Chapter 5 Measurement Operational Definitions Numbers and Precision
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PSY 4960/5960 Science Vs. Pseudoscience Human Life
PSY 4960/5960 Science vs. Pseudoscience •What is science? Human Life Expectancy Why has the average human lifespan doubled over the past 200 years? 1 Quick Quiz • True or false? • Most people use only about 10% of their brain capacity • Drinking coffee is a good way to sober up after heavy drinking • Hypnosis can help us to recall things we’ve forgotten • If you’re unsure of your answer while taking a test, it’s best to stick with your initial answer Common Sense? •Look before you leap. •He who hesitates is lost. •Birds of a feather flock together. •Opposites attract. •Absence makes the heart grow fonder. •Out of sight, out of mind. • •Better safe than sorry. •Nothing ventured, nothing gained. •Two heads are better than one. •Too many cooks spoil the bthbroth. •The bigger the better. •Good things come in small packages. •Actions speak louder than words. •The pen is mightier than the sword. •Clothes make the man. •Don’t judge a book by its cover. •The more the merrier. •Two’s company, three’s a crowd. •You’re never too old to learn. •You can’t teach an old dog new tricks. Lilienfeld et al. (2007) Operational Definition • Science is – “A set of methods designed to describe and interpret observed or inferred phenomena, past or pp,resent, and aimed at building a testable body of knowledge open to rejection or confirmation.” – A toolbox of skills designed to prevent us from fooling ourselves – Learning to minimize your thinking errors – Self‐correcting Shermer (2002) 2 What Makes a Good Scientist? • Communalism –a willingness to share data • Disinterestedness –trying not to be influenced by personal or financial investments • A tiny voice saying “I might be wrong” • “Utter honesty –a kind of leaning over Merton (1942) backwards” Sagan (1995) Feynman (1988) Quick Quiz Write down the names of as many living scientists as you can, including their fields. -
Multiplication As Comparison Problems
Multiplication as Comparison Problems Draw a model and write an equation for the following: a) 3 times as many as 9 is 27 b) 40 is 4 times as many as 10 c) 21 is 3 times as many as 7 A Write equations for the following: a) three times as many as four is twelve b) twice as many as nine is eighteen c) thirty-two is four times as many as eight B Write a comparison statement for each equation: a) 3 x 7 = 21 b) 8 x 3 = 24 c) 5 x 4 = 20 ___ times as many as ___ is ___. C Write a comparison statement for each equation a) 45 = 9 x 5 b) 24 = 6 x 4 c) 18 = 2 x 9 ___ is ___ times as many as ___. ©K-5MathTeachingResources.com D Draw a model and write an equation for the following: a) 18 is 3 times as many as 6 b) 20 is 5 times as many as 4 c) 80 is 4 times as many as 20 E Write equations for the following: a) five times as many as seven is thirty-five b) twice as many as twelve is twenty-four c) four times as many as nine is thirty-six F Write a comparison statement for each equation: a) 6 x 8 = 48 b) 9 x 6 = 54 c) 8 x 7 = 56 ___ times as many as ___ is ___. G Write a comparison statement for each equation: a) 72 = 9 x 8 b) 81 = 9 x 9 c) 36 = 4 x 9 ___ is ___ times as many as ___. -
Girls' Elite 2 0 2 0 - 2 1 S E a S O N by the Numbers
GIRLS' ELITE 2 0 2 0 - 2 1 S E A S O N BY THE NUMBERS COMPARING NORMAL SEASON TO 2020-21 NORMAL 2020-21 SEASON SEASON SEASON LENGTH SEASON LENGTH 6.5 Months; Dec - Jun 6.5 Months, Split Season The 2020-21 Season will be split into two segments running from mid-September through mid-February, taking a break for the IHSA season, and then returning May through mid- June. The season length is virtually the exact same amount of time as previous years. TRAINING PROGRAM TRAINING PROGRAM 25 Weeks; 157 Hours 25 Weeks; 156 Hours The training hours for the 2020-21 season are nearly exact to last season's plan. The training hours do not include 16 additional in-house scrimmage hours on the weekends Sep-Dec. Courtney DeBolt-Slinko returns as our Technical Director. 