Holding Companies (Overweight/Maintain)

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Holding Companies (Overweight/Maintain) Holding Companies (Overweight/Maintain) Gauging the impact of new circular shareholding ban Ban on new circular shareholdings to take effect later this month News Comment Prior to enforcement, some conglomerates might move to transfer stakes in core July 3, 2014 affiliates After enforcement, some conglomerates could opt for share repurchases or conversions to holding company structures Daewoo Securities CCo.,o., Ltd. [Holding Companies/IT 1. Ban on new circular shareholdings to take effect on July 25 th Services] Dae-ro Jeong Following the passage of the revision to the Monopoly Regulation and Fair Trade Act (MRFTA) +822-768-4160 in late 2013, the government’s ban on new cross-shareholdings between affiliates of th [email protected] conglomerates subject to cross-shareholding restrictions is set to take effect on July 25 . As large corporate groups will no longer be able to use circular shareholdings as a means to strengthen managerial control, they will likely have to find other ways to ensure control, such as share repurchases or conversions to holding company structures. (1) Ban on new cross-shareholdings In principle, affiliates belonging to a conglomerate group will be barred from: 1) making new circular equity investments and 2) acquiring additional shares to strengthen existing circular ownership structures within the group. Although the law will not be retroactively applied, the government hopes to encourage companies to gradually and voluntarily reduce their existing circular shareholdings by requiring them to publicly disclose such shareholdings. A violation of the rule could result in: 1) penalties (within 10/100 of the share purchase price), 2) restrictions on the exercise of voting rights (for every stock used to establish or strengthen circular ownership following the date on which an order of disposal was issued), or 3) criminal prosecution (up to three years in prison or up to W200mn in fines). (2) Exceptions Several exceptions will be applied in cases involving normal business activities, such as restructuring. 1) New circular equity investments that inevitably arise in the process of restructuring events (e.g., mergers, spin-offs, transfers, comprehensive swaps or transfers of shares) will be subject to a six-month grace period. (A merger between two companies within an existing circular ownership structure will be fully exempted.) 2) New circular shareholdings arising from the exercise of security rights or accord and satisfaction will also be given a six-month grace period. A rights issue (not including private placements), which causes an affiliate with existing circular shareholdings to own a larger stake than before due to unsubscribed shares of other shareholders, will be given a one-year grace period. 3) If creditors of a financially troubled company agree to allow the controlling family to provide financial aid with their own personal assets, or an affiliated shareholder to participate in a rights issue, a three-year grace period will be applied. Figure 111.1. CCCircularCircular shareholding banbanban:ban : Exceptions and violation Source: KDB Daewoo Securities Research Analysts who prepared this report are registered as research analysts in Korea but not in any other jurisdiction, including tthehe U.S. PLEASE SEE ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES & DISCLAIMERS IN APPENDIX 1 AT THE END OF REPORT. July 3, 2014 Holding Companies 2. Impact In general, circular shareholdings have allowed the controlling shareholders of conglomerates to gain control of group affiliates with relatively small stakes. However, the latest ban will make it impossible for them to take advantage of circular shareholdings as a means to cement their control. Before the law goes into effect later this month, we believe some conglomerates will take steps to transfer stakes directly tied to the control of core affiliates to other affiliates in which they have comfortable ownership. Once the law is enforced, we believe conglomerates will turn to other options to solidify their control, such as share repurchases or conversions to holding company structures. (1) Share buybacks Under current law, companies are allowed to buy back treasury shares within the amount of distributable dividends based on the balance sheet of the previous period. A company that intends to dispose of its treasury stock can choose the type, quantity, and buyer of the stock it wishes to sell upon approval from its board of directors. Therefore, once the new ban takes effect, share repurchases could be used to ward off hostile takeovers by reducing available shares and raising the potential price of a merger. At the same time, companies could sell repurchased shares to a friendly third party to strengthen control. (2) Conversion to holding company structure The ban on new circular shareholdings could also motivate controlling shareholders of conglomerates to adopt