OUTLOOK PARKINSON’S DISEASE

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Parkison’s disease AFTER KATRINA Disasters widen rich–poor divide

THE OF SCIENCE Psychiatric disorders made simple MULTIPLE EXCITONS Three’s company, four’s a crowd no.7310

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The

Martin A. Nowak1, Corina E. Tarnita1 & Edward O. Wilson2

Eusociality, in which some individuals reduce their own lifetime reproductive potential to raise the offspring of others, underlies the most advanced forms of social organization and the ecologically dominant role of social and . For the past four decades theory, based on the concept of inclusive , has been the major theoretical attempt to explain the evolution of eusociality. Here we show the limitations of this approach. We argue that standard natural selection theory in the context of precise models of population structure represents a simpler and superior approach, allows the evaluation of multiple competing hypotheses, and provides an exact framework for interpreting empirical observations.

or most of the past half century, much of sociobiological greater than two times the cost to the altruist (R 5 1/2) or eight times theory has focused on the phenomenon called eusociality, in the case of a first cousin (R 5 1/8). where adult members are divided into reproductive and (par- Due to its originality and seeming explanatory power, kin selection F tially) non-reproductive castes and the latter care for the came to be widely accepted as a cornerstone of sociobiological theory. young. How can genetically prescribed selfless behaviour arise by Yet it was not the concept itself in its abstract form that first earned natural selection, which is seemingly its antithesis? This problem favour, but the consequence suggested by Hamilton that came to has vexed biologists since Darwin, who in The Origin of be called the ‘‘haplodiploid hypothesis.’’ is the - declared the paradox—in particular displayed by —to be the determining mechanism in which fertilized become , and most important challenge to his theory. The solution offered by the unfertilized eggs males. As a result, sisters are more closely related to master naturalist was to regard the sterile worker caste as a ‘‘well- one another (R 5 3/4) than daughters are to their mothers (R 5 1/2). flavoured vegetable’’, and the queen as the plant that produced it. Haplodiploidy happens to be the method of sex determination in the Thus, he said, the whole is the unit of selection. , the order of ants, and . Therefore, colonies Modern students of collateral have followed Darwin in of altruistic individuals might, due to kin selection, evolve more continuing to focus on ants, honeybees and other eusocial insects, frequently in hymenopterans than in that have diplodiploid because the colonies of mostof their species are divided unambiguously sex determination. into different castes. Moreover, eusociality is not a marginal pheno- In the 1960s and 1970s, almost all the clades known to have evolved menon in the living world. The biomass of ants alone composes more eusociality were in the Hymenoptera. Thus the haplodiploid hypo- than half that of all insects and exceeds that of all terrestrial nonhuman thesis seemed to be supported, at least at first. The belief that haplo- vertebrates combined1. Humans, which can be loosely characterized diploidy and eusociality are causally linked became standard textbook as eusocial2, are dominant among the land vertebrates. The ‘super- fare. The reasoning seemed compelling and even Newtonian in con- cept, travelling in logical steps from a general principle to a widely organisms’ emerging from eusociality are often bizarre in their consti- 4,5 tution, and represent a distinct level of biological organization (Fig. 1). distributed evolutionary outcome . It lent credence to a rapidly developing superstructure of sociobiological theory based on the pre- Rise and fall of theory sumed key role of kin selection. By the 1990s, however, the haplodiploid hypothesis began to fail. For the past four decades, kin selection theory has had a profound The had never fitted this model of explanation. Then more effect on the interpretation of the genetic evolution of eusociality eusocial species were discovered that use diplodiploid rather than and, by extension, of social behaviour in general. The defining feature haplodiploid sex determination. They included a species of platypo- of kin selection theory is the concept of inclusive fitness. When did ambrosia , several independent lines of - evaluating an action, inclusive fitness is defined as the sum of the dwelling (Fig. 2) and bathyergid mole rats. The association effect of this action on the actor’s own fitness and on the fitness of the between haplodiploidy and eusociality fell below statistical signifi- recipient multiplied by the relatedness between actor and recipient, cance. As a result the haplodiploid hypothesis was in time abandoned where ‘recipient’ refers to anyone whose fitness is modified by the by researchers on social insects6–8. action. Although the failure of the hypothesis was not by itself considered The idea was first stated by J. B. S. Haldane in 1955, and a foundation fatal to inclusive fitness theory, additional kinds of evidence began to of a full theory3 was laid out by W. D. Hamilton in 1964. The pivotal accumulate that were unfavourable to the basic idea that relatedness is idea expressed by both writers was formalized by Hamilton as the a driving force for the emergence of eusociality. One is the rarity of inequality R . c/b, meaning that cooperation is favoured by natural eusociality in evolution, and its odd distribution through the selection if relatedness is greater than the cost to benefit ratio. The Kingdom. Vast numbers of living species, spread across the major relatedness parameter R was originally expressed as the fraction of the taxonomic groups, use either haplodiploid sex determination or clonal shared between the altruist and the recipient due to their com- , with the latter yielding the highest possible degree of mon descent, hence the likelihood the altruistic will be shared. For pedigree relatedness, yet with only one major group, the -making example, altruism will evolve if the benefit to a brother or sister is , known to have achieved eusociality. For example, among the

