State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Contents Foreword

Introduction 03 Connected, Competitive Resilient are for us the importance of ensuring using and recycling local resources and Population 04 the three key pillars of the 2019 Industrial that development offers potential for re-distributing their benefits at a ‘whole and Economic Plan for the Capital clean growth, environmentally friendly place’ level. Achieving this is not easy but Wealth and Deprivation 12 Region (CCR) and have been the subject construction, energy efficient utility other things we are doing across the CCR Health and Well-Being 18 matter for our initial series of three “state provision and reduced congestion. to help achieve this include; Environment, Culture 24 of the region” reports. In Connected, and Heritage we read about the need to re-balance We also have a significant ageing — Experimenting with new challenge the regional economy through initiatives population with an average of 20% of funds and the concept of greater public such as Metro in order to impact not the City Region’s population at 65 years service innovation and how we might just economic outcomes – but quality or older. This means that the CCR will better engage and collaborate to solve of life too. The projected job losses as need to embrace the challenges of an some of the big economic and societal a result of the proposed Ford Bridgend ageing population and all that will need problems of the day. closure and the recent announcements to mean for best in class care provision, — Moving toward a much more in Newport on the cessation of steel- overcoming mobility and social issues, proactive approach to engaging in the making at the ORB works have brought and not least addressing endemic development of our priority sectors and into sharp focus the fact that fragility and loneliness. Like the corporate community, key industries of the future and ensuring disruption is increasingly a constant. In the foundational economy and public that they can be anchored right across Competitive, we referenced the fact that sector will also need to; embrace models the region through development of a high growth competitive economy alone of efficiency, preserve service quality, supply chains, maximisation of supplier will not deliver the inclusive benefits increase the amount society is willing and effects and local skills and training. and widespread prosperity we desire. able to pay for much needed services in Our ambition is to move beyond simply However, whilst being fundamental to order to ensure the CCR is a competitive, identifying vulnerabilities and absorbing our ambition, it is important to recognise attractive place to live. the impact of shocks to being proactive that being connected and competitive about creating the systemic and are simply means to an end – and that On a very positive note, the overall trend structural conditions to enable these that end is unequivocally economic in personal wellbeing across the CCR key sectors to thrive. sustainability and resilient communities. is good with over 80% saying they have Accordingly, this third and final report high or very high levels of satisfaction The ability to adapt is essential and of this initial state of the region series, with their lives. However, we know we is the only way we will achieve our shines a spotlight on our current levels have pockets where these scores would ambitions for sustainable growth, resilient of resilience and state of readiness for not be representative. Our ambition for communities and quality living standards adaptation and change. the CCR is to have a resilient wellbeing for the whole region. strategy that assists ALL citizens, hence Unlike most other City regions in the we will look to focus in particular on UK we have a significant mix of urban the economically excluded by providing versus rural communities with over 75% training in appropriate employable skills, of the population residing outside of providing fit for purpose education and Cardiff. This will increasingly necessitate supporting social wellbeing in order to significantly improved transport, enable people to adapt to the future of enhanced digital connectivity as well as work and quality of life. new housing across the CCR to link our people to their places of employment and Resilient local economies are those that social engagement. It also emphasises can provide good livelihoods for people,

