Transportation, Terrorism and Crime: Deterrence, Disruption and Resilience
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Project 1896 January 2020 Transportation, Terrorism and Crime: Deterrence, Disruption and Resilience Daniel C. Goodrich, MPA Frances L. Edwards, PhD MINETA TRANSPORTATION INSTITUTE transweb.sjsu.edu MINETA TRANSPORTATION INSTITUTE MTI FOUNDER LEAD UNIVERSITY OF Mineta Consortium for Transportation Mobility Hon. Norman Y. Mineta MTI BOARD OF TRUSTEES Founded in 1991, the Mineta Transportation Institute (MTI), an organized research and training unit in partnership with the Lucas College and Graduate School of Business at San José State University (SJSU), increases mobility for all by improving the safety, Founder, Honorable Grace Crunican* Therese McMillan Paul Skoutelas (Ex-Officio) efficiency, accessibility, and convenience of our nation’s transportation system. Through research, education, workforce development, Norman Mineta (Ex-Officio) (TE 2022) (TE 2022) President & CEO Secretary (ret.), Retired Executive Director American Public Transportation and technology transfer, we help create a connected world. MTI leads the four-university Mineta Consortium for Transportation US Department of Transportation Metropolitan Transportation Association (APTA) Mobility, a Tier 1 University Transportation Center funded by the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Office of the Assistant Donna DeMartino (TE 2021) Commission (MTC) Chair, General Manager & CEO Dan Smith (TE 2020) Secretary for Research and Technology (OST-R), the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans), and by private grants Abbas Mohaddes (TE 2021) San Joaquin Regional Transit District Bradley Mims (TE 2020) President and donations. President & COO President & CEO Capstone Financial Group, Inc. Econolite Group Inc. Nuria Fernandez* (TE 2020) Conference of Minority General Manager & CEO Transportation Officials (COMTO) Beverley Swaim-Staley MTI’s transportation policy work is centered on three primary responsibilities: Vice Chair, Santa Clara Valley (TE 2022) Will Kempton (TE 2022) Transportation Authority (VTA) Jeff Morales (TE 2022) President Retired Managing Principal Union Station Redevelopment Research John Flaherty (TE 2020) InfraStrategies, LLC Corporation Executive Director, Senior Fellow MTI works to provide policy-oriented research for all levels active assistance of the California Department ofTransportation Karen Philbrick, PhD Silicon Valley American Dan Moshavi, PhD Jim Tymon (Ex-Officio) of government and the p rivate sector to foster the develop- (Caltrans), MTI delivers its classes over a state-of-the-art (Ex-Officio) Leadership Form (Ex-Officio) Executive Director Mineta Transportation Institute Dean, Lucas College and American Association of ment of optimum surface transportation systems. Research areas videoconference network throughout the state of California San José State University Rose Guilbault (TE 2020) Graduate School of Business State Highway and Transportation include: bicycle and pedestrian issues; financing public and private and via webcasting beyond, allowing working transportation Board Member San José State University Officials (AASHTO) Peninsula Corridor sector transportation improvements; intermodal connectivity professionals to pursue an advanced degree regardless of their Richard Anderson (Ex-Officio) Joint Powers Board Takayoshi Oshima (TE 2021) Larry Willis (Ex-Officio) and integration; safety and security of transportation systems; location. To meet the needs of employers seeking a diverse President & CEO Chairman & CEO President sustainability of transportation systems; transportation / land use / Amtrak Ian Jefferies (Ex-Officio) Allied Telesis, Inc. Transportation Trades workforce, MTI’s education program promotes enrollment to President & CEO Dept., AFL-CIO environment; and transportation planning and policy development. under-represented groups. David Castagnetti (TE 2021) Association of American Railroads Toks Omishakin Certified Research Associates conduct the research. Certification Co-Founder (Ex-Officio) (TE) = Term Expiration Mehlman Castagnetti Diane Woodend Jones Director * = Past Chair, Board of Trustees requires an advanced degree, generally a Ph.D., a record of Information and Technology Transfer Rosen & Thomas (TE 2022) California Department of academic publications, and professional references. Research MTI utilizes a diverse array of dissemination methods and Principal & Chair of Board Transportation (Caltrans) Maria Cino (TE 2021) Lea + Elliott, Inc. projects culminate in a peer-reviewed publication, available on media to ensure research results reach those responsible Vice President TransWeb, the MTI website (http://transweb.sjsu.edu). for managing change. These methods include publication, America & U.S. Government Relations Hewlett-Packard Enterprise