of Albania Press Release, Institute of Statistics (INSTAT), January 2020. 2. At 1.64 births per woman (World Bank 2017), slightly higher than the European average of 1.59 (Eurostat 2017) but lower than the generally accepted replacement rate of 2.1 births per woman. 3. Eurostat, 2018 figures. 4. Census of population and housing, INSTAT, 2011. 5. Estimates vary between 3.5 million and over 9 million ethnic Albanians outside the country. Albanians have a long history of emigra- tion as a result of political and/or social upheaval and conflict, most recently as a result of successive insecurity in the early 1990s and the collapse of communist rule in the country. There has been some related inward/outward migration resulting from the Kosovo conflict in the late 1990s. FINAL REPORT 23
Following recommendation from the Council of Europe, the Government of Albania endeavoured to document the ethnicities of its inhabitants for the first time in 2011. The data recorded for the above subgroups were, however, small and a substantial minority of 15.6 per cent did not record their ethnicity. The results of the census were deemed unreliable by the Council of Europe.6
Other data7 estimates the populations of these ethnic groups as follows:
• Roma: 80,000–150,0008 • Greeks: 58,758 (per the 1989 census) • Balkan Egyptians: 200,000–250,000 (disputed claim by the Union of the Egyptians of Albania) • Macedonians: 120,000–350,000 (disputed claim by the Association of Macedonians in Albania) • Serbian-Montenegrins: 2,000–30,000 (claim by Assembly for the Diaspora, Serbia).
Among these, the Roma and Balkan Egyptian communities are the most politically, economically and socially neglected groups in the country.9 In addition to widespread societal discrimination, they are generally at a disadvantage due to high illiteracy, particularly among children; poor health conditions; lack of education; and marked economic disadvantages.
1.2.2 Political context and government priorities
Following 46 years of communism, Albania began its transition to a liberal democracy in 1991 and is now a unitary parliamentary constitutional republic. The President, who acts as head of state, is nominated by the Parliament which is elected every four years.10 The current Prime Minister, Edi Rama, came into office in 2013. The political environment in Albania has been marked by increasing polarisation in recent years. The first half of 2019 saw multiple opposition rallies and several members of the opposition resigned from their Parliamentary mandates.11 The opposition decided to boycott the local elections of 30 June 2019 and accused the ruling majority of widespread corruption and use of criminal networks to manipulate elections.12 Faced with threats of a boycott from opposition parties, the President, Ilir Meta, issued a decree to postpone the vote to October. This decision prompted an impeachment procedure by Parliament. The parliamentary inquiry committee concluded in July 2020 that while the President had overstepped his constitutional competences, the violations did not justify his impeachment.13 The local elections took place in June 2019, amidst the opposition boycott and allowed the ruling majority to extend its authority over nearly all of Albania’s 61 municipalities.14 The preliminary findings of the election observation mission concluded that “voters did not have a meaningful choice between political options”.15 This context of uncertainty led the EU, to postpone the opening of accession negotiations with Albania in 2019.
In March 2020, the members of the European Council endorsed the conclusions on enlargement and the stabilization and association process, therefore opening accession negotiations with Albania.16 The European Commission 2020 report found that “on fundamental rights, Albania complies with international human rights instruments and has developed its legal framework in line with European standards”.17 Rapid social, political, and economic changes have
6. Third Opinion of the Council of Europe on Albania, November 2011. 7. Data from Minority Rights Group International: https://minorityrights.org/ 8. In 2011, UNICEF reported data indicating approximately 15,000 Roma (including 5,000 children) scattered among some 108 communi- ties. The 2011 census recorded 8,301 Roma settlements across the country. 9. Minority Rights Group (2015, September 15). Albania. https://minorityrights.org/country/albania/ 10. Constitution of the Republic of Albania, 1998. https://www.ahjucaf.org/sites/default/files/Constitution%20albanie.pdf 11. Freedom House (2020) Albania profile. Nations in Transit 2020. https://freedomhouse.org/country/albania/nations-transit/2020 12. Ibid. 13. European Commission (2020) Communication on EU Enlargement Policy: Albania 2020 Report. October 2020. 14. Freedom House (2020) Albania profile. Nations in Transit 2020. https://freedomhouse.org/country/albania/nations-transit/2020 15. Election observation mission undertaken by the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (ODIHR) and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE): OSCE/ODIHR Election Observation Mission, Statement of preliminary findings and conclusions (July 1st 2019). https://www.osce.org/odihr/elections/albania/424433?download=true 16. European Commission. (2020, March 26). Albania – European Neighbourhood Policy And Enlargement Negotiations. https://ec.euro- pa.eu/neighbourhood-enlargement/countries/detailed-country-information/albania_en 17. European Commission (2020) Communication on EU Enlargement Policy: Albania 2020 Report. October 2020. 24 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
been accelerated by the prospect of EU integration since 2014,18 a main driver of domestic reform in the country and is the country’s highest priority.19
The current Government has developed and implemented the National Strategy for Development and Integration 2014–2020 (NSDI II), that has set out the road map to prepare the country to become a full member of the European Union with strong and sustained economic growth to improve the well-being of its citizens.20 One of the pillars of the NSDI II is investment in human capital and social cohesion. The main aims of this pillar are to expand access and improve the quality of education at all levels, ensure equitable access to health services with better service delivery quality, and improve financial efficiency of the health system.21 The Government is currently developing the third National Strategy for Development and Integration. Despite making up the largest share of public expenditure as a percentage of GDP,22 public investments in the social sectors (education, health and social protection) remain lower compared to other countries in the region and at a lower level compared to international standards for an upper middle-income country.23 As a result, these sectors lack adequate human, technical and financial resources needed for improved services for children.24 In 2018, 2.9 per cent of GDP was devoted to public investments in health care (5.1 per cent in Serbia, 3.5 per cent in Turkey,25 7 per cent in Italy26), 3.1 per cent to education (3.7 per cent in Serbia, 4.4 per cent in Turkey27).28 In 2016, Albania’s social protection spending was significantly lower than the EU average at 9.4 per cent of its GDP compared to 28 per cent for the European average. The country’s public financing of social sectors is made even more fragile by the recession resulting from the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic.
Following the first cases of COVID-19 in Albania, in early March 2020, the Government announced a series of restrictions on travel, public services and gatherings and a nationwide lockdown was instituted. The COVID-19 crisis is expected to have a significant impact on the economy as well as on vulnerable groups and families. Progress achieved in the reduction of poverty levels in Albania is likely to be put at risk by the consequences of the November 2019 highly destructive earthquake and the looming recession engendered by the COVID-19 pandemic. According to recent World Bank estimates, extreme poverty levels could see an increase of between 4 to 8 percentage points, reaching about 40 per cent in the first scenario and 44 per cent in the second scenario, which would amount to the poverty rates experienced in 2012 and 2005.29 Albania’s annual GDP growth is expected to contract by 5 per cent in 2020 and 8.4 per cent in 2021,30 with major sectors of the economy severely affected such as tourism and hospitality, manufacturing, and non-essential trade being impacted by containment measures.31 The impact of the recession and the implementation of economic support measures are projected to increase the country’s fiscal deficit to 5.4 per cent of GDP in 2020, pushing government debt up to 75.8 per cent of GDP.32 The unprecedented nature of the COVID-19 crisis heightens the uncertainty around economic previsions.
18. UNICEF Albania CO Annual Report 2018. 19. Ibid. 20. National Strategy for Development and Integration 2015–2020 (NSDI II) 21. Ibid. 22. 27 Mainstreaming, Acceleration and Policy Support for Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in Albania (2018). 23. UNICEF Albania CO Annual Report 2018. 24. Mainstreaming, Acceleration and Policy Support for Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in Albania (2018). 25. European Commission. (2019). Key figures on enlargement countries. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. https://doi.org/10.2785/080458 26. Mainstreaming, Acceleration and Policy Support for Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in Albania (2018). 27. Ibid. 28. INSTAT 2019 Albania in Figures – 2018. 29. World Bank. (2020, May). Western Balkans Regular Economic Report. The Economic and Social Impact of COVID-19. Poverty and Household Welfare. (17). World Bank Publications. http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/236311590680555002/pdf/The-Economic-and-Social-Impact-of-COVID-19-Poverty-and- Household-Welfare.pdf 30. World Bank. (2020, June). Global Economic Prospects: Europe and Central Asia. World Bank Publications. https://www.worldbank. org/en/region/eca/brief/global-economic-prospects-europe-and-central-asia 31. UNICEF Albania. (2020, July 15). UN Albania COVID-19 Socio-economic recovery and response plan. https://www.unicef.org/albania/ documents/un-albania-covid-19-socio-economic-recovery-response-plan 32. World Bank (2020). The Economic and Social Impact of COVID-19: Western Balkans Outlook (No.17). World Bank Publications. http://docu- ments1.worldbank.org/curated/en/606131588087679463/pdf/The-Economic-and-Social-Impact-of-COVID-19-Western-Balkans-Outlook.pdf FINAL REPORT 25
1.2.3 Social development and gender profile
Despite a significant improvement of living standards since 1991, Albania remains one of the poorest countries in Europe, with high unemployment rates especially for youth and women. Nationally, the estimated unemployment rate in 2015 was 17 per cent, with International Labour Organization (ILO) estimates for 2019 at 12.3 per cent of the labour force (11.6 per cent female; 12.8 per cent male).33 According to the most recent data, in 2015 youth unemployment34 stood at 32.8 per cent (32 per cent female; 29.8 per cent male),35 which is significantly higher than the EU average (10.4 per cent) and higher than neighbouring countries (Kosovo: 31.4 per cent; Macedonia: 24.7 per cent; Serbia: 20 per cent; Montenegro: 19 per cent; Greece: 17.2 per cent).36
In 2008, Albania was classified as an upper-middle-income country by the World Bank37 and in 2019 it ranked 69th out of 189 countries on the UNDP Human Development Index, placing it in the high human development category and above the average for countries in Europe and Central Asia.38 Despite significant socioeconomic progress, the country still faces substantial challenges. It remains one of the poorest countries39 in Europe with minority and vulnerable groups (people living in rural areas, the elderly, vulnerable women and people with disabilities) being among the most politically, economically and socially neglected groups in the country.40
Almost a quarter (23.4 per cent) of the Albanian population were assessed to be at risk of poverty in 2018, only ahead of Serbia and Romania in the European area (the EU average is 16.9 per cent). The risk of poverty is exacerbated for children, for households with dependent children, and for females, particularly younger females (17 or under).41 29.6 per cent of children were reported to be at risk of poverty in 2017 and 2018, with girls being affected more (30.6 per cent).42
The political transition of the 1990s led to changes in the social protection and health systems in Albania. According to the last Demography and Health Survey (DHS) 2017–2018, however, access to health care is strongly determined by the wealth quintile, with 62 per cent of women in the lowest wealth quintile reporting difficulties in accessing services.43 People with disabilities as well as people from Roma and Balkan Egyptian communities also face discrimination in accessing health services.44
The 2018 female Human Development Index (HDI) value for Albania is 0.779 in contrast with 0.802 for males, resulting in a Gender Development Index (GDI)45 value of 0.971. Albania has a Gender Inequality Index (GII)46 value of 0.234, ranking 51st out of 162 countries in the 2018 index. In the last decade, the Government of Albania has made important progress in establishing relevant institutional and policy frameworks for achieving gender equality and women’s empowerment, in line with international, regional, and national gender equality standards and obligations according to UN Women and UNDP.47 The national legislation on equality and non-discrimination stems from the fundamental rights and freedoms recognized by the Constitution of the Republic of Albania approved in 1998.