Cerys Furlong Economic Growth Partnership Introduction

At the heart of the Cardiff Capital and context-specific – a unique basket some places to adapt considerably to highlighted the vulnerabilities of many Region’s industrial and economic plan is of measures relevant to the region changing demands on public services of the CCR’s towns and businesses to the strategic goal of building a resilient – in recognition of the fact that the in the future. The importance of the flooding, and has re-affirmed the growing regional economy. Resilience is the risks facing each region, as well as its region’s Universities in bringing young importance of appropriate and effective ability to cope with shocks and to adapt vulnerabilities and capacities to cope and people into the region is also evident in warnings in advance of unprecedented to changing circumstances, and in adapt, will undoubtedly be unique. the data here, and in this regard, it will weather events. an increasingly turbulent world it has be interesting to track the impact of the become a critical attribute for a region. This report provides a selection of some CCR’s graduate internship scheme on More positively, the rich natural beauty Measuring the resilience of a regional of the key indicators that will helpful rates of graduate retention in the region of the region’s environment (and its economy is not an easy task, but a for decision-makers in the CCR as they and enhanced employment capacities. hinterland in the form of the Brecon growing body of research has pointed pursue greater resilience. As noted in Beacons National Park) provides a to some of the key elements required to the previous two ‘State of the Region’ There are also a number of insightful wealth of resources and opportunities build resilience assessment in practice. reports, this contribution provides only indicators here which point at differences for tourism, health and recreation, as a brief flavour of the sorts of measures in the economic vulnerabilities of does the region’s breadth of cultural and Firstly, robust resilience assessment that will be required to paint a picture households and communities across historical heritage. The data here also requires a thorough understanding of the region and its resilience. More the CCR. The data shows that the debt points to considerable strength in the of the nature and scale of the risks data is needed on, for example, the burdens borne by households vary CCR’s communities through high reported facing a region, coupled with the adaptability and diversity of the region’s considerably across different places, levels of well-being and quality of life. various sources of vulnerability for its business base over time, alongside for example, which signals significant These indicators certainly provide scope constituent households, communities, more analysis of the resources at the unevenness in the financial buffers that to be optimistic regarding the region’s firms and public authorities. Secondly, disposal of public authorities to support households are able to draw upon if and capacity to forge a strong and distinctive resilience measurement demands a the coping strategies and capacities when their circumstances change. Similar identity, and to cope with the various long-term approach to data gathering of people and places. Whilst the data geographical patterns are evident in the challenges that lie ahead. What is clear and assessment so that an understanding gathered here is therefore somewhat levels of deprivation, wages and in the is that in the current context of change, of the main changes impacting on the partial, it nevertheless provides a number access to free school meals across the more detailed resilience assessment and region from both the inside and out can of valuable insights about the critical region, all of which are suggestive of a analysis will be invaluable. be developed and tracked over time. resilience challenges and opportunities strong relationship between resilience Thirdly, resilience assessment requires which face the CCR. and inequality. In other words, it is the a detailed understanding of the sources less prosperous households and places of strength in a region, notably in terms In particular, the population dynamics in the region that will likely be the of the capacities, assets and resources of the different parts of the CCR least resilient when various shocks and of its people and places to adapt and are clearly very variable, with some changes hit. There are also a number of cope when shocks occur. And finally, communities experiencing a much indicators here relating to the region’s and perhaps most importantly, resilience more rapid growth in the over-65’s than natural and cultural environment. Storm measurement needs to be place-based others, indicating the imperative for Dennis has very recently of course,

Professor Gill Bristow Cardiff University 4 3 2 1 Footnotes Population 01. 4 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient authority andyear, 2018 (persons persquare kilometre) by local Welsh Government: Population density copyright anddatabase right2012 contain Ordnance Survey data©Crown copyright anddatabase right2012 & contain National Statistics data©Crown Open Government License, Allmaps by local authority andyear, 2018 Welsh Government: Population estimates local authority andyear, 2018 Welsh Government: Population estimates by Population (mid2017) most dense authority (Newport). in terms ofpopulation astheregion’s next Cardiff ismore thanthree timesasdense population. rural particularly areas,rural withMonmouthshire havinga region hasamixofheavilyurbanised and Distinctive for countryside, its thecity and Bridgend. Rhondda Cynon Taf, Caerphilly, Newport, ofthepopulation, including large portion a number ofother authorities make upa unlike mostotherregions city intheUK authority intheCardiff Capital Region, While Cardiff remains thelargest declining by 0.6%. 17.0% andBlaenau Gwent slightly growth since 2001, withCardiff rising have beenvariable levels ofpopulation Within theCardiff Capital Region there Merthyr Tyd l:Merthyr 59,953 Blaenau Gwent: 69,609 2 Monmouthshire: 93,590 Vale of Glamorgan: 130,690 Torfaen: 92,264 Bridgend: 144,288 Percentage changeinpopulation (2001-2017) -4.5 13.5 4.5 Newport: 151,485 Newport:

