Upper Plate Reverse Fault Reactivation and the Unclamping Of
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Seismic Rate Variations Prior to the 2010 Maule, Chile MW 8.8 Giant Megathrust Earthquake
www.nature.com/scientificreports OPEN Seismic rate variations prior to the 2010 Maule, Chile MW 8.8 giant megathrust earthquake Benoit Derode1*, Raúl Madariaga1,2 & Jaime Campos1 The MW 8.8 Maule earthquake is the largest well-recorded megathrust earthquake reported in South America. It is known to have had very few foreshocks due to its locking degree, and a strong aftershock activity. We analyze seismic activity in the area of the 27 February 2010, MW 8.8 Maule earthquake at diferent time scales from 2000 to 2019. We diferentiate the seismicity located inside the coseismic rupture zone of the main shock from that located in the areas surrounding the rupture zone. Using an original spatial and temporal method of seismic comparison, we fnd that after a period of seismic activity, the rupture zone at the plate interface experienced a long-term seismic quiescence before the main shock. Furthermore, a few days before the main shock, a set of seismic bursts of foreshocks located within the highest coseismic displacement area is observed. We show that after the main shock, the seismic rate decelerates during a period of 3 years, until reaching its initial interseismic value. We conclude that this megathrust earthquake is the consequence of various preparation stages increasing the locking degree at the plate interface and following an irregular pattern of seismic activity at large and short time scales. Giant subduction earthquakes are the result of a long-term stress localization due to the relative movement of two adjacent plates. Before a large earthquake, the interface between plates is locked and concentrates the exter- nal forces, until the rock strength becomes insufcient, initiating the sudden rupture along the plate interface. -
Foreshock Sequences and Short-Term Earthquake Predictability on East Pacific Rise Transform Faults
NATURE 3377—9/3/2005—VBICKNELL—137936 articles Foreshock sequences and short-term earthquake predictability on East Pacific Rise transform faults Jeffrey J. McGuire1, Margaret S. Boettcher2 & Thomas H. Jordan3 1Department of Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, and 2MIT-Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Joint Program, Woods Hole, Massachusetts 02543-1541, USA 3Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089-7042, USA ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................... East Pacific Rise transform faults are characterized by high slip rates (more than ten centimetres a year), predominately aseismic slip and maximum earthquake magnitudes of about 6.5. Using recordings from a hydroacoustic array deployed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, we show here that East Pacific Rise transform faults also have a low number of aftershocks and high foreshock rates compared to continental strike-slip faults. The high ratio of foreshocks to aftershocks implies that such transform-fault seismicity cannot be explained by seismic triggering models in which there is no fundamental distinction between foreshocks, mainshocks and aftershocks. The foreshock sequences on East Pacific Rise transform faults can be used to predict (retrospectively) earthquakes of magnitude 5.4 or greater, in narrow spatial and temporal windows and with a high probability gain. The predictability of such transform earthquakes is consistent with a model in which slow slip transients trigger earthquakes, enrich their low-frequency radiation and accommodate much of the aseismic plate motion. On average, before large earthquakes occur, local seismicity rates support the inference of slow slip transients, but the subject remains show a significant increase1. In continental regions, where dense controversial23. -
Estimation of a Source Model and Strong Motion Simulation for Tacna City, South Peru