33. Ibid. 34. Share of youth not in education, employment or training as a percentage of the youth population. 35. International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT database, 2020. 36. Ibid. 37. World Bank data, 2020. 38. Human Development Report 2019, UNDP. 39. Jorgoni, Elira (2019). ESPN Thematic Report on In-work poverty – Albania, European Social Policy Network (ESPN), Brussels: Europe- an Commission. 40. Poverty in Albania, European Social Policy Network, 2019. 41. Income and Living Conditions in Albania, 2017–2018, INSTAT, December 2019. 42. INSTAT 2019 EU-SILC Key Results 2017, 2018. 43. UNICEF Albania COAR 2018, 44. Ibid. 45. The GDI measures gender gaps in human development achievements by accounting for disparities between women and men in three basic dimensions of human development – health, knowledge and living standards – using the same component indicators as in the HDI. The GDI is on a scale of 0 (lowest) – 1 (highest). 46. The GII is an inequality index. It shows the loss in potential human development due to disparity between female and male achieve- ments in three dimensions: reproductive health, empowerment and the labour market. Overall, the GII reflects how women are disadvan- taged in these dimensions. The GII ranges between 0 and 1. Higher GII values indicate higher inequalities between women and men and thus higher loss to human development. 47. UN Women & UNDP (2016). Gender Brief Albania 2016. Prepared by Monika Kocaqi, Ani Plaku and Dolly Wittberger. UN Women, Albania. 26 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Albania has fully committed to the SDGs and Agenda 2030 in monitoring their achievements. The Albanian Government has convened an inter-ministerial committee on the SDGs, chaired by the Deputy Prime Minister of Albania and comprising key government institutions as well as other stakeholders from the business community, civil society, academia and international organizations, including UN agencies in Albania. Albania’s policy goals and objectives in the national strategies and policy documents link to 134 (of 170) SDG targets and the Government has commissioned a baseline for SDG achievement and published a voluntary national review of SDG progress in 2018.
1.2.4 Children, youth and families
Albania has significantly increased access to all levels of education (nine years of education are mandatory). In 2018 net enrolment rates in primary education (94.5 per cent) were close to the European average of 96 per cent, and similar to Albania’s neighbours of Serbia (94.5 per cent) and Montenegro (96.5 per cent). However, rates in lower secondary stood at 89.07 per cent, lower than the European average (91 per cent), Serbia (94.6 per cent) and Montenegro (89.9 per cent).48 Overall, the enrolment rates in education are higher for girls than boys, with the gap widening as children progress through the education system.
The out-of-school rate for Albania is in line with the European average, at approximately 2.8 per cent. However, UNICEF has identified minority populations (such as Roma and Balkan Egyptians) returnees, young carers, children contributing to the family income, early married girls and children with disabilities as having a high risk of not attending school.49
Nutrition and feeding practices remain a public health concern for children, especially of age 6–59 months.50 The DHS 2017–2018 found that only one in three (38 per cent) children born in the two years prior to the survey were exclusively breastfed in the first six months of life as per World Health Organization (WHO) and UNICEF recommendations.51 The survey noted that 25 per cent of children aged between 6 and 49 months were anaemic, with some more affected than others, especially in households of the low wealth quintile. The DHS results indicate improvements in the prevalence of stunting, which has decreased from 19 per cent in 2008 to 11 per cent in 2018. The survey noted that stunting in children is closely linked with mother’s education (22 per cent of children, whose mothers have no or solely primary education, are stunted, compared to 8 per cent of children, whose mothers’ education is higher).52 Immunization coverage for children is nearly universal at 97 per cent, although concerns remain on emerging vaccine hesitancy in the population.53
With regard to child protection, progress has been made in reducing numbers of children exposed to violence in various settings (at home, in school or in communities). The DHS found that the number of children experiencing non-violent methods of discipline increased from 22 per cent in 2009 to 37 per cent in 2018.54 Furthermore, 48 per cent of children have been subject to at least one form of psychological or physical aggression in 2018 compared to 75 per cent in 2009. Despite this progress, violence and harassment against children on the internet has been a growing source of concern with one in five children having seen violent content online and one in ten children reporting at least one unwanted sexual experience on the internet.55
Ending children’s institutionalization is a priority of the Government of Albania along with the reform of the childcare system: as of 2019 703 children were registered in residential care, of which 525 placed in public and non-public residential institutions.56 Moreover, 684 children with disabilities were attending segregated and often residential schools as reported in the State’s Party Periodic Report to the Committee on the Rights of the Child.57
48. All data UNESCO as retrieved May 2020. http://data.uis.unesco.org/ 49. Identification of out-of-school children reaching the compulsory school age in Albania, UNICEF, 2017. 50. UNICEF Albania CO Annual Report 2018. 51. Albania Demographic and Health Survey 2017–2018. 52. UNICEF Albania CO Annual Report 2018. 53. Ibid. 54. Demographic and Health Survey 2017–2018. 55. Dunja A, Gjergji O, Gvineria D, Hallkaj E, and Verzivolli I. (2019). One Click Away: Children’s Experience of Internet Use in Albania. UNICEF in Albania and IPSOS Strategic Marketing, https://www.unicef.org/albania/media/2486/file/one%20click.pdf 56. Evaluation ToR, page.4. See Annex 1. 57. Government of Albania 2019 5th and 6th Periodic Report to the Committee on the Rights of the Child. https://tbinternet.ohchr.org/_ layouts/15/treatybodyexternal/SessionDetails1.aspx?SessionID=801&Lang=en FINAL REPORT 27
Adolescents in Albania face a series of issues related to education, access to employment, and violence. According to the 2019 UN Country Team Common Country Analysis, 1 in 4 adolescents of ages 11,13 and 15 reported having experienced physical abuse once or twice in their lifetime with 6 per cent reporting multiple instances of physical abuse.58 Adolescents in Albania, girls in particular, are also vulnerable to instances of intimate partner violence and sexual harassment with 1 in 5 girls reporting having experienced intimate partner violence and 80 per cent reporting controlling behaviours from their partners.59 Furthermore, 22 per cent of adolescents of ages 11, 13 and 15 reported at least one instance of bullying at school.60
Adolescents and youth in Albania also remain concerned about the level and quality of education when considering access to employment and matching labour market demand. The survey “Youth of Albania 2018/19” noted that 38 per cent of young people feel ‘somewhat’ satisfied with the quality of education.61 According to the same survey, a majority of young people in Albania (43 per cent) have a strong desire to emigrate, this desire reaching 31 per cent of adolescents between the ages of 14 and 17. In 2019, the share of youth not in education, training or employment stood at 25.8 per cent (% of youth population) compared to 29.8 per cent in 2015.62 The limited economic prospects for young people seem to be the primary reason for wishing to emigrate to another country, matching trends seen in other categories of the general population.
1.2.5 Governance and civil society
In the past 20 years, decentralization reforms have been implemented in Albania following the ratification of the European Charter for Local Self-Government and the adoption of a National Decentralization Strategy in 1999.63 Today, the country is divided into 12 primary administrative divisions (counties, formerly prefectures), which are further divided into 61 municipalities with greater institutional capacity.64 Decentralization is one of the policy areas included in the NSDI II 2015–2020 in a strategy that aims to consolidate good governance, democracy and the rule of law with strong, effective and democratic institutions and promote a fully functional and open judiciary.65
With regards to governance, Albania has made significant progress over the last five years, including key milestones such as the territorial reorganization and new local elections in 2015, a decriminalization law and a series of constitutional reforms focused on justice.66 However, the country is still facing significant challenges in the areas of good governance and rule of law. According to a 2018 mainstreaming, acceleration, and policy support (MAPS) report, governance reforms have introduced significant uncertainties into Albania’s overall government structures.67 The report notes that questions around division of labour between and among central and local government bodies on the issue of child protection should be resolved through the implementation of appropriate sustainable development policy frameworks.68 Civil society has played a crucial role in improving the quality of governance in Albania and is a crucial element for the EU integration process. However, according to the 2018 MAPS report, civil society is still relatively under-developed, especially outside Tirana.69 The report advocates for a review of the policy and regulatory frameworks for civil society organizations (CSOs) in order to strengthen their ability to support governance reform and strengthen public sector accountability.
58. UNCT (2020) Common Country Analysis in Albania 2020 update. 59. Ibid. 60. Ibid. 61. Kamberi, G., Çela, A. (2019). Youth Study Albania 2018/2019. Tirana, Albania: Friedrich Ebert Foundation, e.V., Referat Mittel und Osteuropa. 62. International Labour Organization, ILOSTAT database. Data retrieved 21 June 2020. 63. Government of Albania, The World Bank and United Nations Albania (2018). Mainstreaming, Acceleration, and Policy Support for Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in Albania. https://www.un.org.al/sites/default/files/MAPS_Report_web.pdf 64. Ibid. 65. National Strategy for Development and Integration 2015–2020 (NSDI II). 66. Programme of Cooperation for Sustainable Development 2017–2021. 67. Government of Albania, The World Bank and United Nations Albania (2018). Mainstreaming, Acceleration, and Policy Support for Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in Albania. https://www.un.org.al/sites/default/files/MAPS_Report_web.pdf 68. Ibid. 69. Ibid. 28 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
1.3 Country Programme components and goals
As defined in the CPD document, the overarching goal of the Albania country programme is “to achieve, by 2021, the progressive realization of rights of all children in Albania, accompanied by the reduction of equity gaps, to be based on effective child-focused policies, systematically enforced accountabilities with adequate public resources, and strengthened respect for and protection of children’s rights”.70
The long-term overall intended impact of UNICEF’s country programme is (a) that all boys and girls in Albania, especially those in situations of marginalization (those affected by poverty, with disabilities, from Roma and Balkan Egyptian minorities, living in underserved regions and/or on the move) equitably access quality social services that fully meet international norms and standards; and (b) that children and their families receive appropriate assistance to overcome multidimensional deprivations. Effective governance at national and especially subnational/local levels is a prerequisite for services to be designed, planned, delivered and monitored.
The Albania CP was developed during the previous UNICEF strategic plan period (2014–17), but the implementation period stretches into the new strategic plan covering 2018–2021.
For the period of the current CPD, Albania has been faced with two crises: the November 2019 earthquake and the COVID-19 pandemic. In both instances, UNICEF supported the Government of Albania in addressing the crisis response. Following the earthquake, UNICEF supported the Government of Albania and provided timely response to the emerging crisis. During the COVID-19 pandemic, UNICEF assisted the Government in adjusting its education programme, and overall support to child protection during the time of crisis.