1Program for Evolutionary Dynamics, Department of Mathematics, Department of Organismic and , Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA. 2Museum of Comparative , Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA. 1057 ©2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved ANALYSIS NATURE Vol 466 26 August 2010 j j

a b

c

Figure 2 | Species on either side of the eusociality threshold. a, A colony of a primitively eusocial Synalpheus snapping shrimp, occupying a cavity excavated in a sponge. The large queen (reproductive member) is supported by her of workers, one of whom guards the entrance (from Duffy59). b, A colony of the primitively eusocial halictid duplex, which has excavated a nest in the soil (from Sakagami and Hayashida60). c, Adult erotylid beetles of the Pselaphacus leading their 9 Figure 1 | The ultimate . The gigantic queens of the larvae to fungal food (from Costa ); this level of is widespread leafcutter ants, one of whom (upper panel) is shown here, attended by some among insects and other , but has never been known to give rise of her millions of daughter workers. Differences in size and labour to eusociality. These three examples illustrate the principle that the origin of specialization allows to cut and gather leaf fragments (middle eusociality requires the pre- of a constructed and guarded nest panel), and convert the fragments into gardens to grow fungi (lower panel). site. The species shown are respectively, top to bottom, Atta vollenweideri, Atta selection or, for eusocial insects in particular, through between- sexdens and Atta cephalotes. (Photos by Bert Ho¨lldobler.) colony selection. During its long history, inclusive fitness theory has stimulated 70,000 or so known parasitoid and other apocritan Hymenoptera, all countless measures of pedigree and made them routine in of which are haplodiploid, no eusocial species has been found. Nor has . It has supplied hypothetical explanations of phenomena a single example come to light from among the 4,000 known hymeno- such as the perturbations of colony investment ratios in male and pteran and horntails, even though their larvae often form reproductives, and conflict and resolution of conflict among dense, cooperative aggregations6,9. colony members. It has stimulated many correlative studies in the field It has further turned out that selection forces exist in groups that and laboratory that indirectly suggest the influence of kin selection. diminish the advantage of close collateral kinship. They include the Yet, considering its position for four decades as the dominant favouring of raised genetic variability by colony-level selection in the paradigm in the theoretical study of eusociality, the production of ants Pogonomyrmex occidentalis10 and echinatior11— inclusive fitness theory must be considered meagre. During the same due, at least in the latter, to disease resistance. The contribution of period, in contrast, empirical research on eusocial organisms has to disease resistance at the colony level has moreover flourished, revealing the rich details of caste, communication, colony been established definitively in honeybees. Countervailing forces cycles, and other phenomena at both the individual- and colony- also include variability in predisposition to worker sub-castes in selection levels. In some cases social behaviour has been causally Pogonomyrmex badius, which may sharpen division of labour and linked through all the levels of biological organization from molecule improve colony fitness—although that hypothesis is yet to be to ecosystem. Almost none of this progress has been stimulated or tested12. Further, an increase in stability of nest temperature with advanced by inclusive fitness theory, which has evolved into an genetic diversity has been found within of honeybees13 and abstract enterprise largely on its own16. ants14. Other selection forces working against the binding role of close pedigree kinship are the disruptive impact of nepotism Limitations of inclusive fitness theory within colonies, and the overall negative effects associated with Many empiricists, who measure genetic relatedness and use inclusive inbreeding15. Most of these countervailing forces act through group fitness arguments, think that they are placing their considerations on 1058 ©2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved NATURE Vol 466 26 August 2010 ANALYSIS j j