4 new courts this season. STRENGTH PROGRAM STRENGTH PROGRAM 3 Days/Week; 72 Hours 3 Days/Week; 76 Hours Similar to the Training Time, the 2020-21 schedule will actually allow for a 4 additional hours at Oak Strength in our Sparta Science Strength & Conditioning program. These hours are in addition to the volleyball-specific Training Time. Oak Strength is expanding by 8,800 sq. ft. RECRUITING SUPPORT RECRUITING SUPPORT Full Season Enhanced Full Season In response to the recruiting challenges created by the pandemic, we are ADDING livestreaming/recording of scrimmages and scheduled in-person visits from Lauren, Mikaela or Peter. This is in addition to our normal support services throughout the season. TOURNAMENT DATES TOURNAMENT DATES 24-28 Dates; 10-12 Events TBD Dates; TBD Events We are preparing for 15 Dates/6 Events Dec-Feb. -
Season 6, Episode 4: Airstream Caravan Tukufu Zuberi
Season 6, Episode 4: Airstream Caravan Tukufu Zuberi: Our next story investigates the exotic travels of this vintage piece of Americana. In the years following World War II, Americans took to the open road in unprecedented numbers. A pioneering entrepreneur named Wally Byam seized on this wanderlust. He believed his aluminium-skinned Airstream trailers could be vehicles for change, transporting Americans to far away destinations, and to a new understanding of their place in the world. In 1959, he dreamt up an outlandish scheme: to ship 41 Airstreams half way around the globe for a 14,000-mile caravan from Cape Town to the pyramids of Egypt. Nearly 50 years later, Doug and Suzy Carr of Long Beach, California, think these fading numbers and decal may mean their vintage Airstream was part of this modern day wagon train. Suzy: We're hoping that it's one of forty-one Airstreams that went on a safari in 1959 and was photographed in front of the pyramids. Tukufu: I’m Tukufu Zuberi, and I’ve come to Long Beach to find out just how mobile this home once was. Doug: Hi, how ya doing? Tukufu: I'm fine. How are you? I’m Tukufu Zuberi. Doug: All right. I'm Doug Carr. This is my wife Suzy. Suzy: Hey, great to meet you. Welcome to Grover Beach. Tukufu: How you doing? You know, this is a real funky cool pad. Suzy: It's about as funky as it can be. Tukufu: What do you have for me? Suzy: Well, it all started with a neighbor, and he called over and said, “I believe you have a really famous trailer.” He believed that ours was one of a very few that in 1959 had gone on a safari with Wally Byam. -
Developing an Operational Definition of Intellectual Disability for the Purpose of National Health Surveillance
Developing an Operational Definition of Intellectual Disability for the Purpose of National Health Surveillance Prepared by: Alexandra Bonardi OTR/L, MHA Emily Lauer, MPH In cooperation with: Steven Staugaitis PhD Julie Bershadsky PhD Sarah Taub MS Courtney Noblett MPA November 2011 A 2010 Research Topic of Interest (RTOI): Health Surveillance of Adults with Intellectual Disability, awarded by the Association of University Centers on Disabilities (AUCD) and funded through a cooperative agreement with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) National Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities (NCBDDD) ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The RTOI Project team would like to thank all participants at the April 13th, Operational Definition of ID Summit for their clear and compelling arguments, their engaged and respectful sharing of opinion and expertise, and for their dedication to enhancing surveillance as a means to improve the health of people with an intellectual disability. A complete list of the Summit Participants and their affiliations are included in Appendix A The RTOI Project Advisory Group provided valuable input into the planning and interpretation of the outcomes from the summit: Robert Baldor, Mary Blauvelt, Val Bradley, Mike Fox, Matt Janicki, Christine Linehan, Chas Moseley, Deirdra Murphy, Susan Parish, Ismaila Ramon, Steven Staugaitis. Others who offered advice, especially Max Barrows and Karen Topper of Self Advocates Becoming Empowered (SABE) and those self advocates, family members, and researchers who committed -