Blaenau Gwent 18 0 9 Caerphilly: 180,795

Bridgend Rhondda Cynon Taf: 239,127

Caerphilly

Cardiff Merthyr Tydfil

Monmouthshire 1

Rhondda CynonNewport Taf

Vale of Glamorgan Cardi: 362,756

Torfaen Built up areas of Cardiff Capital Region3 Population density (persons per square kilometre) (mid 2017) 4

3000

2250

Blaenau Gwent Monmouthshire Merthyr 1500 Tydl Torfaen

Rhondda Caerphilly 750 Cynon Taf

Newport Bridgend

0 Cardi

Built up areas The Vale of Glamorgan Cardiff Torfaen Bridgend Newport Caerphilly Merthyr Tydfil Blaenau Gwent Monmouthshire Vale of Glamorgan Rhondda Cynon Taf 7 6 5 Footnotes Population 01. 6 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient 2012-based Population projections for Scottish areas, projections for , 2014-based, NRS: Government: Local authority population projections for England, 2014-based, Welsh 2014-based, ONS:Subnational population ONS: National population projections, and year, 2016 components ofchangeby local authority Welsh Government: Population projection 2012-based Population projections for Scottish areas, projections for Wales, 2014-based, NRS: Government: Local authority population projections for England, 2014-based, Welsh 2014-based, ONS:Subnational population ONS: National population projections, Projected population projections), change(principal mid2015 to mid2025 comparable to Liverpool Region. City is however projected to rise to 1,558,000, population oftheCardiff Capital Region regions such asBristol (8.9%). Thetotal mid-2025 at3.6% compared to other city see relatively low levels ofgrowthto suggest theCardiff Capital Region will Population projections for regions UKcity year olds. population anddeclineof1.8% for 45-64 Region, withastagnating16-44 year olds age population for theCardiff Capital highlight thedeclineinworking Population projections to mid-2025 also authority may beakey concern. long-term provision service insuch arural the largest share (24.6%) suggesting 65 orolder, withMonmouthshire having have over 20% oftheirpopulation aged Half ofallauthorities region inthecity 800k 3.2m 2.4m 1.6m 0 Bristol 8.9% Midlands West 7.5% Projected population inmid2025 Manchester Greater 5.9% Edinburgh 7.3% Yorkshire West 5.5% Sheffield Population percentage change (2015-25) 4.8% 5 Cardiff 3.6% North East North 3.3% Liverpool 2.8% Glasgow 2.2% Percentage of population over age 65 6

20% 20.1% 19.1% 14% 18.5% Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardi Merthyr Tyd l

24.6% 1 7. 3 % 19% 20.7% 20.3% Monmouthshire Newport Rhondda Cynon Taf The Vale of Glamorgan Torfaen

Percentage change in population (principal projections), mid 2015 to mid 2025, by broad age group 7

50

37.5

25

12.5

0

-12.5

Bristol West Greater Edinburgh West Sheffield Cardiff North East Liverpool Glasgow Midlands Manchester Yorkshire

Age Groups: 0-15 16-44 45-64 64+ 10 9 8 Footnotes Population 01. 8 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient based by singleyear ofage, 2015 ONS population estimates - local authority NRS andNISRA estimates) ONS population estimates (incorporating international migrationestimates ONS population estimates, NRS universities region. inthecity attributed tobe partly thenumber of a highlevel ofyoung people, thiscan While theCardiff Capital Region has Glasgow beingcomparatively lower. Liverpool,with onlytheNorth-East, and much lower thanmanyotherregions, city 24,000 people. However at1.6% thisis Capital Region’s population hasgrown by Over thepastfour years theCardiff international migrants. fairly average agedistribution oflongterm The Cardiff Capital Region maintainsa City region long-term international immigrants by region long-term immigrants international age groupCity (mid2011 to mid2015) Greater Manchester Greater London West Midlands West Yorkshire North East North Edinburgh Liverpool Sheffield Glasgow Cardiff Bristol 0% 15% 16% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% 18% 19% 19% Age Groups: 17% 9% 15% 15% 25% 17% 18% 16% 14% 18% 17% 14% 0-18 19-21 34% 50% 36% 36% 35% 36% 22-29 43% 37% 38% 37% 41% 38% 8 30-44 24% 75% 45-59 21% 21% 20% 21% 18% 18% 19% 19% 20% 20% 60+ 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 100% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% City region population growth 9 Cardiff Capital Region population pyramid by age (2015) 10