a solid theoretical foundation. This is not the case. Inclusive fitness a Fitness: theory is a particular mathematical approach that has many limita- tions. It is not a general theory of evolution. It does not describe evolutionary dynamics nor distributions of gene frequencies17–19. But one of the questions that can be addressed by inclusive fitness theory is the following: which of two strategies is more abundant on average in the stationary distribution of an evolutionary process? Here we show that even for studying this particular question, the use of inclusive fitness requires stringent assumptions, which are b Inclusive !tness: unlikely to be fulfilled by any given empirical system. In the Supplementary Information (Part A) we outline a general mathematical approach based on standard natural selection theory to derive a condition for one behavioural strategy to be favoured over another. This condition holds for any rate and any intensity of selection. Then we move to the limit of weak selection, which is required by inclusive fitness theory17,20–22. Here all individuals have approximately the same fitness and both strategies are roughly c Inclusive !tness is not ‘simple’ equally abundant. For weak selection, we derive the general answer provided by standard natural selection theory, and we show that A Action B further limiting assumptions are needed for inclusive fitness theory to be formulated in an exact manner. Competition First, for inclusive fitness theory all interactions must be additive and pairwise. This limitation excludes most evolutionary games that have synergistic effects or where more than two players are involved23. Many tasks in an colony, for example, require the simultaneous cooperation of more than two individuals, and syn- ergistic effects are easily demonstrated. Figure 3 | The limitation of inclusive fitness. a, The standard approach of Second, inclusive fitness theory can only deal with very special evolutionary dynamics takes into account the relevant interactions and then population structures. It can describe either static structures or calculates the fitness of each individual. b, The inclusive fitness of an dynamic ones, but in the latter case there must be global updating individual is the sum of how the action of that individual affects its own and binary interactions. Global updating means that any two indivi- fitness plus that of any other individuals multiplied by relatedness. Inclusive duals compete uniformly for reproduction regardless of their (spatial) fitness theory is based on the very limiting assumption that the fitness of distance. Binary interaction means that any two individuals either each individual can be broken down into additive components caused by individual actions. This is not possible in general. c, For calculating inclusive interact or they do not, but there cannot be continuously varying fitness one has to keep track of all competitive interactions that occur in the intensities of interaction. population. Here A acts on B changing its payoff and fitness. If A or B These particular mathematical assumptions, which are easily vio- compete with other individuals, then their fitness values are also affected by lated in nature, are needed for the formulation of inclusive fitness A’s action, although no action is directed towards them. Inclusive fitness theory. If these assumptions do not hold, then inclusive fitness either theory is not a simplification over the standard approach. It is an alternative cannot be defined or does not give the right criterion for what is accounting method, but one that works only in a very limited domain. favoured by natural selection. Whenever inclusive fitness does work, the results are identical to those of the We also prove the following result: if we are in the limited world standard approach. Inclusive fitness theory is an unnecessary detour, which where inclusive fitness theory works, then the inclusive fitness con- does not provide additional insight or information. dition is identical to the condition derived by standard natural selec- the case; wherever inclusive fitness works, the two theories are ident- tion theory. The exercise of calculating inclusive fitness does not ical and require the measurement of the same quantities. The impres- provide any additional biological insight. Inclusive fitness is just sion that inclusive fitness is simpler arises from a misunderstanding another way of accounting3,20,24, but one that is less general (Fig. 3). of which effects are relevant: the inclusive fitness formula contains all The question arises: if we have a theory that works for all cases individuals whose fitness is affected by an action, not only those (standard natural selection theory) and a theory that works only for a whose payoff is changed (Fig. 3c). small subset of cases (inclusive fitness theory), and if for this subset the two theories lead to identical conditions, then why not stay with Hamilton’s rule