Operational Definition Refinement: A
From: AAAI-92 Proceedings. Copyright ©1992, AAAI (www.aaai.org). All rights reserved. Operational definition refinement: a Jan M. iytkow Jieming Zhu obert Zembowicz Department of Computer Science Wichita State University, Wichita, KS 67208 Abstract that high quality data are obtained from a user or a simulation. In true science, however, the requests for Operational definitions link scientific attributes to ex- data are based on empirical knowledge. For instance, perimental situations, prescribing for the experimenter measurements must be made at concrete times. If a the actions and measurements needed to measure or measurement is made too early, before a reaction is control attribute values. While very important in real completed or before a measuring device stabilizes, the science, operational procedures have been neglected in results will be systematically wrong or the error may machine discovery. We argue that in the preparatory be large. If the measurements are made too late, the stage of the empirical discovery process each opera- interference of a disturbing phenomenon may cause an- tional definition must be adjusted to the experimental other systematic error. The exact timing of “too early task at hand. This is done in the interest of error re- and too late” may vary. A reaction may be completed duction and repeatability of measurements. Both small at different times for varying amounts of chemicals. error and high repeatability are instrumental in theory Similarly, the time after which a measuring device will formation. We demonstrate that operational proce- stabilize may depend on the mass added and other cir- dure refinement is a discovery process that resembles cumstances. -
Heating and Cooling and Sheet Metal Apprenticeship Information Packet
State of Connecticut Heating/Cooling & Sheet Metal Apprenticeship Information Packet 18-19 Connecticut Technical Education and Career System Connecticut State Department of Education Heating, Cooling & Sheet Metal APPRENTICESHIP INFORMATION PACKET 1 2018-19 Covering the following licenses: S-2 HEATING and COOLING S-4 HEATING MECHANIC S-6 LIMITED HEATING MECHANIC S-8 LIMITED HEATING MECHANIC S-10 LIMITED HEATING and COOLING B-2/B-4 OIL BURNER SERVICER/INSTALLER D-2 WARM AIR HEATING and COOLING D-4 REFRIGERATION MECHANIC SM-2 SHEET METAL Concerning related classroom instruction, each apprentice student is expected: To purchase the textbooks required for each course To complete all instructor assigned quizzes and exams as well as any academic reinforcement activities. Student Responsibility Enrollment and Attendance: Students are held responsible for making informed enrollment decisions and for knowledge of and compliance with CTHSS policies and procedures, current printed class schedule as well as special registration instructions which may be issued on a semester- by-semester basis. ATTENDANCE: Based on 3 hour class sessions, the following is a list of total hours in a course and the maximum number of allowed absences (by number of classes) prior to denial of credit: Total hours in Maximum Total hours in Maximum classes absences classes absences 1 - 9 0 61 - 90 3 10 - 30 1 91 - 120 4 31 - 60 2 2 Excessive tardiness and/or early departures will be addressed on an individual basis and may cause denial of credit; example being marked tardy for 3- 1 hour incidents will equate to an absence. Employers have the right to verify their employee's attendance in a program. -
Trustworthy Whole-System Provenance for the Linux Kernel
