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Commercial Feedyards Commercial Feed Yards: Elevator Locations: Ingalls Feed Yard 620.335.5174 Cimarron 620.855.2444 Beefland Feed Yard 620.275.2030 Ingalls 620.335.5173 Gray County Feed Yard 620.855.3486 Pierceville 620.335.5141 Irsik & Doll Feed Yard 620.275.7131 620.855.3111 Garden City 620.275.7120 Royal Beef Feed Yard 620.872.5371 Sublette 620.675.2207 Sunbelt Feed Yard 620.544.4379 www.irsikanddoll.com Hutchinson 620.662.0239 Turon Feed Yard 620.497.6421 Grain Merchandising 620.855.3747 Toll Free 800.362.0722 By: Dustin Siek - Pierceville March 5, 2021 Tyler Siek - Gray County Grains: From Thursday evening into Friday morning, the local area received a ¼ to ½ inch rain providing a start toward Garden City’s historical March average of 1.23 inches. In the Pierceville area, sprayers were running early in the week as producers covered as much ground as possible ahead of the forecasted rain. Kansas crop conditions continue to decline, and any moisture received will be welcomed by grain producers. Declining soil moisture in Kansas is becoming a concern, as topsoil moisture is rated 42% short or very short, while subsoil supplies are rated 46% in the same categories. Kansas HRW wheat conditions fell to 37% good to excellent, with 28% rated poor to very poor. Weather is also a market concern in South America, mainly Brazil and Argentina. Above normal precipitation in northern Brazil continues to slow soybean harvest, while also halting the planting of the second corn crop that is roughly two to three weeks behind schedule. In Argentina, temperatures are increasing, and very little rainfall is forecasted during the next couple of weeks as their crops enter the critical growing stages. Export sales for the week ending February 25th were disappointing with USDA reporting 4.6 million bushels (mbu) of corn for the current marketing year, as well as 1.5 mbu for 2021/22. While the cumulative year-to-date corn sales tally is nearly double last year’s pace, the unshipped portion of 1.3 billion bushels is being watched closely by the marketplace for timely shipment. Weekly soybean sales were 12.3 mbu for the current year as well as 7.3 mbu for next year. Wheat export sales of old crop showed 8.1 mbu with 900,000 bushels of new crop. Cash prices at the Pierceville elevator on Thursday showed corn at $5.73 and milo at $6.68, both down 15 cents from last Friday’s close. Soybeans were up 7 cents to $13.36, while wheat was down 13 cents to $5.98 per bushel. Ethanol production increased sharply climbing from 658,000 barrels per day (bpd) last week to 849,000 bpd, however, output still lags the 1.079 million bpd of last year. The summer driving season is ahead, which will hopefully increase demand and push the weekly average above 953,000 bpd, the level needed to reach USDA’s corn usage estimate. Next Tuesday, the USDA will update the monthly supply/demand report and world numbers. Please feel free to call any of the Irsik & Doll locations to discuss marketing strategies as well as update any account information. Thank you and we appreciate your business! Cattle: More of the same for the cash market this week as the Kansas trade occurred mostly at $114 for the fifth consecutive week. Producers were once again disappointed as the April Live Cattle contract closed at $119.40 on Wednesday, the day most of the cattle traded hands. The negative $5.40 cash basis is well below the 10-year average of the positive $3.22 for the month of March. The packer’s captive position has alleviated the need to pay a premium for spot purchases as much of their weekly demand is met prior to the weekly trade. This formula is allowing packers to enjoy a per head margin of over $300 while the cattle feeders absorb losses. The cash trade of $114 is well under the projected cattle feeder breakeven of around $122. Estimated weekly showlists ballooned to 251,900 head, up 32,400 from a week ago. The increase was predictable given the April futures