City region Population mid-2011 Population mid-2015 Growth % Growth Male Female 90+ Greater London 8,204,000 8,674,000 469,000 5.7%

Bristol 1,070,000 1,119,000 49,000 4.5%

West Midlands 2,740,000 2,834,000 94,000 3.4% 75

Greater Manchester 2,685,000 2,756,000 71,000 2.6%

Edinburgh 1,316,000 1,350,000 34,000 2.6%

West Yorkshire 2,227,000 2,282,000 54,000 2.4% 50 Sheffield 1,344,000 1,375,000 31,000 2.3%

Cardiff 1,482,000 1,505,000 24,000 1.6%

North East 1,933,000 1,957,000 24,000 1.2%

Liverpool 1,506,000 1,525,000 18,000 1.2% 25

Glasgow 1,787,000 1,804,000 17,000 1.0%

City regions 26,295,000 27,180,000 885,000 3.4%

City regions not London 18,091,000 18,506,000 415,000 2.3%

0 Rest of the UK 36,990,000 37,930,000 940,000 2.5% 12,000 6000 0 6000 12,000

UK 63,285,000 65,110,000 1,825,000 2.9%

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding 13 12 11 Footnotes Population 01. 10 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Ibid. ONS: Census ofpopulation, 2011 in Wales, Welsh Government 2014-based projections for local authorities greater declinefrom 69,000 to 66,000. Blaenau Gwent isprojected to see a Torfaen, andMonmouthshire, while Tydfil,of Glamorgan, Merthyr Caerphilly, stagnation orslightdeclinefor theVale Rhondda Cynon Taf, andNewport, moderate increases for Bridgend, the year 2039 (from 370,000 to 445,000), show highlevels ofgrowthfor Cardiff to authorities intheCardiff Capital Region Population projections for theunitary and Bridgend increasing considerably. ofCardiff, Newport, population, withparts urban centres see sharprises indaytime located. Aswould beexpected thelarger where majoremployment areas are daytime population helpsto indicate Compared to nighttimepopulation, 2014 based unitary authority population (2019, projections 2014 based unitary 2029, 2039) 500,000 250,000 375,000 125,000 0 Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff 2019 Merthyr Merthyr Tydfil 2029 Monmouthshire 11 2039 Newport Cynon Taf Rhondda Glamorgan Vale of Torfaen Daytime population (2011) 12 Nighttime population (2011) 13

< 5,000 < 5,000 5,000 - 10,000 5,000 - 10,000 10,001 - 15,000 10,001 - 15,000 15,001 - 20,000 15,001 - 20,000 > 20,000 > 20,000 17 16 15 14 Footnotes Deprivation Wealth and 02. 12 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Ibid. Ibid. 2018 ONS: Annual Survey ofHours andEarnings, Wage Cardiff Capital Region Bevan Foundation Fair (2016) Pay: ALiving decline inworkplace pay. Taf was theonlyauthority to see aslight and residence pay, whileRhonddaCynon strong wage growthfor both workplace 2015Between and2018, Torfaen saw Wage in2018. Capital Region were paidbelow theLiving 140,000 employee jobsintheCardiff those thatwork there. and £5,618 higher, respectively, thanfor wages for full timeworkers being£4,978 differences, with residential annual gross of Glamorgan high have particularly wages, Monmouthshire andTheVale Comparing workplace wages andresident based onworkplace. gross pay offull timeworkers of£12.85/hr Cardiff Capital Region’s medianhourly Four authorities exceed unitary the Numbers and proportion paidby andproportion theNumbers LivingWage (2018) Glasgow Region City Cardiff Capital Region Sheffield Region City Authority East CombinedNorth Liverpool Region City West ofEngland Peterborough Cambridgeshire & West Midlands London Greater Manchester £24 million If a quarter oflow paidworkersIf aquarter intheCardiff Capital Region move upto thereal LivingWage, over ayear the regional economy isprojected to grow by: Number paidbelow the real Living Wage 830,000 280,000 265,000 140,000 150,000 145,000 195,000 155,000 80,000 85,000 14 Proportion paidbelowProportion the real LivingWage 20% 20% 26% 24% 25% 25% 23% 27% 19% 19%