Trustworthy Whole-System Provenance for the Linux Kernel Adam Bates, Dave (Jing) Tian, Thomas Moyer Kevin R.B. Butler University of Florida MIT Lincoln Laboratory {adammbates,daveti,butler}@ufl.edu [email protected] Abstract is presently of enormous interest in a variety of dis- In a provenance-aware system, mechanisms gather parate communities including scientific data processing, and report metadata that describes the history of each ob- databases, software development, and storage [43, 53]. ject being processed on the system, allowing users to un- Provenance has also been demonstrated to be of great derstand how data objects came to exist in their present value to security by identifying malicious activity in data state. However, while past work has demonstrated the centers [5, 27, 56, 65, 66], improving Mandatory Access usefulness of provenance, less attention has been given Control (MAC) labels [45, 46, 47], and assuring regula- to securing provenance-aware systems. Provenance it- tory compliance [3]. self is a ripe attack vector, and its authenticity and in- Unfortunately, most provenance collection mecha- tegrity must be guaranteed before it can be put to use. nisms in the literature exist as fully-trusted user space We present Linux Provenance Modules (LPM), applications [28, 27, 41, 56]. Even kernel-based prove- the first general framework for the development of nance mechanisms [43, 48] and sketches for trusted provenance-aware systems. We demonstrate that LPM provenance architectures [40, 42] fall short of providing creates a trusted provenance-aware execution environ- a provenance-aware system for malicious environments. ment, collecting complete whole-system provenance The problem of whether or not to trust provenance is fur- while imposing as little as 2.7% performance overhead ther exacerbated in distributed environments, or in lay- on normal system operation. -
Numb3rs Episode Guide Episodes 001–118
Numb3rs Episode Guide Episodes 001–118 Last episode aired Friday March 12, 2010 www.cbs.com c c 2010 www.tv.com c 2010 www.cbs.com c 2010 www.redhawke.org c 2010 vitemo.com The summaries and recaps of all the Numb3rs episodes were downloaded from http://www.tv.com and http://www. cbs.com and http://www.redhawke.org and http://vitemo.com and processed through a perl program to transform them in a LATEX file, for pretty printing. So, do not blame me for errors in the text ^¨ This booklet was LATEXed on June 28, 2017 by footstep11 with create_eps_guide v0.59 Contents Season 1 1 1 Pilot ...............................................3 2 Uncertainty Principle . .5 3 Vector ..............................................7 4 Structural Corruption . .9 5 Prime Suspect . 11 6 Sabotage . 13 7 Counterfeit Reality . 15 8 Identity Crisis . 17 9 Sniper Zero . 19 10 Dirty Bomb . 21 11 Sacrifice . 23 12 Noisy Edge . 25 13 Man Hunt . 27 Season 2 29 1 Judgment Call . 31 2 Bettor or Worse . 33 3 Obsession . 37 4 Calculated Risk . 39 5 Assassin . 41 6 Soft Target . 43 7 Convergence . 45 8 In Plain Sight . 47 9 Toxin............................................... 49 10 Bones of Contention . 51 11 Scorched . 53 12 TheOG ............................................. 55 13 Double Down . 57 14 Harvest . 59 15 The Running Man . 61 16 Protest . 63 17 Mind Games . 65 18 All’s Fair . 67 19 Dark Matter . 69 20 Guns and Roses . 71 21 Rampage . 73 22 Backscatter . 75 23 Undercurrents . 77 24 Hot Shot . 81 Numb3rs Episode Guide Season 3 83 1 Spree ............................................. -
Probabilities of Outcomes and Events
Probabilities of outcomes and events Outcomes and events Probabilities are functions of events, where events can arise from one or more outcomes of an experiment or observation. To use an example from DNA sequences, if we pick a random location of DNA, the possible outcomes to observe are the letters A, C, G, T. The set of all possible outcomes is S = fA, C, G, Tg. The set of all possible outcomes is also called the sample space. Events of interest might be E1 = an A is observed, or E2 = a purine is observed. We can think of an event as a subset of the set of all possible outcomes. For example, E2 can also be described as fA; Gg. A more traditional example to use is with dice. For one roll of a die, the possible outcomes are S = f1; 2; 3; 4; 5; 6g. Events can be any subset of these. For example, the following are events for this sample space: • E1 = a 1 is rolled • E2 = a 2 is rolled • Ei = an i is rolled, where i is a particular value in f1,2,3,4,5,6g • E = an even number is rolled = f2; 4; 6g • D = an odd number is rolled = f1; 3; 5g • F = a prime number is rolled = f2; 3; 5g • G = f1; 5g where event G is the event that either a 1 or a 5 is rolled. Often events have natural descriptions, like \an odd number is rolled", but events can also be arbitrary subsets like G. Sample spaces and events can also involve more complicated descriptions. -