Estimation of a Source Model and Strong Motion Simulation for Tacna City, South Peru Paper: Estimation of a Source Model and Strong Motion Simulation forTacnaCity,SouthPeru Nelson Pulido∗1, Shoichi Nakai∗2, Hiroaki Yamanaka∗3, Diana Calderon∗4, Zenon Aguilar∗4, and Toru Sekiguchi∗2 ∗1National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention 3-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0006, Japan E-mail: [email protected] ∗2Chiba University, Chiba, Japan ∗3Tokyo Institute of Technology, Kanagawa, Japan ∗4Universidad Nacional de Ingenier´ıa, Per´u, Lima, Per´u [Received August 18, 2014; accepted September 8, 2014] We estimate several scenarios for source models of megathrust earthquakes likely to occur on the Nazca- South American plates interface in southern Peru. To do so, we use a methodology for estimating the slip distribution of megathrust earthquakes based on an interseismic coupling (ISC) distribution model in subduction margins and on information about his- torical earthquakes. The slip model obtained from geodetic data represents large-scale features of asper- ities within the megathrust that are appropriate for simulating long-period waves and tsunami modelling. To simulate broadband frequency strong ground mo- tions, we add small scale heterogeneities to the geode- tic slip by using spatially correlated random noise dis- tributions. Using these slip models and assuming sev- eral hypocenter locations, we calculate a set of strong ground motions for southern Peru and incorporate site effects obtained from microtremors array surveys in Tacna, the southernmost city in Peru. Keywords: strong motion, source process, 1868 earth- quake, seismic hazard, South Peru Fig. 1. Slip deficit in southern Peru and northern Chile 1. -
The Megathrust Earthquake Cycle
Ocean. A little less than four years later, a similar-sized earthquake strikes the Prince William Sound area of Alaska producing a tsunami that ravages Alaska and the west coast of North America. At the time, it was clear Not My Fault: The megathrust these were very large quakes, registering 8.6 and 8.5 on earthquake cycle the Surface Wave magnitude scale, the variant of the Lori Dengler/For the Times-Standard Richter scale that was in use at the time. But only after Posted: May 24, 2017 theresearch of two more Reid award winners Aki and Kanamori (whose work would replace the Richter scale The Seismological Society of America is the world’s with seismic moment and moment magnitude) would largest organization dedicated to the study of the true size of these earthquakes Become clear. When earthquakes and their impacts on humans. The recalculated in the 70s, 1964 Alaska was upped to 9.2 Society’s highest honor is the Henry F. Reid Award and 1960 Chile Became a whopping 9.5, the largest recognizes the work that has done the most to the magnitude earthquake ever recorded on a seismograph. transform the discipline. This year’s recipient is George Plafker for his studies of great suBduction zone Both of these earthquakes occurred before plate earthquakes. tectonics, the grand unifying theory of how the outer part of the earth works, was well known or accepted. In I mentioned Dr. Plafker in my last column as a pioneer of the sixties, many earth scientists Believed great post earthquake/tsunami reconnaissance. -
Fully-Coupled Simulations of Megathrust Earthquakes and Tsunamis in the Japan Trench, Nankai Trough, and Cascadia Subduction Zone
Noname manuscript No. (will be inserted by the editor) Fully-coupled simulations of megathrust earthquakes and tsunamis in the Japan Trench, Nankai Trough, and Cascadia Subduction Zone Gabriel C. Lotto · Tamara N. Jeppson · Eric M. Dunham Abstract Subduction zone earthquakes can pro- strate that horizontal seafloor displacement is a duce significant seafloor deformation and devas- major contributor to tsunami generation in all sub- tating tsunamis. Real subduction zones display re- duction zones studied. We document how the non- markable diversity in fault geometry and struc- hydrostatic response of the ocean at short wave- ture, and accordingly exhibit a variety of styles lengths smooths the initial tsunami source relative of earthquake rupture and tsunamigenic behavior. to commonly used approach for setting tsunami We perform fully-coupled earthquake and tsunami initial conditions. Finally, we determine self-consistent simulations for three subduction zones: the Japan tsunami initial conditions by isolating tsunami waves Trench, the Nankai Trough, and the Cascadia Sub- from seismic and acoustic waves at a final sim- duction Zone. We use data from seismic surveys, ulation time and backpropagating them to their drilling expeditions, and laboratory experiments initial state using an adjoint method. We find no to construct detailed 2D models of the subduc- evidence to support claims that horizontal momen- tion zones with realistic geometry, structure, fric- tum transfer from the solid Earth to the ocean is tion, and prestress. Greater prestress and rate-and- important in tsunami generation. state friction parameters that are more velocity- weakening generally lead to enhanced slip, seafloor Keywords tsunami; megathrust earthquake; deformation, and tsunami amplitude. -