holding company structures as a way to cement their control over their respective groups without spending additional money. Most companies that transitioned into holding companies did so by spinning off subsidiaries and then acquiring stakes in subsidiaries via tender offer. This approach has proved to be a very effective way for holding companies to increase stakes in subsidiaries, as well as for controlling shareholders to raise stakes in holding companies. Given the current convoluted ownership structures of most conglomerates, controlling shareholders would have to go through highly complicated processes to transfer their ownership to their chosen successors. We believe transitioning to a holding company structure is also a more appealing option from the perspective of ownership succession, as controlling shareholders could effectively transfer ownership by handing over their stake in the holding company. Table 111.1. Current status of circular shareholdishareholdingngngngss of Samsung and Hyundai Motor gggroupgrouprouproupssss Details 1) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →4.8% C&T →1.5% Everland 2) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →7.6% SEC →19.5% SDI →7.4% C&T →1.5% Everland 3) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →4.8% C&T →4.1% SEC →19.5% SDI →8.0% Everland 4) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →4.8% C&T →4.1% SEC →23.7% SEMCO →4.0% Everland 5) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →34.4% Card →5.0% Everland 6) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →4.8% C&T →4.1% SEC →37.5% Card →5.0% Everland Samsung GroupGroupGroup 7) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →7.6% SEC →37.5% Card →5.0% Everland 8) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →34.4% Card →1.6% SDI →8.0% Everland 9) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →4.8% C&T →4.1% SEC →37.5% Card →1.6% SDI →8.0% Everland 10) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →1.3% SEC →23.7% SEMCO →4.0% Everland 11) Everland →19.3% Samsung Life →15.0% F&M →1.3% SEC →19.5% SDI →7.4% C&T →1.5% Everland 12) SEC →19.5% SDI →7.4% C&T →4.1% SEC 1) Hyundai Mobis →20.8% Hyundai Motor →33.9% Kia Motors →16.9% Hyundai Mobis Hyundai Motor GroupGroupGroup 2) Hyundai Mobis →20.8% Hyundai Motor →4.9% Hyundai Glovis →0.7% Hyundai Mobis 3) Hyundai Mobis →20.8% Hyundai Motor →33.9% Kia Motors →19.8% Hyundai Steel →5.7% Hyundai Mobis Source: DART, KDB Daewoo Securities Research KDB Daewoo Securities Research 2 July 3, 2014 Holding Companies APPENDIX 1 Important Disclosures & Disclaimers Analyst Certification The research analysts who prepared this report (the “Analysts”) are registered with the Korea Financial Investment Association and are subject to Korean securities regulations. They are neither registered as research analysts in any other jurisdiction nor subject to the laws and regulations thereof. Opinions expressed in this publication about the subject securities and companies accurately reflect the personal views of the Analysts primarily responsible for this report. Daewoo Securities Co., Ltd. policy prohibits its Analysts and members of their households from owning securities of any company in the Analyst’s area of coverage, and the Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or advisory board member of the subject companies. Except as otherwise specified herein, the Analysts have not received any compensation or any other benefits from the subject companies in the past 12 months and have not been promised the same in connection with this report. No part of the compensation of the Analysts was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this report but, like all employees of Daewoo Securities, the Analysts receive compensation that is impacted by overall firm profitability, which includes revenues from, among other business units, the institutional equities, investment banking, proprietary trading and private client division. At the time of publication of this report, the Analysts do not know or have reason to know of any actual, material conflict of interest of the Analyst or Daewoo Securities Co., Ltd. except as otherwise stated herein. Disclaimers This report is published by Daewoo Securities Co., Ltd. (“Daewoo”), a broker-dealer registered in the Republic of Korea and a member of the Korea Exchange. Information and opinions contained herein have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith, but such information has not been independently verified and Daewoo makes no guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein or of any translation into English from the Korean language. If this report is an English translation of a report prepared in the Korean language, the original Korean language report may have been made available to investors in advance of this report. Daewoo, its affiliates and their directors, officers, employees and agents do not accept any liability for any loss arising from the use hereof.
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