302Goldenrodrev7.26 Script
Goldenrod REV: 7/26/06 Green REV: 7/26/06 Yellow REV: 7/24/06 Pink REV: 7/20/06 Blue REV: 7/18/06 “Two Daughters” #302/Ep.39 Written by Ken Sanzel Directed by Alex Zakrzewski SCOTT FREE in association with CBS PARAMOUNT NETWORK TELEVISION, a division of CBS Studios. Copyright 2006 CBS Paramount Network Television. All Rights Reserved. This script is the property of CBS Paramount Network Television and may not be copied or distributed without the express written permission of CBS Paramount Network Television. This copy of the script remains the property of CBS Paramount Network Television. It may not be sold or transferred and it must be returned to CBS Paramount Network Television promptly upon demand. THE WRITING CREDITS MAY OR MAY NOT BE FINAL AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR PUBLICITY OR ADVERTISING PURPOSES WITHOUT FIRST CHECKING WITH TELEVISION LEGAL DEPARTMENT. Goldenrod REV July 26th, 2006 #302/Ep.39 “Two Daughters” GOLDENROD Revisions 7/26/2006 SCRIPT REVISION HISTORY COLOR DATE PAGES WHITE 7/14/06 (1-60) BLUE Rev 7/18/06 (1,2,3, 7,8,12,13,27,28,30,32,33 36,39,42,42A,48,49,50,53 54,55,55A) Pink Rev 7/20/06 (15,16,41,42, 42A,43,49,52,56,56A) Yellow Rev 7/24/06 (1,15,17,17A,22,24,25, 26,27,34,34A,36,44,49,52 52A,53,55,55A,57,58) Green Rev 7/26/06 (2,5,8,10,15,19,21,22, 23,24,27,28,29,31,32,32A 33,34,34A,36,38,42,42a, 44,45,49,51,54,55) Goldenrod Rev 7/26/06 (5,6,31) #302/Ep.39 “Two Daughters” GOLDENROD Revisions 7/26/2006 SET LIST INTERIORS EXTERIOR FBI PROCESSING AREA STREET BULLPEN WAR ROOM TWILIGHT MOTEL* INTERVIEW ROOM MOTEL ROOM INTERROGATION ROOM OBSERVATION ROOM DAVID & COLBY’S CAR HALLWAY TECH ROOM DON’S CAR COFFEE ROOM FBI BRIDGE MOTEL ROOM BATHROOM SUBURBAN HOUSE HOUSE CRYSTAL’S CAR GARAGE ROADBLOCK DAVID & COLBY’S CAR CALSCI CAMPUS DON’S CAR ABANDONED HOUSE HOSPITAL ROOM CORRIDOR LOBBY EPPES HOUSE LIVING ROOM CHARLIE’S OFFICE ADAM BENTON’S HOME OFFICE CRYSTAL’S CAR "TWO DAUGHTERS" TEASER BLACK BOX OPENING: 15.. -
A Brief Tour Through Provenance in Scientific Workflows and Databases
A Brief Tour through Provenance in Scientific Workflows and Databases Bertram Ludascher¨ Graduate School of Library and Information Science & National Center for Supercomputing Applications University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign [email protected] Abstract Within computer science, the term provenance has multiple meanings, due to differ- ent motivations, perspectives, and assumptions prevalent in the respective communities. This chapter provides a high-level “sightseeing tour” of some of those different notions and uses of provenance in scientific workflows and databases. Keywords: prospective provenance, retrospective provenance, lineage, provenance polynomials, why-not provenance, provenance games. Contents 1 Provenance in Art, Science, and Computation2 1.1 Transparency and Reproducibility in Science . .3 2 Provenance in Scientific Workflows4 2.1 Workflows as Prospective Provenance . .5 2.2 Retrospective Provenance from Workflow Execution Traces . .6 2.3 Models of Provenance and Scientific Workflows . .7 2.4 Relating Retrospective and Prospective Provenance . .7 3 Provenance in Databases 10 3.1 A Brief History of Database Provenance . 11 3.2 Running Example: The Three-Hop Query (thop).............. 13 3.3 The Great Unification: Provenance Semirings . 14 3.4 Unifying Why and Why-Not Provenance through Games . 15 4 Conclusions 17 A Query Rewriting for Provenance Annotations 23 1 Provenance in Art, Science, and Computation The Oxford English Dictionary (OED) defines provenance as “the place of origin or ear- liest known history of something; the beginning of something’s existence; something’s ori- gin.” Another meaning listed in the OED is “a record of ownership of a work of art or an antique, used as a guide to authenticity or quality.” In the fine arts, the importance of this notion of provenance can often be measured with hard cash.