The key actors and partners are Albanian governmental bodies, primarily the Prime Minister’s office and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and include different ministries (Ministry of Health and Social Protection/MHSP, Ministry of Education, Sports and Youth/MESY) as well as local government units and municipalities. UNICEF also works with UN agencies such as UNFPA, UN Women, UNHRC and IOM as noted during the documentation review. UNICEF partners with human rights and independent institutions such as the Office of the Ombudsperson and the Commissioner for Protection against Discrimination and civil society organizations (CSOs). UNICEF has been engaging with representatives from the private sectors, think tanks and academia, bilateral donors and stakeholders such as the Swiss Development Cooperation and Austria Development Agency. A detailed stakeholder analysis was undertaken in the Inception Report and is included in Annex 10.
Geographically, UNICEF undertakes or supports activities in 20 of Albania’s 61 municipalities, although most activities are focused on Tirana, the capital. In nine municipalities, UNICEF supports activities in a single sectoral area (primarily social protection activities), with the remaining municipalities being the focus of multiple interventions. A breakdown of operational municipalities by sectoral area is presented in Annex 7. The CP contributes to three of the six UN Development Assistance Framework (UNDAF71) 2016–2021 outcomes, namely:
• Governance and Rule of Law (Outcome I) • Social Cohesion (Outcome II) • Environment and Climate Change (Outcome IV).
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): The CP is intended to contribute towards 10 out of the 17 SDGs, that is SDGs 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 11, 13, 16 and 17.72
Albania is also a “Delivering-as-One” (DaO) country. It was one of eight countries to volunteer for the pilot DaO from 2007–2011. Evaluation of the DaO pilot in Albania in 2010 provided lessons and recommendations that shaped the 2012–2016 Programme of Cooperation that aimed to expand and deepen the DaO approach.
70. UNICEF Albania, Country Programme Document 2017–2021, para 13, page 5. 71. Formally entitled the “Government of Albania and United Nations Programme of Cooperation for Sustainable Development 2017–2021”. 72. 1 – No poverty; 3 – Good health and well-being; 4 – Quality education; 5 – Gender equality: 6 – Clean water and sanitation; 10 – Reduced inequalities; 11 – Sustainable cities and communities; 13 – Climate action; 16 – Peace, justice and strong institutions; and 17 – Partnerships for the Goals. FINAL REPORT 29
Table 1: UNICEF Albania country programme outcomes and outputs 2017–2021
Outcome 1: Outcome 2: Outcome 3:
By 2021, children in situations By 2021, children’s rights to The Government of Albania of vulnerability enjoy equitable justice and protection from – UNICEF programme of access to quality health, education violence, abuse, exploitation cooperation is effectively and social protection services and neglect are effectively designed, coordinated, supported by effective governance supported by a comprehensive managed and supported to mechanisms. system of multisectoral meet quality standards in prevention and response achieving results for children. Output 1.1: By 2021, health care mechanisms. policymakers and service providers are Output 3.1: Guidance, tools and equipped with knowledge, guidance, Output 2.1: By 2021, social and child resources to effectively and efficiently tools and mechanisms to effectively scale protection practitioners have increased design and manage the programme of up and implement the new maternal, capacity to assist families in situations cooperation are available to UNICEF newborn and child health care normative of vulnerability/at risk of separation, and its partners. framework, focused on the most to provide care for their children, marginalized. preventing institutionalization. Output 3.2: Guidance, tools and resources to effectively generate, Output 1.2: By 2021, education sector Output 2.2: By 2021, child protection analyse, and utilize statistical and policymakers and practitioners at practitioners are empowered with qualitative information for a child rights central and local levels are equipped legal and normative frameworks, monitoring system are available in the with knowledge, guidance, tools and operational standards and tools country. mechanisms to effectively implement to effectively prevent and address and scale up the reformed, Early Learning situations of child abuse, violence, Output 3.3: Guidance, tools and and Development Standards-based and neglect and exploitation. resources for effective communication equity-sensitive, early learning education on child rights issues with stakeholders framework. Output 2.3: By 2021, justice sector are available to UNICEF and its policymakers, practitioners and partners. Output 1.3: By 2021, social protection independent human rights institutions policymakers and practitioners are have the capacity to fully align Output 3.4: Strategies to address cross- equipped with knowledge, guidance, the Justice for Children normative cutting issues related to child rights are tools and mechanisms to effectively framework to international standards developed and applied throughout the implement the reformed social protection and to effectively protect the rights of programme of cooperation. policy (combining cash assistance with children in conflict and in contact with decentralized care services). the law.
EU priorities: the Albania country programme is aligned with national priorities of EU integration, including democracy and rule of law; independent and accountable judicial institutions; consolidated good governance; social cohesion based on a modern educational system; universal and quality health care coverage; expanded employment opportunities; a stronger social protection system; gender equality; and social inclusion.73
The CP is organized around three main outcomes (strengthened governance for equity and social inclusion; protection and access to justice for children; and programme effectiveness), which are summarized in Table 1 below. A summary of the results of the country programme is included in EQ4a and a full analysis is in Annex 9.
Two additional outcomes (Outcomes 4 and 5), related to internal systems (governance, financial resources, human resources) and “special purpose” (country office facilities), were noted in the Annual Management Plans for 2017 and 2018, with both being combined into one outcome (4) in 2019. As these outcomes are not specifically related to the evaluation questions, they did not form an explicit part of this evaluation.
73. Government of Albania, National Strategy for Development and Integration, 2015–2020. 30 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021 2. METHODOLOGY FINAL REPORT 31
2.1 Evaluation framework
The evaluation used a theory-based, non-experimental approach. The primary evaluation methods were qualitative including extensive analysis of documentation, administrative data and key information interviews with UNICEF and stakeholders. A quantitative survey captured the views of U-Report users.
The process of carrying out the evaluation took place between May and October 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. The approach for the data collection was adapted to reflect the changing situation.
The evaluation took a strategic, overall view of the programme and UNICEF’s Strategic Plan 2018–2021 (as reported on through the Country Office Annual Report/COAR and results assessment modules/RAM) and the accompanying Strategy Note developed in 2016, in attempting to understand and assess the contribution of the different programmatic interventions to the anticipated chain of results (short-term outputs, medium-term outcomes) and the contributions towards longer-term impacts, as well as their potential sustainability.
An overarching programme theory of change (or “reconstructed” ToC) was developed to summarize the individual outcome-level theories of change. At the same time, the policy and institutional context of implementation were also considered for relevance to the needs of Albanian children and the effectiveness, efficiency, sustainability, and coherence of the approaches taken was assessed. This reconstructed ToC can be found in Annex 2.
The theories that the evaluation sought to test were:
• That the reconstructed programme ToC delivers UNICEF’s contribution to advancing children’s rights; • That implementing strategies were integrated and applied effectively to achieve results; • That the data reported in the COAR and RAM map onto and enable effective monitoring of UNICEF’s programmes in Albania (via the reconstructed ToC); and • That together these enable UNICEF to both track the contributions made by the programmes and the progress towards children’s rights in Albania.
An evaluation matrix was constructed around the evaluation questions, setting out the data sources, methods and analysis approach (Annex 2a). Revisions were made to the evaluation sub-questions, to reflect the current situation and adjustments were made to the approach and methodology. The evaluation criteria are based on UNICEF’s adaptations of the OECD DAC and United Nations Evaluation Group (UNEG) evaluation standards.
Each of the evaluation questions was interrogated to dissect its meaning(s) and one or more assumptions developed to reflect the elements of the question. For example, EQ1 asks about the extent to which UNICEF’s strategic positioning remained fit for purpose to advance child rights for all children, considering the context. The question has been broken down into two assumptions – the first focusing on the relevance of programme priorities to actual needs, and the second examining change over time and incorporating stakeholder and partner perspectives.74
2.1.1 Departures from the Terms of Reference
The most significant departure from the ToR was that, due to COVID-19, it was not possible to carry out an in- country inception visit nor to carry out in-country fieldwork, both of which were done virtually.
Revisions were made to the evaluation sub-questions, notably around EQ4, which was originally split into three separate sub-questions in the Evaluation Matrix, to reflect the current situation by including questions aimed at capturing UNICEF’s responsiveness and resilience to emergency situations. On commencement of the data analysis and report writing phase of the evaluation, the three EQ4 sub-questions (4a, 4b, 4c) were combined into two (4a, 4b) for the purposes of avoiding duplication of findings and brevity of the overall report. As it had been finalised prior to the data collection, the Evaluation Matrix was not revised in retrospect to reflect this.
74. Nkwake, A. Working with Assumptions in International Development Program Evaluation, 2013. 32 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
2.2 Data collection, data analysis and sampling strategy
As per the assignment ToR, the evaluation team selected five municipalities to conduct subnational data collection activities (remotely). The selection of these municipalities was on the basis of the following criteria:
• UNICEF activity within the current CPD period; • Level of UNICEF-supported activity across the CPD programme areas; • Presence of marginalized groups, minorities, etc.; • Highest number of children living with families receiving economic aid; • Highest number of deaths of children aged under 1; and • Highest number of children with disability allowance.75
A data spreadsheet was set up to weight these criteria and those municipalities that best fit these criteria were selected for data collection. On the basis of this analysis, the municipalities of Berat, Durres, Korça, Shkodra and Tirana were selected by the evaluation team. This selection was validated with the UNICEF CO and Evaluation Reference Group.
2.2.1 Interview sampling
The full list of potential key informants compiled during the stakeholder analysis process formed the sampling frame for interviews. This task commenced during the inception phase and was updated throughout the data collection phase of the evaluation. It was based on data provided directly by UNICEF Albania and was refined on the basis of the desk review of documentation by the evaluation team.
The evaluation team shortlisted external and internal stakeholders (approximately 120 individuals) with the input of the evaluation manager and CO, and respondents were selected on the basis of the level of engagement (i.e. number of years of experience and breadth of activities with UNICEF) and capacity to access remotely (via phone or VOIP).
By completion of the evaluation, 120 individuals had been interviewed via 88 separate remote interviews. These included 21 interviews with UNICEF staff (15 females, 6 males) and 6 interviews with UN agencies (2 females, 4 males). The evaluation team interviewed 30 respondents from the national Government (22 females, 8 males) as well as 16 respondents at the subnational level (10 females, 6 males). Nine respondents from donor and international agencies were also interviewed (8 females, 1 male) as well as from CSOs (14 females, 2 males). Nine interviews were undertaken with respondents from the judiciary, NHRI, the private sector and academia (7 females, 2 males). The majority of interviews were conducted via video link (Zoom or Skype) and a detailed list of interviewees can be found in Annex 3.
2.2.2 Online stakeholder survey
A structured online survey using the U-Report system was distributed to youth who participate in U-Report.76 UNICEF Albania has been a member of U-Report since 2018 and regularly disseminates polls on topics of interest to its mandate. The system was made available to the evaluation as an additional method to collect data directly from its members. There are some limitations to the U-report tool notably its limited capacity to collect detailed information, and an inherent bias in participants towards those with the requisite technological capacity and interest. Hence, the evaluation used it to obtain a general sense of perception of the realization of young people’s rights across UNICEF’s key mandate areas. In total, the U-Report survey for the evaluation generated 200 responses. 11 per cent of respondents are aged between 15 and 19; 12 per cent are aged between 20 and 24; 14 per cent are aged between 25 and 30; 16 per cent are aged between 31 and 34; and 46 per cent of respondents are aged over 35. 58 per cent of respondents (108) are male and 42 per cent (72) are female.