seminars, workshops, websites, social media, webinars, Education and other technology transfer mechanisms. Additionally, The Institute supports education programs for students seeking a MTI promotes the availability of completed research to career in the development and operation of surface transportation professional organizations and journals and works to Directors Research Associates Policy Oversight Committee systems. MTI, through San José State University, offers an AACSB- integrate the research findings into the graduate education accredited Master of Science in Transportation Management and program. MTI’s extensive collection of transportation- related Karen Philbrick, Ph.D. Jan Botha, Ph.D. Frances Edwards, publications is integrated into San José State University’s graduate certificates in Transportation Management, Transportation Executive Director Civil & Environmental Engineering Ph.D. Security, and High-Speed Rail Management that serve to prepare world-class Martin Luther King, Jr. Library. San José State University Political Science the nation’s transportation managers for the 21st century. With the Hilary Nixon, Ph.D. San José State University Deputy Executive Director Katherine Kao Cushing, Ph.D. Taeho Park, Ph.D. Asha Weinstein Agrawal, Enviromental Science Organization and Management Ph.D. San José State University San José State University Education Director National Transportation Finance Dave Czerwinski, Ph.D. Christa Bailey Center Director Marketing and Decision Science Martin Luther King, Jr. Library San José State University San José State University Brian Michael Jenkins Disclaimer National Transportation Security The contents of this report reflect the views of the authors, who are responsible for the facts and accuracy of the information presented Center Director herein. This document is disseminated in the interest of information exchange. The report is funded, partially or entirely, by a grant from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s University Transportation Centers Program. This report does not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the U.S. government, State of California, or the Mineta Transportation Institute, who assume no liability for the contents or use thereof. This report does not constitute a standard specification, design standard, or regulation. REPORT 19-36 TRANSPORTATION, TERRORISM AND CRIME: DETERRENCE, DISRUPTION AND RESILIENCE Daniel C. Goodrich, MPA, CEM, MEP Frances L. Edwards, MUP, PhD, CEM January 2020 A publication of Mineta Transportation Institute Created by Congress in 1991 College of Business San José State University San José, CA 95192-0219 TECHNICAL REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient’s Catalog No. 19-36 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date Transportation, Terrorism and Crime: Deterrence, Disruption and Resilience January 2020 6. Performing Organization Code 7. Authors 8. Performing Organization Report Daniel C. Goodrich, MPA, CEM, MEP, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8123-6554 CA-MTI-1896 Frances L. Edwards, MUP, PhD, CEM, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0446-5556 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. Mineta Transportation Institute College of Business 11. Contract or Grant No. San José State University 69A3551747127 San José, CA 95192-0219 12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address 13. Type of Report and Period Covered U.S. Department of Transportation Final Report Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology 14. Sponsoring Agency Code University Transportation Centers Program 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE Washington, DC 20590 15. Supplemental Notes DOI: 10.31979/mti.2019.1896 16. Abstract Terrorists likely have adopted vehicle ramming as a tactic because it can be carried out by an individual (or “lone wolf terrorist”), and because the skills required are minimal (e.g. the ability to drive a car and determine locations for creating maximum carnage). Studies of terrorist activities against transportation assets have been conducted to help law enforcement agencies prepare their communities, create mitigation measures, conduct effective surveillance and respond quickly to attacks. This study reviews current research on terrorist tactics against transportation assets, with an emphasis on vehicle ramming attacks. It evaluates some of the current attack strategies, and the possible mitigation or response tactics that may be effective in deterring attacks or saving lives in the event of an attack. It includes case studies that can be used as educational tools for understanding terrorist methodologies, as well as ordinary emergencies that might become a terrorist’s blueprint. 17. Key Words 18. Distribution Statement Security, critical transportation, No restrictions. This document is available to the public