Median annual gross pay of full time workers by location (2018) 15 Median hourly gross pay of full time workers by workplace (2018) 17 £34k Bridgend: £13.80

Cardi: £13.54 £25.5k Monmouthshire: £13.53

Torfaen: £13.18 £17k

Cardi Capital Region Median Local Authority Wage £8.5k £12.85/hr

£0 Caerphilly: £12.81

Blaenau Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Merthyr Monmouthshire Newport Rhondda Vale of Torfaen Rhondda Cynon Taf: £12.81 Gwent Tydfil Cynon Taf Glamorgan By Workplace By Residence Newport: £12.49

Blaenau Gwent: £12.49 Percentage change in median annual gross pay of full time workers by location (2015-2018) 16 Vale of Glamorgan: £12.16 20 Merthyr Tydl: £11.95

14.75

9.5

4.25

0

-4.25 Blaenau Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Merthyr Monmouthshire Newport Rhondda Vale of Torfaen Gwent Tydfil Cynon Taf Glamorgan By Workplace By Residence 19 18 Footnotes Deprivation Wealth and 02. 14 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Multiple Deprivation, 2014 Welsh Government: Welsh Index of 2017 Registrations Registered by Area ofUsual Residence, Statistics: Deaths ONS: Mortality and Newport. and theurbancentres ofBarry, Cardiff, region of thecity portions the northern Deprivation, are amajority located within identified inthe Welsh Index ofMultiple the20%Of mostdeprived communities 2.1 per1,000 in Caerphilly. live births inMonmouthshire comparedreported to highs of6.8 per1,000 are live births rates, where looking atinfant mortality The difference is even more starkwhen Gwent to 7.7 per1,000 peopleinCardiff. from per1,000 12.3 peopleinBlaenau Capital Region show highlevels ofvariation, rates withintheCardiff Crude mortality Rhondda Cynon Taf Mortality rates (2017) rates Mortality Vale ofGlamorgan Monmouthshire Blaenau Gwent Merthyr TydfilMerthyr Caerphilly Bridgend Newport Torfaen Cardiff 18 0 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000Infant mortality (2017) live births) rate (deathsCrude per1,000 mortality population) (2017) No data No data No data 3.5 7 10.5 14 Deprived communities by ranking for all of Wales (showing CCR only) (2014) 19

Most Deprived

Least Deprived 22 21 20 Footnotes Deprivation Wealth and 02. 16 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient postcode, 2018 UK Finance: Unsecured personal loansby year, 2018 school mealsby local authority, region and Welsh Government: Pupils eligiblefor free billing authority andband(£)(2018/19) Welsh Government: Council taxlevels by £5,000 £2,500 in eachauthority. be impacted by therangeofhouse prices Council taxlevels are also variable but will and RhonddaCynon Taf. ofBridgend amounts are seen inportions and Monmouthshire. Particularly large ofthe of Cardiff, parts Vale ofGlamorgan low levelswith particularly seen inparts throughout theCardiff Capital Region, value ofpersonal loansisquite variable The debt burden measured through the Only Torfaen saw anincrease (+4.6%). 16.1% reduction between2015/16 and2017/18. school meals,withBlaenau Gwent seeing a in thepercentage ofpupils eligiblefor free Capital Region have seen strong declines All but oneauthority withintheCardiff Council levels tax by billingauthority andband(£)(2018/19) £3,333 £1,667 £4,167 £833 £0 Blaenau Gwent Bridgend A- Caerphilly A B Cardiff C Merthyr Merthyr 20 Tydfil D Monmouthshire E F Newport G Cynon Taf Rhondda H I Glamorgan Vale of Torfaen Percentage change in pupils eligible for free school meals (2015/16-2017/18) 21 Value of personal loans outstanding in the Cardiff Capital Region (Q1 2018)22

