Gold Coast City Freight Network Study
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FNQROC Regional Roads Investment Strategy FNQROC Regional Roads and Transport Group 25 July 2019 Agenda u FNQROC network profile u Tourism routes u Heavy vehicle routes u First and Last Mile FNQROC network profile u Being continually updated as analyses are completed u Designed to enable validity checks u Developing LRRS network of 100 metre segments (only 31% surveyed by ARRB, but did not include widths) u Predominantly relying on data provided by LGs (varying formats and availability) Tourism routes u Objective: § Assess the impacts of induced visitation (tourism) as a result of route upgrades u Key tasks § Assess the wider strategic context and economic value of tourism § Tourist demand for each route (n.b. routes overlap) § Estimate the economic value of each route § Estimate the impacts of potential upgrades § Engagement with tourism organisations Tourism routes Strategic context u Planning Strategies (3), LG Planning Schemes (13), Tourism Strategies (5) and Transport Strategies (3) § Tourist activities concentrated along the coast but a growing outback and adventure tourism industry which caters to the drive tourism market § Resilient transport infrastructure to ensure connectivity across the region is identified as essential if FNQ is to have sustainable economic growth and development § Tourism development must be undertaken in a way and in locations that ensures the development does not detract from environmental values, scenic values, coastal 5 values and town/village character Tourism routes Strategic context u Road investment issues and opportunities § improve rest areas to better cater for tourist needs § better promotion and signage of major tourism routes, including digital in-vehicle signage § improving access and facilities for caravan and camping § the interactions between self-drive tourists and road freight movements, particularly on Type 2 roadtrain routes § poor or non-existent mobile communication § insufficient education on how to travel through the outback for tourists 6 Tourism routes Economic value Tropical North Qld FNQROC Queensland All Regions - GVA FNQROC tourism GVA ($m) $1,800 120% Brisbane $1,600 Gold Coast 100% $1,400 Tropical North Queensland $1,200 80% Sunshine Coast $1,000 Central Queensland 60% Darling Downs $800 Northern $600 40% $400 Whitsundays 20% Fraser Coast $200 Mackay $0 0% FNQROC Cairns Cook Cassowary Douglas Tablelands Mareeba Remaining Outback Coast Councils Bundaberg 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% FNQROC tourism GVA % of FNQROC tourism GVA Queensland All Regions - tourism employment Tourism Employment (total) 12,000 80% Brisbane 70% Gold Coast 10,000 Tropical North Queensland 60% 8,000 Sunshine Coast 50% Central Queensland 6,000 40% Darling Downs 30% Northern 4,000 20% Whitsundays 2,000 10% Fraser Coast Mackay 0 7 0% FNQROC Cairns Cook Cassowary Douglas Tablelands Mareeba Remaining Outback Coast Councils Bundaberg 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Direct Indirect % of FNQROC total tourism employment Tourism routes Economic value - FNQROC Average spend per trip ($) Average spend per night ($) $1,600 $300 $1,400 $250 $1,200 $1,000 $200 $800 $150 $600 $400 $100 $200 $0 $50 Cairns Cassowary Cook Douglas Mareeba Tablelands Weighted $0 Coast average Cairns Cassowary Cook Douglas Mareeba Tablelands Weighted Coast average International Domestic Overnight Domestic Day International/domestic overnight International Domestic Overnight International/domestic overnight Average stay (nights) 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Cairns Cassowary Cook Douglas Mareeba Tablelands Weighted Coast average International Domestic Overnight International/domestic overnight Tourism routes Economic value of each route Route Route expenditure u Estimate each LG’s tourism AADT by dividing Canecutter Way $ 32.77 m Chillagoe Discovery Trail $ 33.72 m person nights by an annualisation factor and Cooktown Discovery Trail $ 5.22 m Daintree Explorer $ 41.80 m vehicle occupancy Danbulla Tinaroo Falls $ 3.64 m Epic Cape York $ 154.27 m § Assumes demand is constant Great Green Way $ 87.68 m Great Tropical Drive $ 232.33 m § Vehicle occupancy is assumed Hinchinbrook Discovery Trail $ 20.23 m Longlands Gap Road $ 1.16 m Malanda - Atherton Road $ 1.30 m § All self-drive expenditure is on tourism routes O'Brien's Creek Road $ 0.64 m Ravenshoe to Georgetown $ 16.49 m u Reef to Rainforest $ 108.87 m Estimate each route’s expenditure and AADT Savannah Way $ 78.89 m Tully Falls Road $ 2.90 m § Calculate each route’s distance within each Tully to Mission Beach Discovery $ 14.60 m Waterfalls Discovery Trail $ 114.80 m LG Total $ 951.33 m § Combine distances to align LGs with TRA data and calculate proportions § Apply proportions to each LGs expenditures § Apply proportions to each council’s estimated tourism AADT Tourism routes Economic value of each route u Validating the results § LG crossover on the SCR network u A route’s tourism AADT within each LG is compared to the weighted average AADT on that route within the same local government area (AADT on each road section