almost never holds the general theory? The question is pressing, because inclusive fitness Inclusive fitness theory often attempts to derive Hamilton’s rule, but theory is provably correct only for a small (non-generic) subset of finds it increasingly difficult to do so. In a simplified Prisoner’s evolutionary models, but the intuition it provides is mistakenly Dilemma the interaction between cooperators and defectors is embraced as generally correct25. described in terms of cost and benefit. For many models we find that Sometimes it is argued that inclusive fitness considerations pro- cooperators are favoured over defectors for weak selection, if a con- vide an intuitive guidance for understanding empirical data in the dition holds that is of the form26–31: absence of an actual model of . However, as we show in the online material, inclusive fitness arguments without a ‘something’ . c/b (1) fully specified model are misleading. It is possible to consider situa- tions where all measures of relatedness are identical, yet cooperation This result is a straightforward consequence of the linearity intro- is favoured in one case, but not in the other. Conversely, two popula- duced by weak selection32 and has nothing to do with inclusive fitness tions can have relatedness measures on the opposite ends of the considerations. spectrum and yet both structures are equally unable to support Inequality (1) is Hamilton’s ruleif ‘something’ turns outto be related- evolution of cooperation. Hence, relatedness measurements without ness, R. In inclusive fitness theory we haveR~(Q{QQ )=(1{QQ), where a meaningful theory are difficult to interpret. Q is the average relatedness of two individuals who interact, whileQQ is Another commonly held misconception is that inclusive fitness the average relatedness in the population. If we are in a scenario where calculations are simpler than the standard approach. This is not inclusive fitness theory works, then an inclusive fitness calculation might 1059 ©2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved ANALYSIS NATURE Vol 466 26 August 2010 j j derive inequality (1), but typicallyfind that ‘something’ is not related- acquire potent pre-. The theory of this stage is, in other ness. This fact, which is often obfuscated, is already the case for the words, the theory of . simplest possible spatial models33,34. Therefore, even in the limited Pre-adaptations in addition to nest construction have become domain of inclusive fitness theory, Hamilton’s rule does not hold in especiallyclear in theHymenoptera. One is the propensity, documented general. in solitary bees, to behave like eusocial bees when forced together experimentally. In and Lasioglossum, the coerced partners Empirical tests of inclusive fitness theory? proceed variously to divide labour in foraging, tunnelling, and guard- Advocates of inclusive fitness theory claim that many empirical studies ing48–50. Furthermore, in at least two species of Lasioglossum, females support their theory. But often the connection that is made between engage in leading by one bee and following by the other bee, a trait that data and theory is superficial. For testing the usefulness of inclusive characterizes primitively eusocial bees. The division of labour appears fitness theory it is not enough to obtain data on genetic relatedness and to be the result of a pre-existing behavioural ground plan, in which then look for correlations with social behaviour. Instead one has to solitary individuals tend to move from one task to another only after the perform an inclusive fitness type calculation for the scenario that is first is completed. In eusocial species, the algorithm is readily trans- being considered and then measure each quantity that appears in the ferred to the avoidance of a job already being filled by another colony inclusive fitness formula. Such a test has never been performed. member. It is evident that bees, and also wasps, are spring-loaded, that For testing predictions of inclusive fitness theory, another com- is, strongly predisposed with a trigger, for a rapid shift to eusociality, plication arises. Inclusive fitness theory is only another method of once natural selection favours the change51–53. accounting, one that works for very restrictive scenarios and where it The results of the forced-group experiments fit the fixed-threshold works it makes the same predictions as standard natural selection model proposed for the emergence of the phenomenon in established theory. Hence, there are no predictions that are specific to inclusive insect societies54,55. This model posits that variation, sometimes genetic fitness theory. in origin among individual colony members and sometimes purely In part B of the Supplementary Information we discuss some phenotypic, exists in the response thresholds associated with different studies that explore the role of kinship in social evolution. We argue tasks. When two or more colony members interact, those