Witham Catchment Flood Map Improvements – Phase 2 Lower Witham: Volume 1 - Modelling and Flood Mapping Report

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Witham Catchment Flood Map Improvements – Phase 2 Lower Witham: Volume 1 - Modelling and Flood Mapping Report Witham Catchment Flood Map Improvements – Phase 2 Lower Witham: Volume 1 - Modelling and Flood Mapping Report Environment Agency – Commission No. AN769 30th October 2009 Prepared by: ................................................ Checked by: ................................................. Andrew Heath-Brown John Higginbottom Modeller Principal Modeller Approved by: ................................................ Andy Yarde Regional Director Witham Catchment Flood Map Improvements Rev Comments Checked Approved Date No by by 1 Draft version for Environment Agency review JAH AJY 28/09/09 2 Final Issue JAH AJY 30/10/09 5th Floor, 2 City Walk, Leeds, LS11 9AR Telephone: 0113 391 6800 Fax: 0113 391 6899 Website: http://www.aecom.com Job No 60045419 Reference Date Created 19 th June 2009 This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited (“AECOM”) for the sole use of our client (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. No third party may rely upon this document without the prior and express written agreement of AECOM. f:\projects\rivers & coastal - wicsm phase 3\m004 - lower witham\reports\final report - revision 2 - final\vol1 - modelling report\re02 - jun09_lower witham_vol 1_modelling_mapping_report_rev2(final).doc Table of Contents 1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 4 PROJECT BACKGROUND ............................................................................................... 4 LOWER WITHAM CATCHMENT DESCRIPTION ............................................................ 5 SCOPE OF STUDY & KEY OUTPUTS ............................................................................ 7 2 Hydrology ....................................................................................................................... 12 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 12 HYDROLOGICAL MODELLING ..................................................................................... 12 IWRS INFLOW BOUNDARIES ....................................................................................... 23 3 Defended Model Development ..................................................................................... 28 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 28 MODELLING SOFTWARE .............................................................................................. 28 MODELLING APPROACH .............................................................................................. 29 TOPOGRAPHIC DATA ................................................................................................... 29 REPRESENTATION OF FLOODPLAINS ....................................................................... 31 2D FLOW MODELLING .................................................................................................. 35 DOWNSTREAM BOUNDARY ........................................................................................ 39 HYDRAULIC CONTROL STRUCTURES ....................................................................... 41 DESIGN RUNS ............................................................................................................... 43 4 Flood Mapping ............................................................................................................... 48 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 48 INFOWORKS RS FLOOD MAPPING SET-UP ............................................................... 48 FLOOD EXTENT GENERATION .................................................................................... 48 MANUAL EDITING OF FLOOD EXTENTS .................................................................... 49 QUALITY ASSURANCE CHECKING ............................................................................. 52 KNOWN ISSUES WITH THE FLOOD MAPPING ........................................................... 52 5 Sensitivity Analysis ...................................................................................................... 56 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 56 MODEL SET-UP ............................................................................................................. 56 SIMULATIONS AND RESULTS...................................................................................... 56 6 Standard of Protection Analysis ................................................................................. 62 INDICATIVE STANDARD OF PROTECTION ................................................................ 62 CURRENT BANK TOP ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITY ................................. 63 FREEBOARD ANALYSIS ............................................................................................... 63 7 Conclusions ................................................................................................................... 68 SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................... 68 RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................................................... 69 CONCLUSIONS .............................................................................................................. 70 Appendix A – Barlings Eau Pre-Feasibility ............................................................................. 74 Appendix B - Lower Witham Peak Flows - Defended ............................................................ 90 Appendix C - Lower Witham Peak Water Levels - Defended ................................................ 92 Appendix D - Lower Witham Long Sections - Defended ....................................................... 94 Appendix E - Lower Witham Sensitivity Analysis – Defended ............................................. 96 Appendix F - Lower Witham Freeboard AEP & SoP Analysis – Defended .......................... 98 Introduction This page is left blank intentionally AECOM Witham Catchment Flood Map Improvements – Phase 2 4 1 Introduction PROJECT BACKGROUND 1.1 AECOM (formerly Faber Maunsell) was commissioned by the Environment Agency – Anglian Region to undertake a series of studies to determine flood map improvements and map areas benefiting from defences for the River Witham catchment. Phase 2 of the Witham Flood Map Improvements (FMI) project is concerned with the Lower Witham catchment (watercourses downstream of Lincoln), including the River Bain, Barlings Eau/Stainfield Beck, River Slea and South Forty Foot sub-catchments. This report documents the methodology for determination of flood map improvements in the Lower Witham catchment, excluding the River Bain 1 and South Forty-Foot sub-catchments which were modelled and mapped separately. 1.2 An existing InfoWorks RS (IWRS) hydraulic model of the Lower Witham was constructed previously by Faber Maunsell under the Witham Catchment Strategic Model (WiCSM) commission. This model build included all Environment Agency main river channels in the Lower Witham catchment, including the Barlings Eau, Stainfield Beck and River Slea. The model was calibrated to the November 2000 and February 2001 events. 1.3 This report explains the methodology and approach undertaken in order to develop the Lower Witham WiCSM parent model for the purposes of producing improved flood outlines. The development of the model involved three key elements: Development of design hydrology for a suite of return periods up to the 0.1% AEP event; Development of the hydraulic model to contain all flow up to the 0.1% AEP event plus climate change; Development of the flood mapping model within IWRS. 1.4 The development of the design flood hydrology used in the hydraulic modelling was undertaken at the start of the project, and an interim hydrology report was issued to the Environment Agency for approval. This report (Volume 1) provides a summary of the design flood hydrology, whilst the full interim hydrology report has been finalised to form Volume 2. 1.5 As well as flood map improvements, the scope of work for the Lower Witham study included a summer sensitivity analysis, freeboard analysis, standard of protection assessment and a preliminary hydraulic analysis for a pre-feasibility study in the Barlings Eau catchment. The sensitivity analyses, standard of protection assessment and freeboard analysis are presented in this document. The preliminary analysis for the pre-feasibility study was originally presented to the Environment Agency as an interim technical note in April 2009. A copy of this technical note is included in Appendix A of this report. 1.6 It should be noted that the flood mapping produced by this study downstream of Coningsby supersedes the mapping produced for this area by the River Bain Flood Map Improvements study. This is because the latter did not fully account for the interaction between the Lower Witham floodplains and the River Bain, and the fact that more accurate 2D modelling of flow paths was undertaken in
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