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Salvinia Molesta EUROPEAN AND MEDITERRANEAN PLANT PROTECTION ORGANIZATION ORGANISATION EUROPEENNE ET MEDITERRANEENNE POUR LA PROTECTION DES PLANTES 17-23148 (v2) Pest Risk Analysis for Salvinia molesta 2017 EPPO 21 Boulevard Richard Lenoir 75011 Paris www.eppo.int [email protected] This pest risk analysis scheme has been specifically amended from the EPPO Decision-Support Scheme for an Express Pest Risk Analysis document PM 5/5(1) to incorporate the minimum requirements for risk assessment when considering invasive alien plant species under the EU Regulation 1143/2014. Amendments and use are specific to the LIFE Project (LIFE15 PRE FR 001) ‘Mitigating the threat of invasive alien plants to the EU through pest risk analysis to support the Regulation 1143/2014’. Cite this document as: EPPO (2017) Pest risk analysis for Salvinia molesta. EPPO, Paris. Available at: Photo: Salvinia molesta in Florida USA Courtesy: Michael D. Netherland EUROPEAN AND MEDITERRANEAN PLANT PROTECTION ORGANIZATION Pest risk analysis for Salvinia molesta D.S. Mitch. This PRA follows EPPO Standard PM5/5 Decision support scheme for an Express Pest Risk Analysis PRA area: EPPO region First draft prepared by: Oliver Pescott Location and date: Paris (FR), 2016-05-23/27 Composition of the Expert Working Group Chapman Daniel (Dr) Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Bush Estate, Penicuik, Edinburgh , UK, [email protected] COETZEE Julie (Dr) Dept. of Botany, Rhodes University, P.O. Box 94, 6140 Grahamstown, South Africa, [email protected] Hill Martin (Dr) Dept. of Zoology and Entomology, Rhodes University, P.O. Box 94, 6140 Grahamstown, South Africa, [email protected] HUSSNER Andreas (Dr) Institut für Botanik, Universistaet Duesseldorf, Universitaetsstrasse 1, D-40225 Duesseldorf, Germany, andreas.hussner@uni- duesseldorf.de NETHERLAND Michael (Dr) US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, 7922 NW 71st Street Gainesville, 32653 Florida, United States [email protected] NEWMAN Jonathan (Dr) NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford, OX10 8BB Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom, [email protected] PESCOTT Oliver (Dr) NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Wallingford, Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford, OX10 8BB Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom, [email protected] STIERS Iris (Dr) Algemene Plantkunde en Natuurbeheer (Plant Biology and Nature Management), Room 7F412, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium, [email protected] VAN VALKENBURG Johan (Dr) National Plant Protection Organization, Geertjesweg 15, P.O. Box 9102, 6700 HC Wageningen, Netherlands [email protected] TANNER Rob (Dr) OEPP/EPPO, 21 boulevard Richard Lenoir, 75011 Paris, France [email protected] 2 The pest risk analysis for Salvinia molesta has been performed under the LIFE funded project: LIFE15 PRE FR 001 Mitigating the threat of invasive alien plants to the EU through pest risk analysis to support the Regulation 1143/2014 In partnership with EUROPEAN AND MEDITERRANEAN PLANT PROTECTION ORGANIZATION And NERC CENTRE FOR ECOLOGY AND HYDROLOGY 3 Review Process • This PRA on Salvinia molesta was first drafted by Dr Oliver Pescott • The PRA was evaluated under an expert working group at the EPPO headquarters between 2016-05-23/27. • Following the finalisation of the document by the expert working group the PRA was peer reviewed by the following: (1) The EPPO Panel on Invasive Alien Plants (June and July 2016) (2) The EPPO PRA Core members (August and September 2016) (3) The Scientific Forum on invasive alien species (2017)1 1 Additional information has been included in the original document following review from the Scientific Forum on invasive alien species 4 Contents Summary 6 Stage 1: Initiation 11 Stage 2: Pest Risk Assessment 1. Taxonomy 12 2. Pest Overview 13 3. Is the pest a vector? 16 4. Is a vector needed for pest entry or spread? 16 5. Regulatory status of the pest 16 6. Distribution 17 7. Habitats and their distribution in the PRA area 20 8. Pathways for entry 21 9. Likelihood of establishment in the natural environment (PRA area) 25 10. Likelihood of establishment in the managed environment (PRA area) 25 11. Spread in the PRA area 25 12. Impact in the current area of distribution 26 12.01. Impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem patterns 26 12.02. Impacts on ecosystem services 28 12.03. Socio-economic impacts 29 13. Potential impact in the PRA area 31 14. Identification of the endangered area 32 15. Climate change 32 16. Overall assessment of risk 34 Stage 3: Pest risk management 37 17. Phytosanitary measures to prevent entry 37 17.01. Management measures for eradication, containment and control 38 18. Uncertainty 39 19. Remarks 40 20. References 41 Appendices Appendix 1 Projection