with that the narrow focus on relatedness often fails to characterize the the lowest thresholds are first to undertake a task at hand. The activity underlying biology and prevents the development of multiple com- inhibits their partners, who are then more likely to move on to peting hypotheses. whatever other tasks are available. Another hymenopteran pre-adaptation is progressive provision- An alternative theory of eusocial evolution ing. The first evolutionary stage in nest-based parental care is mass The first step in the origin of animal eusociality is the formation of provisioning, in which the female builds a nest, places enough paral- groups within a freely mixing population. There are many ways in yzed prey in it to rear a single offspring, lays an on the prey, seals which this can occur35–43. Groups can assemble when nest sites or the nest, and moves on to construct another nest. In progressive food sources on which a species is specialized are local in distribution; provisioning the female builds a nest, lays an egg in it, then feeds or when parents and offspring stay together; or when migratory or at least guards the hatching repeatedly until it matures columns branch repeatedly before settling; or when flocks follow (Fig. 4a). leaders to known feeding grounds; or even randomly by mutual local The third phase in evolution is the origin of the eusocial , attraction. A group can be pulled together when cooperation among whether by mutation or recombination. In pre-adapted hymenop- unrelated members proves beneficial to them, whether by simple terans, this event can occur as a single mutation. Further, the muta- 44 reciprocity or by mutualistic synergism or manipulation . tion need not prescribe the construction of a novel behaviour. It need The way in which groups are formed, and not simply their existence, simply cancel an old one. Crossing the threshold to eusociality likely has a profound effect on attainment of the next stage. What counts requires only that a female and her adult offspring do not disperse then is the cohesion and persistence of the group. For example, all of the to start new, individual nests but instead remain at the old nest. At clades known with primitively eusocial species surviving (in aculeate this point, if environmental selection pressures are strong enough, wasps, halictine and xylocopine bees, sponge-nesting shrimp, termop- the spring-loaded pre-adaptations kick in and the group commences sid termites, colonial aphids and , ambrosia beetles, and naked cooperative interactions that make it a eusocial colony (Fig. 4b). 6 mole rats) have colonies that have built and occupied defensible nests Eusocial genes have not yet been identified, but at least two other (Fig. 2). In a few cases, unrelated individuals join forces to create the genes (or small ensembles of genes) are known that prescribe major little fortresses. Unrelated colonies of Zootermopsis angusticollis, for example, fuse to form a supercolony with a single royal pair through ab repeated episodes of combat45. In most cases of animal eusociality, the colony is begun by a single inseminated queen (Hymenoptera) or pair (others). In all cases, however, regardless of its manner of founding, the colony grows by the addition of offspring that serve as non-reproductive workers. Inclusive fitness theorists have pointed to resulting close pedi- gree relatedness as evidence for the key role of kin selection in the origin of eusociality, but as argued here and elsewhere46,47, relatedness is better explained as the consequence rather than the cause of eusociality. Grouping by family can hasten the spread of eusocial alleles, but it is not a causative agent. The causative agent is the advantage of a defensible nest, especially one both expensive to make and within reach of adequate food. The second stage is the accumulation of other traits that make the Figure 4 | Solitary and primitively eusocial wasps. a, Progressive change to eusociality more likely. All these pre-adaptations arise in provisioning in a solitary . Cutaway view of a nest showing a female Synagris cornuta feeding her larva with a fragment of . An the same manner as constructing a defensible nest by the solitary ichneumonid wasp and parasite Osprynchotus violator lurks on the outside ancestor, by individual-level selection, with no anticipation of a of the nest (from Cowan61) waiting for the right moment to attack the larva. potential future role in the origin of eusociality. They are products b, A colony of the primitively eusocial wasp crinitus. Its workers, of adaptive radiation, in which species split and spread into different working together are able simultaneously to guard the nest, forage for food, niches. In the process some species are more likely than others to and attend the larvae sequestered in the nest cells. (Photo by Robert Jeanne.) 1060 ©2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved NATURE Vol 466 26 August 2010 ANALYSIS j j