75. All data for setting sampling criteria were taken from the State Agency for Child Rights and Protection data dashboard, available at http://smartprocesses.org/children/statistikatestim/index.php 76. U-Report is a free and anonymous digital tool, created by UNICEF that directly interacts with young people aged 15 and above, (with a focus on the age group 15 to 24), who sign up to become U-Reporters through simple polls sent via Facebook Messenger or Viber. See https:// westernbalkans.ureport.in/opinion/1841/ for questions and responses. FINAL REPORT 33
2.2.3 Data analysis
All findings from the data collection process were aggregated into an evidence database and coded across the nine evaluation questions (and three sub-questions) nested under five criteria and 23 accompanying assumptions to produce an evidence table that provides a repository of all of the evidence available to the evaluation team for analysis and drawing findings and conclusions. Illustrative indicators were associated with each assumption to guide the data collection and analysis process (dependent on availability of data). Analysis of the cleaned, coded and anonymised data with reference to its congruence or divergence from the evaluation questions and assumptions provided the evaluation team with the basis for the evaluation findings presented in the report. Coded data was reviewed by successive team members to identify evidence that supported or contradicted specific assumptions derived from the evaluation questions. This evidence was collated, and findings derived and discussed on the basis of it.
2.3 Limitations and constraints faced by the evaluation
The evaluation was undertaken between May and October 2020 during the COVID-19 global pandemic, which substantially affected the context, background, and approach to the evaluation. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak, the evaluation team did not travel to Albania and therefore could not carry out in-person inception and data collection visits. In order to mitigate this, the evaluation team adapted the approach and questions, by carrying out semi- structured online interviews and consultations and augmenting data collection through a survey and the use of U-report to reach young people.
As anticipated in the inception report, access to stakeholders could be limited due to several reasons, including access to technology, lack of time due to holidays or other commitments, or more pressing priorities (for example, prioritization by government stakeholders of the COVID-19 response over other activities). To overcome this, the team addressed the data collection process with flexibility, adjusting their schedules to respond to the different needs of stakeholders. The data collection process started in July to reach as many stakeholders as possible before the holidays, though it was stretched out to mid-August so that the team could reach more people. The evaluation team also consulted with the UNICEF Albania Country Office to organize and schedule the interviews. The UNICEF Albania Country Office supported the team in reaching out and following up with key external stakeholders.
The timely presentation of findings and submission of the draft report have been a priority for the evaluation, and the time available between the conclusion of the data collection and the submission of the first draft of the evaluation report has been limited. Time constraints have been placed on the team, especially in the final stages of the evaluation, to meet UNICEF internal deadlines and to inform the process of the new country programme in a timely manner.
2.4 Management of the evaluation
Overall management of the evaluation was by the Multi-Country Evaluation Specialist from the UNICEF Europe and Central Asia Regional Office, with liaison management from the CRM Specialist in the UNICEF Albania Country Office. An external ERG was constituted to provide overall technical oversight for the evaluation. It did not have any formal evaluation management responsibilities but acted in an advisory capacity and provided inputs on all main evaluation deliverables to strengthen the quality and credibility of the evaluation. The composition and responsibilities of the ERG are listed in the ToR for this evaluation which can be found in Annex 1.77
77. Evaluation ToR. page 16. Available in Annex 1 page 21. 34 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
2.5 Ethical considerations
The evaluation team observed ethical standards set in IOD PARC’s ethical code. IOD PARC’s ethical framework is based on international guidelines for all contexts, in particular UNEG Ethical Guidelines for Evaluation 2008;78 UNEG Code of Conduct for Evaluation in the UN System 2007;79 Department for International Development (DFID) Ethics Principles for Research and Evaluation 2011;80 and Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Framework for Research Ethics Principles 2012.81
The evaluation team adhered to UNICEF’s Procedure for Ethical Standards in Research, Evaluation, Data Collection and Analysis (2015) and the UNICEF-Adapted UNEG Evaluation Reports Standards. This means that the evaluation team upheld the appropriate obligations of evaluators, including maintaining the independence, impartiality, credibility and accountability of the individual team members and the evaluation process as a whole. The evaluation team was not subject to any conflicts of interest and confirmed that they were able to carry out the evaluation without any undue interference.
There was no requirement for formal ethical review board approval for this evaluation because no in-person consultations or data collection with children, young people or vulnerable adults took place. The evaluation approach as outlined in the Evaluation Terms of Reference did present a rationale for community-level participation in a CPE, but due to the travel restrictions in place as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, community level engagement did not take place.
With respect to ethical approaches to managing client and evaluation participant data (applying to the content of interviews, focus group discussions and surveys), the evaluation specifically ensured the following:
• Confidentiality: participants’ anonymity was protected, and all participants were assured of the confidentiality of any information they shared; • Preventing disclosure of identity: we took appropriate measures to prevent individual data from being published or otherwise released in a form that would allow any subject’s identity to be disclosed or inferred; and • Informed consent: we obtained informed consent from all participants, and ensured that participants had the contact details of the evaluation team to withdraw or change their consent at any time. • Data security: data was kept secure on servers; once analysed, all data was anonymised. All personal data is destroyed within six months of the completion of a project. Only team members will have access to password-protected folders containing the data of the participants for the duration of the project. Raw data (for example interview transcripts) are stored in a protected folder in IOD PARC’s document sharing site on the secure server. This folder is accessible only by the evaluation team. The evaluation team and all users of the shared folders have signed confidentiality and data protection agreements.
78. United Nations Evaluation Group, Ethical Guidelines for Evaluation. 2008. http://www.unevaluation.org/documentdownload?doc_ id=102&file_id=548 79. Code of Conduct for Evaluation in the UN system. UNEG http://www.unevaluation.org/document/download/547 80. DFID Ethics Principles for Research and Evaluation. 2011. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/dfid-ethics-principles-for-re- search-and-evaluation 81. ESRC Framework for Research Ethics (FRE) 2010, updated September 2012. Economic and Social Research Council. https://esrc.ukri. org/files/funding/guidance-for-applicants/esrc-framework-for-research-ethics-2010/ FINAL REPORT 35 3. FINDINGS OF THE EVALUATION 36 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
3.1 Relevance
3.1.1 Evaluation Question 1 UNICEF’s strategic positioning
EQ1. To what extent has UNICEF’s strategic positioning remained fit-for-purpose to advance child rights for all children, considering the context?
(Context should consider children’s needs, national priorities, country and regional (Balkan) situation, and partner landscape).
Finding 1.1
The relevance of the CPD 2017–2021 was based on evidence from a substantial range of data (surveys, studies, evaluation reports etc.) with appropriate priorities set on the basis of these. The justification for programme priorities could have been further strengthened if they were informed by wider consultations with partners and children, human and child rights/gender and bottleneck analyses, and a formal evaluation of the previous country programme.
National developments and priorities have considerably informed the CP development for 2017–2021. A number of key events took place at a strategic level prior to and during the preparation of the UNICEF Albania CPD related to economic progress (being designated as an upper middle-income country – UMIC), being granted EU candidacy status in 201482 with formal approval for opening negotiations received in March 2020,83 and adopting the SDGs in 2015. The Government issued its National Strategy for Development and (European) Integration (NSDI II) 2015–2020,84 and territorial reform followed by a decentralization process with new roles and responsibilities for local governance, commenced in 2014–2015, though at the time of this evaluation these roles are still unclear.85 This landscape framed UNICEF’s partnership development and programmatic priorities with respect to central and local government partners as well as with development partners (for the latter see EQ7 and EQ 9).
Within the context of national developments and in an uncertain external environment, the CPD noted that there were no accompanying advances in children’s rights. There is reliable evidence that UNICEF’s prioritization of programmatic areas in designing the CPD was appropriately informed by the analysis available at the time. For instance, Child Rights Situation Analysis Reports conducted in the period before CPD development show the general need to improve the normative framework, enhance coordination among different stakeholders at national and subnational level, promote research and the use of reliable data to improve accountability of institutions, and to strengthen evidence-based interventions and policymaking, both at central and local levels. Additionally, the specific needs of children are highlighted in the same documents, for example in protection referral in the context of child protection, justice for children and deinstitutionalization. The situation is the same for the education and health sectors. Engagement with local government and intersectoral collaboration was another noticeable suggestion.86 UNICEF incorporated these findings appropriately into its CPD priorities.
The CO also conducted an analysis of donor priorities as part of the UNICEF COAR 2015 and alignment can be seen with UNICEF’s programme areas and its equity-focused approach in relation to reforming Albania’s system of social care services, promoting education and social inclusion of Roma, combating violence against children and ensuring children’s safety online.87 The Regional Knowledge and Leadership Agenda also indicated a focus on the
82. UN Programme of Cooperation for Sustainable Development, p. vii. 83. Council of the European Union, Conclusions 25 March 2020. https://data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/ST-7002-2020-INIT/en/pdf accessed on 24 August 2020 84. UN Programme of Cooperation for Sustainable Development, p. vii. 85. Albania EU Progress Report, 2015, p. 7. 86. See e.g. Cunninghame, C. and Hallkaj, E. (2015). Child Rights Situation Analysis Report 2012–2015, p. 49, Section on Recommen- dations; Byrne, K. (2014). Analysis of Policies and Reforms Affecting the Situation of Children in Albania. UNICEF, p. 118 Section on Recommendations and throughout the document. 87. UNICEF Albania COAR 2015, p. 12. FINAL REPORT 37
result areas of social protection, deinstitutionalization of childcare, advancement of juvenile justice, promotion of early learning and development, and support to preventive mother and child health care.88
To respond to these unmet needs, UNICEF articulated its overall goal as “to achieve, by 2021, the progressive realization of rights of all children in Albania, accompanied by the reduction of equity gaps, to be based on effective child-focused policies, systematically enforced accountabilities with adequate public resources, and strengthened respect for and protection of children’s rights”. This was to be achieved via the three country programme outcomes.89 UNICEF key informants and document review show that UNICEF Albania built its new strategy not just on a perceived gap in the realization of children’s rights, but also during the previous cycle of collaboration with the Government, CSOs and other development partners. This includes other UN agencies, under the mantle of the UNDAF and “Delivering as One” planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation mechanisms.90
This attests to the relevance and appropriateness of UNICEF’s priorities, although the Country Office did not conduct a formal evaluation of the previous programme cycle (2012–2016), which could have provided further analysis and reflections on lessons learned to inform the CPD.91 UNICEF stakeholders noted an absence of a sectoral or overall bottleneck analysis to further inform the CPD design. This may have contributed to understanding common sectoral or intersectoral bottlenecks. However, document review shows that this missing analysis is partially mitigated by the Situation Analysis of Albania (2015) and the Analysis of Policies and Reforms Affecting the Situation of Children in Albania (2014), which includes a detailed section on “Social Determinants’ Analysis”.92
Given Albania’s UMIC status, the UNICEF country programme focused more on systems’ strengthening than direct service provision, in line with general guidance for UNICEF’s programmatic approach in middle income countries.93 Thus, UNICEF has adopted an appropriate overall approach to its programming. The approach was endorsed as appropriate by evaluation respondents at both local and central levels of government.