weighted by the road section length) § SA2 crossover on the SCR network u Identify the AADT travelling on the SCR between SA2s u Remove work-related trips from each crossing’s AADT § Both methods showed occasional instances of notable under and overestimation 10 u Vehicle occupancy rates change along routes Tourism routes Impacts of upgrades u Literature review § New Zealand unsealed roads, Strzelecki Track, Central Arnhem Road, Grampians Way Ring Road, Karratha to Tom Price Road, Eildon- Jamieson Road, Bogong High Plains, Road Mansfield-Wangaratta Link u Data analysis Infrastructure improvements Road Paving and sealing of existing unsealed routes · Mulligan Highway (2000 – 2006) · Peninsula Dev. Rd (multiple locations since 2006 with 2014 onwards delivered as part of CYRP) · Burke Dev. Rd (Chillagoe, ~ 2011) Widening of existing narrow sealed routes · Kennedy Dev. Rd (Cadell Ck, ~2013) · Gregory Dev. Rd (south of Kennedy Dev Rd interchange, ~2012) Widening of causeways, culverts and bridges · Gulf Dev. Rd (Einasleigh River, ~ 2011) · Kennedy Highway (Innot Hot Springs, ~ 2015) Upgraded flood immunity to causeways, culverts, bridges · Mareeba, Burke Developmental Road, ~ 2010) Signage upgrades to improve wayfinding · Mossman-Mt Molloy Rd Int, Mulligan Hwy, constructed ~ 2013 11 Upgrading the signage relating to the flooding of the route · Bluewater rest area, Bruce Highway, constructed ~2013 Causeway/culvert/bridge widening Peninsula Dev. Rd (multiple locations, 2014 onwards) Tourism routes 1000 400 200 500 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Impacts of 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 500m North of turnoff to Laura upgrades Gulf Dev. Rd (Einasleigh River, ~ 2011) Kendle River - Pennin. Dev. Rd.(90C) Kennedy Highway (Innot Hot Springs, ~ 2015) North of Coen Aerodrome Lakeland, 500m South of Cooktown turnoff (110028) Improved flooding signage (Mossman-Mt Molloy Rd Interchange, Mulligan Hwy, ~ 2013) 450 80% 1500 400 1000 60% 500 350 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 300 40% Mt.Molloy-100m East of Peninsula Dev.Rd. Luster Creek 250 20% 200 150 0% Widening of existing narrow sealed routes 100 200 -20% 150 50 100 50 0 -40% 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Kennedy Dev. Rd (Cadell Ck, ~2013) Lakeland, 500m South of Cooktown turnoff (110028) Annual growth % Gregory Dev. Rd (south of Kennedy Dev Rd interchange, ~2012) Additional rest areas/stopping bays (Bluewater, Bruce Improved wayfinding signage (Mareeba, Burke Dev. Rd, ~ Burke Dev. Rd (Chillagoe, ~ 2011) Highway, ~2013) 2010) 150 10000 15000 100 5000 10000 50 0 5000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 12 0 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 10M Waterview Creek, Ingham 100m Sth Bluewater Creek Bridge 10M WiM Site Leichhardt Creek 100m south of Herberton Street Arriga Coverage site 100m west of Mungana Stockyards Tourism routes Economic impacts of upgrades u Mulligan Highway suggests a compound annual growth rate of 2% can be applied to a completely sealed route u Two growth scenarios - low growth 2%, high growth 5% u Represents increased tourism expenditure only Route Low growth scenario increase High growth scenario increase Canecutter Way - - Chillagoe Discovery Trail $ 0.36 m $ 0.91 m Cooktown Discovery Trail $ 0.10 m $ 0.26 m Daintree Explorer - - Danbulla Tinaroo Falls - - Epic Cape York $ 0.67 m $ 1.66 m Great Green Way - - Great Tropical Drive - - Hinchinbrook Discovery Trail - - Longlands Gap Road - - Malanda - Atherton Road - - O'Brien's Creek Road - - Ravenshoe to Georgetown $ 0.17 m $ 0.41 m Reef to Rainforest - - Savannah Way $ 0.50 m $ 1.26 m Tully Falls Road - - 13 Tully to Mission Beach Discovery - - Waterfalls Discovery Trail - - Total $ 1.80 m $ 4.50 m Tourism routes Engagement with tourism organisations u Road sealing is the main infrastructure improvement to promote tourism growth u Targeted sealing of particular roads would encourage visitors across multiple routes Cooktown Great Chillagoe Daintree Epic Cape Savannah Road Discovery Tropical Discovery Explorer York Way Trail Drive Trail Burketown Normanton road l Burke Development Road l l Kennedy Highway l l Wills Developmental Road l Nardoo Burketown Road l Peninsula Developmental l l l l Road Battlecamp Road l l Bloomfield Road l l l Palmerville Road Lakefield Road l l Marina Plains Road l Portland Road l Cape Tribulation Road l l l Bloomfield Track l l l 14 Shiptons Flat Road l l l Rossville Bloomfield Road l l l Heavy vehicle routes and First and Last Mile u Objective § Assess the fitness-for-purpose the current HV network, identifying any dimensional/structural deficiencies/bottlenecks in the current network § Analyse the current network identifying those parts of the network vulnerable to growth expected through 2040 § Consider opportunities for shorter HV routings not considered by the Heavy Vehicle Network/FNQ Regional Transport Plan (TMR) § Provide a first and last mile freight assessment considering the movement of heavy vehicle freight on the FNQ local road network, from and to major freight source points HV Routes/Last Mile Freight generation - Population growth Forecast annual pop.