4.5

0

-4.5

-9

-13.5

-18

Cardiff Torfaen Bridgend Newport Caerphilly Merthyr Tydfil Blaenau Gwent Monmouthshire Vale of Glamorgan Rhondda Cynon Taf

£0 - £2,500,000 £2,500,000 - £5,000,000 £5,000,000 - £7,500,000 £7,500,000 - £10,000,000 £10,000,000 - £12,850,755 26 25 24 23 Footnotes Well-Being Health and 03.

18 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient people, 2018 & Rate ofdrug misuse per100,000 Rate ofalcohol misuse per100,000 people NHS Wales Informatics Service(NWIS): Immunisations, 2018 NHS Wales Informatics Service(NWIS): % ofobese (BMI30+) adults,2016/17 Welsh Government: Welsh HealthSurvey, Waiting Times Summary Statistics, 2019 NHS Wales Informatics Service(NWIS):

at 309per100,000 persons in2017/18. while drugmisuse ishighestinNewport TydfilMerthyr 100,000 at330per persons Rates ofalcohol misuse are thehighestin population asobese. authorities ofthe registering aquarter Cardiff Capital Region, with four remainsObesity aconcern inthe the lowest uptake in2017/18 at86.2%. greatest decline(-5.3%) andCardiff seeing and 2017/18 withMonmouthshire seeing the of the2nddose ofMMRbetween2013/14 All authorities saw adeclineintheuptake days inBlaenau Gwent. Region, fromdays 102 inBridgend to 71.6 throughoutvary theCardiff Capital Average waiting timesfor elective surgery

Mean waiting times forMean times waiting (2017/18) elective surgery Bridgend Blaenau Gwent Wales Torfaen Vale ofGlamorgan Rhondda Cynon Taf Newport Monmouthshire Merthyr Tydfil Cardiff Caerphilly 23 102.0 90.9 93.8 93.5 74.4 78.8 90.7 76.2 80.7 92.7 71.6 Days Percentage of obese (BMI 30+) adults (2016/17 & 2017/18) 24 2nd dose MMR by age 5 (% uptake) (2013/14-2017/18) 25 95

92.75

90.5

88.25

Blaenau Gwent Monmouthshire 86 Merthyr Tydl

Torfaen Cardiff Torfaen Bridgend Newport Caerphilly

Blaenau Gwent Merthyr Tydfil Rhondda Cynon Taf Monmouthshire Caerphilly Vale of Glamorgan Rhondda Cynon Taf

Newport 2013/14 2017/18 Bridgend

Rate of substance misuse per 100,000 population (2017/18) 26 Cardi 400

The Vale of Glamorgan 17.2% 300 17.3% - 18.9% 19.0% - 25.5% 200 25.6% - 28.7%

28.8% - 32.9% 100

0

Cardiff Torfaen Bridgend Newport Caerphilly Merthyr Tydfil Blaenau Gwent Monmouthshire Vale of Glamorgan Rhondda Cynon Taf Alcohol misuse Drug misuse 29 28 27 Footnotes Well-Being Health and 03. 20 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Ibid. Crime Survey for England andWales, 2015 population, 2015 Rate ofallcriminaloffences per 1,000 Crime Survey for England andWales,

(6.4) andCardiff (6.0). Tydfilpersons were highestinMerthyr Rates ofpublic order offences per 1,000 Bridgend. 45.7 per1,000 persons to lows of15.4 in with theftrates thehighestinCardiff at authorities intheCardiff Capital Region, Crime considerably ratesacross vary decline (66.1 fewer offences per 1,000). 2015-16, seeing thegreatest withNewport quite highrates between2003-04 to Criminal offences have declinedfrom Rate offences ofallcriminal per 1,000 population Bridgend Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Vale ofGlamorgan Rhondda Cynon Taf Newport Monmouthshire Merthyr Tydfil Cardiff Caerphilly 2003-04 152.0 129.2 152.4 107.4 94.0 93.9 93.6 85.8 72.5 87.6 27 2015-16 44.6 68.6 56.6 65.3 45.3 86.4 59.5 82.4 91.8 51.7 % Change -46.9 -48.6 -60.3 -38.8 -26.3 -35.9 -28.7 37.0 -3 -66.1 7.9 2 - Rate of more frequent crimes (2015/16) 28 Rate of less frequent crimes (2015/16) 29