Perspectives from wider stakeholders, however, queried the comprehensiveness of this approach with respect to ongoing unmet needs of children, a lack of government resources and insufficient prioritization of responses to these needs. Development partners and donors raised their concerns about whether UNICEF was getting the balance right between contributing to the work of the Government or practically “replacing” it (see more detailed analysis on this in EQ4 and EQ7). Even though the UN and UNICEF are preferred partners for international organizations and the EU, some external stakeholders noted that the relation of UNICEF to the EU is more of a donor-contractor type.
A Programme Strategy Note was commissioned by UNICEF in parallel to CPD development in 2015/2016. An internal audit of the Country Office for the 2016–2017 period indicates that the utility of the Strategy Note was limited, however, because of time constraints around submission of the new CPD.94 Given that programme strategy notes can help sharpen programmatic thinking and inform strategic progress and potential programming shifts, this was a missed opportunity.95 The approved country programme document diverges from the Programme Strategy Note, particularly in the results framework (discussed further under EQ2).96
UNICEF Annual Plans and Reviews attest to human rights principles being integrated into the country programme and the associated management plan, including:Alignment to national development targets and Albania’s human rights/child rights obligations;
88. UNICEF Albania COAR 2016, p. 2. 89. CPD 2017–2021, p.1 and p. 5. 90. Ibid, p. 10. 91. Country Programme Evaluations are not required for every programme cycle, particularly for smaller COs. 92. “Children Situation Analysis 2012–2015” by Save the Children, Albania; “Analysis and Reforms Affecting the Situation of Children in Albania”, 2014 by UNICEF Albania; and “Child Notice”, 2015 by UNICEF Albania 93. Issued by Division of Policy and Strategy in May 2010, in Internal Audit of Country Office in Albania, 2018, p.7. 94. UNICEF Office of Internal Audit and Investigations, 2018, Internal Audit of the Republic of Albania Country Office. 95. UNICEF Albania COAR 2017, p.12. 96. UNICEF. Guidance on Developing Strategy Notes, 2015, p.1. https://washenablingenvironment.files.wordpress.com/2016/05/unicef-guidance_programme-strategy-note-8-december-2015.pdf ac- cessed on 24 August 2020 38 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
• Emphasis on accountability of duty-bearers and democratic oversight in relation to their actual performance; • Supporting the ability of rights-holders to claim their rights; and • Highlighting inequities through disaggregated data.97
Gender equality is also mentioned in the CPD, but not based on systematic gender-related evidence and guidance for gender mainstreaming in CPDs (see EQ5).
Stakeholder consultations
There is some, but limited, evidence from key stakeholders regarding UNICEF efforts to consult with government, CSOs and development partners in its policymaking processes during the design of the country programme. A limited number of stakeholders reported that UNICEF Albania had conducted consultations with them during the design process, but the majority of them could not provide specific details of issues discussed or feedback incorporated into the final document. Still, this can be attributed also to the time passed since that period (recall bias).98 This evidence contrasts with the CPD itself, which notes that broad consultations took place during preparation. Even though central government stakeholders noted that UNICEF aligns its interventions with their priorities based on regular consultations conducted with them, evidence from the document review suggests that this is not a systematic and embedded approach towards the whole range of stakeholders – for example at the local level, CSOs, implementing partners – nor a holistic approach to the overall programme design.99
On the other hand, the majority of relevant respondents confirmed that even if they were not significantly involved in UNICEF strategic planning, UNICEF staff engages with them on implementation of activities on a regular basis with the aim of aligning interventions.100 One stakeholder noted, “it goes without saying that the UN Programme of Cooperation should definitely be aligned with national priorities, but UNICEF’s added contribution here is that children’s rights are increasingly included as an intersectoral issue in many strategic documents”.101 Overall, the evaluation evidence from key stakeholders confirms the relevance of UNICEF strategic priorities.
Rights-holder consultations
There was no documentation or respondent confirmation of any formal process of consultation with children or vulnerable communities (see EQ2 below for further analysis). Although UNICEF internal stakeholders stated that they tended to consult children on their field missions, this is a rather informal and sporadic approach, which may not necessarily result in incorporating their needs and thoughts in planning processes. A recent UNICEF report confirms that many UNICEF commissioned reports ranked “partly” on child participation.102
National and subnational relationships
The document review and interviews across different categories of stakeholders confirm that since the start of the new programme cycle 2017–2021 UNICEF’s effective strategic positioning is evident through its status as the partner of choice of the Government in supporting reforms across social protection, education, justice and child protection sectors. Most external stakeholders stated that UNICEF has aligned its work to the existing strategic/ normative framework, much of which was acknowledged as having been developed with UNICEF Albania support and initiatives. Multiple stakeholders view UNICEF’s support as the provision of highly qualified expertise of its own staff and national and international consultants to provide technical assistance in developing important strategic documents and carrying out reforms. Government respondents consistently recognized and appreciated the work of UNICEF staff and reported confidence to revert to UNICEF for advice and support.
97. See for example UNICEF Albania COAR, 2017, p.13 and Key Performance Indicators Annex, UNICEF Country Programme Manage- ment Plan 2017=2021 p.3. 98. 103 Government key informants. 99. The Annual Work Plan of 2017 included sectoral discussions with stakeholders during its development, but these did not take place in 2018 or 2019. This was also noted in the Internal Audit of the Republic of Albania Country Office, 2018 100. Government and local-level key stakeholders. 101. UN key informants. 102. Cunninghame, C. (2020). Child Rights Issues in Child–Participatory Focused Documents. UNICEF Albania. FINAL REPORT 39
An example of this can be seen during the process of decentralization, during which UNICEF collaborated with government for this programme cycle. Decentralization reform, and the related impacts on the legal and regulatory framework, aimed to empower local government, although without clarity on the definitions, duties and responsibilities of the central and local-level actors. While this reform has given increased powers to municipalities to plan and administer pre-school, social and child protection services, it has not been accompanied by the required financial transfers and mechanisms for implementation.103 Local government stakeholders confirmed that after the decentralization process of 2015 they were still not clear about their functions. They lacked the knowledge and skills in developing local Social Care Plans, and UNICEF assisted them in this process through technical expertise. The majority of stakeholders confirmed that UNICEF contributed to the development of a normative and policy framework in social protection, for example, the Social Protection Strategy 2014–2020 (and its update in 2019), and Law no 121/2016 on Social Care Services.104
Stakeholders from the education sector largely confirm that UNICEF is one of the most serious strategic partners that invested in the education system, a sector mostly targeted by small project-based NGOs. In contrast, UNICEF has a strategic approach to the education system. It has contributed to the previous Strategy on Pre-University Education 2014–2020 and its evaluation; development of the new Strategy on Education 2021–2025 – a review and assessment of the education system in Albania, which was highly appraised by key informants;105 a case study on out-of-school children; among others.106 Key informants stated that UNICEF’s focus on the most vulnerable children aligns with the strategic pillars of education strategies on inclusive education, dropout prevention, prevention of violence in schools, ongoing teacher qualifications, curricula reform, etc.107
Albania started a process of comprehensive justice reform in 2014 that addressed the long-standing deficiencies of the system in respect to independence, accountability, efficiency, and professionalization of the justice system. Focusing on justice for children, UNICEF is a key partner, as it has been investing in this sector prior to this programme cycle. At the beginning of the CP 2017–2021 the Criminal Code of Justice for Children was developed and the Justice for Children National Strategy and Action Plan (2018–2021) was formulated.108 Stakeholders from government institutions and CSOs acknowledge UNICEF’s contribution to this process.
Document reviews showed that the child protection sector was fragmented before CPD development.109 Key stakeholders confirm that UNICEF has supported the State Agency for Children’s Rights and Protection to develop the legal and policy framework; updated the law on Children’s Rights and Protection110 and other relevant sub–legal documents; and participated in the National Agenda on Children’s Rights 2017–2020. Both documents are based on the Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC). Specifically, the Law on Child Rights and Protection defines duties, institutions, structures and mechanisms to ensure respect for children’s rights by individuals, family and state. The Law also strengthened the system of child protection from violence, abuse, exploitation and neglect at central and local level.111
103. UNICEF Albania Country Office Annual Report 2019; Massey, C. Poni, M. Sammon, E. (2020). “Evaluation of UNICEF’s Contribution to the Normative Policy Framework of the Social Care Services Reform 2013–2019 in Albania”. UNICEF Albania. 104. Local government key stakeholders. 105. UNICEF and OECD, OECD Reviews of Evaluation and Assessment in Education, 2020. 106. UNICEF Out of School Children Country Solutions, Albania. 2019. 107. Government key informants. 108. See: https://www.unicef.org/albania/media/1496/file/National%20Justice%20for%20Children%20Strategy%20Eng.pdf; Result Assessment Module 2018, Output 2.3. J4C. 109. Council of Europe, Future of an Integrated Child Protection System in Albania, 2015. https://rm.coe.int/1680681ebb 110. Law no 18/2017 on “Child Rights and Protection”. 111. CRC 5th and 6th Periodic Report for Albania. 40 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
While overall there is strong evidence in relation to UNICEF’s strategic positioning, there is also, to a lesser degree, some conflicting information. On the positive side, the existing data and evidence regarding the unmet needs of children provides a good basis for UNICEF’s selection of programmatic areas. Further, UNICEF is considered a strategic and trusted partner by many national and subnational institutions. This puts them in a strong position to act as an ‘honest broker’ to guide reforms and system change.
However, the fragmentation of the child protection sector and the clear legislative/policy needs indicate a requirement to strike a balance between assisting/contributing to the needed changes and “replacing” government work, thus maintaining the ‘honest broker’ role of advocating for, facilitating and assisting in change, even where the data may suggest there is a conflict with government priorities. Systematic and formal consultations with a broad range of stakeholders could contribute to the improvement of UNICEF’s strategic positioning towards the whole landscape of stakeholders.
Finding 1.2 Strategy updates took place through annual reflections and the preparation of annual plans which did consider the context and needs. But more formalized approaches of using a Strategic Moment of Reflection or Mid-Term Review – which are typically conducted in other UNICEF Country Offices – were not implemented. The CPD may have benefited from such a formalized reflection/review exercise. This would have evidenced more clearly the rationale and justification for decision-making during the course of the programme period and helped to ensure more systematic inclusion of a wide range of stakeholders in consultations.
A review of UNICEF documentation shows that no significant (i.e. outcome level) programme adjustments were made during the period of the current CP. UNICEF Albania did not use the mechanism of a Strategic Moment of Reflection (SMR) during the period of implementation of the country programme. To address a reported increasingly difficult funding situation in 2017/2018 that was noted in the internal audit report from 2018,112 the Country Office prepared a document that set out potential programmatic adjustments in case of funding gaps.113 This document proposed a mid-term review of the country programme in 2019 as an appropriate moment to potentially revise financial planning assumptions.114 It also recommended the formulation of a fundraising strategy and an advocacy strategy that would take into consideration risks and factors mentioned in the document, both of which were developed.115 Besides these two documents, no further action took place and no mid-term review was initiated.