The 2014 Earthquake in Iquique, Chile: Comparison Between Local Soil Conditions and Observed Damage in the Cities of Iquique and Alto Hospicio
The 2014 Earthquake in Iquique, Chile: Comparison between Local Soil Conditions and Observed Damage in the Cities of Iquique and Alto Hospicio Alix Becerra,a) Esteban Sáez,a),b) Luis Podestá,a),b) and Felipe Leytonc) In this study, we present comparisons between the local soil conditions and the observed damage for the 1 April 2014 Iquique earthquake. Four cases in which site effects may have played a predominant role are analyzed: (1) the ZOFRI area, with damage in numerous structures; (2) the port of Iquique, in which one pier suffered large displacements; (3) the Dunas I building complex, where soil-structure interaction may have caused important structural damage; and (4) the city of Alto Hospicio, disturbed by the effects of saline soils. Geophysical characterization of the soils was in agreement with the observed damage in the first three cases, while in Alto Hospicio the earthquake damage cannot be directly related to geophysical characterization. [DOI: 10.1193/ 111014EQS188M] INTRODUCTION On 1 April 2014, a MW 8.2 earthquake occurred in northern Chile, northwest of the town of Iquique; the main shock was followed by a MW 7.7 aftershock two days later (Figure 1). The 2014 Iquique earthquake was caused by the thrust faulting between the Nazca and South America plates. The rupture area had a length of about 200 km and a hypocenter depth of 38.9 km, according to the Chilean Seismological Center earthquake report. Prior to this event, northern Chile was characterized by a seismic quiescence of 136 years (known as the “Iquique seismic gap”; Comte and Pardo 1991). -
Drilling Into Shallow Interplate Thrust Zone for Understanding of Irregular Rupturing of Megathrust
Drilling into shallow interplate thrust zone for understanding of irregular rupturing of megathrust Ryota Hino (Tohoku University) * abstract It is generally conceived that the shallowest portion of the megathrsut fault is completely aseismic and allow stable sliding during the interseismic period. However, anomalous tsunami earthquakes sporadically happen in this area, causing disproportionally large tsunami as compared to the radiated seismic energy, release large displacement at the plate boundary. It has not been well understood why and how such the anomalous earthquake occurs irregularly. Also in the rupture propagation of gigantic (M>9) earthquakes involving simultaneous rupturing of multiple asperities, the aseismic plate boundary seems to play an important role. Therefore, the mechanical properties of the most trenchward zone of the subudction plate boundary are very important for understanding mechanisms generating catastrophic earthquakes. I propose here to make long-term monitoring in deep boreholes drilled the shallowest portion of the megathrust fault to clarify how deform this area in the interseismic period. Downhole logging and seismic profiling will provide the answer to the cause of the anomalous rupture process by revealing the internal structure of the fault zone. * Research center for prediction of earthquakes and volcanic eruption Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University [email protected] 1. Introduction The occurrence of the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake (M9.1) showed that an interplate earthquake which ruptures almost entire part of a subduction system can occur, although we only know recurrence history of thrust earthquakes with sizes of M~8 in the system. Recent paleoseismological studies have revealed the occurrence of gigathrust earthquakes, much larger than M8 class megathrust earthquakes, in other subduction zones where only megathrust earthquakes have been known to occur. -
