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Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society La Societe canadient;le de meteorologie et d'oceanographie www.cmos2008.ca 300 METEOROLOGISTS IN ONE CITY? TALK ABOUT A SI1ESSFUL WEEKEND FOR THE LOCAL WEA1lIERCASlER. WE'RE PROUD TO BE A PART OF THE CMOS 200B CONGRESS. ~ther ~ Met~ Network ~ Media 2008 Congress Congrès 2008 Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society La Société canadienne de météorologie et d’océanographie May 25-29, 2008 Kelowna, B.C. 25-29 mai, 2008 Kelowna, C.-B. Water, Weather, and Climate: Science Informing Decisions Eau, météo, et climat: La science comme outil de décision The Grand Okanagan Lakefront Resort and Conference Centre (www.grandokanagan.com) www.cmos2008.ca Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS) La Société canadienne de météorologie et d’océanographie (SCMO) 42nd Congress / 42e Congrès Kelowna 2008 25–29 May / 25 au 29 mai, 2008 Water, Weather and Climate: Science Informing Decisions L’eau, la météo et le climat : La science comme outil de décision Editor / Rédactrice : Lisa Vitols PROGRAM / PROGRAMME www.cmos2008.ca Abstracts available online at / Les résumés sont disponibles à https://www1.cmos.ca/abstracts/congress_schedule.asp ISBN 978-0-9732812-5-5 Front cover designed by / la couverture a été créée par : Danielle Prevost, Vancouver, BC Cover photo / Photo de couverture : Gabor Fricska, Kelowna, BC We would like to thank / Nous désirons remercier : • Rosalie Rutka for producing the program / Rosalie Rutka pour la production du programme • Robert Mailhot for translation services / Robert Mailhot pour traduction et révision • Carl Dubeau : Congress photographer / photographe du Congrès Program printed by / le programme a été imprimé par : Source Graphics, Kelowna, BC May / mai 2008 Contents Event Partners / Nos associés....................................................................................................................... 4 Welcome from the Mayor of Kelowna / Mot de bienvenue de la mairesse de Kelowna ............................. 5 Welcome from the President of CMOS ....................................................................................................... 6 Mot de bienvenue du président de la SCMO................................................................................................ 6 Local Arrangements Committee welcome ................................................................................................... 7 Mot de bienvenue du comité des dispositions locales.................................................................................. 8 Science Program Committee welcome......................................................................................................... 9 Mot de bienvenue du président du programme scientifique......................................................................... 9 A word about the Society........................................................................................................................... 10 Quelques mots à propos de la Société........................................................................................................ 10 2008 Student travel bursary recipients/...................................................................................................... 10 Récipiendaires 2008 des bourses de voyage pour étudiants....................................................................... 10 Local arrangements committee/ Comité des dispositions locales .............................................................. 11 Scientific program committee/ Comité du programme scientifique........................................................... 11 Information................................................................................................................................................. 12 Information................................................................................................................................................. 13 Les événements sociaux............................................................................................................................. 18 Social events .............................................................................................................................................. 19 Our exhibitors / Nos exposants .................................................................................................................. 22 Workshops and meetings ........................................................................................................................... 29 Ateliers et réunions .................................................................................................................................... 30 Public lecture / La conférence publique..................................................................................................... 31 Public speakers........................................................................................................................................... 32 La conférence publique, nos conférenciers ................................................................................................ 33 Plenary speakers......................................................................................................................................... 35 Les conférenciers des plénières.................................................................................................................. 36 Session descriptions ................................................................................................................................... 43 Descriptions des présentations ................................................................................................................... 44 Session schedules / Horaires des présentations.......................................................................................... 65 Poster Session/La session des affiches....................................................................................................... 79 Author Index / Index des auteurs ............................................................................................................... 85 Abstracts........................................................................................................................................ abstracts 1 42nd CMOS Congress / 42e congrès SCMO 2008 Event Partners / Nos associés 4 42nd CMOS Congress / 42e congrès SCMO 2008 City of Kelowna Office of the Mayor Welcome from the Mayor of Kelowna / Mot de bienvenue de la mairesse de Kelowna May 2008 Welcome to Kelowna – A Natural Choice! On behalf of the Kelowna City Council, I am happy to write this letter welcoming all the delegates attending the Annual Congress of the Canadian Meterological and Oceanographic Society from May 25 to 30, 2008 at the Grand Okanagan Lakefront Resort and Conference Centre. We are honoured and privileged that your society has chosen to hold your annual congress in our city. Your congress theme of “Water, Weather and Climate: Science Informing Decisions” will attract many interested society members and will also appeal to members of the public. The presentations offered by leading researchers and scientists cover many fascinating and topical subjects that will undoubtedly provide a valuable exchange of information and education for everyone involved. We trust that this important gathering of your society will provide an opportunity to share information, meet new people, and enjoy your visit to Kelowna. Kelowna is a dynamic and vibrant city renowned for our hospitality and friendliness. If time permits, we hope you will enjoy exploring our parks and waterfront esplanade, and experience the many unique restaurants, shops, golf courses and wineries in our area. Kelowna’s Cultural District, located in the downtown area near the Grand Okanagan Lakefront Resort, is evolving into a vibrant artistic and recreational centre. While you are here I know you will receive the traditional warm Kelowna welcome from our citizens, a welcome that I hope will encourage you to return. Yours very truly, Sharon Shepherd MAYOR 42nd CMOS Congress / 42e congrès SCMO 5 2008 Welcome from the President of CMOS On behalf of the CMOS Council and Executive, it is my pleasure to welcome you to the 42nd Congress of the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society in Kelowna, British Columbia. With a theme of Water, Weather, Climate: Science Informing Decisions, ou r society and its members can continue to show the importance of meteorology and oceanography to all Canadians and the country as a whole. Several years of hard work by many people behind the scenes have led to this congress, which should be an extremely successful event. This congress would never have been possible without the ha rd work of people in the m ain CMOS office in Ottawa, as well as the many dedicated volunteers from Kelowna and beyond. Despite Kelowna being a smaller centre, we are looking at a program for this congress that is second to none. We have many people to thank for this, but for now I’d like to acknowledge those leading the way: Kent Johnson, Chair of the CMOS 2008 Local Arrangements Committee, and Peter Jackson and Diane Masson, Co-Chairs of the CMOS 2008 Scientific Program Committee. Additionally, the Congress is not just a scie ntific and social event but also an occasi on for the Council and the CMOS committees to meet and carry out som e essential business for th e society. These meetings
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