UNICEF internal respondents confirmed that the annual process of reflection and updating of programme strategies led to only minor adjustments, mainly to address emerging crisis-related needs. Evidence from stakeholders of other UN organizations corroborated these processes, which they noted serve as monitoring tools and opportunities for reflection by the Country Office.
Evidence from UNICEF and government informants indicates that ongoing consultations with stakeholders were held annually on a sectoral basis to reach mutual agreement for the upcoming year. Also, in the framework of DaO and UNDAF annual coordination meetings and thematic groups aimed to ensure a fine-tuning of different programmatic priorities and interventions. UNICEF key informants reported that they had the ability to be flexible within the programme in response to needs (facilitated by country office management), primarily around programme activities level; the CPD provisions at outcome-level are therefore respected. Many examples were provided to the evaluation team of specific initiatives across the programme sectors that were developed over the course of the country programme in response to emerging needs.116 UNICEF partners corroborated this, highlighting the ‘approachability’ of UNICEF Albania with respect to needs and opportunities.
112. UNICEF Office of Internal Audit and Investigations, 2018, Internal Audit of the Republic of Albania Country Office. 113. UNICEF Albania. Adjustment of programme strategies and targets, in case of substantial funding gaps, 2018. 114. Ibid, p. 5. 115. Ibid. 116. An example of this flexibility came from the education sector, where key informants indicated that UNICEF CO responded quickly to their needs for school opening after lockdown; justice sector participants also indicated UNICEF CO flexibility to respond to their needs for the infrastructure of “child-friendly interview rooms”, even though initially it was not part of UNICEF objective. FINAL REPORT 41
An important example of how UNICEF programming is responding to needs and changing contexts is the response to COVID-19. The pandemic has been a “huge game changer for education”,117 with specific issues emerging of internet access for vulnerable children and remote learning opportunities. UNICEF has sought to adjust implementation strategies to reflect the new realities of educational opportunities under the pandemic (see also Finding 4.4. on Effectiveness).
Use of new evidence to align with needs
While there is limited evidence of consultations with rights-holders at the design stage of the CPD as noted above,118 there is good primary and secondary evidence of the Country Office conducting or accessing various ongoing needs assessments. This has taken place over the course of the country programme and has incorporated the perspectives and needs of a range of stakeholders, notably with respect to the realization of child rights (see Annex 4 – Documentary Evidence). As an example, the recent evaluation of UNICEF’s contribution to the reform of social care services noted that “the intervention was adjusted to evolving national priorities: it embraced the local self-governance reform, and the corresponding new legislative environment, and was adjusted to the growing demand from government for expertise”.119
This process did miss some important global UNICEF developments that could have served as potential drivers of strategic re-positioning, however.120 Notably: UNICEF Strategic Plan 2018–2021; a paper on Theory of Change in UNICEF Strategic Plans 2018–2021; and the UNICEF Gender Action Plan 2018–2021, were all key developments that did not appear to be incorporated into planning and strategic decision-making over the CPD period.
3.1. 2 Evaluation Question 2 Implementation strategies
EQ2. Were the implementation strategies utilized relevant for the context, and the way it has evolved? Given the current context for children’s rights, to what extent should these implementation strategies be continued and/or refocused?
Finding 2.1
Initially implementation strategies were derived from the CPD, but divergence over time was not documented/ justified in subsequent planning – there is no overarching theory of change (ToC) for the CPD, and the Programme Strategy Note which included programme outcome ToCs is incomplete/unclear.
To achieve UNICEF’s programme outcomes within the component areas, a range of implementation strategies were proposed; these were described more generally within the CPD but the accompanying Programme Strategy Note provided more detail.121 This document notes the following “flagship strategies … critical for the ambition of any breakthrough achievements.”122 :
117. UNICEF key informant. 118. The CPD Programme Strategy Note cites use of “findings of the nationwide consultations with the communities, children and youth on the country’s Post-2015 Agenda”. Also, UNICEF key informants noted ‘informal’ consultations with children on specific programme elements at the time of the CPD design. 119. E Massey, C. Poni, M. Sammon, E. (2020). “Evaluation of UNICEF’s Contribution to the Normative Policy Framework of the Social Care Services Reform 2013–2019 in Albania”. UNICEF Albania. 120. For example: Albanian Demographic and Health Survey 2017/2018; Situation Analysis on Children Living with Disabilities “We all matter” (2018); Mainstreaming, Acceleration and Policy Support for Achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in Albania (2018); KAP qualitative study on “Child Marriage” (2018); UNICEF Strategic Plan 2018–2021; Paper on Theory of Change on UNICEF Strategic Plans 2018–2021; UNICEF Gender Action Plan 2018–2021. 121. UNICEF Albania, Programme Strategy Note 2017–2021. 122. Ibid, section 3, p. 23. 42 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
• Evidence generation, research and analysis to generate better quality, more disaggregated data; • Advocacy and high-level policy dialogue to create space for children’s issues in the national agenda; • Capacity building, primarily of government partners at higher-level managerial functions, (rather than trainings of frontline service providers) via “transfer of methodologies, tools and guidance, rather than directly through trainings”; and • Communication for Development targeting duty-bearers (regarding their accountabilities in relation to children) and children (with knowledge of their rights) and families (with knowledge of their rights and obligations as caregivers).
Strategies are again articulated under each programme outcome/component in the document, via narrative and individual theories of change for each of the three main programme outcomes. No overall country programme theory of change was presented as part of the CPD or the Programme Strategy Note. This would have been useful for capturing the overall vision and direction of the country programme. Importantly, theories of change are also used to guide decision-making within a programme period. The theory of change paper123 that accompanies UNICEF’s global 2018–2021 strategy may provide useful guidance for the future CPD.
The above-mentioned flagship strategies are not explicitly followed in each of the three outcome ToCs, but restated/ summarized as: advocacy and policy dialogue; convening partnerships; using Communications for Development (C4D) to influence social norms and behaviour. These high-level strategies are deconstructed into a detailed list of “implementation strategies” which are worded more akin to intermediate outcomes/outputs, for example: redesign of systems; stakeholders being empowered with skills and knowledge; data collection systems supported; surveys/ studies supported; among others.124 Thus, actual programme implementing strategies, while derived from and coherently linked to the specific outcomes within the CPD, are general in nature as articulated within the Programme Strategy Note, and intermediate outcomes/outputs have been detailed imprecisely as implementation strategies within the theories of change.
As noted in the EQ1 discussion, the Programme Strategy Note was not fully utilized and the result was that it was not updated to reflect some of the changes made to the final draft of the CPD, hence some divergence between the two documents exists. Indeed, there is inconsistency between the three programme outcomes as articulated in the CPD (strengthened governance for equity and social inclusion; protection and justice for children; programme effectiveness) and an additional outcome in the associated Programme Strategy Note (child rights monitoring and public oversight, included under outcome three – programme effectiveness) in annual reporting. Such inconsistencies should be avoided or at least clarified in foundational strategic and programmatic guidance.
Finding 2.2
Annual review processes have led to a more ‘organic’ approach to deciding on implementing strat- egies based on identified priorities. This approach has supported UNICEF to maintain its relevance although without systematically documenting or justifying its rationale for decisions.
Finding 2.3
Priority programme results areas have evolved year-on-year over the course of the country programme in response to the prevailing context in terms of perceived needs and available resources.
There is evidence of UNICEF adopting a flexible approach to both programme priorities and associated implementation strategies across the life of the CPD. Subsequent to the establishment of the CPD in 2017, the Country Office utilized annual reporting and planning processes to update the intended implementation strategies for the coming year. The strategies are articulated across both annual management plans and annual workplans (AWPs) that set out clear change strategies/activities linked to programme outcomes, the stakeholders responsible, and budgets. It is evident that the programme priority results areas over the course of the country programme have evolved each year in
123. https://www.unicef.org/about/execboard/files/2017-EB11-Theory_of_Change-2017.07.19-EN.pdf 124. UNICEF Albania, Programme Strategy Note 2017–2021, section 12 (annexes), figures 3 to 5 – theories of change for outcomes 1 to 3. FINAL REPORT 43
response to the prevailing context (needs/resources). This is a positive example of how UNICEF adapts its approaches (see Annex 6 for a comparison of priority areas year-on-year).
The reconstructed theory of change prepared by the evaluation team (see Annex 2) and validated by the Country Office and evaluation reference group summarized the range of implementation strategies articulated by the Country Office over the course of the country programme:
• Generation, validation, utilization and dissemination of knowledge; • Mobilization of technical expertise; • Identification and promotion of intersectoral cohesion opportunities; • Mainstreaming disability, gender and/or ethnicity-based exclusion; • Advocacy with government; • Raising awareness of duty-bearers/rights holders of child rights and equity-sensitive normative frameworks and services; • Learning and domesticating innovative approaches and techniques; • Mainstreaming emergency preparedness and response; • Capacity strengthening; and • Leading, convening and coordinating efforts.125
The evidence from key informants and secondary data is that most strategies are originally articulated within the CPD, were well-chosen and clearly met the context for child rights in Albania at the time of the CPD development insofar as:
• They were grounded in the published contextual analyses available at the time; • They were in line with the needs and priorities as determined by other key child rights stakeholders in Albania at the time; and • They were developed as part of a continuum of reflection and planning on the part of the Country Office.
These three determining factors were applied to Country Office programming over the course of the CP and thus choice of strategies continued to be relevant to the changing context and to UNICEF’s mandate. For example, the strategy of learning/domestication of innovative approaches and techniques (as well as dissemination of knowledge) via modelling was cited by several stakeholders as important and impactful, particularly with respect to providing a path to sustainable financing of services at municipality levels.
“They [UNICEF] brought many models, which … we contextualized and decided on the one we would use.”
Key informant (education), Government of Albania
This modelling approach was used as a low-cost method to simulate equitable, sustainable and ‘marketable’ (by local authorities to the Government) approaches to management of a range of sectors, specifically:
• Pre-school education; • Social services; • Home care: • Transformation of public residential care institutions into “family strengthening hubs”.
Modelling of the latter was cited in the 2017 CPD as showing “promising results” and successive workplans between 2017 and 2019 included it as a strategy for scaling up.
125. C4D, a central pillar of the original draft of the CPD Programme Strategy Note, was not referenced in subsequent annual manage- ment plans from 2018–2020. 44 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Finding 2.4
Programming choices and implementation strategies were well-aligned with both UNICEF’s mandate articulated in the CPD and associated plans and the priorities of key (albeit not all) stakeholders.