Forming a Mogi Doughnut in the Years Prior to and Immediately
RESEARCH LETTER Forming a Mogi Doughnut in the Years Prior to and 10.1029/2020GL088351 Immediately Before the 2014 M8.1 Iquique, Key Points: • Seismicity in the years prior to and Northern Chile, Earthquake immediately before the mainshock B. Schurr1 , M. Moreno2 , A. M. Tréhu3 , J. Bedford1 , J. Kummerow4,S.Li5 , form two halves of a “Mogi 1 Doughnut” surrounding the main and O. Oncken slip patch 1 2 • Mechanical asperity model predicts Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum‐GFZ, Section Lithosphere Dynamics, Potsdam, Germany, Departamento de stress increase where earthquakes Geofísica, Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile, 3College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon are observed State University, Corvallis, OR, USA, 4Department of Earth Sciences, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany, • Slip region correlates with high 5Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan interseismic locking and a circular gravity low, suggesting that the asperity is controlled by geologic structure Abstract Asperities are patches where the fault surfaces stick until they break in earthquakes. Locating asperities and understanding their causes in subduction zones is challenging because they are generally Supporting Information: located offshore. We use seismicity, interseismic and coseismic slip, and the residual gravity field to map the • Supporting Information S1 asperity responsible for the 2014 M8.1 Iquique, Chile, earthquake. For several years prior to the mainshock, seismicity occurred exclusively downdip of the asperity. Two weeks before the mainshock, a series of foreshocks first broke the upper plate then the updip rim of the asperity. This seismicity formed a ring Correspondence to: B. Schurr, around the slip patch (asperity) that later ruptured in the mainshock. -
Fault Stressing in the Overriding Plate Due to Megathrust Coupling Along the Nankai Trough, Japan
EGU2020-18393 https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-18393 EGU General Assembly 2020 © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Fault stressing in the overriding plate due to megathrust coupling along the Nankai trough, Japan Akinori Hashima1, Hiroshi Sato1, Tatsuya Ishiyama1, Andrew Freed2, and Thorsten Becker3 1Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan 2Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Purdue University, West Lafayette, USA 3Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, USA The Nankai trough has hosted ~M8 interplate earthquakes with the interval of 100-200 years. The crustal activity in southwest (SW) Japan in the overriding plate was relatively quiet after the last coupled megathrust ruptures occurred in 1944 and 1946. In the recent 20 years, however, SW Japan has experienced ~M7 earthquakes such as the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake. Similar activation of crustal earthquakes in the later stage of the megathrust earthquake cycles can be found in the historical earthquake occurrence based on paleographical studies. Such a change cannot be resolved by the probabilistic approaches, which usually rely on paleo-seismological data on longer timescales. Here, we show a deterministic way to quantify the current stressing state on the source faults due to megathrust coupling at the Nankai trough, making use of the data captured by the dense, modern geodetic network in Japan. We constructed a 3-D finite element model (FEM) around the Japanese islands including the viscoelastic feature in the asthenosphere. The geometry of plate boundary on the Philippine Sea slab is based on earthquake distributions determined by the previous studies. -
Distribution of Discrete Seismic Asperities and Aseismic Slip Along the Ecuadorian Megathrust ∗ M