Box 1: A mathematical model for the evolution of eusociality j Consider a solitary insect species that reproduces via . Mated females build a nest, lay eggs and feed the larvae. When the larvae hatch the offspring leave the nest. We assume that the dispersal behaviour can be affected by genetic . We postulate a mutant , a, which induces daughters to stay with the nest. In our model there are three types of females: AA and Aa daughters leave the nest, whereas aa stay at the nest with probability q, and become workers (Box 1 Figure). Because of the haplodiploid genetics, there are only two types of males, A and a, both of whom leave the nest. There are six types of mated females: AA-A, AA-a, Aa-A, Aa-a, aa-A and aa-a. The first two letters denote the genotype of the female, and the third letter denotes the genotype of the she has received. Only Aa-a and aa-a mothers establish colonies, because half of the daughters of Aa-a and all daughters of aa-a have genotype aa.

A AA Aa a aa a Aa A a a AA aa A Aa A Aa

aa-A aa Aa-a aa AA-A aa aa aa aa-a Aa-A aa aa

AA-a

What are the conditions for the eusocial allele, a, to be favoured over the solitary allele, A? As outlined in Part C of the Supplementary Information the fundamental consideration is the following. In the presence of workers, the eusocial queen is expected to have two fitness advantages over solitary mothers: she has increased fecundity and reduced mortality. While her workers forage and feed the larvae, she can stay at home, which reduces her risk of , increases her oviposition rate and enables her (together with some workers) to defend the nest. Nevertheless, we find that the eusocial allele can invade the solitary one, only if these fitness advantages are large and arise already for small colony size. Moreover the probability, q, that aa daughters stay with the nest must be within a certain (sometimes narrow) parameter range. On the other hand, once the eusocial allele is dominant, it is easier for it to resist invasion by the solitary one. Therefore, the model explains why it is hard to evolve eusociality, but easier to maintain it once it has been established. In our model relatedness does not drive the evolution of eusociality. But once eusociality has evolved, colonies consist of related individuals, because daughters stay with their mother to raise further offspring. The interaction between queen and workers is not a standard cooperative dilemma, because the latter are not independent agents. Their properties depend on the genotype of the queen and the sperm she has stored. Moreover, daughters who leave the nest are not simply ‘defectors’; they are needed for the reproduction of the colony. Inclusive fitness theory always claims to be a ‘gene-centred’ approach, but instead it is ‘worker-centred’: it puts the worker into the centre of attention and asks why does the worker behave altruistically and raise the offspring of another individual? The claim is that the answer to this question requires a theory that goes beyond the standard fitness concept of natural selection. But here we show that this is not the case. By formulating a mathematical model of population genetics and family structure, we see that there is no need for inclusive fitness theory. The competition between the eusocial and the solitary allele is described by a standard selection equation. There is no paradoxical altruism, no payoff matrix, no evolutionary game. A ‘gene-centred’ approach for the evolution of eusociality makes inclusive fitness theory unnecessary. changes in social traits by silencing mutations in pre-existing traits. least that pertaining to caste. In other words, the queen and her worker More than 110 million years ago the earliest ants, or their immediate have the same genes that prescribe caste and division of labour, but they wasp ancestors, altered the genetically based regulatory network of may differ freelyin other genes.This circumstance lends credence to the wing development in such a way that some of the genes could be view that the colony can be viewed as an individual, or ‘’. turned off under particular influence of the diet or some other environ- Further, insofar as social behaviour is concerned, descent is from queen mental factor. Thus was born the wingless worker caste56. In a second to queen, with the worker force generated as an extension of the queen example, discovered in the fire Solenopsis invicta, new variants of (or cooperating queens) in each generation. Selection acts on the traits the major gene Gp-9 greatly reduce or remove the ability of workers to of the queen and the extrasomatic projection of her personal genome. recognize aliens from other colonies, as well as the ability to discrimi- This perception opens a new form of theoretical inquiry, which we nate among fertile queens. The resulting ‘microgyne’ strain forms illustrate in Box 1. dense, continuous supercolonies that have spread over much of the The fourth phase is the proper subject of combined investigations in species range in the southern United States57. population genetics and behavioural . Research programs have These examples, and the promise they offer of improved theory and scarcely begun in this subject in part due to the relative neglect of the genetic analysis, bring us to the fourth phase in the evolution of animal study of the environmental selection forces that shape early eusocial eusociality. As soon as the parents and subordinate offspring remain at evolution. The natural history of the more primitive species, and the nest, natural selection targets the emergent traits created by the especially the structure of their nests and fierce defence of them, sug- interactions of colony members. gest that a key element in the origin of eusociality is defence against By focusing on the emergent traits, it is possible to envision a new enemies, including parasites, predators and rival colonies. But very mode of theoretical research. It is notable that the different roles of few field and laboratory studies have been devised to test this and the reproducing parents and their non-reproductive offspring are not potential competing hypotheses. genetically determined. They are products of the same genes or In the fifth and final phase, between-colony selection shapes the life ensembles of genes that have phenotypes programmed to be flexible58. cycle and caste systems of the more advanced eusocial species. As a As evidence from primitively eusocial species has shown, they are pro- result, many of the clades have evolved very specialized and elaborate ducts of representative alternative phenotypes of the same genotype, at social systems. 1061 ©2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved ANALYSIS NATURE Vol 466 26 August 2010 j j