Respondents at municipality and central levels variously described UNICEF’s programming choices and implementation strategies as “well-aligned” (with their own and UNICEF’s mandates), “satisfactory” in terms of how approaches are structured, and confirmed that UNICEF’s approaches were, and remain, in line with the priorities established in the CPD. This external evidence triangulates well with that of UNICEF respondents, many of whom noted an ongoing process of updating and amending the above strategies to reflect priorities and needs over the course of the CP on the basis of what they perceived to be children’s needs. An example is how UNICEF’s technical expertise, capacity- strengthening, advocacy and innovation strategies have been progressively developed in the area of risks for children in online access over the course of the country programme period. While not necessarily adopted after full stakeholder consultation (as discussed under EQ1), this area of programme focus for UNICEF has been progressively refined via research across different dimensions (directly with children, among legislators, police/judiciary etc.) to shape UNICEF’s response modalities around this issue.126
In considering the Country Office’s effectiveness, EQ4 identifies a number of achievements and factors that have been key to UNICEF’s contribution to these gains. They partially map across the implementation strategies as articulated above:
• Fostering close relationships with and convening key stakeholders/decision makers at all levels; • Promoting mutual learning, working relationships and participation by all; • Support to civil society (particularly those representing minority/vulnerable groups); and • Research initiatives that highlight gaps and opportunities.
These factors are explored further under EQ4.
3.2 Effectiveness
3.2.1 Evaluation Question 3 Organizational structure
EQ3. To what extent is the organizational structure vis-à-vis programme design fit-for-purpose to deliver results for children? Could any changes be made to increase effectiveness?
Finding 3.1
Evidence indicates that the organizational structure as of 2017 was systematically planned to appropriately align with the CP and the results areas. The office restructuring, including the introduction of specific positions, was designed to fit and serve the new CPD 2017–2021 both organizationally and programmatically.
Finding 3.2 Evidence suggests the organizational structure is fit for purpose overall given the context, with some areas requiring consideration such as the ratio between permanent and temporary consultants which may have disadvantages in terms of the workload for core staff. This in turn may limit the capacity to make changes or strengthen the programme to deliver, for example, through strategic intersectoral working or embedding gender mainstreaming.
126. CSO key informants. FINAL REPORT 45
Based on the CPD, the UNICEF Programme Plan shows that the country programme proposed an organogram comprised of 20 staff members, with two new positions created.127 Several smaller changes were applied to programmatic staff positions, mainly in the title of the officer/specialist (e.g. ‘Social Protection Specialist’ to ‘Social Policy Specialist’) and reporting lines.128
Prior to this programme cycle, annual reviews starting from 2014 show that UNICEF Albania systematically and strategically planned the organizational structure for the CP 2017–2021 even before its design phase. UNICEF internal stakeholders stated that several positions were abolished or changed, to introduce more relevant expertise, and this was confirmed by document review. The development of the Country Programme Management Plan for the new cycle (2017–2021) was preceded by a review of existing office positions to assess capacities to sustain the mix of skills required to achieve the results set out by the new country programme. This assessment started in 2014 after the mid-term review the Government of Albania-UN Programme of Cooperation 2012–2016.129
Feedback from external key stakeholders was limited for this finding. Internal stakeholders confirmed that the organizational structure was adapted to the needs of the new programme. The roles of programmatic staff were intended to support the overall approach of systems strengthening and liaising with the Government to do so, the latter being influenced then (and now) by other dynamics (as mentioned in EQ 1) such as the EU accession process. A secondary role was to support the need for technical expertise for upstream policy work. Each programmatic result/output should have a staff member who was the equivalent of a highly qualified external consultant but also with a background in planning and management, and with good representational skills for liaison with their government counterparts.130 All these changes took place before the new programme cycle, so by the start of the 2017–21 CP cycle, UNICEF Albania was prepared organizationally and programmatically.
Decision-making around staffing structure
As mentioned, the organizational structure served the CP cycle 2017–2021. The CPD notes that the staffing structure brought together for the CP was founded on lessons learned and experiences from preceding phases. These included: the importance of increasing intersectoral collaboration; the need to strengthen accountability mechanisms and key performance indicators for national and subnational institutions; performance standards; formalized job descriptions; and management and monitoring tools.131 The associated Programme Management Plan 2017–2021132 added the need to upgrade the Child Protection profile and distinguish this area from Social Protection, based on consultations with external stakeholders. However, there is no evidence of this need in previous Annual Reviews, or in the CPD per se, so it is not clear what this decision was based on.
Internal UNICEF stakeholders indicated that the structure primarily addressed the need for staff to respond to UNICEF’s approach to systems strengthening. Therefore, within the internal structure programmatic staff is usually responsible for a specific sector, e.g. education, justice, health and social protection. In more detail:
• Outcome 1: Strengthened governance for equity and social inclusion. There are three programme specialists responsible for the respective outputs on health, education and social protection, besides the overall responsibility of the Deputy Representative. • Outcome 2. Protection and justice for children. Currently, there are two programme specialists, one international and one national (justice for children) and two programme officers. All three (national specialist and officers) report to the international programme specialist, who is responsible for the overall child protection portfolio.
127. These two positions were: an international child protection specialist (at P-3 level) to boost UNICEF’s programme analysis and articulation of sensitive child protection issues, based on organizational positions; and a programme officer (Harmonised Approach to Cash Transfers/HACT) to provide professional technical, operational and administrative assistance throughout the programme cycle. This would take place through the support to HACT planning, implementation of HACT activities, the review and use of HACT reports, networking and managing the inter-agency partnership. 128. UNICEF Albania Country Programme Management Plan 2017–2021, p. 5. 129. UNICEF Albania COAR 2016, p. 16. Section on Human Resources; also UNICEF Albania COAR 2014, p. 14, same section. 130. UNICEF Albania COAR 2014, p. 14. 131. UNICEF Albania CPD, pp. 4–5. 132. Albania Country Office Country Programme Management Plan 2017–2021, April 2016. 46 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
• Outcome 3: Programme effectiveness. This outcome has a programme officer for communications and a programme specialist on child rights monitoring who is responsible for the four outputs of this outcome, as well as the Deputy Representative.
Despite one of the rationales for the structure being to increase intersectoral working, the document review of Annual Working Plans and Annual Reviews and contributions of internal UNICEF stakeholders indicate that in practice there is limited intersectoral cooperation between the different target sectors of UNICEF Albania, even within the same programmatic area (see EQ8). For example, prior to 2018 there is limited evidence of more than one programmatic staff member being responsible for intersectoral results.133 Analysis of internal documentation indicates a shift in annual planning and review reports after 2018. A positive outcome of this is clearer evidence on internal collaboration, where more than one staff member was responsible for the same priority result. However, it is noted that certain staff members with a more intersectoral profile, e.g. the Child Rights Monitoring and Communications Officers, were allocated responsibility for more intersectoral priority results, adding to workloads rather than necessarily intersectoral collaboration.134 Therefore, even though intersectoral collaboration within the office structure, is emphasized in the CPD and Programme Strategy Note, the Country Office has not achieved this effectively and there is still a need to invest in this direction.
Finding 3.3 There were no significant changes to the organizational structure during the programme period. While the organizational structure remained broadly relevant to the country context, there were shifts within UNICEF globally. There is no evidence that these changes were reflected (or even considered) in country priority decision-making; and therefore, these institutional priorities appear to have had no impact on adapting the programme design and the corresponding organizational structure.
In terms of “fitness for purpose” to achieve the overall goals of the CP based on internal staff technical expertise versus that of external consultants, evidence from internal documentation indicates that UNICEF frequently outsources expertise to address internal shortfalls in capacity. Even though they are mainly lower-cost consultants (low-value per the CO nomenclature), in 2018 as many as four times more consultants than programme staff were retained (35:23 national/12 international). In 2019 the number was lower (18:8 national/10 international), but still high in comparison to permanent staff.135 In one instance a national consultant was part of the team responsible for delivering on a priority area.136 Taking into consideration that consultants may have limited authority and sense of ownership for specific results, a high reliance on consultants for delivering programme elements may place core office staff under management pressure in addition to achieving results for their portfolios. At an institutional level, the temporary nature of consultants can have a negative impact on institutional memory, which impacts also intersectoral collaboration, as in the case of gender mainstreaming. In general, permanent staff has an enhanced capacity gained over the years in intersectoral issues compared to external consultants. Issues such as these need to be considered by the CO, in particular to assess whether there are challenges to the overall effectiveness of UNICEF’s interventions. Evidence from external stakeholders triangulates with this, with informants recommending mitigation strategies such as developing long-term agreements with regional think tanks.137
Being part of the UN’s “Delivering as One” (DaO) initiative is a further responsibility which places pressure on the workloads of core staff. Albania has been one of the pilot countries for the initiative since 2007 and all evidence indicates that UNICEF has strived to uphold the UN coherence principles. However, the 2017 internal audit notes that this effort contributes to staff overburdening.138
Firstly, given that the strategic direction for the Albania CO did not substantively change since 2017, the evaluation did not expect to see any changes reflected in the organizational structure. That said, document review and evidence
133. UNICEF Annual Review Meeting, 2018. 134. UNICEF Albania Annual Work Plan, 2019. 135. UNICEF Albania Operations Team annual meeting presentations, 2018 and 2019. 136. UNICEF Annual Plan 2018, p. 8. 137. UN stakeholders. 138. UNICEF Office of Internal Audit and Investigations, 2018, Internal Audit of the Republic of Albania Country Office. FINAL REPORT 47
from internal key informants indicates that throughout the country programme period there were ongoing changes to the Country Office core team and of incumbents in positions subsequent to the organizational restructuring of 2014–2016.139 Even though the size of the core team of programmatic staff remained overall the same, and there was no structural change, the changes at managerial level impacted implementation pace and added to the burden of the core programmatic and general staff, due to inevitable differences in leadership styles and the time required for role familiarization. Positive changes in the general staffing structure were also noted, e.g. a division of the human resources and finance roles and responsibilities was welcomed by informants as it clarified roles and responsibilities.
As explained in EQ1 the Country Office did not initiate a formalized mid-term review or SMR and its activities were based mainly on annual reviews to update the CP. The same is true for the organizational structure: the evaluation did not identify any plans or reports of strategic changes in the staffing composition and structure either in document review or in responses from stakeholders. Yet during 2018 there were several important strategic changes in the external UNICEF environment. New strategies were approved by UNICEF at the global level, for example, the UNICEF Strategic Plan 2018–2021, the Gender Action Plan 2018–2021, and a new paper on Theory of Change. The latter paper on Theory of Change suggests an overarching ToC for the CP and brings updated change strategies. These included gender-responsive programming (for more information see EQ5), harnessing the power of business and markets for children, and fostering innovation for children. These were not originally included in the Albania CPD and there is no evidence that they were incorporated into CP strategic decision-making during the course of the programme cycle. Therefore, there was no rationale at country office level to reconsider the staffing structure which it may have done if these new areas had been incorporated.
3.2.2 Evaluation Question 4 Achievement of results
EQ4. To what extent were programme results achieved? What were the key factors (internal and external) influencing the achievement of results?
Evaluation question 4 (revised for clarity from the original question structure in the evaluation Terms of Reference) is expanded by two sub-questions against which five assumptions were tested. Each of the two sub-questions is treated distinctly. EQ4a looks at the realization of child rights including for the most vulnerable, and EQ4b considers the strategies that the CO implemented to improve the performance of duty-bearers. In total there are nine key findings across the two sub-questions within EQ4.