Earth and Planetary Science Letters 400 (2014) 292–301 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Earth and Planetary Science Letters www.elsevier.com/locate/epsl Distribution of discrete seismic asperities and aseismic slip along the Ecuadorian megathrust ∗ M. Chlieh a, , P.A. Mothes b, J.-M. Nocquet a, P. Jarrin b, P. Charvis a, D. Cisneros c, Y. Font a, J.-Y. Collot a, J.-C. Villegas-Lanza d, F. Rolandone e, M. Vallée f, M. Regnier a, M. Segovia b, X. Martin a, H. Yepes b a Géoazur, Université Nice Sophia Antipolis, IRD, CNRS, OCA, Nice, France b Instituto Geofísico, Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Quito, Ecuador c Instituto Geográfico Militar, Quito, Ecuador d Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Lima, Peru e Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France f Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Univ. Paris Diderot, UMR 7154 CNRS, 75005 Paris, France a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: A dense GPS network deployed in Ecuador reveals a highly heterogeneous pattern of interseismic Received 16 January 2014 coupling confined in the first 35 km depth of the contact between the subducting oceanic Nazca Received in revised form 11 May 2014 plate and the North Andean Sliver. Interseismic models indicate that the coupling is weak and very Accepted 14 May 2014 shallow (0–15 km) in south Ecuador and increases northward, with maximum found in the rupture Available online xxxx areas of large (Mw > 7.0) megathrust earthquakes that occurred during the 20th century. -
A Lacuna Sísmica Do Norte Do Chile: Estado Da Arte
! ! ! ! "#$%&'!&'#!()*+')*#!&*!(*)),!&*! ! -'.$*#!/0,)'#1!-21!&*!34536! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 7.89*)#8&,&*!&*!:;'!<,%0'!=7:<>!!*!!7.89*)#8&,&*!&*!?),#@08,!=7.?>! ! ! ! ! Centro de Sismologia da USP IAG / IEE !!!!/*.$)'!&*!:8#+'0'A8,!&,!7:<!=BC2DB"">! ! ! :B:D7.?E!FG#*)9,$H)8'!:8#+'0HA8I'!&,!7.?! ! ! A lacunaJ*0,$H)8'!!&*!! sísmica55K4LK345L do! Norte do Chile: estado da arte ! "! Hans Agurto-Detzel São Paulo, 15-Setembro-2014 B05310 SCHOLZ AND CAMPOS: SEISMIC COUPLING B05310 Figure 4. The earthquake history and coupling of Chile. See text for sources of couplingScholz and Campos, 2012. data. JGR Ward [1990] as far as 400 km downdip. Because we study concluded it was fully coupled on a 20 dipping surface only the seismogenic portion of the interface, for our cal- down to 35 km depth, below which the coupling linearly culations we use the geodetic estimates of the moment. tapered to zero at 55 km. By the same reasoning as discussed Lorenzo-Martin et al. [2006] found, from GPS measure- in the Cascadia case, we take the fully locked region to be ments, that c = 0.96 for A = 110 109m2 and an assumed the seismogenic area. This boundary seems to have been G c  subduction velocity of 69 mm/yr, yielding P_ G = 7.3 F. defined by the Mw 7.7 Tocopilla earthquake of 2007, in [65] The only known preceding earthquake of size similar which its region of maximum slip was concentrated around to the 1960 event was one that occurred in 1575 [Cisternas 35 km, with some slip, possibly post-seismic, extending to 50 km depth [Bejar-Pizarro et al., 2010]. -
180-Million-Year-Old Rocks Lend Insight Into Earth's Most Powerful Earthquakes 19 December 2016
180-million-year-old rocks lend insight into Earth's most powerful earthquakes 19 December 2016 The raggedness of the ocean floors could be the However, there are many regions across the world, key to triggering some of the Earth's most powerful including in the 'Ring of Fire', where scientists earthquakes, scientists from Cardiff University would expect megathrust earthquakes to occur, but have discovered. they don't. In a new study published today in Nature The new research appears to have solved this Geoscience the team, also from Utrecht University, conundrum and therefore propose an explanation suggest that large bumps and mounds on the sea as to what triggers giant earthquakes. The team floor could be the trigger point that causes the arrived at their conclusions by examining rocks crust in the Earth's oceans to drastically slip that, through erosion and tectonic uplift, have been beneath the crust on the continent and generate a carried to the Earth's surface from depths of giant earthquake. 15-20km in an extinct fault zone in New Zealand that was once active around 180 million years ago. By studying exposed rocks from a 180-million-year- old extinct fault zone in New Zealand, the The team found that the rocks in the fault zone can researchers have shown, for the first time, that the be tens to hundreds of metres thick and can act as extremely thick oceanic and continental tectonic a sponge to soak up the pressure that builds as two plates can slide against each other without causing tectonic plates slip past each other.