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Nature 441, 502–505 (2006). grant 37874), and J. Epstein. 28. Traulsen, A. & Nowak, M. A. Evolution of cooperation by multilevel selection. Proc. Author Contributions M.A.N., C.E.T. and E.O.W. collaborated on all aspects of this Natl Acad. Sci. USA 103, 10952–10955 (2006). research project. C.E.T. led the development of the mathematical framework, 29. Taylor, P. D., Day, T. & Wild, G. Evolution of cooperation in a finite homogeneous presented in Part A of the Supplementary Information, which proves the graph. Nature 447, 469–472 (2007). foundational weakness of inclusive fitness theory. 30. Antal,T.,Ohtsuki,H.,Wakeley,J.,Taylor,P.D.&Nowak,M.A.Evolutionofcooperation by phenotypic similarity.Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA106, 8597–8600 (2009). Author Information Reprints and permissions information is available at 31. Tarnita, C. E., Antal, T., Ohtsuki, H. & Nowak, M. A. Evolutionary dynamics in set www.nature.com/reprints. The authors declare no competing financial interests. structured populations. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 8601–8604 (2009). Readers are welcome to comment on the online version of this article at 32. Tarnita, C. E., Ohtsuki, H., Antal, T., Fu, F. & Nowak, M. A. Strategy selection in www.nature.com/nature. Correspondence and requests for materials should be structured populations. J. Theor. Biol. 259, 570–581 (2009). addressed to M.A.N. ([email protected]). 1062 ©2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved doi: 10.1038/nature09205               SUPPLEMENTARY     INFORMATION                   

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 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

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



www.nature.com/nature 4 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

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 www.nature.com/nature 5 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

1ABL MRI> H? :<G>K:EBS:MBHG H? -KB<>L   F>MAH= :G= :@K>>L PBMA BM ?HK : IKH<>LL PBMA GHG HO>KE:IIBG@ @>G>K:MBHGL %HP>O>K P> D>>I HNK K>LNEM BG MA> ?HKF H? MABL :<GMBMR :G= =H GHM NL> GHM:MBHGL EBD> PAB ;>>G LAHPG MH ;> = MH F:D> IK>=B :;L>G<> H? : IK> FH=>E :L >QIE:BG>= ;R O:G 3>>E>G  

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LIHG=L MH LF:EE =>OB:MBHGL BG MA> IKH;:;BEBMR MH IE:R : <>KM:BG LMK:M>@R *HK> >QIEB P>:D L>E>= :L ?HEEHPL &? : @:F> BL @BO>G ;R MPH INK> LMK:M>@B>L  :G=  MA>G HG> KL MA> L>M H? :EE FBQ>= LMK:M>@B>L @BO>G ;R MA> IKH;:;BEBMR ' MH IE:R  MA> IKH;:;BEBMR MH IE:R  BL  '  1A>G HG> LMN=B>L L>E>MP>>G MA> MPH LMK:M>@B>L ' :G= '  1A> EBFBM H? P>:D L>E>G ;R   1A> I:RH F:MKBQ ?HK MA> @:F> ;>MP>>G  MA>L> MPH LMK:M>@B>L ' :G= '  BG MA> EBFBM H? P>:D L>E> IKHI>KMR H? 7>JN:E @:BGL ?KHF LPBM:GL MA:M MA> LNF H? MA> >GMKB>L HG MA> KLM =B:@HG:E >JN:EL MA> LNF H? MA> >GMKB>L HG MA> L>:D L>E>:=L MH MA> G><>LL:KR @:F>L A:O> >JN:E @:BGL ?KHF LPBM =>M:BEL HG MA>L> MPH MRI>L H? P>:D L>E> K>?>K MH /HNLL>M :G= BEEB:K=  4BE= :G= 1K:NEL>G  :G= 1K:NEL>G   &G PA:M ?HEEHPL P> NL>  MH =>GHM> MA> BGM>GLBMR H? L>E>HKR AHE=L ?HK ;HMA :IIKH:L MH P>:D L>E>