Blaenau Gwent Blaenau Gwent

Bridgend Bridgend

Caerphilly Caerphilly

Cardiff Cardiff

Merthyr Tydfil Merthyr Tydfil

Monmouthshire Monmouthshire

Newport Newport

Rhondda Cynon Taf Rhondda Cynon Taf

Vale of Glamorgan Vale of Glamorgan

Torfaen Torfaen

0 12.5 25 37.5 50 0 1.25 3.5 5.25 7

Rate of criminal damage and arson per 1,000 population Rate of drug offences per 1,000 population Rate of theft offences per 1,000 population Rate of fraud offences per 1,000 population Rate of violence against the person per 1,000 population Rate of miscellaneous crimes against society per 1,000 population Rate of possession of weapons offences per 1,000 population Rate of public order offences per 1,000 population Rate of robbery per 1,000 population Rate of sexual offences per 1,000 population 31 30 Footnotes Well-Being Health and 03.

22 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Ibid. ONS: Annual Population Survey, 2018

noting declines in particular indicators. noting declinesinparticular the Cardiff Capital Region, withonlya few ratings were seen inmostauthorities within Since 2015/16, improvements inwellbeing low levels ofanxiety. 63% verylow ofpeoplealsoor reported of happiness. saying they hadhighorveryfeelings that whatthey doisworthwhile, and74% saying they hadhighorveryfeelings levels ofsatisfaction withtheirlives, 83% people saying they hadhighorvery Capital Region are quite high,with81% of Personal well-being levels intheCardiff Estimates of personal well-being for the Cardiff Capital Region (July 2017- June 2018)30

Overall, how satisfied are you with your Overall, to what extent do you feel the Overall, how happy did you feel Overall, how anxious did you feel life nowadays? things you do in your life are worthwhile? yesterday? yesterday?

5% 4% 9% 14% 12% 22% 31% 36% 16% 35% 42% 16% 50% 47% 39% 21%

Low (0 - 4) Medium (5 - 6) Very Low (0 - 1) Low (2 - 3) High (7 - 8) Very High (9 - 10) Medium (4 - 5) High (6 - 10)

Rate change in LA average rating of personal well-being (2015/16 - 2017/18) 31

Overall, how satisfied are you with To what extent do you feel the things Overall, how happy did you feel Overall, how anxious did you feel your life nowadays? you do in your life are worthwhile? yesterday? yesterday?

Blaenau Gwent Bridgend Caerphilly Cardiff Merthyr Tydfil Monmouthshire Newport Rhondda Cynon Taf Vale of Glamorgan Torfaen -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 -0.20 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25 0.50 34 33 32 Footnotes Heritage Culture and Environment, 04. 24 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient Ibid. Survey, 2016/17 Brecon BeaconsNational Park, Visitor authority three ormore timesaweek by local activities insporting people participating National Survey for Wales: Percentage of amount ofspendfor visitors to thepark. Food anddrinkconstituted thelargest ofthepark. and eastern portions predominantly concentrated inthecentral wide rangeofuser activities,withvisitors The Brecon BeaconsNational Park saw a Rhondda Cynon Taf (21%). Vale ofGlamorgan (39%) andlowest in were inthe highest rates ofparticipation activities three ormore timesaweek. The insporting their residentsparticipating Capital Region see 30% or more of Six oftheten authorities intheCardiff Rhondda Cynon Taf week (2017) Percentage three activities ofpeople(16+) a ormore times insporting participating Vale ofGlamorgan Monmouthshire Blaenau Gwent Merthyr TydfilMerthyr Caerphilly Bridgend Newport Torfaen Cardiff 32 0 10 20 30 40 Where do visitors go when they visit the Brecon Beacons? Map source: Brecon Beacons National Park Visitor Survey 2016/17 33