premium to cash over the last several weeks. Nebraska led the charge with an increase of 21,500 head to 88,200, Texas lists increased 9,100 head to 78,700, and Kansas market-ready cattle increased 1,900 head to 84,900. Futures continue to trend lower with the nearby April contract closing Friday at $119.02, more than $7 below the February 16th high of $126.70. Last week’s slaughter totaled 666,000 head with an average live weight of 1401 lbs. This week’s slaughter was 665,000 head compared to 649,000 head a year ago. Weekly carcass weight averages are starting to show the impact of the cold snap of two weeks ago. Steer carcasses averaged 909 pounds, down 10 pounds from the week prior but still nine pounds above a year ago. Beef production jumped to 561 million pounds last week, up 95 million pounds from the weather slowed kill two weeks ago. Boxed beef prices were lower with the Choice product down $6.65 from last Friday to $233.03 while the Select product was down $8.05 to $221.68. U.S. beef exports are strong with 22,615 metric tons sold internationally, a 63% increase over last year. China showed the largest year-over-year increase of more than 3,000% from the same week in 2020, while South Korea bought the most, 6,762 metric tons, an increase of 230% from last year. States are beginning to lift some COVID-19 restrictions put into place nearly a year ago. Beef demand should strengthen and hopefully the pricing along the supply chain will follow suit. Call any Irsik & Doll location or visit our website (www.irsikanddoll.com) and let us help with your cattle feeding needs. EAT BEEF! Irsik & Doll Cash Prices (The week of 2/26/2021-3/05/2021) CIMARRON INGALLS PIERCEVILLE Cash Wheat Corn Milo Beans Wheat Corn Milo Beans Wheat Corn Milo Beans Last Friday 6.11 5.88 6.83 13.29 6.11 5.93 6.83 13.29 6.11 5.88 6.83 13.29 Monday 6.00 5.78 6.73 13.16 6.00 5.83 6.73 13.16 6.00 5.78 6.73 13.16 Tuesday 6.12 5.85 6.80 13.38 6.12 5.90 6.80 13.38 6.12 5.85 6.80 13.38 Wednesday 6.03 5.75 6.70 13.33 6.03 5.80 6.70 13.33 6.03 5.75 6.70 13.33 Thursday 5.98 5.73 6.68 13.36 5.98 5.78 6.68 13.36 5.98 5.73 6.68 13.36 Friday 6.03 5.86 6.81 13.55 6.03 5.91 6.81 13.55 6.03 5.86 6.81 13.55 GARDEN CITY SUBLETTE HUTCHINSON Cash Wheat Corn Milo Beans Wheat Corn Milo Beans Wheat Corn Milo Last Friday 6.11 5.88 6.83 13.29 6.11 5.93 6.83 13.29 6.14 5.53 6.88 Monday 6.00 5.78 6.73 13.16 6.00 5.83 6.73 13.16 6.08 5.43 6.78 Tuesday 6.12 5.85 6.80 13.38 6.12 5.90 6.80 13.38 6.20 5.50 6.85 Wednesday 6.03 5.75 6.70 13.33 6.03 5.80 6.70 13.33 6.11 5.40 6.75 Thursday 5.98 5.73 6.68 13.36 5.98 5.78 6.68 13.36 6.06 5.38 6.73 Friday 6.03 5.86 6.81 13.55 6.03 5.91 6.81 13.55 6.11 5.51 6.86 CME – BOARD PRICES K.C WHEAT CHICAGO CORN SOYBEANS Futures Mar May Jul Sep Dec Mar May Jul Sep Dec Mar May Jul Aug Sep Last Friday 6.25 6.34 6.38 6.42 6.48 5.56 5.48 5.35 4.90 4.71 14.05 14.04 13.92 13.48 12.67 Monday 6.14 6.23 6.29 6.34 6.41 5.48 5.38 5.27 4.86 4.69 13.93 13.91 13.81 13.39 12.61 Tuesday 6.27 6.35 6.41 6.45 6.53 5.61 5.45 5.33 4.93 4.76 14.14 14.13 13.99 13.53 12.73 Wednesday 6.18 6.26 6.31 6.36 6.44 5.50 5.35 5.24 4.90 4.74 14.10 14.08 13.92 13.48 12.69 Thursday 6.13 6.21 6.26 6.32 6.40 5.46 5.33 5.23 4.92 4.76 14.15 14.11 13.95 13.52 12.74 Friday 6.17 6.26 6.32 6.37 6.45 5.62 5.46 5.34 4.99 4.82 14.34 14.30 14.14 13.71 12.92 LIVE CATTLE FEEDER CATTLE FEEDER Futures Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Mar Apr May Aug Sep INDEX Last Friday 120.00 118.42 117.05 120.62 123.32 138.67 142.57 145.07 151.95 152.82 138.91 Monday 118.97 117.50 116.47 120.42 123.42 137.20 141.12 143.90 151.67 152.65 138.35 Tuesday 119.42 117.75 116.80 120.62 123.72 136.52 140.47 143.57 151.80 152.77 137.54 Wednesday 119.40 117.67 116.90 121.22 124.37 137.00 141.30 144.57 153.02 154.22 136.07 Thursday 118.55 116.97 116.22 120.92 124.07 135.10 138.97 142.65 151.95 153.17 136.07 Friday 119.02 118.00 117.07 121.45 124.47 134.60 139.02 145.15 153.72 154.82 .
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