EQ4a. How has the CP contributed to the observed progress in the realization of child rights? Particularly the most vulnerable boys, girls and youth at risk of being left behind?
EQ4b. To what extent have the strategies contributed to improving the performance of government institutions/ service providers (at national and subnational/local level)?
Finding 4.1
There are strong, albeit anecdotal, perceptions among informed stakeholders that UNICEF has contributed to an improvement of the situation of children across the dimensions of social and child protection, governance and policies, and in services. Many of these improvements are reported by stakeholders to be of benefit to very vulnerable and marginalized children.
139. For example, in 2017 a new international Child Protection Specialist was appointed, in 2018 the office had a new Country Representa- tive, and the Deputy Representative position was held by four different people from 2017 to 2020. 48 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Table 2: Progress in realization of child rights reported by UNICEF stakeholders
Protection Governance Services
Improved quality of parenting skills New/improved laws and policies More inclusive education for minority groups* and norms for protection of children* Changes in attitudes towards physical Improved justice services and Improved capacity of teachers* discipline legal outcomes for children Reductions in bullying in schools Reductions in child statelessness Reduced dropouts and increased registrations in schools/preschools* Improved awareness of child rights* Improved government monitoring Minorities and children with disabilities have of child rights improved access to education* Improved awareness of the dangers Improved treatment of children in Victims of crises have better access to essential of online child abuse* contact with the law* services Increases in children making formal Improved health policies (e.g. Increased educational performance/grade complaints to justice services breastfeeding and nutrition) promotion Increases in children using informal Improved skills of child protection/social workers complaints services Reducing numbers of children in Increased numbers of children using social institutions* assistance Improved quality of online education Improved capacity of health personnel to apply standard protocols for maternal and child health and nutrition (preventive services) * Triangulated with secondary quantitative or qualitative data – see following section
The primary evidence gathered by the evaluation team from UNICEF Albania stakeholders comprising informed feedback from representatives of the Government, judiciary, civil society, national institutions and other international agencies presents a broad (albeit anecdotal) consensus of an improved situation for children within Albania as a result of UNICEF’s interventions and support.
A substantial number of evaluation informants reported benefits to children across different dimensions and different services within Albania. These informants are drawn from all stakeholder groups with which UNICEF works, including those at municipality level. The following table presents a summary of responses from interviewees on the areas where they have perceived benefits of UNICEF support and activities over the past three years.
Finding 4.2 Quantitative evidence of the outcomes of UNICEF’s initiatives on children is lacking – notably around key developmental indicators, which lack recent data. Data from youth (via U-Report) suggest that realization of rights has stalled or is not meeting expectations among young people.
It is important to note that the evidence base on which informants reported the above is largely anecdotal; only a few respondents were in a position to cite quantitative data to support their assertions. Examples of where data was available were educational performance (via PISA international education rankings), numbers of children held in detention/institutions and numbers of children accessing support services (such as telephone or online help services).
“We understood our role and what verdict we should give to the prosecution office after inspecting the mediation efforts and documents.”
Juvenile justice key informant
Other respondents provided specific examples of how UNICEF support since 2017 has improved the quality of their work in relation to children, with the understanding that improved policies, governance, services and supports are FINAL REPORT 49
leading to an improved realization of rights among children. However, the wide range of positive responses to the evaluation questions regarding UNICEF’s outcomes on children’s rights, when viewed in aggregate, is compelling evidence of progress in the realization of positive results.
Key factors identified by the evaluation that drive UNICEF’s contribution to these gains are:
• Fostering close relationships with key stakeholders and decision makers to drive policy improvements and leverage UNICEF’s convening power between different stakeholders; the central role it plays in realizing children’s rights for both government and non-government stakeholders; and its capacity to engage in dialogue with these actors and bring them together (see finding related to emergency response and finding 8.1, below); • Promoting a mutual learning approach that increases understanding and focuses on performance, working relationships and participation by all, rather than a didactic or ‘top-down’ approach (discussed under capacity- building below); • Directly funding support to poorly resourced actors, particularly civil society and minority group organizations that may otherwise struggle to address their mandate (a concern repeated by many CSO key informants); • Targeting research initiatives that highlight gaps and opportunities for future work that can be grounded in robust and recent analysis, e.g. mapping of social protection, risks to children online, child marriage analysis, etc.; and • Building relationships with levels of governance i.e. good engagement with municipalities in line with the decentralization agenda, which requires new competencies and skills among subnational leaders, but with as- yet limited guidance from central government, leading to gaps in services and responses to needs (discussed further under Sustainability, EQ7).
Key development indicators
Analysis of secondary (i.e. reported) data in relation to intended results of UNICEF’s programming provides an opportunity for more quantitative description of the extent to which results may have been achieved and a point of triangulation with the above qualitative data.
The first point of analysis is with respect to UNICEF’s targets as articulated in the CPD and associated results framework and other programme documents (including the CPD Strategic Note, notwithstanding programmatic misalignments between the CPD and Strategic Note discussed above).
An analysis of the UNICEF RAM reports from the 2017–2019 period (the time frame for which data was available) indicates that there has been very limited internal reporting on results against either baselines or targets. The table below presents a summary of reporting against indicators across the available data period (for the full analysis see Annex 9).
Table 3: Summary of UNICEF Albania results assessment module reporting against indicators
Number of Indicators Baseline Number of years reported Outcome 1: Strengthened Governance 1 year for each of 3 indicators for Equity and Social Inclusion 7 7/7 0 years for 4 indicators Outcome 2: Protection and Justice for 2 years for 2 indicators Children 5 5/5 1 year for 3 indicators Outcome 3: Programme Effectiveness 3 years for 6 indicators 2 years for 2 indicators 12 8/12 1 year for 3 indicators 0 years for 1 indicator Outcome 4: Programme Management 3 years for 3 indicators (incorporated Outcome 5 in 2019) 4 4/4 2 years for 1 indicator
While baselines values (and end-of-programme cycle targets) were established for most indicators (using nationally- available data at the time) when the CPD was established, the reporting on these indicators was limited across the 50 EVALUATION OF THE UNICEF ALBANIA PROGRAMME 2017-2021
Table 4: Selected UNICEF Albania results assessment module indicators
Indicator Baseline Target Most recent data
Share of GDP allocated for education (Outcome 1) 3.5% 5% 3.5% (2018)
Existence of a national management information system that Weak Strong Medium (5 points (2017) includes disaggregated data on nutrition (Outcome 1) (0 points) (7 points) Rate of children (age 0-17) in residential (public and non-public) 84 42 83 (2017) care per 100,000 child population (Outcome 2) Rate of children with disabilities (age 0-17) in public institutions 7 3 8 (2017) per 100,000 child population (Outcome 2) Rate of children in detention (per 100,000 population aged 14-17) 179 105 108 (2018) (Outcome 2) Of child-related valid complaints, % of complaints for which reme- 65% 70% 57% (2018) dial action taken by the People’s Advocate, annually (Outcome 2) Existence of systems/mechanisms/capacities to routinely collect, weak/ established underway analyse and publish child-rights indicators (Outcome 3) fragmented
subsequent years, presenting a challenge to the Country Office in ascribing results from its activities. Further, while baselines and targets were established during the design phase of the CPD results framework, they and subsequent reporting were not disaggregated by sex, age or vulnerability status. This undermines the ability of the Country Office to report on whether changes to child rights are realized equitably.
Those programme-related indicators for which reporting took place show limited results in terms of positive progress. The table below presents some examples of the indicators and their most recent data compared to the baseline and the indicator targets (the full dataset comparison is in Annex 9). Only two indicators (the rate of children in detention and a national management information service for nutritional data) have seen a substantive positive change, with other indicators seeing no change, or even regressing. The evaluation is careful to note that lack of recent data (i.e. 2019 or later) prevents any significant determination of a trend. There is also a challenge of attribution of changes (either positive or negative) of many of these macro-level indicators to UNICEF actions alone.
The evaluation undertook a similar analysis on secondary data from a range of publicly available administrative data sources, including several that UNICEF supported or committed to contribute to over the course of the country programme.140 The comparison of these data sources with UNICEF’s headline indicators cited in the CPD present the same challenges as UNICEF’s internal reporting, in that data are unavailable for the UNICEF indicators, or incomplete for the time period of the country programme (up to 2018 at the latest, and in many cases predating 2017) and thus cannot contribute to answering the evaluation questions. The analysis table is presented in Annex 9. Nonetheless, they present some useful data points on positive changes to the realization of children’s rights, as follows:
• Good level of children’s awareness of their rights (82 per cent of children aged 10-12);141 • Increased feelings of efficacy among youth to make Albania more democratic and more inclusive of human rights;142 • Increased confidence among youth in their ability to positively influence their future;143 • 25,000 pre-school children in four municipalities benefiting from improved teaching methodologies;144 and • Improvements in Albanian children’s learning outcomes, as measured by PISA results for mathematics, with a 2018 average of 437 points compared to 413 points in 2015.145
140. The databases reviewed were the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS, 2018), the Global Health Observatory, Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS, 2005), Social Institutions and Gender Index (SIGI), INSTAT, TransMonEE, the Survey on Income and Living Condi- tions (SILC), and the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA). 141. Save the Children (2019), “Children’s World - A National Survey of Children’s Well-Being”. 142. World Vision Albania and Kosovo, 2019, Baseline and Action Research Report: Youth Standing Up for Human Rights in Albania. 143. Ibid. 144. UNICEF Albania Annual Report, 2018. 145. UNICEF Albania Annual Report, 2019. FINAL REPORT 51
The data available from the U-Report survey conducted as part of the evaluation in July 2020 indicates that, among young people, there is a perception that realization of rights and delivery of services has stalled or is regressing (see Figure 2 below).146
As the chart illustrates, in relation to perceptions of whether authorities respect the rights of young people, more respondents felt that the situation was worsening over the past three years than any of the other categories, although only 38 per cent of respondents noted this.
Aggregated across all of the services for children and young people, most respondents felt there was no change – for better or worse). This paints a somewhat negative picture of the perceptions of the young people surveyed, over a time when progress on many policy and structural issues has been reported. Notwithstanding that much of the work of UNICEF focuses on younger age groups than those who participate in the U-Report surveys, the results of this survey triangulate with other evidence which indicates that many of the policy changes that have taken place over the past several years have yet to gain significant traction at rights-holder (i.e. community) level.147
Previous U-Report surveys conducted among youth in Albania provide some perspectives on opportunities for UNICEF for the future. Examples include:
In 2018, 92 per cent of youth agreed that a specific law on youth was required in Albania, even though youth employment, social protection and health are regulated by special laws;
• In 2019, 91 per cent of respondents felt that the quality of pre-primary school programmes needed improvement; • A follow-on poll in 2019 saw 59 per cent of respondents stating that children with economic difficulties need more support to achieve success in education. Only 9 per cent said the same for Roma/Egyptian children, 20 per cent for children with disabilities, and 13 per cent for girls in remote areas; and • A 2019 poll on online bullying indicated that 33 per cent of respondents (slightly more female than male) were victims of online bullying, mostly via social media platforms, underscoring the need for work in this area.
Figure 2: Young persons’ perspectives on rights in Albania (U-Report Survey 2020)