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&G LNKFL MA> JN:GMBMB>L :K> LMBEE >O:EN:M>= :M G>NMK:EBMR ;NM P> A:O> MH <:E MA> KLM =>KBO:MBO> H? MA> :GLBMR H? L>E>G >O:EN:M> MA:M :M    &M BL NLN:EER O>KR A:K= MH G= MA> LM:MBHG:KR =BLMKB;NMBHG ?HK :GR  B? MA:M =HG> MA>K> PHNE= ;> GH G>>= MH M:D> MA> EBFBM H? P>:D L>E>G<> M>KFL EBD>  PHNE= ;> A:K= MH A:G=E> NGE>LL MA>R :K> S>KH ,G> P:R MH F:D> LNKFL S>KH BL OB: MA> ?HEEHPBG@ :LLNFIMBHG

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M>QM;HHDL :G= MA>G NL>= ?HK LN;L>JN>GM MA>HK>MB<:E HK >FIBKB<:E LMN=B>L 1A> BFIHKM:GM IHBGM BL MA:M BG MG>LL =H>L GHM HLIKBG@ H? :G BG=BOB=N:E MA:M ?KHF HMA>KL :L GHM BG MA> PAHE> LL H? :G BG=BOB=N:E L>> #B@NK>   1A> LN@@>LMBHG H? BG MG>LL MA>HKR BL MA:M MABL LHF>PA:M :KMB NL>= MH >O:EN:M> >OHENMBHG:KR =RG:FB ?HEEHPBG@ P> LAHP MA:M MA> IM H? BG MG>LL HGER F:D>L L>GL> B? L>O>K:E O>KR K>LMKB :LLNFIMBHGL AHE= BG :==BMBHG MH MA> :EK>:=R O>KR K>LMKB :LLNFIMBHG H? P>:D L>E>

Fitness: Inclusive fitness:

A B A B

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H? >O>KRHG> BG MA> IHINE:MBHG HG : @BO>G K>GM :G= P>B@ABG@ MAHL> >> K>E:M>=G>LL ;>MP>>G >: K>GM

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www.nature.com/nature 13 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

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www.nature.com/nature 15 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

%>K> " BL G :M K:G=HF MH ;> MA> ?H<:E BG=BOB=N:E :G=    1ABL BL IK>ER      H;M:BG>= ;R :IIERBG@  MH   4> A:O> =BL= MABL >Q:FIE> MH LAHP AHP PA>G :LLNFIMBHGL B :G= BB :K> L:MBL>= BG MA> EBFBM H? P>:D L>E> MPH :IIKH:L @BO> MA> L:F> K>LNEM

i-3 i-2 i-1 i i+1 i+2 i+3

action action A -b/4 c/2 b/4 -c b/4 c/2 -b/4

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www.nature.com/nature 16 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

&#%,('+ *-% %&(+, ' . * "(%+

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www.nature.com/nature 17 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

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www.nature.com/nature 18 doi: 10.1038/nature09205 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

a a large well-mixed population

one-dimensional spatial model with BD updating

R=0 R=1 no cooperation no cooperation

b one-dimensional spatial model one-dimensional spatial model with BD updating with DB updating

R=1 R=1 no cooperation cooperation if b/c>2

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#B@NK>  "F>K@>G<> H? >NLHE PBMA A:IEH=BIEHB= @>G>MB LMN=R MA> MBMBHG ;>MP>>G : PBE=MRI> :EE>E>  :G= : K><>LLBO> FNM:GM :EE>E>  1A>K> :K> MAK>> MRI>L H? ?>F:E>L  K>=  @K>>G :G=  ;EN>   ?>F:E>L LM:R PBMA MA> G>LM PBMA IKH;:;BEBMR ( 1A>K> :K> MPH MRI>L H? F:E>L  K>= :G=  ;EN>  4> LBFNE:M> MA> LRLM>F @BO>G ;R   LAHPBG@ MA> >JNBEB;KBNF MA:M BL K>:= ?KHF :G BGBMB:E K> MA> LHEBM:KR :EE>E>  =HFBG:M>L MA> IHINE:MBHG #HK  (  MA> >NLHE> K>IE:<>L MA> LHEBM:KR HG> #HK  (  MA>K> BL QBLM>G<> -:K:F>M>K O:EN>L   %          FHKM:EBMR K:M>L     !  :G=  



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