Hay on Wye - Percentage of respondents that Hay on Wye Bookshops Key mention areas:

O‹as Dyke Footpath Brecon Theatre Talgarth / 20% and over Black Mountain (Theatr Brycheiniog) Llangorse Activity Centre Llandovery 10-19% Brecon Cathedral Llandovery Crafts Centre Llangorse Lake / Brecon Museum Activity Centre 5-9% Pengen‹ordd / Brecon Keepers Pond 3-4% Usk Reservoir Sennybridge / Llanthony / Trecastle Llanthony Priory Cantref Farm & Waun Fach / 1-2% National Park Riding Centre Black Mountains Llanddeusant Kite Centre Visitor Centre / Horseshoe Walk / <1% Llandeilo Mountain Centre Fan Y Big / Cribyn Aberglasney Gardens Storey Arms / Dinefwr Castle Llangynidr / Pen Y Fan / Corn Du Brecon BeaconsTal-y-Bont Talybont Carreg Cennen Castle Reservoir Brecon Canal

Dan Yr Ogof Torpantau Abergavenny Abergavenny Garwnant Forest Brynamman / Museum & Castle Ammanford Abercraf / Craig y Nos Brecon Mountain Railway Blaenavon Cyfarthfa Castle Big Pit

Pontneddfechan / Merthyr Tyd l Waterfalls / Ystradfellte Outside of the Brecon Beacons

Average visitor spend per day for Brecon Beacons National Park (2016/17) 34

Type of expenditure All Living Locally or Resident Day Visitor Staying Within Park Staying Outside Park

Food and drink £35.58 £13.17 £14.56 £67.14 £52.07

Entertainment/attractions £9.82 £4.43 £4.22 £21.67 £13.14

Tourist shopping £10.36 £2.96 £5.94 £18.67 £19.58

Transport in the area £8.25 £2.73 £4.47 £12.91 £21.98

Other purchases £11.26 £7.04 £5.59 £23.54 £18.21 37 36 35 Footnotes Heritage Culture and Environment, 04. 26 — Cardiff Capital Region State of the Region Part 3: Resilient copyright anddatabase right2012 & contain Ordnance Survey data©Crown Crown copyright anddatabase right2012 All mapscontain National Statistics data© Technology, OpenGovernment Licence,. Welsh Government: Geographyand copyright anddatabase right2012 & contain Ordnance Survey data©Crown Crown copyright anddatabase right2012 maps contain National Statistics data© areas 2015, OpenGovernment Licence, All Natural Resources Wales: warning Flood by local authority,arts 2017 people (16+) in attending orparticipating National Survey for Wales: Percentage of designated conservationareas. The Cardiff Capital Region contains 526 Monmouthshire. residents inRhonddaCynon Taf to 85% in activities rangefrom 68% of in arts facilities. Participation orattendance regionThe city offersarangeof cultural and Newport. bodies andtheshorelines close to Cardiff warning areas are localised around river region are prone toFlood flooding. ofthecity Region parts meanscertain The geographyoftheCardiff Capital Rhondda Cynon Taf Percentage (2017) ofpeople(16+) inarts attending orparticipating Vale ofGlamorgan Monmouthshire Blaenau Gwent Merthyr TydfilMerthyr Caerphilly Bridgend Newport Torfaen Cardiff 0 22.5 45 35 67.5 90 Flood Warning Areas 36 Conservation areas 37

Blaenau Gwent Blaenau Gwent Monmouthshire Monmouthshire Merthyr Tydl Merthyr Tydl

Torfaen Torfaen

Rhondda Cynon Taf Caerphilly Rhondda Cynon Taf Caerphilly

Newport Newport Bridgend Bridgend

Cardi Cardi

The Vale of Glamorgan Flood Warning Area The Vale of Glamorgan Conservation Areas Web: www.cardiffcapitalregion.wales Contact Us Email: [email protected]