of climatic suitability for Salvinia molesta establishment 49 Appendix 2 EU Biogeographical regions 57 Appendix 3 Images of Salvinia molesta 58 Appendix 4 Distribution maps of Salvinia molesta 61 Summary2 of the Express Pest Risk Analysis for Salvinia molesta PRA area: EPPO region (see https://www.eppo.int/ABOUT_EPPO/images/clickable_map.htm.) Describe the endangered area: The endangered area is the Mediterranean biogeographical region (EU Member States: France, Greece, Italy, Morocco, Portugal, Spain; wider EPPO region:Albania, Algeria, Turkey, Tunisia). Climate modelling suggests that Salvinia molesta is capable of establishing in the Mediterranean biogeographical region within the EPPO region including the European Union (EU). The species is capable of limited establishment in small areas of the Black Sea (Georgia) and Atlantic (France) biogeographical regions. Salvinia molesta has already been reported as introduced, with transient populations in space and time in Austria, Belgium, , France (Corsica only), Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal and Israel. Main conclusions Salvinia molesta presents a high phytosanitary risk for the endangered area within the EPPO region with a moderate uncertainty. Further spread within and between countries is likely. The overall likelihood of Salvinia molesta continuing to enter the EPPO region is high because the species is widely cultivated and continuously traded within the EPPO region. The risk of the species being introduced into other EPPO countries is considered high as the plant is widely traded especially in the EU. Potential movement through irrigation and interconnected waterways may act to facilitate spread nationally and regionally. The potential high impact of the species within the EPPO region should be considered similar to that seen in other regions where the species has established and become invasive; i.e. Australia, Africa and the southern states of the USA. Based on evidence elsewhere in the world, important ecosystem services are likely to be adversely affected by the presence of the plant. Impacts are likely to be more pronounced in countries and regions where the climate is most suited to establishment, growth and spread. Entry and establishment In Europe, S. molesta has been found in Austria, Belgium, France (Corsica), Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Portugal, but it is not clear if reports in the southern countries represent established populations. The overall likelihood of S. molesta entering the EPPO region is high. The pathways identified are: • Plants for planting (high likelihood of entry) • Contaminant of plants for planting (low likelihood of entry) • Contaminant of leisure equipment (low likelihood of entry) Salvinia molesta may establish throughout climatically and chemically suitable aquatic habitats within the EPPO region. Climate change could increase the likelihood of establishment, spread and impact in more areas of the EPPO region. Potential impacts in the PRA area Aquatic free floating plants are highly opportunistic and have the ability to exploit novel habitats. Other non-native mat forming species have been shown to have high impacts in the PRA area. 2 The summary should be elaborated once the analysis is completed The potential economic impact of Salvinia molesta in the EPPO region could be highly significant if the species spreads and establishes in further areas. There is potential for the species to impede transport and affect recreation, irrigation and drainage. Based on experience elsewhere in the world, management is likely to be both expensive and difficult. There are no host specific natural enemies in the EPPO region to regulate the pest species, and in many EPPO countries herbicide application in or around water bodies is highly regulated or not permitted. Impacts in the EPPO area will likely be attenuated by climatic suitability, but, in areas where S. molesta is able to establish and spread, impacts are likely to be similar unless under control. For example, many of the impacts on biodiversity relate to ecosystem processes such as decomposition and the alteration of nutrient cycling, which, assuming that S. molesta is able to reach the levels of abundance required for these impacts to be displayed, can be assumed to occur in these areas to the same extent as in the current area of distribution. Europe has several atypical aquatic thermal habitats such as thermal streams and waters affected by thermal discharge from industry. This may expand impacts into areas that would otherwise be considered climatically unsuitable by coarse environmental modelling. For example, the Hungarian thermal streams and the Italian Fosso Dell’Acqua calda near Pisa (Garbari et al., 2000). If these waters are connected to more typical waters they may act
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